Early Morning Rain

I called last season “possibly the most disappointing season in Oilers’ history” but to be honest this one is more painful. Daryl Katz is the owner. Remember that old line I used to use about players gaining experience? Some had five years experience after five seasons, others had one year’s experience five times? I believe the scouting report on the Oilers owner and his 10+ years at the helm leaves us with just one conclusion to draw. Tell me again why you think this time will be different?

THE ATHLETIC

The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of the group. INSANE NEW OFFER IS HERE!

  • New Lowetide: How winning the draft lottery and drafting Jack Hughes could transform the Oilers.
  • New Lowetide: The Oilers have a trio of Condors blue pushing and all three are tracking well. How does this group compare to the Petry, Chorney, Wild college men from a decade ago?
  • New Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers, the republic of Finland and the 2019 draft.
  • New Lowetide: Will the new GM continue the Oilers aggressive pursuit of college free agents?
  • New Jonathan Willis: Connor McDavid’s frustration should be seen by the Oilers as a warning of possible disaster.
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers have another problem to solve: Lifting the cloud over a clearly frustrated Connor McDavid
  • Lowetide: What’s going on with Connor McDavid’s with or without you numbers?
  • New Daniel Nugent-Bowman: The four blows that set up the knockout of the Oilers from playoff contention.
  • New Jonathan Willis: The Oilers’ failures of 2018-19 will cost people their careers.
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Chipped teeth, playing DJ and lots of Game of Thrones: A week in the life of Darnell Nurse.
  • New Lowetide: Kailer Yamamoto’s first pro season a cause for concern.
  • Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers and the giant talent pool that is the USHL.
  • Lowetide: How the Oilers can shop for a big bang on a small budget
  • Jonathan Willis: How the Oilers can turn their prospect depth into the blueline of a contender.
  • Lowetide: What Mark Hunter’s draft record in Toronto means for his Oilers GM candidacy.
  • Lowetide: The Oilers made a rare move and shopped the QMJHL at the 2018 draft. It could happen again.
  • Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers draft early, the WHL is loaded and there’s a lot of history.
  • Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers and the OHL.

50-MAN (LONG FORM)


  • Although the roster sits at 42, you can cull this herd plenty. Ryan Mantha, Tobias Rieder, Tyler Vesel, Colin Larkin, Ty Rattie may not get qualified. I believe Jesse Puljujarvi (RFA) will be traded.
  • Edmonton may sign UFA Alex Chiasson.
  • Hayden Hawkey, Ryan McLeod and John Marino either have to or can be signed this spring.
  • I think the actual number is around 40 men on the 50-man list at this time. Plenty of room to wheel.

TODAY’S MEDIA AVAIL

I doubt there will be much news today, the Oilers aren’t going to hire a coach (Kris Knoblauch is my guess) until the new general manager (I’ll go with Pat Verbeek) is in place.

Today’s avail will be about due diligence on the general manager over the summer, about comfort level with Keith Gretzky running the draft (btw, if I’m Gretzky and don’t get a piece of the future action, I’m gone).

That’s if things go according to Hoyle. I won’t 100 percent discount the possibility management is already enamored with someone. I don’t think we’ll see an announcement a week from now but it isn’t impossible.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

I’m on the round table this morning with Dusty, Eric, Tom Gazzola and Matt Iwanyk. We’ll do the Oilers postmortem. At 10, we’ll carry the media avail and then names like Ryan Rishaug and Jason Gregor will chime in. 10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Oh, and one more thing: Lottery tomorrow! I’ll have an updated draft list. In the meantime, you might want to read my latest on the 2019 draft here.

written by

The author didn‘t add any Information to his profile yet.
Related Posts

226 Responses to "Early Morning Rain"

« Older Comments
  1. Reja says:

    Decidedly Skeptical Fan: When CBJ passed, it was a HUGE red flag. Tkachuk became the safe pick at that point, very low bust potential.

    Life goes on.

    Dump some cap get a half decent backup and acquire at least one or two scoring wingers through trades. It’s not Rocket Science we will be a Playoff Team next year none of this bullshit nonsense of a semi rebuild. i will put some of the money I won back in the OBC heyday at the start of the year with anyone that thinks otherwise I also will put a side bet on kosh save percentage. It’s only five plus months till opening day

  2. JimmyV1965 says:

    OriginalPouzar: He is AHL eligible next year and I don’t imagine any scenario where he isn’t there after camp this coming season.

    Overage in the OHL simply doesn’t make sense for this player and there is almost no reasonable conclusion that has him NHL ready this coming year.

    Why doesn’t it make sense for McLeod to spend another year in junior? It’s not like he ripped the cover off the ball this season.

  3. Bulging Twine says:

    Eberle back in the playoffs. A chance to redeem his playoff record – in time for a new contract. Let’s see how he does

  4. Bulging Twine says:

    I liked STL until I saw their second line center: Oscar Sundqvist. Not too sure that is going to do it.

    Winnipeg is tough to predict right now. Bad GAA since Jan. Injury concerns: how healthy are Morrissey and Byfuglien? Tanev is out at least to start. Laine real poor second half.

    Not loving Oscar Sundqvist though in an important position

  5. digger50 says:

    Alpine:
    Bos8,

    Lagesson just turned 23 in February. He was playing in sweden’s junior league, the SuperElit, in his draft. He did one year in the USHL, two years in the NCAA, one year in the SHL, and one year in the AHL.

    When should they have given him a look? Right out of college? He would have missed a prime development season in the SHL.

    The last few games of this season, paired with Sekera.

  6. Reja says:

    Bulging Twine:
    I liked STL until I saw their second line center:Oscar Sundqvist.Not too sure that is going to do it.

    Winnipeg is tough to predict right now.Bad GAA since Jan.Injury concerns:how healthy are Morrissey and Byfuglien?Tanev is out at least to start.Laine real poor second half.

    Not loving Oscar Sundqvist though in an important position

    St. Louis best team in the western Conference second half the jets have been flying under the radar don’t ever think the experience they received last year is not a edge for them. The Jets roll in 6 games

  7. digger50 says:

    Bouchard was specifically targeted by the Oilers because he is older, appeared to have maturity and they felt he was the most NHL ready. They wanted the fast track.

    They were going to trade up to get him.

    He’s got a real shot at a roster spot next year.

  8. Bulging Twine says:

    Reja: St. Louis best team in the western Conference second half the jets have been flying under the radar don’t ever think the experience they received last year is not a edge for them.The Jets roll in 6 games

    They’ll be tempted to play O’Reilly 30 minutes a night. He’ll be up against Schieffele, those will be tough minutes. Plus he penalty kills. Tough playoff minutes against a big physical team.

  9. Bulging Twine says:

    I don’t know that KGretzky has the analytics/sport science proficiency that Nicholson is looking for.

  10. digger50 says:

    The Oilers with two elite players should be able to reach 51 percentile and get in the playoffs. No excuse not to. Getting past that mark and into contention can also happen but much harder.

    Still, given that everything has gone wrong the past two seasons, it is quite possable they hit on three successfu newl wingers.

  11. Gerta Rauss says:

    Bulging Twine:
    I don’t know that KGretzky has the analytics/sport science proficiency that Nicholson is looking for.

    You’d hope that the Oilers would create a role/department and would hire professionals in these field(s), and they would parse the data and make the results available to the GM/management

  12. OriginalPouzar says:

    Glovjuice: So, how was the Sushi master?

    Just finished actually – pretty damn magnificent meal.

    Not sure I’d pay 4 bills for it again but glad for the experience.

  13. JimmyV1965 says:

    hunter1909: Kassian played like a 4th liner until they put him with McDavid.

    Prior to joining the Oilers Kassian was almost out of the NHL. I’m happy to call managementstupid as anyone, but not in Kassian’s case because they saved his career and very likely the man himself.

    Kassian is not a top six forward. He shows glimpses of skill, but like many third liners he is terribly inconsistent. He has never produced elite offence at any level, including junior. He works with McDavid and Drai. Many players don’t. We have many bigger problems to solve on this team so it’s not an issue if he starts the season there. He’s a good stopgap on that line, but eventually he should be playing on the third line.

  14. pts2pndr says:

    Reja: Everyone is on the market except Connor Leon Bouchard and Benson. This group should have made the playoffs the last two years they know it the OBC knows it and so do l. Whose fault is itwhose playing the game why is everything blamed on someone else. Comparing Katz to Ballard is complete nonsense why didn’t we take Tkachuk he was there had the blood lines and hands instead we pick Jesse nobody knows how involved his agent is but when they picked him it was to step in immediately and put the puck in the fuking net like every pick in the top 7 or lightning it up except Jesse. Whosefault is it generation millennia please enlighten me.

    What you say is true assuming when you move a player you improve the team. If you bleed talent in a trade the team does not get better. In the near future we should have a surplus of D of NHL quality. If we trade any of McDavid, Draisaitl, Nuge, Larsson, Klefbom, Nurse it would be hard to impossible to get enough value back to actually make the team better for next season. Moving any or all of Lucic Sekera or Russel give us cap space plus we have internal cheaper options that are cheaper.

  15. hunter1909 says:

    JimmyV1965: Kassian is not a top six forward. He shows glimpses of skill, but like many third liners he is terribly inconsistent.He has never produced elite offence at any level, including junior. He works with McDavid and Drai. Many players don’t. We have many bigger problems to solve on this team so it’s not an issue if he starts the season there. He’s a good stopgap on that line, but eventually he should be playing on the third line.

    Bang on. Kassian is no more a 1st line player as any other bottom 6er but so long as he can hang with McDavid why worry about him.

    I like Kassian as much as anyone but he has to produce a little; otherwise he’s another waste of roster space.

  16. Genjutsu says:

    Ryan: Bah, that’s all pandering and lip service to thehoi polloi.

    He’s got eyeballs. Nicholson who’s about as qualified as I am to hire the next Oilers GM, is looking for eyeballs.

    Really don’t know you from Adam but you must have a pretty hefty hockey resume.

  17. ArmchairGM says:

    JimmyV1965: If the Oilers don’t make meaningful changes this summer, the team will be amongst the worst in the league. What’s the point in keeping RNH? So we finish 26 rather than 30th? To be clear, I don’t want to trade RNH.I want the team to make meaningful changes.But if we simply nibble around the edges, it’s best trade RNH with two years left on his deal, rather than one. You either embrace the slow rebuild and trade potential UFAs or you make meaningful changes.

    There is no possibility of a “slow rebuild” here, that’s not even on the table. A slow rebuild is for the LA Kings, not for a team where ALL of the core players are in or entering their prime.

  18. meanashell11 says:

    OriginalPouzar: Just finished actually – pretty damn magnificent meal.

    Not sure I’d pay 4 bills for it again but glad for the experience.

    Same meal in NYC will set you back $600.

    OP, I was in Tokyo last summer and know a couple of good places that are in the 70-130 range if you care. The sushi boat places are not bad as long as you choose wisely! What part of the city are you staying in?

  19. ArmchairGM says:

    Where is NYC Backpacker when you need him?! That guy knows the best haunts in Japan.

  20. Glovjuice says:

    OriginalPouzar: Just finished actually – pretty damn magnificent meal.

    Not sure I’d pay 4 bills for it again but glad for the experience.

    Cool. Diminishing returns and all but fun once, I suppose. Any place that is patronized by 70 % out of city guests is gonna be awesome in a place like Tokyo. But, for that specific cuisine, better bang for buck (by a lot) at a place the 94 year old residents eat at.

  21. Pouzar says:

    I’ve got the Blues over the Jets.
    The latter has been one of the worse teams in the NHL down the stretch.

    https://www.tsn.ca/offence-wins-championships-in-today-s-nhl-1.1283220

    “The Jets over the last 25-games sit 24th in Corsi%, 30th in Scoring Chance%, 20th in Goal%, and 23rd in Point%.”

  22. Professor Q says:

    McLellan meeting with the Sabres?

    Could he finally get it right with Eichel?

  23. Professor Q says:

    ArmchairGM:
    Where is NYC Backpacker when you need him?! That guy knows the best haunts in Japan.

    You try to stay away from haunts in Japan, though. You stay away from that forest, especially, and never look back.

  24. OriginalPouzar says:

    meanashell11: Same meal in NYC will set you back $600.

    OP, I was in Tokyo last summer and know a couple of good places that are in the 70-130 range if you care. The sushi boat places are not bad as long as you choose wisely! What part of the city are you staying in?

    Shinjinku areA

  25. godot10 says:

    JimmyV1965: Why doesn’t it make sense for McLeod to spend another year in junior? It’s not like he ripped the cover off the ball this season.

    2nd round picks who become overagers in the CHL are basically busts.

  26. godot10 says:

    digger50:
    Bouchard was specifically targeted by the Oilers because he is older, appeared to have maturity and they felt he was the most NHL ready. They wanted the fast track.

    They were going to trade up to get him.

    He’s got a real shot at a roster spot next year.

    They shouldn’t consider him for the roster until after the Christmas break. The right thing to do is the AHL until at least then, and the full year would be better yet.

« Older Comments

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!
© Copyright - Lowetide.ca