THE OILERS AND THE KINGDOM OF SWEDEN (2016 DRAFT)

Since 2008, the Edmonton Oilers have chosen six prospects from Sweden and their return on investment has been good. Will the team spend resources there in 2016?

NHL PLAYERS/SWEDISH PLAYERS DRAFTED BY YEAR

  • 2015 NHL draft—211 total players, 18 from Sweden
  • 2014 NHL draft—210 total players, 29 from Sweden
  • 2013 NHL draft—211 total players, 26 from Sweden
  • 2012 NHL draft–211 total players, 21 from Sweden
  • 2011 NHL draft, 211 total players, 25 from Sweden
  • 2010 NHL draft 210 total players, 21 from Sweden
  • 2009 NHL draft, 211 total players, 22 from Sweden
  • 2008 NHL draft,  211 total players, 19 from Sweden
  • FINAL TALLY: 1,686 total players, 181 from SEL
  • PERCENTAGE: 10.7%

OILERS PLAYERS/SWEDISH PLAYERS DRAFTED BY YEAR

  • 2015 NHL draft—6 total players, 0 from Sweden
  • 2014 NHL draft—6 total players, 1 from Sweden
  • 2013 NHL draft—10 total players, 0 from Sweden
  • 2012 NHL draft–7 total players, 1 from Sweden
  • 2011 NHL draft–9 total players, 1 from the Sweden
  • 2010 NHL draft–11 total players, 1 from the Sweden
  • 2009 NHL draft–7 total players, 2 from the Sweden
  • 2008 NHL draft–5 total players, 0 from the Sweden
  • FINAL TALLY: 61 total players, 6 from the Sweden
  • PERCENTAGE: 9.8%

Oilers are taking kids from Sweden about as often as the rest of the league, and—uniquely among European nations—spent some first-round selections on kids from the kingdom.

THE SIX SWEDES

  1. Johan Motin, 103rd overall in 2008 (1 NHL game). He is now 26, has played 288 SHL games and appears to be a productive defensive defender. His selection didn’t benefit the Oilers much but he has enjoyed a strong pro career. I would call that a successful selection in terms of talent identification.
  2. Magnus Paajarvi 10th overall in 2009 (276 NHL games). Now 25, scoring remains his only real issue. NHL speed plus, he is a responsible player who is reaching the point where coaches count on him. If he could only score 15 goals a year (he did as a rookie).
  3. Anton Lander 40th overall in 2009 (193 NHL games). Lander is 25 and looked as though he had arrived under Todd Nelson a year ago. This year he had a strong TC and spent the rest of the season being a day late and a dollar short. He has a contract for next year but will need to have a tremendous season if he has any chance to remain after 2016-17.
  4. Oscar Klefbom 19th overall in 2011 (107 NHL games) At 22, and with 107 NHL games, I am pretty certain Klefbom will be a very successful two-way defender in this league if he can stay healthy. In terms of value, he represents one of the best selections of the Stu MacGregor era.
  5. Erik Gustafsson 93rd overall in 2012 (signed with Chicago this spring) (41 NHL games) He is 24, and enjoyed a strong rookie season with the Chicagos. No reason to believe he will take a giant step back, so worth giving the scouts a check mark on this player.
  6. William Lagesson 91st overall in 2014. He is 20 and could turn pro, but Edmonton leads the league in defensive defenders who shoot left. I think he might be a good prospect, difficult to suss out NCAA players of this type (the boxcars don’t help much and we don’t see them). Based on his usage and performance at the WJCs, he is a fine prospect.

TOP PLAYERS FROM SWEDEN, 2016 DRAFT

  1. C Rasmus Asplund, Farjestads (SHL). He is 6.0, 180 and quality two-way forward.
  2. G Filip Gustavsson, Lulea (SHL): Big G with a .910 SHL SP. Impressive.
  3. L Jonathan Dahlen, Timra (Allsvenskan). Ulf’s boy, slick and brilliant.
  4. RD Filip Berglund, Skelleftea AIK (SuperElite). Intriguing offense, may take awhile.
  5. L Carl Grundstrom, MoDo (SHL): Speedy scoring-winger playing Euro pro.
  6. C Linus Lindstrom, Skelleftea (SuperElite). Swede with two-way skills.
  7. R Jesper Bratt, AIK (Allsvenskan). Very small, very skilled. Fast buzzsaw.
  8. LD Sebastian Aho, Skelleftea (SHL). Undersized, puck moving defenseman. Fascinating prospect. This is the third draft I have ranked him.
  9. LD Jacob Moverare, HV71 (SuperElite). Two-way D, strong, mobile.
  10. LD Lucas Carlsson, Brynas (SHL). Two-way defenseman, eligible last year.
  11. G Daniel Marmenlind, Orebro (SuperElite). Strong numbers (.920)
  12. C Oskar Steen, Farjestads (SuperElite). Small F with skill, average offense.
  13. LD David Bernhardt, Djurgardens (SuperElite). Interesting prospect. Can move the puck, has good speed, overall ranking curious.
  14. R Jonathan Davidsson, Djurgaden (Super-Elite). Impressive skill winger, ranked him last season too.
  15. W Mathias From, Rogle (SuperElite). Good speed, range of skills, shy offense.
  16. R Fredrik Forsberg, Leksands (SuperElite). There is something I do not know about him, so I put him here. Based on math, he is a brilliant player at his current level (SuperElite) but has been in that league for some time. If the Oilers draft him late, they have a pretty substantial offensive prospect—I just don’t have any idea at what level he would stop scoring.
  17. C-W Alexander Bjurstrom, Brynas (SuperElite). Not much on him. Smaller, some skill.
  18. LD Matias Lassen, Leksands (Allsvenskan). He appears to have some ability offensively.
  19. L Fredrik Karlstrom, AIK (SuperElite). Bigger winger with some skill.
  20. LD Alexander Younan, HV71 (Allsvenskan). Two-way defender, he’s also played quite a bit internationally. Smart and skilled, according to Elite Prospects.
  21. LD Linus Nassen, Lulea (SuperElite). Intriguing player, has some skill. 6.0, 172.
  22. LD Petter Hansson, Linkoping (Super-Elite). Skilled defender, decent size. Rangy.
  23. RD Jacob Cederholm, HV71 (SuperElite). Big defensive defender.
  24. G Robin Jensen, Djurgarden (SuperElite). 20, so older for that league. .923SP.
  25. L Sebastian Ohlsson, Skelleftea (SHL). Small skill F showed well at U18’s.
  26. R Adam Brodecki, Brynas (SHL). Scoring winger.
  27. LD Hugo Danielsson, Skelleftea (SuperElite). 6.03, 187 and not much offense.
  28. L Filip Lestan, HV71 (SuperElite). 6.05, 192 winger. No offense, but he is a giant.

Edmonton has enjoyed some real success with Swedish prospects, and there are some really interesting players here. I hope Edmonton takes a long look at prospects like Dahlen, Berglund, Bratt, Aho, Davidsson and Forsberg. Although math only gets you so far, Sweden has delivered some nice prospects to Edmonton in the last few years. Another Swedish draft pick this year makes sense.

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44 Responses to "THE OILERS AND THE KINGDOM OF SWEDEN (2016 DRAFT)"

  1. Ducey says:

    Meh, these guys are part of the reason the Oilers suck.

    MPS has that wimpy wrister and can’t find the net, Lander fell down a manhole, Klef can’t stay healthy, Gustaffson was a LH 3rd pairing D (on a team full of them).

    The next Swede they draft might just decide not to show up, for his own good 🙂

  2. Alpine says:

    Not a Swedish player, but here’s a full game highlight package for Chychrun if anyone’s interested. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VyjamZQqm0M

    Chychrun is probably the best skater of the big three D at top of the draft, and the most physical for sure. Puck handling and passing looks good too.

    If I were VAN, I’d pick him on the basis that you need to develop a top pairing D early in a rebuild, and none of forwards presumably left at 5 are dynamos. If he were RH, I’d want the Oilers to flip a coin between him and Dubois.

  3. RexLibris says:

    That RD Berglund might be worth a look with a depth pick, assuming he’s available.

    They could sit on him as a prospect playing overseas for a few years and see what happens. But a RHD playing in a men’s league at this tender age is an up arrow.

    Wonder what Frank Musil things of him?

    Same holds true for the F Forsberg. Surnames aside, in the draft you ALWAYS take skill. Worst case scenario you’ve got a skilled forward who won’t sign and you move him for a pick. Best case scenario is that in a few years’ time you have a potential scoring forward available to come over in his early 20s and on an ELC.

    I should amend that, though.

    Oilers worst case scenario is that he trends to become a 60pt scoring winger but your GM refuses to sign him over a 50K signing bonus so you trade him for a 4th line AHL plugger who’s “good in the room”.

  4. Rondo says:

    Alpine,

    3 goals 62 games even strength. Chychrun not a top 5 pick.

    http://new.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/team_players/54/15

  5. Clay says:

    Ducey:
    Meh, these guys are part of the reason the Oilers suck.

    MPS has that wimpy wrister and can’t find the net, Lander fell down a manhole, Klef can’t stay healthy, Gustaffson was a LH 3rd pairing D (on a team full of them).

    The next Swede they draft might just decide not to show up, for his own good

    Don’t hold back, Ducey. Tell us how you really feel 🙂

  6. Centre of attention says:

    RexLibris:
    That RD Berglund might be worth a look with a depth pick, assuming he’s available.

    They could sit on him as a prospect playing overseas for a few years and see what happens. But a RHD playing in a men’s league at this tender age is an up arrow.

    Absolutely fascinated by this prospect. He’s got size as well as scoring, listed 6′ 3” & 209lbs. 19 goals 41 points in 43 games as a RHD. He must have something wrong with him as there is absolutely no hype around him. (skating?)

    NHL Central scouting has him as the #33 Euro skater after having him not ranked during mid terms. So maybe somebody is catching on.

  7. godot10 says:

    Rondo:
    Alpine,

    3 goals 62 games even strength. Chychrun not a top 5 pick.

    http://new.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/team_players/54/15

    I think somebody posted the other day that Doughty had 5 even strength goals in his draft year.

    Juolevi had 5 this year. Only 18 even strenght points. In 57 games.
    Chychrun had 21 even strength points in 62 games.
    (Sergachev 9 even strength goals and 26 even strength points, 67 games).

  8. square_wheels says:

    I’m once again in some sort of Twillight Zone.

    A large Canadian city and home to dozens of friends and colleagues is on fire and being evacuated.

    And Trump essentially the Republican nominee now, Cruz quit.

    Pours 4 fingers of Gentleman Jack…….

  9. PunjabiOil says:

    Bob Stauffer did an AMA

    https://m.reddit.com/r/EdmontonOilers/comments/4hqjk1/this_is_bob_stauffer_ama/

    Alot of interesting stuff. Suspects 2 defencemen, one will come via trade. Demers via UFA?

    Says if Oilers pick at 4th, Dubois or Tkachuk.

    Hoping Dubois. Have him ranked higher than JP.

  10. russ99 says:

    Really scary about Fort McMurray, hope everyone stays safe.

  11. JDï™ says:

    russ99:
    Really scary about Fort McMurray, hope everyone stays safe.

    Fuck the flames.

    Seriously. Fuck them.

  12. sliderule says:

    Rondo,

    Eight even strength goals in only 42 games as a 16 year old

    Chychrun is a top 10 pick.

  13. sliderule says:

    The top three defencemen will all play as a top four or top two within three years.

    It’s not based on my viewings it is based on boxes for draftees over past ten years.

    I just know my team is going to screw it up and pick another winger.

    The defencemen have skating ,size and produce points.

    Dubois has produced in Q but that league has to have points produced reduced by history.

    Tkachuk didn’t score that many goals and you have to discount some of his assists considering the power house team he plays for.

    The oilers major need is a stud defenceman who can play big minutes.

    Good luck in trading for that.

  14. square_wheels says:

    russ99,

    Colleague lost his house tonight, it’s insane up there. Thankfully our camps can accommodate thousands and we have planes hauling people out.

  15. godot10 says:

    sliderule:

    Dubois has produced in Q but that league has to have points produced reduced by history.

    Nathan MacKinnon, Jonathan Huberdeau, Sean Couturier

    In the top prospects game, Dubois showed well against his mostly older peers.

    I sort of think the pick is going for a veteran D, so it is pointless to get too worked up about it. But I have no problem with picking Dubois at #4OV.

  16. sliderule says:

    godot10: Nathan MacKinnon, Jonathan Huberdeau, Sean Couturier

    In the top prospects game, Dubois showed well against his mostly older peers.

    I sort of think the pick is going for a veteran D, so it is pointless to get too worked up about it.But I have no problem with picking Dubois at #4OV.

    I would say all three of those are examples of Q players under delivering considering their scoring in Q

    No matter the oil seem determined to build up their front end.

    This coming winter when everyone is whining about the defence and how the players we have hope for are not delivering I will not be smug just sad.

  17. stush18 says:

    So what about the fourth overall pick for Ryan storms and hamonic? Is that fair value?

    Strome has four points in six playoff games and is scratched again tonight. Seems like a fair deal to me, I would be happy adding to it

  18. unca miltie says:

    square_wheels,

    Sad, sad situation. Spent 15 wonderful years up there. Sound like a terrible situation.

  19. Halfwise says:

    unca miltie:
    square_wheels,

    Sad, sad situation. Spent 15 wonderful years up there. Sound like a terrible situation.

    Ditto, ten years plus lots of fly in fly out. What a run of tough times for those still there: job losses, cutbacks, long term stress then lose your house and family treasures.

  20. wheatnoil says:

    Halfwise: Ditto, ten years plus lots of fly in fly out. What a run of tough times for those still there: job losses, cutbacks, long term stress then lose your house and family treasures.

    Grew up there. Parents moved away a couple years ago but my dad still flies in to work. He’s getting flown out now as they empty the camps to make room for evacuees.

    One road in and out. I can’t imagine being stuck in traffic with flames all around.

    Man.

    For those able, I know the Red Cross has a donation page for the disaster.

  21. square_wheels says:

    Halfwise,

    I can’t look at my texts anymore tonight, it’s just all horrible news.

    Fuck.

  22. pocession charge says:

    sliderule:

    This coming winter when everyone is whining about the defence and how the players we have hope for are not delivering I will not be smug just sad.

    You mean drafting a rookie defenseman is going to solve the team’s defensive problems next year? You might want to re-evaluate your position.

  23. Oilspill says:

    Problem getting free agents to EDMONTON means having to pay a huge premium that puts us in a position where we end up getting the guys with very few opportunities elsewhere. Then if they don’t work out we can’t move them anywhere ..see Mark Fayne, Nikita Nikitin et AL.
    We need a to develop a winning culture. That is key to getting good UFA’S at fair value. Taxation in Canada, small market team, radical fans, losing tradition, colder than fk winters are all things working against us.

  24. sliderule says:

    pocession charge,

    It would give us hope.

    Drafting another forward who are readily available as UFAs gives no hope.

  25. Receptor Antagonist says:

    JDï™: Fuck the flames.

    Seriously. Fuck them.

    Thread winner.

  26. Ryan says:

    Ducey:
    Meh, these guys are part of the reason the Oilers suck.

    MPS has that wimpy wrister and can’t find the net, Lander fell down a manhole, Klef can’t stay healthy, Gustaffson was a LH 3rd pairing D (on a team full of them).

    The next Swede they draft might just decide not to show up, for his own good

    I don’t know what’s sadder, the Oilers drafting record outside of the first round or their ability to get anything out of their few successful picks (Gustafsson, Reider). 🙁

  27. kinger_OIL says:

    Oilspill,

    OIL says: “We need a to develop a winning culture. That is key to getting good UFA’S at fair value”

    – Are you drunk? 8 years old? How do you develop a winning culture without getting UFA’s?

    – Or do we develop a winning culture by promoting Musil, Simpson as our missing 2 needed D, and Sleppy JarJar and Yak2 for the toughness we need: win with them, to develop the winning culture?

  28. Ryan says:

    Every time I hear, “broken up by Edmundson,” I almost feel like we’re in the playoffs.

  29. Pretendergast says:

    kinger_OIL,

    trade, draft, you know, those other ways to get players.

  30. BONVIE says:

    Colin Wilson has sure developed into a beautiful two way player, I was one of the guys that used to believe a Gagner for Wilson trade was possible. I assume he has become unattainable now, but Edmonton needs wingers who play the game the right way more than they need defense. I think one 1st pair Dman and four new forwards are needed. This is the biggest difference i have seen from the playoff teams and the Oilers is the way the forwards play their positions, with both the structure and intensity.

    I have been watching a ton of playoff hockey especially with my Washington team and it makes me wonder where did Yakapov learn to play this way, its pretty much the exact opposite way The Russians play on the Capitols i mean there all beauties. I guess this is why Yakapov will likely never make a Russian squad. Watching as a coach and as a fan I can’t understand why Yakapov never got benched for the way he plays in his own zone. I cant say i have even had a Midget player not be able to read when the puck was being reversed out the weak side but he just never gets to his wall in a timely fashion, and always loses the puck battles. He will skate hard to the puck battle the coast and reach then shadow the player he lost the puck battle to. Then we have Eberle that can play good in his own zone and can win puck battles but chooses not to engage consistently, its really sad his career has tapered off with his lack of cosistency I mean these are now his prime years, and he should have been a key to the transition to the Oilers becoming a playoff team but his consistency really lacked this year.

    I see the number one enemy of the Oilers as the inability to bring a consistent work ethic and level of play especially with the forwards. Maroon was a very good pickup, and Khaira I believe is ready, but thats not enough. Yakapov has to be traded or sent to the minors and any forward brought in has to bring his work boots.

    Edmonton has a lot of very good Dman but the problem is they are all rookies or 2nd years we need one Veteran Right Dman who is used to playing against the oppositions best.

  31. Lowetide says:

    A quick request for everyone to be respectful please and thanks.

  32. Ryan says:

    BONVIE,

    What the Oilers need is to hire someone who has a background in managing and projecting financial assets.

    The Sharks have been doing this for a decade.

    Player valuations based on age, position, projection, comparable aging curves…When to buy.., when to unload (Heatley).

    What type of players are the best currency to draft based on mathematical models and comparables.

    Analysis of where to spend cap dollars and where not to (4rth liners).

    How to red flag developing assets and sell before their trade value is nadda (Yakupov)…

    The Oilers never seem to get more than incrementally smarter at doing anything.

  33. pocession charge says:

    sliderule:
    pocession charge,

    It would give us hope.

    Drafting another forward who are readily available as UFAs gives no hope.

    I’m not looking for hope, just a solid plan. None of this year’s group of defence is likely going to play in the NHL next year. None will be impactful for 3-5 years. Nurse and Reinhart are both high draft picks who are struggling to be effective NHL’ers so why are you assuming these defence prospects aren’t going to? The Oilers don’t have any forward prospect depth. A guy like PLD would be given the chance to develop properly and bolster a team that will need forward help in 3-5 years. Can you say with certainty that Chychrun, Juolevi, or Sergachev will be better than Klefbom, Davidson, Nurse, and Reinhart in 3 years, let alone next year?

  34. Suntory Hanzo says:

    russ99,

    When you wrote this, I thoughtof a diffferent kind of Fire. All the way through University I worked downtown for Parlee McLaws on the Syncrude Explosion/fire of 1984. Spent 4 years doing trial prep on that case.

    I hope it all turns out ok. Weird weather. Snow storms some places of the country, and in the Lower Mainland here, it has been crazy hot for a while now.

  35. Kepler62 says:

    Filip Berglund should be a high profile target for the Oil this year – Ethan Bear, Caleb Jones, and Berglund would be a nice restocking of the RD cupboard. 4-5 years later they could have a nice problem on their hands.

    Moving forward I’d like to see the Oilers put a real emphasis on scouting, analytics, and development. They are finally at a point where the NHL team is full and prospects can be allowed to take normal developmental paths — the next decade should see perfect handling of prospects who only graduate when they are ready. Finding/developing useful depth players in the later rounds will be important.

  36. BONVIE says:

    Ryan:
    BONVIE,

    What the Oilers need is to hire someone who has a background in managing and projecting financial assets.

    The Sharks have been doing this for a decade.

    Player valuations based on age, position, projection, comparable aging curves…When to buy.., when to unload (Heatley).

    What type of players are the best currency to draft based on mathematical models and comparables.

    Analysis of where to spend cap dollars and where not to (4rth liners).

    How to red flag developing assets and sell before their trade value is nadda (Yakupov)…

    The Oilers never seem to get more than incrementally smarter at doing anything.

    What was our hurry to move out our veterans and developing players for nothing. I am watching Hemsky tonight in a support roll with Faska, some really nice backchecks angling off the puck carrier right into the defense. Veterans playing the right way, we could have used more of this last yearon our 2nd or 3rd lines.

    I watch Horcoff and Brodziak play as roll players we could have used that veteran work ethic from guys like that. Reider slipped out from under us, again a small player but he plays the right way with a great work ethic nice skater.

    Curtis Hamilton was tracking nice but instead we sign the other Hamilton who is just not NHL material and much too old to invest in. I watched a Hartikannen, Rjalla, and Horak all tracking well to take a spot on the Oilers 4th line, and all slipped away.

    I think the scouting takes too much blame and the Oilers management don’t take enough blame. I mean McTavish still has a job and Stu McGregor and his staff all got turfed. McTavish ran a top 10 goalie in his prime right out of town for basically nothing, then proceeded to replace him by blowing all of Stu’s prime draft picks, picking up Scrivens and Fasth.

  37. BONVIE says:

    Also we have been a last or near last team for the last 6 years but managed to pick up only two useful players in Ryan Jones, and to a lesser extent Luke Gadzic, and this season maybe Pardy. This is terrible good useful players are constantly getting slipped into the waiver. Sather used to snag at least a player every year and he was usually near the top of the standings and bottom of the waiver wire.

    Our targets should be players 22-28 bubbling under.

  38. smellyglove says:

    https://twitter.com/TSNSimmer/status/727591197695447040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

    Shawn Simpson
    ‏@TSNSimmer
    Brian Burke & Bob Murray both love Dallas Eakins.

  39. Fog of Warts says:

    PunjabiOil: Bob Stauffer did an AMA

    I take many things into consideration when evaluating the game. The Oilers blogosphere is knowledgeable and passionate. Some of the Oilers bloggers outwork some media personalities I know…lol

    Nothing escapes a hardworking blogger armed with hardworking spies.

  40. GCW_69 says:

    If they can trade with the islanders and move, say, Nuge and Fayne ($1m salary retained) for Hamonic and Strome or Nelson and trade yak for Severson then a full court press on Demers gets you a playoff calibre defence without trading the pick while retaining centre depth. If it’s Eberle and Fayne, then Strome shoots right and you put him with McDavid.

  41. GCW_69 says:

    smellyglove:
    https://twitter.com/TSNSimmer/status/727591197695447040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

    Shawn Simpson
    ‏@TSNSimmer
    Brian Burke & Bob Murray both love Dallas Eakins.

    Please be the flames, please be the flames, please be the flames…

  42. GCW_69 says:

    Ryan:
    BONVIE,

    What the Oilers need is to hire someone who has a background in managing and projecting financial assets.

    The Sharks have been doing this for a decade.

    Player valuations based on age, position, projection, comparable aging curves…When to buy.., when to unload (Heatley).

    What type of players are the best currency to draft based on mathematical models and comparables.

    Analysis of where to spend cap dollars and where not to (4rth liners).

    How to red flag developing assets and sell before their trade value is nadda (Yakupov)…

    The Oilers never seem to get more than incrementally smarter at doing anything.

    Well said.

  43. sliderule says:

    pocession charge,

    History shows that players with boxes like the three top defencemen in draft will all be better than any defencemen on the oilers.

    Considering how poor our defence is it should be within three years.

  44. StixMalone says:

    smellyglove:
    https://twitter.com/TSNSimmer/status/727591197695447040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

    Shawn Simpson
    ‏@TSNSimmer
    Brian Burke & Bob Murray both love Dallas Eakins.

    Oh that would be suicidal for the Flames! I am going on record of being in favour of it and would 100% Love to see and hear Flame nation go berserk! Let someone else feel our pain for once…..

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