G58 2016-17: FLYERS AT OILERS

by Lowetide

Chemistry. It’s the real thing. I remember Bobby Clarke driving in across the blue line, curling inside, and sending a soft back pass to an area. Split seconds later, the Riverton Rifle (Reggie Leach) would enter the zone and drill the puck so hard the goalie (usually nicknamed Suitcase or Smokey) crumbled. Years later, Gretzky to Kurri would employ a more innovative version, but the elements of the play remained the same. The chemistry brought the patented move, and the whole damned bunch rode it all the way to Stanley.

Connor McDavid has chemistry with seemingly everyone on the roster, but we await his Reggie, his Jari, his volume shooter. Hurry, Mr. Leach! Todd McLellan needs you!

  • Todd McLellan: “Volume shooting, I don’t know what that does to Corsi or Fenwick because I don’t even know what those things are, but volume shooting is important. I think it breaks down defensive zone coverages, gets players out of position, taxes the opposition, makes them play more minutes in their zone.”

HAMMER AND TONGS, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers in October 2015: 4-8-0, goal differential -7
  • Oilers in October 2016: 7-2-0, goal differential +10
  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2, goal differential -6
  • Oilers in November 2016: 5-8-2 goal differential -3
  • Oilers in December 2015: 7-6-1, goal differential -9
  • Oilers in December 2016: 7-2-5, goal differential +3
  • Oilers in January 2016: 4-5-2, goal differential -5
  • Oilers in January 2017: 9-4-1, goal differential +8
  • Oilers in February 2016: 3-8-2, goal differential -18
  • Oilers in February 2017: 2-3-0, goal differential -4
  • Oilers after 57, 2015-16: 22-29-6, goal differential -30
  • Oilers after 57, 2016-17: 30-19-8, goal differential +14

G58 a year ago was a weird one. Cam Talbot let in three goals, and then Edmonton, down a goal, pulled the goalie. Anaheim scored an EN (Cogliano of course) to make it 4-2—and 24 seconds later Benoit Pouliot scored the damned goalie they needed 30 seconds before! Bah! Corey Perry scored another EN because why not, and it was a 5-3 final. How in hell did we survive these winters?

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM FEBRUARY

  • On the road to: Nashville, Carolina, Montreal (Expected: 1-1-1) (Actual 1-2-0)
  • At home to: Chicago, Arizona, Philadelphia (Expected: 1-1-1) (Actual 1-1-0)
  • On the road to: Chicago, Tampa Bay, Florida, Washington, Nashville, St. Louis (2-3-1)
  • Overall expected result: 4-5-3, 11 points in 12 games
  • Overall current results: 2-3-0, 4 points in 5 games

Tonight is an important game, but I am not sure it has the same importance of the Tuesday contest. In the Arizona game, Edmonton was chasing redemption for a subpar Saturday tilt that marked the end of the five-day layoff. Oilers fans have a right to expect a solid effort this evening, but a well played loss is unlikely to draw ire from the home fans.

OILERS FORWARDS, SHOT VOLUME 5X5

  • 5X560: Connor McDavid is enjoying a fantastic season in the discipline (ranks No. 7 among forwards with 400 or more minutes). Tyler Pitlick is the only other forward over 2.00, and the list of men under 1.50 is pretty devastating. Anton Slepyshev seems to be busting a move, that is a nice development.
  • 5×4/60: Some excellent numbers here, led by Leon Draisaitl, Milan Lucic and Connor McDavid. Even Jordan Eberle is doing well, and Drake Caggiula is showing signs of life.
  • Shots/60: I am increasingly interested in seeing who might be the Duke Nukem (first-person shooter) for CMD, there are some roster options there. Leon has chem with 97, but he doesn’t shoot much. During the period those two are apart, Jordan Eberle and Anton Slepyshev may get a real shot. Maybe Nuge gets one too. Jesse Puljujarvi is shooting more in the AHL (2.8 shots per game) and he likely gets another chance with McDavid this or next season.

WOODMONEY BINS

  • This is sorted by percentage of TOI against elites.
  • This is the WoodMoney, and I think this is drilling down on the really good stuff. If you read Woodguy’s posts and G’s postgame runs, the totals may be familiar to you. In the coming days, when their site goes live, there will be an enormous number of questions from all ranges. That said, I think this is the best way to rank the bundles (or bins), with percentages.
  • GMoney was part of a brilliant Lunchalytics yesterday, it is here. Highly recommended, and it gives us a chance to get some foundation information about G’s philosophy on these things. G and Darcy and Michael and Zsolt are pushing a giant boulder up the hill, and we appreciate it. Cannot wait to begin to understand!
  • I remember Darcy saying the top two pairings end up playing most of the elite and middle, and that appears to be true. By the time we get to Davidson, Gryba, Nurse, the heart of the order has been tamed.
  • Notice Matt Benning is climbing past Oscar Klefbom in percentage against elites. A reflection of playing with Andrej Sekera surely, but it also goes to show that the capabilities of Benning may be closer than we think to Klefbom at this time. Klefbom and Benning are about a year apart in age, and their minutes reflect it. Our familiarity with Oscar and the newness of Benning should not cloud the quality of their performances. We need to see more track.
  • Oilers have some nice young blue. Oscar, Larsson, Benning, Davidson and Nurse is a pretty damned good cluster.

MCDAVID—MANNING

The health of CMD and two points are more important, but Manning seems to have struck a nerve with the local superstar in their last meeting. I think it important for Mr. Maroon to be hanging around in the vicinity, not to fight Manning, but to make sure McDavid doesn’t drop his gloves. If 97 is agitated enough, suspect that could happen (he is no wallflower) and that would be just about the worst outcome. Manning is a third pairing defender, McDavid is the franchise. I don’t believe in the announce your presence with authority stuff, but do want a healthy McDavid on the plane to Chicago.

FERENCE TALKS

I have not read it, decided against it. My memories of those years leads me to believe the team was ill conceived and addled in the boardroom. You could run every game from 2010 fall through 2015 spring and count the effective outlet passes without taking off your socks. Someone should write that story, about a defense who found it easier to hammer the puck square than get it to Taylor Hall on the fly.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

We are back with a vengeance today, beginning at 10 this morning, TSN1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Darcy McLeod, Because Oilers. A WoodMoney update, and a rundown of trade deadline options.
  • Anthony Mingioni, CenterIcePhilly. Flyers in town tonight, played well enough to win in Calgary last night but could not cash.
  • Bruce McCurdy, Cult of Hockey. We are trying a Thursday guest appearance with Bruce to change the luck. Appears to be working so far!
  • Frank Seravalli, TSN. Trade deadline two weeks away, how many sellers?

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Can’t wait to be back in the chair!

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Diablo

Looking forward to this one – I think its going to be a rough night for Manning – the moment he lays a finger on McDavid, he’s going to have Maroon, or Lucic in his face – it won’t take much for one of those guys to drop the gloves and start beating on him. If the refs shit the bed like they usually do, this one could end up being a penalty-fest.

This is exactly the kind of game that Edmonton needs – they play better when they’re pissed off.

GMB3

I woke up this morning with a smile on my face. Knowing you get to watch Connor McDavid do the hockey makes getting out of bed easier some days.

If Anton Slepyshev got a run of 5+ games on Connor McDavids wing, what would that duo look like?

jasperavenue

Folks I’m requesting some guidance and apologize this post is not about the Philly game.

We are planning to attend the Oilers vs Panthers game at BB&T Centre in Sunrise Florida. Google maps makes it look like this arena is located in an industrial area – as compared to a downtown like our fine rink.

Can someone suggest the good – fun – bars restaurants nearby?

Appreciate the help thanks, and yes I’ll be at the game tonight cheering for a win.

treevojo

“I have not read it, decided against it. My memories of those years leads me to believe the team was ill conceived and addled in the boardroom. You could run every game from 2010 fall through 2015 spring and count the effective outlet passes without taking off your socks. Someone should write that story, about a defense who found it easier to hammer the puck square than get it to Taylor Hall on the fly.”

I don’t quite understand the “read it” part unless it is in reference to David staple’s article.

It was an interview on oilers now with Bob Stauffer.

I think it is worth a listen.

You get a better feel of Ference’s opinions from the questions Bob was asking.

Rather then snippets that Staple’s takes out and adds his take on.

I didn’t hear Hall’s name mentioned.

frjohnk

Somebody looked at Lucic’s numbers away from McDavid yesterday. Here is a quick look at McDavids line mates and their points/60 without him.

Pts/60 without McDavid

Draisaitl 1.87
Maroon 1.22
EBERLE 1.11
Lucic 0.64
JP 0.59

As has been mentioned many times by various posters, Draisaitl does just as good away from McDavid as he does with him. Might as well separate them and spread the offense.
Maroon does what one would expect for a 3rd liner, maybe even more.
EBERLE = Woof!.
Lucic =WOOOOOOF!, BARF!
JP = good that he is in the AHL

Here is a nugget to chew on. In a small sample size of 84 minutes McDavid with JP on the wing has a pts/60 of 5.71!!!!

Dmen pts/60 without McDavid

Klefbom 0.93
Benning 0.56
Sekera 0.51
Larsson 0.45
Russell 0.00

Klefbom is dreamy. How many Dmen put up to close to 1 pt/60 away from their best number 1 center? Not many, and this puts Klefbom is very good company.

Benning, Sekera and Larsson put up very respectable numbers away from the number 1 center.
Russell has 0 even strength points in 548 minutes away from McDavid and only 3 points in 291 minutes with him. Ouch!

kgo

Mr Lowetide you have my respect, this is my favorite corner of the web. However I felt obliged to call you out; choosing not to read TCAF’s comments is the very definition of ignorance, you’re ignoring information from a very exclusive source here. Perhaps the boardroom was only 70% of the problem instead of 100%

Truth

Diablo,

These games seem to never live up to the hype, but I hope you’re right.

Lloyd B.

kgo,

STOP IT !!

slopitch

I think its very hard to lead a bad team just like it is to coach a bad team. Losing brings out the worst of people. One thing I will say is this, its better to have your captain as one of the best players. Because if you cant lead by example, the message gets old quickly (when your losing). It didnt work when we had Moreau. It didnt work when we had Ferrence. But winning changes narratives quickly.

Go Oilers. I hope McDavid gets 4 points.

Pouzar

Not to Hijack but figure some would enjoy this post from Corey Sznajder. 

“Protecting the Blue Line and Driving Break-outs: Testing Repeatability and Goal-Impact of Controlled Exits & Entries Against”

https://originalsixanalytics.com/2017/02/15/protecting-the-blue-line-and-driving-break-outs-testing-repeatability-and-goal-impact-of-controlled-exits-entries-against/

kinger_OIL

treevojo,

– Great Post LT! Tree I agree with you.

– Reading the tea-leaves, different quotes from different players, what I’ve gleaned from my hockey sources (“Trade Hall” from three years ago from a really respected hockey guy I know).

– Hall was not all the problem. It was a culture that was manifested from being so bad for so long, and bringing in guys like Ferrence “to turn around the culture”, when he sucked. The Steve Austins got paid early, played all the big minutes, and were surrounded by a bunch of kaka. MacT had no business being GM, Tambellini sucked, coaching carousel, etc. So the whole thing stunk

– Now we have a real GM, a real coach, the best player in hockey. Signed Sek, Larsson, Russel, 3 bona-fide D, that in the 5 previous years net total we didn’t acquire.

– Slow-played Nurse/Davidson/Griff/Osterl, and seem to all be developing, not failing

– Ebs is struggling, RNH is, Poo sucks, and Lucic is having a bad year. But Maroon has exceeded, Drai great with McD. Sleppy been nice, Pitlick emerged. All teams have guys struggle, some exceed. For the first time though, we actually have guys with track-records that we can compare current performance to historical, rather than hoping that say Nikitin will be “top-4 D”

– Kassian, Letetsu are being slotted properly and are bona-fide NHL. Even Hendy, while not great, he isn’t being played or asked to do a lot.

– Basically this is from top to bottom a NHL rostered team: if you replace any of these NHL players with better NHL players plus group gets better with age, we are going to be good for a long time.

– The Stauffer interview is very insightful. And if we can look back at our recent history and rejoice for how far we have come, and move forward, it is cathartic I think.

– Again, great post LT!

Woodguy v2.0

WC standings this morning using games. 8th place set to 0. Ties broken with games in hand (pts%)

MIN 19
CHI 13
SJS 11
ANA 7
EDM 6
STL 3
NSH 1
LAK 0
———————-
CGY -2
VAN -6
WPG -8
DAL -9
ARI -15
COL -27

CGY beat PHI last night and won’t go away. Everyone below them has basically gone away.

Jim Benning doesn’t know he’s gone away yet, and that’s delicious.

Neuvirth played last night for PHI, so we probably get Mason.

Mason’s last 5 games:

.900
.821
1.000
.947
.750 (in 20 min)

Which Mason shows up tonight?

No clue.

Oilers should have won the last game in PHI if wacky arm flailing tube man Gus wasn’t in net, but he was.

Oilers should be feeling it a bit now that they got some goals vs ARI.

I think they win by 3+ tonight.

GOILERS!!

*clap,clap*

Chachi

Woodguy v2.0:

Oilers should have won the last game in PHI if wacky arm flailing tube man Gus wasn’t in net, but he was.

Hard to believe this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvaRGiMWRaE
was not effective in stopping pucks.

leadfarmer

Woodguy v2.0,

Probably the league worst -10 GSAA Steve Mason. Go after him hard and early

You guys are kidding yourselves if you think Hall, among others, was not implicated in Ference’s comments.

Of course AF is not going to mention specific names.

There was no need for Ference to go there again, even when asked. He is patting himself on the back and washing his hands of any of his responsibility.

This is not to say Hall does not have some responsibility. It is to say whatever the issue might have been, the team is winning now, so there is absolutely no need to rehash this matter, except Ference can’t let it go, it seems. Reminds me of someone down here who wants to investigate voter fraud when he already won.

And yeah, if you get the question asked you can give a diplomatic answer that is still informative about how team chemistry matters. No need to denigrate the prior team members, especially when you were part of that divisive culture during your captaincy, talking up fitness and Eakins’ philosophies in the media while implying some players did not care.

It is a hallmark of bad teams that these sorts of divisions happen. Just look at the NY Knicks right now.

We have a good team now. It would be nice to focus on that rather than drag out the old ghosts again. Mr. Ference, please stick to community work. You were as much a part of the problem as anyone else and getting on your high horse again now is petty and unnecessary.

So glad McDavid is captain and guys like Lucic support him in the leadership role now. Ference was not as bad as Shayne Corson…and that’s about all he has in his favour.

Obiwan Eberle

Reggie Leach and Bobby Clarke – great reference.

As someone who grew up in Flin Flon, I had many opportunities to meet the both of them (former Bomber linemates).

Reggie’s 1968 Flin Flon Bomber stat line was something to behold.
GP 59 Goals 87 Assists 44 Points 131 PIMS 208!…..man I wish I had seen that season….

Pouzar

frjohnk: Klefbom is dreamy. How many Dmen put up to close to 1 pt/60 away from their best number 1 center? Not many, and this puts Klefbom is very good company.

The ‘jump up into the play’ on that Slepy pass was a thing of beauty…2nd only to the nifty short side snipe.

GMB3

Pouzar: The ‘jump up into the play’ on that Slepy pass was a thing of beauty…2nd only to the nifty short side snipe.

That was a gorgeous play overall. Great job by Drai creating some separation so he could get the pass over, excellent patience and pass from Slepy, and Klef made no mistake with the sweet feed. I could get used to plays like that.

who

Based on his play so far, would it not be fair to say that the Lucic contract is the biggest contract issue this team has. We all hate the fayne and poo contracts because they are hardly even playing but they are for less money and a lot less term than Lucic.
I knew his skating would be an issue when he signed but after watching him for 50 games I think the bigger issue in Edmonton has been his hands. He simply cannot hang on to the puck. He made a real nice play on drais goal last game but I must have counted 4 or 5 other plays where he either couldn’t pick up a pass or simply fumbled the puck away along the boards. He also doesn’t seem to use his body very well to shield the puck in board battles. I thought this was supposed to be a strength of his game. Maroon and Kassian are much better at this.
Hoping it is just first year jitters and he will eventually settle in. If not this contract is going to be a huge anchor moving forward.

JD_Wry

Pouzar: nifty short side snipe.

Moar pleeze!

Lloyd B.

who:
Based on his play so far, would it not be fair to say that the Lucic contract is the biggest contract issue this team has. We all hate the fayne and poo contracts because they are hardly even playing but they are for less money and a lot less term than Lucic.
I knew his skating would be an issue when he signed but after watching him for 50 games I think the bigger issue in Edmonton has been his hands. He simply cannot hang on to the puck. He made a real nice play on drais goal last game but I must have counted 4 or 5 other plays where he either couldn’t pick up a pass or simply fumbled the puck away along the boards. He also doesn’t seem to use his body very well to shield the puck in board battles. I thought this was supposed to be a strength of his game.Maroon and Kassian are much better at this.
Hoping it is just first year jitters and he will eventually settle in. If not this contract is going to be a huge anchor moving forward.

Gregor had Adam Oates on his show this week. Oates was saying the pace of play in the NHL playoffs slows considerably.

I’m holding off judging Lucic until we see a few rounds of playoffs when the game catches up to him.

Pouzar

Now that Drai is back at Center I will looking to see how many times he carries it in with control versus the ol chip and chase. There is a theory McDavid is the only one with the green light to do this so I am curious. #FreeNuge

rickithebear

An org builds thru the draft and adds to depth to be Successful:
players on the team from
1. EIG (to 2008) 9+ years from 16-17
None

2. (Katz/Tambo) ( sum 2008 to Sum 2013) 4-9 years
6 players: Eberle; Pitlick; Davidson; RNH; Klefbom; Khaira (IR)

3. (Katz/Mact) (sum 2013 to Sum 2015) 3-4 years from
11 players: Nurse; Slepyshev; Broisoit; Pakarinen; Hendricks; Oesterle; Draisaitl; Pouliot; Talbot; Mcdavid; Ference (IR)

4. (Katz/(PC/Mac))
2 players: Caggulia; Benning

5. (Katz/PC)
8 players: Gryba; Letestu; Sekera; Kassian; Maroon; Larsson; Lucic; Russell;

17 players of next years roster were brought in by MactT/PC in the last 4 seasons.
Mact’s flaw was Eakins & not getting to GM with Mcdavid on the Roster.

LadiesloveSmid

I’m with you LT, I’d like to see another McDavid “fuck you” right after he scores vs. 97 risking his health.

Manning’s no huge guy, shouldn’t fight a Maroon/Kass/Looch. Letestu? Hendricks? Davidson?

unca miltie

Obiwan Eberle:
Reggie Leach and Bobby Clarke – great reference.

As someone who grew up in Flin Flon, I had many opportunities to meet the both of them (former Bomber linemates).

Reggie’s 1968 Flin Flon Bomber stat line was something to behold.
GP 59 Goals 87 Assists 44 Points 131 PIMS 208!…..man I wish I had seen that season….

I was there..

rickithebear

Obiwan Eberle:
Reggie Leach and Bobby Clarke – great reference.

As someone who grew up in Flin Flon, I had many opportunities to meet the both of them (former Bomber linemates).

Reggie’s 1968 Flin Flon Bomber stat line was something to behold.
GP 59 Goals 87 Assists 44 Points 131 PIMS 208!…..man I wish I had seen that season….

Mom was raised there:
the bombers play imprinted me.
and
is were the observation made me question shot quality.

I allways believe analytics should match trite terms.
Go to the net
Defend the net.

Any sport can be measured as a man’s game.
The more you penetrate the better you are rewarded.
1. Baseball/Softball
Penerate the batters strike zone.

2. Football/ Rugby
Penetrate (cross) into the field end zone.

3. Boxing/ Martial arts
Penetrate opponents defence.

4. Basketball
Penetrate and Rebound game until NBA moved 3 point line to
22 ft from 94-95 to 96-97

The Pussification of the game.
Emphasis changed to
Penetrate and out to perimeter and corners.
and
Perimiter/ jump Away from net to clear shot.

Posterization would of never happen to Lambier; Mahorn; Rodman.

teddyturnbuckle

Ference should shut his mouth and collect his pay. He was done years ago. It’s managements fault not a bunch of 19 year old kids.

JD_Wry

Great segment McLeod, as always.

JD_Wry

Despite playing last night, the Flyers are well rested (3 days off before Calgary) and don’t play again until Sunday. Last night they showed the Flames that they could chip as well as TkaCooke and company.

I say don’t give them any reason to play like pricks. Get on them early and force Mason to make some good saves – see what he’s got. An early lead will go a long way to keeping them honest, at least until the final minutes, and McDavid can watch from the bench at that point.

If they start with the shit well fine, because there’s more than enough Kassian to go around.

Chachi

rickithebear: Mact’s flaw was Eakins & not getting to GM with Mcdavid on the Roster.

MacT’s flaw as a GM was that he was horrifically bad at building an NHL roster. But he did fail the Oilers into getting McDavid so I guess there’s that.

Edit: Also, I have seen you give MacT credit for the Talbot acquisition before (completely unsubstantiated) and now you are giving him credit for Benning and Caggiula?

frjohnk

Chachi: MacT’s flaw as a GM was that he was horrifically bad at building an NHL roster. But he did fail the Oilers into getting McDavid so I guess there’s that.

I loved MacT as a player.
Really liked him as coach.
But as GM “meh”

He built a great defense core……..for the AHL.

He had trouble getting a decent goalie and the one decent goalie he had, he threw under the bus and then watched the goalie implode under the eye of a coach ( that MacT hired) and this coach was not right for this team at all.

Chachi

frjohnk: I loved MacT as a player.
Really liked him as coach.
But as GM “meh”

He built a great defense core……..for the AHL.

He had trouble getting a decent goalie and the one decent goalie he had, he threw under the bus and then watched the goalie implode under the eye of a coach ( that MacT hired) and this coach was not right for this team at all.

“Meh” is very kind to him.

frjohnk

Chachi: Edit: Also, I have seen you give MacT credit for the Talbot acquisition before (completely unsubstantiated) and now you are giving him credit for Benning and Caggiula?

Whoever is at the helm of the ship gets credit/dumped on.

MacT was not at the helm when Talbot, Benning and Caggiula became Oilers.

Bag of Pucks

Chachi: MacT’s flaw as a GM was that he was horrifically bad at building an NHL roster. But he did fail the Oilers into getting McDavid so I guess there’s that.

This is not directed at you but the hundreds if not thousands of people who insist in perpetuating this meme as a fundamental flaw in critical thinking.

It was a lottery. A completely random occurence. The Oilers, their management, coaching, and team, did nothing to influence the outcome of landing the number #1 pick beyond buying a ticket (i.e. with the rest of the lottery qualifiers). Beyond that, they had no more influence in that process than you do in your ability to affect the outcome of a slot machine spin.

Drafting McDavid was not influenced, pre-ordained, cause for celebration of past failures, proof of destiny, or a validation of rebuilds 1.0 through 3.5. It was random chance (i.e. blind luck).

Particularly within a community that respects logic and data, it’s surprising to see this meme so oft repeated. If it’s sarcasm, great. But in many instances, it’s cited with the same conviction that so many have that the next coin flip is bound to be heads because it’s been tails so many times in a row. Doesn’t work that way folks!

frjohnk

Chachi: “Meh” is very kind to him.

Im a nice guy I guess.

Chachi

frjohnk: Whoever is at the helm of the ship gets credit/dumped on.

MacT was not at the helm when Talbot, Benning and Caggiula became Oilers.

This is my point.

treevojo

teddyturnbuckle:
Ference should shut his mouth and collect his pay.He was done years ago.It’s managements fault not a bunch of 19 year old kids.

If you actually listen to the interview the question is in regards to Peter Chiarelli and his ability to build a winner. So in actuality he is calling out the previous management for not having the right ingredients in the room.

Now just because that is his how Ference saw things doesn’t actually mean that it is factual.

But it is certainly interesting to hear the previous captains take on the dressing room.

Sure beats the hell out of listening to the same cookie cutter answers that you get out of most NHL player interviews.

bendelson

JDï™:
Great segment McLeod, as always.

Agreed.
Remember the days when ‘the people’ would gather on his lawn with torches and pitchforks?
Now, McLeod is struttin’ about town with an entourage and a jazz band in tow…
He has come a long way in a short period of time.
Woot! Woot!

Chachi

Bag of Pucks: This is not directed at you but the hundreds if not thousands of people who insist in perpetuating this meme as a fundamental flaw in critical thinking.

It was a lottery. A completely random occurence. The Oilers, their management, coaching, and team, did nothing to influence the outcome of landing the number #1 pick beyond buying a ticket (i.e. with the rest of the lottery qualifiers). Beyond that, they had no more influence in that process than you do in your ability to affect the outcome of a slot machine spin.

Drafting McDavid was not influenced, pre-ordained, cause for celebration of past failures, proof of destiny, or a validation of rebuilds 1.0 through 3.5. It was random chance (i.e. blind luck).

Particularly within a community that respects logic and data, it’s surprising to see this meme so oft repeated. If it’s sarcasm, great. But in many instances, it’s cited with the same conviction that so many have that the next coin flip is bound to be heads because it’s been tails so many times in a row. Doesn’t work that way folks!

Yes, it was a lottery. Thanks to some of the worst management in NHL history the Oilers were in the third best position to win that lottery among the other “lottery qualifiers”. Fair?

JD_Wry

bendelson: Remember the days when ‘the people’ would gather on his lawn with torches and pitchforks?

Remember? Do you know how long it takes to move a bunch of pitchforks on eBay?

BONE207

As usual…great job, Bruce.
I’ll be looking for Venus all night. I have your number if it’s a no-show.
LT…great to hear you again as well.

GCW_69

Not sure you can put Nuge with CMD and expect an increase in shooting. Nuge shoots a lot, but it appears these are perimeter shots and in today’s NHL that’s a waste. Nuge has some terrific skills but if he isn’t willing to go to the tough areas he will limit his ability to impact the game.

Interesting to bring up the volume shooting again. I am curious as to the changes in overall shot volume, but also the changes in shot volume in wins vs in losses. And are they shooting more from the tough areas or not.

If the Oilers could flip Russell for a shooter that would be an interesting play to make.

New Improved Darkness

Not naming names is where you know it was either the dog or the cat, and you don’t really think the dog could have crawled into any of the small spaces you’re unable to adequately fumigate.

And then people wonder why soft kitty claws the drapes.

———

This is an old story arc.

Teddy Roosevelt’s personal cult of cowboy machismo helped America follow up a navel cake-walk against the Spanish fleet with the Philippine–American War debacle, in which America discovers that—however noble the original intent to exchange Christian salvation for tropical hardwood—all armies commit atrocities when faced with a muggy guerrilla stalemate (the funny thing was, the American Catholics kept telling the American Protestants that the Filipinos were already Christian, and they were having none of it—nothing dents a great bounty of natural resources like a second salvo of sweet salvation).

Even after this—almost a template for Vietnam—Teddy remained a tremendous booster of conflict and celebrated his various son’s adventures in WW I with highballs and high spirits, until the bottom line was finally underscored in black pen.

The son who was everything to Theodore Roosevelt

Burns writes that Quentin’s death sped the demise of his father, a man already weakened from a near-assassination and a torturous journey into the Amazon jungle. “His sorrow,” Burns writes, “overwhelmed all other emotions,” except perhaps his guilt. Roosevelt had pushed hard for the nation’s entry into the war. When he was asked to send an inspirational message to the people of France, he declined: “I have no message for France; I have already given her the best I had.” When he was approached to run for president in 1920, he demurred. “I am indifferent to the subject. Since Quentin’s death, the world seems to have shut down upon me.”

“For Quentin’s death was not just another loss: it was the loss,” Burns writes, “the ultimate tragedy for Theodore Roosevelt, an occurrence that called into question everything for which he had stood in his life.”

Man up. Man down.

Macho camaraderie is an easy story to spin from the valiant middle after the fact.

———

Badly constructed roster. Fetid results. Division within the ranks. The usual autosarcophagous Ouroboros of cause and effect (one’s ass being hardest to kick once entirely swallowed, no sand required).

Thank you, Andrew, for belling yesterday’s “anonymous” pet with a snub-nosed laser pointer.

bendelson

BONE207: As usual…great job, Bruce

Agreed.
Darcy and Bruce hitting on all cylinders on the same damn broadcast.
The Lowdown may have gone supernova today…

Lloyd B.

BONE207:
As usual…great job, Bruce.
I’ll be looking for Venus all night. I have your number if it’s a no-show.
LT…great to hear you again as well.

You can’t miss it. Just to the left of Venus you will also see Mars. Showed the grandson the other night.

Amazing where a 5 year old brain goes. Now I have to explain planets, stars, sun, moons, days, years, etc.

Chachi

Well, this was a fun game day comments section for a little while until it hit the iceberg. Good grief.

Bag of Pucks

Chachi: Yes, it was a lottery. Thanks to some of the worst management in NHL history the Oilers were in the third best position to win that lottery among the other “lottery qualifiers”. Fair?

Totes fair. It’s more at the ‘whatever they did, it landed them McDavid so that’s all matters…etc.’ gang.

No one ‘landed’ McDavid. An RNG doesn’t care about your trials and tribulations. That’s the larger point I’m trying to make.

remlap

Just ignore him guys. LT will be around shortly to time him out, block him, whatever special Admin power he wants to use.

Bag of Pucks

Don’t feed the troll. I’m sure LT will be along shortly to escort him to the door. It’s a classy club. The bouncers will mete out the attitude adjustment in the parking lot.

Chachi

Bag of Pucks: Totes fair. It’s more at the ‘whatever they did, it landed them McDavid so that’s all matters…etc.’ gang.

No one ‘landed’ McDavid. An RNG doesn’t care about your trials and tribulations. That’s the larger point I’m trying to make.

Before the comments section gets shut down. Yes, I understand your point and agree.