G75 2017-18: Kings at Oilers

by Lowetide

In the long history of the Edmonton Oilers there have been relatively few major changes in direction. You could safely describe the eras thusly: WHA years (72-78); Boys on the Bus (79-94, the year MacT got traded); Ryan Smyth era (95-06); the Wayward Wind (07-14); the McDavid era (15+). That’s five eras for the Oilers for coming on 50 years. More than any era save the Boys on the Bus, the anticipation of greatness in this era, the McDavid years, is biblical. The Peter Chiarelli vision questions go on forever, what will tomorrow bring? What if someday never comes?

THE ATHLETIC!

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HELP ME, RHONDA YEAR OVER YEAR

  • March 2016: 6-5-0, goal differential -1 (12 points)
  • March 2017: 8-2-1, goal differential +19 (17 points)
  • March 2018: 6-4-1, goal differential +6 (13 points)
  • March 22, 2016: Arizona 4, Edmonton 2 (Source)
  • March 28, 2017: Edmonton 2, Los Angeles 1 (Source)

It was an encouraging road trip but the quality of competition is about to increase a lot. The Oilers have six wins in the bank, and play Vancouver plus Calgary to end the month. Is there a win in the next three games?

AFTER 74, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers 15-16: 29-38-7, goal differential -45 (65 points)
  • Oilers 16-17: 40-25-9, goal differential +34 (89 points)
  • Oilers 17-18: 33-36-5, goal differential -25 (71 points)
  • March 20, 2016: Colorado 3, Edmonton 2 (Source)
  • March 25, 2017: Edmonton 4, Colorado 1 (Source)

The Oilers won 47 games last season, the sixth highest number in franchise history. This year’s club has 33 wins, that’s the highest total (excluding last year) since 2008-09, MacT’s last season. Craig MacTavish won more than 33 games every year but one while he was coach (and the outlier year saw him win 32 with some big holes on defense, 2006-07).

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM MARCH

  • At home to: Nashville, NY Rangers, Arizona, NY Islanders, Minnesota (Expected 2-3-0) (Actual 3-2-0)
  • On the road to: Calgary (Expected 0-1-0) (Actual 0-1-0)
  • At home to: San Jose (Expected 0-0-1) (Actual 0-0-1)
  • On the road to: Florida, Tampa Bay, Carolina, Ottawa (Expected 1-2-1) (Actual 3-1-0)
  • At home to: Los Angeles, Anaheim, Columbus (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • On the road to: Vancouver, Calgary (Expected 1-0-1) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 6-7-3, 15 points in 16 games
  • Current results: 6-4-1, 13 points in 10 games

Skinner is emerging as the best goalie prospect in the system to my eye, although you want to see sustained excellence. The trade to Swift Current has been very beneficial for the young goalie. Skinner could sign this summer but it’s mighty crowded in net at the pro level, so he may go back as an overager.

The Condors are a team that is worth paying attention to now through the end of the regular season. Ostap Safin had a fabulous chance (above) and looked good overall in his first game. We could be talking about a major overhaul of forwards in Bakersfield this fall. Kailer Yamamoto, Tyler Benson, Cooper Marody, Colin Larkin and Safin could all join the likes of Joe Gambardella, Brad Malone and Mitch Callahan.

I looked at Rattie over at The Athletic and it’s pretty obvious he arrived in pro being able to score goals at the AHL level, but wasn’t going to knock Tarasenko or Oshie off the pile. The Blues had other options and Rattie wilted a little on the vine. His signing in Edmonton showed wisdom on his behalf (smart agent, smart player, smart team) and even though it took much of the season, he’ll have 14 games under his belt at the end of the season.

The Oilers should sign him, one-way NHL deal for around $1 million. He could give the entire group some competition and maybe he emerges as one of the actual solutions on a skill line. Remember, his resume is outstanding as a scorer (he drilled the WHL, and scored 31 as an AHL rookie) and what we’ve seen is a fairly tenacious player with adequate foot speed.

If the Oilers break camp with a right-wing depth chart of Michael Grabner, Jesse Puljujarvi, Pontus Aberg, Zack Kassian and Ty Rattie, all five men (plus Iiro Pakarinen and Kailer Yamamoto) will get a chance to play a lot. If all of these men perform well, the club could move Aberg to left-wing in order to fit everyone in. The alternative is dealing Nuge or Oscar, or possibly winning the lottery and drafting Svechnikov, but for me the strong play is to buy one more year. By this time next season, we should see a depth chart of Puljujarvi, Yamamoto, Aberg and Kassian. Rattie could surely break into that group often enough to merit a contract.

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where was it where the other day I was saying McDavid last year with 73 games played and 85 points I told LT he would get to 100. 75 games played 96 points scored. Can he go 2ppg over 7 games to get to 110? He might fall one empty net assist shy. Thanks Rattie!

The thing is, if you are lucky enough to have him in your keeper fantasy leagues (I am not), not only are his numbers sustainable, a better power play next year will likely lead to a 125 point season.

We are so lucky even when we are not.

russ99

SayItAin’tSo, Gretz, SayItAin’tSo!,

And he’s only 21, he can get even better.

Scary. Glad he’s an Oiler.

That was a fun game to watch, Oilers holding the fort and get good chances in on Quick while the Kings do Kings things. This season may be lost, but we can end on a high note and at least have positives going into next season.

Professor Q

SayItAin’tSo, Gretz, SayItAin’tSo!,

And not even a sniff at being the MVP.

SwedishPoster

SayItAin’tSo, Gretz, SayItAin’tSo!:
Mkay quick rant alert:

Who the hell does McDavid think he is? Who the hell gave him permission to haul off on the entire NHL like this?

This pace is absolutely ridiculous.

Since the All-Star game he’s gone

26 – 23 – 19 – 42 – 1.615P/G, (132 point pace)

Only 4 of those points are on the PP and only 2 of them are goals.

Some more stats

5v5P/60 of 3.87 – Crazy

5v5 Goals/game of 0.808 – this number is astonishing
That’s a 65 goal pace at even strength. Off the charts incredible. This number, across a season, puts you in Gretzky territory.

Its hard not to be surprised with Connor McDavid but if he can put up numbers like this over the course of a season the totals would be surprising.

What an unbelievable player

He’s alright I guess.

SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

Mkay quick rant alert:

Who the hell does McDavid think he is? Who the hell gave him permission to haul off on the entire NHL like this?

This pace is absolutely ridiculous.

Since the All-Star game he’s gone

26 – 23 – 19 – 42 – 1.615P/G, (132 point pace)

Only 4 of those points are on the PP and only 2 of them are goals.

Some more stats

5v5P/60 of 3.87 – Crazy

5v5 Goals/game of 0.808 – this number is astonishing
That’s a 65 goal pace at even strength. Off the charts incredible. This number, across a season, puts you in Gretzky territory.

Its hard not to be surprised with Connor McDavid but if he can put up numbers like this over the course of a season the totals would be surprising.

What an unbelievable player

Foege Foegele Torpe

GMB3:
God damn we are ruining our draft position

On to Noah Dobson,
I’ll lose a spot at the draft any day to knock the Kings out of a playoff spot
Fuck those guys

Professor Q

As Lowetide says, the Edmonton Oilers will never score an Empty Net Goal again.

Foege Foegele Torpe

NYC-Back-to-Tokyo Oil (Gentleman Backpacker): The 2016-2017 formula. McDavid gets 2 pts and Talbot holds the fort.

Talbot was solid tonight, but not a ton of 10 bell’rs.
Better team defense has to be a thing next year,
Oh ya & if Connor could score say 50 goals & get 120 pts that would be great

€√¥£€^$

flyfish1168,

He is a lefty

€√¥£€^$

Doughty is a hoot!

Now I need to find the Pancakes Penner produced Lewy & Dewy show, lol.

Pouzar

GMB3:
God damn we are ruining our draft position

3 cracks bro. We are gettin dat Russian and we’re gonna ruin him good!

Pouzar

Zelepukin:
It’s amaizng how less angry I’m at Lucic when he just plays less.

The ref you don’t notice is doin their job.

Pouzar

Nice win anytime we beat the Kings.

I won’t say the obvious…I want to…but I won’t.

Lowetide:
After Two

3-2 Edmonton (1-1 during the second)
Shots 25-18 LAK (16-7 in the second)
Corsi for 5×5: 46-27 LAK (27-10 LAK in the second)

LAK owned the Corgis that period

The 2016-2017 formula. McDavid gets 2 pts and Talbot holds the fort.

flyfish1168

€√¥£€^$:
flyfish1168,

Nice!He looks like a very good prospect, thanks for mentioning him.He had really good reviews from last years’ Flames prospect camp.

Here is a long article on him if anyone is interested:

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/news/2018/03/22_Anonymous-Star.php

I wonder if hockeydb got it wrong. Pictures of him often show he is a left-hand shot

Foege Foegele Torpe

leadfarmer:
Lucic is pretty much what you’d expect if you strapped skates on a T-Rex

I have time for T-Rex on a soft minutes line

€√¥£€^$

flyfish1168,

Nice! He looks like a very good prospect, thanks for mentioning him. He had really good reviews from last years’ Flames prospect camp.

Here is a long article on him if anyone is interested:

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/news/2018/03/22_Anonymous-Star.php

Zelepukin

It’s amaizng how less angry I’m at Lucic when he just plays less.

Caller Zen

Hrudey totally jinx CMD for that hat trick!

hunter1909

“Draisaitl loses his footing” LOL

Munny

The way this ridiculous broadcast is going I fully expect Doughty to be named first star. Maybe Kopitar.

Spooky Lynx

C’mon Rat!

What a save by Larsson!

Good win.

GMB3

God damn we are ruining our draft position

Munny

Rattie you rat bastard

flyfish1168

€√¥£€^$:
Interesting mention of Oilers interest in Eric Robinson of Princeton by Elliotte.

Even more interesting is that he is 6th in scoring on the team.The 1 & 2 scorers,Maximilian Veronneau & Ryan Kuffner are both 1 year younger & have more than 20 pts than Robinson and are +24 & +25 respectively (Kuffner has 29 goals in 35 games).

They should be interested in Josh Teves. He is an RHD from Calgary.
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/pdisplay.php?pid=171360&encode=TRUE

OmJo

If McDavid didn’t have a couple of weeks with a sick spell and the PP wasn’t do garbage he would be running away with the scoring race.

Wow.

hunter1909

who: Cammaleri would have made that play. Or at least recognized it. He would really help Drai on that line right now.

Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

€√¥£€^$

Interesting mention of Oilers interest in Eric Robinson of Princeton by Elliotte.

Even more interesting is that he is 6th in scoring on the team. The 1 & 2 scorers, Maximilian Veronneau & Ryan Kuffner are both 1 year younger & have more than 20 pts than Robinson and are +24 & +25 respectively (Kuffner has 29 goals in 35 games).

admiralmark

He’s the biggest player on Princeton. But im sure that has no bearing. 😛

Wilde

Confused:
Lowetide,

Eric Robinson apparently

http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/pdisplay.php?pid=170338

This one, I presume?

Confused

Lowetide,

Eric Robinson apparently

who

€√¥£€^$:
Man Jesse is handling the puck like crap tonight, I predict his ass gets stapled in the 3rd

This team lack of puck-moving Dmen is on full display tonight.This is what will hold the team back if the ship is to be righted.

Cagguila’s lack of vision not seeing Drai there, he’s another who struggles to make passes, especially in his own zone.Drai needs a better LW.

There are things I like about Caggulia.
He seems to have NHL speed, skill and tenacity.
But I do wonder about his hockey IQ and his anticipation skills. Both offensively and defensively.
That play I think you are talking about that Drai went offside on. A good offensive player knows what he’s gonna do with the puck before it gets to his stick. I’m not sure Caggulia realizes yet that he had Drai wide open streaking down the far side of the ice.
Cammaleri would have made that play. Or at least recognized it. He would really help Drai on that line right now.

Wilde

Shot & chance quality appears to favour the Oilers, mostly based on the strong first period of 7-2 HDCF.

Heatmaps show LAK favouring the upper-slot where McDa-The Oilers stuff the net endlessly

Wilde

Chiefs win in OT

€√¥£€^$
AshetonisGod

leadfarmer,

At least T-Rex would bang a gong and kick some butt.

hunter1909

Good game.

McDavid’s scored twice, Kings are playing hard and the Oilers are responding well.

Still, I can’t wait until that palace coup starring Coffey, Messier and Wanye sticks the blades into our everloving coach+GM.

leadfarmer

Lucic is pretty much what you’d expect if you strapped skates on a T-Rex

€√¥£€^$

striatic,

That has been the deal all of 2018 for sure.

Just noticing his hustle, I don’t expect him to score anymore, just want to see his GAF factor evident. He looks faster than normal and I don’t see him standing around as much this game…

OriginalPouzar

Thanks.

I’ll be back with a vengeance shortly I’m sure.

For now, I will continue to be a quiet lurker – its best for all!

I hope everyone is doing well.

striatic

€√¥£€^$:
Looch is noticeable in good way in this game, good to see!

Yes and no, I think.

Yes in that he’s doing good things and getting into good positions.

No in that his finish remains abysmal. Not just that he isn’t scoring, but that his reflexes aren’t looking good. Late and/or inaccurate shooting attempts.

€√¥£€^$

OriginalPouzar,

You are missed!

€√¥£€^$

Looch is noticeable in good way in this game, good to see!

treevojo

Pretty sure Jesse just man handled fagoof.

Kids going to be a beast in a few years.

GMB3

Wayne Kenov: I thought we had confirmed OP and Andy were the same person. Andy has not been what I would consider inactive.

One of them has a much more refined writing style.

Ty Rattie is an interesting hockey player to say the least.

RNH. Slepy, and McDavid would be a nice line. Poor Slep

Wilde

End of regulation for Spokane-Portland, Yamamoto PKing for the last two minutes.

€√¥£€^$

Man Jesse is handling the puck like crap tonight, I predict his ass gets stapled in the 3rd

This team lack of puck-moving Dmen is on full display tonight. This is what will hold the team back if the ship is to be righted.

Cagguila’s lack of vision not seeing Drai there, he’s another who struggles to make passes, especially in his own zone.Drai needs a better LW.

treevojo

OriginalPouzar,

I do miss your to the minute Oiler prospect updates.