This may be the last quiet moment we get before draft night, and I would like to spend a few minutes looking at the No. 4 overall selection. Edmonton could trade down, but honestly it feels like a distant bell at this time.
Matt Tkachuk’s boxcars are incredible. In 57 regular-season games, he posted 30-77-107 totals, close to two points-per-game. In 18 playoff games, the numbers were 20-20-40. In 75 games in the OHL this year (regular and playoff), Matt Tkachuk scored 50-97-147. The mind struggles to put this into perspective, but failing a trip to the 1980s were are on our own.
- Even-strength points-per-game: 1.10
- Power play point-per-game: 0.737
- Estimated TOI even strength: 15:39
- Estimated even-strength points-per-60: 4.24
The one area that Tkachuk does not perform at what might be considered an elite level is Even-Strength Primary Points-per-game. Here are the top 2016 eligible players in the OHL and their numbers.
- Alex DeBrincat—0.883
- Adam Mascherin—0.854
- Taylor Raddysh—0.657
- Matt Tkachuk—0.649
Primary points are goals or first assists. DeBrincat is a guy who shows up in good spots all over the place, and I have ranked him No. 15, Mascherin No. 22 and Raddysh No. 24. My list is here.
The reason it is a point of interest? Pierre-Luc Dubois and his number in the same discipline.
- Pierre-Luc Dubois .855
- Vitalii Abramov .730
- Pascal Laberge .589
- Brandon Gignac .552
- Maxime Fortier .529
Final thing: The WHL. I think it very likely Tyler Benson goes in the first round, but notice the dip at the top end in terms of performance. The WHL is having a down year, and these numbers suggest math and the scouts have correctly identified where the talent lies this year. I would still take Benson in the first round.
- Dillon Dube .585
- Tyler Benson .567
- Dante Hannoun .521
- Ty Ronning .507
- Noah Gregor .472