CODY FRANSON AND THE LAST CHANCE TEXACO

The Los Angeles Kings signed Christian Ehrhoff to a sweet, sweet deal today and the rich got richer. For Edmonton, it’s down to one man left on the free-agent trail who could absolutely help their defense next season. Cody Franson. Back in the days leading up to free agency, I pulled the group of ‘good fit’ defensemen together and put them in a line:

franson graphEdmonton signed one of the top options (they’re listed by Corsi 5×5 but any number of these solutions would have sufficed—I am pleased they grabbed Sekera) and most of the others were off the shelves in the opening hours. Ehrhoff (until today) and Franson (who remains) spent the summer without a home, and now that one tumbler clicks perhaps we’ll see another.

Would it make sense for Edmonton to sign Franson? Sure! He’s an upgrade over Justin Schultz and young enough to grow with the group and hang around for the good times. There are two issues:

  • If you sign Franson, where do you play Schultz? (Answer: You don’t).
  • How do you get Franson under contract and stay under the cap? (Answer: Trade Justin Schultz).

I don’t think the Oilers would make those moves, not now, not this season. I’m absolutely unsure Schultz is going to have a long career in Edmonton, but my guess is the management wants to see the young D with Todd McLellan at the helm for a year and then decide. Timing can be an absolute bitch, because Franson is a damned fine solution for what ails the Oilers. He’d be a genuine help 5×5 and is superior to Schultz at evens. Franson was speaking to six teams last time we had news, suspect he’ll end up in Boston but it would be a very nice back to school gift for Oilers fans.

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42 Responses to "CODY FRANSON AND THE LAST CHANCE TEXACO"

  1. Mr DeBakey says:

    So
    Do you think Phoenix would take Schultz for Ekman-Larsson if the Oilers threw in Hall & McDavid?

  2. kdunbar says:

    I gotta think that Franson at a 4 x 4million deal would be a better deal than Schultz on the Oilers. I think Schultz is not going to be a fit for this team long term.

    Also wonder how cheap you could get Franson (i.e. less than 4million)

    I also wonder what you could realistically get for Schultz. Could you get a second rounder for him?

  3. Ryan says:

    kdunbar:
    I gotta think that Franson at a 4 x 4million deal would be a better deal than Schultz on the Oilers. I think Schultz is not going to be a fit for this team long term.

    Also wonder how cheap you could get Franson (i.e. less than 4million)

    I also wonder what you could realistically get for Schultz. Could you get a second rounder for him?

    Schultz to the Ducks for a second rounder would be lol.

  4. JD¡™ David O'Connor's Reel says:

    Ryan: Schultz to the Ducks for a second rounder would be lol.

    Even Steven!

  5. slurve says:

    I was hoping Nikitin was bought out at the last opportunity and they would have room to sign Franson. A few years ago, you would not expect the Oilers to pass up on Franson. If I were the Oilers, I still would find a way to sign Franson. Klefbom and Nurse are not a sure thing to stick around when McLellan takes the mound; and there is always injuries to condider.

  6. russ99 says:

    Franson is basically an experienced version of Schultz, with better numbers due to playing for better teams than the Oilers. Maybe we should see if the kid can turn it around before committing to an equally flawed player at a higher term/salary. Unless we can get Franson at a bargain, IMO its just as bad a signing as Ference was when it comes to locking in a player worse than we could potentially get later.

    Now if we can get a true upgrade, say Josi or Jones, then that would be worth dumping Schultz, otherwise we shouldn’t dump one of our best defenseman in the offensive zone.

    Plus who knows who else becomes available the next two seasons, and who can really tell what offense Nurse is going to contribute at the NHL level…

    Sometime the moves you don’t make are smarter.

  7. kdunbar says:

    Franson is also 6’5″ and heavier than Schultz and does not get caught as a team rushes back as much.

  8. Hammers says:

    Won’t happen . They will stick with what they have for now ; expect a top end D next year but via trade not free agency . They may add a another 4-5 type at some time this year .

  9. RexLibris says:

    Hammers: expect a top end D next year but via trade

    Cue the rant…

    😉

  10. Woodguy says:

    *waits for Godot*

  11. RexLibris says:

    Woodguy:
    *waits for Godot*

    Jasmine, Godot, verdad and Art are all busy at the moment attending an event with this guy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwJ5fIQsiqw

  12. Bad Seed says:

    RexLibris,

    That wasn’t Verdad? I wish she would have asked about OEL.

  13. Pouzar says:

    OEL to the Oilers for………………………………………….One Mee-il-yin DOLLARS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  14. RexLibris says:

    Pouzar:
    OEL to the Oilers for………………………………………….One Mee-il-yin DOLLARS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    OEL is, in this scenario, a shark with a laser beam on its head.

  15. Gordies Elbow says:

    This post has both Cody Franson, and a panic button. Is the panic around signing him?

    Do we really need another Justin Schultz?

    Oh, yeah, sorry, we should trade for OEL. (theme of the day)

  16. fifthcartel says:

    I’m very surprised Franson is still unsigned, I would have thought he’d be signed by the end of July at the very latest.

    It’s interesting because I’m not sure how many realistic suitors there are left for him. The only ones could probably make it work are –

    Buffalo
    Boston
    Columbus
    Arizona
    Edmonton

    Boston seems the most likely ever since they gave away Dougie Hamilton, the only right-handed defensemen they have are McQuaid, Kevin Miller, and Colin Miller (part of Lucic trade). They have 4.7 million in cap space so they might be able to fit him in, but who knows, maybe they’re okay with playing some rookies and hoping Krug can take on more minutes.

    Buffalo has the cap space, but I doubt they want to give any term. They have Ristolainen and Bogosian on the right side, and although I’m not a fan of that depth, I’d bet Tim Murray wants a lefty instead.

    Columbus is low on right-handed defensemen, but doesn’t have a lot of cap space and doesn’t strike me as a team that wants to spend too much or be pushed so close to the cap.

    Arizona has tonnes of cap space, but I doubt they want any defensemen that doesn’t contribute to Auston Matthews being a Coyote. I think they just play their younger guys and are happy with that.

    Edmonton doesn’t really have the cap space, but could easily get make some moves to fit Franson in. General Fanager has them at 2.88 million in cap space but that’s with 15 forward, 8 defensemen, and 3 goalies. I don’t think they went too hard at Franson after getting Sekera, but the opportunity might be there with it getting pretty close to training camp and both short and long-term contracts would be really appealing in Edmonton.

    I still think it’s unlikely but it wouldn’t surprise me as the Oiler’s right-handed defensemen (Fayne, Schultz) aren’t ones that were chosen by Chiarelli, and I’m sure he’s seen Franson play a lot being in the same division in Toronto.

    All the other teams are either too close to the cap and/or have too many defensemen that they see ahead of Franson on their respective depth charts.

  17. Jaxon says:

    Fair warning, crazy armchair trade proposal coming up: Sign Franson for 5 years at $5M per as long as there is no NMC or NTC. Trade Schultz (along with Mitch Moroz and a 4th Round pick) to Washington for RD Madison Bowey (who played with Draisaitl in Kelwona and with McDavid and Nurse on Team Canada and was the top scoring D on both teams) and RW Riley Barber. Washington might jump at the chance to have offence provided by Schultz to replace Mike Green as I think they want to be contenders this year with Ovechkin exiting his prime years soon and signing TJ Oshie (RW) and Justin Williams (RW). With their summer signings RW is now a bit crowded so letting Barber go might be an easier move for them too. Moroz would help with selling the trade to their fanbase as a big, tough, Memorial Cup winner and 32nd overall pick. Carlson and Niskanen will be the Caps top 2 RD for the foreseeable future, Schultz would fit in nicely behind them and they are all young enough that I don’t think Washington would need to be too worried about the future on the right side.

  18. Woodguy says:

    After how Franson worked his way from the 1st pairing to the PB in the Dman factory of Nashville there’s no way I give him term.

  19. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Shanghai Composite is down 7% today alone as we speak. Japan is down 3.5%, oil futures are trading at $39.50, Down and S&P futures are down another 2%. Mini-crash 2015 continues.

    The USD has lost 1% vs. the Euro and Yen today (and gone from 1.10 vs EUR to 1.15 and 120 yen vs 125 in a very swift move), but guess what, the Canadian dollar is even weaker, $1.325 last, fresh weakness again.

    When markets are puking and the US dollar is coming under a spat of selling due to weak data, yet STILL the Canadian dollar is weaker against it, you know the CAD is in big, big trouble.

    I can’t see the Oilers making any more big moves this summer. Franson in, Schultz out is not happening, IMO.

    Edit- sorry for the OT. Saw the panic button photo and figured it was appropriate! I’m not pushing it, but a lot of people are for sure.

  20. JD¡™ David O'Connor's Reel says:

    RexLibris: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwJ5fIQsiqw

    Oh my – where to begin? Maybe at the end?

    Yes. At the end. Good grief, Charlie Brown.

  21. Rondo says:

    NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker":
    Shanghai Composite is down 7% today alone as we speak. Japan is down 3.5%, oil futures are trading at $39.50, Down and S&P futures are down another 2%. Mini-crash 2015 continues.

    The USD has lost 1% vs. the Euro and Yen today (and gone from 1.10 vs EUR to 1.15 and 120 yen vs 125 in a very swift move), but guess what, the Canadian dollar is even weaker, $1.325 last, fresh weakness again.

    When markets are puking and the US dollar is coming under a spat of selling due to weak data, yet STILL the Canadian dollar is weaker against it, you know the CAD is in big, big trouble.

    I can’t see the Oilers making any more big moves this summer. Franson in, Schultz out is not happening, IMO.

    Edit- sorry for the OT. Saw the panic button photo and figured it was appropriate! I’m not pushing it, but a lot of people are for sure.

    You may find these articles interesting since your up.

    http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2015/08/22/tripwire-alert-evidence-now-exists-to-show-benefit-of-gope-road-mapped-splitter-strategy/

    http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2015/08/09/gope-2016-road-map-to-victory-tree-house-challenge/

  22. Woodguy says:

    DANGER WILL ROBINSON!

    POLITICS!

    DANGER!

  23. Ryan says:

    NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker",

    I thought NHL teams were hedged against fluctuations in currency with the U.S. Dollar?

  24. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Woodguy,

    Danger!!!

    That’s a blast from the past. Note, I did not introduce politics here, just further reinforcement of economic concerns (vis-a-vis cap management, of course).

    Ryan:
    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”,

    I thought NHL teams were hedged against fluctuations in currency with the U.S. Dollar?

    NHL HRR is calculated using US dollars. The NHL only hedges a small amount of currency exposure, from what we’ve been told.
    30% of the NHL’s revenue comes from Canada, which is, as you might expect, a higher percentage than simply taking the number of Canadian teams divided by the total. Also, the massive Rogers deal that gave the NHL a big bump in revenue, was a Canadian dollar deal. Thus, the value of that deal is looking to be 30% less than expected over the life of that deal.

    Cap crunch is a’coming. No way to avoid it now.

  25. rickithebear says:

    To be Clear?

    the best d at reducing HSCA/60 in the game is not a top end D.

    OK!

    We do not say.
    His position is Offence!

  26. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Did you mark my next comment as spam, LT? Odd as I did not post any links. I apologize if I said something wrong.

  27. RexLibris says:

    For the record, the YT clip was intended to offer a video example of someone who feels the rage.

    It was not a political statement. I leave that for the sandwich signs I wear downtown.

    Also, I’m with WG. If Franson is negotiating, the last thing I give him right now is term. Dollars? Fine. Heck, he can have all of Ference AND Nikitin’s money for all I’m concerned (I mean, I’m not writing those cheques). But it is a one-season contract only.

  28. OF17 says:

    There are currently 6 teams in the league that could take Nikitin’s salary without going over or too close to the cap. There are others that could take a partial salary. I know this is pie-in-the-sky type stuff, but I would be willing to trade Nikitin + 2nd for a 7th in order to trade Franson. The upgrade is worth it.

    Sekera-Fayne
    Klefbom-Franson
    Reinhart/Nurse-Schultz
    Gryba

    Only problems are pairing Reinhart/Nurse with Schultz and losing another 2nd round pick (remember we need to compensate Boston still). The fact that Chiarelli didn’t buy out Nikitin is a big tell though. Don’t think Franson is coming.

  29. Yeti says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: Cap crunch is a’coming. No way to avoid it now.

    In this context, flexibility is the key and one can certainly value the release of Nikitin and Purcell at the end of the season. Bad contracts, for sure, but expiring bad contracts. Does that leave Ference as the only truly terrible contract we have?

  30. Sevenseven says:

    Lets say Shultz doesn’t work out. So next summer you get the following off the books:
    Shultz: 3.9mil
    Nikitin: 4.5mil
    Purcell: 4.5 mil
    Scrivens: 2.3 mil
    So that is 15.2 mil in cap space that frees up. Mac Ts additions really hinder this team this year, but they are almost all gone at the end of the season. Maybe a couple of them bring back draft pics at the deadline. Maybe a couple are shipped out sooner. The only really bad contract I see next year is Ference and he may retire. It is a shame to waste a year of McDavids ELC, but after this year they are in really good shape.

  31. verdad2.0 says:

    All of this is just a blow on a bruise.
    Explain due to Chiarelli’s incompetence.
    Not buying out the garbage, listening to the idiots who flushed out Petry and Marincin, and still believing in a non-defense man playing defense.
    Of course, they should sign Franson big time, do it this afternoon.
    It would force real change. It help Chiarelli recover from his mid-summer blunders.

    No one can dispute that the OIlers are more competitive with Franson, than without.
    All that matters is being competitive in this upcoming season.
    If the people who run the Oilers don’t get that , then nothing has changed.

  32. verdad2.0 says:

    Sevenseven,

    Who cares about 2016-17?
    That logic has doomed this franchise for a decade.

  33. G Money says:

    verdad2.0,

    Huh. How come you haven’t mentioned this before? And is there someone specific you think we should trade for that might help?

  34. Eastern Oil says:

    Sevenseven,

    I hear what you’re saying and completely agree, but imagine if the Oilers didn’t have Ference/NN and were able to take a flyer on a guy like Ehrhoff? Franson? etc. Considering how bad the Oilers D corps has been, you’d think they would be more flexible in personnel, cap than they are!

    Next year will give Oilers options, as well as having Nurse, Klef, Davidson, etc a year older, but a cheap deal for a guy like Ehrhoff is how good teams capitalize.

    Note: not saying you don’t think this way, just continuing on your thoughts.

  35. Ca$h-McMoney! says:

    G Money,

    It’s funny how someone can advocate throwing lots of money and term at Franson on the grounds that the previous management team was defective and getting better this year is all that matters.

    The primary thorn in our side right now, as far as D is concerned, is due to panicking and throwing too much money and term at Nikita Nikitin and Andrew Ference because we needed to add to our blue line, and they were available and willing to play here.

    1. Our D is bad because we’ve overpaid Dmen relative to their talent in a quasi panic.
    2. Buy out those players.
    3. Re-enter quasi panic mode.
    4. Overpay Franson.

    WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG?

  36. Woodguy says:

    Ca$h-McMoney!,

    1. Our D is bad because we’ve overpaid Dmen relative to their talent in a quasi panic.
    2. Buy out those players.
    3. Re-enter quasi panic mode.
    4. Overpay Franson.
    WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG?

    Precisely.

  37. verdad2.0 says:

    Ca$h-McMoney!,

    Franson isn’t Nikitin or Ference.
    Is this not obvious to you?

    Why keep defending Chiarelli’s mistakes?

  38. Woodguy says:

    verdad2.0:
    Ca$h-McMoney!,

    Franson isn’t Nikitin or Ference.
    Is this not obvious to you?

    Why keep defending Chiarelli’s mistakes?

    HE’S NOT AWFUL
    HE’S BETTER!
    HE’S MEDIOCRE!!
    THROW ALL THE MOBNEYS AT HIM!!

  39. G Money says:

    Woodguy,

    ALL OF THE MOBNEYS!!!! ALL OF THEMS!!!

  40. Bootstrap Effexor says:

    verdad2.0:
    Who cares about 2016-17?
    That logic has doomed this franchise for a decade.

    You’re neglecting the Tsaoist precursor to the Intermediate value theorem (“a journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step”) in your rush to apply a bright-line rule care bear filter.

    But why set the care bear filter at merely making the playoffs, when it could be set at actually winning the Stanley Cup?

    Ice cap corollary to Loazi’s maxim: a journey of a thousand miles ends with a giant mug.

    ———

    Issuing proclamations about what other people “care” about amounts to sneaking body language into the conversation under the rug.

    Just try to tell me that K Lowe doesn’t care about winning. No, the real issue was that all this caring translated into a bad plan instead of a good plan.

    My brother is fond of saying “the first rat off a sinking ship is the best swimmer”.

    Memories of Meech and dice-rolling

    The entire problem with his comment in the first place was that he regarded the expression as a “colourful turn of phrase … innocently intended …” (his own memoirs).

    Entrepreneurs Are ‘Calculated’ Risk Takers — The Word That Can Be The Difference Between Failure And Success

    “Entrepreneurs are not risk takers. They are calculated risk takers,” is something that Leonard C. Green tells his students each semester at Babson College, which has been the number one school for teaching entrepreneurship for as long as they have been doing the rankings.

    Green, 76, is no ordinary professor. He is a masterful deal maker who at one point own parts of three professional sports teams and a leading dog and cat food company and he continues to be an active investor in start ups to this day.

    Just about any calculation can be construed as “not caring” by the better rats chafing for a more aggressive agenda.

    Risk takers bet it all on one roll of the dice. If they fail, they fail spectacularly and in such a way that they DON’T live to fight another day. They literally go out in a blaze of attempted glory.

    Apparently—if I’m to read that literally—this psychology is so deeply entrenched that the glory rats continue to do it even when the door to the executive swimming pool is right next to a glass case—dangling a little hammer and chain—conspicuously captioned “break glass in case of failure” in order to withdraw a small jerrycan and a never-fail steel and stone flint. (This is how Silicon Valley became know as a failure tolerant culture. “The fastest way to succeed,” IBM’s Thomas Watson, Sr., once said, “is to double your failure rate.” Then, in a brilliant stroke of American ingenuity, they put the swimming pool right beside the help yourself self-immolation station.)

    Sauna contest leaves Russian dead and champion Finn in hospital

    Great things happen when two guys care enough to go the distance.

    Late edit: My last save froze while I went off for breakfast, so I’ve saved it now. Just a small wording change. Nothing important.

  41. Bootstrap Effexor says:

    There was a small editorial fix—that perhaps no-one would have noticed anyway—to my awaiting-moderation post that froze during save while I wandered off for breakfast which I can no longer fix.

    In any case, mission accomplished. I managed to shoehorn the selfish stutter “help yourself self-immolation station” into a sentence that begins with a patriotic upsurge of American ingenuity. And I managed to rhyme “mug” with “rug”, suggesting a long journey that ends with a mug to the back of the head (that being one of two possible mug shots that instantly concludes prevailing affairs in the negative condition).

    I always used to think that one thing my brother does that I would never do is fly tying, which I condemned for being way too picayune and finicky.

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