The Edmonton Oilers shop the CHL heavily—probably too heavily in the case of the WHL—but have broken out from previous trends in their two Chiarelli—Green summers at the draft.
OILERS DRAFT TRENDS 2008-14
- WHL: 15 players (27 %) including Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl
- USA: 8 players (14.5 %) including Pitlick, Simpson, Nagelvoort
- OHL: 7 players (12.7 %) including McDavid, Hall, Yakupov, Nurse
- Sweden: 6 players (10.9 %) including Paajarvi, Lander, Klefbom, Lagesson
- QMJHL: 5 players (9 %) including Marco Roy and Keven Bouchard
- BCJHL: 5 players (9 %) including Bigos, Khaira and Coughlin
- Finland: 4 players (7 %) including Hartikainen and Rajala
- Russia: 2 players (3.6 %) Bogdan Yakimov, Anton Slepyshev
- Slovakia: 2 players (3.6 %) Martin Marincin and Martin Gernat
- Belarus: 1 player (1.8 %) Kristians Pelss
A few notes:
- The NHL as a whole (including Edmonton) drafted out of the WHL at about 17%. The Oilers loved the dub in a big way, using a quarter of their total picks on players from the league.
- The NHL drafted out of USA leagues and colleges at 24%, meaning Edmonton was underusing this area compared to the rest of the NHL.
- The NHL used the OHL at 20% and it’s the best junior league in the world. You’d really have to work to convince me that it’s wise to under draft out of the Ontario league. Seriously.
OILERS DRAFT TRENDS UNDER CHIARELLI—GREEN
- USA (26 %)—Caleb Jones, John Marino, Graham McPhee, Vincent Desharnais
- OHL (20 %)—Connor McDavid, Markus Niemelainen, Dylan Wells
- Finland (13 %)—Jesse Puljujarvu, Aapeli Rasanen
- WHL (13 %)—Ethan Bear, Tyler Benson
- Czech (7 %)—Miroslav Svoboda
- Russia (7 %)—Ziyat Paigin
- OJHL (7 %)—Matthew Cairns
- Sweden (7 %)—Filip Berglund
- The NHL drafted (including Edmonton) out of the USA at a 25 percent rate, meaning the Oilers under Chiarelli and Green are average—a massive improvement over the previous decade.
- The NHL drafted (including Edmonton) out of the OHL at a 19 percent rate, and the Oilers under Chiarelli and Green are average—improving the performance in this areas as well.
- The NHL drafted (including Edmonton) out of the WHL at a 16 percent rate, and the Oilers under Chiarelli and Green are slightly below average—but well within the range of reasonable.
- Although the sample size is small after two drafts, the fact Edmonton is spending more currency in the OHL and the USHL is extremely encouraging. Fish where the fish are!
- David Musil is in the same spot as Brandon Davidson one year ago—Edmonton will have to expose him if there is a decision to send him down after training camp opens. Davidson had played 12 NHL games this time last season, Musil has played four games. Davidson was a better prospect in my opinion one year ago, and of course Musil is buried by so many similar player-types he is basically a canary in a coal mine. That doesn’t mean he has no chance at an NHL career, however.
- Tyler Pitlick is probably behind Jordan Eberle, Nail Yakupov, Zack Kassian, Iiro Pakarinen and Jesse (when he signs) Puljujuarvi on the RW depth chart. Taylor Beck, Patrick Russell and Anton Slepyshev will also by auditioning, so Pitlick is a likely waiver candidate this fall.
- Jonas Gustavsson is signed and should win the No. 2 NHL job—but it is not a certainty. Edmonton waived Mark Fayne during the 2015-16 season, Gustavsson is a lesser player in my opinion.