STANDING ON THE SHORE LINE, FIRST DAY OF 2016

The atmosphere on New Year’s Day 2016 is decidedly different (despite last night) for Oilers fans. A year ago we were resigned to losing David Perron and Jeff Petry for just picks and prospects (proof is here) but this year there is a sense of progress, at least from here.

OVER AND OVER, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers in October 2014: 4-5-1
  • Oilers in October 2015: 4-8-0
  • Oilers in November 2014: 2-9-3
  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2
  • Oilers in December 2014: 2-8-4
  • Oilers in December 2015: 7-6-1
  • Oilers in January 2015: 5-7-1
  • Oilers in January 2016: 0-0-0
  • Oilers after 39 in 2014-15: 8-22-9, 25 points (-55 GD)
  • Oilers after 39 in 2015-16: 15-21-3, 33 points (-22 GD)

Oilers can still see the red tail lights heading for Spain, but they will soon be out of sight. In the Pacific, they trail No. 6 Calgary by three points and the Flames have two games in hand—that kind of deficit could take weeks to make up, and Edmonton is not good in chase mode. Overall, the Oilers are No. 29 overall on the year—and if this continues, we will all have to learn how to pronounce an unusual Finnish name by draft day. I believe this Edmonton Oilers team should be in a playoff spot this morning, if they had something resembling consistent goaltending. Will this team falter under pressure? Todd McLellan has his work cut out for him, especially with so many Jacks and Kings on the sidelines.

INDIVIDUAL HIGH-DANGER SCORING CHANCES

There were six last night, three from Taylor Hall, and one each from Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Lauri Korpikoski and Luke Gazdic. All information via War-On-Ice.

DEFENSE, LAST NIGHT

oilers blue nov 30

  • Brad Hunt looked good to my eye, he had four individual shot attempts (only one found its way to the net) and battled hard on a night when all who came near were significantly bigger. Interesting he and Fayne performed so well, something to track as we head into 2016. I don’t know how long he will be up, but this was the strongest performance I can recall from him.
  • Brandon Davidson stepped back into the lineup and delivered a solid performance. I like his ability to make quick decisions, he is an intelligent player who often gets the most out of a play even if it is no result at all. I have to say, in a season filled with youth emerging, this guy has earned more recognition than is being received. Fantastic.
  • Mark Fayne is back now, McLellan has marked him and knows what he can do for the team. Faced with the Getzlaf line along with Sekera, it did not go well but let’s remember who they are playing. Brilliant when checking down with Hunt, I suspect we will see him back Saturday with Sekera—unless they try Davidson up there and I am curious to see it.
  • Darnell Nurse played well, had three individual shot attempts, was one of the few Oilers who beat the trap or even tried to deke/scoot by a Duck in the neutral zone. He was physical against those big Anaheim forwards, won battles and was the only defender to post a positive Corsi event 5×5 while also being on the ice with Justin Schultz.
  • Justin Schultz had a poor evening. Early in the game, I mean early, he had the puck LH side, no real pressure and absolutely skating room. Open partner to the right, he ices the puck. This is the kind of thing that drives people crazy, unforced errors over and over. The Ducks were more likely to succeed last night in the moments after Schultz touched the puck than if they had carried it in themselves. How much longer are the Oilers under Chiarelli and McLellan going to watch this? Seriously. He isn’t helping on offense or defense, let him see the game from upstairs for a night.
  • Andrej Sekera had tough sledding, so you knew that no matter who his partner it could get ugly. What made it doubly difficult is that he faced Getzlaf with the Letestu line, and the group didn’t get a sniff (0 for everything) of the puck. That is a tough night, and as much as it would be easy to blame Schultz, the fact is five men faced that line without a positive Corsi event and that takes a village. I am okay with it though, sometimes you have to give the other man his due—and in all of this that line did not score at evens last night.

CENTERS, LAST NIGHT

oil c nov 30

  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins received Taylor Hall as a gift and things straightened up immediately. They didn’t score though, and that needed to happen. If you look at what McLellan did—add Hall to the unit, took away the checking chores and gave them to Letestu—it is fairly damming to see how few chances they generated. War-On-Ice had the line down for eight individual SC’s (four for Hall, two each for Nuge and Eberle) but only Hall found a way to be genuinely dangerous (imo). The neutral zone attention to detail by the Nuge was most disappointing to me last night, they need him to be better.
  • Leon Draisaitl struggled without Hall, but that is no surprise. Pouliot joined the trio in Hall’s absence and went 3-6 in 3:03 with LD. The big man has been getting heavy minutes and it has been awhile since he cashed—suspect that was part of the thinking on moving him. It was also effective in getting Drai away from Getzlaf, he was 4-7 against the big Anaheim center in 5:23 (Nuge was 4-5 in 4:41).
  • Anton Lander had a quiet night, the line did make some noise early and he was a small part of it, but mostly quiet time.
  • Mark Letestu and his line took one for the team, didn’t touch the puck much beyond grabbing it behind the net and taking it to safety and chipping it in. That can be effective, and I wonder if McLellan will turn this into a de facto checking line as he chases offense.

WINGERS, LAST NIGHT

oilers f nov 30

  • Jordan Eberle and Taylor Hall had some nice numbers, but not enough to show for it. Normally on a morning like this, I would say ‘well, they will get them next time with this kind of performance’ but for me it was more than that. I noticed a lot of chatter about dump and chase, but they did try to execute passes through the neutral zone but were not sharp. That is my concern this morning. When your precision gunners aren’t taking care, you have a problem. Edmonton needs to have a blowout game soon. Hall and Eberle are not making good decisions with the puck, Nuge and Leon too. It is a concern.
  • Teddy Purcell just keeps on rolling, he was moved down a line but kept chugging. Very little generated by the group, perhaps chem takes time (Nuge with Hall and Eberle should take less time).
  • Benoit Pouliot played well less than the others, and that is bad for him. Unless there was an injury I didn’t see, that means the coach chose Lauri Korpikoski in important moments when Pouliot was available. People get traded you know, not an impossible contract to send down the road, either. They need more from Poo.
  • Luke Gazdic is losing fans by the second, just at the point I am beginning to like him. Had a fantastic chance early, skated hard. He won’t be here when this team is good, but this is the best hockey he will ever play.
  • Jujhar Khaira did a cool thing early, little back pass to daylight for 20. Didn’t cash but it was a heckuva hockey play. I didn’t notice him much after that.
  • Lauri Korpikoski and Matt Hendricks got buried, but that is to be expected based on deployment. I have no quarrel with handling or performance.

STANDING ON THE SHORE LINE

marincin and schultz

Justin Schultz has not much time left as an Oiler, if I know Peter Chiarelli. Barring a transformation, the young man is on his way to a better home, where the chaos will be wrapped around calm feet and a veteran hand alongside. I fully expect Schultz to give his new team more than value paid, but also believe it is time for him to move on. Like all of the other blue who arrived after 2006 summer, Justin Schultz was introduced to playing NHL defense full hose with no one to guide them. Come back Charlie Huddy, Charlie Huddy, come back some day. I suspect we see something like the following in terms of return:

  • Anaheim Ducks: R Josh Anderson
  • Chicago Blackhawks: C Mark McNeill
  • Dallas Stars: R Brett Ritchie

I think a big winger coming back is probably a target, although perhaps less so based on the Kassian addition. It is also possible Schultz goes for just picks, as Edmonton needs to recover some of the prospects they didn’t get with all the draft floor activity in 2015. For the record, Edmonton’s 2016 selections currently are:

  • No. 2 overall (I would guess a Finn or Tkachuk)
  • No. 32 overall (could go to Boston for Chiarelli but screw them if it is this high)
  • No. 62 overall
  • No. 92 overall
  • No. 122 overall
  • No. 152 overall
  • No. 182 overall
  • No. 210 overall (no longer belongs to Oilers. This was part of the Horcoff return, along with Phil Larson. Edmonton dealt the pick at the draft for G Miroslav Svoboda, so the Dallas pick—currently No. 30 in the seventh round—belongs to Tampa Bay).

fayne capture

Mark Fayne is a veteran defender who may fetch something useful at the deadline, although there is term on his contract. I would keep him, as mentor and penalty killer and as shutdown man on the third pairing. He does not bring the physical element of others, but he can play defense.

reinhart gryba capture

Eric Gryba is a big, strong defenseman who can also defend. His contract runs out at the end of the season and I can see several teams asking after him. Peter Chiarelli may prefer to sign him—he is on the best side of 30 and does have NHL experience—but my guess is that he could get a third-round pick for him and that is a net gain.

purcell capture van

Teddy Purcell has enjoyed a very good season, and depending on price I would like to see him sign back here. That said, the return on this player could be outstanding (he is having a better year than Perron was last season) and if the offer is strong, Peter Chiarelli has to consider it. If he signs, one wonders about the future of Jordan Eberle or Nail Yakupov in the organization. He is the one guy last night I saw making successful passes in the neutral zone, he is kind of sneaky—like Radek Dvorak back in the day—and gives teams something else to worry over. Good, good player.

pouliot capture 3

One of my favorite players, but he is on track for another 35-point season and that is with excellent linemates the whole way through. Perhaps I am just seeing him bad, and his contract would be diffuclt to move in-season, but for the first time I can say it would not surprise me to see him go.

hendricks 334

Matt Hendricks is a quality checker, hard worker and a leader. I will be pleased to see him survive the deadline, but do recall there were excellent offers last year at the same time. Chiarelli must work hard to keep his cap in order, and the Korpikoski trade may make Henricks expendable.

talbot capture 11

Consistency is the issue and is reflected in his last five outings, giving us SPs of .978, .917, .857, .786 and .971. You can’t have that. I think Peter Chiarelli signs him, at low-end starter money, with the idea that he can add a starter in summer if necessary. He can’t go all-in on Talbot based on performance, and honestly I don’t know what the trade value will be.

Peter Chiarelli started his deadline work by adding a winger, so expect one to be headed out if things work well. I expect a busy time, although the Perron and Petry trades one year ago were more substantial than anything we are likely to see this time.

Happy New Year! All the best to you and yours.

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197 Responses to "STANDING ON THE SHORE LINE, FIRST DAY OF 2016"

  1. Woodguy says:

    This post may seem out of place at Lowetide, but stick with me until the end.

    Back in 2010 Paul Krugman wrote a column in the New York Times titled: “The Angry Rich”

    One of the comments was from “Bob from Calgary” and it was an excellent explanation of some of the differences between the US and Canada seen from a Canadian point of view in context of the article.

    That comment has proven to be the most popular comment on a NYT article of all time (7,021 recommendations)

    This fact just came to light recently and many Canadian news outlets have been speculating about “Bob from Calgary” and have been trying to find him.

    If you google “bobfromcalgary” you will find many stories about this that can flesh it out in better detail than I can here. Here’s a follow up article with more info and the fact that Bob is actually from Edmonton.

    Then this morning The Globe and Mail had a piece penned by Bob himself.

    First thing I thought of when I saw the Globe article and the author’s picture was “I know that guy”

    As it turns out, Bob from Calgary is our very own Bookjie.

    Well done Bookjie.

    I hope to be buying “Bob from Calgary” t-shirts and coffee mugs in the very near future.

    Sorry to start the thread OT LT but this was too good to sit on.

  2. Lowetide says:

    Well done Bookjie! Wow. THAT is incredible. Do we have to stop saying the other thing?

  3. frjohnk says:

    In the last post I said we were only 5 points out of playoff spot, but have played more games than anybody else in our division. If the magic playoff point number is 86, we would need to go 25-15-3. That’s a point per game pace that only 8 teams have done this year.

    1 point out of a possible 8 in this Pacific stand. That’s a big face plant.

    Highly improbable we make the playoffs.

    Chia’s best move from now till the deadline would be clear out the deadwood that he can and get as many assets as possible which include picks, prospects and cap space.

    Wont get anything for Ference.

    Wont get anything for Nikitin.

    A 4th for Gryba?

    A 3rd for Schultz?

    I think Chia tries to get rid of Fayne, but because of term he wont be able to unless he retains money.

    Sign Purcell by the deadline or trade him. Should be worth at least a 2nd. If signed that would probably mean one of Eberle or Yak are gone this summer.

    Sign Talbot or Nilsson. Trade the one not signed by the deadline. Bring up LB.

    Try to be competitive for the rest of year but build for next year.

    Hey, we made to Jan 1st at least!

  4. sliderule says:

    Khaira in under 6 minutes had 4 hits.Gazdic in about same time had 0 hits.

    If Gazdic can’t provide a physical game he should be in press box.

    The oilers need bigger wingers who can check ,hit and win puck battles.

    I would bet that if Kassian shows anything at all he will be in Edmonton by next weekend.

  5. frjohnk says:

    Bookje,
    great article.

  6. Eastern Oil says:

    F#*k you Bob from Calgary!

    Kidding aside, fantastic comment and article. Well done sir. *tips cap*

  7. Woodguy says:

    I believe this Edmonton Oilers team should be in a playoff spot this morning, if they had something resembling consistent goaltending.

    Oilers are 23rd in SV% (all situations)

    Teams below them in SV% who currently occupy a playoff spot:

    Nashville (!)
    San Jose
    Arizona

    You can’t lay this all at the goalie’s feet.

    Calgary has the worst goaltending so far this year (.889 all situations) are they are tight for a playoff spot.

    Oilers have allowed 1227 shots against with a .903 SV% (all situations)

    League median is .9132 (DET)

    If they had league median goaltending they would have allowed a grand total of 12 less goals against.

    I’m sure that would have helped, but its not the sole reason they are out of a playoff spot.

    Not when they are 28th in the league in Shots Against/60 with 31.1

  8. Woodguy says:

    Lowetide:
    Well done Bookjie! Wow. THAT is incredible. Do we have to stop saying the other thing?

    Not at all.

    Fuck that guy.

  9. böök¡je says:

    Woodguy: Not at all.

    Fuck that guy.

    I agree – guy wants us to pay moar taxes!

  10. stevezie says:

    Bookje, wow.

    Good show.

    EDIT: Though your anti-demagogue stance offends me.

  11. Romulus Apotheosis says:

    I’m a bit out of touch these days, but I’m curious to know…

    Has the main stream Oilers’ press taken the gloves off re: Schultz yet?

    I don’t mean some negative coverage here and there… I mean “Jones bringing up Poti’s allergies” level coverage.

    Has anything remotely nasty come up?

    I wouldn’t welcome it (I don’t like that kind of talk outside of the context of outbursts in jocular settings). But, it didn’t take much for the press to really hammer some former Oilers’ blue.

    Just curious to take the pulse of the press on Schultz? is it vile yet? Based on his play and the past levels of restraint from the press… he should be getting savaged.

  12. Lowetide says:

    Romulus Apotheosis:
    I’m a bit out of touch these days, but I’m curious to know…

    Has the main stream Oilers’ press taken the gloves off re: Schultz yet?

    I don’t mean some negative coverage here and there… I mean “Jones bringing up Poti’s allergies” level coverage.

    Has anything remotely nasty come up?

    I wouldn’t welcome it (I don’t like that kind of talk outside of the context of outbursts in jocular settings). But, it didn’t take much for the press to really hammer some former Oilers’ blue.

    Just curious to take the pulse of the press on Schultz? is it vile yet? Based on his play and the past levels of restraint from the press… he should be getting savaged.

    Nope. Ramenda was talking about how smart Schultz was last night. He was critical of the play I mentioned, but beyond that it was stock.

  13. frjohnk says:

    Woodguy:
    I believe this Edmonton Oilers team should be in a playoff spot this morning, if they had something resembling consistent goaltending.

    Oilers are 23rd in SV% (all situations)

    Teams below them in SV% who currently occupy a playoff spot:

    Nashville (!)
    San Jose
    Arizona

    You can’t lay this all at the goalie’s feet.

    Calgary has the worst goaltending so far this year (.889 all situations) are they are tight for a playoff spot.

    Oilers have allowed 1227 shots against with a .903 SV% (all situations)

    League median is .9132 (DET)

    If they had league median goaltending they would have allowed a grand total of 12 less goals against.

    I’m sure that would have helped, but its not the sole reason they are out of a playoff spot.

    Not when they are 28th in the league in Shots Against/60 with 31.1

    Another stat I like is quality starts. Which is starts with a better than league average save %, or better than 88.5% with less than 20 shots in a game.

    Here are teams quality starts.

    CHI 25
    NYR 25
    STL 25
    WSH25
    NJD 24
    DET 23
    FLA 23
    PIT 23
    DAL 21
    NYI 21
    OTT 21
    TBL 21
    LAK 20
    MTL 20
    TOR 20
    BUF 19
    CBJ 19
    EDM 19
    PHI 19
    COL 18
    MIN 18
    SJS 18
    WPG18
    ANA 17
    ARI 17
    NSH 16
    VAN 16
    BOS 15
    CAR 15
    CGY 14

    Almost middle of the pack, but we have also played more games than most, so there is that.

    Yes, they have let in some stinkers, but every goalie lets in a stinker. With our D, I’m actually surprised we have that many quality starts.

  14. Lowetide says:

    frjohnk: With our D, I’m actually surprised we have that many quality starts.

    I don’t see the D as an issue, beyond injuries impacting the availability of the group. Young forwards, sure. The defense? Mostly good and getting better. The biggest criticism I have of the D is that McLellan was playing Nurse too high in the lineup for a long time.

  15. Woodguy says:

    Here’s another stat which helps pin point the problem.

    5v5 High Danger Scoring Chances Against/60

    30th place EDM 12.2/60

    How is NSH in a playoff spot with worse goalering than the Oilers?

    5v5 High Danger Scoring Chances Against/60

    1st place NSH 8.1/60

    Also,

    In the same vein here are the Oiler’s Dmen 5v5 HDSCA/60:

    Brandon.Davidson 9.39
    Oscar.Klefbom 10.12
    Griffin.Reinhart 11.17
    Andrej.Sekera 11.82
    Mark.Fayne 11.94
    Nikita.Nikitin 13.11
    Darnell.Nurse 13.58
    Justin.Schultz 13.59
    Eric.Gryba 13.74
    Andrew.Ference 16.69

    This type of analysis tends to favour 3rd pairing Dmen as they face the least offensively able forwards the most.

    For Gryba to be essentially at the bottom is extra bad then.

    Nurse has been playing too high up the roster.

    Dump everyone else over 12/60 and this team is better tomorrow.

    Until Chia can add more Actual Top 4 NHL Dmen run this:

    Davidson – Sekera
    Klefbom – Fayne
    Nurse – Reinhart

  16. Romulus Apotheosis says:

    Lowetide: Nope. Ramenda was talking about how smart Schultz was last night. He was critical of the play I mentioned, but beyond that it was stock.

    I don’t see what there is to hold Jones, Spector, Rishaug, Matty, et al back.

    Surely they hate his lack of physical play. The only thing that should save him is points, which he doesn’t really put up.

    Compared to Poti, Gilbert, Petry etc… who all got it hard… Schultz should be really, really getting slapped around by the press.

  17. Woodguy says:

    Lowetide: I don’t see the D as an issue, beyond injuries impacting the availability of the group. Young forwards, sure. The defense? Mostly good and getting better. The biggest criticism I have of the D is that McLellan was playing Nurse too high in the lineup for a long time.

    Schultz and Gryba are not NHL caliber.

    Brad Hunt and Brandon Davidson were the two best Dmen last night.

    The Dcorps is the worst part of the Oilers.

  18. joliwa says:

    Woodguy:

    If they had league median goaltending they would have allowed a grand total of 12 less goals against.

    I’m sure that would have helped, but its not the sole reason they are out of a playoff spot.

    First time posting, reading for a couple years now .

    In 12 one goal games it makes more difference than 2 six goal blow out games. could just be an extra 2 wins or it could be 12 wins for 24 points for W even 12 points for OTL. ANA last year.

  19. Really? says:

    I agree that Chiarelli will need to be busy between now and the trade deadline in clearing out deadwood and collecting assets. The draft will be an important time in that it should be the last time the Oilers are even close to having good odds in the lottery for some time. For this reason I would like to see them draft a character player such as Tkachuk. I believe this type of player is missing from the Oilers line up.

    Free Agency should provide numerous opportunities for the Oilers to improve their roster. My only concern is that they end up going all-in for a “whale” and are not able to land him. The Oilers simply must be successful in FA dealings if they want to preserve their core.

    As for trading this summer, this may hold the key to it all. I don’t believe Chiarelli has to make a ton of deals but the one or two that he does make have to be good for the club.

    In the end, I am happy that Chiarelli is running the show. With input from the Toddler he should make some really positive strides over the next 6-8 months.

    Keyword remains patience.

  20. Bar_Qu says:

    That is very cool! Bookjie from Edmonton.

    When the obscure trivia questions come up at the end of 2016 (who was the guy who wrote the most popular online NYT comment ever?) I can proudly say, “I knew of that guy when he was just a proponent of inverted exclamation marks.”

    I have nothing Oilers to say. What a game. Oh brother.

  21. Lowetide says:

    Woodguy: Schultz and Gryba are not NHL caliber.

    Brad Hunt and Brandon Davidson were the two best Dmen last night.

    The Dcorps is the worst part of the Oilers.

    Sekera is a fine veteran, plus you have Klefbom arriving and Davidson coming along well. That is progress. The INJURIES to the defense I buy, but progress is being made and with the youngsters. Good arrows and on some nights, structure! Tough times with the injuries but Davidson helped and Klefbom will, too.

  22. Woodguy says:

    Here’s where the Oiler’s Dmen rank among all NHL Dmen who have played at least 200 5v5 minutes in HDSCA/60

    45 – Brandon.Davidson 9.39 –
    78 – Oscar.Klefbom 10.12 – 78th
    131 – Griffin.Reinhart 11.17 – (hasn’t played 200, but would be 131)
    158 – Andrej.Sekera 11.82
    156 – Mark.Fayne 11.94
    Nikita.Nikitin 13.11 – N/A
    192 – Darnell.Nurse 13.58
    193 – Justin.Schultz 13.59
    194 – Eric.Gryba 13.74
    Andrew.Ference 16.69 – N/A

    Nurse, Schultz and Gryba are all in a row at 192, 193, and 194.

    Only 201 Dmen qualified (using 200 5v5 min)

    Only two Oiler Dmen above median (10.62)

    Its the Dcorpse.

    Sekera needs better help, Schultz and Gryba need to be gone and Nurse needs to be 3rd pair or AHL.

  23. Woodguy says:

    Lowetide: Sekera is a fine veteran, plus you have Klefbom arriving and Davidson coming along well. That is progress. The INJURIES to the defense I buy, but progress is being made and with the youngsters. Good arrows and on some nights, structure! Tough times with the injuries but Davidson helped and Klefbom will, too.

    I agree with that LT, but there is still lots of flotsam on the roster and they are the main problem.

    Nurse is getting his head kicked in and would be best served in the 3rd pair or AHL.

    There are good things happening with the D (Klef and Davidson especially) but the Dcorp as a whole is still the biggest issue with this team.

  24. böök¡je says:

    Thanks all, its been a fun few days as the national media have been seeking to find my secret identity’s alter ego – now I know how Oilersnation Wanye feels (also Batman).

    The really unfortunate thing is that CBC wants to interview me on camera later today (via Skype) so I will have to comb my hair and put pants on (wait – Skype doesn’t show pants…).

    Anyway, fun days. I mostly ignored Hockey last night so that was good.

  25. Woodguy says:

    joliwa: First time posting, reading for a couple years now .

    In 12 one goal games it makes more difference than 2 six goal blow out games. could just be an extra 2 wins or it could be 12 wins for 24 points for W even 12 points for OTL. ANA last year.

    In general 6 goals = 1 win (I’ll try to find the math behind this)

    So its two wins.

  26. Woodguy says:

    böök¡je:
    Thanks all, its been a fun few days as the national media have been seeking to find my secret identity’s alter ego – now I know how Oilersnation Wanye feels (also Batman).

    The really unfortunate thing is that CBC wants to interview me on camera later today (via Skype) so I will have to comb my hair and put pants on (wait – Skype doesn’t show pants…).

    Anyway, fun days.I mostly ignored Hockey last night so that was good.

    I command you to not wear pants.

  27. Lowetide says:

    Woodguy: I agree with that LT, but there is still lots of flotsam on the roster and they are the main problem.

    Nurse is getting his head kicked in and would be best served in the 3rd pair or AHL.

    There are good things happening with the D (Klef and Davidson especially) but the Dcorp as a whole is still the biggest issue with this team.

    If there was no progress, I would be concerned. There is progress, and now we see the coach becoming less stubborn and using Fayne with Sekera. Progress. The goaltending is galling because they are not consistent. It is either Talbot stopped 46 for the win or Oilers play well but give up three in 90 seconds.

    The defense is what we thought it was. The goaltending is wildly inconsistent and Talbot’s six nights over .920 (out of 20) are simply not good enough. I like him as a goalie, but his lack of consistency is a big story this season.

  28. Lowetide says:

    böök¡je:
    Thanks all, its been a fun few days as the national media have been seeking to find my secret identity’s alter ego – now I know how Oilersnation Wanye feels (also Batman).

    The really unfortunate thing is that CBC wants to interview me on camera later today (via Skype) so I will have to comb my hair and put pants on (wait – Skype doesn’t show pants…).

    Anyway, fun days.I mostly ignored Hockey last night so that was good.

    If you use the word issue say ‘ISSS-YOU’ because CBC loves it said that way. They will instantly think better of you.

  29. jp says:

    böök¡je,

    Great stuff Bookje.

  30. Woodguy says:

    If WAS wins The Cup, Taylor Chorney will get his name on it.

    Playing a regular shift since Orpik went down and doing well there.

    Good to see.

  31. Rondo says:

    Caleb Jones > Ethan Bear at least for last night.

    http://www.whl.ca/schedule/show/game/40447

  32. Lowetide says:

    Julien ‘Don’t change when THEY HAVE THE PUCK!’ he screams.

  33. LMHF#1 says:

    böök¡je,

    Congrats to you böök¡je. I disagree with nearly everything in your comment, and a bunch of your article as well, but well done getting it out there.

    Don’t let the CBC steal your soul.

  34. Woodguy says:

    Lowetide:
    The defense is what we thought it was. The goaltending is wildly inconsistent and Talbot’s six nights over .920 (out of 20) are simply not good enough. I like him as a goalie, but his lack of consistency is a big story this season.

    You also said this in the OP:

    Consistency is the issue and is reflected in his last five outings, giving us SPs of .978, .917, .857, .786 and .971. You can’t have that.

    All goaltenders are “inconsistent” in this way.

    Here’s a snap shot of Carey Price in his Vezina year:
    0.864
    0.889
    0.960
    0.789
    0.907

    Here’s a snap shot of Rask when he won the Vezina the year before:
    0.833
    0.857
    0.935
    1.000
    0.880
    0.893
    0.879

    Much like high end goal scorers don’t actually score 0.45 goals per game, goalies don’t put up consistently high numbers, but its up and down.

    More up than down and you win the Vezina.

    There is no question that Talbot and NIlsson need to be better, but you are very wrong in dropping 29th place in their lap and absolving the defence because they are a smaller tire fire than last year.

  35. böök¡je says:

    Just heard I may be bumped by breaking news. Holding off on the hair combing.

    Woodguy suggested that it would be great if Bob in Calgary wore an Oilers jersey….hmmm

  36. Lowetide says:

    WG: We will have to agree to disagree. I am cheering for Talbot, but for me his inconsistency this season is the biggest story on New Year’s Day. Perhaps I should have said something like ‘biggest disappointment’ but the fact remains goaltending is unsolved today and the defense is finding answers and flying sorties.

  37. Woodguy says:

    Lowetide,

    and the defense is finding answers and flying sorties.

    The defence allows the most high danger scoring chances in the league.

    If you are talking about holes to fill next year, yes the 2 goalie spots are still unclear and at least 4 Dmen spots (Sekera, Klefbom, Davidson, Nurse) are done.

    If you are talking about why the Oilers are 29th the Dcorps is still #1 with a bullet.

    I’ll stop now, but I’m frankly amazed that Schultz, Gryba etc got a walk from you today.

  38. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Happy New Year! Good on ya, bookjie!

  39. Seymore says:

    I didn’t understand why Tmac didn’t have more success during the playoffs until last night. His all around coaching is very good, structure, systems etc, but where I feel he is lacking is reading his bench. In the LA game, it was obvious to many to pull Talbot after the first goal. Bad read, bango 2 more bad goals.

    Last night’s game lacked intensity/desperation to win. That was a winnable game. There were players that had spunk and were making a difference to the momentum that were not getting enough ice time (See Khaira). There were others that had their mind elsewhere, likely on New Years party to follow (See Hall).

    Halls passes were off, didn’t go for winnable open pucks, fumbled passes that were on his tape. Offensive zone slash that broke a stick that lead to the PP goal against. I thought it was his worst game of the season. There was very little passion to win that game, something a team leader has to bring to pull his team up. Loser/ go through the motions mentality on full display. Definitely not C material leadership last night.

    There were a couple face offs with open pucks just sitting still and players were just stagnate and staring and immobile (See Purcell).

    Pouliot took a shot up high on the arm and played poorly from that point on.

    The majority of the team didn’t come prepared to win this game and it showed. There were a few that did and sadly those players were not utilized enough or better. Too bad for Talbot, he derserved a W.

    Schultz needs to sit, when we get healthy bodies back.

  40. Lowetide says:

    Woodguy:
    Lowetide,

    I’ll stop now, but I’m frankly amazed that Schultz, Gryba etc got a walk from you today.

    From the original post:

    Justin Schultz had a poor evening. Early in the game, I mean early, he had the puck LH side, no real pressure and absolutely skating room. Open partner to the right, he ices the puck. This is the kind of thing that drives people crazy, unforced errors over and over. The Ducks were more likely to succeed last night in the moments after Schultz touched the puck than if they had carried it in themselves. How much longer are the Oilers under Chiarelli and McLellan going to watch this? Seriously. He isn’t helping on offense or defense, let him see the game from upstairs for a night.

    https://lowetide.ca/2016/01/01/standing-on-the-shore-line-first-day-of-2016/

    And Gryba didn’t play.

  41. godot10 says:

    The goaltenders are inconsistent because of the weak defense and team defense.

    Prolonged excessive stress leads to underperformance. Some stress is essential to good perfomrance, but there is a threshold, past which performance inevitably declines.

    The Oilers defensively are so bad, they destroy goaltenders.

    Fix the damn defense, and team defense.

  42. Woodguy says:

    Lowetide: From the original post:

    Justin Schultz had a poor evening. Early in the game, I mean early, he had the puck LH side, no real pressure and absolutely skating room. Open partner to the right, he ices the puck. This is the kind of thing that drives people crazy, unforced errors over and over. The Ducks were more likely to succeed last night in the moments after Schultz touched the puck than if they had carried it in themselves. How much longer are the Oilers under Chiarelli and McLellan going to watch this? Seriously. He isn’t helping on offense or defense, let him see the game from upstairs for a night.

    https://lowetide.ca/2016/01/01/standing-on-the-shore-line-first-day-of-2016/

    And Gryba didn’t play.

    I was referring to you laying 29th place at the goalies feet and nothing else:

    I believe this Edmonton Oilers team should be in a playoff spot this morning, if they had something resembling consistent goaltending

  43. Lowetide says:

    Woodguy: I was referring to you laying 29th place at the goalies feet and nothing else:

    I believe this Edmonton Oilers team should be in a playoff spot this morning, if they had something resembling consistent goaltending

    I still believe it, Darcy. You don’t have to. We will survive! 🙂

  44. sliderule says:

    Woodguy,

    The question I have is what would happen to those numbers if the oilers played more of the game in offensive zone.
    Of course in order to do that the forwards would have to be able to control the play by aggressive forechecking and win puck battles.
    It’s complicated.

  45. fifthcartel says:

    Bob Stauffer ‏@Bob_Stauffer 1m1 minute ago
    Connor McDavid is on the ice for Oilers practice this morning

    !!!

  46. Lowetide says:

    fifthcartel:
    Bob Stauffer ‏@Bob_Stauffer1m1 minute ago
    Connor McDavid is on the ice for Oilers practice this morning

    !!!

    HALLELUJAH!!!!

  47. admiralmark says:

    ” I believe this Edmonton Oilers team should be in a playoff spot this morning, if they had something resembling consistent goaltending.”

    I would agree with this when the D was healthy. But how long do we keep changing goalies before we fix the cluster #$*@k on D? One begats the other. If the D was middle of the road we could say it’s the goalies. But this teams D issues directly correlates to the Goalies confidence + Forwards getting the puck with speed out of the zone… The MAIN issue is D… Sekera,Davidson,Klefbom,Nurse all belong on a 2nd pairing. UNLESS there’s a 1st pair dman to match them up with. Then Sekera or maybe Klef could play up there?

    The goaltending started out poor just like last season and the D(and Coaches) with all the rooks were still finding their way during that time. Then just when the goalering appeared to be coming around the injuries hit the D(which was also starting to find its footing). No matter how you cut it removing Davidson and Klefbom from this D core and then having to go with Nurse,Fayne,Sekera, Schultz,Gryba, and Nikitin is sub NHL caliber. Certainly no team is going to be making playoffs with that on the backend. Do we not think the players know this? The Goalies know whats playing in front of them.. and there is no fancy stat to show how lack of belief in the D effects the positional play of a goalie, but i’ll argue it does. This same trickle effect goes to the Forwards.

    Fix the D and then lets start talking about what goalies are capable starters.

    As well as lets get Yak and McDavid back before we start making big decisions on what needs to be done in the Forwards Dept.

  48. Johnny skid says:

    fifthcartel:
    Bob Stauffer ‏@Bob_Stauffer1m1 minute ago
    Connor McDavid is on the ice for Oilers practice this morning

    !!!

    now that is exciting news!

  49. Lowetide says:

    admiralmark:
    ” I believe this Edmonton Oilers team should be in a playoff spot this morning, if they had something resembling consistent goaltending.”

    I would agree with this when the D was healthy. But how long do we keep changing goalies before we fix the cluster #$*@k on D?

    My answer would be ‘when we find one who can make the save .915 percent of the time’ and Cam Talbot isn’t there. I understand the idea of high percentage or hot plate chances, but I have never seen compelling evidence that can turn .903 into .915 based on it.

    I hope Talbot pulls through, because if he doesn’t Chiarelli may go hunting for a more expensive solution. I loved the bet, still do.

  50. TheOtherJohn says:

    Well done Bookje

    Our D Corps is truly bad.

    I think goaltending has been a definite factor in our record. Much much improved over last year but there have been games they have been major factor in a number of losses.

    The addition of 2 top 4 D would push 2 of our young inexperienced down to 3rd pairing. That change would significantly improve our record

  51. GCW_69 says:

    Woodguy: Until Chia can add more Actual Top 4 NHL Dmen run this:
    Davidson – Sekera
    Klefbom – Fayne
    Nurse – Reinhart

    Jesus that’s asking a lot of Davidson. He is a rookie. That putting Davidson on the top pair may be necessary is where Chiarelli is losing me. Is there any other team in the league that would do that? And I don’t count Florida with Ekblad because he was a first overall pick and had been exceptional since he was 15.

  52. GCW_69 says:

    fifthcartel:
    Bob Stauffer ‏@Bob_Stauffer1m1 minute ago
    Connor McDavid is on the ice for Oilers practice this morning

    !!!

    I am really nervous the recent slide will cause the Oilers to bring him back earlier than is safe, because this is the Oilers and culture doesn’t change overnight.

  53. GCW_69 says:

    Lowetide: My answer would be ‘when we find one who can make the save .915 percent of the time’ and Cam Talbot isn’t there. I understand the idea of high percentage or hot plate chances, but I have never seen compelling evidence that can turn .903 into .915 based on it.

    I hope Talbot pulls through, because if he doesn’t Chiarelli may go hunting for a more expensive solution. I loved the bet, still do.

    You mean like Nuevirth who makes less than $2M per, has a career save percentage of .914 and is putting up .937 with a defence that may be as bad as the Oilers? Someone like that?

  54. godot10 says:

    Finishing 29th, the most probable pick is NOT #2. It is relatively improbable that the 29th place team picks #2. The most probable is number #4 or #5 overall. The Finns will be gone by the time the Oilers pick. There is no longer any “advantage” to sucking.

  55. Oil2Oilers says:

    fifthcartel:
    Bob Stauffer ‏@Bob_Stauffer1m1 minute ago
    Connor McDavid is on the ice for Oilers practice this morning

    !!!

    I still can’t get over the skating video from yesterday, now with this the sun is truly shinning.

  56. Lowetide says:

    So if McDavid is back, then we could be looking at him returning mid-Jan? Oilers have flushed this Pacific Division 5-game stack, but if they can win Saturday and Monday perhaps we can dream again.

  57. Centre of attention says:

    Connor McDavid is skating with the team, that does not mean he is playing against the Coyotes tomorrow.

    My prediction for Jan 12th seem to be in line though.

    Coincidentally thats my Birthday. Connors is the 13th

    Its going to happen, book it.

  58. GCW_69 says:

    The fun thing is, the defence looked so much better to me when Schultz was out.

    Woodguy – for your high danger chances, can you separate the games with and without Schultz?

  59. Woodguy says:

    Lowetide: I still believe it, Darcy. You don’t have to. We will survive!

    NO WE WON’T!!!!

    I will always defend your right to be wrong Al.

    🙂

  60. Woodguy says:

    GCW_69:
    The fun thing is, the defence looked so much better to me when Schultz was out.

    Woodguy – for your high danger chances, can you separate the games with and without Schultz?

    You’d have to do it manually and I’m not up for that.

    waronice.com

    Have at it!

  61. Woodguy says:

    GCW_69:
    The fun thing is, the defence looked so much better to me when Schultz was out.

    Woodguy – for your high danger chances, can you separate the games with and without Schultz?

    Actually, there may be an easier way…..stay tuned

  62. stush18 says:

    Going to have to agree with woodguy here.

    It’s the defense, and always has been, although it’s not quite as simple as that. Our forwards are banged up and our transition game is in complete shambles with all these injuries. Look at Pittsburgh, and the lack of scoring they have with all there forwards. And I would argue the have a better dcorps than us.

    I’m more interested in the end of January when we get yak and McDavid and klef and Reinhart (hopefully) back.

    Klef looks like he can hold down his own pairing now, and sekera can hold down the other. I like gryva me than others, because he can break a cycle and wn the battle in front of the net. I personally would dump fayne, because his role is defending and Reinhart, Davidson, and gryba all do that better than him arguably.

    Trade Schultz. Trade fayne. Even if it’s for little value. Package Davidson and the picks from Schultz and fayne for a right handed dman.

    klef-xxx
    Nurse-Sekera
    Reinhart-gryba

  63. smellyglove says:

    Woodguy,

    Congrats Bookjie! I share your sentiment on the differences between Canada and the US and the role of government in society. That, and I also have an academic background in atmospheric science. Who’da thunk there was such an eclectic group here.

  64. bendelson says:

    böök¡je,

    Nicely done Bjookie.
    I wonder, will the CBC also be interviewing Art Vandelay today? You know, for ‘balance’?

  65. Woodguy says:

    GCW_69:
    The fun thing is, the defence looked so much better to me when Schultz was out.

    Woodguy – for your high danger chances, can you separate the games with and without Schultz?

    Schultz was out between Oct 26 – Nov 27

    During that time EDM allowed 11.0/60 5v5 HDSCA for 24th in the NHL.

    Get rid of Gryba too and that might float up to 20th.

  66. Centre of attention says:

    Any word on Klefbom? Is he skating yet? It has to be more then a fractured finger to be out and not skating for this long.

  67. böök¡je says:

    bendelson:
    böök¡je,

    Nicely done Bjookie.
    I wonder, will the CBC also be interviewing Art Vandelay today?You know, for ‘balance’?

    I’ve been bumped by breaking news, down to local radio and print media coverage now. My 15 minutes is fadin…

  68. böök¡je says:

    smellyglove:
    Woodguy,

    Congrats Bookjie! I share your sentiment on the differences between Canada and the US and the role of government in society. That, and I also have an academic background in atmospheric science. Who’da thunk there was such an eclectic group here.

    i’m actually an Urban planner/Geographer who just happens to be in EAS. Great department with lots of different interests.

  69. Lowetide says:

    böök¡je: I’ve been bumped by breaking news, down to local radio and print media coverage now.My 15 minutes is fadin…

    Dammit! Save the comb!

  70. Centre of attention says:

    McDavid leading stretches at practice like a #boss

    No non-contact sweater in sight. I believe a full practice is in order for Connor McSavior.

  71. böök¡je says:

    Lowetide: Dammit! Save the comb!

    I’m actually fine with that. Media coverage is great, but so is a more relaxed afternoon. My kids want me to play Nintendo Wii Kirby with them so all is good.

  72. eidy says:

    Yak on the ice as well

  73. Gerta Rauss says:

    böök¡je: I’ve been bumped by breaking news, down to local radio and print media coverage now.My 15 minutes is fadin…

    It was the McDavid news, wasn’t it..?

  74. Woodguy says:

    GCW_69: Jesus that’s asking a lot of Davidson. He is a rookie.That putting Davidson on the top pair may be necessary is where Chiarelli is losing me. Is there any other team in the league that would do that?And I don’t count Florida with Ekblad because he was a first overall pick and had been exceptional since he was 15.

    Three things:

    1) Ekblad still hasn’t played top pair in FLA. He and Campbell were heavily sheltered (basically 3rd pair comp and heavy OZS) last year with Kulikov and Mitchell playing the toughest comp.

    Mitchell is basically done now so FLA has gone to Campbell and Gubransonn playing the toughest comp with Kulikov-Ekblad playing 2nd pair.

    2) My line up is the best with what they have. I don’t put Klef and Sekera together as too many eggs in one basket makes the other pairing weaker

    3) I know you think that buying out Nikitin and Ference and signing Franson was the answer but I disagree entirely. Keep the dead money to a minimum after this year and Franson is a 3rd pairing Dman and the Oilers already have lots of those.

  75. Woodguy says:

    Centre of attention:
    McDavid leading stretches at practice like a #boss

    No non-contact sweater in sight. I believe a full practice is in order for Connor McSavior.

    If he’s in a full contact jersey he might be back for CAR on Monday.

  76. böök¡je says:

    eidy:
    Yak on the ice as well

    Pretty sure he was just hanging out waiting for McDavid.

  77. smellyglove says:

    böök¡je,

    I work in that area too, sub-national climate policy.

    CBC eh? Tell them they have to wait because MSNBC is on the phone. Scarcity principle you know… 🙂

  78. Woodguy says:

    GCW_69: You mean like Nuevirth who makes less than $2M per, has a career save percentage of .914and is putting up .937 with a defence that may be as bad as the Oilers?Someone like that?

    Link to where you pimped Neuvirth last year please.

  79. Fog of Warts says:

    My first thought was, wow, “Robert Summers”—that’s exactly as boring as my own name. Name noted. Someday, if I should ever find myself needing to travel under false papers, I’m going to choose the inconspicuous, innocuous, and inconsequential name of “Robert Summers”.

    But first, just in case, let’s check out my shiny new “Ford Prefect” for special extradition warrants.

    Robert Summers

    Summers was married to Anita Summers. They are the parents of Lawrence Summers. His brother is Paul Samuelson. All three of these people were also noted economists, as is his wife’s brother Kenneth Arrow.

    Er.

    Robin Wells: Chin chin, this is strange. Somehow Robert Summers showed up in your comments section, incognito, from beyond the grave. Tell me, why are those east coast farts astroturfing your comments section? Are the dead not allowed to speak for themselves?

    Paul: What’s that, honey? East coast farts? You haven’t lived on the west coast since your Berkeley days.

    Robin: Once a flip flop, always a flip flop.

    Paul: I guess you’re right. You can take the Birkenstock out of the sun, but you can’t shake the Sun Chips out of your Birkenstocks.

    Robin: Did you just make that up? All by yourself? I think you should use in your next column. Comments are down lately. You’re due for an uptick.

    Paul: Well, I might be down, but my commenters are off the charts.

    Robin: You know, I don’t think this guy is really from Calgary. Sounds more like Saskatchewan. Or perhaps he’s a comfortable, second generation Lake Winnipegger. Down in Berkeley, I had a roommate from The Peg. We used to call her “Zebbie” because she’d never stop ranting about this zebra thing. They really do have hockey on the brain something fierce up there—comes all the way to Berkeley and can’t shut up about those horrible zebras. This one time she said something anti “muscle” so I think she was actually against fighting, guess she wasn’t completely in drag. Is that what they call “goons” up there? “Muscle”?

    Paul: In Manitoba, I think it would be “la goon”.

    Robin: Oh, you think you’re being clever again. I know that tone. Well “ha, ha” whatever you just said.

    Paul: Terrible what’s happening to beach-front property up there. Heard from Zebbie, lately?

    Robin: Uh, I kind of squished her head.

    Paul: You squished her head?

    Robin: You know, dropped her from my Facebook feed. I think she was turning into some kind of tedious eco-freak. Funny, you think you know someone, then they go off in some strange direction you never saw coming.

    Paul: Odd lingo you got there. Where’d you pick up that phrase, “squished her head”?

    Robin: Funny, I think I picked that up from Zeb. Every time Mulroney or one of his running dogs came on TV she pinched him like this while going “I squish your head”. You’ve never heard of it? I always thought it was Python.

    Paul: Don’t think French Mittens makes a pinching gesture while telling King Arthur’s men to “go and boil their bottoms”—but anyway, when no-one’s looking, there’s a lot of people on TV these days where I’m going to start squishing their heads. So many cows hurled, so few results.

    Robin: [getting into the spirit of things] “I squish your argent orange toupee!”

    Paul: Got any imaginary wet wipes to clean up the imaginary head cheese?

    Robin curtsies while flourishing an imaginary wet wipe.

    Robin: With pleasure!

    Paul: I’d rather hurl a giant, wooden rabbit.

    Robin: Excellent choice! Next year, I’ll put one in your xmas stocking. Hmmm, no, it probably won’t fit. Maybe we should hang your toque instead?

    Paul: You’re a deer.

    Robin: Did I hare that right?

    Paul: You’re a dear.

    Robin: Thank you. And don’t you forget it.

    Paul: Be it recorded, you promised me some missile toe.

    Robin: Count on a lump of coal and a stretchy bonnet string.

    Paul: Funny you should say that. Last time I heard The Donald address a stimulus package targeting the underclass, he said essentially the same thing.

    Robin: A most versatile gift! One man’s missile toe is another man’s candy snatch.

    Paul: How come he gets the candy snatch?

    Robin: Chalk one up for old school economics.

    ———

    But then, who at a border crossing knows his or her Kenneth Arrow from a flying barnyard?

    It would go more like this.

    TSA Fauntleroy: Hey, “Robert Summers”, that rings a bell. You wouldn’t by any chance be the Robert Summers from Calgary?

    Me, from behind a bad glue-on mustache: You know, I grew up in Calgary, but actually I was born in Edmonton.

    TSA Fauntleroy: You don’t say … well, good luck to you, sir! With your rap sheet, you’re going to need more than just a fake mustache to escape … [makes an exaggerated gesture with a taut, invisible glove] … if you wind up queuing in front of the wrong guy. Some of my, er, buddies don’t take kindly to convincing rhetoric.

    Me: Ugh. At least tell me my formerly good name is less conspicuous that “Dzhokhar Tsarnaev”.

    TSA Fauntleroy: Suppose it depends who you ask. Nails are nails. Taxes are taxes. Now move along, we’re all done here.

    ———

    Apart from actually being true—always good when bluffing professional interrogators—I figure the small correction about my city of origin would pass as an affirmative response in about 99% of the population, so long as I mutter “these are not the droids you’re looking for” well and truly away from earshot.

  80. Mr DeBakey says:

    Woodguy: You’d have to do it manually and I’m not up for that.

    Using Fenwicks from Stattick

    With Schultz 25 games
    951** 1146** 0.45

    Without Schultz 14 Games
    592** 548** 0.52

  81. Centre of attention says:

    Woodguy: If he’s in a full contact jersey he might be back for CAR on Monday.

    Here’s hoping 😀

    Now what the hell have they done with Klefbom?!?! WHERES MY SON!?!?!11

  82. Yegfoundation says:

    Woodguy,

    Well done Bookie, interesting article. I hadn’t considered the differences between the opinions of the US and Canadian middle class and why that exists.

    I feel fortunate to have so many interesting and intelligent thinkers on this blog. . I stayed up too late last night reading content and viewing pictures from NYOIL’s website and enjoyed it very much.

  83. eidy says:

    Congrats bookie

    Looks like the soft underbelly of the schedule is coming up. Man do the need Klef back in a big way

    I’m in agreement with Woodguy, although the goaltending is an issue. The defence is below average when everyone is healthy. That also includes that Davidson went from risk exposing to waivers to top 4. Where would the oilers being if they had put him on waivers to start the year. Credit where due, PC made the right choice re Davidson.

    The power play is terrible and the demise started when Schultz came back from injury. I feel for the poor kid, but it’s time for a seat in the press box. I hope he can pull it together in another town next year.

  84. Oil2Oilers says:

    böök¡je,

    I sometimes take for granted the wonderful wit and wisdom our goodly host has collected, and provides a platform for here. All to comment on, for the life of this blog at least, the worst hockey team in the NHL.

    It is no surprise to me that many commenters here have grand and influential lives outside of a sorrowful taste in hockey teams. I suspect this just the tip off the iceberg and many of the lurkers here from around the world are even more brilliant.

    So thank you to our genial host and all that contribute, you have increased my love and understanding of hockey and provided other cultural enrichment.

    But, fuck you Bookje for so being so wise and eurdite outside of this form as well.

  85. Mr DeBakey says:

    Mr DeBakey: Using Fenwicks from Stattick

    I should’ve indicated that was All Strengths, at ES

    With Schultz 25 games
    803– 935– 0.46

    Without Schultz 14 Games
    480– 468– 0.51

  86. Psyche says:

    Excellent writing and wonderful recognition BÖÖK¡JE.

    Congratulations from Jack in Regina…error Saskatoon.

  87. stush18 says:

    Woodguy: Link to where you pimped Neuvirth last year please.

    I pimped nuevirth. Hard. Not down to the nitty gritty fancy stats as much as you and fjohnk did, but I believe I was one of the first to start looking at him as a solution to our goaltending problems. He was killing it in Buffalo, who had a worse defense than the Oilers.

    My biggest argument was that he cost nothing to obtain, which was why I would choose him over talbot. I also liked his age better, and he had a history of being a starter everywhere he went.

    Fine with talbot, but I’ll back nuevirth as he better option. We wait.

  88. Woodguy says:

    frjohnk: Another stat I like is quality starts.Which is starts with a better than league average save %, or better than 88.5% with less than 20 shots in a game.

    Here are teams quality starts.

    CHI25
    NYR25
    STL25
    WSH25
    NJD24
    DET23
    FLA23
    PIT23
    DAL21
    NYI21
    OTT21
    TBL21
    LAK20
    MTL20
    TOR20
    BUF19
    CBJ19
    EDM19
    PHI19
    COL18
    MIN18
    SJS18
    WPG18
    ANA17
    ARI17
    NSH16
    VAN16
    BOS15
    CAR15
    CGY14

    Almost middle of the pack, but we have also played more games than most, so there is that.

    Yes, they have let in some stinkers, but every goalie lets in a stinker.With our D, I’m actually surprised we have that many quality starts.

    Where do you get that info?

    Manually or does someone publish it?

    Also,

    19 quality starts with 13 ROW looks awful.

    That gives me an idea…….

    (time passes)

    Here’s every NHL team’s ROW -QUALITY STARTS

    If the number is positive then they are able to outscore their mistakes or overcome goaltending.

    If its negative then they are pissing away decent goaltending performances:

    DAL 6
    BOS 3
    LAK 2
    MIN 2
    CGY 2
    WSH 1
    CAR 1
    COL 0
    NSH 0
    MTL -1
    SJS -1
    WPG -1
    NYI -3
    ANA -3
    CHI -4
    STL -4
    TBL -4
    VAN -4
    NYR -5
    BUF -5
    PHI -5
    DET -6
    PIT -6
    OTT -6
    CBJ -6
    EDM -6
    FLA -7
    NJD -8
    TOR -10

    Interesting that there are few teams who out perform their goalie. Julien should win coach of the year.

    Here’s the same thing, but expressed as a ratio:

    DAL 1.286
    BOS 1.200
    CGY 1.143
    MIN 1.111
    LAK 1.100
    CAR 1.067
    WSH 1.040
    COL 1.000
    NSH 1.000
    MTL 0.950
    SJS 0.944
    WPG 0.944
    NYI 0.857
    CHI 0.840
    STL 0.840
    ANA 0.824
    TBL 0.810
    NYR 0.800
    VAN 0.750
    DET 0.739
    PIT 0.739
    BUF 0.737
    PHI 0.737
    OTT 0.714
    FLA 0.696
    CBJ 0.684
    EDM 0.684
    NJD 0.680
    TOR 0.500

  89. Halfwise says:

    Bohologo:
    First of all, happy new year to all of Lowetide nation (Lowetidians? Lowetideoids? Lowetideniks?).

    I think some of us are Lowedites.

  90. Oil2Oilers says:

    Fog of Warts,

    Wonderful words from the Yoda himself

  91. Woodguy says:

    stush18: I pimped nuevirth. Hard. Not down to the nitty gritty fancy stats as much as you and fjohnk did, but I believe I was one of the first to start looking at him as a solution to our goaltending problems. He was killing it in Buffalo,who had a worse defense than the Oilers.

    My biggest argument was that he cost nothing to obtain, which was why I would choose him over talbot.I also liked his age better, and he had a history of being a starter everywhere he went.

    Fine with talbot, but I’ll back nuevirth as he better option. We wait.

    Link or it doesn’t count.

    Many did like Neuvirth here, but there are many more Monday Morning Quarterbacks than people who speak up at the time.

  92. Woodguy says:

    Mr DeBakey: I should’ve indicated that was All Strengths, at ES

    With Schultz 25 games
    803–935–0.46

    Without Schultz 14 Games
    480–468–0.51

    Thanks for that.

    Addition by subtraction and it can’t happen a moment too soon.

    Gryba too.

  93. böök¡je says:

    Fog of Warts,

    Wrong Robert Summers – not an economist.

    Edit – note I haven’t read your comment through yet so perhaps youknow that. Its getting to be a very busy day.

  94. Yegfoundation says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”,

    Happy new year. I enjoyed the content on your blog, thank you for sharing.

  95. Woodguy says:

    stush18,

    Here’s a good link with you pimping Neuvirth:

    https://lowetide.ca/2015/03/15/the-one-to-call/#comment-392876

    Good stuff

  96. Psyche says:

    Romulus Apotheosis,

    The propaganda machine is in full flight. A blind eye to mistakes and a magnifying glass and megaphone to anything he does properly.

  97. Lowetide says:

    stush18: I pimped nuevirth. Hard. Not down to the nitty gritty fancy stats as much as you and fjohnk did, but I believe I was one of the first to start looking at him as a solution to our goaltending problems. He was killing it in Buffalo,who had a worse defense than the Oilers.

    My biggest argument was that he cost nothing to obtain, which was why I would choose him over talbot.I also liked his age better, and he had a history of being a starter everywhere he went.

    Fine with talbot, but I’ll back nuevirth as he better option. We wait.

    Martin Jones was my guy. He had been in some lower budget movies, but I liked his style.

  98. Oil2Oilers says:

    To clear up a miss understanding;

    It is unlikely that Ference will be bought out this coming summer. For the player, financially, and the team, Cap wise, it makes way more sense to ‘Pronger’ him on a LTIR September 1st. Expect our experienced GM to know this.

  99. jp says:

    Woodguy: Schultz was out between Oct 26 – Nov 27

    During that time EDM allowed 11.0/60 5v5 HDSCA for 24th in the NHL.

    Get rid of Gryba too and that might float up to 20th.

    Yikes. So that means the team is close to 13.0/60 with Schultz in the lineup, no?

    Mr DeBakey: Using Fenwicks from Stattick

    With Schultz 25 games
    951**1146**0.45

    Without Schultz 14 Games
    592**548**0.52

    Good God. Scary stuff. There are other complicating factors in these splits for sure, but that’s a MASSIVE effect from 1 player.

    Also, interesting that the overall FF difference is bigger than the even strength one. Is Schultz particularly terrible on special teams? That kinda passes the eye test…

  100. Lowetide says:

    Oil2Oilers:
    To clear up a miss understanding;

    It is unlikely that Ference will be bought out this coming summer. For the player, financially, and the team, Cap wise, it makes way more sense to ‘Pronger’ him on a LTIR September 1st. Expect our experienced GM to know this.

    I wonder if they buy out another player, then. Getting $ off the books could be ideal.

  101. square_wheels says:

    jp,

    When you look at his TOI during that period, there is your answer.

  102. Lois Lowe says:

    Well done Bookje from Edmonton! I am basking in the reflected glow of MSM fame. I can’t wait to tell people, “I know that guy from the internet.”

    LT – I also don’t know if this was said in the Christmas thread (and I am too lazy to look) but with so many law talkin’ types on here I assume it has. The best Denning is neither Glen nor Clen; it’s Lord Denning by a country mile (or a cricket pitch as it were).

    Happy New Year to all, except Bookjie because fuck that guy.

  103. Woodguy says:

    Oil2Oilers:
    To clear up a miss understanding;

    It is unlikely that Ference will be bought out this coming summer. For the player, financially, and the team, Cap wise, it makes way more sense to ‘Pronger’ him on a LTIR September 1st. Expect our experienced GM to know this.

    The NHL can look into the actual health of players on LTIR though.

    If its a ruse it could be found out.

  104. jp says:

    godot10:
    Finishing 29th, the most probable pick is NOT #2. It is relatively improbable that the 29th place team picks #2.The most probable isnumber #4 or #5 overall.The Finns will be gone by the time the Oilers pick.There is no longer any “advantage” to sucking.

    Are you sure about that?

    I’m not smart enough to calculate the exact odds of the various draft slots for the team finishing 2nd, but I don’t think 4-5 is the expected slot.

    There’s a 1/3 chance of teams #1 or #2 winning each lottery, and thus no movement in draft order happening.

  105. Woodguy says:

    Derek Van Diest ‏@SUNdvandiest 2m2 minutes ago
    Connor McDavid says he’s ahead of schedule but wouldn’t say when he’s like to return. #Oilers #NHL

  106. Lowetide says:

    Lois Lowe:
    Well done Bookje from Edmonton! I am basking in the reflected glow of MSM fame. I can’t wait to tell people, “I know that guy from the internet.”

    LT – I also don’t know if this was said in the Christmas thread (and I am too lazy to look) but with so many law talkin’ types on here I assume it has. The best Denning is neither Glen nor Clen; it’s Lord Denning by a country mile (or a cricket pitch as it were).

    Happy New Year to all, except Bookjie because fuck that guy.

    Happy New Year, and yes Lord Denning was mentioned. 🙂

  107. Woodguy says:

    Edmonton Oilers ‏@EdmontonOilers 11m11 minutes ago
    Coach McLellan says @Klefbom93 is dealing with both an upper-body and lower-body ailment, return not expected in the short term.

  108. Lowetide says:

    Edmonton Oilers ‏@EdmontonOilers 10m10 minutes ago

    Coach McLellan says @Klefbom93 is dealing with both an upper-body and lower-body ailment, return not expected in the short term.

  109. stush18 says:

    Woodguy:
    stush18,

    Here’s a good link with you pimping Neuvirth:

    https://lowetide.ca/2015/03/15/the-one-to-call/#comment-392876

    Good stuff

    Thanks. I’ll admit I started following him because I had an inking he would turn out to be another varalmov or bobrovsky. A hunch but I looked into it. Lol

  110. godot10 says:

    Seymore:
    I didn’t understand why Tmac didn’t have more success during the playoffs until last night.His all around coaching is very good, structure, systems etc, but where I feel he is lacking is reading his bench.

    Bingo!

  111. Oil2Oilers says:

    Woodguy: The NHL can look into the actual health of players on LTIR though.

    If its a ruse it could be found out.

    You are correct. Genuine question, would it being Pronger leading the investigation?

  112. Centre of attention says:

    Lowetide:
    Edmonton Oilers ‏@EdmontonOilers 10m10 minutes ago

    Coach McLellan says @Klefbom93 is dealing with both an upper-body and lower-body ailment, return not expected in the short term.

    F*ck.
    That is all.

  113. Mr DeBakey says:

    Meanwhile, Fenwicks at ES

    With McDavidson 24 games
    795– 832– 0.49

    Without McDavidson 15 Games
    488– 571– 0.46

  114. stush18 says:

    Woodguy,

    How did you find that so quickly? I’m typically only ever on my phone, so data gathering from any hockey sites or from past comments is rather limited

  115. Oil2Oilers says:

    Lowetide: I wonder if they buy out another player, then. Getting $ off the books could be ideal.

    Tambellini may have dithered but he signed some genuine superstars to value contacts and did not dispense NTC. MacT’s poor contract management both in locking up and letting go players is what Chia must overcome. Fortunately McDavid abbreviated MacTs tenure and his mistakes can hopefully be fixed before McDavid needs to get paid.

  116. Woodguy says:

    Oil2Oilers: You are correct. Genuine question, would it being Pronger leading the investigation?

    You know he had/has serious post concussion issue right?

    Based on your posts I don’t think you do.

  117. Woodguy says:

    stush18:
    Woodguy,

    How did you find that so quickly? I’m typically only ever on my phone, so data gathering from any hockey sites or from past comments is rather limited

    Google – Fu

  118. Pouzar says:

    fifthcartel:
    Bob Stauffer ‏@Bob_Stauffer1m1 minute ago
    Connor McDavid is on the ice for Oilers practice this morning

    !!!

    F6ck timelines (and that Bookme guy)……..this is YUGE!!!!

  119. Centre of attention says:

    Connor McDavid says “definitely ahead of schedule… I’ve been doing things sooner then scheduled a lot recently”

    Heres a link to the press interview. http://downloads.oilers.nhl.com/2015-16/20160101_mcdavid.mp3

    He’s so calm and collected under such pressure and scrutiny.

  120. Oil2Oilers says:

    Woodguy: You know he had/has serious post concussion issue right?

    Based on your posts I don’t think you do.

    Yes I am aware of his genuine medical condition. But the way his contract has been treated for cap circumvention makes it a case study in how to ‘Snider’ your way around cap rules.

  121. böök¡je says:

    Also for any media lurking here. This is my living room. I behave poorly here and don’t always wear pants. Please ignore me here.

    Also, my real name is Scott Mckeen. I was just joking about that Bob Summers and Bob from Calgary stuff.

    🙂

  122. böök¡je says:

    Things slowing down for me now.

    Wow, did anyone else notice it was 2016?

    Happy New Year!

  123. theres oil in virginia says:

    böök¡je: Wrong Robert Summers – not an economist.

    You mean you’re not dead? I’m not convinced. You can’t believe everything you read on the internet.

  124. shawwwood says:

    So near future
    Hall Nuge Drai
    Pou McD Ebs
    Hend Letes Korp
    Purc Land Yak
    ?

  125. 719 says:

    FYI, if I recall correctly, the Oilers made a pitch to Neuvrith’s camp, but he chose to go to Philadelphia.

    This is from threescore.com

    General manager Peter Chiarelli is believed to have made calls on both Karri Ramo and Michal Neuvirth in advance of the NHL free agent signing period, according to Pierre LeBrun of ESPN.

  126. Bruce McCurdy says:

    Eastern Oil:
    F#*k you Bob from Calgary!

    Kidding aside, fantastic comment and article.Well done sir.*tips cap*

    The first line made me laugh out loud, & the second had me nodding my head in agreement. Well done indeed, Bob.

  127. Lowetide says:

    theres oil in virginia: You mean you’re not dead?I’m not convinced.You can’t believe everything you read on the internet.

    Some of our finest posters are dead people.

  128. Jordan says:

    Lowetide: Some of our finest posters are dead people.

    Jordan: Nope. No life here today. It’s the end of 2015. Only cold death here today.

    I didn’t say I was dead, only that the lack of hope in being an Oilers fan is similar to being the living dead.

    But I suppose with that logic, we’re all living dead, so… I guess this comment now applies to everyone.

  129. Lowetide says:

    Jordan: I didn’t say I was dead, only that the lack of hope in being an Oilers fan is similar to being the living dead.

    My mistake. 🙂

  130. Derek says:

    Woodguy:
    This post may seem out of place at Lowetide, but stick with me until the end.

    Back in 2010 Paul Krugman wrote a column in the New York Times titled: “The Angry Rich”

    One of the comments was from “Bob from Calgary” and it was an excellent explanation of some of the differences between the US and Canada seen from a Canadian point of view in context of the article.

    That comment has proven to be the most popular comment on a NYT article of all time (7,021 recommendations)

    This fact just came to light recently and many Canadian news outlets have been speculating about “Bob from Calgary” and have been trying to find him.

    If you google “bobfromcalgary” you will find many stories about this that can flesh it out in better detail than I can here.Here’s a follow up article with more info and the fact that Bob is actually from Edmonton.

    Then this morning The Globe and Mail had a piece penned by Bob himself.

    First thing I thought of when I saw the Globe article and the author’s picture was “I know that guy”

    As it turns out, Bob from Calgary is our very own Bookjie.

    Well done Bookjie.

    I hope to be buying “Bob from Calgary” t-shirts and coffee mugs in the very near future.

    Sorry to start the thread OT LT but this was too good to sit on.

    Thank you for sharing this, what a good read.

    Rondo:
    Caleb Jones > Ethan Bear at least for last night.

    http://www.whl.ca/schedule/show/game/40447

    Is that Jujhars younger brother playing defence for Seattle?

    böök¡je:
    Fog of Warts,

    Wrong Robert Summers – not an economist.

    Edit – note I haven’t read your comment through yet so perhaps youknow that.Its getting to be a very busy day.

    Nice work Bob! I like the way you write when you’re not being a sarcastic prick.

  131. Derek says:

    Sorry for all the quoting gents, I’m wayyyy behind today it seems.

    Edit to add: Oh, my previous comment is awaiting moderation, so this doesn’t make sense at all. New Years Eve tequila is the gift that keeps on giving.

  132. Bruce McCurdy says:

    Watched the game on a desert island last night without (near) enough to drink, was left with a very sour taste in my mouth which was surely apparent in my game grades. Not sure if I was more pissed at the terrible brand of hockey on display, or at the Oilers’ inability to do jack shit about it. To be sure Anaheim played “a good road game” which is NHL speak for “leave the paying fans thinking they wasted their time as well as their $$$$ on unwatchable crap.” But hey, they got the two points & that’s all that frigging matters, right?

    Anyway, I caught up on recent threads today & as always was interested in the different perspectives on the game. Beyond that, some connection with people in the community (literally in the case of Bookjie) with a special shoutout to NYC Oil (epic year, epic blog post), Rom (welcome back, you’ve been missed) & Danny (ditto, + best wishes for improved health to you).

    Happy New Year to one & all. May it be better than the last.

  133. Lowetide says:

    Derek: Thank you for sharing this, what a good read.

    Is that Jujhars younger brother playing defence for Seattle?

    Nice work Bob!I like the way you write when you’re not being a sarcastic prick.

    Yes, I believe it is. Not SMALLER though.

  134. sliderule says:

    Islanders might want one of our spare defenceman

    Boychuk is out with an upper body injury.

    The way he carried his shoulder as he skated off I would say it’s a broken collarbone.

  135. jake70 says:

    Scrivens one week toiling in California in the minors, to today dressed in the outdoor game. Funny game.

  136. Lois Lowe says:

    jake70,

    It’s his second outdoor game of the season too.

  137. frjohnk says:

    RE: Goalies and team defense ( figuring them out with some numbers)

    The following are some numbers with what the team gives up on average with shots from the low, medium and high danger areas.
    I calculated save % from each location
    I then calculated league average shots allowed from the those locations and league average save % from those locations
    From there, I was also able to calculate some “expected goals against” using some different metrics

    For reference, from WOI
    LDA = shots from low danger area
    MDA= shots from the medium danger area
    HDA= shots from the high danger area

    GOALIES

    Oiler goaltenders are 13th in low danger area shot save %
    Oiler goaltenders are 28th in medium danger area shot save %
    Oiler goaltenders are 20th in high danger area shot save %

    ………………………………..LDA…..MDA……HDA
    Oilers goalies save %……0.966…..0.902….0.822
    League average save %..0.967…..0.922….0.830
    Difference………………..-0.001…..-0.020…-0.008

    Average in perimeter shot save percentage, but are having trouble with shots from the medium and high danger areas

    TEAM DEFENSE or what we give up in shots ( League Average)

    Oilers have allowed the 25th most shots from the low danger area with 13.76 per game ( 12.97)
    Oilers have allowed the 21st most shots from medium danger area with 8.35 per game ( 8.16)
    Oilers have allowed the 28th most shots from the high danger area with 9.20 per game ( 8.27)

    Below average in allowing shots from all locations.

    So what does this all mean?
    I did some calculations and
    -If we got league average goaltending AND league average team defense, we would have an expected goals against average of 2.48.

    -If we got league average goaltending with our team defense, we would have an expected goals against average of 2.71

    -If we got league average team defense with our goaltending, we would have an expected goals against average of 2.68

    -As it stands, our goals against average is 2.92.

    To sum it up.

    Its the goalies stu….

    no wait..

    Its the defense stu…

    Ahh! Both are to blame, both need to better.

  138. "Steve Smith" says:

    jake70:
    Scrivens one week toiling in California in the minors, to today dressed in the outdoor game. Funny game.

    It’s a failed Oiler goalie thing – Ty Conklin used to play in *all* the outdoor games.

  139. jp says:

    frjohnk,

    Good post.

    Not a huge surprise that there’s more than one thing wrong with this team, but this nicely illustrates an almost identical contribution from each of goaltending and team defense.

  140. T0ML says:

    GCW_69: I am really nervous the recent slide will cause the Oilers to bring him back earlier than is safe, because this is the Oilers and culture doesn’t change overnight.

    And yet what if he is actually ready? This injury is typically a 7-9 week recovery, he is right in that time span now. Are you for keeping him out even if he is ready just because of previous history?

    This is an argument I cannot understand, because the oilers under previous management rushed a player or two back early, they automatically assume the new ones will do the same even though McDavid is right in line with the typical recovery time (Mind you it was even the best case scenario for the break …. )

    On a side note, HAPPY NEW YEAR

  141. böök¡je says:

    Hi All

    This is way off topic, but also probably something others will find useful. Besides, talking Oilers is depressing.

    I need new skates for me and for my 7 year old daughter (just learning).

    Thinking of going to sport check for $200-300 skates for me and something in the $75 to $100 range for my daughter.

    Thoughts. Good places to go? Can I get usable skates for that range? I used to have top of the line skates 20 years ago when I played hockey, but haven’t skated in 10-15 years much.

    Advice would be appreciated.

  142. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Thanks, everyone, for the kind words last night and today and for stopping by my neck of the woods. I’ve been doing that site for the love of it and have no intentions but to keep it free and ad-free for all, so I appreciate it. 🙂

    On another note, that Boychuk crash into the end boards looks brutal. Not only does he look like he has a collar bone or shoulder issue, his head slams hard as well. The Islanders put him on IR and recalled Pelech.

    Two thoughts: A lot of Islanders fans are disappointed Pulock hasn’t done enough this year to get the call. Remember how so many people out there told us Reinhart was expendable because Pulock had passed him like a house on the side of the road? Young defensemen aren’t as difficult to predict as goalies, but they are difficult to predict.

    Second thought: doubtful Hamonic will be moved until after the season now if Boychuk is out a couple of months.

  143. John Chambers says:

    Lowetide: Some of our finest posters are dead people.

    James Joyce and Mahatma Ghandi got into a savage disagreement about whether lack of execution from the forwards or the inability of the defensemen to put the forwards in a position to succeed were the cause of the team’s low CF/60 until Martin Luther King pointed to evidence that it was in fact a combination of puck-retrieval errors and a tendency to dump-and -chase instead of carry the puck into the offensive zone that showed us lacking against the elite teams in the West.

    This was an especially lively blog in the ’40s, ’50s, and 60’s, kind of like a mix between a barbershop and an ashram, for those of you who remember.

  144. SwedishPoster says:

    Lowetide: Some of our finest posters are dead people.

    Little known fact. I am actually Alfred Nobel.

  145. Woodguy says:

    böök¡je:
    Hi All

    This is way off topic, but also probably something others will find useful.Besides, talking Oilers is depressing.

    I need new skates for me and for my 7 year old daughter (just learning).

    Thinking of going to sport check for $200-300 skates for me and something in the $75 to $100 range for my daughter.

    Thoughts.Good places to go?Can I get usable skates for that range?I used to have top of the line skates 20 years ago when I played hockey, but haven’t skated in 10-15 years much.

    Advice would be appreciated.

    Totem is a great spot for used skates.

    http://www.totemoutfitters.ca/totem-sports-exchange/

  146. sliderule says:

    frjohnk,

    What area do they call the area behind the goal line.

    The oilers have given up 4 or 5 from that area.

    Curious

  147. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Lowetide: Some of our finest posters are dead people.

    George Custer was a big proponent of the one on three attack around these parts that always causes Hall to turn the puck over. Andre Maginot was the inspiration for the current build up of the left-handed D Corps on this team. Justin Schultz is Belgian, isn’t he?

  148. Bruce McCurdy says:

    böök¡je:
    Hi All

    This is way off topic, but also probably something others will find useful.Besides, talking Oilers is depressing.

    I need new skates for me and for my 7 year old daughter (just learning).

    Thinking of going to sport check for $200-300 skates for me and something in the $75 to $100 range for my daughter.

    Thoughts.Good places to go?Can I get usable skates for that range?I used to have top of the line skates 20 years ago when I played hockey, but haven’t skated in 10-15 years much.

    Advice would be appreciated.

    check out Totem Outdoor Outfitters on 99 Street at 75 Av. They have a used equipment section which I used many times when equipping my son throughout minor hockey. Kids especially tend to outgrow their skates rather than wear them out, & you can find a good product for a reasonable price.

    It’s been a few years since I’ve been there (my son is 28 now) but I’d be surprised if that wasn’t still a big part of their business. They have new gear as well. My suggestion is when you get skates ask to get them fitted/aligned, they used to provide this service as well. A small thing that makes a big difference.

    As for my own skates I have the old Microns, plastic boots with ankles that are about as flexible as casts. I bought them at United Cycle a coon’s age ago, from a very pleasant and knowledgeable 400-pound sales man who I later learned was Ken Hitchcock. True story.

  149. John Chambers says:

    Totem is great – they also re-sell a lot of the Oilers’ used skates.

    I bought Andrei Kovalenko’s skates with the number 25 stitched into them when I was about fifteen years old.

  150. JDï™ says:

    böök¡je: I need new skates for me and for my 7 year old daughter (just learning).

    My go-to for great deals: http://www.kijiji.ca/b-skates-blades/calgary/page-2/c662l1700199

  151. Lowetide says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: George Custer was a big proponent of the one on three attack around these parts that always causes Hall to turn the puck over. Andre Maginot was the inspiration for the current build up of the left-handed D Corps on this team. Justin Schultz is Belgian, isn’t he?

    Ha! In a stream of funny, this one made me laugh so hard I woke up the dog. Well done!

  152. "Steve Smith" says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: Justin Schultz is Belgian, isn’t he?

    I don’t know, and I don’t care.

  153. John Chambers says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”,

    And Charles De Gaulle keeps demanding we trade whatever we can for Ekman-Larson.

  154. Lowetide says:

    John Chambers:
    Totem is great – they also re-sell a lot of the Oilers’ used skates.

    I bought Andrei Kovalenko’s skates with the number 25 stitched into them when I was about fifteen years old.

    Did you smoke on the backcheck, too?

  155. Bruce McCurdy says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: George Custer was a big proponent of the one on three attack around these parts that always causes Hall to turn the puck over. Andre Maginot was the inspiration for the current build up of the left-handed D Corps on this team. Justin Schultz is Belgian, isn’t he?

    Haha this thread reminds me of this brilliant satire by the masters of the art form known as Monty Python’s Flying Circle. Still makes me laugh.

  156. russ99 says:

    Woodguy: I agree with that LT, but there is still lots of flotsam on the roster and they are the main problem.

    Nurse is getting his head kicked in and would be best served in the 3rd pair or AHL.

    There are good things happening with the D (Klef and Davidson especially) but the Dcorp as a whole is still the biggest issue with this team.

    The bigger problem is our team doesn’t defend well as a unit, and then weaker players get overwhelmed trying to solely break up the play, stop the oppositon cycle and/or move the puck out of the offensive zone.

    Personally, I think McLellan has it all backwards: we should be playing as a collective on defense and encouraging individual creativity on offense rather than collective possession play on offense and relying too much on individual play on defense.

  157. Mr DeBakey says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: Justin Schultz is Belgian, isn’t he?

    I’m indifferent to that.
    Mmmmmm, chocolates!

  158. Bruce McCurdy says:

    Bruce McCurdy: Haha this thread reminds me of this brilliant satire by the masters of the art form known as Monty Python’s Flying Circle. Still makes me laugh.

    edit: Monty Python’s Flying CIRCUS. damned autocorrect

  159. Soup Fascist says:

    John Chambers:
    Totem is great – they also re-sell a lot of the Oilers’ used skates.

    I bought Andrei Kovalenko’s skates with the number 25 stitched into them when I was about fifteen years old.

    Did those come with Boris Mironov commemorative shot glasses?

  160. Mr DeBakey says:

    I think Before the Circus, Monty Python had a Quilting Circle.
    Hence the confusion

  161. SwedishPoster says:

    Bruce McCurdy: edit: Monty Python’s Flying CIRCUS. damned autocorrect

    Ha, I thought it was a wink to the Python’s different jokes on misspellings and mispronounciations.

  162. Halfwise says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: George Custer was a big proponent of the one on three attack around these parts that always causes Hall to turn the puck over. Andre Maginot was the inspiration for the current build up of the left-handed D Corps on this team. Justin Schultz is Belgian, isn’t he?

    This all started with hypnosis by Fog of Wart, didn’t it?

    We don’t even know what forces are at work on our subconscious when suddenly BAM, it’s all Custer and Gandhi and strategic blunders by generals who thought they were the smartest men in the room.

    LT, your barbershop makes a pretty good ashram, all things considered.

    I hope Boojikay doesn’t think anyone’s letting him off the hook, though, for all those things he said about Woodguy.

  163. Hope is a good thing says:

    Happy New Year to all! Great post today LT; I agreed with virtually all of your observations. A few of my own concerning the defence after half a year:
    Brandon Davidson is obviously a difference maker. He thinks the game at a high level, and his first two steps get him to the puck or player in time to make a good play, or to separate himself from traffic in time to do the right thing. He is a perfect example of TMac’s multi-faceted definition of being a fast player (without elite speed). Combine this with his toughness and heart and he is a keeper. Teams win with this kind of player.
    Sekera is a defensive ninja! His use of quickness, body positioning, leverage and strength against much larger opponents should be used to teach smaller, softer, weaker defencemen (cough, cough, Shultz, cough). Sekera needs the right partner, perhaps Klefbom this year, Buf next year, to offset the obvious size issues that arise during games. It is no surprise it took him some time to adjust to Edmonton, new defence partners, new systems etc., and he was probably used to wingers that could take a pass along the boards and exit the zone… I like him for the future.
    The only rational explanation for Shultz in the lineup (besides injuries) is Chiarelli is trying to compile a 5 minute video montage of Shultz playing well enough to use to trade him. Unfortunately, that requires 30 games or so of skillful editing…
    Nurse and Klefbom are future stud dmen, please do not trade them, unless the return is a slam-dunk , long term, win/win (not Hamonic). Both have elite tools, and can skate the puck out of trouble – they just need time to learn the NHL game, and show they have the required discretion to get the green light from TMac (much like young base stealers).
    Gryba and Fayne bring NHL experience but are likely not future difference-makers, or Oilers, if things break right at the deadline or in the off-season.
    Reinhart remains a legitimate big-body, intelligent, prospect. His at-bats in an important spot in the lineup in Bakersfield are VERY important to his success in Edmonton.
    Few teams in the NHL could incorporate this many new or inexperienced defencemen in one year and be consistent winners, let alone a perennial basement dweller.
    My hopes for this year were to see the Oilers just be more competitive, battle harder, and for the most part they have reached this level, especially considering the number, and significance of their injuries.

    Lowetide and readers, all the best in 2016. Remember, it took Andy 19 years to escape. And he didn’t have McDavid helping him dig!

  164. SwedishPoster says:

    From what I understand Nietzsche really struggles with the fact that the Oilers PP is actually called power play as it suggests some sort of power versus the other team. And that’s the real reason he stopped posting. Not the fact that he went completely mad.

  165. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    “Steve Smith”: I don’t know, and I don’t care.

    Fantastic response from you in a funny thread. Kudos, sir.

  166. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Mr DeBakey: I’m indifferent to that.
    Mmmmmm, chocolates!

    And you!

  167. John Chambers says:

    Lowetide: Did you smoke on the backcheck, too?

    Still do.

    I’m a half-pack a game smoker. I chew down hard on the filter like Colonel Klink when I dig in to take a draw.

  168. SwedishPoster says:

    Klefbom out with both upper and lower body injury. Welcome 2016, you look a lot like your older brother 2015.

  169. Bruce McCurdy says:

    SwedishPoster:
    Klefbom out with both upper and lower body injury. Welcome 2016, you look a lot like your older brother 2015.

    FFS.

    Oilers have allowed 35 shots per game since Oscar went out. Not that they miss him or anything.

  170. geowal says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: Thanks, everyone, for the kind words last night and today and for stopping by my neck of the woods. I’ve been doing that site for the love of it and have no intentions but to keep it free and ad-free for all, so I appreciate

    Finally happened over there, nice set up. Read the broken phone piece too, was reminded of this summer, I was on a 2 week driving trip in SW US, and upon crossing the border into Montana managed to promptly forget my password, and as a work phone was unable to rehab it until back in Canada. So essentially turned it into a paperweight. Anyways I found it truly liberating, and it sped up the “turn off work” vacation mode quite a bit and overall enjoyed everywhere I was and with a little more.
    Not quite the same as your drowned phone, but can definitely relate and often also think of my pre-phone days, a mere 7.15 years prior (but who’s counting). Curious if/when you eventually broke down and eventually replaced it.

  171. OilClog says:

    It’s the behind the net goals at such brutal moments that are the difference, pretty much driving sharp stakes into the mental game with those mistakes. They make players hestiant, cause them to overthink and project the worst possibly outcome.

    I just can’t see Talbot here pass the deadline, Chia is an experienced GM and knows how important it is for the team to trust their goaler.

    When you can’t score and have to stomach the fact the opposition can score from areas that you never can is a defeat before you start.

    At 6mill a year Eberlov should be creating some high opportunity scoring chances.. He should be driving a line like it’s expected of Yak. He should be showing up every night and producing.

    Keep ConYak together, It worked and the Oilers had a legit 1-2 line punch for those 9 games. Explore this to the end of the journey Todd!

  172. Mustard Tiger says:

    Bruce McCurdy: FFS.

    Oilers have allowed 35 shots per game since Oscar went out. Not that they miss him or anything.

    Is that actually true?!

  173. AsiaOil says:

    Hey Book – good stuff – didn’t know you are in my old department. We probably know a few common folks although most have retired (got my UG before the merge with geology). Our research is also pretty similar – shoot me a pm when things cool down – we should chat

    böök¡je:

  174. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    geowal,

    Thanks for visiting.
    I actually didn’t replace it until September, so went 4 months without. I used an old, beat up phone good only for texting and calling until then. It was the battery life that finally did me in, plus a trip to Europe where I found it just wouldn’t work at all.

    I do miss not being tied to my phone. But it was costly in other ways. There are tradeoffs either way. I do keep all my popups other than texts and emails turned off, though, and I have not installed FB Messenger as I hate that app. It still keeps me connected, but not as tied down as if I had alerts for every app like Twitter or instagram or Whatsapp turned on. Now I can just go in and check it as needed.

  175. Bruce McCurdy says:

    Mustard Tiger: Is that actually true?!

    i looked it up a couple of games ago & it was bang on. Since they they’ve allowed 33 & 35 shots in their last 2 losses so the average might be down to 34 point somethiing but it’s right in that neighbourhood. i’ll do a full review after the next game which is Game 40, so happens Oscar went out after Game 30 & I suspect we’ll see a pretty stark WOWY in the Games 31-40 segment.

  176. Lowetide says:

    Bruce McCurdy: edit: Monty Python’s Flying CIRCUS. damned autocorrect

    Dammit! I have been searching for his circle for an hour!

  177. Lowetide says:

    John Chambers: Still do.

    I’m a half-pack a game smoker. I chew down hard on the filter like Colonel Klink when I dig in to take a draw.

    Haha. Awesome.

  178. AsiaOil says:

    Everyone knows I was skeptical about Talbot and wanted a more “seasoned” goalie like Anderson from OTT. But here is the thing – after watching him play – he’s got potential. He’s not ready to be a starter and needed another 2 seasons as a 1B – which is why Anderson would have been the perfect guy to pair with him. Kind of like Khabi and Dubnyk which was the last sensible thing the Oilers did in net. I’d resign Talbot to a 2 year deal at reasonable dollars and develop the guy. Nilsson is also interesting but is more raw and needs even more time. I like him but the timing is off with him and LB coming down the line. If Talbot doesn’t want to sign then I’d try send him and Fayne to TOR for Bernier. Dollars match and I think we can rehab Bernier into a quality starter similar to how Dubnyk rebounded. It’s a 2 for 1 deal – get rid of Fayne and get a more experienced starter. Sure there is some risk – but Bernier was a quality young starter 12 months ago – and the Leafs handling of him over the summer was insane.

    Won’t go into the defense much except to say that no one should get Davidson unless you pry him out of Chia’s cold dead hands. Sign him long term now and you’ve got a bargain top 4 dman for years. The guy has always been a wildcard because of him unusual background and late development. So well rounded and numbers support the eyes – he’s a player. Couldn’t believe people wanted to chuck him on waivers this past fall when the guy could so obviously contribute.

    Thought of a way to get Hamonic – maybe – NJD needs a guy like Eberle desperately and they have a nice cheap young dman in Severson. How about a 3-way?

    Eberle to NJD
    Severson and Ruutu to NYI
    Hamonic and Zubrus to EDM

    Cap dollars balance and I doubt that NYI gets a better deal for a young dman under the circumstances – but GMs do crazy things.

  179. bassguy says:

    Hi all!, Happy New Year to all the great posters(woodguy,rom,gmoney,pouzar etc etc) and to Lowetide for giving me my daily fix..I will be sure to donate..hey LT..have you ever seen the beautiful video with Scarlett Jo?..Bob Dylan song to make things even better..you would enjoy this…youtube .”when the deal goes down”..lets see the Oilers turn north strong and free..happy happy

  180. Johnny Larue says:

    Bruce McCurdy: Haha this thread reminds me of this brilliant satire by the masters of the art form known as Monty Python’s Flying Circle. Still makes me laugh.

    In keeping with the historical theme I am working my way through the Black Adder box set over the Christmas Break it is hilarious . In regards to skates I always go to United Cylce knowable staff good selection of new and used skates

  181. böök¡je says:

    I just realized something. Today is almost certainly going to be the most impressive day of the year for me. It’s all downhill from here. Pretty much no sense trying from this point on until next year. It’s like I am an Oiler.

  182. Lowetide says:

    bassguy:
    Hi all!, Happy New Year to all the great posters(woodguy,rom,gmoney,pouzar etc etc) and to Lowetide for giving me my daily fix..I will be sure to donate..hey LT..have you ever seen the beautiful video with Scarlett Jo?..Bob Dylan song to make things even better..you would enjoy this…youtube .”when the deal goes down”..lets see the Oilers turn north strong and free..happy happy

    Yes. She is so pretty. And Dylan is incredible even at 400.

  183. böök¡je says:

    Thanks for the skate advice – I will check out totem tomorrow.

  184. böök¡je says:

    AsiaOil:
    Hey Book – good stuff – didn’t know you are in my old department. We probably know a few common folks although most have retired (got my UG before the merge with geology). Our research is also pretty similar – shoot me a pm when things cool down – we should chat

    I graduated with my UG in Honours Geography from that dept (U of A Geography) in 1995. Came back as an instructor in 2005. You?

  185. BONE207 says:

    Lowetide,

    Fuck böök¡je…in a middle class way.

  186. GCW_69 says:

    AsiaOil: Thought of a way to get Hamonic – maybe – NJD needs a guy like Eberle desperately and they have a nice cheap young dman in Severson. How about a 3-way?
    Eberle to NJD
    Severson and Ruutu to NYI
    Hamonic and Zubrus to EDM
    Cap dollars balance and I doubt that NYI gets a better deal for a young dman under the circumstances – but GMs do crazy things.

    Need a better centre coming back to Edmonton in that swap. Also, I think Zubrus plays for the sharks. Maybe Josefson gets it done, but I would rather see Josefson go to the Islanders with Severson and Strome come to Edmonton with Hamonic.

  187. GCW_69 says:

    T0ML: And yet what if he is actually ready?This injury is typically a 7-9 week recovery, he is right in that time span now.Are you for keeping him out even if he is ready just because of previous history?

    This is an argument I cannot understand, because the oilers under previous management rushed a player or two back early, they automatically assume the new ones will do the same even though McDavid is right in line with the typical recovery time (Mind you it was even the best case scenario for the break …. )

    On a side note, HAPPY NEW YEAR

    This player is the franchise and the team is on pace for 70 points. Whatever the expected time frame is, add two weeks or more to be safe.

    Based in his play, I think it’s highly likely Eberle came back too soon. MacT and Howson are still around. Plenty of reasons to be skeptical. This team deserves the benefit of the doubt on nothing. Not one damn thing.

  188. AsiaOil says:

    UG honors 10 years before that – was one of John England’s Ellesmere boys. Left for the west coast same week Gretz did and now faculty at Hawaii. Actually thought about applying for the planning chair job a couple of years ago.

    böök¡je: I graduated with my UG in Honours Geography from that dept (U of A Geography) in 1995.Came back as an instructor in 2005. You?

  189. AsiaOil says:

    Zubrus is just cap space that NJD carries and expires this summer – simply balances the dollars.

    GCW_69: Need a better centre coming back to Edmonton in that swap.Also, I think Zubrus plays for the sharks.Maybe Josefson gets it done, but I would rather see Josefson go to the Islanders with Severson and Strome come to Edmonton with Hamonic.

  190. Quinlan says:

    AsiaOil:
    Zubrus is just cap space that NJD carries and expires this summer – simply balances the dollars.

    Not to nitpick but… Zubrus is just a member of the San Jose Sharks.

    http://sharks.nhl.com/club/player.htm?id=8464977&view=notes

  191. Bruce McCurdy says:

    Dainius Zubrus is at the very tail end of a lengthy career, signed with the Sharks after the current season started. His trade value would be very close to nil.

    I first saw this guy play in 1993 — 23 years ago for pete’s sake — when he was the star player of a Ukrainian touring side known as Druzhba ’78. He was a kid then of course — the whole team was born iin 1978 — but he was clearly the top player on the team, & impressed me to the point that I picked him in my keeper league three years later when the Flyers drafted him in the first round, & had him on my team for many years so followed his career closely. Turned into more of a two-way grinder than a big scorer, but a hell of a player for a long time. He was Lithuanian by birth but moved to Ukraine at age 11 (!!) to play for hockey reasons.

    That Druzhba team was something else, the brain child of founder / coach / maniac Ivan Pravilov who turned out to be quite a creep, eventually killing himself some years later (2012) in a jail cell while awaiting charges for sexually molesting a 14-year-old boy. But all we saw in ’93 was the surface stuff, the appeal of a team of kids from a non-hockey country billeting with local families at their base here in Edmonton, touring around &’kicking the crap out of whoever they played. The game I saw they crushed a St. Albert team 8-1 & owned the puck all night. They did a couple of things I have never seen before or since: the goalie came out to stop all icing attempts (which were fairly numerous) before the puck got to the goal line just to keep the flow going, & more bizarrely, everybody on the team played all positions. Whoever came off, the next guy up would play that spot. So Zubrus, the apple of my eye from the start, would play cente one shift, right defence the next, left wing the next. Everything but goal. It was a very memorable game for that reason alone. I know i had to watch from ice level behind the corner glass because the arena was packed right out.

    Here’s a cool video of the team (I believe from 1993, not 1992 as the title suggests) with some game action. Zubrus was #9 & features heavily in the clips both on & off the ice.

    Two other things about Zubrus, he made an extremely rare jump to the NHL from Tier Two junior (Pembroke Lumber Kings) at 18 & never played a game in the minors, & just one half-season in the KHL during the second lockout (2004). One of just two Lithuanians to ever make the NHL, along with Darius Kasparaitis, who between tham have played almost 2300 NHL regular season playoff games, 1350 of those by Zubrus himself.

  192. AsiaOil says:

    NJD still carries a $3.25 million Zubrus cap hit since he was bought out last summer.

    http://stats.nhlnumbers.com/teams/NJD?year=2016

    We would take the cap hit but not the player.

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