As the Oilers march through a bitter winter, the weak and the lucky are being snapped off like twigs set free through the Black Sea. Devan Dubnyk is a free man today, wandering Nashville and perhaps enjoying the sounds in the Blue Bird cafe. Ladislav Smid can drive to Lake Louise in just past one hour, and there’s a promise of a bright day with sunshine for some of these Oil men in the coming days.
- Bob McKenzie discussing LAK trade options: “interesting name: Sam Gagner of the Edmonton Oilers. He’s got two years left, not a rental, at a $4.8 million cap hit. It will be tough to make the numbers work on a cap-heavy team like the Los Angeles Kings, but he is a player of interest.” (Source)
Trading Gagner to the Kings won’t be easy, there’s a massive cap problem. The young center is making $4.8M and the club isn’t going to give up anything of use before their playoff run. I don’t see a match. Will the Kings trade Dwight King? Tyler Toffoli, Jake Muzzin? Jordan Nolan or Kyle Clifford don’t begin to satisfy the Gagner asset, so if it isn’t King there’s nothing to build on. I’m not thrilled with King as the centerpiece of a deal, imagine how Clifford and a pick would look for Gagner.
The Sledgehammer shows the situation: all the guys of interest aren’t going anywhere. Dwight King isn’t my idea of equal value, but he’s the only guy on this graph that gives Edmonton that big player they covet and somewhat satisfies trading 89. I don’t like the Kings for Gagner.
DWIGHT KING PLAYER CARD
28 points in his last 84 games, this isn’t a quality offensive player. He’s a big man and he can crash and bang, but that Corsi for % at 5×5 comes with help from guys like Kopitar and Carter.
61 points in his last 92 games, this guy can help an offense—little damn wonder the Kings have interest. I know he’s not perfect, but trading when the value is low (for me) is a terrible idea. The chances of getting your ass kicked are around 100% on this kind of a deal. Gagner’s been with Yakupov a lot this season, but when he’s with Hemsky they are around 50% Corsi For % 5×5.
I’m probably overvaluing Gagner, but I don’t see a match with the Kings.