The Edmonton Oilers drafted a promising offensive prospect with speed, skill and playmaking ability with their second round selection. Projecting players at 17 is a tough business, but if Roy continues to progress he should be a productive top 6 NHL forward. Roy’s 1.03 points-per-game total as a 17-year old is not terribly unusual for 2nd round draft picks, but it is a nice list to belong to for any forward. Since 2009 (5 drafts), there have been 15 (3 a year).
- Nicolas Petan 2013 (WHL) 71, 46-74-120 (1.69)
- Shane Prince 2011 (OHL) 59, 25-63-88 (1.49)
- William Carrier 2013 (QMJHL) 34, 16-26-42 (1.24)
- Tyler Toffoli 2010 (OHL) 65, 37-42-79 (1.22)
- Ty Rattie 2011 (WHL) 67, 28-51-79 (1.18)
- Ryan Spooner 2010 (OHL) 47, 19-35-54 (1.15)
- Alexander Khoklachev 2011 (OHL) 67, 34-42-76 (1.13)
- Valentin Zykov 2012 (QMJHL) 67, 40-35-75 (1.12)
- Adam Erne 2013 (QMJHL) 68, 28-44-72 (1.06)
- Boone Jenner 2011 (OHL) 63, 25-41-66 (1.05)
- Marc Olivier Roy 2013 (QMJHL) 65, 29-38-67 (1.03)
- Christian Thomas 2010 (OHL) 64, 41-25-66 (1.03)
- Petr Straka 2010 (QMJHL) 62, 28-36-64 (1.03)
- Devante Smith-Pelly 2010 (OHL) 60, 29-33-62 (1.03)
- Nick Sorensen 2013 (QMJHL) 46, 20-27-47 (1.02)
MARCO ROY PLAYER CARD
REDLINE AT #39
- Redline: While thought of as a grinder who brings passion and intensity to each shift (which is accurate), that is short-changing his skill level. Good skater with speed and balance, and accelerates well. Wins a lot of races for loose pucks and is always 1st into corners. Works his bag off every shift and comes back hard on the backcheck. He’s an absolute buzzsaw with a motor that never quits. If his team loses the puck, he wants to go and get it back immediately. Stays in constant motion in the offensive zone, making him very difficult to check or contain. Soft hands for both giving and receiving passes. Gets shots away quickly around the slot and shows good accuracy. Competes like a bastard and always has his head in the game. Rugged and persistent on the forecheck. Reliable player at both ends who is continually improving. Also 6’1″ with a nice frame to fill out.
BOB MCKENZIE AT #58
- Mckeens: energetic, hard-working two-way winger .. propelled by a non-stop motor – maintains effort level from shift to shift .. not overly flashy, yet quite sound in all aspects of the game .. developed nice chemistry on the top line with Christopher Clapperton and Cedric Paquette, a unit that has been together all year long and can work wonders on the power play .. brings some toughness and grit – not afraid to stick his nose in .. relentless chasing the puck on both the forecheck and backcheck – and is a solid bodychecker .. strives to finish checks and initiate contact, however, at 180 pounds, doesn’t make much of an impression at this stage due to his under-developed strength .. can be guilty of over-pursuit in the defensive zone however, and neglecting his coverage responsibilities at times .. uses a wide base and balanced stride to change directions on a dime and keep hounding the puck carrier .. lively skater with solid all-around agility .. reaches a decent top gear swiftly – helped by a fairly powerful lower body .. boasts exceptional balance on his edges which allows him to take shots on goal from less-than-ideal release points .. won’t shy away from traffic areas to create scoring chances .. quite effective working the cycle along the boards .. displays a keen sense for when to pass and when to shoot for the most part – while also possessing good shooting accuracy .. proficient at one-timing the puck on target from the right half-board, where he usually operates on the power play .. can be too selective however and must focus on being more assertive .. prone to getting overly fancy at times when in prime shooting spots .. should continue to be a riser if his offensive production keeps up.
COREY PRONMAN AT #70
- Corey Pronman: Roy is a late 1994 birthdate, and his late eligibility gave him extra time to take the next step in his development. That advantage allowed him to put up solid numbers in the QMJHL this season. Roy’s best skill is his skating, which is plus, as he can jet through the neutral zone with impressive top speed. He is a technically sound skater, and he is very elusive in tight. I have heard different takes on his offensive upside. One scout thinks he projects as an average offensive player, while another says his offensive instincts and puck play are very good but classifies his offensive potential as above-average. Roy has roughly average size, and his physical game can be inconsistent. He will, at times, show fine on-ice effort, but there will be times where he can drift off to the perimeter, while not overly impressing.
THE DRAFT: #56 OVERALL
The Oilers chose a skilled forward with their 2nd round pick this season, after going for a big forward in 2012 and a defenseman in 2011. If draft history holds true, Roy will pass both Mitchell Moroz and David Musil on the way to the NHL: he’s a skilled forward and they can come in a hurry.
In the week after the draft, I interviewed Michael Parkatti from the Boys on the Bus blog. Parkatti won the Oilers hackathon and did some numbers work for the Oilers before the draft, basically confirming what their scouts were viewing (or possibly raising red flags).
- Michael Parkatti: “The model really liked Marco Roy. There’s a lot of things to like about the player outwardly, and if you look at the statistics diagnostically it’s not just the point production but also the situation he found himself in. The team he played for this year was very good, but it was one of those situations where he wasn’t being dragged along by anybody. The way I like to look at it was he was the good player on the team, he played an integral part on that team. And you really saw that in the playoffs.”
BY THE NUMBERS
- Marco Roy
- 6.01, 180
- 65, 29-38-67 (Blainville-Boisbriand Armada, QMJHL)
- NHLE: 82, 11-14-25
- Shots on goal: 159 (65th in Q)
- Shooting percentage: 18.2
- EV: 65, 16-25-41
- PP: 65, 13-13-26
- MacGregor: “Well with Mac, skill is really important to him. That’s something that he’s looked for. Obviously the other intangibles of character, hard work, quality of people and players who are passionate to play the game are important, but he really has a high regard for skill.”
If we add the Redline review (“Competes like a bastard and always has his head in the game. Rugged and persistent on the forecheck. Reliable player at both ends who is continually improving”) to the Parkatti math and situational success (“The way I like to look at it was he was the good player on the team, he played an integral part on that team”) Marco Roy projects as an excellent bet who should be in a position to push for NHL employment when his junior career is over. In about 2015 fall, the Oilers are very likely to need inexpensive, useful forwards and Marco Roy is currently at the top of that list.