You Win Again

by Lowetide

If you’ve been having difficulty getting on to the Lowetide blog, my apologies. There’s a glitch, we’re working on it and will hopefully have a solution in the coming hours.

For this morning, I wanted to give a (very) quick review of last night’s game, and some things we should be paying attention to in the coming days.

THE ATHLETIC!

Mike Smith had a fantastic game, even with the late goal that sent it to overtime. Stuff happens, and his save percentage on the evening (.947) an accurate reflection of his performance. Natural Stat Trick had him stopping 11 of 11 high danger chances, and I’ll buy it. Outstanding game. 

On defense, Darnell Nurse played 32:24, picked up an assist, and managed the chaos. He was exposed (all defensemen had “moments” last night) a couple of times but the overall performance was positive on apple turnover night for the No. 1 line. Tyson Barrie, who was a true chaos blue, was less successful on the night and coach Dave Tippett eventually checked down to Evan Bouchard on Nurse’s pairing. 

The Keith-Ceci pairing were a mixed bag, outlet passes for allowed breakaways can’t be a thing all year. Ceci sent a lovely pass to Kailer Yamamoto for a breakaway (the defense on both sides last night was uneven) and Keith made some good passes plus played a rugged game. The duo was on the ice for 12:40, going 4-3 shots (this is five on five) and no goals. 

Kris Russell and Evan Bouchard played 11:19 together, winning the shot share 9-6 and were 5-2 in HDSC’s. That’s a welcome push from the third pairing, although I think Bouchard may slide up the depth chart sooner than later. 

Bouchard was effective  in all areas, B Curlock on twitter mentioned to me that in-house Bouchard’s PK work was sublime. He hit the crossbar with one of those flutter pucks from the blue line, the man is Inspector Gadget with the puck on his stick. Russell played well, seemed to miss a few shifts (as did Duncan Keith). 

The top line was brilliant (the first goal was gorgeous, second one too) and clumsy, with turnovers by the score. Need to tighten that up, but you can count on it happening by Saturday. Leon Draisaitl was charged with two giveaways, it felt like more. Jesse Puljujarvi was damned brilliant, six shots, a goal and tireless forechecking. McDavid had two assists and did well considering how little space he had on the night. 

The third line (Warren Foegele-Derek Ryan-Colton Sceviour) won the shot battle five on five and had a couple of semi-promising moments. Here are the time on ice totals for each line and the shot differentials: 

  1. McDavid line 16:55, 11-12 shots
  2. Nuge line 10:10, 8-3 shots
  3. Ryan line 6:06, 5-4 shots
  4. McLeod line 4:42, 2-2 shots 

It was a good effort, the game went as expected (I predicted 3-2 on the Lowdown) and there are things to work on. You’re going to see plenty of bragging online (“I told you Keith-Ceci would be fine!”) but please understand there isn’t enough sample to make any conclusions that are trustworthy. 
The Oilers won. That is the one fact you can trust. 

WHAT TO EXPECT IN OCTOBER

  • At home to: VCR, CAL, ANA (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • On the road to: ARI, VEG (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • At home to: PHI (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • On the road to: VCR (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 5-2-0, 10 points in seven games
  • Actual results: 1-0-0, two points in one game

The final score could have been 2-1, the Oilers need to work on the button-down third periods. There’s lot of talent there, looked passive in the final 20 and it cost them. Two points is two points just like 10 bucks is 10 bucks.


Lowdown with Lowetide 

We’ll be talking Oilers and Canadian Men’s Soccer today, plus looking forward to the big MLB game tonight. 


The blog

We’ve reached a stage where the blog is so glitchy I’m going to need some drastic action. It isn’t the fault of the provider, it’s the fact this blog is a gigantic ship on the ocean in terms of posters visiting, lingering, coming back and posting. That’s a good thing, that’s a dream for any blog, but the nuts and bolts of the Al Gore have conspired to limit the old rust bucket’s progress. 


So, we ponder, and we will act. I don’t know which way the wind blows but am looking for clear skies and calm seas. When I find it, I’ll shout it from the bridge! Sincere apologies for the inconvenience. 

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ArmchairGM

Tyson Barrie, who was a true chaos blue, was less successful on the night and coach Dave Tippett eventually checked down to Evan Bouchard on Nurse’s pairing. 

Well, that didn’t take long.

AsiaOil

Nurse is a 1D who needs a competent two way partner who leans defense first. Ceci could be that guy. If he can handle a secondary role on the top pair better than Barrie, then we might be able to do this by mid-season:

Nurse Ceci
Keith Bouchard
Koekkoek Barrie

Bouchard could learn a ton from Keith and Barrie could help tear up bottom lines.

Bank Shot

If Bouchard takes off this year I think a trade is in Barrie’s future. He could be part of a deadline deal for a better D.

theDjdj

The team seems to really like Barrie. I doubt he gets dealt.

Reja

Don’t you know Barrie is Holland’s new Mike Green. Barrie has one bad game and he’s getting traded after just signing a team friendly deal. I can’t see it happening until the trade deadline in three years.

OriginalPouzar

May I ask why Nurse “needs” this type of partner given his game and results last year playing mainly with Barrie?

hunter1909

Re Oilers performance Game One…

Overall the team looks improved. The defence in particular although the forwards have a lot more going for them than last season’s edition.

Goal the only issue to lose sleep worrying about.

Prognosis: Oilers go on to an easy 107 point season total (or MORE).

Ken Holland on opening night compared to last year’s 0-4 team B+

Ryan

The web hosting issue…

Lots of great suggestions from people here.

Whatever money LT ekes out of this website, it’s not nearly enough for what he gives to us and it’s certainly not nearly as much as many here are imagining. It’s also none of my business.

I had a brief foray, as a hobby in the web publishing world. I sold my flagship website back in 2013 which not coincidentally was the year that became no longer lucrative to run a website that generated revenue from ads. The market for ads on websites basically died in 2013.

People hear of celebrity bloggers and millionaire bloggers, that’s mostly dead for this medium. There was a time and a place for that. It was 2008.

Spoiler alert: LT’s not getting rich off the ads on his website.

Now the lucrative areas have moved onto YouTubers and Instagram influencers.

There is a cost to keeping the lights on, here folks.

Many of us, myself included, were greatly dissatisfied when the lights when out before and including the season opener.

Now is the time if you value this website to help support it, for those who can afford to do so.

Not to say, “hey, I”ll do this or that, just ask.”

You think LT’s going to run around trying to personally collect from every poster here?

That’s not fair and you know it.

Now, I’m not just another asshole telling people what to do.

The last time this website was half dead, I stepped up and spent time and money out of my own pocket to fix this website to the best of my ability. I’ve done what I can to get us this far, but we’re at a point where there are hosting issues that are going to be expensive to resolve.

If you’re motivated, willing, and able to help, the Paypal button is in yellow on the right column.

Chief Inspector

Done. More than worth it.

Harpers Hair

Ryan…as you point out, the issue is obviously hosting and Go Daddy obviously cannot handle this.

I’ve done business with them in the past and while they are friendly and all, they are mainly motivated by revenue not taking care of their clients’ needs.

I applaud you for all the work you’ve done here as I have built dozens of websites for my company and clients and know what’s involved.

I’m sure there are enough posters (me included) here who would be more than willing to underwrite any additional costs to keep Lowetide up and not only running but thriving but it would be helpful to know what the plan is and what it will take to accomplish.

Ryan

First, let’s start with me. I’m just a consumer of this website no different than anyone else here except that I’ve jumped in to help.

Right now, it’s all hands on deck.

In the past, I managed a network of websites serving about 350,000 unique monthly page views that I ran and maintained myself on a private server. I coded a WordPress theme eons ago and I am fairly well-versed on that side of things. I don’t work in this field and I am self-taught.

I am certain that there are many posters here who actually work in this field, whose expertise would blow mine out of the water.

From my experience, there are ways of estimating hosting requirements, but those estimates are inaccurate when you have issues like many logged-in users. It’s still a trial and error hosting process. Try a hosting plan, if it overloads the server, you have to move up the ladder.

I am not a full-stack developer and I have a low level of expertise on the server-side of things.

If you’re asking me to create a business plan, that’s not going to happen. I have a day job, a wife, and 3 kids.

You had suggested a private server from Blue Host. Their recurring fee outside of the initial discount is $200 per month.

Then you’re possibly going to want a security plan like Jetpack on top of that.

Then you’re going to need someone to maintain and update the server which is an unspecified cost. Without evening including that, there’d be a recurring cost of over $3k per year. That doesn’t include costs like migrating the website either.

Let’s look at getting the website through the first year of that type of cost.

There are a few other tired plans below the dedicated like their VPS and other plans which may or may not work.

If you have time to draft a business plan, hire consultants, and create a coalition of the willing, I’m all for it.

Until then, my plan is to find the most cost-effective way to get the website on track for the next 12 months.

Side

Didn’t you lose a bet where the loser had to donate $100 to this site and you refused?

Bank Shot

I reckon the only things you know how to build are a web of lies and a pile of BS.

London Jon

I know nothing about websites but I’m 99% sure that HH is the reason the site keeps breaking

Harpers Hair

Watching VGK at LAK.

2-1 LA at the end of the first outshooting Vegas 17-10.

Kopitar with 1G 1A while Dustin Brown scored the 1st goal but the most impressive player on the ice was Vladimir Tkachev (remember him?) who assisted on Kopitar’s PP goal.

His skill level is off the charts.

BornInAGretzkyJersey

Bill Scott’s biggest blunder.

OriginalPouzar

It was a bit embarrassing for the management team at the time, yes, but how was it such a big blunder? I guess the mistake was not drafting him when eligible but every team in the league passed on him, in every round, for multiple years.

godot10

It seems to me that MacT was the GM.

Redbird62

What is your motive for bringing this here?

OriginalPouzar

The LA Kings are one of his 26 favourite teams to succeed this season and they have the best prospect pool in the history of the NHL so their “26 year old rookie prospect” getting a point is notable.

Harpers Hair

Kings now with a 3-1 lead.

Danault with a dominant shift and a goal.

Old man Doughty now with 3A.

Harpers Hair

Kopitar with another goal.

4-1 LA.

Oh my.

Harpers Hair

4-1 end of two.

Kings outshooting Vegas 31-21.

jp

Wait… Vegas isn’t even any good?

Harpers Hair

Well….yeah they are…which is what makes the Kings performance so impressive.

You may recall I told y’all that adding Danault to take on the toughs would free up Kopitar.

So far, so good.

The Kings PP is also very interesting with Tkachev playing the left half wall and feeding the puck with saucer passes.

tsunami

it’s the first game of the season, oh my god… calm your tits !

Material Elvis

I’d rather see ‘data base connection error’ than read HH’s weak trolling effort.

Harpers Hair

Kings score on the PP…Doughty from Kopitar.

Both now with 4 points on the night.

Harpers Hair

Tkachev with the primary assist on the 5-1 goal.

Harpers Hair

Kopitar with the hat trick and his 5th point of the night.

6-1 Kings.

Harpers Hair

Peterson gives up a softy…6-2.

DevilsLettuce

Kings suck.

Harpers Hair

6-2 final.

Kings outshoot Vegas 47-25

JimmyV1965

Kings actually have an interesting team. Nice mix of vets and kids. Like many teams in the Pacific, I have no idea if they are good or bad. They could be legit playoff contenders or basement dwellers.

They definitely know how to close out a game though. They brought it hard in the third period. They didn’t let off the gas at all.

Vladimir Tkachev is a mirage. He got two points, but his line was ineffective and he managed a -2 in a 6-2 win. He’s more likely to get waived than score 35 points this year. 

hunter1909

Hunter1909’s Official Famous Death March™ Regular Season 2021-22 Update!

Due to the Lowetide log in issues, and with the volume of potential Death Marchers asking and begging to be in light of this catastrophe considered…

The Book is reopened!!

FINAL POSSIBLY EVER UNLESS REACH 99 MARCHERS WITH 69 AT PRESENT

http://www.oilersdeathmarch.com/marches/2021-22

WE LOVE NEGATIVE (-) RESPONSES BECAUSE – IT PROVES YOU LOVE US REALLY

Last edited 2 years ago by hunter1909
Harpers Hair

Seattle with its 1st win…4-3 over Nashville.

jimdewger

Thanks for hosting this great corner of the internet. We all appreciate this blog!

OriginalPouzar

I’m somewhat surprised (and happy) that Turris’ comments at the end of his media avail last night didn’t start a shitstorm of sorts.

Ryan

What did he say?

Harpers Hair

You had to bite?

OriginalPouzar

Harpers Hair

 Reply to Ryan

 October 14, 2021 9:11 pm

You had to bite?

What does that even mean and what are you even talking about?

jp

It was about Archibald and the media. I hadn’t watched but just did because OP mentioned it.

Last 30 seconds:
https://www.nhl.com/oilers/video/post-raw–turris-nurse/t-277437406/c-9149029

defmn

Good for Turris to speak up for his teammate.

jp

Yes, agreed.

Reja

Turris is a vet and a Bro to Archie. NHL players are so modest and laid back compared to in your face NFL and NBA players and alumni.

Bank Shot

Being a good teammate. I for one would support a player led revolt against the Edmonton Hockey media. They all stink.

Harpers Hair

Tyler Bertuzzi with 4 goals.

Detroit led Tampa 3-0 and 6-3 but loses 7-6 in OT.

Harpers Hair

@DimFilipovic
·
2m

Aaron Ekblad’s first game back after that brutal leg injury last year:

•27:01 time on ice
•2 goals (both in third period to tie game)
•8 shot attempts
•Shots 10-3 Panthers with him on ice at 5v5

New Improved Darkness

I haven’t done this much for a long while, but there used to be a fairly typical failure mode where the database becomes unable to keep pace with combined write traffic. What happens while they deal with the backlog is that all the write connections end up held open, until you simply run out of available connections.

The real tragedy is that this is almost always non-linear. Once you reach a tipping point in aggregate load, the efficiency of each write operation begins to decline. On old mechanical hard drives this was due to head thrash. On modern SSDs, especially on database servers, it has to do with write amplification. Databases tend to like to scatter small writes all over the disk, often as small as 512 bytes per write. But SSDs can’t actually perform such a small overwrite. SSDs optimized for cost/storage ratios often 32 KB sector sizes a few years back. More expensive SSDs suitable for database use might try to limit that to 4 KB.

The problem is that to overwrite a 512 byte sector, the SSD has to lift the underlying sector into memory (4 KB or 32 KB read), erase the underlying sector (a 32 KB block erase), merge the new data into the old data in memory, then write the whole thing back again (4 KB or 32 KB). Erase used to be darn slow on SSDs, so what you do is keep a large list of preerased sectors, and then you juggle locations with internal mapping tables (also needed to implement wear-leveling). How much the internal SSD sets aside for the erase list depends on how much is stored on the SSD drive and what kind of load the SSD is optimized for.

If aggregate load exhausts the internal SSD preerase list, all hell fails to defrost in an infinity of Sundays. In the bad old days, block erase could involve ms latencies. (Every actual storage chip on the SSD drive can erase in parallel, but that still isn’t much. And probably these large modern chips support multiple concurrent erases, but that probably still isn’t much relative to advertised performance and capacity.)

If that’s not the problem, then turning small 512 byte writes into a 4 KB read followed by a 4 KB write is often the problem on database servers (or if you’ve bought exactly the wrong SSD for the application, 32 KB reads followed by 32 KB writes).

Read connections really shouldn’t be your problem, because in the limit with infinite memory, all disk access is write access (everything else is cached in memory all the time). Any competent web host simply throws more memory at a database server where the read traffic is a major issue in intermittent service failure. The memory is almost always cheaper than the technical competence to pursue any other solution.

Back in 2017, Intel unveiled 3D XPoint (sold as Optane) and promised the moon in all three spumoni flavours. It was supposed to be better than cherry, pistachio, and chocolate combined.
What a dog it turned out to be, instead.

The concept is good, but it was expensive, and it had a terrible problem with durability. It was only good for about 30,000 drive writes before the bits got wobbly and every time wrote a sector you had to cross your fingers and count to a ten-month PTO for an 39-year-old free agent. The problem is that this technology was ideally suited for applications with insanely high write volumes. Poof! Your über expensive drive was toast within the first year.

What makes Optane great is that it has essentially no write amplification and no need to maintain lists of preerased blocks, either.

What makes Optane not so great is that—last I heard—Intel is only able to fabricate this with a small number of layers (four layers in the 2nd generation), whereas ordinary SSDs are now made with a stupid number of layers. I see 176 layer drives now announced. You have severe alignment problems building up a 176-layer Jenga tower and that comes at the expense of the bit patterns having thunder thighs, but thunder thighs alone does not divide 176 layers down to 4 layers.

And there’s your cost ratio in a nutshell.

Standard SSD: 4 KB minimum write block, 4 KB or 32 KB minimum erase block, up to 176 capacity loving layers.

Optane: Write any size anywhere at any time with next to zero latency. Trunk space of a red Ducati — credit card and a spare pair of bikini briefs is pretty much all a man needs to experience the true Ducati lifestyle.

Given some of the performance advantages, Optane is often still a win.

Here’s where it depends on the application. Some database application have a tiny percentage of live data (data that might grow or change) and a large amount of static data (400 immutable lamentations per game thread over an entire decade of darkness).

For that you’ll need a giant fat disk, and you can’t afford the Ducati.

If your live data is only the discussion threads where users are still allowed to post and update, you’d need less than 1% as much space. Now you can afford the Ducati. You’ll buy a cheap SSD for the static data from yesteryear.

But not all web forum software is set up to partition static data onto a different database than live data.

There are some advanced file systems that play around with putting an Optane cache drive in front of a giant SSD backing layer in a mostly database transparent way. These is vastly tricky to get right for all the possible combinations and permutations of loads, and so you tend to see this kind of architecture on proprietary database servers with a known application-specific load profile.

What happens with your average cost-driven web host is that they make a guess about how much load an SSD disk system can handle, based on collective averages of the working set to cold storage set for the aggregate client.

When they guess wrong, write performance goes to hell in a handbasket, all the connections are held open waiting for pending writes to clear, and no connections remain available for any other purpose, including simple read requests to draw the “hello world” front page.

If you happen to have a very large static storage requirement and also a very large burst-activity write requirement (the no-win corner of the non-volatile storage options), they classify you as a bad customer, and then drool you along with substandard service until you pack up your bag and go somewhere else.

I’m so far out of this field at this point, I’m waving my arms around on the general principles of yesteryear, but if the architecture was up to me, all the user comment data would go to a different database server than everything else the site depends upon (which would not reside on a busy database server, but one overbuilt for never falling down).

If it was further up to me, all the user comments from the past two weeks (hot material) would go to a server backed by tiny and expensive DucatiOptane enterprise disk drives that simply never slow down and all the rest would rotate into cold storage backed by regular SSD (but still not on the primary site database server).

If your forum software is not architected to permit this, good luck with that.

There are some crazy cases where you’re actually running into network connectivity problems, but that doesn’t happen in a competent shop. You have to be an idiot to get your fabric that wrong. Not that idiocy never happens …

You can also run out of file descriptors at the OS level and many other gruesome technical things, but again, those are problems that mainly betray substandard competence in your service provider. Once every so often a bad Linux kernel security patch can exacerbate a problem that wasn’t previously visible. I tend not to score that case against the service provider in charge, but rather under “shit happens”.

The one case where the service provider needs to make some hard compromises ahead of the fact—to remain in any way cost competitive—is aggregate load factor on the database server disk subsystems.

And so that’s always the first stone to turn if problems occur at a competent web host.

Probably mid-tier hosts don’t even offer dedicated Optane database servers for very small databases with insanely high write concurrent write loads. That’s a whole other thing to manage. And then the customer is confused by the price model. You want HOW MUCH? for 2 GB of writable database store on the bulletproof Optane database server?

Does Lowetide generate 2 GB of user comments in two weeks? Not even if Taylor Hall was traded from the Oilers to Seattle in the middle of rare Oiler appearance in the playoff’s third round (though it might be a close run thing).

What the service provider will typically do is stall the matter by offering to migrate your database to a different database server with different load patterns. It might fix the problem, or it might not. Days soon turn into weeks on this program, with their technicians never doing more than 10 minutes of ticket resolution on your behalf in any 24-hour period. The problem is that most shops don’t have the detailed disk telemetry to act as competent match-makers. You can’t just use simple statistics, because some interactions have tipping points and other forms of extreme non-linearity. So you have to try it out to find out, and that can take far more time than any sane person wishes to endure.

There are also differences from one piece of forum software to another in how many database connections it needs to open per user interaction. I rarely spent much time under the hood of actual forum code, so this I can’t speak to this even in archaic terms.

Cue all the kids to say “grandpa, get off my lawn”. Yeah, I’m totally out of the loop these days. I haven’t been able to quote Optane latency statistics off by heart for a good 24-months now. I was mainly following this scene because of the looming competition from Nantero with their carbon nanotube technology, which is purported not to have a wear limit you can reasonable exceed whatsoever (trillions of overwrites); but the density—so far—is that much worse than Optane.

Nantero was kind of fun to follow. They pop out of stealth to announce $20 or $30 million in additional funding, followed by a glowing technology press release, a new appointment to the board … and then back to stealth mode again. If this kind of shop has a “jobs” page you head there. If not hiring, not firing (on all cylinders), as a general rule of thumb. Which the collapse of the fabrication supply chain since 2019, it might not in this case foretell a failing technology, they just might emerge out of stealth mode like a chameleon on methadone, yet again.

Since COVID, there’s no point checking in more than about once per year. Automakers these days can’t get themselves a hardened HC12 from yesteryear for love nor money. Only the brontosaurs of the world are getting any chip love at all right now.

What I’ve been following more closely for the duration is Terrestrial Energy.
Terrestrial Energy Appoints the Rt. Hon. Stephen Harper, Canada’s 22nd Prime Minister, to Advisory Board — 11 February 2020

If this technology flies and one of these doesn’t end up in Fort Mac, I’ll pretty much eat my shirt (prudently seasoned with highly iodized sea salt).

The process heat is ideal for cracking heavy bitumen, and then the electricity is gravy on top. Canada is among the leaders of the charge on generation IV reactor technology because our nuclear regulatory framework supports innovation, whereas the American framework (at least until recently) was a total killjoy.

Key number: Seven years. The old technology briefs—apparently too revelatory—used to specify retiring each core after seven years. This is because you can’t validate materials to handle radioactive molten salt for forty years in less than … forty years. There’s no viable template for accelerated aging studies against this perfect glowing chemical storm of ultimate sandpaper. There’s much to like about the concept, if the steel pipe this toxic slurry flows through is not made out of your skin.

The fuel cycle is easy, but the materials engineering challenge would make Fritz Haber weep—he’s the guy who invented mustard gas, and was never known for being much of a weepy fellow.

Whaler Slamamoto

I blacked out. But comment of the year material!

hunter1909

This is exactly what was typing earlier.

Munny 2.0

Yet another amazing post. Thank you.

(Although I miss the obscure references tied into extended metaphors)

Ryan

We’re hiring and you sound like you really know what you’re talking about.

job: full-stack developer for WordPress website
wage: zilch
hours: unpredictable

Trevor457

Or alternatively, we can just ban some users to reduce traffic. So, effective immediately, the following users are banned for life:

HH

……

thanks for all your valuable contributions. Don’t let the door hit you in the arse on the way out.

Harpers Hair

I love you too.

Gerta Rauss

awesome

Material Elvis

Yeah, I’d say you have a solid beginner’s grasp on the subject…

On another note, how do you turn that brain off to get any sleep? Unbelievable post.

PokeCheck

If write volumes are the issue, wouldn’t eliminating comment voting dramatically reduce the number of write requests? The ratio of people writing comments to those clicking +/- all the way down the page (generating countless DB updates) is probably huge.

jp

The duo was on the ice for 12:40, going 4-3 shots (this is five on five) and no goals. 

Agree they can’t be allowing outlets to go for breakaways all the time, but wanted to mention that 4-3 shots doesn’t do their numbers justice. They were the Oilers best D by xGF (the main metic leading some to conclude Keith is below replacement level). Keith and Ceci were 75/76% xGF%, behind only Nuge and Hyman on the team (89%).

It is too early for the sample to mean anything, but it would definitely have been hot topic in the comments if they’d finished 25% xGF%. So far so good.

jp

Yeah no question one game is too early to make any real conclusions, though it’s nice for early returns to fall on the positive side.

Agree on the forwards. Hyman and Foegele really do bring a different look to the team. Very much welcomed. And Ryan is so crafty, actually a pretty good forechecker which I didn’t realize.

Keith’s aggressiveness was a different look too. The anti-Russell almost. Not to write off his results from Chicago, but you can sure see how he’d have to back off that game if his partner wasn’t up to the task.

Harpers Hair

Sabremetrix https://abs-0.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/1f383.svg
@Sabremetrix

Carter Hutton with 5 goals against on 1.59 expected goals against for the Coyotes tonight

Harpers Hair

Finishes with a .692

flyfish1168

Ethan gets an apple on Canes 1st goal of the year

OriginalPouzar

Yes – Ethan Bear is a good and solid (and improving) d-man – he will very likely have success on a good and deep and well-coached team.

Warren Foegle play on an Oilers third line (with a loaded up first line) that didn’t get caved and, in fact, won the high danger and expected goal game – he did this playing with a soon to be 35 year old center and PTO late signing right winger.

Both these players will fill valuable roles on their teams.

flyfish1168

I agree. I happy to get a player like Foegle. We need players like him.

Prairie_Sentinel

From the sounds of it, both Foegele and Bear were, at least in part, looking for a fresh start with a new team. All in all, it was an actual hockey trade that seemed to give the players and teams involved what they were looking for. Bit of a rare bird these days.

Bank Shot

Good for him. I had and still have all the time in the world for Ethan Bear.

Foegele looks great too. Perhaps this trade will be a win-win.

Whaler Slamamoto

Not a tech guy at all LT. What kind of traffic are we talking? Hits per day?

Apologies if it’s a personal question, just curious. Seems like it’s on topic for analytics!

Does it track HH hits per day on a typical day vs after the Oil beat the Canucks down? Lots of interesting data to dig through.

What % is just OP and HH in a 1v1 D swinging fest?

GarbanzoHumanBean

You’re the most reasonable and informed analyst in Oil Town. You don’t ever sound like a parrot for management like the neighboring station. The blog traffic s a testament to your ability. Large traffic while never being a clickbait hack. Bravo. Now patch the hull and tend the tattered sails.

John Chambers

Vancouver looks like a strong team – much better than last year’s version. A good test for the Oilers, and I suspect these teams will battle with Vegas and Seattle the entire year.
OEL and Keith both look like previous versions of themselves on better teams.
If the Oilers’ weaknesses are their depth D pairings and goalie, it sure didn’t look it last night – Smith was money and all of the blue (save Barrie) looked capable.

OriginalPouzar

I predicted that Vancouver will battle the LAK for 3rd in the Pacific – they have some solid high end offensive talent and their goaltending should be top of the division.

leadfarmer

Would spinning off the archives to a different site help?

leadfarmer

Call it Mrs lowetide
because those women remember everything

Harpers Hair

Please note my post below which deals with dedicated web servers.

You can get your own server and the cost is not out of this world and I’m sure a large number of us with be happy to help with the cost.

Harpers Hair

You can get managed dedicated web servers which would help tremendously with that and it seems your major issues are sharing a server with other sites in any event.

Also it seems you are using Google Ads on your site.

Given the high traffic your site generates, it might be far more beneficial to offer those ad spots to local advertisers who are trying to reach Oiler fans which I’m sure there are many.

If I were still in Edmonton, I would certainly explore that for you but, as I recall, you have a rather extensive background in sales 🙂

I’m guessing it would be pretty easy to raise enough revenue to contract someone to keep things purring under the hood…say some young guy (or girl) with a penchant for technology…know any?

Harpers Hair

Where is Karl Stark when you need him :;

dessert1111

We can raise money to pay for a dedicated person to fix things 🙂

This problem doesn’t exist with other heavy traffic sites I visit so I feel like there is a solution money can buy.

But I think you know at this point that there are loads of us who will support how we can so until the time comes when you ask I’ll just say thanks for continuing to work through these issues to provide us with both your writing and this forum.

Ryan

There are two issues with a dedicated server.

I had a brief foray into the web publishing world that ended in 2013 (when I sold the flagship website).

I managed a dedicated server for my network of websites. It was actually a lot of work.

The second issue is the finances.

There are a lot of costs in running a website over and above just hosting fees.

With a dedicated server, you end up needing a lot of other subscription-based addons with recurring monthly fees.

Ryan

It actually wouldn’t though it’s a decent idea.

If you had a blog about how to read CT scans or x-rays or whatever….

You might write an excellent post on the basics of how to read a chest x-ray that’s useful for medical students.

Say your post ranked #1 on Google for “how to read a chest x-ray.”

That post could drive traffic to your website for years potentially. If you had a bunch of useful posts on other topics that ranked well on Google, you could have a high steady baseline of traffic from search engines from your archives.

Sports blogs don’t really work like that. The archives actually drive very little traffic. People don’t really google recaps of hockey games from four years ago. Sports websites mostly rely on new content which drives massive amounts of traffic.

So if we split off the archives, it might initially provide some brief respite, but now LT would have two websites to host and maintain.

knighttown

Here’s the reality. We’re in the age of “pay for content”. For sports, I pay for the Athletic. I vulture Cult of Hockey but would pay if they offered just that content but I don’t want the rest of the Journal living in Halifax.

I spend 10x the time on your site as those two combined.

There aren’t (relatively) very many of us on here but I’d expect niche content like this that is published like clockwork combined with a wonderful commentator community is rare enough most would pay even if some dont like having to. There simply is no other comparable option.

I’ve been with you since you moderated us at hfBoards…what…18 years ago. I ain’t going anywhere anytime soon.

kgogshig

There’s a “Donate” button on the top right, it’s orange…I encourage everyone to donate $50 once a year. If I donated $1 for every time I visited this blog, it would be $500 per year easily.

Abbeef

I don’t pay for any sports content, but I would pay for this site.

Dac189

A paywall would severely reduce the number of newcomers though. Many won’t want to pay right off the bat without even knowing what the site is.

Gerta Rauss

I’m just spitballing here but I think a modified paywall solution would work for this site

The daily posts are free to everyone

If you want to access the comment section (whether you participate or not) you’d pay a subscription be it yearly or monthly

I think I pay about $75 year for my subscription to the Athletic and roughly the same for a golf content site

I’d happily pay that for access to LT’s site – I wouldn’t give it a 2nd thought

leadfarmer

So there’s more traffic here for preseason then there was during the playoffs??
doesn’t seem right

Harpers Hair

The answer might be deducted web servers which are not subject to the vagaries of other sites at all.

Blue Host is the most highly rated web host for WordPress sites.

https://www.bluehost.com/hosting/dedicated

godot10

We wait for the LT signal when the gremlins are gone.

https://youtu.be/oRl0BO0XTlY?t=62

Brogan Rafferty's Uncle Steve

I was worried LT sacrificed the blog to the hockey gods in return for an oiler Stanley cup.

Oilers games are not the same without updates on Brogan Rafferty’s summer vacation plans.

Jokes aside, the game did not feel the same without all your insightful and hilarious in- game comments.

unca miltie

The Blog. First of all congratulations on the success of the blog. Glad to see you are overrun with traffic. Are the problems fixable with money? Are we supporting it enough financially? Can we do more to help? Please let us know.
.

Last edited 2 years ago by unca miltie
DevilsLettuce

Stream it on YouTube and we’re good.

defmn

What are we smoking? 😉

unca miltie

coffee and a smoke at 8:30 am should work

flyfish1168

Thank you, LT for all your hard work.

An Oiler game is much more enjoyable when I’m logged onto this site and cheering on our team together

OriginalPouzar

Bourgault had a couple apples last night (including on the OT winner) and was plus 1 with 4 shots in a 3-2 win.

OriginalPouzar

Tip says Kass will be in with Foegele and Ryan on Saturday.

They will need to make a roster move to activate him – either assign McLeod to the AHL or IR Shore presumably.

OriginalPouzar

Interesting game last night. I felt uneasy from start to finish but the boys had it in hand.

Smith was huge for most of that game but that goal cannot happen. Tough to harp on the man when he wouldn’t have even had a chance to “cost them a regulation win” if he hadn’t been so good for the first 57 minutes (and then after, OT and SO). With that said, a heartening performance from Smith.

I’m going to pretend that Tyson Barrie wasn’t as awful as he was last night – my goodness – Nurse made some iffy plays (including on the first shift) but, given the minutes he munches, had a real positive effect on the game overall.

Keith/Ceci had a bit of chaos, as expected, but they a good pair – they can both move that puck – wow.

Six plus minutes on PK1 for Bouchard and a clean sheet. This man has a large hockey IQ and size – given that, he will be a very good defender and PK guy – it won’t take him long. There will be a transition period here but Nurse/Bouchard will be the top pairing on this team for a LONG time and they will be dynamite.

Over the last few years, Nurse has shown how he can make his partner better (see Bear, see Barrie). When Bouch is developed a little more, Nurse/Bouchard makes me salivate.

godot10

You are going to have to pretend a lot.

OriginalPouzar

godot10

 Reply to OriginalPouzar

 October 14, 2021 5:45 pm

You are going to have to pretend a lot.

I watched him play 56 games last year so am confident that isn’t actually true.

Reja

It’s nice to win when you don’t play your best. I’ve been extremely hard on Mikko but he’s seems to have gotten his confidence back and hopefully they both feed off each other and we get off to a blazing start. I’m most excited to see the third line with Kass and Ryan playing his ex-team. I hope Tippett doesn’t whip Leon and Mcdavid so much, give the 3rd and 4th line more minutes and responsibility. Just think how far Evan would be as a player if Tippett would have played him last year. He’s going to be a 20 goal scorer in a few years. Book it!!!

Woodguy v2.0

EDM Goal Share after 1 game (1-0-0)

Even strength (5v5,4v4,3v3)
97 w/o 29 (0-0)
29 w/o 97 (0-0)
97&29 On (1-1) 50%
93 w/o either (0-0)
Ryan (0-0)
Other (0-0)
Net EV 0

Special Teams: 1-1
Net ST 0

Empty Net:0-0
Net EN 0

SO/PS 1-0
Net SO/PS +1

Net Goal Diff +1

Genjutsu

Yes thanks for these and all your other contributions.

pts2pndr

Thanks LT for all you do! In a time in life where there are so many uncertainties this site and your measured insight are a refuge for many, myself included. The quality of posters on sight is quite amazing and I find myself learning on a daily basis. Sometimes it’s hockey!? As Red Skelton would say God Bless!

Silver Streak

My eyes are on Berglands AHL progress...hes the mid term answer to 22s continuing chaos. Hes on a very tradable contract and a few teams are looking for a PP D man.
Hope Barrie finds his game quickly, then move him with something else for our Goalie.

fishman

Yea Barrie had a tough night (wasn’t the only one) I am sure he will bounce back. Thought Ceci and Keith were pretty decent last night. Hopefully Berglund does well and becomes a legit RD call up. Don’t like cowboy on the right side and there will be injuries…..

OriginalPouzar

Barrie had his worst game as an Oiler last night (in my opinion) but I presume, on the season, we’ll see similar to last season (how good that is has varying opinions).

I am also keeping a close eye on Berglund – he put his name in the coaches’ conversation during camp and, with a couple of months of similar play in the AHL, he should be a real option as a call-up on RD.

I don’t see any way that will “allow them” to move Barrie but it could/should give them an actual right shot option for a d-man injury fill-in (as opposed to using Russell or Koekkoek on their off side).

who

It’s just 1 game but RD looks like a question mark to me.
We have 2 guys on that side who are very passive defenders. Slow to engage, and tentative when they do.
We are all hoping that Bouchard will improve in this area. It’s hard to see Barries game changing much at this stage of his career.

Side

comment image

I feel this gif sums up nicely how I feel trying to find quality Oilers content when the site is down.

prefonmich

Yes missed the discussion last night’s game. How much we miss it when not working is a true testament to the jewel you have created here! I was less impressed with line 1. I thought Jesse looked dogged, Drai looked a little stagnant and wasn’t skating like he can. I really think Drai and McDavid need to be split up other than power play and odd times when needing a boost. Although line 2 looked really great together..

OriginalPouzar

I believe Drai is a notoriously slow starter to the season, isn’t he?

John Chambers

Drai has recorded a point in six consecutive season openers.

OriginalPouzar

John Chambers

 Reply to OriginalPouzar

 October 14, 2021 6:19 pm

Drai has recorded a point in six consecutive season openers.

Yes, I know this – and he recorded a point last night despite playing well below his established levels.

Drai will get his points even when he’s not playing well.

Anecdotally, I think Drai’s game often picks up during the year.

prefonmich

Ya I’m not sure. That may be it. I do think Drai and Mcdavid look for each other too much out there and it becomes easier to defend… or as easy as it can be to defend those two immense talents. They don’t use their third forward enough. This is pretty nitpicky but ideally two dominant lines could exist with these guys split.

fishman

I am a bit concerned about our lack of physical play. We missed Kass last night but he is only one guy. Liked that Sceviour jumped in. Oilers are going to have to be team tough. Guessing Sat night will be a test as Flames will attempt to run us out of the rink. Our PP better be clicking!

godot10

Kassian doesn’t play physical for 80 of the games.

OriginalPouzar

I just don’t think that having more guys that can fight will change the way any team plays against us.

Brogan Rafferty's Uncle Steve

I think this is one of the most functionally tough Oilers teams I can remember.

Very few undersized players. Quite a few big and fast forwards who like to crunch on forecheck. Keith is a tough SOB and very sneaky dirty. I watched a lot of Chicago and he makes opposing forwards pay physically, especially with his stick. Nurse is a beast.

Unless you are talking specifically about fighting, I do not know what more you could ask for?

fishman

Was not looking for more guys willing to drop the gloves. Looking for guys who can answer back with some heavy hitting of our own. Other than Kass (yes I know he has not consistently done this) and Nurse how many other Oilers routinely throw good solid hits? Pretty sure the Canucks out hit us last night and pretty sure that will be the case on Sat. I guess as long as we get the 2 points maybe it doesn’t matter!!!

LadiesloveSmid

I missed the game last night.

Did Keith’s minutes get cut down after getting rocked by Myers? Or from merit?

Caught the OT, Smith was strong.

Brogan Rafferty's Uncle Steve

He missed some time after the hit. He played well last night.

OriginalPouzar

He was bleeding and needed to go to the room for repairs.

Keith was good last night.

jp

I’ll post again here.

I really thought that was an encouraging game from all the things that were/are question marks entering the season (2nd pair, 2nd line, goalie). 

You don’t want to be blowing leads like that, but they got the 2 points in the end. Far from perfection, but not a bad game.

OriginalPouzar

I agree.

A 100% key was Mike Smith looking like 2021 Mike Smith – yup, he gave up a bad goal, and that will happen, but he was absolutely key to the 2 points. Manage his load (and they should be able to with a revived Koski) and we may see similar Mike Smith to last season.

They have some chaos in their own zone (which is expected but will hopefully diminish with familiarity with each other, the team and the structure) but the 2nd pairing looked quite good last night and has improved game over game in the last 10 days. Each of those two player can move the puck and that is going to lead to more offense. Ceci has made a sublime breakaway pass in each of the last two games.

That 2nd line was immensely effective last night and none of the bottom 3 lines got caved. In fact, the 2nd line did the caving.

fishman

Test? Are we back? Really missed the blog last night! Canucks are going to be a handful all year.

Hemskyish

I just logged on super quick, hopefully things are sorted for you lowetide. Missed it last night.

Harpers Hair

A few suggestions from the peanut gallery LT.

I’m not sure how you handle your archives but I imagine they are massive. Could they be migrated to a separate site with links to access on this site?

At any given time I see 6-8 ads on the site…usually for the same product or service. It might be worthwhile to strip all the ads as a test to see if they are causing issues. If not, you could add them back one at a time.

As of today, you have 18 links to Athletic articles..could this be slimmed down to 5 or 6 to save bandwidth?

Not sure if this is helpful.

Woodguy v2.0

How are things on The Beach Andrew?

Hope everything is well with you and yours.

Harpers Hair

Doing okay under trying circumstances.

Hope you and the Woodfamily are doing fine.

OriginalPouzar

That’s interesting as I have found, in the past, that the Database Connection problem can (and does) pop up at very low traffic times (i.e. late at night/early in the morning).

OriginalPouzar

Fair enough – makes sense.

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