G 37 2017-18: Oilers at Jets

by Lowetide

Back  when I was a kid, stopping for gas was a big deal. A man would come to the driver’s side window, ask my Dad how much gas he wanted (might be “a dollar gas” to “fill ‘er up!” depending on the day), if he wanted the oil checked and windows washed. Meanwhile, my brother and I would hit the washroom (“go now, we’re not stopping!”) and then we’d race out to see if we could get a Coke or Mountain Dew. Not always, but sometimes we’d find a hamburger or fish n’ chips joint nearby, but that was a rare day. The whole thing probably took 10 minutes, but the break did everyone a lot of good and the general mood in the car would be more positive. In the 1960’s, you did a lot of living in the family car, and that’s a fact.

THE ATHLETIC!

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LONG DECEMBER, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • December 2015: 7-3-0, goal differential -1 (14 points)
  • December 2016: 5-2-3, goal differential +1 (13 points)
  • December 2017: 7-3-0, goal differential +11 (14 points)

G11 December 2015 was a 2-1 overtime loss to the Vancouver Canucks (Jannik Hansen goal) and last year it was a 3-2 win over the Arizona Coyotes. This Oilers team has a chance to post a stronger December than the previous two McLellan seasons, but have to keep the train rolling. I spoke to Jason Strudwick last week, he told me these games right after Christmas are damned tough because your focus has been away from hockey. I bet it is, this will be a big test for Edmonton.

AFTER 37, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers 15-16: 15-18-3, goal differential -18 (33 points)
  • Oilers 16-17: 18-12-6, goal differential +8 (42 points)
  • Oilers 17-18: 17-17-2, goal differential -4 (36 points)

G37 in 2015 saw Edmonton lose 5-3 to the Calgary Flames (Johnny Gaudreau, Mark Giordano). Last season? A 3-1 win over the Los Angeles Kings (Eric Gryba the winner). This game is important, as the Oilers can keep pace with other teams and maybe gain some ground. Most important, the club could possibly pass another team before January 1, 2018.

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM DECEMBER

  • On the road to: Calgary (Expected: 0-0-1) (Actual: 1-0-0)
  • At home to: Philadelphia (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual: 0-1-0)
  • On the road to: Montreal, Toronto, Columbus (Expected 1-2-0) (Actual 2-1-0)
  • At home to: Nashville (Expected 0-1-0) (Actual 0-1-0)
  • On the road to: Minnesota (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • At home to: San Jose, St. Louis, Montreal (Expected 1-1-1) (Actual 3-0-0)
  • On the road to: Winnipeg (Expected 0-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • At home to: Chicago, Winnipeg (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 5-6-2, 12 points in 13 games 
  • Current results: 7-3-0, 14 points in 10 games

The final three games of this month are very important. Just like those gas station stops in the 1960’s, a productive stop can lead to a good run for the rest of the way, contributing to success. We’ll know if it was a “fill ‘er up!” or “dollar gas!” stop on New Year’s Day. This team can really help itself in the coming days. Big time. Was it a Coca-Cola holiday? Mountain Dew? Or was it Fresca? Or Tab?

JOHNNY BOWER

It is my belief Johnny Bower is talking Leafs 1960’s with my Dad and Father-in-law this morning. If there’s one thing you can be sure of today, it’s that everyone who lived in Canada during the 1960’s was impacted in one way or another by the news of Bower’s passing. Bower and the Leafs were the only NHL team in English Canada, won pretty much every year Montreal lost, and Bower was a favorite with both genders and all ages.

My Dad was born in Radisson, Saskatchewan in 1912. Johnny Bower was born in Prince Albert, Saskatchewan in 1925. Wes (father-in-law) was born in Wolseley, Saskatchewan in 1929. I knew two of them very well, to the point where I feel like I knew the other guy, too. They all thought Gordie Howe was the best player ever, two of them talked about the Richardson curling team to the point where I could identify Ernie from Sam; about baseball (Dimaggio and Feller) and about the War. I think my Dad was unique in that his memories of the Depression were stronger, but it hit me upon hearing of the passing of Mr. Bower just how much of our history, and the first hand knowledge of it, is passing in real time. I’m blessed to have heard many of those stories and to have lived through some of them myself.

Those boys traveled a long way from their homes and they changed a world in doing it. Johnny Bower’s passing was inevitable, but it’s a sad thing all the same. I really miss those guys. RIP, Mr. Bower.

KAILER YAMAMOTO

Kailer Yamamoto had some nice chances and scored the fourth goal last night for Team USA at the World Juniors. I’ve been asked a few times about Yamamoto’s struggles during his WHL games this season. My own opinion is that Yamamoto should rebound in Spokane and show well at the WJ’s. The young man already showed us some interesting things during his NHL time. I’ve read some pretty incredible statements about his future in the comments section and would admonish those who are making a negative call on a young career. We don’t know what we don’t know, and when talking about someone who is 19, that’s one whole helluva lot.

OILERS FORWARDS, HIGH DANGER SCORING CHANCES, 2017-18

This is every Oilers forward currently in the organization who has played 100 or more minutes 5×5, with their NHL rank at 5×5 high-danger scoring chances and total. As you can see, Kailer Yamamoto did pretty well in the metric during his nine games with the Oilers. Will he do that again next year? Don’t know, but suspect he’ll get a chance to show us. I published this list (via NaturalStatTrick) because it’s very interesting across the board. Check out the names inside the top 100. I wouldn’t have guessed those names.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

A busy Wednesday as we get back on the highway, starting at 10 this morning, TSN1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Darcy McLeod, Because Oilers. Oilers four in a row, McDavid worries and Letang?
  • Josh Eberley, HOOP mag. We’ll chat 76ers, Raptors and Lebron not getting the call.
  • Jon Abbott, TSN1040. WJ’s play-by-play man gives us the latest.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Talk soon!

 

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thehop,

Overestimate and overvalue don’t mean the same thing, though. It’s not really semantics here.

Overestimating means people are forecasting too high in terms of what his offensive ability might be if given a bigger role or better linemates.

Overvaluing means people are placing too much value on his offensive contribution.

I think his 4th line contribution is just fine. To me he just isn’t suited for a bigger role. Peak Kassian in a bigger role could barely crack 15 goals on the Canucks playing some minutes with the Sedins and others.

If he can pot 10 goals from the 4th line, PK and bring his physical game that has good value. I just don’t want to see him further up the lineup.

Not sure what I said that has annoyed you so much. Please enlighten me? Was it the comment that I was shouted down about this by fans who wanted him on the 2nd line or even on McDavid’s wing? Because there were fans who said that. I didn’t single you or anyone else out because there is no point in calling out someone specific for a mistaken opinion. At least that’s how I see it. Why embarrass someone specific?

Again, still trying to figure out what it is that I did to you where you feel like you need to call me out like this. If I did something and you can point it out to me then I am all ears and if I did you wrong I certainly will apologize.

T0ML

sliderule: It was a bad read by Larsson.Have to block pass but in fairness it came at him quick as Davidson’s pinch probably surprised him as much as it did me.

Not arguing that, however it was two sequences for Larsson that botched it…. Turned his back at the pass, *and* the shooter …. That pass was 100% his responsibility and he has the ability to break that one up. Talbot was a damned beast last night and deserved a better fate

sliderule

T0ML:
sliderule,

He has had some wobbly moments …. But Larsson is also to blame on that horrible 2 on 1 read, even SN pointed it out, that was bad moves on Larsson last night …

It was a bad read by Larsson.Have to block pass but in fairness it came at him quick as Davidson’s pinch probably surprised him as much as it did me.

T0ML

sliderule,

He has had some wobbly moments …. But Larsson is also to blame on that horrible 2 on 1 read, even SN pointed it out, that was bad moves on Larsson last night …

sliderule

I have seen Davidson mostly bad since oil picked him up.

Gryba got roasted when he made a mistake.Davy gets mostly a pass .

Last night he cost the game with a horrible own blue pinch and errant pass.

Habs saw it too.

OriginalPouzar

Go Oilers – going to be a great game against CHI on Saturday morning!

thehop

NYC-Back-to-Tokyo Oil (Gentleman Backpacker),

I’m not one for arguing semantics. You wrote overestimate and I wrote overvalued.

I’ll go back to skipping over what you write to avoid this in the future.

Didn’t put words in your mouth either. Clearly there are many many fans of the team who like that part of Kassians game. If you don’t that’s fine.

Tesla's Hair

NYC-Back-to-Tokyo Oil (Gentleman Backpacker): Way to put words in my mouth that I did not say. This is not the first time you have tried to start something with me and I am not biting. If you want to re-read and engage with what I actually did aay I am happy to do so. Otherwise let’s save us both and everyone else the aggravaion.

GB way not to bite!

Hey I just went to check out your blog and said it hasn’t been updated for over a year. Can you please go out for a bite and share some Tokyo stories from your adventures when you do!

I never said anything about Kassian’s crash and bang game or PK game or penalties drawn or takeni beng overvalued. Never used the word overvalued at all.

To be fair what I should have added was ‘scoring’ to the word ability. And I said overestimated for a reason. Every year he looks like he should have 15-20 goals based on chances. Yet he does not. Some vocal fans have wanted him higher up the order. His offensive skill does not warrant it. He is slotted just right if you ask me.

I think he is an ideal 4th line guy who can play 3rd line when needed and his value goes up with the playoffs.

I am not going to repost old arguments when I was not even being critical of the guy. Never said anything about him coasting. That was someone else.

thehop:
OilClog,

Apparently large segments of fans overrate that part of his game….

OilClog,

According to one poster… that part of his game is overvalued.

Way to put words in my mouth that I did not say. This is not the first time you have tried to start something with me and I am not biting. If you want to re-read and engage with what I actually did aay I am happy to do so. Otherwise let’s save us both and everyone else the aggravaion.

JimmyV1965

Pouzar: I wasn’t suggesting that. Often I like to offer up talking points…to…..talk about.

Lol. Great response!!

SwedishPoster

Yep certainly a sloppy but entertaining game. The fourth line was a mess both as a unit and individually. I see a lot of critique of the D, and it is warranted, Davidson – Larsson was all over the place, I guess Larsson decided to celebrate christmas both on the 24th when we do it over here and the 25th when you guys do it, but the D got raw deal from a forward group doing an awful job defending through the neutral zone with zero back pressure giving up sooo many odd man rushes letting the Jets fly through the neutral zone unchallenged. Not easy looking good as a D with that kind of support. They handle it badly though, scrambling way too much, running around instead of protecting the most dangerous ice.

For the second game in a row Cammalleri buzzed around the periphery like a drunk bumblebee, losing possession every time he got close to the puck. Needs to sit.

McSorley33

Just got back from the game…..

To all the people that live and go see games in Edmonton….you have been holding out on us.

Like Ryan Whitney and Eric Gryba, Mark Letestu has to be seen live to be appreciated.

Mark. Letestu. Wow.

Soup Fascist

On the positive side of the equation, My Cousin Vinny is on the tube.

Pouzar

Jethro Tull: There’s a hockey rumour mill called Hockey Feed on FB. Sports equivalent of Ancient Aliens. If a player falls over, there’s”possible injury” articles, and countless ‘insider’ trade proposals. Like here on a bad day.

It is vastly entertaining. If you like correcting poor grammar.

The 4chan of hockey rumors? sweet.

Pescador

Pouzar: I wasn’t suggesting that. Often I like to offer up talking points…to…..talk about.

It’s not the talking points!

Jethro Tull

Pouzar: ?

There’s a hockey rumour mill called Hockey Feed on FB. Sports equivalent of Ancient Aliens. If a player falls over, there’s”possible injury” articles, and countless ‘insider’ trade proposals. Like here on a bad day.

It is vastly entertaining. If you like correcting poor grammar.

Pescador

Pouzar:
If Slepy doesn’t draw in next game then I dunno what to say.

Probably goodbye
In my eye he is still a prospect, why they would flush him I haven’t the foggiest

Pouzar

Jethro Tull: HF feed is going into a frenzy…..

?

Melvis

I think I’ve gotta get an amazon echo. Easy to be kind.

“Alexa.”

“Yes Master?”

“Yadda my yadda.

“Yes Master”

“And stop spying on me.”

“Yadda my yadda Melvis.”

Jethro Tull

Pouzar: Indeed.

HF feed is going into a frenzy…..

Pouzar

Jethro Tull: Scheifle pulled from Jets game.

Indeed.

Jethro Tull

Pouzar:
Kreider pulled from Rangers game.

Scheifle pulled from Jets game.

Pouzar

Pescador: You tease more than Bob

That’s what……………

Jethro Tull

Lowetide:
Good game. Oilers were a little slow and undisciplined compared to Winnipeg and that was the difference imo. Enjoyed it thoroughly.

Was a good game, Mrs. Tull and I both enjoyed it. Mrs. Tull did remark that the Jets must be little angels not to get a penalty until the 3rd, and a bench minor at that. Lots of interference and holding. Only penalty against Oilers I disagreed with was JJ’s. Chintzy hometeam call. PK looked good, though.

Pescador

Pouzar:
Kreider pulled from Rangers game.

You tease more than Bob

Pouzar

Thank Gord I’m off till Jan 2

hunter1909

Fun game.

Pouzar

Mr. D.: It’s not the ice!

I wasn’t suggesting that. Often I like to offer up talking points…to…..talk about.

Mr. D.

Pouzar:
Rob Brown saying the ice was terrible.

Really, probably terrible for both teams. We got outshot, out checked etc. It’s not the ice!

Pouzar

Réal Goudenyéu: Yeah it was but the oilers should be used to that… Rogers ice sucks

Seems to be an epidemic.

Mr. D.

Deserved the loss. Talbot gave us a chance. Wpg is a good team where big counts.

thelongdark

Pouzar:
Rob Brown saying the ice was terrible.

Yeah it was but the oilers should be used to that… Rogers ice sucks

Pouzar

Rob Brown saying the ice was terrible.

BONE207

Evilas: #freekarlsson

Free both…trade one for the other. Make it happen Pete!

€√¥£€^$

BONE207: You do…#FREESLEPY

#freekarlsson 🙂

BONE207

Pouzar:
If Slepy doesn’t draw in next game then I dunno what to say.

You do…#FREESLEPY

Professor Q

OilClog: Cags gets a 8, everyone else a 5!

Tanev looks like what Drake has been billed as.

I never thought of Caggiula as a D-Man…

Pouzar

If Slepy doesn’t draw in next game then I dunno what to say.

Tesla's Hair

Entertaining and Sloppy

Pouzar

1 shot attempt for line 4….i think. #CammyWasOnLine2ForAShift

fishman

Talbot had a great game. D not so much.

SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

Well that was a helluva effort in the last two minutes

Not so much in the previous 57:40 though

I’ll give them a break due to the bizarre 6am flight after a four day break but they need to shake that holiday rust off ASAP

Defensemen need to shake it faster than everyone else though.

Not a good night for any of the 6 frankly

Ice Sage

Gerta Rauss:
wow….exciting finish but we got what we deserved

Yep. Oilers didn’t bring the same intensity to a ‘guaranteed loss’ despite the close score.

D

Enjoyed those last few minutes. If we’re candid, we can agree that Winnipeg deserved the win.

BONE207

Hell of a push. Can’t buy a tip/deflection or a magic bullet. Gahhh

thelongdark

Oilers out worked tonight no doubt they were lucky to be that close at the end. Talbot looks great still the defense was god awful.

thehop

What a game!!!

Good night fellas

Gerta Rauss

wow….exciting finish but we got what we deserved