Game 69 2018-19: Rangers at Oilers

by Lowetide

The first time the NHL Oilers played the New York Rangers, it was Madison Square Garden, October 24, 1979. Rangers won 10-2. By the 11:30 mark of the first period, it was 5-0 NYC. Goals by Ron Greschner, Walt Tkacuk, Donny Murdoch, Ulf Nilsson and Ron Duguay overwhelmed the newcomers. The line of Phil Esposito, Don Maloney and Murdoch combined for seven points. It was not good. There were 13 minor penalties, 12 goals and none came with the man advantage.

THE ATHLETIC!

The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of the group. Outstanding offer is here.

  • New Lowetide: How the emergence of William Lagesson in Bakersfield complicates Edmonton’s 2019-20 depth chart.
  • Jonathan Willis: The Oilers aren’t good, but this group has more potential than teams from the decade of darkness
  • Lowetide: Bob Nicholson’s search continues for the Oilers new tomorrow, but at a leisurely pace.
  • Jonathan Willis: Potential GM candidates and why Edmonton needs to consider those with varied experiences.
  • Lowetide: Identifying Oilers roster needs reveals a familiar list
  • New Daniel Nugent-Bowman: How Leon Draisaitl has found ‘another level’ by matching offensive wizardry with sound positioning.
  • Lowetide: How many future NHL goal scorers are playing for the Bakersfield Condors this season?
  • Lowetide: The career destination for Oilers phenom Jesse Puljujarvi remains unknown.
  • Jonathan Willis: Learning from a flawed argument I made about Leon Draisaitl in 2016.
  • Black Dog Pat: How the Oilers can emerge from the Bob Pulford-like era they’re stuck in.
  • Lowetide: The Oilers’ deadline decisions inform what may come in spring and summer
  • Jonathan Willis: From Mikko Koskinen to Bakersfield, the next two months will reveal a lot about the Oilers
  • Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers and the OHL.
  • Lowetide: Complete Oilers top 20 prospects, Winter 2018

OILERS AFTER 69 GAMES

  • Oilers in 2015: 26-36-7, 59 points; goal differential -33
  • Oilers in 2016: 36-24-9, 81 points; goal differential +16
  • Oilers in 2017: 30-35-4, 64 points; goal differential -36
  • Oilers in 2018: 30-31-7, 67 points; goal differential -21

OILERS IN MARCH

  • Oilers in March 2016: 3-2-0, six points; goal differential 0
  • Oilers in March 2017: 2-2-1, five points; goal differential +4
  • Oilers in March 2018: 3-2-0, four points; goal differential 0
  • Oilers in March 2019: 3-1-0, six points; goal differential +5

WHAT TO EXPECT IN MARCH

  • On the road to: Columbus, Buffalo (Expected 0-1-1) (Actual 2-0-0)
  • At home to: Vancouver, Toronto, NY Rangers, NJD (Expected 2-1-1) (Actual 1-1-0)
  • On the road to: Arizona, Vegas, St. Louis (Expected: 0-2-1) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • At home to: Columbus, Ottawa, Los Angeles, Dallas, Anaheim (Expected: 3-1-1) (Actual)
  • Overall expected result: 5-5-4, 14 points in 14 games
  • Current results: 3-1-0, six points in four games

OILERS 5-ON-5 PER 60 (FORWARDS)

  • I think we can safely list McDavid and Draisaitl as “keepers” for next year, and Nuge + Samwise are also moving the needle. Can the Oilers run with those four men in the top 6F?
  • I like Khaira, Kassian and Chiasson for depth jobs next season, does that work with how you see it?
  • The entire No. 1 line, Gambardella and Currie are probably in the running for playing time next season. Marody’s foot speed is apparently improved, that’s a big damned deal.

I’ll be on the roundtable this morning with Flaming and Andrew Peard, we’ll chat about the Oil Kings past and present, plus a long look at the WHL playoffs.

One of the things the new general manager will need to do is make damn good and sure this never happens again. It reminds me of the period where the Maple Leafs would run Norm Ullman with Paul Henderson and Ron Ellis, leaving Dave Keon to create with Garry Monahan and Guy Trottier. Keon still had an impact, but Toronto was leaving goals on the table because the drop in quality was so severe.

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godot10

Jethro Tull: In Mother Russia you scout the scouts!

You mean Uncle Facebook, Aunt Amazon, and Grandpa Google. Corporate tracking these days dwarfs anything the Stasi did. We are but data serfs for our neofeudal corporate overlords.

Jethro Tull

Ryan: ”When we came into the league [in 1994], there were a couple of national scouting services that every team subscribed to, because it was hard to get tape or film on everybody. So everybody was getting the same reports on the same players. You had your own scouts that would go out and look at things, but it made no sense to us, how the most competitive part of this business, you’re sharing,” Kraft said on the panel, which was moderated by ESPN’s Jackie MacMullan


So we started working on early iterations of a proprietary database. Flash-forward to today, off any mobile device, you can access information about any player on our roster, or anybody we’re scouting, analyzed in our system’s dynamics, and then tracked once they become a pro even if they’re not with us.

What that lets us start to do is see how good our internal scouting metrics were early on. You start to track and see where scouts have strengths and weaknesses. So we know, ‘Maybe Scout X, he nails it on receivers. But on D-linemen, he doesn’t.’ Then you also start to learn things about the players as well …

“Even if the players aren’t with us, as we track them at other teams and how they’re performing relative to the way we thought they’d perform and what their metrics were, it lets you hone your own analytics.”

Kraft stressed the importance of technology in helping the Patriots, noting that the franchise is doing more with sleep, nutrition and fitness, among other areas.

– Ctreate a proprietary database on all players and prospects… you don’t say…

– Recognize that scouting and drafting is the most important part of the business.

– Analytics to analyze scouts… love that.

Thanks for sharing the article.

In Mother Russia you scout the scouts!

Jethro Tull

OriginalPouzar:
The first goal was definitely weak on the goalie – yes, Russell with the ridiculous unforced turnover in the neutral zone (and he may have tipped the shot as well) but it was weak on Mikko.

I”m not sure the 2nd was all that weak – definitely a weak play by Benning and Rieder.

What Koskinen did do was bounce back after that first weak goal and make some solid save when in mattered.Given the weak goal(s), it wasn’t his best performance but, at the end of the day, he didn’t let the weak goal sour him and pile on, he bounced back and gave the team a chance to win – it was an OK game and, in the context of finding out if he can provide stater level play over a long period of time, it was a check mark.

I don’t know OP. This is almost “he’s clutch” territory. Almost.

Goalies should make the saves they should make. Sounds stupid, but to me, giving your team a chance to win is being average. Good saves don’t cancel out glaring deficiencies. Neither do hockey cliches like “works hard in practice” etc.

Ryan

godot10:
The New England Patriots and analytics…

http://www.espn.com/blog/new-england-patriots/post/_/id/4817050/patriots-take-pride-in-their-use-of-analytics-to-help-scouting

Somebody send that like to Katz and Nicholson.

”When we came into the league [in 1994], there were a couple of national scouting services that every team subscribed to, because it was hard to get tape or film on everybody. So everybody was getting the same reports on the same players. You had your own scouts that would go out and look at things, but it made no sense to us, how the most competitive part of this business, you’re sharing,” Kraft said on the panel, which was moderated by ESPN’s Jackie MacMullan

So we started working on early iterations of a proprietary database. Flash-forward to today, off any mobile device, you can access information about any player on our roster, or anybody we’re scouting, analyzed in our system’s dynamics, and then tracked once they become a pro even if they’re not with us.

What that lets us start to do is see how good our internal scouting metrics were early on. You start to track and see where scouts have strengths and weaknesses. So we know, ‘Maybe Scout X, he nails it on receivers. But on D-linemen, he doesn’t.’ Then you also start to learn things about the players as well …

“Even if the players aren’t with us, as we track them at other teams and how they’re performing relative to the way we thought they’d perform and what their metrics were, it lets you hone your own analytics.”

Kraft stressed the importance of technology in helping the Patriots, noting that the franchise is doing more with sleep, nutrition and fitness, among other areas.

– Ctreate a proprietary database on all players and prospects… you don’t say…

– Recognize that scouting and drafting is the most important part of the business.

– Analytics to analyze scouts… love that.

Thanks for sharing the article.

OriginalPouzar

Sekera up to 23 plus minutes last night with Klef leaving the game and he was very good.

That was a good test last night for Reggie and, once again, he passed – showing that its looking pretty darn good that he’s essentially back to his pre-injury self. Not quite there yet but on the way.

This is going to be huge for next year.

OriginalPouzar

Anxiously wait for an update on Klefbom’s health……

Its going to be a few hours, probably not until around 11-12 but I’m waiting….

lenko

Glovjuice,

Glovjuice: Get your glove down, Klef. Wake up man. Come on.

Fingers are in glove!

frjohnk

Draisaitl and McDavid line at even strength have a GF/60 of 5.05!!!!!

Point and Kucherov line have a GF/60 of 4.32.

Tavares and Marner line have a GF/60 of 4.64

Backstrom and Ovechkin line have a GF/60 of 4.26

Kane and Toews line have a GF/60 of 4.24

Crosby and Guenztel line have a GF/60 of 4.24. Malkin/kessel small sample but both are over 7 with Crosby

Monahan and Gaudreau line have a GF/60 of 3.74.

Crazy how good Drai and McDavid have been together this year. If Oilers make the playoffs, they both deserve the MVP award

jake70

I’m cherry picking because they could easily have lost a couple games here and there but I think of those 2 games vs Flames and G-Knights where they blew leads, 4 points right there, puts them one back everything else happening as it did since of course.

Reja

Zelepukin:
Welp, 13 games left and we’re about to find out whether Gretzky and Messier can carry a team into the playoffs all by themselves.

Least they had wingers we have to be close or winning the race as a group to having the lowest scoring totals by wingers combined in the modern era.

OriginalPouzar

Jethro Tull:
I think Koski should have had both those goals….

Reja: He got the W that’s all that matters.

The first goal was definitely weak on the goalie – yes, Russell with the ridiculous unforced turnover in the neutral zone (and he may have tipped the shot as well) but it was weak on Mikko.

I”m not sure the 2nd was all that weak – definitely a weak play by Benning and Rieder.

What Koskinen did do was bounce back after that first weak goal and make some solid save when in mattered. Given the weak goal(s), it wasn’t his best performance but, at the end of the day, he didn’t let the weak goal sour him and pile on, he bounced back and gave the team a chance to win – it was an OK game and, in the context of finding out if he can provide stater level play over a long period of time, it was a check mark.

godot10

The New England Patriots and analytics…

http://www.espn.com/blog/new-england-patriots/post/_/id/4817050/patriots-take-pride-in-their-use-of-analytics-to-help-scouting

Somebody send that like to Katz and Nicholson.

Zelepukin

Welp, 13 games left and we’re about to find out whether Gretzky and Messier can carry a team into the playoffs all by themselves.

Reja

Jethro Tull:
I think Koski should have had both those goals….

He got the W that’s all that matters.

Reja

Crazy Pedestrian:
Oilers still kinda in it, and every other wildcard team lost, but now CHI had entered the Frey as well. Out of EDM, CHI, COL, and ARI, who has the best chance to supplant the Wild. Even though CHI just stomp them, I vote ARI. They have the Easiest schedule out of the four.
Here are the oilers’ remaining games (tough games in asterisks, the more asterisks, the harder the game):

NJD (home)
*ARI (away)
**VGK (away)
**STL (away)
*CBJ (home)OTT (home)
LA (home)
**DAL (home)
ANA (home)
**VGK (away)
*COL (away)
***SJS*** (home) (they’ve owned our souls for 2 seasons)
**CGY** (away)

Last two games against top notch teams in SJS and FLames (spits)

The last 3 out of 4 games they’ll be resting their players unless it’s for home ice.

Jethro Tull

Don’t forget our mantra: A shitty team is going to make the playoffs, why not us!

Jethro Tull

I think Koski should have had both those goals….

Crazy Pedestrian

Oilers still kinda in it, and every other wildcard team lost, but now CHI had entered the Frey as well. Out of EDM, CHI, COL, and ARI, who has the best chance to supplant the Wild. Even though CHI just stomp them, I vote ARI. They have the Easiest schedule out of the four.
Here are the oilers’ remaining games (tough games in asterisks, the more asterisks, the harder the game):

NJD (home)
*ARI (away)
**VGK (away)
**STL (away)
*CBJ (home)
OTT (home)
LA (home)
**DAL (home)
ANA (home)
**VGK (away)
*COL (away)
***SJS*** (home) (they’ve owned our souls for 2 seasons)
**CGY** (away)

Last two games against top notch teams in SJS and FLames (spits)

Bulging Twine

Reja: He might have to start using the third washroom in the dressing room.

hahah

Jethro Tull

Ben:
Lucic really quiets the game down. If he’d played tonight Oscar would still have testicles.

Spectacles, testicles, wallet and watch. The gentleman’s check list.

Ben

Lucic really quiets the game down. If he’d played tonight Oscar would still have testicles.

Victoria Oil

OriginalPouzar:
Go San Jose

Go Chicago

Go Carolina

Go Oilers

OP – you called it!

Reja

norm_klassen:
13 games left/ 9-3-1 and a prayer light might do er

10-2-1 looks better.

norm_klassen

13 games left/ 9-3-1 and a prayer light might do er

Reja

BONE207: Can you say gender free?

I’m old I can’t keep up with the meonly and you young kids new hip hop sayings everyday.

BONE207

striatic: Explode his other hand and be out a month? As much as it pains me to say it, I’d rather he just take it in the junk.

Better him than me, for sure. I’ve got enough issues…

striatic

Glovjuice: Get your glove down, Klef. Wake up man. Come on.

Explode his other hand and be out a month? As much as it pains me to say it, I’d rather he just take it in the junk.

Gerta Rauss

Rebillled:

Lipservice usually gets that up and running again yes.

lol

Glovjuice

who: I think his body is pretty aware he got a slapshot in the junk!
Are we really going to blame this on his hockey IQ? Or on his fragile body?

Get your glove down, Klef. Wake up man. Come on.

Rebillled

OriginalPouzar,

Lipservice usually gets that up and running again yes.

BONE207

OriginalPouzar:
“We won’t know on Klef until tomorrow, we think he’s going to be OK”.

Lipservice!

Who’s lips & what service???

OriginalPouzar

“We won’t know on Klef until tomorrow, we think he’s going to be OK”.

Lipservice!

who

Glovjuice: I know. His “value” contract is commensurate with the games he actually plays.He only deserves 4.1 for how much he actually suits up. Is he a frickin puck magnet ? I say it’s a hockey IQ and body awareness issue but I know I will get ripped for that assessment.

I think his body is pretty aware he got a slapshot in the junk!
Are we really going to blame this on his hockey IQ? Or on his fragile body?

BONE207

Reja: He might have to start using the third washroom in the dressing room.

Can you say gender free?

Chief Inspector

Chief Inspector,

Chief Inspector:

Reja: He might have to start using the third washroom in the dressing room.

Savage!

hunter1909

Bulging Twine:
welp.5 points back.Game in hand.If they win that.3 points back (in case you couldn’t figure that one – i did the math there for you) with 12 games to play.

Say Minny goes 7-5.We’d have to get 18 points in 12 games.9 and 3

Seems more like a series of single game elimination rounds ahead. They need to win 7 games in a row just to take a breath at this point.

hunter1909

Reja: Trade came out of nowhere maybe he got homesick and they obliged by trading him.

Like summer camp huh?

Reja

OriginalPouzar:
Waiting for Hitch’s post-game to see if there is an update on Klef.

He might have to start using the third washroom in the dressing room.

Bulging Twine

welp. 5 points back. Game in hand. If they win that. 3 points back (in case you couldn’t figure that one – i did the math there for you) with 12 games to play.

Say Minny goes 7-5. We’d have to get 18 points in 12 games. 9 and 3

Reja

hunter1909:
Strome seemed like a pretty good player. Why did they trade him?

Trade came out of nowhere maybe he got homesick and they obliged by trading him.

OriginalPouzar

Waiting for Hitch’s post-game to see if there is an update on Klef.

Dicky94

Lowetide,

Hopefully his can was the same brand as Hendricks.

BONE207

Lowetide:
Good win for the boys Well, not for Klefbom’s boys, but the other boys.

I wonder if he posts a cup picture ala Hendricks

oilersfan

And McDavid takes second place and Draisaitl ahead of Crosby for fourth place in the NHL.
Too bad he’s so lazy

If only we had our Malkin

striatic

Now to wait and find out how bad Klefbom’s injury is.

Dicky94

OriginalPouzar,

Finally get some needed help from other teams. On to the next best of one game series!

oilersfan

Next time the oilers get a 5×3 they should just put 3 players out there, the other two get in the way

Glovjuice

BONE207: As he meekly raises his arm…oops

…and the meek shall inherit the earth….

Reja

Leon the maschine keeps our slim of slimmest playoff hopes alive.