G80 2016-17: OILERS AT SHARKS

by Lowetide

First, the names: Glenn Anderson, Paul Coffey, Pat Conacher, Lee Fogolin Jr., Grant Fuhr, Randy Gregg, Wayne Gretzky CAPTAIN, Charlie Huddy, Pat Hughes, Dave Hunter, Don Jackson, Jari Kurri, Willy Lindstrom, Ken Linseman, Kevin Lowe, Dave Lumley, Kevin McClelland, Mark Messier, Andy Moog, Jaroslav Pouzar, Dave Semenko, Peter Pocklington, Owner Glen Sather General Manager-Coach.

When I visited the HHOF many years after the 1984 SCF, the Stanley Cup was my destination and 1984 was my first stop. Two of those names were new arrivals (Pat Conacher had been signed in October of 1983; Kevin McLelland, acquired in early December for Tom Rouston), but the first Oilers Stanley team was pretty much the Boys on the Bus. I saw all of these men, live and on television, and many of them own iconic status in this northern outpost. When great feats are achieved by any of these men, it is celebrated here. When anyone on this list suffers loss, it impacts the city, too. Fred Shero told his Philadelphia Flyers (on the day his men would win their first Stanley) “win today and we walk together forever” and that applies to these Oilers to this very day. They were a wonder and 1984 remains a special year in our town’s history.

Edmonton swept the Jets, won a 7-game classic against the Flames you could write a book about (Calgary won two OT games), swept the Minnesota North Stars, won Stanley against the NY Islanders in five games. It might have been the most emotional experience I’ve ever had as a fan. The Stanley Cup hadn’t been west in my lifetime. Five years previous the bully NHL had steamrolled my team and the WHA babies in the expansion draft. The NHL fathers had been dismissive every. damned. day. of the Oilers existence. And these young Oilers beat the whole damned league like a rented mule. I will never forget them. They were giants.

 THE POWER AND THE GLORY, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers in October 2015: 4-8-0, goal differential -7
  • Oilers in October 2016: 7-2-0, goal differential +10
  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2, goal differential -6
  • Oilers in November 2016: 5-8-2 goal differential -3
  • Oilers in December 2015: 7-6-1, goal differential -9
  • Oilers in December 2016: 7-2-5, goal differential +3
  • Oilers in January 2016: 4-5-2, goal differential -5
  • Oilers in January 2017: 9-4-1, goal differential +8
  • Oilers in February 2016: 3-8-2, goal differential -18
  • Oilers in February 2017: 6-6-0, goal differential -2
  • Oilers in March 2016: 8-8-0, goal differential +5
  • Oilers in March 2017: 9-3-1, goal differential +15
  • Oilers in April 2016: 1-1-0, goal differential -1
  • Oilers in April 2017: 1-1-0, goal differential -1 
  • Oilers after 79, 2015-16: 30-42-7, goal differential -42
  • Oilers after 79, 2016-17: 44-26-9, goal differential +30
Edmonton impressed against Anaheim on Saturday, were shock and ugh against Los Angeles and we await tonight against the third member of the NHL California. A year ago, G80 was a 5-0 loss to the Flames.

 WHAT TO EXPECT FROM APRIL

  • At home to: Anaheim (Expected:1-0-0) (Actual: 1-0-0)
  • On the road to: Kings, Sharks, Canucks (Expected: 1-1-1) (Actual: 0-1-0)
  • At home to Canucks (Expected: 1-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 3-1-1, seven points in five games
  • Current results: 1-1-0, two points in two games
This is a big game tonight, win and there’s a strong chance the Oilers will host their first playoff game since 2006 to start the series. Edmonton needs three more points in order to reach the century mark and there’s the matter of McDavid also hitting 100 in his second NHL season.

 OILERS TOP SCORERS, 2016-17

  • McDavid’s season is spectacular from every angle. The gap between 97 and his RW is 20, and he’s 50 points beyond his LW.
  • Leon’s season is going  to be expensive this summer, those 26 power-play points will put a large bow on a negotiating position that is very strong today.
  • Four 20-goal men, will we see another? Will CMD, Leon and Maroon hit 30 goals?
  • Mark Letesu’s 15 goals are distributed in genuinely unique fashion. Not many seasons have been divided up in this way.
  • Zack Kassian has a 5×5/60 of 1.76, and is 2-2-4 in 37 minutes 5×5 with Connor McDavid. I wonder if he emerges in more of a feature role next season.

WOODMONEY, 2016-17

  • Most of this table is from WoodMoney earlier in the week, so slightly outdated but the averages and percentages remain similar/same.
  • I added TOI with McDavid because that’s the real thing when it comes to being an Oiler this season. As you can see, we are looking at a top 4D who play almost identical minutes with 97 at 5×5. I went into this looking to see if there was a push for any defender. Looks like it is across the board even save for Nurse and that could be all kinds of things (injury, natural deployment of 97 in the big parts of the game).
  • The slotting done by WoodMoney really does offer us a chance to see who the coach believes can do the job. Among the top 4D, Adam Larsson has the best DFF percentage and DFF rel comp, which matches my eye. I do think a defenseman is dependent on his partner to a large extent, and would vote for Andrej Sekera as Edmonton’s best defenseman this season. It’s close, there are some noble warriors here.

CONDORS UPDATE

Joe Gambardella had a goal and an assist in his pro debut, what I saw of him was impressive. As Ryan Lambert and others had suggested to us, Gambardella is a demon on the forecheck and a lot of his offense comes immediately after turnovers. A better passer than I thought he’d be, and he has that sixth sense that allows him to be in good places.

Bakersfield lost and now trail Stockton Heat by two points in the race for the final playoff spot in the Pacific Division. Jesse Puljujarvi was -3 on the night, but did have some good looks when playing with Anton Lander. Jujhar Khaira had an assist and also had some nice moments. It will be a disappointing result if these team can’t grab some playoff games, lots of new pro players looking for spring at-bats.

OILERS-SAN JOSE, BY THE NUMBERS

  • Oilers (San Jose)
  • Fenwick for 5×5: 50.6 (52.1)
  • Corsi for 5×5: 49.7 (51.2)
  • Goals for 5×5: 157 (148)
  • Goals against 5×5: 135 (132)
  • Shots for percentage 5×5: 50.5 (51.9)
  • Shooting percentage 5×5: 8.25 (7.82)
  • Save Percentage 5×5: 92.75 (92.46)
  • Power Play goals for 5×4: 49 (32)
  • Penalty Kill goals against 4×5: 37 (35)
  • Source

Fairly even overall, I think Edmonton has an edge in McDavids, starting goaltending and (at least during the regular year) special teams. The health of Joe Thornton and Logan Couture seems assured for the playoffs (if not tonight), so I think it reasonable to frame the Oilers as underdogs entering the series.

THERE ARE COMPLIMENTS, AND THEN THERE’S THIS

  • Roman Josi: As a defenseman, a guy with this combination of skill is extremely tough to stop, because you want to maintain a close gap to take away his space, but in the back of your mind you know he can accelerate so quickly and burn you with his speed. So how far do you play off of him? I don’t think there’s a right answer. That’s why he’s so tough to play against.
  • Source

I quoted just one part, the entire article is outstanding. The Players’ Tribune is a fantastic site, only downside is it’ll be dark by the time you’re done clicking and reading.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

We are once again live at Northlands Coliseum for the 2017 Ford World Men’s Curling Championship. At 10 this morning, TSN1260, scheduled to appear:

  • Bruce McCurdy, Cult of Hockey. We’ll talk Oilers-Sharks, Gushue at the Worlds, and a few other hockey items along the way (1984, Polei).
  • Al Cameron, Director, Communications & Media Relations for Curling Canada. Putting this run by the Gushue rink in historical perspective.
  • Jake Sundstrom, Fear the Fin. Playoff preview, updates on  Jumbo and Couture.
  • Frank Seravalli, TSN. Is the Hart race over, Letang.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. See you on the radio!

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12 percent body fat

please sign Darren Raddysh.

Kassian will have to take more of a feature if Oil trade Eberle.

Even though we dont have elite or top end right wingers other than Eberle, the rest of the pack is useful. If Eberle is traded its not that we need an elite right wing right away. If Draisaitl goes back to center it is simply some one with a little bit of chemistry with Connor. Slep, Kassian, Pitlick and JP, Just need one of 4 to click.

Richard S.S.

Win tonight and the Oilers are guaranteed 2nd Place, or more. Lose and everything becomes much harder. Now, start a badly overworked Cam Talbot or a fresh Laurent Brossoit?

12 percent body fat

LT, in regards to Leons bonus;

What is the wording regarding top 10 in a category?
What if there is a tie?
What is minimum games played for ppg? This is huge, does Eichel at 55 or so games count?

papa96

Man, some days I remember 1984 like it was yesterday. What a great year, not just for hockey. And there was that row of xxxxxxxxx on the Cup for Basil Pocklington. Those exes will march forever too.

meanashell11

1984, I watched the series winner at RATT. Place was crazy. Good times!

Bag of Pucks

Richard S.S.:
Win tonight and the Oilers are guaranteed 2nd Place, or more.Lose and everything becomes much harder.Now, start a badly overworked Cam Talbot or a fresh Laurent Brossoit?

Would imagine TMac has Brossoit penciled in for the 2nd of the back to backs against VAN. Would be absolutely shocked if Cam doesn’t get the start tonight.

Expecting a big bounceback game from Leon tonight after an off game against LA.

Pouzar

One minute you are watching hockey, baseball, basketball the next minute yer at the Hospital with your 7 yr talking to neurologists about why he is fainting all of a sudden. Take this shit for granted and the big guy throws the 12 to 6 curve ball.

blainer

Love to remember those good days LT.

At the very ripe age of 21 years I managed to luck into an 11 game playoff package for an astounding price of $236 for all 11 games.

A lot of money to me though back then.

Being there at all those games was surreal for me.

I put that night that we won the cup right up there with the most exciting times of my life.

I find it entertaining though how most of us here come down hard on the team after a loss. We go back to 8-2 for the last ten and the sky is falling.

This team is a contender bank on it.

We have what I consider the best player in the world and an amazing Goaltender. This is a team i would not want to face if I am the sharks.

Go OIL !!

Pouzar

Oh. Go Oilers!

Chachi

“The slotting done by WoodMoney really does offer us a chance to see who the coach believes can do the job. Among the top 4D, Adam Larsson has the best DFF percentage and DFF rel comp, which matches my eye.”

Adam Larsson, passenger.

Chachi

Pouzar:
One minute you are watching hockey, baseball, basketball the next minute yer at the Hospital with your 7 yr talking to neurologists about why he is fainting all of a sudden. Take this shit for granted and the big guy throws the 12 to 6 curve ball.

That is terrible. I hope they figure out the problem, and fast.

Jethro Tull

Pouzar:
One minute you are watching hockey, baseball, basketball the next minute yer at the Hospital with your 7 yr talking to neurologists about why he is fainting all of a sudden. Take this shit for granted and the big guy throws the 12 to 6 curve ball.

I’m with you brother. Going through something very similar. Here and the Oilers are my therapy.

Bag of Pucks

You would think the best case scenario is going into Sunday’s game with it being a meaningless affair so TMac can rest the key guys heading into the playoffs. Off course Connor will still be pushing it with Art Ross and Hart Trophies for consideration.

Wonder who gets the Selke nod for the Oil? Hard to make a case for Nuge with a team worst -12. Connor may get that nod as well, if not Leon. Letestu would be a dark horse for that.

meanashell11

Pouzar,

Been there. Took years to figure it out. My son had heart syncope.

It is not fun to watch but a suggestion is to wire him up and do a tilt table test. You will know after that.

My son is now 23 and in great shape. The fainting is now maybe once a year, especially if lacking sleep and under stress. It used to be once a week, sometimes more.

I wont go into the treatment he had as everyone is different. If you want to know, have LT send you my email.

Good luck.

Bag of Pucks

1984. First year of college. Van Halen, ZZ Top, Springsteen, Bowie, Henley, U2 and Deep Purple in the charts. Oil ripping it up in the playoffs. Had a full head of a hair and Firebird with a t-top. Those were the days! lol

Only downside I can recall is the emergence of AIDs. Going to the bars pre-AIDS was like fishing with dynamite. Good times.

HiddenDarts

Curious, LT or anyone else. Is the Player’s Tribute shutting down? This “going dark” thing seems ridiculous for one of the best hockey content sites on the web.

Primetime

HiddenDarts,

I think LT means there is so much good content to read, you won’t be able to leave the site until its dark outside tonight….I could be wrong though

HiddenDarts

Primetime,

Ah. Yes. Rereading it, I realized I injected my own meaning. Thanks!

VanIsleOil

Pouzar,

My thoughts are with you Pouzar, hope it all turns out well for you and your family. Like you and Jethro,I am also going through some difficult times and I really do come here for hockey talk and therapy. LT’s place is and has been a great place for me.

HugThePost

for those of us lucky enough to have seen the 1980’s Oilers, it is very hard not to notice the similar vibe this year’s team has—-we have a team that can free-wheel and shoot the lights out with good portions of crazy, violent, flash, grind and an all-world goalie that keeps it all together.

This is Katz’s vision and what I suspect he was chasing when he bought the team and put us through the decade of darkness with all of the nepotism and bad management and wasted drafts.

I’m old now, but this year’s team makes me smile and I’m going to enjoy their playoffs, no matter how long it is—it’s unbelievable to get to see a reincarnation of the BOTB like Chia has built so far.

treevojo

Jethro Tull: I’m with you brother. Going through something very similar. Here and the Oilers are my therapy.

Feel your guys pain.

Been in the hospital for 4 days now with my son.

Should have been out on Tuesday.

Oil better bring it tonight.

BONE207

That Letestu must be a chameleon. Nothing about his play changes more than his name. Maybe LT was in a hurry today?

rickithebear

// •Mark Letesu’s 15 goals are distributed in genuinely unique fashion. Not many seasons have been divided up in this way. //

looking at similar numbered forwards.
11PPG
Seguin 5.75M
N. Foligno 5.5M
Moulson 5M
Couture 6M
Malkin 9.5M
Benn 9.5M

10 PPG
Atkinson 3.5M
Lucic 6M
Letestu 1.8M
Draisatl (ELC)

9PPG
Tarasenko 7.5M
Panarin 6M
Hornquist 4.25M
Drouin (ELC)
Nylander (ELC)
Laine (ELC)
Reinhart (ELC)
Marchand 6.125M

Letestu is a cap steal

Never a fan of
#1-7 D
#1 -14 FWD

Fill the units:
Forwards
1. -PvP Fwd line; RNH …..
Hope to break even with best scorers in the game.

2. -2nd-3rd comp Fwd line; Players like Kane ; Tavares;
They better kick the Sh….. out of there opposition in Goal Diff

3. -2nd-4th comp
Strong Even goal production line; need +ve Goal dif.

4. – Specialist line
Tough FO ZS; Good to Elite PK Fwds; PP if effective.
for Nuge with a team worst -12. Connor may get that nod as well, if not Leon.

Etc…….

Rocknrolla

Pouzar:
One minute you are watching hockey, baseball, basketball the next minute yer at the Hospital with your 7 yr talking to neurologists about why he is fainting all of a sudden. Take this shit for granted and the big guy throws the 12 to 6 curve ball.

Thoughts and Prayers…

blainer

Pouzar:
One minute you are watching hockey, baseball, basketball the next minute yer at the Hospital with your 7 yr talking to neurologists about why he is fainting all of a sudden. Take this shit for granted and the big guy throws the 12 to 6 curve ball.

Man hope everything is OK there Pouzar. Raising Kids is a constant worry and it won’t get easier as they get older. My kids are grown but it you will still worry. Health my friend is everything.

Jaxon

— “Five years previous the bully NHL had steamrolled my team and the WHA babies in the expansion draft. The NHL fathers had been dismissive every. damned. day. of the Oilers existence.”

I’m sure the original six had most of the NHL boardroom power at the time and they were happy to expand the league again, but not too eager to face the next Flyers, Sabres or Islanders who both took little time to develop into contenders.

STL and PHI entered the NHL in 67-68 and by 73-74 the Flyers already won a cup. They won in their 7th season and again in their 9th season in 74-75, which would also be the first time an original six team didn’t make the finals. BUF, who entered the league in 70-71 was the other finalist in their 5th season.
The Islanders entered the league in 72-73 and already won a cup by 79-80, in their 8th season. BUF, PHI, & LAK all topped 100 pts in 74-75. The were a powerhouse by 75-76, topping 100 pts for the 1st time in just their 4th season.

I’m sure the original six were scared of becoming a middle of the pack team and missing out on playoff revenues. The eighties ended up being absolutely dominated by the Islanders and the Oilers.

— “It might have been the most emotional experience I’ve ever had as a fan.”

It was for me too. But not as an Oiler fan, but as a 12 year old Islander fan from Saskatchewan. Bourne, Gillies, Henning, Resch, and Trottier all hailed from Saskatchewan, while the Sutters were from Alberta, and Goring was form Manitoba. The Isles felt like the home team to me. I cried. The Oilers, who had no players from Saskatchewan in 79-80, and in 1984 they only had fringe players from Saskatchewan, who couldn’t make the deep Oilers team in a meaningful way. Gord Sherven (44 games over 3 seasons) was my best friend’s cousin. Todd Strueby (5 games over 3 seasons) was from nearby Lanigan, and Mark Habschied (74 games over 4 seasons) was a WHL legend, but none of them played a single playoff game with Edmonton. So I was like “screw those guys”.

Durag

Eberle with the career low SH%, and also to my eye he’s been missing the net a hell of a lot from in close. Wonder what’s up with that. A guy’s accuracy shouldn’t be something that declines with age.

Shane

Pouzar,

My thoughts are with you Pouzar. Hopefully everything gets figured out soon.

Shane

Durag:
Eberle with the career low SH%, and also to my eye he’s been missing the net a hell of a lot from in close. Wonder what’s up with that. A guy’s accuracy shouldn’t be something that declines with age.

He changed his stick this year. It’s a few inches longer. Maybe that has something to do with it?

Chachi

Durag:
Eberle with the career low SH%, and also to my eye he’s been missing the net a hell of a lot from in close. Wonder what’s up with that. A guy’s accuracy shouldn’t be something that declines with age.

Well, in some cases accuracy does go with age and your choices are to continue to stand up and take the consequences or sit down and make aim less of a problem, but feel less like a man. It is an age old struggle.

NF Oiler

Zaitsev about to sign for 4.5 mil per year?? Wow if that’s the going rate for a dman who has played one NHL season, has four goals and is -21 then something’s wrong ..goes to show the steals the oil have with klef and larsson at 4.1 mil…even Sekeras 5.5 mil looks like quite the Bargin as well compAred to what the leafs are gonna pay zaitsev!

Edmonton_fan

meanashell11:
1984, I watched the series winner at RATT. Place was crazy. Good times!

We have met before – I must have paid for many chairs in RATT in the early 1980’s.

When the Oilers won the Cup we were in RATT, I thought I was just going home afterward. My friends suggested to go downtown – ever expected the mayhem; cars were trapped on Jasper Avenue as the pedestrians spilled onto the street. Next thing I remember – Jasper Avenue was wall to wall people – marching on the hoods & roofs of vehicles that could not escape…

--hudson--

Speaking of Fred Shero, this list was floating around the internet a few months ago. Pretty neat to see his rules from the 70s that still apply today
https://mobile.twitter.com/IceWarehouse/status/813510007215951873/photo/1

I take it he wasn’t a fan of the one timer on the pp

Woodguy v2.0

WC standings using points %. Shown as “points over/under .500” to see spreads between teams.

z-CHI 28
x-MIN 22
x-ANA 21
x-EDM 18
x-SJS 17
x-STL 14
x-NSH 12-1st wildcard
x-CGY 12-2nd wildcard
————-
LAK 4
WPG 3
DAL -3
VAN -10
ARI -12
COL -32

If EDM beat SJS in reg, its one more point to secure 2nd. First can happen but ANA needs to lose their last 2 and EDM needs 2 wins. Could happen, but not probable.

WC games tonight:

EDM at SJS – If EDM plays all 3 periods like the first vs LAK, they will win. Nurse needs to stop wandering in the Dzone. On for all 5 5v5 goals vs LAK. I expect him to play well tonight with Gryba.

Thorton and Couture said they’ll be ready for the playoffs, that certainly doesn’t mean they’ll be 100%

Neither will play tonight so EDM needs to announce their presence with authority and throw some high heat.

GOILERS!!

WPG at CBJ – CBJ trying for 2nd in the Metro but running out of games. WPG going on their annual “the games mean fuck all so we’ll win most of them” streak and have won 5 in a row.

STL at FLA – STl continues to play teams out of the playoffs. Trying to stay ahead of NSH for 3rd in Central. Reimer expected to start for FLA so it won’t be easy for STL

NSH at DAL – NSH tring to get out of a wildcard spot. They’ve been worse than I expected lately. Both teams are 5-4-1 in the last 10. If Niemi starts take NSH.

MIN at COL – Doobie needs to find something to build on and right quickly

VAN at ARI – Maybe the least watched game in the NHL this year, live and on TV.

CHI at ANA – Possible WC final preview. If Fowler, Lindholm and Vatanen can’t go CHI should light them up.

CGY at LAK – Now that LAK is out of the playoffs they might look to extract some of Tkacooke’s hide.

speeds

NF Oiler:
Zaitsev about to sign for 4.5 mil per year?? Wow if that’s the going rate for a dman who has played one NHL season, has four goals and is -21 then something’s wrong ..goes to show the steals the oil have with klef and larsson at 4.1 mil…even Sekeras 5.5 mil looks like quite the Bargin as well compAred to what the leafs are gonna pay zaitsev!

One difference is Zaitsev, on a 7 year deal, would be signing away 2 RFA years and 5 UFA years, while Klefbom was signing away 5 RFA years and 2 UFA years.

speeds

Pouzar,

Sorry to hear about your son, hoping for all the best!

Factotum

LT, those first three paragraphs in today’s post are worthy of framing.

I couldn’t have said it better if I tried, and I have.

I was 22 years old in 1984; those memories are as indelible and treasured as any that I hold dear in my mind.

Here we go, Oilers. Here we go.

--hudson--

Edmonton_fan: We have met before – I must have paid for many chairs in RATT in the early 1980’s.

When the Oilers won the Cup we were in RATT, I thought I was just going home afterward. My friends suggested to go downtown – ever expected the mayhem; cars were trapped on Jasper Avenue as the pedestrians spilled onto the street. Next thing I remember – Jasper Avenue was wall to wall people – marching on the hoods & roofs of vehicles that could not escape…

After the game my dad drove me down to Jasper ave so we could go for pizza. (I can’t remember the restaurant anymore but it was near the Highlands)

I do remember cars were not moving and outside a gas station was a young woman flapping an Oilers flag. For each car passing she would lean in and make out with the passengers. After seeing this my dad took me home lol

Durag

Chachi: Well, in some cases accuracy does go with age and your choices are to continue to stand up and take the consequences or sit down and make aim less of a problem, but feel less like a man. It is an age old struggle.

I think there are pills for that…

Chachi

Durag: I think there are pills for that…

I think that’s for flow not for aim.

Chico21

I spend an hour everyday reading Oilers blog’s and I did not know that Ziyat Paigin was with the Condors. That is very good news. Ryan Mantha and him on defense will block out the sun.

rickithebear

Chachi:

Chachi says:

April 6, 2017 at 9:23 am

“The slotting done by WoodMoney really does offer us a chance to see who the coach believes can do the job. Among the top 4D, Adam Larsson has the best DFF percentage and DFF rel comp, which matches my eye.”
Adam Larsson, passenger

DFF% WTF

why are you using % rather than differential.
And Base.

% is bull shit!
It gives a false indication!
It allways has.

Benning Hamhuis both have the same FA% 51.9
Benning 41.46 FF60; 38.34 FA60; +3.12 FD60
Hamhuis 44.47 FF60; 41.22 FA60; +3.25 FD60
% lie to the reader.

But assigning what stat belongs to whom.
1. The very structure of a Unit is Dmen behind Forwards.
So forwards are closer to High danger area by structure.

2. Off Dmen abandon the free path to his own HD area.
5 times more scoring From HD area.

3. When a team has procession Failed entry; Corsi; blocks; misses; Giveaways
is almost completely Forwards and Offensive Dmen

4. Forwards and off dmen who press low. almost allways fail to establish NZ trap; with procession loss; not allowing Dmen to press entry of ther OZ cause that would positionally abandon the Defence of HD area.

5. Corsi against is almost 100% Forwards and offensive Dmen.

So you want Dmen who
6. Prevent Pentration of HD area. Corsi x,y
keeping shots to as great a distance as possible.

It is at this point you are tracking 2 values.
A. Corsi to Shot reduction
B. Reduction in Shot density a cummulitive measure of score potential

7.You want Dmen to be Elite
shot suppression (volume)
GA60 = (CA60 – (BF60 + MA60 + SVF60))
GA60/CA60
This does not capture the true binary affect of Data

8. Elite HD (targeting)
Capture the targeting reduction of Dmen
GAx,y = (CAx,y – (BFx,y + MAx,y + SVFx,y)
giving you a cumulative reduction 0% chance of goals.

However the true formula with binary affect:
open hole shots – OHSA
Closed hole shots – CHSA
buy only selecting the Open hole data.
0% corsi is removed.
you end up with a different Shot success chart than Alan ryders original 2006 Shot quality chart.
which he should have never recused.

This shot chart looks at
shot
1. type of shot
2. x,y location.
3. open holes in elevation

Save
4. Type of save
5. distance traveled
6. reaction time to save position

9. true Shot supression
OHSA60 = (CA60 – (BF60 + MA60 + CHSA60))
you get a true volume measure of a dman’s affect
OHSA60/CA60 = % reduction

10. true targeting Supression
OHSH60x,y = (CAx,y – (BFx,y + MAx,y + CHSA60x,y)
you get the cummulative value
OHSA60x,y/OHCA60x,y = Targeting Reduction.

Goalie performance:
11. Positional Shot suppression performance
CHSA performance = (CHSA60x,y/SA60x,y)- (Exp CHSA/60x,y)

12. True save%
True Save% = GA60x,y/OHSA60x,y

Woodguy v2.0

Pouzar:
One minute you are watching hockey, baseball, basketball the next minute yer at the Hospital with your 7 yr talking to neurologists about why he is fainting all of a sudden. Take this shit for granted and the big guy throws the 12 to 6 curve ball.

Damn that’s awful.

Very sorry to hear that.

Be strong for your boy Pouzar.

rickithebear

I was at a event that maxim magazine had named one of the top 5 parties to attend.
Rugbyfest.

I was in my early 20’s and sitting on the toilet cause I was so drunk.

Guy laughed at me sitting on the toilet.

So I stopped mid pee.
Do you guys know how tough that was!

Pissed on the guys shoes, he dove back.
target achieved.
He was starting to throw a punch when I ducked and screamed.

“Lets go get a beer.”

Chachi

rickithebear: DFF% WTF

why are you using % rather than differential.
And Base.

% is bull shit!
It gives a false indication!
It allways has.

Benning Hamhuis both have the same FA% 51.9
Benning 41.46 FF60; 38.34 FA60; +3.12 FD60
Hamhuis 44.47 FF60; 41.22 FA60; +3.25 FD60
% lie to the reader.

But assigning what stat belongs to whom.
1. The very structure of a Unit is Dmen behind Forwards.
So forwards are closer to High danger area by structure.

2. Off Dmen abandon the free path to his own HD area.
5 times more scoring From HD area.

3. When a team has procession Failed entry; Corsi; blocks; misses; Giveaways
is almost completely Forwards and Offensive Dmen

4. Forwards and off dmen who press low. almost allways fail to establish NZ trap; with procession loss; not allowing Dmen to press entry of ther OZ cause that would positionally abandon the Defence of HD area.

5. Corsi against is almost 100% Forwards and offensive Dmen.

So you want Dmen who
6. Prevent Pentration of HD area. Corsi x,y
keeping shots to as great a distance as possible.

It is at this point you are tracking 2 values.
A. Corsi to Shot reduction
B. Reduction in Shot density a cummulitive measure of score potential

7.You want Dmen to be Elite
shot suppression (volume)
GA60 = (CA60 – (BF60 + MA60 + SVF60))
GA60/CA60
This does not capture the true binary affect ofData

8. Elite HD (targeting)
Capture the targeting reduction of Dmen
GAx,y = (CAx,y – (BFx,y + MAx,y + SVFx,y)
giving you a cumulativereduction 0% chance of goals.

However the true formula with binary affect:
open hole shots – OHSA
Closed hole shots – CHSA
buy only selecting the Open hole data.
0% corsi is removed.
you end up with a different Shot success chart than Alan ryders original 2006 Shot quality chart.
which he should have never recused.

This shot chart looks at
shot
1. type of shot
2. x,y location.
3. open holes in elevation

Save
4. Type of save
5. distance traveled
6. reaction time to save position

9. true Shot supression
OHSA60 = (CA60 – (BF60 + MA60 + CHSA60))
you get a true volume measure of a dman’s affect
OHSA60/CA60 = % reduction

10. true targeting Supression
OHSH60x,y = (CAx,y – (BFx,y + MAx,y + CHSA60x,y)
you get the cummulative value
OHSA60x,y/OHCA60x,y = Targeting Reduction.

Goalie performance:
11. Positional Shot suppression performance
CHSA performance = (CHSA60x,y/SA60x,y)- (Exp CHSA/60x,y)

12. True save%
True Save% = GA60x,y/OHSA60x,y

These are quotation marks: ” ”

When you put words in the middle of them it means you are “quoting” what they said, or in this case wrote.

My point was to use Mr. Tide’s reference to the numbers to mock the notion that Adam Larsson is a passenger on this Oilers team.

Unfortunately I lost my Flash Gordon decoder ring so the rest of your post is gibberish to me therefore I will just agree with you:

% is bull shit! xoxo

Chachi

rickithebear:
I was at a event that maxim magazine had named one of the top 5 parties to attend.
Rugbyfest.

I was in my early 20’s and sitting on the toilet cause I was so drunk.

Guy laughed at me sitting on the toilet.

So I stopped mid pee.
Do you guys know how tough that was!

Pissed on the guys shoes, he dove back.
target achieved.
He was starting to throw a punch when I ducked and screamed.

“Lets go get a beer.”

This I understood! Very funny, but you should never stop mid pee; that is not natural, even for a bear.

bendelson

–hudson–: After the game my dad drove me down to Jasper ave so we could go for pizza. (I can’t remember the restaurant anymore but it was near the Highlands)

I do remember cars were not moving and outside a gas station was a young woman flapping an Oilers flag. For each car passing she would lean in and make out with the passengers. After seeing this my dad took me home lol

Yeah, I heard about that…
A great night for most!
Unfortunately, completely heartbroken, I had no choice but to break up with her the next day…

bendelson

Best wishes, Pouzar.

Bag of Pucks

I’m surprised we haven’t see it yet, but I expect we’ll soon see some articles condemning the analytics centric approach following FLA’s ouster of Gallant and their subsequent missing the playoffs.

To me that reportage is disappointing, because it’s never been an either/or argument. Data analytics and human observation should readily co-exist, cos you know….science.

By all accounts, Gallant was a very effective motivator. That’s not a skill likely to be improved by number crunching and if we’re throwing bricks at the Panthers, underestimating the importance of that in their HC’s skillset is a fair criticism imho. To say nothing of what that establishes within your culture, when you so readily fire a successful coach so early into a season.

Chachi

Bag of Pucks:
I’m surprised we haven’t see it yet, but I expect we’ll soon see some articles condemning the analytics centric approach following FLA’s ouster of Gallant and their subsequent missing the playoffs.

To me that reportage is disappointing, because it’s never been an either/or argument. Data analytics and human observation should readily co-exist, cos you know….science.

By all accounts, Gallant was a very effective motivator. That’s not a skill likely to be improved by number crunching and if we’re throwing bricks at the Panthers, underestimating the importance of that in a coaches skillset is a fair criticism imho. To say nothing of what that establishes within your culture, when you so readily fire a successful coach so early into a season.

Any article that tries to explain the plight of the Panthers that doesn’t just say “Injuries!” is probably trying too hard.