Back when I worked in sales, I learned a valuable lesson about prospecting: It’s just math. If I needed five new clients, then I needed to call on 20 new prospects and that meant I needed to make about 100 phone calls. If you are in sales and have a better ratio, remember these were cold calls and I was selling “air” to people and business! For prospects, especially goalies, the song remains the same. If you throw five goalies against the wall, sooner or later one of them will stick. Surely.
NICK ELLIS RE 17-18: 2GP, 3.00 .902
- This recall of Nick Ellis you are projecting is too early. When Ellis receives his next recall, it will be the second one. Edmonton elevated Ellis for the first time April 19, 2017. At the time of his recall, he ranked No. 4 among AHL rookie goalies in save percentage.
- Still, Brossoit is first man up. I’m guessing Ellis has another strong AHL season. He is an RFA next summer. I bet Peter Chiarelli and Todd McLellan will be curious about how he performs in the NHL.
- How early in his pro career did he stand out? Lowetide blog, October 21: He is the early star among AHL rookies (along with Benning), posting a .925 save percentage in the first two games of the season. I hesitate to say he will end up pushing Brossoit for the NHL backup job, because it is much too early. Suffice to say he has looked good so far. Source
- So he replaces Brossoit? Edmonton is trying to find out what he is and that allows management to proceed accordingly. Maybe he’s a trade deadline asset, or maybe the club deals Brossoit for a veteran rental with Ellis in mind for next year.
- Or maybe both fail. Sure. Look, at one time Oilers fans like me were convinced Steve Passmore was the answer. Turned out it was Tim Thomas. Goalies tell us about themselves but they’re also a moving target.
- Are any of these prospects matriculating in a more promising way than Devan Dubnyk? My answer is no, others may tell you a different story. I’ll make no claim to expertise on this subject.
- Dubnyk was promising until he wasn’t. Well, the Oilers were a tire fire at the time.
- If you have to ask the question? Yes. Exactly.
- Why do you like Ellis so much? I don’t think it’s a matter of liking him or not, he’s a candidate for an NHL job rolling out over the next few seasons. I’m a fan of giving him the net in the AHL and seeing if he can build on last season.
- Is that the priority? Putting back-to-back solid seasons together? Oh sure. If a goalie has a strong year at 16, builds on it and has a better one at 17, and then plays at same or higher level through the day he turns pro, that’s a goalie who has earned a chance.
- Is that Ellis? He was a backup in college until 2015-16 and then had a very good final NCAA season. Followed it up with another strong year in Bakersfield. Building a resume after two fairly inactive college seasons coming out of the USHL.
- How many AHL goalies had a better year than Ellis? Including all goals (veterans and rookies) who faced 900 or more shots: 1. Anton Forsberg, .926; Alex Stalock .926; Tom Grosenick .926; 4. Tristan Jarry; 5. Phoenix Copley .924; 6. Steve Michalek .919; 7. Nick Ellis .918.
- That is good! Yes. He’s a good goalie. We just need to see it again and he probably needs a start or two in the NHL before the Oilers decide on his second contract. That’s my guess, anyway.
- What do goalie people say about him? Ross Brooks, former NHL goalie: “He doesn’t get rattled. He’s very calm. Some guys are all over the place in the net, but he positions himself very well. He’s always facing the puck.” Source
- Would you be shocked if Ellis passed Brossoit? No. Not at all.