THERE’S A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER

by Lowetide

Todd McLellan gets his chance with the media today (10am! It might even show up on the Lowdown!) and I imagine we will hear some encouraging words about the future. I have to say that Peter Chiarelli did a good job yesterday in terms of setting expectations—no overpromising, which can lead to under delivery. Before we move forward, let’s step back a sec and review some of what the GM said in the media avail a few hours ago.

ON THE NUGE

  • Chiarelli: “Nuge is a good player. He’s a very good two-way player. He had a tough year with injuries. I like a lot of what I saw of him. He has to improve in a number of areas but he’s young and he’s smart and he plays a good two-way game.” Source

This is important, because it shows how much value the GM puts on the player. I have been told that Chiarelli has expressed these sentiments previously, but I had not seen, read or heard them. Heartening. Even if the Nuge is dealt, and it doesn’t sound like it, PC made it clear there is a strong value on the player by this organization. Glad to see.

ON OSCAR

  • Chiarelli: “Timeline, I think if we were in the playoffs he would have been available. I basically just shut him down. I said, ‘Klef, enough. You’re probably trying too hard to come back,” and it was aggravating it a little bit. He’s going to get the proper equipment. We’ve been looking at getting the proper skate, customized, and the silver lining is he’s in terrific shape. I would anticipate him back skating in a month’s time.” Source

Chiarelli confirmed there was no long-term issues, which means two things. First, all the people who told you about cutting muscle from his leg were either making it up or talking to people who were making it up. Second, the Oilers not telling people what is going on may lead to bloodletting stories, leeches stories, dragon stories, eraserhead stories. For God sakes, be careful out there!

fayne capture

CORSI REL SINCE JANUARY 1

We talked last week about Darnell Nurse and how well he played for 11 games—before heading south as part of the ‘let’s play a bunch of people not named Mark Fayne with Reg’ portion of the year. Here is another angle: Corsi (and Rel percentage) since January 1, 2016:

  • Sekera 51.7 (+3.5)
  • Gryba 51.5 (3.0)
  • Davidson 51.3 (+1.9)
  • Fayne 49.6 (-0.1)
  • Nikitin 48.8 (-11.4)
  • Pardy 48.1 (-3.5)
  • Oesterle 48.0 (1.3)
  • Nurse 47.1 (-3.3)
  • Clendening 46.7 (-2.6)
  • Reinhart 46.0 (-3.8)

Oscar Klefbom didn’t play after January 1, but he was 50.8 (+3.5) and Sekera plus Davidson look good by the possession. Nurse? Seems to me that is an odd choice, and skipping over Mark Fayne to get there suggests Peter Chiarelli is willing to sacrifice possession for things like speed, size, aggressiveness and—if we are being fair—the possibility of a better tomorrow (should Nurse develop). Did Chiarelli make these kinds of decisions in Boston?

NURSE GOAL

SIZE

  • Chiarelli: “I like size. Especially in our division. To get out of our division you’re going to need some guys that can lean on the bigger players in L.A. and Anaheim.”

We have had this argument since before I started this blog, back to the hfboards days. I remain convinced size is a good thing—as long as the guy can play! I like Darnell Nurse as a prospect, honest. If you have read these pages since he was drafted, suspect that is fairly clear. That said, part of the balance equation is keeping young, unready players in the minors until ready.

DARNELL NURSE DID HAVE A GOOD RUN. HONEST.

NURSE SPLITS

How can the Oilers get Darnell Nurse back to those numbers? Put him on the third pairing with Brandon Davidson, and that is my guess for 2016-17. How many defensemen can a team protect and still make the postseason? Don’t know.

BRUINS 2014-15 DEFENSE (CORSI AND REL %)

  • Dougie Hamilton 54.91 (+4.72)
  • Zdeno Chara 54.21 (+3.71)
  • Torey Krug 53.12 (+2.54)
  • Matt Bartkowski 49.83 (-2.47)
  • Kevan Millar 49.81 (-3.01)
  • Adam McQuaid 49.51 (-3.01)
  • Dennis Seidenberg 48.13 (-5.74)

Hmm. Bartkowski, Miller and McQuaid are in that range (Rel %) and of course the young Oiler is just 20 and a rookie. I like Nurse, hope he has a terrific future, and I know there is exactly one person reading this (once I read it) who believes Mark Fayne  can help. That said, on the day we begin to explore the possibilities for this team (and that is today), I would like to point out that my pal Corsi and I are not happy. Not happy, at all.

I love expansion drafts. Don’t ask me why, it is such an obscure and ridiculous slice of the sports pie it is to laugh. And yet, I know things about expansion drafts (Montreal Expos took future manager Jimy Williams in their draft) no one should consider worthwhile because it is a passion.

Ed Snider’s expansion draft (along with his purchase of the Quebec Aces and previous hiring of men like Bud Poile and Keith Allen) stocked the shelves immediately and Philadelphia has enjoyed a contender pretty much since that day. Seriously. I have no connection to Ed Snider or the Flyers beyond a real and genuine respect for the accomplishments made by man and organization. Hell, the only reason Philadelphia got an NHL team was Snider’s curiosity. In a world where winning is the only thing, Ed Snider was an exceptional owner from day one. RIP.

STUPID STUPID STUPID

  • Jack Todd, Montreal Gazette: Look, I’ve defended Subban at every turn throughout his career. But if he can’t be persuaded to work within the structure of the team and the organization, maybe it’s time he and his brand were shipped to a market large enough to accommodate Planet P.K. Like Edmonton, for instance. Source

I guess P.K. Subban has some issues, based on the Jack Todd article and many other things we read out of Montreal. Folks, this is a giant opportunity. The Habs are making a big mistake here, and someone is going to get a helluva defenseman. Is Subban flawed? I guess he has some outside issues, but not everyone can be Chris Pronger!

P.K. Subban would be a perfect fit for these Edmonton Oilers. They would have to give up a mountain of assets and they would have to adjust their cap (Subban is a $9 million cap hit through 2022) to make room. That said, you make that room in a heartbeat.

  • Klefbom—Subban (!!!!)
  • Sekera—Hamonic
  • Davidson—Nurse
  • Music!

CHIARELLI’S SUMMER (CRAZY VERSION)

  1. Top-pairing D to partner with Klefbom (PK Subban)
  2. Scoring winger from free agency (Troy Brouwer, Kyle Okposo)
  3. Offload unwanted contracts (Lauri Korpikoski)
  4. Backup goalie (Jhonas Enroth, but may cost too much)
  5. Re-stock the system partly through college and CHL signings (Benik, but also Winquist, et al)
  6. Build up the system (especially forwards) via draft (Laine, Tyler Benson)

I have included two RWs because one assumes Subban’s price will include an Eberle or a Nuge, a Nurse or a Davidson, a pick or a pick. Seriously no idea where you start in a trade with Subban, save for the fact someone making $6 million would be heading out of town. Crazy crazy. We’ll sell you the whole seat for summer, but you will only need the edge.

ADAMS GIF

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

A very fluid show today, 10 this morning TSN 1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Todd McLellan’s media avail will be carried live. Scheduled for 10, these things can and do change starting times. Stay tuned.
  • Scott Burnside, ESPN. Change everywhere, including Arizona this morning. Murray out in Ottawa, rumblings in Boston, hold on to your hat!
  • Sunil Agnihotri, Copper and Blue plus The SuperFan. Who is heading out of Edmonton this summer? Who is coming in? Will we need a new program this fall? Sunil will also describe his lunch, suspect it will be rabbit foot but we will see.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Talk soon!

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JimmyV1965

dustrock,

No offence, but the crap about Hall’s personality does not come from the MSM. It comes from people commenting on blogs like this. Kinda like the crap you just threw out there a it Therrien.

jeetz

Hello. Long time reader. Haven’t posted in forever. Thought I would weigh in tonight.

First, I actually feel strangely OK about the Oiler season. I think because I am genuinely excited about next year. I think the stability of our GM AND Coach brings a calming influence. There is going to be change AND stability. I am really hoping we get Maloney as an assist GM, what a coup! There in a real smart hockey guy respected in the NHL.

I also have to say that no matter where we land in the draft, we should not trade that pick for an NHL player. Whoever we get can definitely help us as an impact player, but more importantly that player will not have to be protected in the expansion draft. Any player we get in a trade would be…asset management.

I think that we can agree that if Chiarelli has his way, he will trade Eberle and keep Hall and RNH for a top 4 dman and sign another (UFA). I would think that Fayne is as good as gone because Davidson will be in the bottom pairing and can play in the top 4 when needed. So we will likely start the season with:

Klefbom + new D
New D + Sekera
Davidson + Nurse
Gryba

I think most fans can get behind that.

On FWD, with Eberle gone I’m betting Chairelli signs a top 6 UFA winger. But I am also hoping if he trades Nail (part of me hopes he stays) he get can get Dallas to take him for Nichushkin. I’m hoping he is quiet in the playoffs and Dallas gets upset early (that is my long shot prediction) My point being I am betting those are the only 2 FWDS on the move unless Chairelli can move Korpikoski. Either way, I think there will be more returning players than we think. With a stronger defense, less injuries and real goaltending (which seems fine with Talbot), Oilers will be pushing hard for a playoff spot all season next year.

I’m OK with that.

Thanks for the daily reads Lowetide! I look forward to them every day

square_wheels

Woodguy,

Both Finn’s are essentially can’t miss prospects, I would be happy with either.

Pulijarvi will be available after the 2nd pick but not after xx ?

We are taking one of him or Laine if we’re top 3, they’re exactly what CMD needs.

Water Fire

I restated a lot already said I’m on my phone that is not fun to use on this site

Water Fire

Much of the Oilers issues are that while being fast they play slow. Connor waits for guys to catch up with his head as well as feet. It’s the primary PP issue IMO. If you give teams time they will set up and be hard to score on. You have to create breakdowns through pressure.

The goalie equipment will help some with scoring. I agree McLellan is teaching chip and chase because it is necessary to beat NZ traps and in playoffs. LA uses it a lot and they don’t suck. I fully expect that as the team matures they will control entries more.

Hall mentioned part is playing the way your teammates can handle. Your not going to rush with Maroon but if he can get to the corner first you keep the zone.

Aron_S

G Money,

Hahaha, I wondered while typing it if that might be a new one for some here. A more hilarious heebie-jeebies if you will.

Woodguy

NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”:
From my limited viewings, I prefer Puljujarvi on future projection, too. Laine is going to be good, but I just have a feeling Puljujarvi will be special.

Hope the Oilers can land one because RW is an area of severe need. Meanwhile watch the media chastise the Oilers for taking another winger.

I like Laine because:

-Hall is a very good “playmaker/passer”. 2 years ago he lead the NHL in Vollman’s passing stat

-McDavid is play maker as well, not a great shot….yet

– Draisaitl is primarily a distributor of the puck

-RNH is a sublime passer as well

-Eberle is a shooter, but doesn’t have a one timer

Only Yak is a shooter and he’s not here anymore.

They have many players who can create the play and distribute the puck, they need finishers.

They need a Neal, Tarasenko, Ovechkin, Kessel, Forsberg etc.

They don’t have that player.

They need balance.

Also,

Some people are starting to not call Laine “a 6’3″ Kurri, but Lemiuex-lite”

Crazy.

Showerhead

Woodguy: Yeah a “true” rush goal is probably within 3 seconds of entry, maybe less.

But scoring within 7 would *probably* mean that a dump and chase and puck battle didn’t happen, but the initial entry was off the rush.

Hmm, I wonder: would a team that’s *good* at puck battles have enough time? I’m half kidding – IE poking fun at how bad Edmonton is at this – but would that be enough time for the LA Kings?

Woodguy

Showerhead: For me, a major part of the shock comes from phrasing.

When I imagine a play “off the rush”, I think of a 3-on-2 or a 2-on-1. I think of one pass, maybe two, or a shot by the initial puck carrier and then I consider the possibility of a shot off the rebound.

When I imagine a play “within 7 seconds of zone entry”, suddenly I can see that initial rush and a shot and a save and then a puck retrieval along the wall, a pass to the point, and another scoring chance altogether.

Maybe it still comes as a bit of a surprise but the two phrases make me think of somewhat different scenarios.

Yeah a “true” rush goal is probably within 3 seconds of entry, maybe less.

But scoring within 7 would *probably* mean that a dump and chase and puck battle didn’t happen, but the initial entry was off the rush.

From my limited viewings, I prefer Puljujarvi on future projection, too. Laine is going to be good, but I just have a feeling Puljujarvi will be special.

Hope the Oilers can land one because RW is an area of severe need. Meanwhile watch the media chastise the Oilers for taking another winger.

G Money

delooper:
Doesn’t Hamonic compare to Fayne pretty well?It seems east coast players have their tires over-inflated near all the time.The move to the western conference and. . . plop.What happened?

Ca$h-McMoney!: One of the token nerds on the site (I say that with reverence) showed empirically that Hamonic was a top perform even against Western teams. Maybe Woodguy or GMoney…

Moi.

Since the “Mark Fayne Experience”, when I evaluate defensemen, particularly Eastern defensemen, I always look specifically (among other things) at:

– WOWY data, to see who’s zoomin’ who.
– PvP data vs top players, esp. big Western players

Hamonic is no Fayne.

Fayne was zoomed by Green. Hamonic pretty much makes everyone around him better. He does the zooming, not the getting zoomed.

Hamonic does just fine against big players, East and West. Like all defenders, he does better against some and less so against others, but there isn’t a specific pattern suggesting he’s weak against a particular type of player. In fact, some of his numbers are damn impressive – like being 60%+ CF% against the Sedins.

I’m certain the Oilers couldn’t have used that the last few years…

meanashell11

G Money: I know I shouldn’t ask but … WTF is a douche chill?!?

I think it speaks for itself!

Water Fire

Thanks for the link WG.

I’ve felt for a while that defense as a primary skill have to be able to make a good play with the puck, as in Oesterle is still more effective than Pardy because of ability that matters more.

That being said the Oilers seem stuck between Oesterle and Pardy – one who’s size limits defense and one who’s skill limits normal play. The answer lies in the middle of that vector.

Looking at Anaheims and Chicagos D on paper really they aren’t that impressive, on the ice they are. It goes to how important making right plays with tempo matter, which leads to the scoring time . As mentioned goals come not mpre off the rush but from controlled O zone high tempo. A few quick well done palysbamd in, or its trench warfare or coming the other way.

G Money

Aron_S: douche chills

I know I shouldn’t ask but … WTF is a douche chill?!?

leadfarmer

Woodguy:
Jen Costello knocks it out of the park again:

https://jenlc13.wordpress.com/2016/04/11/crucial-habits-shot-generation-controlled-zone-exits/

Fantastic piece on controlled zone exits and shot generation.

She found that:

over 57.3% of the 7142 goals tracked were scored in 7 seconds or less of zone time.

Wow.

That means that almost 60% of goals in the NHL are scored “off the rush.”

Would have never of guessed it was that high.

When teams have time to set up their defensive structure it is very hard to score.

Aron_S

Doug McLachlan,

It made me think that Puljujarvi may have a higher ceiling than I initially thought (full disclosure, I’ve only watched both of them in the world juniours). If PJ is putting up similar numbers to Laine in half the TOI, that has to be an up arrow, right? Thoughts?

Doug McLachlan

Aron_S,

Which way? Laine is able to play with men or that Puljujarvi will only get better?

Showerhead

Ha, I saw your comment and then logged in, searched “seconds”, and hit quote. I didn’t realize it would quote exactly the highlighted text.

CrazyCoach

Centre of attention: Except Klefboms is just a bad skin infections / rash and Whitney had a reconstructed bionic ankle.

If memory serves me right, there once was a goalie who had all sorts of issues with rashes and his equipment. It basically ended his career.

Kind of strange how infections can be caused by a skate, but when I open my own gear bag, I’m reminded, that yeah, gear bags are cesspools of bacteria and god knows what.

Showerhead

Woodguy: seconds

For me, a major part of the shock comes from phrasing.

When I imagine a play “off the rush”, I think of a 3-on-2 or a 2-on-1. I think of one pass, maybe two, or a shot by the initial puck carrier and then I consider the possibility of a shot off the rebound.

When I imagine a play “within 7 seconds of zone entry”, suddenly I can see that initial rush and a shot and a save and then a puck retrieval along the wall, a pass to the point, and another scoring chance altogether.

Maybe it still comes as a bit of a surprise but the two phrases make me think of somewhat different scenarios.

Centre of attention

Aron_S,

Except Klefboms is just a bad skin infections / rash and Whitney had a reconstructed bionic ankle.

It was encouraging hearing it from Klefbom himself, and he seems pretty confident he can play and exert force on it fine. It’s just a matter of stopping the rubbing so the skin can heal. I bet in a year once the skin fully heals he won’t even need the special skate.

Aron_S

AsiaOil,

I don’t know whether this works in Puljujarvi’s favour or not, but someone on TSN1260 (McKenzie?) mentioned earlier that in a double OT head to head game, Laine played almost ~35 minutes and Puljujarvi was ~15 minutes (all numbers subject to misremembering). The point was made though that Laine was getting LOTS of minutes for his production and Puljujarvi was scoring well at a GF/60 pace.

I like Laine a lot, but that statement gave me pause.

Aron_S

vinotintazo,

Ooof. I know it’s not nearly the same injury, but reading the custom skate business gives me douche chills thinking about what happened to Ryan Whitney and his constant re-injury problems.

vinotintazo

I’m hearing Klefboms interview on the Gregor show, pretty much says the ankle kept healing/re-injuring during the 3 month span. Says he has to wear a custom skate (still looking for the right one) in order to avoid re-injury. He’s confident it wont bother him next season (pending he finds the right skate).

Gayfish

kinger_OIL:
– I know it’s not new, but hearing the player say it: its just crazy:

“I’ve had a different coach every year I’ve been here,” said centre Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Good

Mc
Renney

Meh

Krueger
Nelson

HFS

Quinn

Swears this bad have not been invented
Eakins

Pajamah

Woodguy:
Jen Costello knocks it out of the park again:

https://jenlc13.wordpress.com/2016/04/11/crucial-habits-shot-generation-controlled-zone-exits/

Fantastic piece on controlled zone exits and shot generation.

She found that:

over 57.3% of the 7142 goals tracked were scored in 7 seconds or less of zone time.

Wow.

That means that almost 60% of goals in the NHL are scored “off the rush.”

Would have never of guessed it was that high.

Which confirms what LT says about the team needing players who can take/make a pass. D-men who dump to the neutral zone are literal poison to an NHL team.

Break cycle, breakout with possession, and go man go.

Can’t really say I am surprised. What surprises me is that more teams stifle offense to protect, than run and gun. 3 points awarded per game, and I think that goes away to an extent.

Marc

AsiaOil:

So the Oilers have been a) totally inept at controlled defensive zone entries, and b) stubborn and unable to adapt and play dump and chase when their preferred option of carrying the puck into the offensive zone is denied. So as Chia essentially outlined yesterday – we need to get “heavier” to improve our dump and chase game in the offensive zone and obtain defensemen who can achieve a high percentage of controlled d-zone exits. Still a rush team given our players but you must be be able to play dump and chase if the rush is denied.

And like the threat of the run sets up the passing game in football, being able to dump and chase effectively should give the forwards more space for controlled entries. For a couple of years it seems like opposing teams have cheated towards holding the blue line, knowing that even if they don’t force the turnover they’ll be able to recover possession down low. If the Oilers’ forwards can consistently win possession on the dump and chase then it should force the opposing D to play deeper against the rush, leaving more space for Hall and McDavid in particular to make a controlled entry.

AsiaOil

I’v been struggling to describe why I think Puljujärvi may be the best pick for us – but the data Costello produced has allowed me to organize my thoughts.

Jesse Puljujärvi may be the best choice based on where Chia seems to be taking the team. In my limited viewing I like his size, skating, shot, passing and ability to “take what the opposition gives” in terms of zone entry. A well rounded and more north-south kind of player than Laine as McKenzie has described which should translate well to the NHL. Clearly Laine is flashier – but that may not necessarily mean more effective. Either guy would look wicked on our top 2 lines – but Puljujärvi is a natural RW which is clearly our biggest problem at all levels aside from RHD. But holy crap are those two Finns nice looking players who would fit CMD perfectly.

kinger_OIL

– I know it’s not new, but hearing the player say it: its just crazy:

“I’ve had a different coach every year I’ve been here,” said centre Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

AsiaOil

Thanks 🙂

frjohnk: CF%
Brandon.Davidson51.8
Andrej.Sekera51.4
Mark.Fayne48.1
Adam.Pardy48
Eric.Gryba46.8
Adam.Clendening46.7
Darnell.Nurse46.5
Griffin.Reinhart44.9

CF%Rel
Andrej.Sekera4.1
Brandon.Davidson3.3
Eric.Gryba0.8
Mark.Fayne-1.1
Adam.Clendening-2.6
Darnell.Nurse-2.9
Adam.Pardy-3.4
Griffin.Reinhart-4.6

AsiaOil

Woodguy,

Thanks for that Woodguy.

Very interesting message as both skating with possession into the offensive zone (Chicago model) and dump and chase (Anaheim model) can be effective in generating scoring chances. But exiting the defensive zone with control is required for both.

The Oilers are very much currently built along the Chicago model of entering the offensive zone via the rush but this can be severely restricted via neutral zone defensive systems. I don’t think coach has been imposing a dump and chase model on to the forwards as much as forcing them to realize that they must be able to adapt and be able to successfully dump and chase when teams inevitably try to shut down zone entries via the rush. If a team is unable or unwilling to adapt their game when their preferred zone entry option is shut down – they will pay heavily in reduced scoring chances.

So the Oilers have been a) totally inept at controlled defensive zone entries, and b) stubborn and unable to adapt and play dump and chase when their preferred option of carrying the puck into the offensive zone is denied. So as Chia essentially outlined yesterday – we need to get “heavier” to improve our dump and chase game in the offensive zone and obtain defensemen who can achieve a high percentage of controlled d-zone exits. Still a rush team given our players but you must be be able to play dump and chase if the rush is denied.

Marc

A propos of nothing, this article about Jagr in the NY TImes is fantastic: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/09/sports/hockey/jaromir-jagr-still-playing-with-florida-panthers.html?smid=tw-share&_r=0

I’ve never been more pant-wettingly terrified of an opposing player than I was of Jagr in semi-final in Nagano in 1998. He seemed absolutely unstoppable no matter who we put on the ice against him.

New Improved Darkness

That said, part of the balance equation is keeping young, unready players in the minors until ready.

Has a young, unready organization ever done this? If not, this wise maxim translates as follows: whatever you do, don’t become a young, unready organization.

Which is not, I think, what most people wish to hear this as meaning.

A shit team trying to marinate a young, unready hotshot in the slow cooker will soon have Fedorov programming your GM’s home alone telephone number into all ten single-button slots, not to mention just about every Russian curse word activating speed dial on Fedorov’s car phone.

———

Fedorov driving down the highway. Some crew-cut who has generously miscounted his own testicles cuts him off.

Fedorov: [in Russian] Platypus placenta!

Phone overhears this, begins to dial itself automatically.

Chia: Hello? [immediately recognizing the sound of all the extra cylinders] Hey, did you blow your rings again? Sounding rough today.

Fedorov: Ahhh, merry xmas to you too! Always the smart mechanic, aren’t you? I was just thinking about you …

Chia: Come on—just cut it out. Your client simply needs to play better.

Fedorov: Better than whom? Niki Nikitin?

Chia: How about Sergio Sharapova?

Fedorov: [paying no attention] My guy wants out.

Chia: Your guy can baste.

Fedorov: Arbitration comes so very soon, when you’re working your ass off in the wrong league. In your AHL, you season so beautifully, the panel drools.

Chia: Not at all. He won’t have the box cars.

Fedorov: But he will have the dining car: I describe method of Winged Wheel like a smoked-meat rotisserie—very slow, marbled fat loving melted; so smoke, so caramel, so juicy.

Chia: So soft. So pink. So useless without a pickle.

Fedorov: A pickle?

Chia: No-one eats smoked meat without a good pickle.

Fedorov: Really? You think this?

Chia: Hey, I’m in the GM business. Selling the pickle is job #1.

Fedorov: They won’t believe your pickle; they only believe my smoke.

Chia: Well, that day will come soon enough. For now, suck it, he bastes.

Fedorov: You’ll be sorrrrry. I know a thing or two about making sorry, if anyone needs to ask.

Chia: For sure. Some bloke is standing in line behind you to buy his smokes at 7-Eleven and you decide “hey, perfect time to ring up Chia and grind his ass one more time over making my client earn his stripes the right way.”

Fedorov: Who needs stripes on Edmonton Oilers? Window washers from street improve fourth line.

Chia: To be honest, can’t say I totally disagree with you on that one, but you’re forgetting that I’m a man of the template.

Fedorov: Idiot! You can’t handle the template! The only reason your club so much as tasted the twenty somethings is now Bettman postpones expansion draft.

Chia: The only reason you tasted twenty-something is because [pauses, regains his dignity] …. no, never mind, I’m not going to go there.

Fedorov: Because what?

Chia: I don’t think it needs to be said.

Fedorov: If you’re implying something, I want to hear it.

Chia: Really? Do we have to do this?

Fedorov: I’m listening

Chia: Look, you probably spent more time filing papers than actually—

Fedorov: —flirting?

Chia: Yeah! Isn’t that how it usually goes?

Fedorov: Youth and beauty wait for no man. Next year, by xmas, you crack, we see.

Chia: Bite. My. Pickle.

Fedorov: No. You crack. We see. Merry xmas, auf wiedersehen.

frjohnk

AsiaOil:
LT – do you know what the Corsi (and Rel percentages) for defensemen since the All-Star Break are?

CF%
Brandon.Davidson 51.8
Andrej.Sekera 51.4
Mark.Fayne 48.1
Adam.Pardy 48
Eric.Gryba 46.8
Adam.Clendening 46.7
Darnell.Nurse 46.5
Griffin.Reinhart 44.9

CF%Rel
Andrej.Sekera 4.1
Brandon.Davidson 3.3
Eric.Gryba 0.8
Mark.Fayne -1.1
Adam.Clendening -2.6
Darnell.Nurse -2.9
Adam.Pardy -3.4
Griffin.Reinhart -4.6

Woodguy

Jen Costello knocks it out of the park again:

https://jenlc13.wordpress.com/2016/04/11/crucial-habits-shot-generation-controlled-zone-exits/

Fantastic piece on controlled zone exits and shot generation.

She found that:

over 57.3% of the 7142 goals tracked were scored in 7 seconds or less of zone time.

Wow.

That means that almost 60% of goals in the NHL are scored “off the rush.”

Would have never of guessed it was that high.

Ca$h-McMoney!

Магия 10,

T0ML,

So I’m not crazy? Perfect.

Gayfish

As much as I like nuge and draisaitl, the possibility of an expansion draft probably makes matthews more attractive. Not to mention he probably falls somewhere in the Hall,Tavares, Eichel, Seguin range, which I’m not sure draisaitl and huge do.

AsiaOil

LT – do you know what the Corsi (and Rel percentages) for defensemen since the All-Star Break are?

T0ML

Ca$h-McMoney!:
Does the picture at the top of the thread not look like Nurse in a #4 jersey, or am I crazy?

It does because it is, On the Condors

N64

Ca$h-McMoney!:
Does the picture at the top of the thread not look like Nurse in a #4 jersey, or am I crazy?

Here’s the stat line for the Condors #4:

# PLAYER POS GP G A PTS +/- PIM PP SHG SOG SH%
4 Darnell Nurse D 6 0 1 1 0 7 0 0 10 0.0

Water Fire

godot10: You want a skate that isn’t going to cause a skate bite in the first place.If Klef likes a really tight boot, design a custom boot where the laces won’t irritate the skin.

True

Ca$h-McMoney!

Does the picture at the top of the thread not look like Nurse in a #4 jersey, or am I crazy?

rickithebear

Visually better:

Pou McDavid laine
Maroon Drai yakupov
Lucic nuge slepy
Hendy letestu pakirenen

OEL Klefbom
Sekera hamonic
Nurse Davidson

In a 2018 expansion Draft these players would be 2 year+ pro’s

Pou McDavid
Maroon Drai yakupov
Lucic nuge slepy
Hendy letestu pakirenen

OEL Klefbom
Sekera hamonic
Nurse Davidson

godot10

Water Fire: I also thought if he’s healed why does he need a custom skate? It might be sensitivity because there would be newly healed skin of a fair area there or the like.

You want a skate that isn’t going to cause a skate bite in the first place. If Klef likes a really tight boot, design a custom boot where the laces won’t irritate the skin.

Water Fire

Truth:
I have been the #1 skeptic of Klefbom’s recovery.Good to hear Chiarelli (and McLellan) say they do not expect any lingering issues.

However, Chiarelli’s quote; “He’s going to get the proper equipment. We’ve been looking at getting the proper skate, customized..”reiterates my skepticism.If I owned racehorses. and one of my prized thoroughbreds had an injury thatprevented it from being able to run without the use of a custom brace, I surely wouldn’t be telling my friends and family to bet on it once it returns.

If the organization’s optimism convinces other GM’s all is normal and they can cash in on the past and future of Klefbom + whatever it takes for a true #1, then I’m all for it.

I also thought if he’s healed why does he need a custom skate? It might be sensitivity because there would be newly healed skin of a fair area there or the like.

Strome +1st to Leafs for Matthews

Why might not something like that be more plausible than trading OEL, which goes against everything said about trying to win next year.

Truth

I have been the #1 skeptic of Klefbom’s recovery. Good to hear Chiarelli (and McLellan) say they do not expect any lingering issues.

However, Chiarelli’s quote; “He’s going to get the proper equipment. We’ve been looking at getting the proper skate, customized..” reiterates my skepticism. If I owned racehorses. and one of my prized thoroughbreds had an injury that prevented it from being able to run without the use of a custom brace, I surely wouldn’t be telling my friends and family to bet on it once it returns.

If the organization’s optimism convinces other GM’s all is normal and they can cash in on the past and future of Klefbom + whatever it takes for a true #1, then I’m all for it.

Ice Sage

A humbling year in Montreal – the harsh realization that they are not a good team sans Price.
Stuff gets said, fingers pointed, reporters bored and the spincycle goes all Speith… sounds so familiar.
I also think PK is not good value, money, cost or culture-wise. (but then again I thought the Oilers would get 88 points)

Ca$h-McMoney!

delooper:
Doesn’t Hamonic compare to Fayne pretty well?It seems east coast players have their tires over-inflated near all the time.The move to the western conference and. . . plop.What happened?

One of the token nerds on the site (I say that with reverence) showed empirically that Hamonic was a top perform even against Western teams. Maybe Woodguy or GMoney….

I don’t remember what the content was, but I remember being reasonably convinced by it. So take that for what it’s worth.