Capitals at Oilers, G47 2024-25

by Lowetide
  • At home to: ANA (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • On the road to: SEA, BOS, PIT, CHI (Expected 2-1-1) (Actual 3-1-0)
  • At home to: LAK (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • On the road to: MIN, COL, VAN (Expected 1-1-1) (Actual 2-1-0)
  • At home to: WAS, VAN, BUF, SEA, DET (Expected 3-2-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • Overall expected results: 8-4-2, 18 points in 14 games
  • January result: 7-2-0
  • Oilers in 2024-25: 29-14-3, 61 points in 46 games

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dangilitis

I would say that the biggest need the Oilers have at the deadline is a scoring winger, unless they really believe that Kane will be that winger. Or that they can get Skinner into the top 9 and get him going.

We can talk about S Skinner all we want. But…

The Oilers are top notch in scoring chances, xGF, xGA, but when I last checked they were 21st in the league in shooting percentage.

Last edited 2 hours ago by dangilitis
OriginalPouzar

They were also 7th in goals scored per game coming in (well, a day or two ago at least).

LMHF#1

A coach that can’t see his way to play his 3rd most talented scorer with a powerplay and the goalie pulled has problems.

Knoblauch is showing a rather large blind spot this season.

Litke 94

Expected goals 5.1 to 1.8 for the Oilers. Yes, goaltending was the difference. Could Skinner outduel Thompson in a Stanley Cup Final? Maybe. But after seeing tonight, I’d want some insurance in net to be sure.

dangilitis

So in other words, we were 3 goals short on Thompson and Skinner was one goal extra against.

What was the bigger problem, S Skinner not saving that extra shot or the Oil not finishing just 1 of those extra 3 expected? Thompson wasn’t unbeatable tonight

Funny Bissonness

Really good game! Logan Thompson was excellent. Wish we won, but one of the more enjoyable losses. Oilers are playing fun hockey to watch frequently these days.

anti-Trust Issues

Probably the best team they’ll play on this homestand before the end of the month – hopefully they get revenge against the Canucks and finish the month on a winning streak.

dsr29

Caps riding the PDO pony to perfection this year.

OriginalPouzar

Good game – damn.

Caps played a good defensive game. Edmonton did two but a mistake by Arvy, a bad goal on Skinner and a mistake by Kulak/Stecher.

Have to think McDavid would have made a real difference in this one.

Moonlight

.786

GB&Q

Goddammit

LMHF#1

Hyman did nothing that whole time, including on the tap in pass. Ugh.

anti-Trust Issues

Not complaining but I didn’t see a trip? The phantom/make up calls this game are galling

Jerk

He keeps skating, not a dive, stick and hand in the body. Looked like tripping. Are we talking about another play, or are you saying he tripped without contact, or, he dived?

LMHF#1

6 out, powerplay, no Skinner.

FFS Knoblauch…

dangilitis

He earned to be out there tonight

MushedPeas

Now or never. Put Skinner on PP1

anti-Trust Issues

In hindsight probably a better fit on that PP than Ekholm

anti-Trust Issues

Oilers seem disjointed/out of gas in the third. Hopefully they can find a way to tie it up. Disappointing game from Stu so far.

MushedPeas

I’d be happy w a lucky goal to salvage this. Ideally by Nurse or Skinner (redemption) or Podz (reward).

JJS

Need to generate some shots. Been stuck on 29 for a bit.

dangilitis

Ovi is craving an open net. Hopefully he doesn’t get that opportunity

BornInAGretzkyJersey

Never realized Tom Wilson was such a pushover.

MushedPeas

funny rite?

LMHF#1

That 53 guy who doesn’t play D was the one who pressured Wilson into screwing up that chance

John Chambers

Arvidsson taken off the top line because he’s playing terribly

JJS

Agreed. Noticeably bad. We need RNH, Bouch and Arvi to rise the next few games. Tonight has been the opposite

leadfarmer

So can where’s that Ty emberson extension?

prefonmich

He impresses me more every game I watch him play. So smart and calm with the puck and seemingly never out of position.

DevilsLettuce

Young Steve Staois

MushedPeas

Exactly. me n friend ha e been texting about it.

dangilitis

That’s nacho goal, Ovie…

OriginalPouzar

A third great kill – hope they don’t give one up right after for the third time….

LMHF#1

Stripe solidarity is a thing.

I say we embrace it and become the hardest building to ref in. No appeasement. Open verbal and presence-based hostility.

MushedPeas

That would be…awesome.

self defeating (cult, gang), but awesome.

LMHF#1

Would it though? The personality types that gravitate to reffing crave obedience and shrink away from shows of strength.

MushedPeas

I feel these bullies won’t back off because the biggest dogs in this fight are backing them.

leadfarmer

That is a weak weak penalty

MushedPeas

Perry. Having a heckuva game.

OriginalPouzar

What’s that call for?????

fishman

Being an Oiler

leadfarmer

Perry put a little extra cheese on that shot.
ok I’ll show myself out

LMHF#1
BornInAGretzkyJersey

Perry kissed a goal and I liked it.

fishman

Nachogate….

GB&Q

That’s like, what… 30$ worth of nachos?

fishman

Likely most expensive nachos in the city.

OriginalPouzar

Didn’t expect Perry to rip home a one-timer from distance…..

GB&Q

Great goal. Moron fan.

leadfarmer

Skinner costing us the game. Hasn’t had many saves to make and decided he just wasn’t going to save anything

MushedPeas

Not sure how you pin any of this on Stu.

Last edited 2 hours ago by MushedPeas
OriginalPouzar

The 2nd goal was a meh point shot from a defensive d-man with no screen that Skinner whiffed on.

dangilitis

He didn’t cost us the game. He just didn’t save any of the 3 high danger chances, while for the umpteenth time we got goalied

Fuhr and Lowething in Vegreville

Continually losing games while egregiously outshooting the opposition is getting so tiresome.

Sure cap hit, sure there are worse goalies, sure, sure and sure.

Sure.

OriginalPouzar

Kulak basically got walked, terrible angle and Stecher just did a fly by……

jp

So the 3 game suspension wasn’t enough.

Not nearly it seems.

LMHF#1

Knoblauch not being able to figure out how to change his powerplay lineup is pretty weak.

DevilsLettuce

Ekholm replacing Bouchard isn’t a change?

LMHF#1

He’s done that before and just leaves the structure intact. That won’t work. 93 can’t fill 97s shoes. Arvidsson is not a threat.

53-29-90
14-2

Focus on point shots. Leon and Skinner for zone entries. Perry is in front. Leon distributes and Skinner is weaving to open areas to set up the wrister. Alternate play is behind the net.

DevilsLettuce

97 is out so let’s removing 3/4 of the PP? Nah.

LMHF#1

The powerplay still isn’t that good this year.

leadfarmer

Why isn’t Skinner on the top pp.

Crazy Pedestrian

Becauseoilers

OriginalPouzar

Gotta find a way to bang one through this period….

prefonmich

What has happened to Bouchard’s willingness and ability to get a shot through. Someone needs to remind him he can score off a wrister too. Especially on pp. Just get shots through. He used to be amazing at this.

MushedPeas

confidence.

he’ll be back.

im just happy it’s a contract year.

red14

Had to figure out how to log in again, reset my password so I could say that Bouchard’s stick is where plays are going to die right now. But that usually means he has a snipe up his sleeve. Book it.

SVR

Oilers playing well for the most part. Bouchard struggling with decision making. Thompson better than Skinner the difference so far

LMHF#1

Get Hopkins outta there. He can’t be relied upon in that powerplay role with McDavid not there.

prefonmich

I would not put Arvidsson back out on this pp.

Tarkus

Summarizing!

A rare loss for London, and soup was not on the menu for either O’Reilly or Nicholl.

OriginalPouzar

That’s not “veteran guile” that’s interference.

MushedPeas

to my eye replay made it look more borderline. Obstruction for sure, but well executed.

MushedPeas

Perry looking…tired.

prefonmich

It infuriates me that people start talking about goaltending based solely on shot differential. Did you see the two goals given up? This is best/most opportunistic team in NHL. The score is NOT on Stu Skinner.

DevilsLettuce

The second goal was ugly, tender needs to make a stop there.

dsr29

The first goal is not on Skinner at all. The second goal is a bad goal on any goalie. So yes part of the score can be attributed to the goalie.

OriginalPouzar

The second goal was absolutely awful. There was no screen, he missed it.

OriginalPouzar

Expected goals on NST are about 3.5 to 1, in favor of the Oilers.

That’s about right by my eye (although 3.5 is a bit high).

The first goal against was solely on Arivdsson but the second goal was solely on Skinner.

Litke 94

I am now officially in Camp We Gotta Improve Goaltending.

I don’t want to trade Skinner, but I don’t think it would hurt to have a second netminder with a higher ceiling. Maybe Gibson? No clue how the money would work, but I think it needs to be looked at.

fishman

I think our inability to finish hurts us just as much. Outside of 29 + 97 a lot of guys not getting much done when it comes to cashing chances.

prefonmich

That and screens- get to net when d are in position to shoot!

Litke 94

Sure, but Skinner is ranked 58th in the league in goals saved above expected (min. 5 games played), and 34th if you look at 5v5. There is significant room for improvement there.

Paulie

Bouch and Nuge struggled on pp. Bouch having tough night passing and shooting so far.

JJS

Nuge has the yips tonight

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