NEW MOTHER NATURE

by Lowetide

The Edmonton Oilers won a road game—again—and put a poor weekend and Toronto behind them. The weekend ahead has its own challenges, but beating the Winnipeg Jets is no free bingo spot—and it was a slump buster for several players badly in need of success. HDSC: 8-9.

  • Todd McLellan on McDavid—Draisaitl: “Speed & finesse. The combination of both makes it hard for the opposing team.” 

NO SUGAR TONIGHT, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers in October 2015: 4-8-0, goal differential -7
  • Oilers in October 2016: 7-2-0, goal differential +10
  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2, goal differential -6
  • Oilers in November 2016: 5-8-2 goal differential -3
  • Oilers in December 2015: 7-6-1, goal differential -9
  • Oilers in December 2016: 1-0-0, goal differential +3
  • Oilers after 25, 2015: 8-15-2, goal differential -16
  • Oilers after 25, 2016: 13-10-2, goal differential +10

Oilers back on pace for more than 90 points (92) now and who knows, maybe they spike at some point, add at the deadline, and push into the postseason for the first time since 2006. Plenty of wobble in that game in Winnipeg though, lots of cleaning up to do defensively. One good thing? The power play!

DEFENSE, LAST NIGHT

oilers-d-dec-1

  • Stats via NHL.com, HockeyStats.ca and NaturalStatTrick.
  • Nurse—Larsson went 10-5 in 10:19 together, as Nurse played with Benning for less than a minute last night. The pairing went 4-1 against the Scheifele line, 5-3 against Perreault and 6-3 against Lowry. I don’t know if McLellan changed things up because Klefbom was struggling, but this duo did okay together. Larsson picked up an assist.
  • Klefbom—Benning went 9-4 in 8:43 together, as the two Swedes played less than a minute (1-3) as a tandem. Went 6-1 in 2:04 against the Scheifele line, the rest was small samples (well, so is 2:04 but that number stands out among small samples).
  • Sekera—Russell went 10-15 in 11:19 together. Got caved (2-10) against the Scheifele line in 5:01.
  • In fact, let’s run Scheifele against all the blue and his line’s Corsi numbers: Larsson (3:28, 0-5), Sekera (5:01, 10-2), Nurse (3:49, 0-4), Russell (4:33, 9-2), Benning (2:54, 2-5), Klefbom (2:04, 1-6).
  • I wonder if Paul Maurice was trying to get that line out against Sekera—Russell more often? I would think, if you saw those numbers (compared to the other pairings), you would want to get that matchup for more than 90 seconds a period, no? Interested in your view on that point.

FORWARDS, LAST NIGHT

oilers-forwards-dec-1

  • The Pouliot—Nuge—Eberle line had a grand night, going 6-0 in 4:10 against the Scheifele line and owning the Morrissey—Byfuglien pairing 11-3. Nuge had an assist, Pouliot got a goal and six shots. Nuge just 27 percent in the dot, and of course 93 took an ill-timed penalty in the third period. I will count last night as a major victory for the trio. Keep it going, men!
  • Lucic—McDavid—Draisaitl had a Moonstruck evening to my eye, the points totaled (Lucic 0-2-2; McDavid 0-3-3 and Leon 2-1-3) eight for the trio by the time the whistle blew. The line went just 6-4 against the Little line, but the power play mowed all the lawns in Winnipeg last night.
  • Pitlick—Caggiula—Slepyshev had a good night in my opinion, the kid lines are dandy when they work. No points, but five shots for the line and I thought the trio did fine work. Slepyshev made one play that was exactly awesome, driving down the left side, stopping up at the end boards, and then with one hand quietly walked back out toward the faceoff dot. He did it while holding off a defender. Man strength. Speed. I like this player. Caggiula had a physical confrontation and looked promising off the rush, although nothing rhymed. I hope to see this group again.
  • Maroon—Letestu—Kassian had a dream night, just stupid good. First the points: Maroon (1-0-1), Letestu (2-1-3) and Kassian (0-1-1) had the best night a fourth line has seen since 1990 in terms of the boxcars (I think, correct me if I am wrong). Just 1-5 against the Andrew Copp line, but who the hell cares? A nice game. (And yes I know I am cheating because PP, but I do like this line despite the slow boots).

TYLER BENSON

A nice article by Steve Ewen of the Vancouver Sun about Nolan Patrick shines a little light on Tyler Benson’s injury history. In the article, Benson suggests that Patrick should be patient in recovery, making sure he is 100 percent ready before returning—and not to worry about his draft number.

  • Benson: “I think we rushed back from the first injury, which caused the second injury. You just want to make sure you are 100 per cent when you’re ready to go so you can start playing and nothing else can occur.” Source

This is important stuff, as Patrick has a chance to go No. 1 overall and Vancouver is going to run him heavy a year from now. Heh. For Oiler purposes, this offers some insight into Benson’s struggles a year ago, and perhaps about how junior players get handled. Dangerous stuff here, these are teenagers and they do not make millions to stay in the lineup.

TAYLOR BECK

The AHL announced its Player of the Month Awards and Taylor Beck won the whole damn shooting match. The winger posted 9gp, 7-8-15 and would have to be considered the top recall option if the team is in need of a scoring forward. The Condors do not have a lot shaking offensively, Beck is  where it’s at in Bakersfield.

MARK LETESTU

Mark Letestu had 5×4 success a year ago, so his 4.65/60 number should not be a surprise to anyone. Milan Lucic has a number that should shock, but last season Letestu was 4.11/60. I have long argued he is a useful player, a rather unusual Swiss army knife, but am pleased he is getting a little sunshine today. Well earned.

LEON DRAISAITL

I mentioned yesterday that McDavid—Leon would probably have some chem, and eight points later (for the line) we no longer have a RW problem but the center depth chart is less fantastic than a night ago. I wonder if the club recalls Anton Lander? It gives coach McLellan all kinds of options, and with Matt Hendricks sitting another PK man would not go amiss.

Leon with McDavid means the coach can run hell out of the top two lines, and I expect he might. The Nuge line cashed last night late, so maybe better days ahead for the veteran trio.

DADDY RAN THE WHISKEY IN A BIG BLACK DODGE

Sometimes I think I think things, and they aren’t really true. It looked to me as though Oscar Klefbom was replaced by Darnell Nurse on the top pairing last night, and it worked. However, in sussing through the numbers, the top pairing last night appeared to be Sekera—Russell, if only because they faced the Scheifele line most often. The mind boggles. Here are some shift chart items of note:

  • Opening faceoff, Klefbom with Larsson. It was a 35-second shift, ended in a goal and of course it did. The Oilers first two minutes of each game have become a thing, and this is something that occurs with young players. Dave Hunter used to take a penalty just before the end of a period as a young player. Sather benched him, the problem went away.
  • Darnell Nurse jumps over the boards at 3:04, Adam Larsson at 3:22 and they spend until 4 minutes together. Both men have their next shift at 7:35.
  • Oscar Klefbom gets back on the ice at 3:58, a few seconds later Matt Benning jumps over the boards. By 10:14 of the first period, they are a pairing.
  • This kind of adjustment happens hundreds of times during a season, and it could be injury or confidence or the coach playing a hunch.
  • What I find interesting is this: Nurse played well with Larsson, and the puck was headed in a good direction. Klefbom and Benning also had success. Young men do not develop in a straight line, and this little adjustment is such a good sign in so many ways. Why? Up until this point, I felt the Oilers would have to run Klef no matter, because the options available were so much less attractive. That may still be true—this is a small sample size—but I have to say that the youngsters appear to be progressing a little, and not just Oscar this time. Thoughts?
  • Source

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning, TSN 1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Steve Lansky, Big Mouth Sports. Steve and I will talk TFC, the Oilers and Leafs, and NHL players going to the Olympics.
  • Guy Flaming, The Pipeline Show. Craig Button’s new list is out, any surprises for Guy?
  • Matt Iwanyk, TSN1260. Should the Oilers run Leon at RW? Seriously? What about that beautiful center depth?
  • Paul Almeida, SSE. We will chat about Edmonton’s line shuffling and if this is a playoff team.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Talk soon!

 

 

 

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Jethro Tull

*licks finger, holds it above head*

Which way she blowin’ today, boys?

kinger_OIL

– Great post LT: Every coach of this team has tries to separate RNH-Hall-Ebs (or RNH-Pou-Ebs). Then they always revert back and the line works. Chemistry vs coaching.

– Time for Pool-party to go to the AHL, which will be great, plus world junoirs.

– As you say this is 2 elite lines

– Let this line-up ripen, sub in Gryba and Fayne and Benning, and we are where we are

Atc-Nate

Any time the score is 6-3 in favor of the good guys, I’m happy with what the coach did. Wins. Matter.

Darrell has done quite well this year, maybe it’s the shelter of the third pairing, but I think it’s great to move him up at least temporarily vs top comp to give him a taste, then back down to keep confidence high.

I also wouldn’t call Maroon, Kassian and Letestu the 4th line… Caggiula Slep and Pitlick, while maybe not doing the 4th line job …. would be considered the “bottom line” there IMO.

Oil2Oilers

It’s a 3-2 league and McDavid is good for 1.5

RPG

Sad to hear Cam Cole is stepping down. I’ve been reading his articles since I was a boy. All the best Cam. An entire generation of unbelievably talented sports writers will likely soon follow. Unfortunately Matheson and Jones can’t be long behind.

Bag of Pucks

By my eye, Klefbom looked extremely indecisive and passive on the first goal, and I think swapping him with Nurse was an in-game demotion meant to send Oscar a message to get his head in the game right from the initial puck drop.

The Oilers have been victimized by early goals and more often than not Larsson and Klefbom have been the starting D pair.

I’ve always felt Nurse will eventually elevate to replace KBom in the top pairing, but I don’t think we’re there yet. Would suspect you’ll see Oscar back with Larsson next game, but he’s a on a shorter leash now.

Pink Socks

Some ass with the handle “Pink Socks” was shitting all over Letestu, Woodcroft, and anything associated with the PP for the last few days. Nice to see the tide turned last night and to see some success. I’ll be back before the next game to shit on them again. If it works, it works. I’ll also make sure to wear mismatching socks.

TO10801

Interesting that TMac went with the kid line on the road last night. I thought they would get difficult matchups against the Jets. Either way they seemed to do well in limited minutes. If they can keep it up it allows them to stack the top 2 lines.

Bag of Pucks

Atc-Nate:

I also wouldn’t call Maroon, Kassian and Letestu the 4th line… Caggiula Slep and Pitlick, while maybe not doing the 4th line job …. would be considered the “bottom line” there IMO.

I thought the same thing, but was surprised to see in looking at LT’s EV TOI summary this morning that in fact the kids did get more time at evens.

Youth will be served I guess. Gotta love Maroon. Guy’s got a smile on his face wherever the coach puts him, even after getting a stick in the face. Must be a great teammate to have in the room and on the bench.

Really hoping TMac sticks with these lines for at least 3 games now. The recipe seems solid. Let it brew now!

JimmyV1965

I really really dislike the way the team is handling JP. Bad teams take high draft picks and play them 10 min a night in the NHL as teenagers, or sit them in the press box. Send him down to the AHL already.

Bag of Pucks

JimmyV1965:
I really really dislike the way the team is handling JP. Bad teams take high draft picks and play them 10 min a night in the NHL as teenagers, or sit them in the press box.Send him down to the AHL already.

+1

blainer

As I’ve mentioned before they should send JP down asap and play him 20 mins a night at 1st line center.

Put him in the ovie spot on the PP and recall him a few weeks after the trade deadline.

He will come back a different player. At that time try him at third center behing CMD and Nuge. The man already has the two way skillls to play the center position. As well as the ovie spot on the PP..

Much like what Laine seems to be doing in winnipeg.

Woogie63

Every good up and coming team needs a kid line.

dustrock

LT – if T-Mac played Klef-Larsson 28 minutes per game, then we’d worry about Nurse replacing Klefbom for that period of time.

But T-Mac seems to play his D lines fairly evenly overall (which I have questioned at times), so maybe he gets the less-experienced Nurse and Benning some more steady partners in Klef and Lars.

Dustylegnd

Interesting how a good power play cures so many other team deficiencies, like lack of balance and missed defensive assignments

Top PP’s in the NHL

Columbus
Tampa
Philly
Buffalo
NYR
St Louis
Nashville
Anaheim
Montreal

These Power Plays are Driven by Stud D men who contribute heavily 5 on 4 pp/60 and six of the top 9 PP teams have a top 10 power play points D man

http://stats.hockeyanalysis.com/ratings.php?db=201617&sit=5v4&type=individual&teamid=0&pos=defense&minutes=25&disp=1&sort=PCT&sortdir=DESC

What is my point? Until we develop one or trade for one, the Oil will have a wildly inconsistent PP and hence very inconsistent win/loss results.

Woodguy

I wonder if Paul Maurice was trying to get that line out against Sekera—Russell more often? I would think, if you saw those numbers (compared to the other pairings), you would want to get that matchup for more than 90 seconds a period, no? Interested in your view on that point.

I’d think so as the home coach usually gets his way on match ups.

I watched the game and noticed 2-4 getting caved in often and though they didn’t have a good game.

Then I hear that Stauffer and Micheals called them “a premier pairing” in the Western Conference.

Then I see tweets like the ones below:


Kurt Leavins
‏@KurtLeavins
If you thought Russell & Sekera were bad tonight, we should never sit & watch a game together…it wouldn’t end well for either one of us.

David Staples ‏@dstaples 2h2 hours ago
@KurtLeavins some folks determined to see Russell as a weak player, it seems to me.

What the hell am I missing?

They were running around their own end a ton last night.

How was it possible to see them good?

Weird.

judgedrude

2005-06 was also (oddly) a wobbly team that had a good deadline and squeaked into the playoffs. Instead of just tracking last year, might it also be interesting to track the games that last got us into the playoffs?

Hard to find, but (From oilfans.com) after 25 games, the Oilers were 14-10-1 (GD = +4).

http://oilfans.com/schedule.php?id=2005-06

We are in the range, and maybe this would be interesting to track (unless they fall away so badly we don’t want to talk about it any more).

jonrmcleod

Two turntables and a microphone.

Woodguy

Dustylegnd:
Interesting how a good power play cures so many other team deficiencies, like lack of balance and missed defensive assignments

Top PP’s in the NHL

Columbus
Tampa
Philly
Buffalo
NYR
St Louis
Nashville
Anaheim
Montreal

These Power Plays are Driven by Stud D men who contribute heavily 5 on 4 pp/60 and six of the top 9 PP teams have a top 10 power play points D man

http://stats.hockeyanalysis.com/ratings.php?db=201617&sit=5v4&type=individual&teamid=0&pos=defense&minutes=25&disp=1&sort=PCT&sortdir=DESC

What is my point?Until we develop one or trade for one, the Oil will have a wildly inconsistent PP and hence very inconsistent win/lossresults.

Most of those teams don’t have a stud Dman driving their PP.

Weber’s shot drives MTL, no question.

There are good Dmen working those powerplays, but “studs driving” them isn’t correct.

I’ve been looking at this lately and what I found was:

The thing that most of those teams have is a PPQB who is passing mostly to players who shoot the other way (LHQB passing to RHS, or RHQB passing to LHS)

EDM has two good PPQB’s, both are LH and they are passing mostly to LHS, so its not working as well.

The thing I noticed last night on the Oilers PP was the amount of traffic in the HDSC areas.

Lucic, Drai and The Testu all converged there after the initial shot.

That’s not what they’ve been doing.

Good to see and it resulted in goals.

northof51

I can’t rise above my resentment of Remenda’s colour commentary. I haven’t been that angry during an Oilers game since the Mick McGeough hand pass call in ’06. I know others here share a similar (if more restrained) opinion…

In all seriousness, is there a constructive way that we can convince RSN to address his mumbling and anti-Oilers rhetoric? Barring that, what is the best (edit: non-violent) way to end his nonsense, if not for now but for next season?

Jethro Tull

Bag of Pucks: Said every pedophile ever.

jk

Remove this post please.

Clay

Enjoyed the game – chaos is fun when it’s your own team getting the better of the bounces.

But I have to say, I was thoroughly impressed by Laine’s shooting ability. What a cannon! Hard, accurate, and absolutely no conscience about letting it go (and why should he?). And 18 years old? What is he going to be like with a few years when he adds some man-strength and smarts? Nice player.

Ribs

I really like the idea of Nurse and Larsson together. Hopefully Nurse is ready for such an assignment. It could really open up his game having a fully capable partner with him.

Would you believe Byfuglien played over 30 minutes last night? And that he didn’t record a single hit? A very strange game from him.

Poor Eberle looked like a little kid getting tossed around for most of this game. He’s gonna have to find a way to get skating a bit quicker if he wants to start being effective again. It’s a lot easier to get a puck away from a guy that’s bigger than you if you approach with speed and don’t let them get situated with the puck. It will also help him evade the bigger guys that are pressuring him when he has the puck. Other than that, maybe he can invest in some Mathieu Perreault giganto shoulder pads to make him look bigger to opposing players, haha.

khildahl

jonrmcleod:
Two turntables and a microphone.

That’s where it’s at.

TO10801

Woodguy,

I like a mix of advanced stats and the eye test, but couldn’t agree more. I have no idea what people saw in that pairing. They were consistently running around and got caved by Scheifele while the other 2 pairings did very well against him. I think some just need to have different opinions regardless of what actually happens. Just as some analytics people will regard Russell as trash even though his numbers this year are better than with Calgary, so of the saw him good crowd will defend him regardless of weak play.

incubo_nero

Re: the PP, I can’t find the quote now but I thought McLellan once spoke about trying to get a shot within 10 seconds of a face-off win. It didn’t seem that they were hitting that target but fairly close.

What I liked about a couple of the PP goals was the basic plan to put the puck into the area where the PK panics the most and not take 30secs to set up the perfect shot from outside.

I still saw a couple of plays though where McDavid put himself in a spot on the ice that most players work all game to do, and then attempt to pass it for a tap-in try. His primary assist on one of the PP goals (a rebound from a good slapshot) is exactly what he should do more often as his speed and stick handling opens up shooting lanes all the time. At least to this observer.

incubo_nero

northof51,

What I enjoyed the most was how quiet Remenda was as the game wound down. Quinn lobbed him a couple of intros and . . . crickets . . Quinn carried on.

Truth

McDavid in the second period last night shows why he is one of the best two positional players in the league. Single handedly took over the game from the drop of the puck. I’m keeping that game on PVR just to watch that second period over again to boost my spirits if they ever lose to the Leafs again. Still thrilled we got lucky in that lottery.

Confused

Do CoH watch the same games as everyone else?

Truth

northof51:
I can’t rise above my resentment of Remenda’s colour commentary.

Who in their right mind calls it eye-hand coordination? It drives me insane.

Side

incubo_nero:
northof51,

What I enjoyed the most was how quiet Remenda was as the game wound down. Quinn lobbed him a couple ofintros and . . . crickets . .Quinn carried on.

This season I feel like I’ve been noticing that if the Oilers are playing well in a particular game or the Oilers are crushing the opposing team, Drew Remenda seems VERRY quiet. It seems like when the Oilers are doing very well against someone, the only time you hear Drew say something is if he is providing his input on a missed or earned penalty, or is going “WOWWWWWW” at Connor McDavid being Connor McDavid. If the Oilers are doing poorly, you hear Remenda comment about what the player should do (“he should have passed!” or “he should have shot! you should always shoot from there!”), or he comments on the deficiencies in the team, or how they need to pull it together, etc. etc.

I could be wrong, but that’s how it feels to me.

Dustylegnd

Woodguy,

Interesting stuff, and good information, what is the statistical definition of a Stud Man? I assume it is to do with 5×5/60 and all situations/60 ? or is it more complicated than that?

godot10

1) Now that Lander is in Bakersfield, there is a veteran centre down there for Puljujarvi to play with. Send him down for awhile. He’s had enough NHL time to know what he has to work on. Let him go get reps and minutes.

2) I don’t mind Russell as long as he is on one-year deals. A decent stop-gap option until the keeper right D comes along. It would be a mistake to sign him long term.

Bag of Pucks

The thing with Russell is he’s a match-up problem against bigger Fs.

If you can get him out against smaller or average sized opposition, he’s a good mobile D who can add a nice attacking element as well. But bigger Fs own him on the wall and in the corners. If he can’t beat them to the puck with anticipation, he’s hooped in a one on one battle situation.

There was a shift last night where the Oil had Russell, Eberle and Nuge out against a hefty line for WPG and the Jets cycled and pressured at will. Finally Eberle got it out to afford a line change.

He is what he is. He’s a vet picked up at the last minute and he works for TMac when the game situation afford a decent matchup. Unfortunately, the other HC and the game circumstances have something to say about that.

When’s Davidson back?

bendelson

northof51:
I can’t rise above my resentment of Remenda’s colour commentary. I haven’t been that angry during an Oilers game since the Mick McGeough hand pass call in ’06. I know others here share a similar (if more restrained) opinion…

In all seriousness, is there a constructive way that we can convince RSN to address his mumbling and anti-Oilers rhetoric? Barring that, what is the best (edit: non-violent) way to end his nonsense, if not for now but for next season?

Back in the day, the correct move was to mute the TV and listen to Rod on the radio.
Today, one has to find the other team’s broadcast if you seek intelligent, balanced commentary (if it’s Vancouver or Calgary – don’t bother).
That or you simply need to decide which of the two make you less angry – Remenda or Michaels. A real ‘Sophie’s choice’ to be sure…

Dustylegnd

LT, this is for you, interesting read on the flash brilliance of the Guess Who and the Accidental Origins of American Woman

http://www.greatbigstory.com/stories/the-unexpected-origin-story-of-american-woman?iid=ob_homepage_deskrecommended_pool

McSorley33

Kudos to Mark Letestu – not a big fan – but tip of the cap.

But cashing from some sweet feeds on the PP counts.

Well done sir.

Checks NHL.COM standings.

Well done boys.

dustrock

bendelson: Back in the day, the correct move was to mute the TV and listen to Rod on the radio.
Today, one has to find the other team’s broadcast if you seek intelligent, balanced commentary (if it’s Vancouver or Calgary – don’t bother).
That or you simply need to decide which of the two make you less angry – Remenda or Michaels.A real ‘Sophie’s choice’ to be sure…

Not a Michaels fan, but he’s vanilla. Remenda is at Jim Hughson doing a Canucks game level of irritation for me now.

McSorley33

Bag of Pucks,

Agreed….look at the replay on the Jets first goal.

Larsson, Klef and Dr. Drai all in the blue paint – checking nobody but Talbot – as Little cashes –

Odd scene.

Bag of Pucks

McSorley33:
Bag of Pucks,

Agreed….look at the replay on the Jets first goal.

Larsson, Klef and Dr. Drai all in the blue paint – checking nobody but Talbot –as Little cashes –

Odd scene.

They definitely have to up the intensity on the first shift. Seems like they’re easing their way into the game and the NHL is a balls out league from the first drop now.

Woodguy

Dustylegnd:
Woodguy,

Interesting stuff, and good information, what is the statistical definition of a Stud Man? I assume it is to do with 5×5/60 and all situations/60 ?or is it more complicated than that?

Well, when I read “PP stud”, I immediately think of Weber, Subban, Burns, Stamkos, Ovi. Guys who have a hammer on the point (hey look, all 5 of those guys are RHS getting passes from LHQB….. hmmmmmmmm)

Most NHL PP’s are run off the halfwall by a forward and they work best when they are passing to at least two opposite handed shooters.

PHI’s main shooters are LHS. Why? Giroux runs the PP and he’s RH.

McSorley33

Woodguy,

I was at the game – and I like Mr. Leavins and Mr. Staples.

I don’t really understand their take on Russell as well. Saw him real bad.

IRussell will back into Talbot’s blue paint on line rushes against.

Very perplexing…

Dustylegnd

Woodguy,

Thank you sir, good useful information, so unless there is an ungodly separation in Draft rating, unbalanced teams like the Oil should always defer to drafting the right shot D man and Center especially below pick #5?

Woodguy

NHL Overall Standings via pts/gm (truest standing when gp is variable)

1 MTL 0.74
2 CHI 0.70
3 CBJ 0.68
4 NYR 0.66
5 STL 0.65
6 PIT 0.65
7 WSH 0.64
8 OTT 0.63
9 SJS 0.60
10 ANA 0.58
11 MIN 0.57
12 NSH 0.57
13 NJD 0.57
14 LAK 0.56
15 BOS 0.56
16 EDM 0.56
17 FLA 0.54
18 TBY 0.54
19 PHI 0.54
20 TOR 0.52
21 DET 0.52
22 CAR 0.50
23 BUF 0.50
24 DAL 0.48
25 NYI 0.48
26 WPG 0.46
27 CGY 0.46
28 VAN 0.46
29 COL 0.43
30 ARI 0.43

WC
1 CHI 0.70
2 STL 0.65
3 SJS 0.60
4 ANA 0.58
5 MIN 0.57
6 NSH 0.57
7 LAK 0.56
8 EDM 0.56
9 DAL 0.48
10 WPG 0.46
11 CGY 0.46
12 VAN 0.46
13 COL 0.43
14 ARI 0.43

Pacific
1 SJS 0.60
2 ANA 0.58
3 LAK 0.56
4 EDM 0.56
5 CGY 0.46
6 VAN 0.46
7 ARI 0.43

Woodguy

Dustylegnd:
Woodguy,

Thank you sir, good useful information, so unless their in an ungodly separation in Draft rating, should not unbalanced teams like the Oil always defer to drafting the right shot D man and Center especially below pick #5?

If otherwise the players are identified as equal prospect, always take the RH regardless of position.

Bag of Pucks

Most teams DO run their PP off the half-wall but I wonder if it wouldn’t make better use of McDavid’s mobility if the Oilers went with Connor on the point?

In the small sample size they tried it, his lateral movement reminded me of Karlsson and it really seemed to put a lot of pressure on the box moving from side to side, thus opening up some nice lanes down low.

Half wall is the prevailing (conventional?) wisdom, but Connor’s an unconventional talent. Possibly they need to think more outside the box in his usage? Connor seems to prefer distributing over shooting. How about him distributing from up top to opposable snipers on the half walls with traffic in front?

Woodguy

McSorley33:
Woodguy,

I was at the game – and I like Mr. Leavins and Mr. Staples.

I don’t really understand their take on Russell as well. Saw him real bad.

IRussell will back into Talbot’sblue paint on line rushes against.

Very perplexing…

I think their disdain (hatred?) towards fancystats has created a bias on the player.

Woodguy

Bag of Pucks,

Most teams DO run their PP off the half-wall but I wonder if it wouldn’t make better use of McDavid’s mobility if the Oilers went with Connor on the point?

Most teams are running a 1-3-1 so really there is only one “point” guy.

Its tougher to defend and can create mis-matches close to the net.

Oilers need the rear “1” and the left side or center of the “3” to be RH given the McDavid is LH and playing the right side of the “3”

That would give McDavid the most options and make it tougher to defend him.

Confused

Think TMac may have more questions than answers this morning.

1. Defense — anyone reliable?

Klefbom has offensively picked it up but defensively has had many bad games.
Larsson keeps losing his game in the box — it is if he is guarding a space not a man in the box at times.
Sekera and Russell are too small together.
Nurse and Benning are too inexperienced together.
Davidson cannot get healthy.
Gryba and Fayne are too slow. (Although seen so little of Fayne this year ……

2. JP? Bakerfield?

3. Can the young guns avoid inexperience resulting in bad defensive mistakes.

4. Can the second line score? regularly?

5. Do we still need to keep playing the longer-term game? Get JP and cags ready ASAP?

6. Is Woodcroft a genius and can Letestu keep it going? Or was it a one-off?

Games are exciting, we lurch from one extreme to another — but are we going to qualify? Is long-term and next year more important than December?

So many questions and basically no answers

Ribs

McSorley33:
Woodguy,

I was at the game – and I like Mr. Leavins and Mr. Staples.

I don’t really understand their take on Russell as well. Saw him real bad.

IRussell will back into Talbot’sblue paint on line rushes against.

Very perplexing…

Well, he has a lot of energy in his game. I’ll give him that. Guys like that can often look like they’re doing more than they actually are because they’re more noticeable on the ice.