In the cap NHL, a player who can fill an important role (top six F, No. 3 C, top 4D, starting goalie) is worth his weight in gold. Edmonton’s 2019-20 value contracts are neither abundant or obvious, making the season in Bakersfield even more important. Edmonton needs value contracts, how many Condors can convert to the NHL?
I like to use NHLE’s to estimate quality, and the Oilers have been improving over recent seasons. Last year, there were six forwards over 30 NHLE, as well as two defensemen. How many this year?
The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of the group.INSANE NEW OFFER IS HERE!
- New Lowetide: How high can these Condors fly?
- Lowetide: Ron Hextall’s patient approach as GM would be shock to Oilers’ system
- Jonathan Willis: Michael Futa’s success at the NHL Draft makes him a credible GM candidate for the Oilers
- Lowetide: The Oilers possible summer trade pieces, and which longtime players might be saying goodbye.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Ten prospects likely to be available when the Oilers make their first-round pick.
- Jonathan Willis: Bob Nicholson mostly says the right things, but stalls on making changes to the Oilers.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: The pressure’s squarely on Bob Nicholson to make right GM hire for Oilers.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers Report Cards: Few passing grades remain in season full of failure.
- Lowetide: How winning the draft lottery and drafting Jack Hughes could transform the Oilers.
- Lowetide: The Oilers have a trio of Condors blue pushing and all three are tracking well. How does this group compare to the Petry, Chorney, Wild college men from a decade ago?
- Jonathan Willis: Connor McDavid’s frustration should be seen by the Oilers as a warning of possible disaster.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers have another problem to solve: Lifting the cloud over a clearly frustrated Connor McDavid
- Lowetide: What Mark Hunter’s draft record in Toronto means for his Oilers GM candidacy.
- Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers, the republic of Finland and the 2019 draft.
- Lowetide: The Oilers made a rare move and shopped the QMJHL at the 2018 draft. It could happen again.
- Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers draft early, the WHL is loaded and there’s a lot of history.
- Lowetide: The Edmonton Oilers and the OHL.
COMPLETE NHLE 2018-19 FORWARDS
- Marody’s 44 points is well clear of last year’s top number (Kailer Yamamoto, 39.6) and the highest NHLE since the Oilers drafted McDavid in 2015 (63).
- Marody’s 44 NHLE was matched by Drake Caggiula when he signed with the Oilers. Both were 21 in the years in question.
- Benson is in an area many AHL forwards reach, but not at 20 (at least Oilers prospects). Andrew Miller was 35 NHLE in 2015, but he was 25.
- Joe Gambardella and Josh Currie are two forwards who might be able to catch on as value contracts who can PK and score some.
- Kirill Maksimov showed very well, but some juniors have a tough time producing offense in the first season AHL.
- Kailer Yamamoto had injury issues, but this was a disappointing step down in NHLE.
- Ryan McLeod’s draft +1 is beyond Marco Roy (20) in his draft +1 season, but he production is disappointing. He needs to post more offense.
- This is the secondary offensive group. Safin had an injury riddled campaign, suspect he’ll be at the big table next Easter.
- I like Hebig, suspect he’ll have a strong second season in the AHL.
- Polei is another favourite.
- McPhee and Rasanen were part of the power outage at Boston College, both need to have better seasons in 2019-20.
- I don’t have an NHLE for Patrik Siikanen, so he isn’t listed here.
COMPLETE NHLE 2018-19 DEFENSE
- Bouchard’s draft +1 number, like his draft NHLE, is outstanding. Defensemen are tough to project. Darnell Nurse had a draft +1 NHLE of 19, and just posted 41 points in the NHL. Boxcars depend on feature role, same as it ever was. That said, Bouchard looks terrific.
- Joel Persson arrives this fall with expectations. A lot of smart people believe he’ll have an impact. NHLE concurs.
- Bear, Jones and Lagesson look like they are ready. Impossible for all of them to ascend to the NHL (with Bouchard and Persson), expect a cull sometime before April 2020.
- Samorukov had a splendid year. He could pass a lot of people now that turns pro. It might take an adjustment year but you get the feeling he might arrive well before projection.
- Michael Kesselring stepped up in a big way after the trade. A very raw player, his spike late is encouraging.
- Berglund’s offense went down but his TOI increased to 19:02 from 17:03. His 5-on-5 goal differential fell to 29-28 from 34-23 a year ago. I’m not certain when or if he’ll come over, Oilers have until June 1, 2020 to get him signed.
- Desharnais is a shutdown defenseman and his college career is over. Edmonton will need to sign him (and goalie Hayden Hawkey) by August 15 of this year. I suspect Edmonton will try to sign Hawkey.
- John Marino has spiked as a player and appears to be returning for his senior season. That’s probably bad news for Edmonton. Mark Divver broke the news.
- Phil Kemp is another fine defensive prospect matriculating well.
Interesting tweet. One of the things Edmonton’s new general manager would probably pursue is trade ideas surrounding some of the team’s higher cap earners. The injury to Lucic could impact things.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
At 10 this morning, we hit the air with an actual mountain of news to discuss. TSN1260, scheduled to appear:
- Marck Zecchino, Golf Talk Canada. Tiger wins! A massive sports story.
- Jason Gregor, TSN1260. Lucic, Oilers GM, Tiger.
10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. See you on the radio!