I find myself drifting back to one year ago, when I asked the following question: Have I ever seen an NHL team with such a high ceiling also show such a miserable floor? My answer last season was yes. The Montreal Canadiens of 1969-70 won Stanleys in 1969 and 1971. In 69-70, everything went sideways for the Habs. They missed the playoffs. I was thrilled! Looking back, I think Montreal’s 1970-71 rookie crop (Marc Tardif, Reggie Houle, Guy Lapointe and late in the season Ken Dryden) was a key to the recovery. The Oilers have Matt Savoie, Noah Philp, Max Wanner and Olivier Rodrigue on the horizon, not quite the same. No disrespect intended, I think those four men have a real chance.
These Oilers are meh. Motzah balls. Air Supply. According to Jim. Dull as dishwater. I don’t know how a team housing Connor McDavid can be uninteresting, but we are here.
THE NUMBERS
The numbers were better for Edmonton than the first two games, but there’s a lot of indifference in these totals. Pretty much every individual player did good things (Mattias Ekholm had an assist and was 12-5 shots at five-on-five) but we also saw chaos and drifting. Ekholm is a great damn player, I’m not picking on him, rather pointing out the general malaise on this roster runs deep.
If you want my analysis on this team and this year, it goes like this: The Edmonton Oilers are a team in the National Hockey League.
JUSTIN KIRKLAND
My happiest moment yesterday came when Flames forward Justin Kirkland scored. Drafted in 2014, he has barely played in the league. I liked him on draft day, and in recent years have watched him in the AHL. Smart, smart player. I think he could have a career as a late bloomer (he is 28) and wish him well. I ranked him No. 39 in 2014, glad to see he landed.
HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
Happy Thanksgiving! I wish the best for you and your family and hope you get to spend time today with all of your people. I had a wonderful turkey dinner last night, with good conversation and much laughter. Sincere thanks to Bob and Sophie for being such kind people.
Fall is always going to be a difficult time of year, especially October and November. In a lifetime of experiences, October 2022 and October 2023 were a time when the earth was moving under my feet and I felt out of control and in distress. I felt broken.
I am no longer there. I am grateful for the grace of time and distance, am fully aware of how lucky I have been in life, and still working through the long goodbye to my north star. I wish it on no one. I can say time heals, and there are angels among us. Be well. Love is love. Be kind to all, especially yourself.
New for The Athletic: Is there a significant trade in the Edmonton Oilers’ near future?
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5840092/2024/10/14/edmonton-oilers-trade-timothy-liljegren/
We lost mom this summer. She was a great cook and always enjoyed the holidays. It being the first Thanksgiving without her, we feel the void in a big way.
It was almost written in stone that the Oilers would start the season this way. I am not sure there was any other way it could have gone.
Happy Thanksgiving to all.
The loss of young fast skaters over the summer has been detrimental to both the offense and the defense. Those players, through creating chaos or open ice, not only enabled passes to connect because there was more room, but put the opposing team on its heels. The Oilers used to be the sort of team that could create chaos and space, whether through speed or agile puck-transporting, and then capitalize on it. I don’t think they are that team any more.
For some time now, I have wondered if there is a leadership problem on the team. The clip of McDavid yelling at his teammates in the dressing room during the Stanley Cup finals haunts me; in my view, it is a telling indicator that he lacks some of the essential qualities of leadership. Would you want to go to battle with someone who leads with tantrums and has nothing of value to say to the media after three losses in a row to start the season? The sullen bully boss is not someone I want to play for or battle with, I’ll tell you that.
Moreover, the fans deserve a leader who has something intelligent and insightful to say when things go wrong. A leader who is articulate and genuinely accountable to the fans rather than someone who speaks as if words do not matter and fans are unimportant. McDavid’s body language and facial expressions suggest he doesn’t have the right attitude to be a leader. He is sulky and his sulkiness permeates the whole team.
Who does that leave to be a leader on this team? Where is the mature leadership? There are too many belladonnas and not enough worker-bees. Management gave all the team’s young-blood energy and speed and fractiousness away for nothing, or next to nothing. And now it is harder than ever for the team’s creative players to find the space to make plays and complete passes.
It’s too early in the season to make these assumptions.
I guess it’s better off to find out the team is not balanced at the beginning. Better then fluking off a few wins and thinking all is just peachy. Now is Darnell Nurse the new PK Subban?All arrows point in that direction.
I’m interested to see how Knoblauch handles this.
The Oil were in such a deep hole when he took over last season that imo he was playing with house money all season.
I like and believe in Kris. Wonder if this is one of those rare moments when his cool and calm needs to be replaced with a little fire? Are we going to get a Slats trashes the whiteboard moment?
Interesting to hear Connor suggest that the team is not practicing as well as they could be.
The Stanley hangover is real and decidedly not spectacular.
I think we mostly agree that losing Bro and Holloway was a bad thing, even if they aren’t established. In 3 games Bro is 6th in D TOI, is being sheltered, has 3 points, and not great possession stats. Seems about right. Holloway is 7th in F TOI, has one point and middle looking usage. Great possession stats, mediocre goal shares
Foegele has the most F TOI, is getting an offensive push, and has no points, mixed stats results. McLeod in 4 games is 4th in F TOI, plays a more defensive role, has one point and one hit, good possession stats
To me I can’t hang this start on losing these guys. Yes they are fast and bigger, but neither Foegele Bro or McLeod are physical. The two forwards are not great offensively, Foegele because I don’t think he thinks the game well, McLeod because he’s all perimeter, and both are streaky defensively. PK is about effort, I think Stuart will bring it around, and really the biggest issue there is goalies
I liked Holloway’s game, but as LT has pointed out it’s not clear he will produce much, and he isn’t still against softer comp. I like the players they drafted this year more than these forwards in how they play and skill sets, it’s more like what’s missing
But they are a ways out, and there aren’t any easy moves to make up front this season because of contracts. They are going to have to gut it out and decide what they want and how hard they will work for it. And it starts at the top, and behind the bench. Like he did last season push the guys playing well and fade ‘anyone’ else, use the bench
That is how the coach can promote accountability and fairness and build the group. Tocchet is merciless about it, and his team plays balls out because of it, after some unhappy campers got their ducks in a row
Skinner reminds me of the Canucks Dan Cloutier. Has good stats and a good record but struggled to make big saves at big times. The 2000’s Canucks lost many series with a good team for that reason.
I love how ‘According to Jim’s caught a stray in your autopsy LT.
Come for the meh hockey. Stay for the sh+tty sitcom shots.
Cover Up Stan has a real Chiapet energy. I cannot wait to see what he cooks up if the losses continue. What team currently has the rights to Spooner???
A lot of criticism of the D. Goalies and defense are at the mercy of forwards. Defense are really in no man’s land when they get inconsistent forward support and the goalies can’t make saves
Maybe the forwards are too old and slow. But Hyman Skinner and Arvi can skate. Obviously Connor can. Nuge and Drai aren’t fast without a head of steam, but that hasn’t changed. Henrique is a very smart player and has wingers that can skate
This is more a mental issue I think. Play smarter, and like losing feels like the worst thing there is. I know they do hate losing, but they need to dial that down to every skirmish and play. That is what makes Doughty so good, he’s not big and can’t skate like Makar, but he’d rather die than lose anything. Wayne was like that, I think it was Johnson who said he was the most competitive person he’d ever met or seen
They need more of that cowbell, that’s what’s missing
Agreed, the forwards have been awful esp. line 1. The D do their best but we have 2 top 4 NHL D men. We need 4 of them. Kulak is an excellent 5 imo. Nurse is a mystery right now. The rest are unproven or 6-8 Dmen. This will never fly even when the forwards wake up and start scoring which they will.
It’s definitely between the ears. Then when two goals get called back, one kind of suspect, the other was clearly offside thanks to Arvidsson, who’s only involvement in the play was being offside. The Calgary coach was praising their video guy and the fact his team stayed out of the penalty box, it was a big part of the game. I saw Stu Skinner get slashed in the back of the leg behind his net in the trapezoid, no call. I saw McDavid being interfered with constantly. But they call interference on Hyman. To add to it the Oiler PK has been poor to start off the season OMG, it has to affect the psych. Yeah, they need to play smarter. On the other hand, maybe they’re thinking too much and just need to relax. Wasn’t that Knoblauch’s message when he took over the reins last season?
It’s sad when a friend asks you if you’re coming to town to an Oilers game and you say I don’t spend money on pre Xmas break Oilers
lol, well history says that is smart. True that! See ya at game 20
I got nothing. It’s beyond baffling. I suppose they’re many reasons for this start. But still baffling. I won’t even try to analyze it. Just baffling.
The Oilers are slow and are playing slow. I won’t count Broberg because he didn’t play in the regular season, but losing McLeod and Holloway has had an impact.
I like the additions the team made in the offseason, but I think they’re going to have to adjust their style of play to match what they have.
I don’t have concerns about the 1st pair, but the rest of the D is suspect, and we all knew it was heading into the season.
All of that said, the team takes their lead from McD, as they go, the team does. They both haven’t been good enough and it brings the rest of the soldiers with them. The leaders will rebound and play to their standards, but what they’ve put out as yet simply isn’t what we have come to expect from them.
I’m not one, typically, to blame the team’s best players; but it starts with them. Two seasons of putrid play to begin the campaign; whatever they’re doing isn’t good enough.
I have no doubt this team will right the ship, they’re simply too talented. But they’re flawed and it shows.
Agreed, except they scored more than anybody already.
$7.1 million for Skinner and Arvidson wasn’t necessary.
That’s a nice defenceman. Add in Ceci’s money and they’re really cooking. Would have been better off wit Broberg and Hollaway.
Old and slow may become a reality sooner than later. Alternatively it may work and they win Stanley. The piper will just be paid a little later in that case.
Oilers soft as butter last night. Flames ran their show. Have to find some team toughness.
This summer after Jeff and Stan had made all their moves while losing a lot of talented and well trained youth ,size and speed I shared a few opinions to my friend another oiler fan. 1.I believe we are now too slow, too old and too small 2. most of these new adds come from losing cultures which could be ingrained in their DNA ( do all your number folks in the new analytics department have a column for that Jack ) and 3. There was a lot of weddings and other life change activities going on with the core this summer which interrupted training and focus . We will see I said but I see Storm clouds on the horizon . Fingers crossed I am wrong on all these fronts
Top 3 disappointments so far
3. Special Teams
2. Bouchard
1. Entire 1st line
I thought it was a mistake to break up the 2nd and 3rd lines, now none look like they have much chemistry.
I agree with this so far.
I feel bad for Emberson, I realize the numbers havent been there but this is far from a fair shake. I think he is a solid D and needs some time. This type of player treatment does not build confidence starting the way training camp was used.
I have been a Nurse supporter but he is a drag on partners, I feel for him but the decision making is poor. We really need Nurse to be the best Nurse he has been, I hope it happens, it doesn’t look good.
This is obvious but this D is just not good enough, similar to last year really but worse.
Lessons learned should be at the front of the line. Broberg says Hi 🙂
When the forwards perform poorly especially the leaders the D and tending definitely can’t hold up and don’t even tread water at this point.
— I was relieved to see the end of the train g camp : I don’t care about the stuff they most were consumed with : who is the 7ths D, will do and so who has never been in the league replace the vet plug as the 14th D. Are we going to lose some guy to waiver. None of that stuff matters to me.
— But more importantly none of it matters to the team. I go back to the things that do:
— Will McDra show up ready game one and did they learn from last year and make changes and adapt and if so what?
— Will the coach and management look back and say : hey we’ve had to fire a lot of coaches: why aren’t we as a staff prepared for the season: what will we do to be better, what did we learn
— Why do our goalies suck to start season: why can’t they adapt and improve their approach so they don’t at start of year.
— How long of an extended training Camp will Nurse and whoever his partner is going to need? Was he rushed back (highlights I see don’t show him looking 100%)
— If we knew (well I figured it was going to be the same) that nothing was going to change that mattered a lot more than the stuff that was the focus of many.
— Oh well : in San Fran now flying back today: interesting to have Canadian Thanksgiving in the US : with her parents and grandmother who still alive.
— Ate at Harris Steakhouse last night : Joe Montana’s favorite spot : had the 49ers cut . Just an old-school American steakhouse : that serves Gibsons (you don’t have to explain) and $35 corkage fee to bring in Monster Wines.
— Waiter told us when the Broncos came in for the Super Bowl week rented the whole place out and it was interesting to see all the characters and personalities sitting down to eat.
— He made a neat observation of how the team so different get together like all to the teams to do a job on Sunday’s: yet they are all so varied
Oil gonna oil. Lordy.
Drove about 7 hrs total yesterday for visiting/family on turkey wkend.
Check scores when I got home. 1-0 oil. Flip on the game, feeling optimistic. 3-4 mins later, Perry scores, YES! 2-0 looking ok. Goal taken away, and yes I know, opinions/perceptions, BUT in mine, that was a goal everyday of the week. Few minutes later Skinner gets slashed behind the net, no call.
Look at my partner (she is a gem, puts up with a short rant) I ask her if she wants to watch something else.
Channel changed.
Love hockey, don’t love the NHL and the malarky that goes with some games.
Yes, I will be back for sure.
Gretzky and Messier had bad games but Connor and Leon have been MIA for 3 games. This Oiler team is going through the motions if we lose the next game Bowman needs to shake this group up.
Happy Thanksgiving to all!
Have a great Turkey day all!
“Be kind to all, especially yourself.”
LT, truer words have never been spoken.
I have not posted much this season. And the start has not exactly inspired me to do so. My poor kids are besides themselves and wonder why I am not more upset. Then they point out, “You had your cups, we’ve had nothing!” I get it.
Oh well, at least it may keep the price on McDavid down!
I am actually thankful for last season as it broke me as a fan. I no longer stress about the Oilers missteps. Just laugh. And then enjoy the dramatic turnaround.
Would you rather be a fan of Edmonton or Toronto? I’ll take a team that can’t start over a team that can’t finish every day.
I’m with you Bro…
Happy Thanksgiving All!
Uncle Steve’s Early Season Observations:
-McD teams are pretty consistently under prepared to start seasons/series.
-Dermott on the second pair is so funny. Everyone talking about how Emberson is an upgrade on Ceci. The guy is already a healthy scratch replaced by an offhanded PTO.
Could it be that Ceci is not as bad as many claimed? Impossible!
When I watched Ceci last year I kept waiting for some trash defenceman to show up and he kept making simple, drama-free plays with the puck.
The mistakes we see in these first three games were baked in weeks ago, clearly the team doesn’t know how to hold a training camp.
Last year I thought they would turn it around without a coaching change but I did submit that the start was an indication they screwed up training camp and firing the coach was accountability toward that mistake. Ok, so maybe its not coaching, but the leadership core. They need to hold themselves accountable and it can start on Tuesday against Philly.
Best words to live by…nuff said.
Happy Thanksgiving all.
Go Oilers.
Anyone think McDavid has lost a step? Thought this last season, but wrote it off to injury issues. He just doesn’t seem to have that explosiveness where he just takes off past and around and through the opposition. Maybe teams have just learned how to defend him better over time
It’s early and I hope I’m wrong. Typically McDavid will only have one or two game stretches of lackluster play before he rights the ship and goes on a 2 or 3 week tear. Hopefully we’re on the verge of one of those now
He ain’t old, but he’s no spring chicken neither 😉
When the Oilers were being introduced for the first game and as the players were being called they jogged out over a rubber mat and then hit the ice .When McDavid was introduced he did not jog he was actually very slow and looked like he was being very careful not to catch his blades on the rubber. He was almost traveling sideways over the rubber mat. I remember saying hmmm that did not look normal. But Hopefully it is nothing .
No, he just knows they have to be able to win games 2-1.
Can’t remember him accomplishing anything doing his 1 on 3-4 sorties this year.
Rinsing out my opinions from this time last year.
1_ Talent doesn’t evaporate; 2_ This is who they are, don’t get lost in the numbers, hockey is between the ears; 3_ Small sample size, actually! Three game losing streaks happen to every team all the time, calm down; 4_ Losing streaks happen because teams are playing bad not because they necessarily are bad.
On 2, especially, I am fascinated. Both by what we feel entitled toward as fans and by what the team leadership seemingly also feels entitled toward. To me, I almost don’t mind following a team of such wild highs and meh lows. Its more human. You learn more about yourself. You need to set your imagination for more possibilities. And, probably, faith, at least, in history: projecting this team especially via big data is unreliable. What’s George Mumford’s Advice/60?
Guarantee people disagree with my patience. Last year I took a ton of heat for giving them too much rope. Every time, I was told to look at how they are playing: Lazy! Disconnected! Listless! No jam! Lottery!… I held to my belief that they would turn it around and I was right.
Again, they will turn it around. Hell, I will go out on a limb: To my eye they have been trending in the right direction each game now and if they beat the Flyers, the Oilers don’t lose three in a row again this year.
But as I said last year, the Oilers are to Hockey as Disco is to music. And I didn’t just mean the pace and fun at which they play when they are flying, I extend this to the necessary duality of electrifying highs and nauseating lows. McDavid is late to the party. But who shows up to Studio 54 right when it opens? Lame tourists, that’s who. Taste the dance floor, everyone.
The Oilers will win 45+ games this season and they will make the playoffs. Even with that, the floor for this team, a great team, is baffling. Two seasons in a row. Two different coaches. I think there’s cause for concern, even with the spike we know will come. I think the Oilers defensive structure isn’t strong enough to hold for long periods. They need more support and discipline.
How many times do we talk about a basic thing like standing up at the blue line? Why does that always regress? I don’t know. The Oilers, in my opinion, have never really adopted the idea of team defense as a priority. It’s something they do until things get going offensively, but there isn’t a pure devotion to the defensive game. The Oilers are the French in World War 2.
Spot on.
100%. Game one goal two I said “I have seen this movie before” and changed the channel.
I think it is because none of the stars enjoy the defensive side. It is always a chore. In contrast with players like Toews and Kopitar, who enjoy beating opponents up and down the ice.
I do think they need to bolster their D but we talk about the defence not standing up whenever it’s the forward group not coming back and letting them step into that gap. This team has a decent defensive structure in the middle of the ice provided the forwards are doing their job. McDavid’s line has been the worst offenders so far.
And while not in an ideal manner, technically the French won WW2!
Well put. I commented that it’s the top players that are failing. Connor, Leon and Bouch are the three top players, Ekholm for a while more, and until the first three start focusing on winning every shift by playing with more brains and less trying for amazing plays this won’t change
Every top player that gets to where they want to go ultimately seems to have had this decision to make. They also seem to have decided before a decade in the league. There is also that to my eye many of the eastern teams play a more playoff style all season, many teams in the west seem to play a more offensive fancier game, and try to tighten up at playoffs. But that can only work if you are getting plus saves
I’m not sure our guys are going to change. That is fine, but it puts the ball in Bowman’s court. It means he has to find the next Ekholm for Bouch, the Kurri for McDavid, the Anderson for Drai. I like that they added more ability in the top 6, and I think it will get better as it goes, but I don’t think the balance is quite right yet
No GM is perfect, and despite the criticisms Bowman has walked through this with the Hawks one way or another, finding the pieces to build a three Cup team. These trade proof long contracts are a problem, we knew it would be, and now I think it’s making it hard to do the moves that need to be done, loving the players in question or not. No team should lock in any but the absolute top players if possible so there is the needed flexibility. Godspeed Oilers management
They looked bored with the preseason, now they look bored with the regular season.
The problem is they have to earn the right to play in the playoffs. Sooner or later, they’ve got to make the playoffs.
I may just come back at game 20 and see where they are! lol.
The pucks will start going in but this is a flawed team. They can win but definitely are a yo yo. They have 1 solid pairing on D. They need at least 2. Nurse is not a 2nd pairing D anymore, I am not trolling, I am a supporter but he just isn’t.
Happy Thanksgiving LT and all
from the platoon in BV.
I hate to say this, but a team is not a team, when teammates are told to sit at the end of the bench while our stars are overworked trying to get back into the game. Yes, some players are better than others, but not when they are exhausted. Perhaps a road trip will help.