Good Day Sunshine

by Lowetide

If the Oilers stop doing business right now, I’m fine with the summer. Peter Chiarelli will tweak, especially on right wing, because the band as currently constructed is as loose as Crazy Horse at the Fillmore. A general manager with as much pressure as PC has right now is going to button down that engine like it’s 1962 in the bible belt. We’re going to see at least one move at right wing, pretty sure. I’m tempted to say let it ride. Seriously.

THE ATHLETIC!

Give The Athletic as a gift or get it yourself and join the fun! Offer is here, less than $5 a month! I find myself reading both the hockey (Willis, Dellow, Pronman, et cetera) and the baseball coverage a lot, it’s a pure pleasure to visit. We’ll sell you the whole seat, but you’ll only need the edge.

500 AT BATS AND THEN YOU KNOW

I saw every damn one of them and watched them succeed or fail. The Montreal Expos arrived in 1969, and the entire roster came from some other system. There were always a lot of Dodgers, Charles Bronfman loved them and the team collected a bunch every winter.

The Expos didn’t develop a homegrown outfielder who played as a regular until Pepe Mangual in 1975, I remember they played catcher Gary Carter in the outfield the same season. Learned over time that what you want to see from a young player is what they’ll do in 500 at-bats (about one full season). Mangual was a little shy offensively but could scoot, Carter could hit well enough but he was heading behind the plate as soon as Barry Foote went into a slump.

On through the decade, Bombo Rivera, Ellis Valentine, Andre Dawson, Warren Cromartie, Gary Roenicke, Jerry White, all the way through to 1981 and Tim Raines and Tim Wallach. Not everyone made it but you wanted to see 500 at-bats in a season, see what the boxcars read after a full summer in the outfield.

We are here with Jesse Puljujarvi, with Kailer Yamamoto, hell with Jujhar Khaira and Pontus Aberg. There are lots of unknowns but you have to give a man his chance at the plate. If the Oilers commit to JP and Yamamoto on skill lines this year, or at least the first 20 games, we’ll have a good idea about where they are at age 20. I don’t think the general manager is going to risk it, but it’s the play in this situation. Pepe Mangual? He didn’t make it. He just didn’t have the bat.

EDMONTON OILERS CURRENT DEPTH CHART

  • Center: Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Strome, Kyle Brodziak, Brad Malone
  • Left Wing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Milan Lucic, Jujhar Khaira, Drake Caggiula, Pontus Aberg
  • Right Wing: Ty Rattie, Tobias Rieder, Jesse Puljujarvi, Zack Kassian
  • Left Defense: Oscar Klefbom, Andrej Sekera, Darnell Nurse, Kevin Gravel
  • Right Defense: Adam Larsson, Kris Russell, Matt Benning
  • Goal: Cam Talbot, Mikko Koskinen, Al Montoya

Oilers are at 44 contracts (three could slide, plus there’s Evan Bouchard) so there’s a chance to add as many as four names to this group (plus Bouchard) and have one open spot. I think they’re going to add a right winger. I don’t know if it’s Kailer Yamamoto, Josh Ho-Sang, Josh Leivo or  Anthony Duclair, but someone is joining the party.

BAKERSFIELD CONDORS CURRENT DEPTH CHART

  • Center: Cooper Marody, Cameron Hebig, Josh Currie, Colin Larkin,
  • Left Wing: Tyler Benson, Joe Gambardella, Nolan Vesey, Braden Christoffer, Evan Polei
  • Right Wing: Kailer Yamamoto, Tyler Vesel, Patrick Russell, Mitch Callahan, Ryan Van Stralen
  • Left Defense: Keegan Lowe, Ryan Stanton, Caleb Jones, William Lagesson, Marc-Olivier Crevier-Morin
  • Right Defense: Ethan Bear, Ryan Mantha, Logan Day
  • GoalShane Starrett, Dylan Wells, Stuart Skinner

My article for The Athletic today pertains (partly) to possible recall options who can help the Oilers this season. At some level, aside from prospects matriculating toward their peak, we should be concerned with recall options who could contribute. I’ll count Kailer Yamamoto, Cooper Marody, Ethan Bear, Keegan Lowe and Caleb Jones as possibilities.

OILERS FREE AGENTS

  • G Nick Ellis RFA. Retired.
  • G Laurent Brossoit UFA. Signed with the Jets ($650,000).
  • LD Darnell Nurse RFA. Qualified, sounds like a contract is closer.
  • RD Matt Benning RFA. Signed, more responsibility on the way.
  • RD Eric Gryba UFA. Signed with New Jersey.
  • LD Yohann Auvitu UFA. Signed with Sochi (KHL).
  • RD Mark Fayne UFA. Crickets on his next destination.
  • LD Keegan Lowe UFA. Signed, he will push for No. 7D.
  • LD Dillon Simpson UFA. Signed with Columbus, $675,000 times two.
  • LD Joey Laleggia UFA. Signed by St. Louis Blues.
  • LD Ben Betker RFA. Destination unknown.
  • RC Ryan Strome RFA. Qualified, contract soon.
  • RC Kyle Platzer RFA. He will land somewhere in the AHL imo.
  • LC Grayson Downing UFA. Likely to land another AHL deal.
  • L Mike Cammalleri UFA. He can still do some things, might get NHL chance.
  • L Drake Caggiula RFA. Signed, yesterday’s moves may reduce role.
  • L Braden Christoffer RFA. Signed an AHL deal.
  • R Anton Slepyshev RFA. Signed with CSKA Moscow, two years.
  • R Iiro Pakarinen RFA. Signed one-year deal with Magnita, KHL.
  • R Patrick Russell. RFA. Signed, outside chance he sees NHL cup of coffee.
  • R Brian Ferlin UFA. Health is the big story.

ANTON SLEPYSHEV

Is Anton Slepyshev the modern Pepe Mangual? Part of Mangual’s problem is that he got run over by Andre Dawson in centerfield and didn’t have the bat to hold back Warren Cromartie or Ellis Valentine. Slepyshev’s story is more nuanced, he couldn’t find a groove in 2017-18 that would have allowed him to capitalize on the brilliant goals scored postseason 2017.

I think his story comes down to not being able to get on the ice during training camp fall 2017. He had one AHL game, got called back and was miles from ready. The coach moved on from him, as reflected in his usage (the number one line in terms of 5-on-5 icetime for Slepy in 2017-18 was 47 minutes with Ryan Strome and Jesse Puljujarvi, via Corsica).

Luck, good and bad, plays a part. I believe Anton Slepyshev is an NHL player, maybe he’ll have a lash again down the line. Sail on, Russian bear.

NAIL YAKUPOV

In a recent article for The Athletic, I discussed the Oilers and Russian hockey players who were drafted in Russia (Yakimov, Slepyshev, et cetera). These men came over with an idea that the NHL was the only goal, and wasting away in the minors wasn’t an option worth pursuing (exception: Slepyshev).

Nail Yakupov was  a different deal. He came over to North America, made it clear the NHL was his goal. In signing with a KHL team, as he did today, Yak City has either given up the dream or delayed the pursuit. I wish him nothing but the best, and wish the Oilers would learn from these difficult moments.

Young players need to flourish at a level, dominate that level, and then move to the next level. Same as it ever was. Nail was caught in that damnable crevice where NHL teams can play you or send you back to junior and he was getting a new coach per season.

I’ll blame the owner for hiring a rookie general manager and allowing that man to hire a rookie coach. If you’re blaming Nail this morning, you’re going the wrong way. He came to Edmonton in a time of addled thinking from smart men, and it cost all of them their NHL dream.

IS PULJU NEXT?

I think there’s just too much in the way of “NHL tools” for Jesse Puljujarvi to fail. A lot is being made of what line JP plays on next season, my own feeling is Todd McLellan will place him on a line with Ryan Strome. That’s not terrible, he’ll play the soft parade, but at some point power-play time and moving up to the Draisaitl trio should be in the cards. It’s another reason I’m onside with shutting off procurement, Puljujarvi has to be used in a feature role by the coaching staff as things stand here today.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

We’re back and oh my goodness there’s much to discuss. At 10 this morning, TSN1260, scheduled to appear:

  • Jonathan Willis, The Athletic. Oilers make astute smaller moves, but the heavy lifting once again falls on McDavid, Draisaitl and Talbot.
  • Grant Goldberg, Lakers SB Nation. Lebron hits LA, is this bigger that Kareem or Shaq?
  • Scott Cullen, TSN. John Tavares moves to a bigger market and most of the nation sees a nightmare scenario unfold on Canada day. Is it good for the NHL?

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. See you on the radio!

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Jaxon

I’m not sure what really happened with Yakupov. He actually had a great rookie season, too. And his plus/minutes was among the better ones on the team in his rookie season.

Best Canadian Junior Rookie Seasons directly after being drafted since 2008:
Name NHL ERA adjusted P1/60
Alex Galchenyuk 2.64
Connor McDavid 2.22
Nico Hischier 2.06
Nail Yakupov 2.01
Jeff Skinner 1.93
Patrick Kane 1.77
Sam Gagner 1.75
Matthew Tkachuk 1.73
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 1.70
Evander Kane 1.59
Sean Monahan 1.55
Nathan MacKinnon 1.54
Tyler Seguin 1.46
Sean Couturier 1.45
Matt Duchene 1.41
Steven Stamkos 1.39
John Tavares 1.28
Gabriel Landeskog 1.23
Leon Draisaitl 1.16
Nino Niederreiter 1.15
Taylor Hall 1.15
Mikhail Grigorenko 1.13
Nolan Patrick 1.07
Mikkel Boedker 0.95
Daniel Sprong 0.89
Ryan O’Reilly 0.86
Alexander Burmistrov 0.84
Joshua Bailey 0.64

That’s a pretty impressive rookie season and he didn’t get best linemates on the team (I believe Hall/Nugent-Hopkins/Eberle was line 1, and was Yakupov/Gagner/Hemsky line 2?)

SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

Wilde,

Awesome post!

I’m not as blindsided by some about the Oilers verbal around JP. Now given it’s the Oilers I’m willing to admit my view of the situation may be less supported by historical trends than others but I’ve taken all the post season (and very late season by Craig Simpson) as a “it’s time to grow up and put the work in,” message to our young Finn winger.

I don’t see it as him hanging by a thread but more “ok you know what this league is like, it’s hard as hell, so you really need to up the anti this year to get things going! Go home, train hard, come back with a bag full of confidence and rip the doors off here!”

Now ones mileage may vary and I desperately hope I’m reading the situation right.

Have always had really high hopes for JP, he’s like Nurse, if you can see through the mass of legal and arms that are still a size too big you can see the beast lurking beneath.

Godspeed JP Godspeed!

OriginalPouzar

OilSafety:
Anybody hear about this… from Joshua Marshall. Not exactly a linked in media type

.@NYRangers @TBLightning @EdmontonOilers News: It sounds like a deal was close on Sunday morning with the #Oilers & #TBLighting but things broke off, #Rangers are now in talks with the Oilers. Keep a eye on these teams in the next 24-72 hours. #NHL https://t.co/hIYVeVCEn4

https://twitter.com/JMarshyBosco93/status/1014310903481655297?s=19

I put zero credence in to that account.

v4ance

Aaron Ward @NHL_AaronWard

Expecting announcement that #Canes AGM Ricky Olczyk is leaving the organization. Hearing he is likely to land in Toronto in some capacity.

Eric Tulsky was promoted to VP of Hockey Management and Strategy recently… possibly taking over most of Olczyk’s tasks….

Wilde

Pretendergast:
Wilde,

#3 and #16 age adjusted.

https://thestattest.wordpress.com/2018/04/22/evaluating-the-2018-nhl-draft-class-using-league-age-adjusting-ppg/

Neat. My pet pick for #71 shows well here too, Niklas Nordgren.

digger50

Wilde,

Awesome Post Wilde

Really did your homework here, I appreciate such a great summary of Jessie’s trajectory and his performance to date.

Another great post to reflect on this year.

Wilde

rickithebear:
Wilde:
Been running those review for years.
Elite Prospect is a great tool and easier to use now.

Look at Khsira,s Fresh NCAA season and similar comps.

Look at goalies with combined 19-20yr seasons of .930+

Swedish Dmen U22 +10 08/09 to 17/18

Skinner and Larsson I assume?

Looking at Freshman NCAA seasons is how I found TJ Tynan.

Above Zucker and Van Riemsdyk, right behind Eaves, Larkin, Kessel and Toews.

Finished school and has been smashing the AHL for years.

Vegas signed him to a two year deal last summer, he put up 2.0 primary pts/60 5v5 for the Wolves, 2nd leading scorer for them.

They just signed Reaves. Maybe they’d take Kassian.

BornInAGretzkyJersey

rickithebear,

I went to school with Wes.

rickithebear

Wilde:
Been running those review for years.
Elite Prospect is a great tool and easier to use now.

Look at Khsira,s Fresh NCAA season and similar comps.

Look at goalies with combined 19-20yr seasons of .930+

Swedish Dmen U22 +10 08/09 to 17/18

Munny

Finally had a moment to sit down and read the details… I see now I misread de Haan’s salary. Thought it was 5.5. 4.5 is much better for a 2nd pairing leftie. 4 years is good term especially since he’s a May Bday so the final year he’ll only be 30.

Hopefully they saw him workout and had the team quacks have a good look.

Certainly a smarter move from the Canes than trading an asset for a more expensive also recently injured Sekera would have been. Although old Seksy was sexier than de Haan is.

Fingers crossed this coming year. Need Seksy Dreamy both back.

Wilde

The Edmonton Oilers grabbed the #6 and #21 ranked players on Emmanuel Perry’s league adjusted pts per game chart for the 2018 draft.

A simple list with no age adjustment, but echoes strength of those first two picks.

rickithebear

LT:

Have you had working with Wes Gilbertson?

Cause he brought into question my claim of theories.

Told him my wife can bear witness too and support the claim of my theories.
Wife calls Rainman/beautiful mind sessions.

My wife the award winning sports page reporter/editor for postmedia know to Wes.

And so it starts.

Pescador

OilSafety:
Anybody hear about this… from Joshua Marshall. Not exactly a linked in media type

.@NYRangers @TBLightning @EdmontonOilers News: It sounds like a deal was close on Sunday morning with the #Oilers & #TBLighting but things broke off, #Rangers are now in talks with the Oilers. Keep a eye on these teams in the next 24-72 hours. #NHL https://t.co/hIYVeVCEn4

https://twitter.com/JMarshyBosco93/status/1014310903481655297?s=19

Meh,
Kassian to the Rangers for a conditional 4th is my guess

pts2pndr

Richard S.S.:
No one knows how far Jesse Puljujarvi would have dropped if the Oilers had picked second instead of fourth.That being said, he should have been sent down after his nine and told what he needed to work on.When he finally was sent down he was given things to work on.He did not take that demotion well.Considering all his talent, he had only made small progress the next time he was up.His biggest issues still existed.

This is Jesse Puljujarvi’s last ELC year, contract year coming up – 2 or 8.I agree with Bob Stauffer about Puljujarvi.More small progress, he traded.Strong progress and he might make McDavid’s Line.

There is so much more to this that it would take a book to explain it all. Start with comming off a serious knee injury and culture shock and you can move on from there! Given his age and talent just a modecum of coaching and patience to build his confidence would do wonders! Massive organizational blunder on how he was handled no matter how you look at it!

Pescador

“Get it right Pete, get it right Daryl, get it right Craig, and Godspeed, Keith.”

Wilde,

Good luck with your new endeavors Todd,

Brilliant Post

rickithebear

Munny: Tough for De Haan to turn that down.Can’t imagine he got offered that anywhere else.Maybe Woodguy lent Waddell his phone?

Sorry boys.

You do not even believe in 0% Corsi Dmen.
Russell #1
De Hana #2

DeHaan is one of the rare
Top HD dmen
Elite 0% corsi dmen
Who has Top even offensive production.

I first saw Canucks army on Board with my HD & 0% Corsi theory from my comments on shot quality & projections. Fall 2008 and spring 2009. 3 years before someone presented similar theory at the Sloan conference.

Most of the HD on board by analytics community is 2015 to now period.

One more name to add to my HD tree.

Wilde

Ari:
Wilde,

Appreciate this.Especially, the last bit on the Qualoty of teammates and PP time.

Enjoyed writing it.

The overall theme is this: Jesse Puljujarvi rode the same track offensively as all of the other young elite Finnish forwards in the league today.

The moment he parted with them was the moment he entered the Edmonton Oilers organisation.

This is not about Jesse.

OilSafety

Anybody hear about this… from Joshua Marshall. Not exactly a linked in media type

.@NYRangers @TBLightning @EdmontonOilers News: It sounds like a deal was close on Sunday morning with the #Oilers & #TBLighting but things broke off, #Rangers are now in talks with the Oilers. Keep a eye on these teams in the next 24-72 hours. #NHL https://t.co/hIYVeVCEn4

https://twitter.com/JMarshyBosco93/status/1014310903481655297?s=19

Wilde

godot10:
Tulsky is the advanced stats guy in Carolina. Right?

It appears he may have gained influence after the management shakeup.

Might be for not unless they can fix Darling and/or Mrazek.

Faulk is definitely going somewhere.

Yes.

He recently appeared to have a higher position on the staff page of their website, though no formal announcement was made.

pts2pndr

judgedrude:
At this point, I think that Pulju’s centre isn’t as important as being stapled to RNH’s line, wherever the Nuge ends up as C, LW-Drai, or LW-McD.He can provide the proper cover and protection that veterans of the past provided for younglings.

As awesome the Nuge-McDavid pair was last year, I think that McD can drag along scrubs and win the Art Ross, while Nuge-Drai-PJ would be a formidable second line that could handle the heavies.

You can leave Nuge with McDavid and put Khaira with Drai and JP and have two lines that can push the river. Chemistry is not always instantaneous but is built over games played as a unit. McLellan and patience have seemingly never met!

godot10

Tulsky is the advanced stats guy in Carolina. Right?

It appears he may have gained influence after the management shakeup.

Might be for not unless they can fix Darling and/or Mrazek.

Faulk is definitely going somewhere.

Ari

Wilde,

Appreciate this. Especially, the last bit on the Qualoty of teammates and PP time.

Wilde

Calvin De Haan is a legit NHL top-4 defenceman.

He’s a positive rel possession player that was 25th in 5v5 pts/60 among defencemen in the NHL this year. 12th in 5v5 assists/60

He plays well against top competition and moves the puck well in all zones.

Easily worth the signing, I would have gone 8years 5M per.

Ari

This is awesome. Thanks for putting the time in!

Primetime

Dominoiler:
Seems like everyone forgot that the sekera signing was a much needed UFA signing, decent money for decent term derailed by injury (case could be made that 30+ yo players carry an increased risk, but what to do)..

Not at all…in fact I think Chia getting Sekera right off the bat is one of the better UFA signings this decade for the Oil.

Was just pointing out the risk involved. There is likely no way to get these older players without adding term. That in itself is not a problem, as long as you are watching closely and try to move the player PRIOR to the decline, not after it has started, so the rest of the term is someone else’s problem.

Admittedly, this may be a moot point when it comes to Sekera. He was playing his best hockey when he got injured…no time to notice the gradual decline. Would have been interesting if he hadn’t have got hurt in that Anaheim series and if we noticed the slow decline over last year. If we had, I would have advocated we sell now before he falls off a cliff in the later years, and hopefully other teams were not aware of the start of a slide. We never got the chance to see with Sekera….well that and he had a NMC which Chia hands out like candy…

Wilde

** BIG BOY POST ALERT **

We’re talking about 98, are we?!

Here’s a post I wrote on 2018 draft day that went the way of the wind:

——————————————————–

Update on Puljujarvi:

– He’s apparently training hard already, pushing numbers on bench(lol) and squat

– Enjoying being able to train without injury unlike last couple summers

– playing with Karpat once a week

– good to be closer to home, but is working hard on his English because he felt he couldn’t be a
good teammate and friend because of his poor English this year ?

– all of this translation credited to Twitter user @kulta64

Now, I’ve been linking the latest published passing project data intermittently, and I took a look at Puljujarvi’s, here’s the link to the project:

https://public.tableau.com/profile/ryan.stimson#!/vizhome/PlayerPassing/ComparisonDashboard

Highlights:

– 81st percentile expected primary points per 60

– 81st percentile shot assists from across the slot or behind the net

– 72nd percentile expected assists per 60

– 81st percentile expected goals per 60

– 79th percentile one-timer shots per 60

Lowlights:

– 28th percentile involvement in the shots that occur when he’s on the ice

– 37th percentile shot assists per 60

My takeaways here is that we have a fantastically talented young individual with good character and it’s real fuckin’ sad the way he’s been treated thus far.

If we don’t trade him, though, we’ll forget about it when he’s a monster two-way force for a decade.

These metrics kind of fly in the face of Jesse’s shot quality problem, I think the problem is finishing as one of the youngest NHLers. He’s getting to the spots, he’s getting the shot off, but he’s not finding twine. It’s part confidence, it’s part literally being 20. We saw this with Yamamoto. If he cashed on his dangerous chances at a reasonable rate he would have had 5 goals in his 9 games.

When a player is old and has this problem, they just don’t have it anymore. Like how Cammaleri did a lot of things right, but it just didn’t go in the net anymore.

When a player is young and has this problem, they just don’t have it YET.

But they will, both of them… I’m confident.

Please, for the love of god, keep these two guys and keep the 10th overall. A team with 97 on it shouldn’t /have/ elite prospects, but because of the injuries in 2015-16, and the size-based dismissal of a top 10 talent in 2017, and the man comin’ around in 2018, here we are: we have a mulligan.

It won’t, in all likelihood, be another chance at a McDavid+Barzal+Hall team, but it is something… unless you rip the seeds from the soil once again.

Get it right Pete, get it right Daryl, get it right Craig, and Godspeed, Keith.

—————————————-

I’ve also been meaning to talk about JP’s offensive potential for awhile.

I’m of the belief that elite offensive capabilities show early. The only thing stopping the train is injuries.

There’s been points made about the lack of offense in Pulju’s 17 year old season in Liiga, I have time for them. But I like getting the full year-to-year projection from when players are ~15. Jesse’s numbers are absolutely remarkable, playing up-age sooner and outproducing a lot of elite NHL Finns.

Here’s Jesse:

age –

14 – 51pts in 42 GP – Jr U18

15 – 23pts in 18 GP – Jr U20

16 – 18pts in 11 GP – Jr U20

/ / – 13pts in 15GP – Mestis

/ / – 11pts in 21GP – Liiga

17 – 28pts in 50GP – Liiga

Now, for comparable Finns, I’ll be putting all of their age – league seasons in order.

Players are put in years by the age they are before the 2nd half of the season.

So a player born in ’97 is in the ’15’ category, no matter the month… this means some guys have pretty big age differences, but I tried to grab guys within a few months of JP’s May birthday. Here’s their birth months, and in brackets a + or a – indicating whether or not their stats deserve a boost or a reduction because they were younger or older than the other guys:

Puljujarvi – May ( = )

Laine – April (= )

Granlund – Feb ( – )

Tolvanen – Apr ( = )

Kotkaniemi – Jul ( = )

Aho – Jul ( = )

Teravainen – Sept ( + )

Rantanen – Oct ( + )

14 year olds in U18 league:

Jesse Puljujarvi – 51pts in 42 GP

Patrik Laine – 26pts in 27 GP

(That’s literally it. Those two.)

15 year olds in the U18 league:

Eeli Tolvanen – 84pts in 41 GP

Mikael Granlund – 40pts in 22 GP

Jesse Puljujarvi – 14 pts in 8 GP

Mikko Rantanen – 13pts in 22GP

Teuvo Teravainen – 26pts in 22GP

Sebastian Aho – 60pts in 38 GP

15 year olds in the U20 League (This is basically Finnish exceptional status IMO)

Jesse Puljujarvi – 23pts in 18 GP <– Excuse me?!

Patrik Laine – 37pts in 40 GP

Jesperi Kotkaniemi – 15pts in 33 GP

Eeli Tolvanen – 5pts in 7 GP

Sebastian Aho – 4pts in 5 GP

16 year olds in the U20 League:

Jesse Puljujarvi – 18pts in 11 GP

Mikael Granlund – 57pts in 35 GP

Teuvo Teravainen – 20pts in 26 GP

Sebastian Aho – 59pts in 44 GP

Jesperi Kotkaniemi – 15pts in 17 GP

16 year olds in the Mestis:

Jesse Puljujarvi – 13pts in 15 GP

Patrik Laine – 12pts in 36 GP

Mikael Granlund – 7pts in 6 GP

17 year olds in the Liiga:

Jesse Puljujarvi – 11pts in 21 GP

BONUS APPEARANCE:

Aleksander Barkov – 16pts in 32 GP

Mikko Rantanen – 3pts in 15 GP

Patrik Laine – 1pt in 6 GP

The verdict?

He is, and always has been a fuckin beast.

Every single player from his draft class that has outproduced him has played more minutes with better players and on the powerplay.

Pierre-Luc Dubois? Stapled to Panarin, 1st unit PP.

Auston Matthews? Stapled to Nylander, 1st unit PP.

Patrik Laine? High octane centre and high octane opposite winger every single game, offensive zone starts, hidden from elites, 1st unit PP.

Debrincat? Stapled to Patrick Kane, 1st unit PP, offensive zone starts.

Matthew Tkachuk? Stapled to Frolik and Backlund, 1st unit PP.

Clayton Kellers? Stapled to Stepan, 1st unit PP.

If they start Jesse with Strome and keep him there, without PP time, I'm talking about firing McLellan every day.

Staple him to Draisaitl and Rieder and put him on the powerplay. This is not hard.

oilgarchy

Sail on YakCity. I lay the blame for Yak’s disappointing career on the number 64.

I remember when he showed up for his first camp they gave him 64 and LT (I think) said the only other Oiler player to wear 64 was Jason Bonsignore. Talk about a bad omen. They need to retire 64 and I don’t mean hanging in the rafters.

Dominoiler

Seems like everyone forgot that the sekera signing was a much needed UFA signing, decent money for decent term derailed by injury (case could be made that 30+ yo players carry an increased risk, but what to do)..

Just pointing out that not every ufa signing above 2M is doomed, just the shitty ones were.. (also, Gryba’s 2 year contract at less than 2M also was poor).. so i think it’s time for people to look with a broader view than the last two days before writing overly simplistic ‘all knowing, all encompassing’ narratives..

VOR

v4ance:
http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20180627-is-quiet-eye-the-secret-to-success-for-athletes

“….Psychologists and neuroscientists have now identified some of the common mental processes that mark out elite athletes such as (Serena)Williams. And one of the most intriguing aspects appears to be a phenomenon known as the “quiet eye” – a kind of enhanced visual perception that allows the athlete to eliminate any distractions as they plan their next move. Intriguingly, quiet eye appears to be particularly important at times of stress, preventing the athlete from ‘choking’ at moments of high pressure. It may even lead to the mysterious ‘flow state’.”

***

VOR?Have you heard about this research?

I actually know Joan. I admire her as a scientist. She takes intellectual risks, looks at the big picture, asks intriguing questions and sees things others miss. I have even been present when some of her ideas on eye tracking were trained, and successfully.

My problem is I also admired Anne Treismer. Anne’s brilliant work on visual cognition can not easily be reconciled with Joan’s work on quiet eye. Something is wrong somewhere.

If you wanted me to guess I’d bet quiet eye is an outcome of underlying (and earlier) mental activity. And not an input into current mental processes.

I also caution anybody who extrapolates from the specific to the general. By all accounts neither Nadal or Federer display quiet eye. That criticism doesn’t invalidate the theory. It just means it is neither universal or essential amongst pro tennis players.

Most human performance “attributes” and “characteristics” are only displayed by sub sets of elite performers. So quiet eye would fit this pattern. Thus tools that add them into your performance arsenal may or may not have any effect and we can’t predict who it will help and who it won’t. And we are far from real tools for developing quiet eye.

In summary I think quiet eye is a real phenomena. I just am not sure it will really be a game changer.

Munny

Rondo:
Calvin De Haan 4.55 Mx 4 Carolina

Tough for De Haan to turn that down. Can’t imagine he got offered that anywhere else. Maybe Woodguy lent Waddell his phone?

Andy Dufresne

Rondo:
Calvin De Haan 4.55 Mx 4

Seems like a steep price. hes 27 yrs old and his career high is 5 goals.

And he’s only topped 16 pts once.

Not brutal……but certainly not a value contract.

Hes like a younger version of Kris Russell.

Rondo

Calvin De Haan 4.55 M x 4 Carolina

Primetime

leadfarmer:
That Carolina team is slowly filling out very nicely

De Haan’s signing takes away any of our fantasy Sekera trades to the Hurricanes. Guess they will just have to settle for Lucic straight up for Skinner….

square_wheels

leadfarmer,

If that goaltending straightens out…..

leadfarmer

That Carolina team is slowly filling out very nicely

square_wheels

Wow Carolina has a legit D corps. Not quite Nashville but not much removed.

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR

Scungilli Slushy: Elite and top talent isn’t the lack, it’s competent helpful other players that is. Depth/balance are king.

I think they added two. Hopefully three or four.

If that’s all JP turns into then at least we don’t have to go looking for someone to fill that role. It’s not ideal that we used a #3 pick to get that, but don’t get rid of him. That’s how things have gotten so messed up with this team. Brodziak could have been our character, Pk guy’ face off guy, glue guy, whatever term you want to use. Chimera could have too for that matter. But we give them away all the time. The league is crawling with guys we just gave away because management thought they were failures: Dubnyk, Petry, the list goes on. Wouldn’t it be nice to actually have some homegrown players? We cut bait way too early on these guys, and I hope Chia doesn’t make the same mistake with JP. Look at the tools he has.

Andy Dufresne

Islanders sign Lerner

Melvis

GMB3,

I’ve been looking into the carnivore matter for awhile now. Peterson’s comments simply have me revisiting the notion. I’m uncertain as to when or how he might have become a snake oil salesman, or what he might be pushing exactly. If academic politics hadn’t become click bait, I suspect he would remain largely unknown.

Historically. the word “diet”, and/or various dietary and philosophical “isms” along the way – generally had me cringing.

From, let me see, Adelle Davis and other dietary gurus, to est (did you “get that?”), to my favourite, “Follow Your Bliss”.

Actually, in following my bliss, I’m quite prone to a diet heavy in wise ass snark. It’s not a particularly redeeming quality, but calorie light. There are some here, however, who have it down to a fine art. Like good cooks. I can only wish.

But there you go. Live and learn.

Scungilli Slushy

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR: Agreed.Sekera will have had a full training camp and off-season to recover.I’m optimistic that he’ll be solid.And if they trade JP I’m gonna be pissed.Just look at Brodziak, Reider, and the worst example is Cogliano.All servicable, solid NHL’ers that contribute to other organizations after we give them away.Just let JP develop into whatever he’s gonna be and then see how he can be used.Good teams do this all the time, while we trade guys away for magic beans because they aren’t the 40 goal scorer we were hoping for.Just draft and develop for Pete’s sake.

Elite and top talent isn’t the lack, it’s competent helpful other players that is. Depth/balance are king.

I think they added two. Hopefully three or four.

Richard S.S.

No one knows how far Jesse Puljujarvi would have dropped if the Oilers had picked second instead of fourth. That being said, he should have been sent down after his nine and told what he needed to work on. When he finally was sent down he was given things to work on. He did not take that demotion well. Considering all his talent, he had only made small progress the next time he was up. His biggest issues still existed.

This is Jesse Puljujarvi’s last ELC year, contract year coming up – 2 or 8. I agree with Bob Stauffer about Puljujarvi. More small progress, he traded. Strong progress and he might make McDavid’s Line.

Scungilli Slushy

Jethro Tull:
ENGLAND!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Kane should be in the convo at least for top offensive player in the world. Deadly scorer.

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR

OriginalPouzar: Fair, but “in a year or two”, Sekera’s contract will be winding down.

I am very much looking forward to how he looks come September – he wasn’t (isn’t) a guy that relies on his skating (speed, mobility) for plus play – its his calmness under pressure, knowledge to make the right player, etc. where he excels – as long as he’s got confidence in his knee, he should still be a solid (maybe back to very good) player.

Agreed. Sekera will have had a full training camp and off-season to recover. I’m optimistic that he’ll be solid. And if they trade JP I’m gonna be pissed. Just look at Brodziak, Reider, and the worst example is Cogliano. All servicable, solid NHL’ers that contribute to other organizations after we give them away. Just let JP develop into whatever he’s gonna be and then see how he can be used. Good teams do this all the time, while we trade guys away for magic beans because they aren’t the 40 goal scorer we were hoping for. Just draft and develop for Pete’s sake.

Richard S.S.

Rafa Nadal,

Peter Chiarelli said, “He (Rieder) can play Right Wing. There’s not a star player or an established player there.”
IMO that includes Rattie, Puljujarvi and Yamamoto.
Rattie is not a star player nor an established player, but there a good chance he’s an NHLer.
Yamamoto might just be a star player, but he’s not yet an established player nor an NHLer, but he will be all three.
Puljujarvi is not a star player and may never nor is he an established player. No one knows what type of NHLer he will be.

GMB3

Melvis:
Professor Q,

I’m having simply grilled fresh walleye and steamed green beans for dinner this evening.I think I’ll blow off the parisienne potatoes for a change.Also the 300lb poutine snarfing, pill pusher currently serving as my doctor. And the comment. Just personally , of course.

It’s a valid point here about your dr being a pill pusher. Western medicine tends to focus on treating symptoms instead of preventing them. I know that’s a generalization but there is some truth to it.

Our diets play a massive role in how we feel, and there’s psychological solace to be had in making lifestyle changes we truly believe will help us.

My 0.02$

Melvis

Professor Q,

I’m having simply grilled fresh walleye and steamed green beans for dinner this evening. I think I’ll blow off the parisienne potatoes for a change. Also the 300lb poutine snarfing, pill pusher currently serving as my doctor. And the comment. Just personally , of course.

v4ance

http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20180627-is-quiet-eye-the-secret-to-success-for-athletes

“….Psychologists and neuroscientists have now identified some of the common mental processes that mark out elite athletes such as (Serena)Williams. And one of the most intriguing aspects appears to be a phenomenon known as the “quiet eye” – a kind of enhanced visual perception that allows the athlete to eliminate any distractions as they plan their next move. Intriguingly, quiet eye appears to be particularly important at times of stress, preventing the athlete from ‘choking’ at moments of high pressure. It may even lead to the mysterious ‘flow state’.”

***

VOR? Have you heard about this research?

Munny

Melvis:
After that Jordan Peterson interview, I’m taking the “carnivore diet” a lot more seriously. Everything that ailed him, ails me. And other than that, he just looks a hell of a lot better than about a year ago.

He’s got to have a lot less stress in his life now than in the prior two years. I don’t think I would’ve survived. And it saddens me to think of all the voices that might have been silenced by the threats of political correctness and SJWs.