G70 2016-17: BRUINS AT OILERS

by Lowetide

The 1971-72 Boston Bruins were probably my favorite, kind of a tight race between the 1970 Stanley team and the two that followed. The 1972 team also won Stanley, with all kinds of interesting stories (Ted Green missed the 1969-70 season so this was his first Stanley, Carol Vadnais came over from the Seals late in the season and I always liked him, Garnet Bailey was from just down the road so that was cool) past Bobby Orr, the Esposito line and the goalie tandem of Gerry Cheevers and Eddie Johnston. My recollection of the lines and pairings:

  • Wayne Cashman-Phil Esposito-Kenny Hodge
  • Johnny Bucyk-Fred Stanfield-Johnny McKenzie
  • Mike Walton-Derek Sanderson-Eddie  Westfall
  • Garnet Bailey and Don Marcotte extra forwards (who would play, but no 4 line in 1972)
  • Dallas Smith-Bobby Orr
  • Don Awrey-Carol Vadnais (Vadnais was playing with Smith but it didn’t work)
  • Ted Green (who didn’t play all of the games)
  • Gerry Cheevers (Eddie Johnston)

I  loved that team, and a big damned bunch of them jumped to the WHA that summer. Gerry Cheevers, Ted Green, Derek Sanderson and Johnny McKenzie all bolted to the new league and Milt Schmidt didn’t protect Daniel Bouchard in the expansion draft. Orr’s knees were a big worry fall 1972, but I knew they would be back for another Stanley. Four years later, Bobby Orr was in Chicago and his career was pretty much over. The Bruins did win Stanley though, in 2011, 39 years removed from 1972. The Stanley doesn’t come around often, and for Oilers fans of a certain vintage, the playoffs would be a fairly new experience. I can’t wait! Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, still work to do.

LOVE THAT DIRTY WATER, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers in October 2015: 4-8-0, goal differential -7
  • Oilers in October 2016: 7-2-0, goal differential +10
  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2, goal differential -6
  • Oilers in November 2016: 5-8-2 goal differential -3
  • Oilers in December 2015: 7-6-1, goal differential -9
  • Oilers in December 2016: 7-2-5, goal differential +3
  • Oilers in January 2016: 4-5-2, goal differential -5
  • Oilers in January 2017: 9-4-1, goal differential +8
  • Oilers in February 2016: 3-8-2, goal differential -18
  • Oilers in February 2017: 6-6-0, goal differential -2
  • Oilers in March 2016: 8-8-0, goal differential +5
  • Oilers in March 2017: 2-2-1, goal differential +1
  • Oilers after 69, 2015-16: 26-36-7, goal differential -39
  • Oilers after 69, 2016-17: 36-24-9, goal differential +17

G70 last season was a 2-1 win over the Minnesota Wild, winning goal Connor McDavid. Including tonight, the Oilers would go 5-7-1 to finish 31-43-8. If the Oilers finished the same way, their final record would be 41-31-10, 92 points. The expectation would be a stronger run, that’s why they play the games.

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM MARCH

  • At home to: Detroit, NY Islanders, Pittsburgh, Montreal (Expected: 2-2-0) (Actual 1-2-1)
  • At home to: Dallas, Boston, Vancouver, Los Angeles (Expected: 3-1-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • On the road to: Anaheim, Colorado (Expected: 1-1-0) (Actual: 0-0-0)
  • At home to: Colorado, Los Angeles, San Jose (Expected 1-1-1) (Actual: 0-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 7-5-1, 15 points in 13 games
  • Current results: 2-2-1, 5 points in 5 games

The week of BIG continues with the Bruins in town to play Edmonton. Should the Oilers win tonight, the expectation for the month overall clicks back into place like the Lego of our youth.

GOD’S FLASHLIGHT, REGULARS (250+ mins)

The two things I want to know about forwards: 5×5/60 scoring and quality of competition. Woodmoney is giving us a really good look at qual comp, for this season the Nuge line and McDavid line are playing the toughs.

  1. Connor McDavid 2.60
  2. Tyler Pitlick 2.27
  3. Zack Kassian 1.87
  4. Patrick Maroon 1.78
  5. Leon Draisaitl 1.71
  6. Mark Letestu 1.58
  7. Jordan Eberle 1.57
  8. Jesse Puljujarvi 1.47
  9. Anton Slepyshev 1.45
  10. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 1.40
  11. Matt Hendricks 1.20
  12. Milan Lucic 1.19
  13. Benoit Pouliot 1.04
  14. Drake Cagguila 0.94
  15. Source

McDavid ranks No. 8 among forwards and Zack Kassian is enjoying a helluva run now. Maroon and Draisaitl have faded a little but will finish with handsome boxcars courtesy help from 97. Mark Letestu has had a good year and I have to give credit to Jordan Eberle for scrambling and then saving his year with hard work and natural skill. Nuge and Lucic are still peddling and will be needed in the coming games that may include the playoffs. Benoit Pouliot’s goal is hopefully a sign of things to come.

THIS SUMMER

I think a reasonable plan of action would have been spending this season bringing along Jesse Puljujarvi and Leon Draisaitl on the skill lines this year, then (if necessary) trading one of RNH or Eberle in the summer to make the money work. One problem. Jesse Puljujarvi is not an established NHL player yet, so the Oilers would be vulnerable on RW moving forward. I think we might see the Oilers deal Nuge before Eberle, which wasn’t my feeling entering the season. Hopefully neither man has to go this summer.

BLUE BAYOU

The Woodmoney shows five men (Russell, Sekera, Larsson, Klefbom, Benning) are at similar levels in terms of qual comp, suggesting that Todd McLellan has two pairings he trusts about equally. I like using Corsi and Corsi Rel, and then factoring in the qual comp on those numbers. Today, I am going to  list those numbers and then another set.

CORSI (CORSI REL) 5×5 OILERS DEFENSE

  1. Matt Benning 52.8 (3.5)
  2. Darnell Nurse 52.3 (1.9)
  3. Eric Gryba 51.9 (1.7)
  4. Oscar Klefbom 50.7 (0.7)
  5. Adam Larsson 50.0 (-0.5)
  6. Andrej Sekera 49.7 (-0.5)
  7. Kris Russell 46.4 (-6.0)

Fascinating. This is 400+ minutes from the defensemen, Matt Benning is a fantastic rookie. Three of the regular top 4D are hovering around 50 percent, while Kris Russell is well behind. His Fenwick numbers (48.2, -3.9) are much better, and then there are the goals-against/60 numbers. Darnell Nurse has improved a lot from his rookie season, we will go in depth during the upcoming RE (still not sure of the music, please send in your choices).

GA/60 5X5 OILERS DEFENSE

  1. Kris Russell 1.68
  2. Andrej Sekera 1.82
  3. Matt Benning 2.13
  4. Eric Gryba 2.21
  5. Adam Larsson 2.29
  6. Darnell Nurse 2.40
  7. Oscar Klefbom 2.57
  8. Source

What I believe is that the GA60 5×5 will regress if the Corsi possession number remains that low for Kris Russell. That said, if I am Kris Russell’s agent I am laminating this puppy for the negotiations to come.

STANDINGS

Good news so far this week but we have miles to go. If the Oilers win tonight, they will leapfrog the Calgary Flames. That could be short lived, because the Flames play Buffalo tomorrow night. The Sabres play the Kings tonight, so LAK could be within six points of the Oilers by the time we reach midnight. The Blues play San  Jose, so a STL loss combined with an Oilers win and LAK loss would mean EDM up by 10 points over Los Angeles and six points north of the Blues by this time tomorrow morning. It is a big night.

COLLEGE FREE AGENTS

Plenty of free agents still to be signed this spring and summer, I will have Kirk Luedeke from Red Line Report on this morning to discuss names like Mike Vecchione, Neal Pionk, Mitch Hults and CJ Smith.

This is a helluva tweet, one worth remembering should it come to pass. I haven’t seen this mentioned anywhere, but if JP turns into anything close to Pastrnak as a scorer, Oilers fans should be over the moon.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning, we hit the grounding running, TSN1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Bruce McCurdy, Cult of Hockey. Podcast star takes a timeout to talk about the big game tonight, Oilers ideal first-round opponent and strong finishes from Eberle and Kassian.
  • Kirk Luedeke, Red Line Report. Bruins are pushing for the postseason with a mixture of old and new, plus many quality college free agents remain.
  • Frank Seravalli, TSN. How many strong candidates for the Hart? Plus the Metropolitan playoff race is suddenly interesting again.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter.

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Yeti

Tarkus: * – Mediocre for that lineup anyway. Still better than anything from the Coverdale/Hughes outfit, with the exception of Burn.

You’ve clearly been Mistreated. 🙂

Yeti

JDï™:
Yeti,

Pretty sure that predates Machine Head. You should ask your friend.

You’re absolutely right. I got it mixed up with Who Do We Think We Are.

Mariusz Czerkawski

I may be too late for this thread but concerning the music for this spring’s RE series…. i have been requesting The Band for the last several years so please go with your gut and stick with that. There are so many great songs and song titles of theirs and with the artists they played for

– Life is a Carnival (McDavid,)
– Up on cripple creek (Pitlick?)
– The weight (Talbot, carrying the goalering on his back)
– The night they drove ol dixie down (hendricks if he resigns lol)
– Helpless (Kris Russell)
– Who do you love?

It Gold LT, GOLD!

Will repost in this morning’s new thread

Pouzar

Daisy Duke!!! Yes!
David Duke…not so much.

JD_Wry

Pouzar: Loving DD

I’ve never met a DD I didn’t like.

Pouzar

Loving DD so far. Every time he passes to someone it seems to result in a nice look.

Unicorns????

Pouzar

spoiler:
Needs to be a thing….

Jason‏ @jrmccrank· 10m10 minutes ago

Ok, so I don’t know if my brother saw this somewhere else but he called Pouliot-Desharnais-Kassian “The French Rejection” line haha #Oilers

h/t to Rex

omg that’s perfect

theres oil in virginia
Tarkus

Yeti: Was that Gillen’s last album with the band? It’s been ages since I listened. From memory, I think the title track was great but some of the other material wasn’t quite up there with their more classic albums.

Gillan’s last album with that era of DP was Who Do We Think We Are, which came after Machine Head. It’s a mediocre* album, most notable for the single “Woman From Tokyo”.

About Fireball–humor wasn’t exactly a hallmark of Purple, but “Anyone’s Daughter” and “No One Came” are two of the wittiest songs the band ever recorded. The former is especially remarkable, a country-blues ditty that sounds nothing like anything else they did.

* – Mediocre for that lineup anyway. Still better than anything from the Coverdale/Hughes outfit, with the exception of Burn.

jp

spoiler:
Needs to be a thing….

Jason‏ @jrmccrank· 10m10 minutes ago

Ok, so I don’t know if my brother saw this somewhere else but he called Pouliot-Desharnais-Kassian “The French Rejection” line haha #Oilers

h/t to Rex

That is amazing!

JD_Wry

Yeti,

Pretty sure that predates Machine Head. You should ask your friend.

PeOiler

JDï™:
Wake up early to watch the highlights!

http://www.dtmts.com/?id=2016021044&vid=50464203

Thats a great site. My usual ritual for watching highlights involves strategically placing my hand over the TSN app and peeking through my fingers to hide the score.

Thank you citizen, for my quality of life has improved this morning.

Yeti

hunter1909: I playing Deep Purple Fireball LP 1971

Was that Gillen’s last album with the band? It’s been ages since I listened. From memory, I think the title track was great but some of the other material wasn’t quite up there with their more classic albums.

JD_Wry

Wake up early to watch the highlights!

http://www.dtmts.com/?id=2016021044&vid=50464203

spoiler

Needs to be a thing….

Jason‏ @jrmccrank · 10m10 minutes ago

Ok, so I don’t know if my brother saw this somewhere else but he called Pouliot-Desharnais-Kassian “The French Rejection” line haha #Oilers

h/t to Rex

spoiler

Gerta Rauss: -was the ice better tonight..?..

Last two games it seems…

kgo

To everyone who called for Woodcroft’s resignation earlier this year, don’t look now but the Powerplay is ranked 4th in the league…you doubters know who you are….feel shame.

rickithebear

Pouliot w/ desharnais in MTL
298.05 EVTOI
+.20 EVGD/60
Pouliot
1.01 EVG/60
2.24 EVP/60
Desharnais
.40 EVG/60
1.82 EVP/60

Damn

kgo

Nice to see Kassian getting a standing ovation from the bench (Led by Looch) upon exiting the box after his fight with Z.

TeeVee

David Backes: a longtime kicker of sand into the faces of many Oilers over the years, completely invisible in a game as physical as this one was.

Effing outstanding!

Gerta Rauss

Just getting caught up with the comments

-nice win, entertaining game,lots of room for improvement

-was the ice better tonight..?..the lack of comments would suggest it was better. I didn’t seem to notice it as much tonight

-Sleppy looked great, the Oilers brass had to have taken notice

Gerta Rauss

LA wins 2-0 over BUF

npanciroli

I like to complain about McLellan but he put together a fantastic forward lineup and was rewarded handsomely for it. Really pleased. Love the speed of the team now with Kassian Pouliot Cagguila Slepyshev

rickithebear

Pouzar: I get that but there is nothing Pak does better than Slepy imo.

Our pk sucks without him!

hunter1909

N64: Ftfy. Mr. Buzzkill.

Great Yakupov props in that avatar name

hunter1909

Oilers ahead thats better

hunter1909

Congrats to the Calgary Flames;

You are now Oilers official rival for today and the future

It’s going to be a great race to the finish line.

JD_Wry

+19 GD. Hold me.

hunter1909

Ice Sage: for nostalgia buffs, both Hemsky and Hall

Chiarelli’s preparing to offer Hall a fast UFA take it or leave it maximum term poss 7-8 season @ 3-4 million ballpark start number lol

Now, Oilers fans can argue on Lowetide with the Hunter1909 Death March “who knows more” feature.

N64

Done with the East now. 31 pts from 32 games.

Lots left in division. 27 from 19.

jm363561

Adam Larsson now +18 on the season. I just love watching this guy play.
Talbot – played ok but seems to be wearing out. Self inflicted wound by Chia / TMac.
Did not see last the two defeats but the team looks better balanced with DD on third line and Letestu on the fourth.
Nurse looking better and better.

Pouzar

Nuge gets credit for 5th goal on PP (Caggs, Ebs)

Ice Sage

And for nostalgia buffs, both Hemsky and Hall had some lovely goals tonight.

The Oilers may not be balanced but they’re teetering in a better direction.

The Canucks may have to start both goaltenders this weekend

McSorley33

Klima’s_Bucket,

Well said….

hunter1909

Hunter 1909 Oilers 2016-17 Death March Update:

Oilers back to a 97 point pace, with these current leaders until puck drop next game.

Congrats to the 12 players who have accurately predicted 97 points. Death March players who predicted a 97 point finish are:

Soup Fascist
Oil 2 Oilers
Water fire
Yak Efron
Ozzie Oiler
PTS2PNDR
Genjutsu
Book;je
Kashirat
Lodog
Say it ain’t so Gretz, Say it ain’t so!
Countr(y?)girl

N64

hunter1909: Players pick the amount of goals they think will win/lose the game. If they’re too dumb to write the name of either team they’re disqualified.
Game as of after 40:0060:00 OILERS 7 BOSTON 4

Ftfy. Mr. Buzzkill.

russ99

Ahead of the Flames! Hopefully for good.

Hope Bellesky is OK. That was horrible.

You don’t want to see that even to one of the hated Bruins.

speeds

Lowetide: Todd McLellan likes Pakarinen. A lot. That said, the Oilers wanted more finish around the net from him and they got it tonight.

Seemed like he liked Korpikoski last year, Chiarelli ended up buying him out. You think they qualify Pakarinen, or let him go UFA?

JD_Wry

Ice Sage,

Obviously.

I just don’t see how any NHL player skates onto the ice without ear guards on their helmet.

Ice Sage

JDï™:
As tough as it is to say this, hopefully he’s okay.

I don’t think he’s coming back tonite

JD_Wry

As tough as it is to say this, hopefully he’s okay.

spoiler

I blame St. Patrick. And the leprechauns. And those dagblamed shamrocks.

#noluck #nohattie

Professor Q

I’m so tense right now!

STOP MISSING THE OPEN NET!

Pouzar

It was icing Drew.

JD_Wry

hunter1909: Please lol,

Oilers running the Hawks was a real treat, at the time.

Pouzar

Lowetide: Todd McLellan likes Pakarinen. A lot. That said, the Oilers wanted more finish around the net from him and they got it tonight.

I get that but there is nothing Pak does better than Slepy imo.

Crazy Pedestrian

EMPTY NET!!! Give it to McDavid!!!

digger50

This is practice at this point. Important practice.

Avoid injuries, get some TOI for rooks

Crazy Pedestrian

That’s a meh call… not a “good” call remenda…