WHAT CAN WE EXPECT FROM THE 2016 DRAFT?

by Lowetide

Peter Chiarelli traded an enormous number of draft picks away last year at the draft. He could afford to in a way—his first-round selection (Connor McDavid) was a guaranteed blue-chip player. Edmonton appears to have used their picks after No. 100 well, but the problems in the system are very real and extremely obvious. The Edmonton Oilers don’t have enough quality prospects—in goal, RHD, LW and RW. That is a fact.

I believe the team needs to stand and deliver on many of the picks currently on their draft board.

OILERS DRAFT PICKS (PROJECTED) 2016

  1. No. 2 overall
  2. No. 32 overall
  3. No. 62 overall
  4. No. 85 overall (Florida pick)
  5. No. 87 overall (Pittsburgh pick)
  6. No. 122 overall
  7. No. 148 overall (St. Louis pick)
  8. No. 152 overall
  9. No. 182 overall

Edmonton used only one selection in the top 100 last season, but PC has five this spring. I have little doubt one of those picks is heading somewhere, but am hopeful the organization plans on posting a recovery draft. Here are all of the players under Edmonton’s control outside NA pro hockey:

  1. G Miroslav Svoboda (Czech-2)
  2. G Nick Ellis (NCAA)
  3. G Zack Nagelvoort (NCAA)
  4. G Keven Bouchard (QMJHL)
  5. D Ziyat Paigin (KHL—signed for next season)
  6. D Ethan Bear (WHL)
  7. D Caleb Jones (WHL)
  8. D William Lagesson (NCAA)
  9. D John Marino (USHL)
  10. L Evan Cambell (NCAA)
  11. L Aidan Muir (NCAA)
  12. L Daniil Zharkov (inj)
  13. C Roman Horak (KHL—signed for next season)
  14. C Tyler Vesel (NCAA)
  15. R Jere Sallinen (KHL)
  16. R Antti Tyrvainen (SHL)

There are some names we will never see again, and there are some talents who will never see the NHL. Among the prospects listed here, I would list defense as having the greatest depth—there are even two RHD in this group. The four goalies are not blue-chip prospects, that is an area of weakness. Centers? Nothing shaking. Wingers? Crickets. There is work to be done.

draisaitl draft board

BULLET POINTS

We’ve talked about a few trends for this draft season and I am hoping to see a few things from Edmonton this year.

  • At least two skill forwards from the first three rounds.
  • At least three players from a fabulous OHL crop.
  • It’s okay to pass on drafting a goalie if he isn’t there. Seriously.
  • The LHD bin is full. Break glass only in case of emergency—or another Paigin.
  • The RHD bin is in need of help.
  • Wingers should be valued, but centers can play wing, too.
  • Draft re-entries are people, too.
  • Stay away from the 20-year olds playing tier two and on their way to Guacamole State.

If we apply all of those rules to the available picks, here is what the Oilers draft could look like:

  1. No. 2 overall—W Patrik Laine, Tappara (Sm-Liiga)
  2. No. 32 overall—C-R Nathan Bastian, Mississauga Steelheads (OHL)
  3. No. 62 overall—RD Filip Berglund, Skelleftea AIK (SEL)
  4. No. 85 overall (Florida pick)—G Jeremy Halvig, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL)
  5. No. 87 overall (Pittsburgh pick)—RD Jordan Sambrook, Erie Otters (OHL)
  6. No. 122 overall—C Jordy Stallard, Calgary Hitmen (WHL)
  7. No. 148 overall (St. Louis pick)—R Matt Luff, Hamilton Bulldogs (OHL)
  8. No. 152 overall—W Egor Babenko, Lethbridge Hurricanes (WHL)
  9. No. 182 overall—C Nathan Noel, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL)

We are getting closer, suspect the expansion draft date (2017 is possible) will be announced very soon. Never assume anything with the NHL, they could announce 2018. That said, it does impact Peter Chiarelli’s course of action this summer in a very specific way: He will use the first-round pick—that player will be exempt.

Raider Jesse has been on top of this from the start (along with the usual suspects) and is suggesting on twitter this means Edmonton will keep their pick (I agree). I have taken a patient stance, knowing the NHL could slow play or fast track at a moment’s notice. This does appear to be real, and I would differ a little for RJ (below). Connor McDavid and Darnell Nurse (as I understand it) would not have to be on the list (Raider Jesse confirmed that was his understanding as well).

  1. G Cam Talbot
  2. D Oscar Klefbom
  3. D Andrej Sekera
  4. D Brandon Davidson
  5. D Jason Demers (acquired via FA)
  6. C Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  7. C Leon Draisaitl
  8. L Taylor Hall
  9. R Jordan Eberle

That is my list, your mileage may vary. Remember, Edmonton loses only one player, so the way I have set it up the expansion team likely takes a LW (Pouliot, Maroon) or a young blue (Reinhart will have value to an expansion team). There is another way:

ACQUIRE OR SIGN ANOTHER SUBSTANTIAL GOALIE

TALBOT CAPTURE 1

James Reimer led the NHL in even-strength save percentage in 2015-16 (.938). He is a free agent this summer coming off a two-year deal that provided a cap hit of $2.3 million. If Peter Chiarelli signs Reimer to a multi-year contract this summer, he will have two goalies who have reasonable contracts and a good chance to show well in the coming year. If Reimer can deliver quality, Edmonton can be somewhat confident their goaltender will be chosen—effectively ensuring the rest of the roster remains intact. Failing that Chiarelli could make a deadline deal in 2017 to grab a goalie from another team, putting Edmonton in the same spot as the potential Reimer signing.

Trust me, this has worked before and it is an effective means to expansion certainty. I don’t often prattle on about my expertise (if is however implied in every line 🙂 ), but this expansion draft business has occupied a lot of my time as an adult.

One final thing: Beware of making too many expansion draft protected lists. Why?

https://twitter.com/NicholsOnHockey/status/726046707213946884

https://twitter.com/NicholsOnHockey/status/726047157237600256

I am with Raider Jesse on this one, the lottery pick will have extreme value because it can be added to the list of players who (as I understand it) are expansion draft exempt:

  1. Connor McDavid
  2. Auston Matthews
  3. Darnell Nurse
  4. Caleb Jones
  5. Ethan Bear
  6. John Marino
  7. Miroslav Svoboda
  8. Ziyat Paigin
  9. William Lagesson
  10. Anton Slepyshev
  11. Nick Ellis

That is a pretty fantastic list. Now, in drafting Matthews, it does allow Edmonton to trade a forward (perhaps Pouliot or Maroon) in an effort to improve the team. Miles and miles of words to say this: Keep the draft pick—if the plan is to expand next spring.

https://twitter.com/NHLFREEAGENTS/status/726054620909330433

Sail on, Niklas. We seriously never knew you. All the best.

I went into last year’s lottery believing Edmonton would not win and have set my mind to the same number (’11. It goes to 11′) this time. I would have liked to read the entire lottery selection document thoroughly, because Lou has been in Toronto long enough to slide a ‘trap door’ clause into it. Probably saying something like ‘if Edmonton wins the lottery, the snakes and ladders rule activates, and they slide to No. 46 overall’. You think I’m joking.

widmark

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

Instant show prep if the Oilers win! Haha. A fun show on the way, beginning at 10 this morning on TSN1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Steve Lansky, Big Mouth Sports. The lottery anticipation, NHL playoffs and the Jays.
  • Jeff Hauser, Radio Hauser. Three QBs taken on day one of the NFL draft. Which one is better?
  • Matt Iwaynk, TSN1260. Eagles make the right move with Wentz? And should Edmonton trade the lottery pick?
  • Paul Almeida, SSE. Paul has all of his candles lit for the lottery, we will discuss who to take, and who might be headed out because of it.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Talk soon!

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Showerhead

G Money,

GCW_69,

Ha, I love these stories.

Mine: I was visiting a friend to work on a community project we were working on. She and I had a bunch of interviews to sort through on my phone so I put it in airplane mode – less notifications means less interruptions, right? Anyway, as soon as we were done, I reconnected it and BOOM – angry texts from every non-Oilers-fan I know.

The problem with this scene was that my friend is not a hockey fan. She had never heard of Connor McDavid. The other problem with this scene is that my particular method of celebration started with a spin-hug and confused our friendship for the rest of summer 2015.

I do not know what this means for lottery 2016 – whether I should spend it with friends or locked up at home.

Cassandra

Also, it isn’t true that most Americans shoot right. I just looked up the first five guys on this list (http://www.quanthockey.com/nhl/nationality/active-american-nhl-players-career-stats.html) and they all shoot left.

Cassandra

Right handed people should hit right and shoot left. The reason it’s called shooting left isn’t because it is for lefties, but because they play on the left side of the ice.

Cassandra

stush18: I read somewhere that Americans shoot right because they play baseball growing up, determining their handedness.

You would need to switch the hands early on, and even then I’m more inclined to believe you cannot choose your handedness, just how proficient you are at different ones.

Be interesting to see a switch hitter hockey player tho.

I actually have played with a few guys who switch there hands around when taking faceoffs so they are always drawing towards the corner with power. All you have to do is tie them up or win it forward then because they usually can’t switch their hands

It’s the other way around. Way more Canadians hit left than Americans. About 2/3 of major league hitters hit right, but basically every Canadian major league player hits left.

Ca$h-McMoney!

GCW_69,

He’s so good, if I’m the owner of the Las Vegas franchise, I’m giving him a long term contract now and telling him to enjoy his sabbatical.

GCW_69

neojanus:
Poor Boudreau. I think this is a terrible move by the Ducks. They dominated the league for most of the season and got beat by one of the best defensive teams in the west and a very good goalie.

Teams are far too quick to relieve good coaches after slightly underachieving in a very competitive conference.

The Ducks roster is flawed a little bit in that there is too much performance pressure on two players and in playoff hockey, that can be stifled easily by the likes of Ellis, Weber, Josi, etc etc.

Ah well, the Senators will enjoy these spoils next year because Boudreau is a very good coach.

Too bad they didn’t pull the plug on him last season. I would have preferred him to TMac. Ottawa is going to get a very good coach.

GCW_69

godot10:
The Oilers need NHL players (two top 4 D mainly) more than they need prospects.

And the Oilers need to try to tempt the Bruins into taking one of the early thirds this year as compensation for Chiarelli, instead of 2017’s 2nd.

I think it takes a 3rd plus another pick given the Bruins don’t see to be interested in doing Chiarelli any favours. The Oilers are going to need to make it an offer they can’t refuse. To keep the offer sheet possibility open, its probably worth an overpay excluding paying #32 this season.

GCW_69

G Money:
Last year I assumed we would not pick 1OV so paid little attention to the whole McEichel business in the leadup.

So we had a dinner party that night (mostly non hockey interested people) and I’d sneak off now and then to check the results, hoping we’d get Hanifin.

Both the sneaking off and the drinking (and general sense of cheer) picked up markedly once the lottery was won!

Like last year, I just assume we won’t get 1OV this year, paying little attention to Matthews/Laine, and I’m still trying to convince my wife we should have a dinner party tomorrow.

But I assure you, I’m a scientist, and not superstitious in the least.Not at all. Nope.

LOL

I pretty much did the same. Didn’t pay any attention and was out with family when all of a sudden my phone lit up with texts from pissed off Leaf fans. I could not believe it.

This year, I plan to pretty much do the same. The odds are sooo long I would rather be pleasantly surprised than disappointed.

GCW_69

If Edmonton wants to keep its offer sheet options open for next season without giving up number 32 this season, they should be offering 2 of these 4 picks to Boston:

No. 62 overall
No. 85 overall (Florida pick)
No. 87 overall (Pittsburgh pick)
No. 122 overall

Boston might take it as they get the picks a year earlier and who knows were Edmonton will finish next year. If they did, then the Oilers could offer up to ~$7.3M on an offer sheet this summer.

stush18: I read somewhere that Americans shoot right because they play baseball growing up, determining their handedness.

You would need to switch the hands early on, and even then I’m more inclined to believe you cannot choose your handedness, just how proficient you are at different ones.

Be interesting to see a switch hitter hockey player tho.

I actually have played with a few guys who switch there hands around when taking faceoffs so they are always drawing towards the corner with power. All you have to do is tie them up or win it forward then because they usually can’t switch their hands

I think Woodguy wrote that here. But I don’t get that argument. Tons of players in baseball throw right and bat left.

stush18

papa96:
Hi LT, it’s been a while, but I read your blog a lot. I agree with your comments about left shooting versus right shooting D-men for the Oilers.

Maybe this is a dumb question, but given that most US players who are right-handed shoot right, and most Canadian players who are right-handed shoot left, has any Canadian coach at the junior level or higher ever made a determined effort to convert right-hand dominant players who shoot left to being RH shooters?

I read somewhere that Americans shoot right because they play baseball growing up, determining their handedness.

You would need to switch the hands early on, and even then I’m more inclined to believe you cannot choose your handedness, just how proficient you are at different ones.

Be interesting to see a switch hitter hockey player tho.

I actually have played with a few guys who switch there hands around when taking faceoffs so they are always drawing towards the corner with power. All you have to do is tie them up or win it forward then because they usually can’t switch their hands

Professor Q

papa96:
Hi LT, it’s been a while, but I read your blog a lot. I agree with your comments about left shooting versus right shooting D-men for the Oilers.

Maybe this is a dumb question, but given that most US players who are right-handed shoot right, and most Canadian players who are right-handed shoot left, has any Canadian coach at the junior level or higher ever made a determined effort to convert right-hand dominant players who shoot left to being RH shooters?

I still will never understand that.

Professor Q

Mustard Tiger,

I think they’ve done studies on this, actually. You can actually train your muscles and brain to be ambidextrous.

Mustard Tiger

papa96:
Hi LT, it’s been a while, but I read your blog a lot. I agree with your comments about left shooting versus right shooting D-men for the Oilers.

Maybe this is a dumb question, but given that most US players who are right-handed shoot right, and most Canadian players who are right-handed shoot left, has any Canadian coach at the junior level or higher ever made a determined effort to convert right-hand dominant players who shoot left to being RH shooters?

This would not happen, because by the time players are at the Junior level, they have been shooting the same way for 12 years already. Much too late to switch.

And who says right handed players should be shooting right? Calling it left/right is sort of silly anyway, because a left handed shooter will primarily have his stick only in his right hand anyway.

I’m “right-handed” (write, shoot a basketball, throw a baseball with my right hand) but golf, hockey, and swinging a baseball bat are all done “left-handed” for me.

rickithebear

Dmen top 30 in HSCA and PKGA
Top 150 PK TOI D
and
Top 225 EVTOI D

Top 5 in both: 1D
Josh Manson
top 60 Comp
#4 HSCA D
35 PKGA D

top 20 in both: 2D
Lindholm
top 60 comp
#6 HSCA D
#16 PKGA D

M. Weber
3rd/4th comp
#20 HSCA D
#9 HSCA D

TOP 30 in Both 4D
Ekholm
upper 2nd
#8 HSCA D
#30 PKGA D

Ellis
Bot 2nd comp
#13 HSCA D
#29 PKGA D

Doumolin
top 10 comp
#28 HSCA D
#18 PKGA D

Polak
bottom 3rd comp
#29 HSCA D
#27 PKGA D

Top 40 in each 1 D
Davidson
Bot 2nd comp
#37 HSCA D
#13 PKGA D

Top 50 in each
Larsson
1st comp
#15 HSCA D
#50 PKGA D

Niskanen
1st comp
#32 HSCA D
#51 PKGA D

Gunnarson
2nd comp
#34 HSCA D
#48 PK GA D

Orpik
bottom 3rd comp
#45 HSCA D
#26 PKGA D

Top 60 in both 10D
Stoner
4th comp
#11 HSCA D
#56 PKGA D

Martinez
2nd comp
#35 HSCA D
#53 PKGA D

Stralman
upper 2nd comp
#38 HSCA D
#58 PKGA D

Petry
2nd comp
#44 HSCA D
#55 PKGA D

Alzner
1st comp
#53 HSCA D
#35 PKGA D

Liles
2nd comp
#55 HSCA D
#5 PKGA D

Lovejoy
Upr 1st comp
#56 HSC AD
#24 PKGA D

Klefbom
Upr 1st comp
#57 HSCA D
#17 PKGA D

Muzzin
2nd comp
#58 HSC A D
#40 PKGA D

Holzer
3rd/4th comp D
#59 HSCA D
#2 PKAG D

—————————————————–

K. millers Career
2md/3rd comp
#20 HSCA AD
#40 PKGA D

Bohologo

godot10:

So this year…my motto is #DontCountYourChychrunsBeforeTheyHatch

You are a very bad man!

papa96

Hi LT, it’s been a while, but I read your blog a lot. I agree with your comments about left shooting versus right shooting D-men for the Oilers.

Maybe this is a dumb question, but given that most US players who are right-handed shoot right, and most Canadian players who are right-handed shoot left, has any Canadian coach at the junior level or higher ever made a determined effort to convert right-hand dominant players who shoot left to being RH shooters?

godot10:
The Oilers need NHL players (two top 4 D mainly) more than they need prospects.

And the Oilers need to try to tempt the Bruins into taking one of the early thirds this year as compensation for Chiarelli, instead of 2017’s 2nd.

Agreed on trying to get the Bruins to take a 3rd.
Agreed they need two top 4D and probably a RW if they are trading Eberle and/or Yakupov.
They also need prospects because of the possible expansion draft and moving out some vets. Need cheap replacements to fill in.

Why can’t they accomplish all of the above? Trade down from #4 and grab your pick, Chychrun, who probably will be around at #7, and pick up an extra 2nd if you can in the process. Then you can really afford to give up a 3rd this year to Boston.

john

Bohologo,

fellow gooner here.. i hate to be negative about leicester, cuz i’ve loved their season too, but it should be noted they probably cheated to get out of the championship a couple years ago (i think FFP is designed to keep rich clubs insulated from billionaire competitors):

http://www.theguardian.com/football/2016/apr/11/leicester-city-finances-football-league-financial-fair-play-investigation

godot10

The Oilers need NHL players (two top 4 D mainly) more than they need prospects.

And the Oilers need to try to tempt the Bruins into taking one of the early thirds this year as compensation for Chiarelli, instead of 2017’s 2nd.

teddyturnbuckle

I agree the Oilers need to hold on to their picks this year. This whole rebuild has been a drafting disaster and a bunch of sideway moves for valuable picks. The team is 29th and needs prospects to pull out of this hole. I’m not sure how its possible to finish 10 years out of the playoffs and have next to nothing on the farm. Mc David is young so there is time to build a cluster around him. Not what people want to hear but our current group of stars isn’t getting it done so I’m not too worried about them.

Just don’t see how #1 is in the cards this year. Guessing it will be number 4, just outside the big 3.

Very interesting article on draft pick value from another sport.

Last year using all those picks on Talbot and Reinhart may prove costly in the long run as the prospect cupboard is bare and it was a deep draft.

This year it might be fun to trade down and acquire more bullets, especially if the scouts are indeed as competent as they appeared to be when they finally got to pick. That is if the pick is 4 or below…why not trade down for more picks?

http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/15425540/a-look-won-draft-trading-game-first-night-nfl-draft

rickithebear

vinotintazo:
RE: Davidson

I think he was the team’s best dmen last year, but we also have to keep in mind that was on a 29th place team.

Now would Las Vegas consider him for their top8? idk would have to look at other team’s protected lists.

I am surprised you think the whole team plays at one time!

It is actually separate lines based on situation. 😉

wheatnoil

Friedman reports that some things may have changed re: expansion rules since the GMs meeting. He’s pretty sure the number of players, etc has stayed the same, but he’s not sure about the 25% salary rule.

So we wait.

When Chiarelli trades half the roster this summer, it’s really going to mess with all our protected lists! 🙂

rickithebear

Having NMC pending UFA to be protected exposes more talent!

Oilers top EVp/60 Seasons since l12-13 ockout:
#1 Hall 12-13 3.03
#2 Hall 13-14 2.78
#3 Mcdavid 15-16 2.75
#4 Hall 15-16 2.30
#5 Eberle 12-13 2.28
#6 Draisatl 15-16 2.19
#7 Yakupov 12-13 2.14
#8 Pouliot 15-16 2.03
#9 Eberle 14-15 1.98
#9 Pouliot 14-15 1.98
#11 Eberle 13-14 1.95
#12 RNH 14-15 1.92
#12 Perron 13-14 1.92
#14 Eberle 15-16 1.90 13gm injured 0.30; healthy 56gm 2.30
#15 Hall 14-15 1.86

Hall
Draisatl
Eberle
Pouliot

Sekera
Klefbom
Davidson
A. Larsson

Talbot

Ference announces his retirement from hockey 1 week before end of 16-17 reg. season.

If we did not trade RNH/Yak for Larsson + then RNH replaces Pouliot and Larsson is replaced by
whoever is the top 90 HSCA D we acquire this summer.

godot10

Damned lottery last year ruined the great hashtag game I had going in #JustSayNoah. It was such a bummer to have a hashtag ruined.

So this year…my motto is #DontCountYourChychrunsBeforeTheyHatch

wheatnoil

G Money:
Last year I assumed we would not pick 1OV so paid little attention to the whole McEichel business in the leadup.

So we had a dinner party that night (mostly non hockey interested people) and I’d sneak off now and then to check the results, hoping we’d get Hanifin.

Both the sneaking off and the drinking (and general sense of cheer) picked up markedly once the lottery was won!

Like last year, I just assume we won’t get 1OV this year, paying little attention to Matthews/Laine, and I’m still trying to convince my wife we should have a dinner party tomorrow.

But I assure you, I’m a scientist, and not superstitious in the least.Not at all. Nope.

Any pictures from the dinner party last year? Make sure those clothes are in the laundry tonight so they’re ready to go tomorrow. Unless they were stained last year… then you definitely need to re-stain them. How was the living room arranged? What was made for supper? Who did you invite? Where the hell is my rabbit’s foot???

G Money

Last year I assumed we would not pick 1OV so paid little attention to the whole McEichel business in the leadup.

So we had a dinner party that night (mostly non hockey interested people) and I’d sneak off now and then to check the results, hoping we’d get Hanifin.

Both the sneaking off and the drinking (and general sense of cheer) picked up markedly once the lottery was won!

Like last year, I just assume we won’t get 1OV this year, paying little attention to Matthews/Laine, and I’m still trying to convince my wife we should have a dinner party tomorrow.

But I assure you, I’m a scientist, and not superstitious in the least. Not at all. Nope.

Ca$h-McMoney!

Gerry Flemming is really impressed with Dillon Simpson.

I know it’s wrong to put too much emphasis on these things, but I’ve liked what I’ve seen of the kid since draft day. Steady improvement.

I’m crossing my fingers the Simpson today is basically Brandon Davidson from 24 months ago.

ashley

I don’t think drafting for need is the path to success. Drafting is really hard. To skip over talented players to fill some organizational need is bound to backfire. To go even further and be really picky about the organizational need (ie we need a Dman now, but must be RHD) would really handcuff professional talent-assessors and roster-builders in a process that is already filled with landmines at every turn.

Or maybe they will get really lucky with a reach for a RHD when other better ranked players are available to be picked? Perhaps. It’s the NHL draft after all, and there is more than a little luck involved. But the history suggests that the odds would be against them being reliably successful..

I’m hoping for 1OV tomorrow and if not us then the Leafs so we don’t drop to 5. Worst outcome? One of the 1-2%ers wins like Carolina or Boston. Check that, there is something much worse than that which I can’t even stomach mentioning.

Go Oilers Go.

SwedishPoster

Lowetide,

Cool. I like the player. Bit of a project and far from a sure bet but with absolute upside. I like him far more than some if the more hyped D prospects this draft.

vinotintazo

RE: Davidson

I think he was the team’s best dmen last year, but we also have to keep in mind that was on a 29th place team.

Now would Las Vegas consider him for their top 8? idk would have to look at other team’s protected lists.

vinotintazo

gerberoo: exposing pending UFA’s would be pointless.

I know its pointless, but I see no mention on twitter that says Pending UFAs with NMC do not count.

obviously I hope he doesnt count.

commonfan29
gerberoo

vinotintazo: its a grey area, ference becomes UFA July 1st, expansion draft will be before that.

It won’t be a grey area at all, exposing pending UFA’s would be pointless. You need to remember that the rules of expansion are not set up to screw over the existing teams but instead to provide a decent talent pool for the expansion teams to pick from. Having a huge list of guys that are about to be a UFA in a week to select from doesn’t help the expansion team in any way. Pending UFA’s won’t be part of it.

New Improved Darkness

Bruce misspelled Saint Bowman as “Satn Bowman” in his piece today. I’m surprised it didn’t come out “Satin”. In any case, Bruce needs to get his digital cross-overs under better control. While he’s there, he might also take a hack at “waivrs”.

———

Is it just me, or am I the only person who will show up in the mourning throng with a placard reading “waivers 4 wavers” when Charles ascends?

After having a black American president, perhaps the next step is to have an African commonwealth nation upgrade themselves to the commonwealth realm. Even with Charles freshly installed under the helm, I think Kenya would think long and hard about letting this once-in-a-confederation opportunity to have it both ways slip off the wire (an American president and a British king—Safi! [†]).

What a graceful way to say “so long, and thanks for the fish”. No buy-out. No exchange of damaged assets. Just a simple, sad sayonara. Bu-bye.

———

[†] Google translate tells me “Safi” is Swahili for “woohoo”, but other sources tell me “safi” means “clean”. Next stop, obtain Google Translate’s verdict on “Gorbachev Sings Tractors: Turnip! Buttocks!”

———

(Relax people, I agglomerated my Vitamix with politically-charged Goji berries just to make a leaf-culture mocking hockey joke. Humour, it’s a thing.)

gerberoo

vinotintazo: I had davidson there changed him last minute, I think Reinhart has more market value, but Davidson has more value to the oil, also Chia traded for this guy, you think he will not protect him?

if Davidson has another great season then I guess they have to protect him.

Davidson is close to being a top four defenseman now and Reinhart is struggling to be a six and his upside is as a potential top 4 defenseman. No competition in my mind but you are right that we will need to re-evaluate this all after watching another season play out.

vinotintazo

gerberoo: Ference won’t have a contract by the time the expansion draft hits

its a grey area, ference becomes UFA July 1st, expansion draft will be before that.

Also no words on players allowed to waive this.

gerberoo

monsterbater,

Ference won’t have a contract by the time the expansion draft hits so it doesn’t matter. Also they have agreed on the rules as of today. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2636655-nhl-nhlpa-agree-to-expansion-draft-rules-latest-details-comments-reaction

vinotintazo

Ca$h-McMoney!:
vinotintazo,

You’d protect Reinhart over Davidson?

I had davidson there changed him last minute, I think Reinhart has more market value, but Davidson has more value to the oil, also Chia traded for this guy, you think he will not protect him?

if Davidson has another great season then I guess they have to protect him.

Mariusz Czerkawski

Last time i checked they haven’t announced expansion yet. We can all get into a huff over worrying about ference and his NMC, or we can wait to see if it actually happens next summer. I say this with the understanding from a previous report that the NHL would need to give the new team over a year’s notice that they have been awarded a team. Since the expansion draft would have likely have to occur before next years draft i am surmising that the announcement of expansion would have to come prior to this year’s buyout window. If that’s the case, then chiarelli can make a decision on whether to buyout ference (if possible) at that time.

gerberoo

vinotintazo:
I hope Ference gets bought out then.

my Protected.
FWDs:
1)Hall
2)RNH
3)Ebs
4)Draisaitl
5)Poo
6)Maroon
7)Yak

Defense:
1)Kbom
2)Sekera
3)Reinhart(Ference)

Goal:
1)Talbot

Obiously this is with current roster. if players are traded/signed, then I assume those players will be protected.

You’re okay with exposing Davidson? I would be exposing Reinhart instead.

Ca$h-McMoney!

vinotintazo,

You’d protect Reinhart over Davidson?

Ca$h-McMoney!

vinotintazo: So you’re saying teams wont extend their Pending UFAs next year because of expansion?

I guess that makes sense. hmmm…

I guess I’m saying, where teams are looking to extend a UFA, that they will make an informal deal with them and then close it on July 2.

I realize it’s probably in violation of the CBA. I don’t think it matters and will happen anyway because people won’t be able to prove it.

It’s what I would do. It’s also probably what Lou would do.

“Hey, Brent, this is a deal that works for both of us. Let’s trust each other to sign it and shake on it instead. We’ll get this done in early July. That’s going to help make sure we can ice the best possible team next year and go for a cup. Agreed?”

It’ll happen.

gerberoo

speeds: He has a NMC

Yep, Toews, Kane, Hossa, Seabrook, Hjalmarsson, Keith and Crawford all have to be protected due to NMC’s.

vinotintazo

I hope Ference gets bought out then.

my Protected.
FWDs:
1)Hall
2)RNH
3)Ebs
4)Draisaitl
5)Poo
6)Maroon
7)Yak

Defense:
1)Kbom
2)Sekera
3)Reinhart(Ference)

Goal:
1)Talbot

Obiously this is with current roster. if players are traded/signed, then I assume those players will be protected.

Lois Lowe

At one point in my life I chose Leicester as my EPL team for no particular reason except that I couldn’t pronounce their name properly. I almost always choose a team that’s terrible enough to never have a shot at winning lest I be labelled a bandwagoner.

Last year though, I decided that I would go all in on Aston Villa and this year they were relegated. It feels more appropriate than Leicester for me, but I am really happy for the long suffering fans of the Lions.

speeds

Snowman: Seabrook is a no brainer. His contract is atrocious. I’d imagine they’re banking on expansion to get rid of that deal.

He has a NMC

Snowman

gerberoo:
Also the Blackhawks wouldn’t have a problem with the number of players they can protect but since there is the dollar value that needs to be exposed they might have to expose someone or two guys they really don’t want to. If they have to expose 25% of their payroll to the process it gets challenging:

Total Payroll – $69,329,462
Kane – 15.15%
Toews – 15.15%
Hossa – 7.6%
Anisimov – 4.7%
Kruger – 4.4%
Shaw – Estimate – 5%
Teravainen – 1.2%
Keith – 7.9%
Seabrook – 9.9%
Hjalmarsson – 5.9%
Crawford – 8.7%

Total = 85.6%
That means they need to expose another 10.6% and that’s two of the higher paid players above.

Seabrook is a no brainer. His contract is atrocious. I’d imagine they’re banking on expansion to get rid of that deal.

Cassandra

gerberoo,

Shattenkirk will be gone by then. They won’t want to protect Stastny. No problems here.

No one is going to care about not protecting expensive veterans.