David Perron was a delight, a true revelation in his first year as an Oiler. A fanbase used to seeing smallish forwards weave and dangle and fall in a heap—suddenly exposed to an agitating winger with some swagger, attitude and the ability to create chaos and outrage on the other side. Well, it was love at first sight.
DAVID PERRON 13-14
- 5×5 points per 60: 1.96 (3rd among regular forwards)
- 5×4 points per 60: 3.71 (5th among regular forwards)
- Qual Comp: 3rd toughest among regular forwards (top line opp)
- Qual Team: 11th best teammates among regular forwards (4line linemates)
- Corsi Rel: 6.9 (best among regular forwards)
- Corsi for % 5×5: 45.7
- Corsi for % Rel 5×5: +2.5
- Zone Start: 48.9% (7th easiest among regular forwards)
- Zone Finish: 45.7% (6th best among regular forwards)
- Shots on goal/percentage: 220/12.7% (2nd among F’s>100 shots)
- Boxcars: 78, 28-29-57
This is a fine season by an established NHL player. More please! A solid 5×5/60 in points and he had a solid Corsi Rel too (the team itself was a mess, that’s the problem) and of course buddy shoots the puck (220 shots on goal, and many from Laredo).
VOLLMAN SLEDGEHAMMER (CORSI REL)
We’re doing Rel this year because a sea of brown and red isn’t much to look at (or learn from—the Oilers were bad as a team at possession). Perron played some tough opps and he didn’t get the zone start push others did—or more accurately he did at times but was forced into lesser offensive roles at times. That’s a nice shade of blue there, David Perron.
RE 13-14 REVIEW
|.638||DAVID PERRON 13-14 RE||69||20||24||44|
|.731||DAVID PERRON 13-14 ACTUAL||78||28||29||57|
RE 14-15 PROJECTION
|.736||DAVID PERRON 14-15 RE||72||24||29||53|
|DAVID PERRON 14-15 ACTUAL|
- Your RE is compost. Thanks, glad you liked it.
- Hall gets all the glory and screw the French guy, eh? My RE’s are based on three seasons. Perron had a terrific year, and I hope he has another. That said, there’s every chance he’s going to get a less effective (offensively) center and that has an impact.
- Too conservative. We’ll see. I’ll make you a deal: If the Oilers trade for a better option for 2line C between now and opening night, we’ll revisit the subject.
- How many goals did the top two lines score last year? Hall-Nuge-Eberle scored 74 goals, Gagner-Perron-Yakupov scored 49.
- How did the two lines do at EV strength? Nuge line 53 goals, Gagner line 35 goals. Perron had 19 EV goals, same as Patrick Kane.
- And he played with Yak and Perron all season? Perron’s WOWY tells us he played most 5×5 with Gagner (459 minutes), RNH (277), Hall (254), Smyth (207) and Eberle (202). He also played Gordon (195), Yakupov (176), Arcobello (158). But he played a lot with 89, I’m surprised it’s so much (about 40% of his total playing time 5×5). He got 37% of his 5×5 offense while playing with Gagner and 39% of his shots with 89. Graph is here.
- So, how well did he play with Arcobello? Corsi for 52.8% 5×5, far better than without, but it’s a small sample size. We can’t consider it reliable. He scored 1.14/60 with Arco as his center, compared to 1.83 with Gagner. Again, small sample size but that scoring total matches our bias.
- When did he start to emerge as a quality player on the team? At the very start. Eakins in September: “Boy I think we got a lot. We’ve got a guy who can score, competes hard, he’s not afraid to get his nose dirty, we’ve let him loose on the penalty kill a little as well, I think we’ve got a well rounded player.”
- What makes him so good? The great thing about getting to see a new hire for a season is all the nuance you didn’t know about before. Perron is a sneaky offensive player, shooting from everywhere, making deft passes, wrist shots through a crowd, he’s always creating offense from a piece of string and a paper clip.
- So he’s MacGyver? Kind of, yes. There are miles of examples of Perron shooting from a silly angle and scoring, or shooting on the off beat on a play. I suspect goalies despise him because they have to watch him so closely. He’s also always around the net. Very fine player.
- Can he play left or right wing? Either or, I didn’t really notice a difference. Perron just kept on ticking all year long, drawing penalties and impacting the offense.
- Any specific plays you remember? I don’t remember the team, but he and Gagner were doing curls to the left of the net (Rangers?) and nothing really was happening. The defenseman had position and Gagner circled to see the view but there was nothing. He passed to Perron in the corner, who did the same curl, saw nothing, and then sent the trickiest little shot through a screen and beat the goalie (not clean mind you, the goalie got most of it). Something out of absolutely nothing, Perron did it many times this year.
- What kind of center would you like for Perron? I think there’s a wide range of skills here (as Eakins suggested) so a two-way type with enough offensive skill to move the needle. I’d like him to have some speed, and the ability to get back if the line is pinned deep on a jailbreak. I have suggested Cody Eakin in Dallas as a good fit for Edmonton, that’s the kind of two-way player I want for the Perron line in 2014-15.
- Is he a good mentor for Yakupov? The duo had terrible Corgis together, but did score 5×5, with Perron (2.38) trailing Yakupov (2.72). That’s a nice number, but they both spent buckets of time with Gagner who is a creative center. Their Corsi together wasn’t strong, so I’m thinking a guy like Eakin—who is not Gagner’s equal offensively but can play better positionally—might solve lots of problems and let the wingers wheel.
- So you’re happy with Perron? THRILLED with Perron. The best trade by an Oilers GM in many moons. Better than expected by a wide margin.
- Why this song? It’s the perfect song for Perron. The coyote is unavoidable, you can hear him from your living room at night, he’s calling just to let you know he’s there. And the coyote will NOT play by the rules (“Now he’s got a woman at home, He’s got another woman down the hall, He seems to want me anyway“) and impossible to tame (“Coyote’s in the coffee shop, He’s staring a hole in his scrambled eggs, He picks up my scent on his fingers, While he’s watching the waitresses’ legs“).
- That song is about sex! It’s Joni Mitchell, you’re going to have to get used to it.
- So he’s outside the lines? Yes. A lot of Perron’s game is defying convention, shooting from behind the net, getting the other guy off his game, shooting late, not avoiding the goalie, hooking on the back check. He’s a real ass. Love the guy. Coyote.
- Anything you’re worried about? A couple of things. He was absolutely healthy this past season, here’s hoping he can do it again—that’ll make three healthy seasons in a row.
- What else? I worry they’ll trade him. The Bill Torrey-Al Arbour rule is “get good players, keep good players” and it’s important to keep the men who flourish in Edmonton. Perron is such a player. I know his trade value has increased since arrival, that doesn’t mean cash him in. David Perron is central to the success of that second line, and may be an important figure in the development of Nail Yakupov. Either way, he’s a fine player signed to a wonderful contract. I hope he remains for the good times.