The Edmonton Oilers have a habit of collecting first-round selections from the New York Islanders. Eric Brewer (No. 5, 1997), Raffi Torres (No. 5, 2000), Robert Nilsson (No. 15, 2003), Ryan O’Marra (No. 15, 2005), Griffin Reinhart (No. 4, 2012) have all spent time in the Oilers organization. So, until Michael Dal Colle arrives, let’s talk about Ryan Strome (No. 5, 2011) as an Edmonton Oiler. (Wheels).
STROME PUCK IQ NUMBERS
RYAN STROME 2016-17
- 5×5 points per 60: 1.58 (8th among regular NYI forwards)
- 5×4 points per 60: 2.18 (5th among regular NYI forwards)
- Corsi for 5×5 %: 45.4
- Corsi Rel 5×5 %: -1.8
- DFF Elite 5×5 %: 41.1
- DFF Elite Rel 5×5 %: -3.2 (29 percent of TOI v. elites)
- Shots on goal/percentage: 114 shots/11.4%
- Boxcars: 69, 13-17-30
- (All numbers via Puck IQ, Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com and hockey-reference)
RE 17-18: 76GP, 19-21-40 (.526)
- These numbers are not impressive. I tried to find a sweet spot between what he might do as a soft parade 3C and McDavid’s right winger.
- Do you have the Oilers scoring more this year than last? You’ll have to stay tuned.
- I’ll guess the answer is yes. Why are you holding Strome back? I’m not, this is a strong recovery season for him. The trick is to figure out what Strome would reasonably post in each situation he’ll likely play in.
- How much does he play with McDavid? As I mentioned in the Leon Draisaitl comment, my projection has Leon with 97 about 70 percent of the season. Strome’s total comes from his time with McDavid, his time as 3C, and power-play opportunities.
- How many power-play points for Strome? He has scored just over 20 percent of his career total on the power play, I have him at nine points this coming year.
- This seems like a meh projection. It’s probably a little bullish to be honest, Strome hasn’t scored anywhere close to 40 points beyond his first full season.
- He’s going to be in a feature role! Not by my projections. If Strome plays 82 games with McDavid, my projection will look poor but I don’t think Todd McLellan will go away from McDavid-Draisaitl.
- You’re so damned stubborn. Everyone agrees the smart play is Leon at center. By everyone, I assume you mean everyone but Todd McLellan. I’m not projecting my own preference, I’m combining both McLellan’s history (he likes two C’s on one line) and Peter Chiarelli’s words (he has mentioned Strome as a center several times).
- What do the Puck IQ numbers say? The Islanders regarded Strome (rightly) as a mid-level player, he got the bulk of his playing time against the middle competition. Strome did not dominate that middle, nor did he dominate the soft parade. His rel number remains the same through all three levels of competition.
- What does that tell us? Depending on linemates, Strome is a complementary player and shouldn’t be expected to drive his own line against tough competition.
- Who did he play with? Puck IQ has a new wrinkle to the site, WOWY’S! Strome was most effective with Nikolai Kulemin, played just 41 minutes with John Tavares.
- What does it mean? The Islanders had soured on Strome (Puck IQ has him No. 10 F in total minutes against elite opposition last season). He played with checkers and kids and in that light his offense was reasonable.
- So Strome failed and got passed by Josh Bailey, Cal Clutterbuck and Casey Cizikas? We’re about to find out. The Islanders are such a strange organization.
- Can he be the next Nino Niederreiter? I guarantee that’s the bet Peter Chiarelli is making. My guess is the Oilers think there’s a chance Strome can form some kind of chemistry with McDavid and that may have contributed to the deal.
- So he is Eberle’s replacement? Todd McLellan will decide where everyone plays. The bet from this year’s RE is about 70-80 percent 3C and enough time with McDavid to see if there’s some chemistry there.
- Does he take enough shots? No. His 5×5 shots per 60 last season (6.09) isn’t great, about equal with Drake Caggiula. He was 9.19 shots per 60 on the power play, that’s a little more than Connor McDavid a year ago. He has to be more productive this coming year.
- What do you think? The numbers suggest Strome wasn’t making much of a difference and the Islanders certainly found other options (Strome was No. 7 in even-strength time-on-ice per game last year).
- What do you think? I suspect Edmonton is hoping Strome can eventually fill either 3C or 1R effectively. We’ll need to see a more substantial season across the board in 2017-18.
- How can he get there? Strome played most with Brock Nelson and Anthony Beauvillier this past season, I think he gets Jussi Jokinen and Jesse Puljujarvi this coming year.
- Is that better? Nelson with Strome went 1.57/60 scoring, Strome with Nelson went 1.40 per 60. This is in 340 minutes and I think that’s the range we might see Strome score this coming season on a soft minutes line. I think he probably gets around 20 points on the third line, and 12 or so in his time with McDavid. That’s the bet.
- What’s your guess about Strome? I think, and I don’t know, that a team with a franchise player would move heaven and earth to try and find a bunch of forwards who have chemistry with him. I think the Oilers love Leon with 97 and love that duo (McLellan likes his pairs), but would also like a righty ‘mirror man’ who can also step up from the third line. I think this is a bet, possibly one of many over several years, on a young player who the Oilers are auditioning for a feature role. I think he will see a lot of playing time early this coming season with McDavid, and if it works he could end up being a very successful scorer in Edmonton. It’s an audition that could turn into a hockey lifetime. We wait.
- Why this song? The entire lyric fits Strome right now. Perfect fit.