The formula for success in Edmonton during the McDavid era is to let the franchise player loose for 20+ minutes and then hope the goalie stops 93 percent of the pucks. In going 2-0-1 in recent games, the goaltending has been showing well. That will be key down the stretch and into next season.
The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of the group. Outstanding offer is here.
- New Lowetide: Edmonton Oilers at the deadline: Buy, sell or both?
- New Jonathan Willis: Jesse Puljujarvi needs a fresh start, but there’s no reason it can’t be in Edmonton
- Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers and the OHL.
- Lowetide: Are the 2018-19 Bakersfield Condors the best Edmonton Oilers affiliate ever?
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘One of the best hockey games ever’: An oral history of the 2014 women’s Olympic gold-medal game.
- Lowetide: How can the Oilers successfully sell the new regime to a fan base that is openly angry?
- Jonathan Willis: Oilers trade deadline primer: Focus should be on moves that make life easier for the next GM
- Lowetide: Cam Talbot’s Oilers career a disappointment save one beautiful spring.
- Jonathan Willis: Edmonton’s trade for Sam Gagner is a gamble well worth making.
- Jonathan Willis: Inside the success of the Bakersfield Condors, and what it means for Edmonton
- Lowetide: The Oilers sure have a lot of problems, but there is a simple solution.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Q&A: Keith Gretzky on the Oilers trade deadline plan, Andrej Sekera’s return and Jesse Puljujarvi’s season
- Lowetide: Oilers’ potential roster upheaval might set a record for summer activity
- Jonathan Willis: Teams should beware of these players at the 2019 NHL trade deadline.
- Lowetide: It’s time for Oilers owner Daryl Katz to stand and deliver a winning organization.
- Lowetide: Entry deal AHL forwards give the Oilers an excellent trade pool.
- Jonathan Willis: An Oilers blueprint for the 2019 NHL free agency period
- Corey Pronman: 2019 NHL Draft midseason rankings
- Jonathan Willis: An Oilers blueprint for the 2019 NHL trade deadline.
- Lowetide: Edmonton’s 2019 entry draft plans may change with new GM but needs are clear
- Lowetide: Complete Oilers top 20 prospects, Winter 2018
OILERS AFTER 62
- Oilers in 2015: 22-34-6, 50 points; goal differential -34
- Oilers in 2016: 33-21-8, 74 points; goal differential +12
- Oilers in 2017: 27-31-4, 58 points; goal differential -33
- Oilers in 2018: 26-29-6, 58 points; goal differential -23
This year’s team remains a close match for last season despite the goal differential. The seven wins the 2016-17 team grabbed by this time are everything.
OILERS IN FEBRUARY
- Oilers in February 2016: 2-10-0, four points; goal differential -22
- Oilers in February 2017: 6-6-0, 12 points; goal differential -1
- Oilers in February 2018: 4-7-1, nine points; goal differential -4
- Oilers in February 2019: 3-5-3, nine points; goal differential -10
WHAT TO EXPECT IN FEBRUARY
- On the road to: Philadelphia, Montreal (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 0-0-2)
- At home to: Chicago (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 0-1-0)
- On the road to: Minnesota (Expected 0-0-1) (Actual 1-0-0)
- At home to: San Jose (Expected 0-1-0) (Actual 0-1-0)
- On the road to: Pittsburgh, Carolina, NY Islanders (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 0-3-0)
- At home to: Arizona, NY Islanders, Anaheim (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 2-0-1)
- On the road to: Nashville, Toronto, Ottawa (Expected 1-2-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
- Overall expected result: 7-6-1, 15 points in 14 games
- Current results: 3-5-3, nine points in 11 games
OILERS ASSETS OUT LIST
Ryan Spooner and Cam Talbot are gone and we’re down to nine names. Two of those are on IR. Edmonton doesn’t have a ton of to give.
- RD Matt Benning. He has one more year after this one, $1.9 million AAV. I believe he’s a bonafide NHL third pairing blue and would prefer he remain in Edmonton.
- R Alex Chiasson. Trade value might be the best in this group.
- R Zack Kassian. Also on the books for another year (at $1.9 million).
- R Jesse Puljujarvi. His injury likely means he won’t be dealt.
- L Kevin Gravel. He doesn’t cost much and he’s good.
- LD Kris Russell. Uncertain he’d waive.
- L Tobias Rieder. He has good speed and can PK.
- R Alex Petrovic. He is a righty blue.
- L Jujhar Khaira. Unlikely he’ll be dealt (injured).
NY Post columnist Larry Brooks published the same general story yesterday. I think this is encouraging. First, the Oilers want a lot to move Puljujarvi, and second there’s a desire to move Milan Lucic before the summer.
- G Mikko Koskinen. $4.5 million for three seasons beginning 2019-20.
- G Anthony Stolarz. $761,250 this season and then an RFA.
- G Shane Starrett. $817,500 this season and then an RFA.
- G Dylan Wells. $745,000 this season, the first year of his entry deal
- G Stuart Skinner. $784,166 this season, the first year of his entry deal.
- LD Oscar Klefbom. $4.167 million through summer 2023.
- LD Darnell Nurse. $3.2 million this and next season.
- LD Andrej Sekera. $5.5 million this year and through 2021 summer. His return has been encouraging.
- LD Brandon Manning. $2.25 million this year and next.
- LD Caleb Jones. $720,000 this and next season.
- LD William Lagesson. $741,666 this season and next.
- LD Keegan Lowe. $675,000 this and next season.
- LD Dmitri Samorukov. His entry level deal starts this fall ($855,833).
- RD Adam Larsson. $4.166 million this season and two more after.
- LD Kris Russell. $4 million this and two more seasons.
- RD Matt Benning. $1.9 million this and next season.
- RD Joel Persson. $1 million next year and then RFA.
- RD Ethan Bear. $720,000 this and next year.
- RD Evan Bouchard. $925,000 entry deal kicks in this fall.
- RD Ryan Mantha. $870,000 next season if he plays.
- LC Connor McDavid. $12.5 million through 2026.
- LC Leon Draisaitl. $8.5 million through 2025 summer.
- LC Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. $6 million this and two seasons after.
- RC Kyle Brodziak. $1.15 million this and next season.
- LC Colby Cave. $675,000 this and next season.
- RC Josh Currie. $687,500 this and next season.
- RC Tyler Vesel. $735,000 this year and then RFA.
- RC Cameron Hebig. $759,166 this and next season.
- LC Colin Larkin. $690,000 and then RFA.
- LW Milan Lucic. $6 million through 2023 summer.
- LW Tobias Rieder. $2 million this season then RFA.
- LW Jujhar Khaira. $675,000 this season then RFA.
- LW Tyler Benson. $808,333 this and the next two seasons.
- LW Joe Gambardella. $725,000 this year then RFA.
- LW Nolan Vesey. $817,500 this and next season.
- LW Ostap Safin. $770,833 entry deal starts in the fall.
- RW Sam Gagner. $3.15 million this and next season.
- RW Zack Kassian. $1.95 million this and next season.
- RW Jesse Puljujarvi. $925,000 this year then RFA.
- RW Ty Rattie. $800,000 this year then RFA.
- RW Cooper Marody. $925,000 this year and the two years after.
- RW Kailer Yamamoto. $894,166 this year and the two years after.
- RW Kirill Maksimov. $770,833 entry deal starts in the fall.
I have not included RFA Robin Norell and all of the UFA’s (Alex Chiasson, Alex Petrovic, Kevin Gravel). Edmonton also has some prospects (Ryan McLeod, Filip Berglund, Hayden Hawkey and Vincent Desharnais) they may want to sign.
BRAND NEW DAY
There are a bunch of things Peter Chiarelli didn’t contemplate that Keith Gretzky and his successor will do in the coming days. It’s human nature. Chiarelli signed Milan Lucic and drafted Jesse Puljujarvi, the new man has no attachment to either player. We probably won’t see those two names exit today, but those stories above tell us the organization is prepared to move on from the PC solutions.
The new general manager will want to construct a roster in his own image (they all do, but this new guy needs to fix this group). I think we can agree there are six players (McDavid, Leon, Nuge, Klefbom, Larsson, Nurse) the new manager can build around, with the understanding that three of them (Nuge, Larsson and Nurse) have contract pressure points a year or two down the road.
I’ll be on beginning at 10, offering my opinions and would love to see your texts at 10-1260.