Jordan Oesterle makes a lot of sense to me as the 7D entering training camp. If we can agree that Oscar Klefbom, Adam Larsson, Andrej Sekera, Mark Fayne, Brandon Davidson and Darnell Nurse are the top 6D, I think Jordan Oesterle could be a very useful 7.
OILERS 15-16 BLUE (SORTED BY CORSI REL VIA BTN)
This is BTN and Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com information (trending away from War-on-Ice) from this past season. I prefer Corsi Rel, so they are sorted in that manner, I know there are other metrics out there and hopefully we will see the G Money metrics soon (they look very good). Oesterle played in 17 games, that isn’t enough to project him into the lineup next season as a regular. Still, it looks from here as though he might be able to handle the third pairing if Edmonton went that route. Oesterle has terrific speed and has adapted very quickly to the pro game.
DYLAN WELLS AT NO. 123
- The Black Book: No. 97. Despite struggling quite a bit this season, Dylan Wells is still an intriguing goaltending prospect for the 2016 NHL draft. A big bodied, goaltender who moves well in his crease, Wells possesses good size and mobility between the pipes. A goaltender who is at his best when he gets to the top of his crease and challenges shooters, Wells does an excellent job of battling through screens and tracking pucks in traffic. Dylan plays his angles well, however when he is struggling rebound control is one of his issues.
- Future Considerations: No. 111. Wells is an intermediate-sized goalie who moves fluidly in the crease. He is a kid who has had an up and down season so far. He tracks the puck very well, something that is enhanced with his excellent positioning and his ability to follow and anticipate the play in front of him. Wells is very calm and does not show any signs of panic or distress, even when facing heavy traffic.
- Brock Otten, OHL Prospects. Like most top picks these days, Wells brings both size and athleticism to the crease and he’s worked hard to improve his rebound control and positioning. He can still overcommit when you get him moving side to side, but he’s a really solid goaltending prospect and I think that by season’s end, he’ll be the starter in Peterborough.
- Don Brennan, Ottawa Sun (re: Cody Ceci): Discussions on a new deal for the 22-year-old defenceman recently came to a halt, fuelling speculation that Senators GM Pierre Dorion and Ceci’s agent, J.P. Barry, are a considerable distance apart in their attempts at coming to an agreement. Source
Ceci is an interesting player. He is a RHD, has some offense (0.98 5×5 per 60) but had a terrible possession number (44.5 Corsi for 5×5 percentage) during a difficult year. He was a solid defender before last season, suspect he is a reasonable bet moving forward. A name to add to the pile.
Brandon Montour photo by Mark Williams
- LD Hampus Lindholm, Anaheim Ducks. The impossible dream.
- LD Cam Fowler, Anaheim Ducks. The possible dream.
- RD Tyson Barrie, Colorado Avalanche. Sounds like he is staying. Next year?
- RD Matt Dumba, Minnesota Wild. Talented, but has chaos in his game.
- RD Cody Ceci, Ottawa Senators. Mobile defender, tough season in 15-16.
- RD Jacob Trouba, Winnipeg Jets. Strange year for a talented young player.
- RD David Savard, Columbus Blue Jackets. Range of skills.
- RD Ryan Murphy, Carolina Hurricanes. Some chaos, but good speed and puck-moving ability.
- RD Brandon Montour, Anaheim Ducks. This could be a special player.
- RD Colin Miller, Boston Bruins. With the other Miller signing, maybe he is available.
- RD Jakub Nakladal, Calgary Flames. Intriguing player.
- RD Ryan Sproul, Detroit Red Wings. Puck-moving defender in the AHL.
- RD Dennis Wideman, Calgary Flames. A year removed from a fantastic offensive season.
- RD Eric Gryba, Edmonton Oilers. Edmonton needs right D.
- LD Kris Russell, Dallas Stars. His name was mentioned early in regard to Edmonton.
- RD James Wisniewski, Carolina Hurricanes. If healthy, depending on price, interesting name.
- RD Dan Boyle, New York Rangers. Retiring, but he is the player they are looking for—early, not late in his career.
We should begin to discuss the possibility of going through this season without the puck mover on the back line. Jordan Oesterle could benefit in a big way if Chiarelli doesn’t make any other moves this summer.
TODD MCLELLAN AND THE SUMMER
By the middle of his first season in Edmonton, we knew Todd McLellan was working hard to adapt his Oilers talent to the style of game he was successful with in San Jose. Here is what I wrote on this blog February 24:
- We are over 60 games into the NHL season and I think we can reach a major conclusion: Todd McLellan is going to play the style he prefers, and by next season we should see a team that represents his style. The Oilers, as they are currently compiled, are not an ideal McLellan team—and he hasn’t altered his ‘place and chase’ style—to suit this team’s skills—as much as we might have hoped in year one. I think this means an airlift of role players prepared to place and chase, forecheck, cover and battle—at the cost of skill. Source
Airlift was perhaps hyperbole, but this blog has been known for it in the past and will probably use it again. One thing that is true: The addition of Milan Lucic and Adam Larsson have this team going in a specific direction. Back last summer, when McLellan was announced, I reached out to the excellent blog Fear the Fin (and Derek) for some direction on the coach and his style:
- Derek/Fear the Fin: “For most of his (San Jose) tenure it was pretty much a puck mover with a stay-at-home type on the blue line. We saw a bit of a shift the last few years as the Sharks acquired more puck-moving guys. For the most part I think he’s going to look to shelter more offensive types with a defensive defenseman.” Source
(BEFORE OILERS) MCLELLAN READING
- Fear the Fin: The Pressured Breakout.
- Fear the Fin: The Defensive Zone Faceoff Win.
- Fear the Fin: Offensive Zone Forecheck
The additions of Adam Larsson and Milan Lucic, after year one in Edmonton, inform us about what Peter Chiarelli and Todd McLellan feel is needed for the Oilers to move forward.
- McLellan: “It’s insanity if you keep banging your head against a wall. We needed to shore up a hole. I know there is a lot of talk about (losing) that dynamic offensive guy, but we also needed a good shutdown 20-minute-a-night guy, and we believe we have that in Larsson. We think we’ve added a No.1 and a No. 2. We’ve added (Oscar) Klefbom and Larsson to our lineup. We didn’t have Klefbom very long and Larsson’s coming in, so that’s a significant change. If they can stay healthy and play at a high level, we think we’ll be better back there.” Source
PROJECTED OILERS LINEUP 2016-17
There are issues with this roster—Nail Yakupov is an adventure without the puck—but there is also logic and reason included:
- Nail Yakupov was highly successful (2-7-9 in 205 minutes 5×5, 2.63/60) including a Corsi for 5×5 percentage of 51.9.
- Jordan Eberle was also successful with McDavid 8-8-16 in 364 minutes 5×5, 2.64/60) including a Corsi for 5×5 percentage of 52.2.
- Defensive pairings place a tremendous amount of pressure on that top pairing, but the duos are following McLellan’s puck mover/defensive defender scenario and Klefbom—Larsson is easily the most talented duo.
- I am still a little unsettled on the goaling. Anyone else feel that way?
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
A fun show this morning, TSN 1260. Scheduled to appear:
- Steve Lansky, BigMouthSports. A rare chance to talk to Steve in-studio for an entire hour. Lansky worked in Edmonton during the 1980s on HNIC and ITV broadcasts, and is a treasure when it comes to sports yesterday and today. Hour 1 will be with Steve, you are welcome to send in questions and comments.
- Paul Almeida, SSE. We haven’t spoken to Paul since the Hall deal, so this should be fun! Also, Euro 2016 (plenty of Portugal verbal) and CFL.
- Matt Iwanyk, TSN1260. Matt will tee up his show tonight (Montorio Homes Green and Gold Kickoff and Post-Game shows) and preview the Eskimos-Roughriders game.
10-1260 on text, @Lowetide on twitter.