Game Nine 2018-19: Oilers at Predators

Nashville is a city of dreams. If you love country music, as I do, at least some part of you is enchanted by the idea of rags to riches via an old guitar and a gift for words married to melody. At our house, this is the early to mid-1960s, the record player held Patsy Cline, Jim Reeves, Ferlin Husky, the Louvins and Marvin Rainwater.If they were L-Ps (those are the big ones, the long-plays) you could stack them one on another and listen for hours and hours. My Mom would do that, but of course you only got one side. The Beatles lived down the road at my uncle’s house, but those country tunes sang to me and the truth is they still do. I was the first one in my house to buy a Kris Kristofferson record (good find), the last one to buy a Patsy Cline (a better find).

There’s more than one way to dream, and today in Nashville some hopeful Oilers will suit up and play in one of their early NHL games (Mikko Koskinen, Evan Bouchard, Cooper Marody, Kailer Yamamoto) as they build on promising careers. Perhaps today brings rising success and stardom on the big stage. Sweet dreams, baby.

THE ATHLETIC!

The Athletic Edmonton is going to bring it all season long. Proud to be part of a lineup that is ready to cover the coming year. Outstanding coverage from a large group, including Daniel Nugent-Bowman and Jonathan Willis, Lowetide, Minnia Feng and Pat McLean. If you haven’t subscribed yet, now’s your chance. Special offer is here, less than $3.50 a month!

  • New Lowetide: Jesse Puljujarvi gets scratched, so what’s next for Edmonton’s lottery winger?
  • New Tyler Dellow: Oilers treading water despite tough schedule, but still struggle to score without Connor McDavid.
  • Jonathan Willis: Connor McDavid finds another gear, but Oilers still lack scoring on the wing.
  • Cat Silverman: How Laurent Brossoit found his way back to NHL form.
  • Lowetide: Todd McLellan finds a suitable spot in the order for Milan Lucic.
  • Jonathan Willis: Four reasons why the Oilers should return Evan Bouchard to junior.
  • Lowetide: Drake Caggiula might be hearing footsteps as the Oilers look for offence to replace injured Ty Rattie.
  • Lowetide: Kirill Maksimov is tearing up the OHL, three Condors fly high.
  • Lowetide: Peter Chiarelli’s race against time.
  • Daniel Nugent-HopkinsAsking McDavid to take on Bergeron line at home shows what Oilers are missing.
  • New Daniel Nugent-Hopkins: Remembering Ron Chipperfield’s brief and hellish time as captain of the Edmonton Oilers.
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Q&A: Grant Fuhr talks about his journey, drug use and the state of goaltending.
  • Lowetide: Math offers a surprising option for Leon Draisaitl’s struggling No. 2 line

OILERS IN OCTOBER

  • Oilers in October 2015: 3-6-0, goal differential -6
  • Oilers in October 2016: 7-2-0, goal differential +10
  • Oilers in October 2017: 3-5-1, goal differential -8
  • Oilers in October 2018: 4-3-1, goal differential -4

Edmonton can begin pushing toward the playoff year (2016) with a win today, that would represent a stunning payload based on preseason expectations and difficulty of schedule. Nashville enters play with a tidy 8-2-0 record after 10 games, averaging 3.5 goals for and 2.3 goals against so far this campaign. The Predators are outstanding.

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM OCTOBER

  • On the road to: Sweden to play NJD (Expected: 0-0-1) (Actual: 0-1-0)
  • On the road to: Boston, NYR, Winnipeg (Expected 1-2-0) (Actual 2-1-0)
  • At home to: Boston, Nashville, Pittsburgh, Washington (Expected 1-3-0) (Actual 2-1-1)
  • On the road to: Nashville, Chicago (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • At home to: Minnesota (Expected 0-0-1) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 3-6-2, 8 points in 11 games 
  • Current results: 4-3-1, 9 points after eight games

I have today’s game as a loss, but haven’t been right too often with this team so far in 2018-19. After the win against the Capitals, it appears the “McDavid and Talbot” show is back, at least often enough for the Oilers to get off to a surprising start.

FORWARDS CORSI FOR 5-ON-5, 2018-19

  1. Ryan Strome 59.15
  2. Cooper Marody 57.14
  3. Ty Rattie 52.03
  4. Drake Caggiula 51.85
  5. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 51.38
  6. Jesse Puljujarvi 50.67
  7. Kailer Yamamoto 50.26
  8. Connor McDavid 49.63
  9. Milan Lucic 47.85
  10. Jujhar Khaira 47.83
  11. Tobias Rieder 44.30
  12. Kyle Brodziak 43.64
  13. Leon Draisaitl 38.65
  14. Zack Kassian 37.97
  15. Alex Chiasson 37.70

I think a good way to look at the current forwards is to divide them into five categories based on role and projected future:

  • Vital roster forwards: McDavid, Draisaitl, Nugent-Hopkins
  • Useful roster forwards: Strome, Rieder
  • Immovable roster forwards: Lucic, Kassian, Brodziak
  • Young forwards pushing: Yamamoto, Puljujarvi, Marody
  • Fringe forwards: Rattie, Caggiula, Khaira, Chiasson

You may feel some players belong in other categories and frankly it can change from week to week (hello, Alex Chiasson) but this is my list and you’re welcome to disagree. Edmonton badly needs Yamamoto and Puljujarvi to move into the ‘vital’ category and I would guess a contending team has far more than two ‘useful’ men on the list. The ideal ‘immovable’ number is zero.

I’ll also say this: Ty Rattie looked very close to being a ‘useful’ forward before injury, that would represent a good arrow early in the season. Along with counting wins and losses, moving forwards from ‘young’ and ‘fringe’ to more substantial categories would be a worthy measure of success. Here are the defensemen:

  • Vital roster defensemen: Klefbom, Larsson
  • Useful roster defensemen: Nurse, Russell
  • Immovable roster defensemen: Sekera 
  • Young defensemen pushing: Bouchard
  • Fringe defensemen: Garrison, Gravel, Benning

Again, your mileage may vary but this is my estimation. Edmonton might have four ‘vital’ blue but Nurse and Bouchard aren’t yet there in my opinion. Benning is at ‘fringe’ but last season he would have been in the ‘useful’ category and may well be again. There are rumors of his activation soon.

LINES

  • Nuge—McDavid—Rattie: 56 minutes, 50.51 Corsi for 5-on-5, 3-0 goals
  • Nuge—McDavid—Yamamoto: 36 minutes, 47.37 Corsi for 5-on-5, 0-0 goals

Rattie isn’t a feature player, and the sample size is too small to trumpet, but this is an interesting snapshot of life with and without Rattie. We’ll have to monitor this situation. perhaps the former Portland Winterhawks star is an important player for this team moving forward. If so, I’ll consider it payback for driving me bat bleep crazy when he played against the Edmonton Oil Kings all those years ago.

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651 Responses to "Game Nine 2018-19: Oilers at Predators"

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  1. Sierra says:

    dapper58:
    As per HNIC Kassian allowed to find a trade to get out of Edmonton. Probably not a bad thing.

    It’s never a good thing when the player and his agent are told to find their own trade.

  2. godot10 says:

    Richard S.S.:
    The positive about Caggiula is the extra effort he put into each goal, not giving up until it went in.Opponents don’t key in on Oiler underachievers, just barely basic attention.It’s possible said underachievers are noticing and blossoming. Was this his breakout Game?

    Caggiula is a high event player, good and bad, tending to give up more bad events than good ones. Today he had a whiff and an empty net, and ended up with two goals.

  3. Wilde says:

    Pescador:
    What is Chicago’s top line running at GF/60?

    Toews + DeBrincat are absolute fire right now at 4.28 GF/60, Patrick Kane’s at 3.34.

    Those three guys have been in on most of their goals. They don’t score, Hawks lose.

    Unfortunately that’s the same as our team, except our 97/29 off GF/60 is miles worse than their Kane/Toews/DeBrincat off – our 1.08/60 to their 1.74/60.

    They’re worse defensively with their stars off, though.

    It’d be a good game for the Strome line to get its first – hopefully Jesse. I’m also cheering extra hard for Cooper Marody’s first goal.

  4. godot10 says:

    Scungilli Slushy: Why can’t the Oilers get their heads around pump and dump? Dump and pump is not good for a quality return.

    Guys like Kassian are becoming rare – tough fast big not lacking skill.

    Ugghhh. Always something to take the shine off.

    Plus irresponsible with anger management issues.

  5. Wilde says:

    Sierra: It’s never a good thing when the player and his agent are told to find their own trade.

    The Oilers have done this multiple times now.

    Look for a trade, don’t like the return, leak this to the media.

    Same thing as with Lucic in the summer.

    godot10: Caggiula is a high event player, good and bad, tending to give up more bad events than good one.Today he had a whiff and an empty net, and end up with two goals.

    Caggiula’s minutes as a depth player this year have been good ones. He’s turning his career around at the rate he’s at, which is good for the org but also reflects poorly on the evaluative skill of the coaching staff in his rookie and sophomore year.

    It appears as if he would have always been a plus player in the bottom-six, had he not become the coach’s pet.

  6. Scungilli Slushy says:

    godot10: Plus irresponsible with anger management issues.

    Absolutely , but it is the NHL. Although it is getting ‘huggy’. Probably still a few years away from players like Kassian not being in the league. He’s not like Cooke or Wilson.

  7. €√¥£€^$ says:

    Wilde:
    Also I’d draw 65 and 98 back in tomorrow, 28 and 44 out.

    93 – 97 – 56

    22 – 29 – 39

    27 – 18 – 98

    91 – 16 – 65

    Khaira does better with another centre on his line, and Caggiula on his natural wing.

    Brodziak and Kassian have had maybe one good game this season combined.

    27-18-98 makes the coach comfortable and less likely to damage Jesse’s game, and this 29 iteration is the first to win shots/chances, so you keep it.

    The top line could have scored 3 goals in the first 30 minutes of the game, they’re nuts. The worry is that they were doing this last fall too, and not scoring, just like they’re not really scoring now – the highlight reel McDavid goal off the faceoff is the kind of thing that happens no matter what, because McDavid.

    77 – 6

    25 – 4

    5 – 75

    This Chicago team is not tight defensively at all. There’ll be plenty of minutes to try to shank them with Bouchard passes.

    On the flipside, you cannot play Garrison against this team.

    +1000

  8. BornInAGretzkyJersey says:

    Wilde,

    But what of the #bussesriddenper60

    How can we evaluate Woodcroft versus, say, Rod Brind’Amour who (similarly) hasn’t ridden any AHL busses yet gets “gifted” an HC position?

  9. lyleparsons says:

    Jethro Tull,

    How do you win if Koski fails?

  10. OriginalPouzar says:

    Condors put up an 8 spot on the baby flames. Couple apples for Jones. Didn’t see the game but sounds like a plus game from Joe G. who is putting himself in the convo for the next call up. Goal and assist for Vessel. One apple for Benson and Hebig with a goal. Skinner lets in 2.

  11. OriginalPouzar says:

    Last night was Stuart Skinner’s first AHL win – great stuff!

  12. OriginalPouzar says:

    SwedishPoster:
    OriginalPouzar,

    Berglund had a helper on Skellefteås first goal. He also led his team in ice time, one of few brightspots on his team. They lost their 6th straight after a strong start that had them leading the league for a bit.
    Joel Persson has played better of late but still not at last year’s level. His team has had a hard time finding a rythm.

    I guess I read the boxscore wrong – or it was wrong.

    Anyways, thanks for the update, as always.

    I’m thinking Vaxjo, and everyone on the team, is feeling the loss of Elias Petersson.

  13. OriginalPouzar says:

    flyfish1168: I wonder if the coaching change is helping his game

    100% in my opinion.

    Right now, Trent Yawney is this team’s MVP.

  14. OriginalPouzar says:

    Bank Shot:
    Did Skinner get called up due to injury?

    See he has strong albeit limited numbers in the ECHL.

    Montoya wasn’t dressed last night so I wonder if he’s banged up?

    First AHL win for Skinner!

  15. OriginalPouzar says:

    Wilde:
    Also I’d draw 65 and 98 back in tomorrow, 28 and 44 out.

    93 – 97 – 56

    22 – 29 – 39

    27 – 18 – 98

    91 – 16 – 65

    Khaira does better with another centre on his line, and Caggiula on his natural wing.

    Brodziak and Kassian have had maybe one good game this season combined.

    27-18-98 makes the coach comfortable and less likely to damage Jesse’s game, and this 29 iteration is the first to win shots/chances, so you keep it.

    The top line could have scored 3 goals in the first 30 minutes of the game, they’re nuts. The worry is that they were doing this last fall too, and not scoring, just like they’re not really scoring now – the highlight reel McDavid goal off the faceoff is the kind of thing that happens no matter what, because McDavid.

    77 – 6

    25 – 4

    5 – 75

    This Chicago team is not tight defensively at all. There’ll be plenty of minutes to try to shank them with Bouchard passes.

    On the flipside, you cannot play Garrison against this team.

    Lineup works for me except the third pairing.

    I’m fine with Benning over Bouchard again and Gravel isn’t available – he’s not on the roster (was re-assigned when Benning was activated). I don’t think we can go with Benning and Bouchard given both are righties with zero NHL experience playing their left side (and doing so would set them up to fail).

    Probably the same defensive group as yesterday with maybe Bouchard in over Benning.

    Clearly Kass is coming out for this aft and I would think Puljujarvi comes in.

    Marody for Brodz may happen as well.

  16. OriginalPouzar says:

    Pescador: For reference, most top lines of good NHL teams shoot for 3.00/60 GF or above, and that’s who 77-6 are playing against every night.

    Yup, Gravel/Benning should be the every day third pairing in my mind.

  17. OriginalPouzar says:

    Wilde: Toews + DeBrincat are absolute fire right now at 4.28 GF/60, Patrick Kane’s at 3.34.

    Those three guys have been in on most of their goals. They don’t score, Hawks lose.

    Unfortunately that’s the same as our team, except our 97/29 off GF/60 is miles worse than their Kane/Toews/DeBrincat off – our 1.08/60 to their 1.74/60.

    They’re worse defensively with their stars off, though.

    It’d be a good game for the Strome line to get its first – hopefully Jesse. I’m also cheering extra hard for Cooper Marody’s first goal.

    These are facts but some additional context would show that the last 3-4 games, the secondary scoring for the Oilers has started to come and the reliance on 97 has decreased.

  18. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Jethro Tull: Did Dellow give an average of time after faceoffs that goals are scored and compare the Oilers to that?

    No, it was a look at how often all team scored after an ozone faceoff within 10 seconds:

    https://theathletic.com/476461/2018/08/20/dellow-coaches-and-squeezing-value-from-offensive-zone-wins/

    The take away is that is very “coached”

  19. OriginalPouzar says:

    Wilde:
    n

    It appears as if he would have always been a plus player in the bottom-six, had he not become the coach’s pet.

    Caggulia has been much more effective this year than last year (or his rookie year). I believe its a function of experience but, just as importantly, being deployed almost exclusively at 5 on 5 in the bottom 6 where he can be an effective player.

    He has also been used only sparingly on the PK which is important (but he is the type of player that will need to be able to play effective PK minutes in the league).

  20. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Bank Shot: Guys like Ovechkin also set up at the top of the circle. It’s not just point shots.

    Seems to me like most of the goals I see scored quickly after faceoffs are generally a faceoff win resulting in a shot and a goal.

    If a team wins the faceoff, a quick shot is a usual outcome. If they don’t win the faceoff, they need to usually win a puck battle in the corner and those ten seconds evaporate quickly.

    Its pretty interesting stuff.

    Dellow found that scoring rates for all teams weren’t high after an ozone face off (although some are much, much better/worse than the mean)

    His theory is since the defending team already has 5 guys on the defensive side of the puck its tough to generate chances.

    Also,

    Here’s the bit on who is doing the shooting:

    In 2016-17, Nashville’s defencemen generated 49.7 per cent of their shot attempts in the window I’m looking at, sixth lowest in the NHL. Last year, they generated 58.3 per cent of the shot attempts, good for 12th in the NHL. The range is pretty big here, something that seems to me like it would be useful for coaches doing their pre-game preparation to know. San Jose’s defencemen – hello Brent Burns – generated 68 per cent of their shot attempts after OZW. For the Rangers, they generated just 47.9 per cent of the shot attempts.

    Its a pretty cool piece: https://theathletic.com/476461/2018/08/20/dellow-coaches-and-squeezing-value-from-offensive-zone-wins/

  21. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    pts2pndr: You could argue weak call his reputation not withstanding! To be effective it is how he has to play.

    He ran a guy’s head into the boards.

    You can’t do that to players in vulnerable positions.

    If that hit happened to any Oiler I’d want a penalty.

    If it happened to McDavid I’d want jail time.

  22. OriginalPouzar says:

    So, for this afternoon’s game:

    1) We can’t play both Benning and Bouchard, can we? I’m not comfortable with either playing the left side. I wish we had Gravel on the roster but I assume its Garrison again, likely with Bouchard (but would like to see Benning again).

    2) Clearly Kassian is out and Puljujarvi comes in

    3) I also assume they try and get Marody in, likely for Brodz, with Khaira shifting to 4C.

  23. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Ryan: The breakouts make these guys look like a new crew.

    In Yawney we trust?

    I’m thinking that.

    Maybe Gulutzan too, CGY moved the puck well from the back end while he was there.

    Its not just the Dmen making good decisions with the puck, its the forwards in close support giving them multiple passing options as well.

    Many times last year you could see the forwards were 50+ feet from the Dmen and the opposition had a layer of checkers between them.

    That’s mostly gone none.

    They’re still jail breaking a bit on the weak side when possession turns, but that helps open up the middle of the ice by making the weak side Dmen head back.

    I’m seeing two good passing options on the strong side most times and really good puck support within 12ft

  24. Wilde says:

    OriginalPouzar: Gravel isn’t available

    oh.

    OriginalPouzar:

    These are facts but some additional context would show that the last 3-4 games, the secondary scoring for the Oilers has started to come and the reliance on 97 has decreased.

    If the same were true for the Blackhawks, I’d still use their overall scoring rate over the entirety of the season as more indicative of their bottom-6’s effectiveness, so in fairness I should say the same of the Oilers.

    Woodguy v2.0:
    Its not just the Dmen making good decisions with the puck, its the forwards in close support giving them multiple passing options as well.

    It’s mostly the forward’s movement that has changed. A lot of the Dmen process is the same, especially the unique resetting and D-to-D pass rate.

    Main differences from last year I noticed are individuals changing

    1) Klefbom is playing 1D level
    2) Larsson is making passes
    3) Russell is making reads
    4) Nurse isn’t making me pull my hair out in the OZ

    Oh also, I don’t know if this has been mentioned but Russell and Nurse are switching sides multiple times in the game. Once I figure out what the concrete triggers for that is, article incoming

  25. Wilde says:

    Also if you’re a fan of slick, smooth skating defensemen, keep an eye out for #28 Henri Jokiharju.

    He’s so good. I want three.

    June Birthday 2017 draft pick leading the Hawks in 5v5 ice-time.

    Will literally be 19 for this entire season.

  26. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Ryan: The breakouts make these guys look like a new crew.

    In Yawney we trust?

    The other big improvement in the Dcorps is the pressure the put on the puck in the ozone, neutral zone and at the blue line.

    Seeing Russell stand guys up at the blue regularly has been great. He has been the worst Oiler in the last 2 years at allowing controlled entries.

    This too is dependent on the forwards.

    If the Dman doesn’t have a forwards coming back to cover for him if he whiffs he can’t make the aggressive play in any of the 3 zones.

    The forwards are backing checking much better, which allows the Dmen to step up on the opponent to try to disrupt possession.

    That’s been a problem on this team since Gagner was a rookie.

    I also think that’s why Leon’s line was such a defensive outlier to start the year.

    Leon was really lazy on the back check and Looch wasn’t able to get there in time and the Dmen had to allow the entries as they didn’t have support to step up.

    By eye Leon has been better these last few games, but still not where he should be. Having Rieder and Chiasson on that line has given it much better speed in the neutral zone both ways, which has resulted in better defence.

    After 3 games Leon’s line was allowing twice the HD Chances Against/60 than 97’s line and was even worse than the 4th line: source: https://twitter.com/Woodguy55/status/1051852091927359488

    Its cleaned up a bit since then, but its still the worst on the team:

    Player HDCA/60
    Milan Lucic 13.2
    Leon Draisaitl 12.8
    Jesse Puljujarvi 12.0
    Kailer Yamamoto 11.1
    Alex Chiasson 10.7
    Kyle Brodziak 10.0
    Zack Kassian 9.5
    Ryan Strome 8.5
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 8.2
    Tobias Rieder 8.1
    Connor McDavid 7.6
    Ty Rattie 7.2
    Cooper Marody 6.8
    Drake Caggiula 5.7
    Jujhar Khaira 5.3

    I think the NSH game was Leon’s best game without the puck so far. If that continues he’ll have a much better chance of becoming an outscorer, which this team desperately needs him to be.

  27. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Wilde,

    Oh also, I don’t know if this has been mentioned but Russell and Nurse are switching sides multiple times in the game. Once I figure out what the concrete triggers for that is, article incoming

    Cool, look forward to it.

  28. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    tcho: Analysis?

    I didn’t put any glib analysis at the end lest anyone take it too seriously.

    🙂

  29. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    N64: Most fan bases draw the line at telling GM and Coach exactly what to think.

    As LT opines the aftermath of the Hall trade fractured the fan base. Year 1 true fans argued the proof is the proof and a true fan would move on (or out of hearing). Year 2 the proof turned around to devour some true fans.

    The players learned a lot from the last 2 years. Suspect the fans did too.

    I follow multiple team’s fans on twitter and elsewhere.

    Not just NHL either.

    EDM fans aren’t special, its like this in most place with a rabid fan base.

    The unique thing about EDM is who long the org has been bad with so many high end players coming through (and exiting)

  30. Wilde says:

    I hope the Yamamoto version of the top line starts scoring. They’re forcing so many turnovers while forechecking and they’re defending pretty well. If they start finishing regularly they’re gonna outscore by a ton.

  31. Pescador says:

    godot10: Plus irresponsible with anger management issues.

    Lol, who isn’t

  32. Pescador says:

    Wilde:
    I hope the Yamamoto version of the top line starts scoring. They’re forcing so many turnovers while forechecking and they’re defending pretty well. If they start finishing regularly they’re gonna outscore by a ton.

    People are flat out wrong or stupid or both when they blame Yamamoto.
    The chances are there, clean clear looks for McDavid & Co.
    Shooting% is the real culprit
    Watch the game nerds

  33. russ99 says:

    Pescador: People are flat out wrong or stupid or both when they blame Yamamoto.
    The chances are there, clean clear looks for McDavid & Co.
    Shooting% is the real culprit
    Watch the game nerds

    The lack of players who can execute shots on clear looks is a concern, hence the discussion about Strome, Yamamoto, Puljujarvi and others our GM is leaning on instead of getting NHL players who can shoot.

  34. JimmyV1965 says:

    Wilde: Toews + DeBrincat are absolute fire right now at 4.28 GF/60, Patrick Kane’s at 3.34.

    Those three guys have been in on most of their goals. They don’t score, Hawks lose.

    Unfortunately that’s the same as our team, except our 97/29 off GF/60 is miles worse than their Kane/Toews/DeBrincat off – our 1.08/60 to their 1.74/60.

    They’re worse defensively with their stars off, though.

    It’d be a good game for the Strome line to get its first – hopefully Jesse. I’m also cheering extra hard for Cooper Marody’s first goal.

    I’m not sure if the heater is over though. Toews 1 pt in last four games. Debrincst 3 pts in last four, including an empty netter.

  35. Bank Shot says:

    Pescador: People are flat out wrong or stupid or both when they blame Yamamoto.
    The chances are there, clean clear looks for McDavid & Co.
    Shooting% is the real culprit
    Watch the game nerds

    They are definitely playing well.

    The shooting % should recover somewhat.

    The question is how much?

    RNH is a guy that is probably on the lower end of shooting % career wise compared to other first line players.

    Yamamoto its hard to say where he will be, but he definitely isn’t getting enough shots on net. 11 in 9 games with ample time on the top line isn’t enough.

    In the long term McDavid needs a shooter.
    Its unlikely Rattie is that guy long term but he’ll do for now.

    Wonder how close he is getting to a return?

  36. Wilde says:

    russ99: The lack of players who can execute shots on clear looks is a concern, hence the discussion about Strome, Yamamoto, Puljujarvi and others our GM is leaning on instead of getting NHL players who can shoot.

    NHL players who can shoot seem to suffer mysterious bouts of temporary amnesia as soon as they play on this team and miraculously recover after they leave

  37. Wilde says:

    JimmyV1965: I’m not sure if the heater is over though. Toews 1 pt in last four games. Debrincst 3 pts in last four, including an empty netter.

    I think that’s just how (mortal) scorers look. Games on, games off. Goaltending.

    I wrote briefly about Alex Chiasson being The Answer

    http://petropraxis.blogspot.com/2018/10/leon-finds-line.html

  38. dustrock says:

    Pescador: People are flat out wrong or stupid or both when they blame Yamamoto.
    The chances are there, clean clear looks for McDavid & Co.
    Shooting% is the real culprit
    Watch the game nerds

    There is no way in hell Yamamoto scores the goal Rattie scored on McDavid’s “was it intentional?” drop pass.

    Through his brief NHL career so far, Yamamoto has not been convincing about his finishing.

    Were there any updates on Rattie?

  39. McNuge93 says:

    Woodguy v2.0: He ran a guy’s head into the boards.

    You can’t do that to players in vulnerable positions.

    If that hit happened to any Oiler I’d want a penalty.

    If it happened to McDavid I’d want jail time.

    Yes, totally unnecessary play given they were trying to hold a lead. Stupid penalty.

  40. Jethro Tull says:

    lyleparsons:
    Jethro Tull,

    How do you win if Koski fails?

    Because I’ve been banging the “Koski isn’t good enough for the NHL” drum.

    But I’d rather be wrong and the Oilers win.

  41. Jethro Tull says:

    Woodguy v2.0: No, it was a look at how often all team scored after an ozone faceoff within 10 seconds:

    https://theathletic.com/476461/2018/08/20/dellow-coaches-and-squeezing-value-from-offensive-zone-wins/

    The take away is that is very “coached”

    Thanks. Available pennies and family situation don’t cover the athletic at the moment. But we’ll see what Santa brings. Appreciate the breakdown.

  42. Jethro Tull says:

    Woodguy v2.0: I follow multiple team’s fans on twitter and elsewhere.

    Not just NHL either.

    EDM fans aren’t special, its like this in most place with a rabid fan base.

    The unique thing about EDM is who long the org has been bad with so many high end players coming through (and exiting)

    Watched the game thise morning on NSH home feed. Great commentators. Discussed Oilers problems from both sides – Oilers are seen to rush their youth, bit from necessity. Also pointed out NSH sometime does the same, but has the team strength to be able to do so.

  43. dustrock says:

    Jethro Tull: Watched the game thise morning on NSH home feed. Great commentators. Discussed Oilers problems from both sides – Oilers are seen to rush their youth, bit from necessity. Also pointed out NSH sometime does the same, but has the team strength to be able to do so.

    Did the same. Was a real pleasure.

  44. Professor Q says:

    Wilde:

    Oh also, I don’t know if this has been mentioned but Russell and Nurse are switching sides multiple times in the game. Once I figure out what the concrete triggers for that is, article incoming

    As a note, the London Knights do this often (and also did it last year with Bouchard). Likely many other teams, too. Could Viveiros have brought it from the CHL?

    Is it a new way or tactic for keeping the D fresh and adding perspectives while changing up how the opposition has to deal with you? I have no idea. I look forward to further analysis, as I’ve always wondered the reasoning(s).

  45. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Jethro Tull: Watched the game thise morning on NSH home feed. Great commentators. Discussed Oilers problems from both sides – Oilers are seen to rush their youth, bit from necessity. Also pointed out NSH sometime does the same, but has the team strength to be able to do so.

    Terry Crisp the color guy for NSH.

    He’s pretty good at it.

  46. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Jethro Tull: Thanks. Available pennies and family situation don’t cover the athletic at the moment. But we’ll see what Santa brings. Appreciate the breakdown.

    You can get a year’s subscription for about $3.50/mo right now.

    Ask Santa to click the link LT puts in every post (LT will get credit for the referral as well)

  47. godot10 says:

    Pescador: People are flat out wrong or stupid or both when they blame Yamamoto.
    The chances are there, clean clear looks for McDavid & Co.
    Shooting% is the real culprit
    Watch the game nerds

    At some point, actual production matters.

    They got off zero yesterday, but Yamamoto had nothing to do with it.

    9 games in, with Yamamoto on the top two lines (which is most of his ice time), the Oilers have scored 1 goal.

    Pretty much the same as last year.

    So we are now at 18 games, which is not exactly a small sample size.

  48. €√¥£€^$ says:

    OriginalPouzar: I guess I read the boxscore wrong – or it was wrong.

    Anyways, thanks for the update, as always.

    I’m thinking Vaxjo, and everyone on the team, is feeling the loss of Elias Petersson.

    And William Lagesson

  49. €√¥£€^$ says:

    OriginalPouzar: Montoya wasn’t dressed last night so I wonder if he’s banged up?

    First AHL win for Skinner!

    Yes, I saw that as well, the back-up hasn’t played professionally (ECHL) in 4+ yrs. Luckily the Condor’s emergency ‘tender, although not very impressive at least has a pro resume….curiously the same cannot be said for many NHL teams.

    You’d think each team would keep a good candidate or 2 on some form of retainer/on-call contract and pay them $20-25,000/yr to be on standby just in case. Even have them on staff as a “trainer” while on the road or something.

    Makes good business sense to me, considering hockey should change it’s name to goalie.

  50. Jaxon says:

    Bank Shot: RNH is a guy that is probably on the lower end of shooting % career wise compared to other first line players.

    Maybe his career numbers, but I’m not sure they reflect his current skills. It was fairly well documented that he spent the summer after the 2016-2017 working on his shot and his release to hopefully increase his goal scoring. Since then he has 27 goals in 71 games and 14.92 SH%. That’s a 31 goal rate since he spent a summer working on his shot.

  51. B S says:

    Bank Shot: RNH is a guy that is probably on the lower end of shooting % career wise compared to other first line players.

    11.4%, so above average, Nuge’s shot has long been underrated. his big problem is he doesn’t shoot enough.

    Ovechkin, the greatest goal scorer of this century, shoots at 12.5%

    Matthews, the greatest player to ever put blades on his feet ‘sarcasm’, was shooting at a highly sustainable 26.3% this season (~45% when he put up his 10 goals).

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