It’s about time we had a look at the summer to come, and this quiet period between series gives us a bit of a breather. Tomorrow morning, I’ll have a lash at Peter Chiarelli’s Summer List, or as my friend Dean calls it “my copy/paste post of spring”. I hate you all.
EXPANSION DRAFT LIST
- Goal: Cam Talbot
- Defense: Andrej Sekera, Adam Larsson, Oscar Klefbom
- Forwards: Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Milan Lucic, Jordan Eberle, Patrick Maroon, Zack Kassian, Jujhar Khaira
- Ineligible: Connor McDavid, Darnell Nurse, Matt Benning, Jesse Puljujarvi, Anton Slepyshev, Drake Caggiula, Nick Ellis
- Eligible: G Laurent Brossoit, D Mark Fayne, D Kris Russell, D Griffin Reinhart, D Jordan Oesterle, D Dillon Simpson, D David Musil, C Mark Letestu, C David Desharnais, L Benoit Pouliot, R Tyler Pitlick, R Iiro Pakarinen.
In looking at this list (and understanding how much of a factor the cap will be this summer), I think the Oilers are going to try (real hard) to offload Benoit Pouliot and buyout Mark Fayne. In fact, they need it. Pouliot is $4M and Fayne’s buyout would put $1.291M on the cap and save the team $2.33M in 2017-18 cap. They also have $1M from the Korpikoski buyout and an overage from bonuses the smart people tell me will be around $1M. All-in that’s about $3.291M of dead money on the cap, making the Pouliot exit even more important.
HOW WILL IT HAPPEN?
It has to be Vegas, and it might cost something of real value. If the Oilers can find a way for the Golden Knights to take Benoit Pouliot, it may also cost the 2018 second-round pick. The Oilers could also give up one of their young defensemen or some other prospect of interest to Vegas.
I’ve been running the numbers for next year, and if we take that $3.291M of dead cap as gospel, Pouliot has to move down the road. After that, we can talk about Eberle.
ESTIMATED ROSTER AND CAP
I used Cody Franson as an example, you can pick a $3M defender from this list is that doesn’t work for you. I think it’s fairly obvious that, even with the Pouliot exit and Fayne buyout, Peter Chiarelli will need to move a big contract.
The candidates (as I see it) are Jordan Eberle or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and the club could send Jesse Puljujarvi down and replace him with a $1M value deal on a veteran (which seems unlikely). Which one do you prefer?
The easiest answer is moving Leon to RW, dealing Jordan Eberle to the NY Islanders for Travis Hamonic, and running about $4M under the cap. Is that the right answer? We’ll talk tomorrow morning.