If the Oilers had drafted even close to average in the second round over the last decade, some of the management and coaching staff of the past might still be here. The new regime has had only one pick since arrival, meaning the picks have been traded away in two of the last three drafts. (Photo by Rob Ferguson).
- 2008: No second-round selections (Kevin Lowe) (MacGregor)
- 2009: Anton Lander (Steve Tambellini) (MacGregor)
- 2010: Tyler Pitlick (Steve Tambellini) (MacGregor)
- 2010: Martin Marincin (Steve Tambellini) (MacGregor)
- 2010: Curtis Hamilton (Steve Tambellini) (MacGregor)
- 2011: David Musil (Steve Tambellini) (MacGregor)
- 2012: Mitchell Moroz (Steve Tambellini) (MacGregor)
- 2013: Marco Roy (Craig MacTavish) (MacGregor)
- 2014: No second round selection (Craig MacTavish) (MacGregor)
- 2015: No second round selection (Peter Chiarelli) (Bob Green)
- 2016: Tyler Benson (Peter Chiarelli) (Bob Green)
- 2017: No second-round selections (Peter Chiarelli) (Bob Green)
I’m hopeful we can have a rational conversation about the Edmonton Oilers in the second round 2008-17. No grand statements on either side, no claims, just an honest assessment of the way things are, the good and bad arrows, and a discussion in regard to useful players coming out of this area of the draft. In order to do this, we absolutely have to agree on some things:
- We can’t judge a draft weeks after it happens.
- We can count arrows, and they are a good indicator.
- We cannot expect all of the picks to succeed, that isn’t reasonable.
- We have finaly reached a conclusion about a line in the sand for success.
- The Oilers can’t keep trading second-round picks.
2017 SUMMER (CAREER NHL GP)
- Anton Lander 215
- Martin Marincin 175
- Tyler Pitlick 58
- David Musil 4
- Curtis Hamilton 1
Scott Cullen’s method judges both Lander and Marincin as being second-round successes (100 NHL games) and Pitlick appears to be heading in that general direction. Three NHL players in a 10-year period (2008-17) is solid production on the surface, however all three players were lost in the flood of change, bad luck and inconsistency. I knew that damned 2010 draft had some players in it.
- “It’s over” arrows: Curtis Hamilton, Marco Roy, Mitch Moroz, David Musil
- Bad arrows:
- Lukewarm arrows: Tyler Benson
- Good arrows: Tyler Pitlick
- Successful selections: Anton Lander, Martin Marincin
I’ve moved both Moroz and Musil to the ‘it’s over’ category, both men are currently looking for contracts with NHL teams so we may have to revise next summer. Tyler Benson is in the ‘lukewarm’ column due to injury concerns. Tyler Pitlick spent a lot of time there due to injuries, but moves up to a good arrow with a season that saw real success (and his exit). I count Anton Lander and Martin Marincin as draft successes (your mileage may vary) considering the spot they were chosen and the NHL games-played total. Last year’s look is here.
ONE BY ONE
- C Anton Lander: He signed in the KHL (officially this week) and we may or may not see him again in the NHL (he is 26). Lander played more than 50 NHL games in only two seasons, his rookie year with Tom Renney and 2015-16 with Todd McLellan.
- R Tyler Pitlick: Following Pitlick’s career in the organization was an exercise in frustration, but nothing compared to what the player must have gone through. Many injuries, stops and starts, building to a crescendo with a strong start to the NHL season in 2016-17. His injury conspired to make him a free agent, we wish him all success.
- D Martin Marincin: He is an NHL player, I swear. Played in just 25 games with Toronto this past season, he lost over a month to injury but was healthy scratched with dogged determination by Mike Babcock. As with Lander, “success” in our study holds a different definition than success as in becoming an NHL regular.
- L Curtis Hamilton: Played well in the Sm-Liiga for Saipa, was loaned out for two games at the end of the season.
- D David Musil: The Oilers loaned him to the Coyotes organization during the season and did not qualify him after the year. He is currently shopping for a 2017-18 team, could be in North America or in Europe.
- L Mitch Moroz: Traded during the season to the Coyotes organization for Henrik Samuelsson in a trade that closes the books on the 2012 draft for the Oilers. I think. He was not qualified by Arizona and is now a free agent.
- C Marco Roy: Played 23 games with Utica (AHL) in the Vancouver organization and then five more games in the ECHL. This selection had some analytics behind it, didn’t work out. No reason to turn our back on math, but also important to acknowledge Roy’s lack of offense runs in lock step with the rest of this list.
- L Tyler Benson: Had a fine start to the 2016-17 season but once again injury derailed him. Benson is about where Marc Pouliot was as a prospect at the same age: Talented, effective when healthy, and losing precious development time because he cannot stay healthy.
I use the Cullen method because it allows us to take bias out of the conversation. However, we were all blessed with the brains God gave us and 10 years of drafting in the second round needs to have a more successful result than Anton Lander, Martin Marincin and Tyler Pitlick. Edmonton’s successful second-round selections this century (Jarret Stoll, Matt Greene, Jeff Petry) all came between 2002 and 2007. That’s the kind of success this team badly needs.