Martin Marincin said something to someone, I’ll go to my grave believing it. The Oilers reacted swiftly, sending him down and letting him sit for a time while the season bled out. Which is fine, if you’re a coach and a GM with a future, not so good when the owner is hearing it from his buddies. The MacT regime went from using Theo Peckham as the example of what happens when you don’t listen, to using Marincin in a very similar role. This is my opinion.
RE 14-15: 65GP, 3-11-14 .215
ACTUAL 14-15: 41GP, 1-4-5 .122
MARTIN MARINCIN BOXCARS, THREE YEAR TREND
MARTIN MARINCIN FANCY NUMBERS, THREE YEAR TREND
- What do the numbers tell us? Martin Marincin is going to have a career. Tough zone starts, second-pairing minutes, his Corsi for % at 5×5 isn’t far from even. He isn’t going to score a lot but really he’s well priced for a third pairing blue—and he can play either side.
- He’ll never be top 4D with that offense. In about one full season, we’re looking at 11 points, so no, not a lot of offense. He should be able to help at evens and on the PK, and is already facing the tough ZS’s. Just a kid too, very useful player who is under contract and miles from big money. More please.
- You think they’ll trade him, don’t you? Yes.
- Why? I think there was some kind of disconnect. Conditioning? Something along those lines. And then maybe he didn’t respond well to the wakeup call? Don’t know. Something. Either way, he’s in the jailhouse now.
- Can he recover? Yes. I hope he plans to work out in Edmonton this summer, similar to the work Bogdan Yakimov did last summer. I think the Oilers will eventually require their prospects to attend a summer camp, maybe with the new draft picks.
- They already do that, though. Not with guys like Marincin. They bring in guys from the current draft, some college men, and maybe a few guys who are still in junior or just starting pro. Marincin has been in pro hockey since 2012 fall.
- Who did he play well with? Everyone. Pretty much everyone.
- Right. Haha. No, seriously. Here’s the Corsi for 5×5%’s: Mark Fayne 46.3; Justin Schultz 56.9; Niki Nikitin 54.9; Jeff Petry 58.7. He did have some downward numbers but none among his primary partners.
- Is there any good reason to trade Marincin? I think you could make the argument Marincin is the least likely of the good kids to be able to help in a big way at maturation.
- Good kids? Klefbom, Nurse, Marincin.
- Why would they trade him? As Edmonton turns north, inexperienced defensemen will become less plentiful. The Oilers will bring Nurse up at some point this coming season, suspect Klefbom will be the only youngster in the top six when that happens.
- Does Marincin have value? Oh yes. If you put Marincin with the No. 16 pick, I think you could expect a quality return. An NHL defenseman with experience and term.
- Do you have any recent examples? Something like the Jay Bouwmeester to St. Louis trade. Calgary received goalie Reto Berra, defensemen Mark Cundari and the No. 22 overall selection in the 2013 draft. The Flames chose Emile Poirier.
- So, Marincin and the No. 16 pick represents similar value? Yes. I think so.
- Will a new coach see him good? I don’t know if a new coach sees him at all. Chiarelli will have an opinion on him, but we already know MacT’s decision and his usually remain final. MM is in a tough spot as an Oiler, because the spot he’ll occupy on the team next season is easily duplicated.
- Who can play his spot? Most of the NHL defensemen are best-suited for 5-6D. Niki Nikitin, Andrew Ference, Justin Schultz, it would have been nice to have Klefbom there for a year and of course Nurse would be best served by a season there. Brandon Davidson, David Musil…
- I get it. Lots of them. Yes.
- What about as the partner for Mark Fayne on the severe ZS pairing? That’s a good fit in my opinion, based on what is currently on the roster. Suspect Chiarelli may want to aim higher.
- What would you like to see? I would move heaven and earth to acquire three defensemen, including a complete top pairing, like Sekera—Seabrook. The second pairing would be Klefbom—Petry and the third pairing Marincin—Fayne.
- What about Ference, Nikitin and Schultz? What ABOUT Ference, Nikitin and Schultz?
- So you’d turn over pretty much the entire defense as it stands? Yes. Easy decision really. I’d keep Klefbom and Marincin, plus Fayne for the tough ZS’s.
- A GM can’t turn over that much of the roster in one summer. In the year before he arrived as GM, Boston’s top 7D: Hal Gill (1489 minutes); Brian Leetch (1434); Brad Stuart (1412); Nick Boynton (1115); David Tanabe (1087); Andrew Alberts (936) and Milan Jurcina (839).
- And the following year? Zdeno Chara (2237 minutes); Andrew Alberts (1495); Paul Mara (1290); Brad Stuart (1100); Jason York (640); Andrew Ference (581) and Aaron Ward (432).
- So he turned over a lot of the roster that first summer? Well, during the year, too. Lots of trades, including acquiring Andrew Ference and Aaron Ward. He would pick up Dennis Wideman in Feb. 2007 too, and turned over pretty much the entire rig in quick order. In a cap world.
- Lots of names flying out? That is my guess, although Klefbom and Nurse are extremely likely to be a big part of the future in Edmonton.
- Why this song? It goes back to what we talked about at the beginning. He said something. I believe it. The bell has tolled. Perhaps I’m underestimating Chiarelli here, or maybe Martin Marincin is no big deal. Two years into his NHL career, his arrows are easily good enough for the Oilers to retain him on merit. We wait.