10 Years Ago, on a cold dark night

by Lowetide

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When it comes to RD, Gustav Lindstrom is the only UFA of interest to me that is still available. I would seriously consider signing him and try to sign him on a 3 year deal at league minimum.

I think his is vastly undervalued and under tutelage of a fellow viking and Paul Coffey could grow as a #7/3rd pairing defender

https://theleafsnation.com/news/gustav-lindstrom-good-fallback-option-if-jani-hakanpaa-deal-falls-through

Scungilli Slushy

Great find. He has the look of a player not getting a chance, his main partner was Vaakanainen who had worse rel stats. And he’s not small

anonymous

I’d bet on on a Drai extension this morning so Stan can stand at the podium smiling….

Last edited 3 months ago by anonymous
Ryan

Looking for left-handed d who could potentially fill our 2RD hole at the deadline (expiring contracts), it’s a bit tricky.

Many of the guys I’m looking at are pretty slow, Provorov, Pettersson, Gavrikov, Doumolin…

I was surprised to see that OEL is still pretty fast. I guess that’s how the Kulikov OEL pairing didn’t get too exposed. He’s in the 83rd percentile.

Theodore is speedy (78th percentile). Heiskenan is really fast 93rd percentile.

Broberg is only in the 63rd percentile.

Rutta is a right-handed player on an expiring contract. $2.75m. He’s old, but surprisingly fast, 89th percentile.

Does Rutta having anything left in the tank? He’s been playing 19:43 per game on the Sharks. His fancy stats and PuckIQ’s are abysmal.

Scungilli Slushy

I liked Rutta in the day and wanted the Oilers to get him, but it looks like he’s done

OriginalPouzar

Stan Bowman had a “Sit Down with Stauffer” on Oilers +. If was the same day as the media avail and the one-on-one Bowman did on Oilers Now so nothing earth shattering.

Didn’t mention Leon’s name but said “we’ve got great players” and “we’re going to keep them”.

Also talked about that type of contract being more than just a negotiation which is between the manager and the agent but its a collaboration between the player and management and he’s looking forward to developing a relationship with Leon and talking to him about his vision.

OriginalPouzar

Sorry for the re-post, the first one wasn’t showing up, or at least it didn’t appear to.

Bobcaygeon

I felt the same about The Oilers 2011 draft, I was happy with both RNH and Klefbom, great start to the draft.
Then absolutely baffled the Oilers took Musil over Jenner.
build down the middle, take BPA.
the Oilers completely disregarded the second round and beyond for years.

OriginalPouzar

Stan Bowman had his “Sit Down With Stauffer” drop on Oilers + today.

Not much of note (this was done the same day as the media avail and that Bowman was on Stauff’s show).

He did say that we have good players “and we are going to keep them”.

He also talked about these type of deal being more than a negotiation- that part is with the agent and the money will take care of itself – but its a collaboration between the player and management and he looks forward to developing a relationship with Leon and collaborating on the vision.

Todd Macallan

Keep them indeed. Haven’t listened yet but apparently Bob tonight said he’s spoken with Liut and its “realistically” an 8 yr deal for Leon.

OriginalPouzar

I haven’t listened to tonight’s Oilers’ Now yet either.

I would expect Leon would want 8 years but that should reduce the AAV. If Leon were to sign, say, a 5-year deal, he’d be extending going in to this 36-year old season and would not get the same type of AAV.

Anything over 4-5 years SHOULD start to bring the AAV down, hopefully close to $13MM (although the $13.25MM for Matthews makes it tough to see it lower).

Sierra

I thought I read that the rumour is 8 year @ 13.8M per.

OriginalPouzar

I’ve heard/read that and, personally, for an 8-year term, I think its too high. That makes sense for me on a 5-year term. Any term over 4-5 years SHOULD reduce the AAV but that won’t necessarily happen.

BuceriasBrian

“Backed by his father, Scotty, and then-Blackhawks president John McDonough, Stan Bowman was elevated to GM”. HMMM makes you wonder what Jeff Jacksons relationship with Scotty is

Last edited 3 months ago by BuceriasBrian
daniel

I don’t really think any of it is particularly relevant but these are the relationships I’m aware of…

Jackson and Stan Bowman: DeBrincat contract.

Jackson played one game for Chicago, his last in the NHL in 1991-1992.

Scotty Bowman was the coach for Holland’s first two cups with Detroit.

Last edited 3 months ago by daniel
cowboy bill

Scotty is 90 years old.

BuceriasBrian

A father always stands behind his son and will help him further his life any way he can. Scotty has many connections in hockey and is highly regarded in the hockey community. Hiring his son is good karma and will bring the Oilers only positive results.

Scungilli Slushy

An angry toned take down by some old fart reporter. There is nothing but his own speculation in that. Bowman may have had no part but he was AGM and in the org so a complete discredit without some kind of evidence is a bit harsh and seems less than a professional approach

Maybe he’s pals with Fischler

Fuhr and Lowething in Vegreville

Sure maybe, but the optics are still horrible, especially since Bowman is not even considered to be the best choice based on resume alone.

The fact that this organization chose him is just bizarre to me.

Scungilli Slushy

Agreed. I don’t like his track record, but on the other hand the Wirtz’s are active owners. Sort of like how it was for Holland in Detroit

So it’s very hard to tell who is deciding what. I’m not a fan but I have said this about Chiarelli. From everything that was happening then, who was around the team, I don’t think fingers got mostly out of the pie until Holland came aboard

winchester

That article was so uninspiring. And why Jackson why?

You just didn’t do Bowman any favours except get him a large paycheck. It will be very, very difficult road for him, and moreso in Edmonton. One mistake, one mistake and hes sunk.

cowboy bill

He’s basically set up for success .

Scungilli Slushy

That’s how I see it. A less engaged market would have been better for him. Unless he starts crushing things there will be a lot of criticism

defmn

Every time somebody here links to The Hockey News my first reaction is ‘I didn’t know they are still around’.

Scungilli Slushy

Heh heh

Mayan Oil

To me, THN is largely irrelevant now, and has been for a few years. I haven’t seen anything relevant and original from them for a long, long time. Ther stories from them I see in recent years are the same as other more timely outlets have been reporting, often more than 1 or 2 weeks before THN finally gets around to regurgitating thier plot lines in their own story. Sad – I used to love THN back in the day.

daniel

Oh sure. But an interesting and different path of vitriol for this hire: “How dare you credit Stan!”

Scungilli Slushy

Given the cap situation, what they need to do with RD is get that analytics dept scouring and giving the pro scouts leads. They need a competent under the radar type I think to offset Nurse’s cap hit

There must be someone. If Forsling can go from waivers to first pair on a championship team

winchester

Ethan Bear had a flash of success

The Great One

Brock Faber signed for 8X$8.5 million in Minnesota.

21 years of age.

Another team locking in key young players identified early.

Reja

This is the team you should be hitching your horse instead of L.A. Guerin is ruthless he has 1 more year of pain then it’s contender time for years to come.

The Great One

$13 million in cap space freed up season after next but still a lot of work to do as they have several D in their 30’s.

Ozoil

Mate, this is one of his 31 teams that he told us about.

Side

Another D that LA overlooked.

dulock

No way that paying a player after one season of decent point production and ok fancy stats could go badly. Just look at Nurse…..

The Great One

Faber was a Norris candidate as a rookie.

Faber is signed for a million less than Nurse.

The cap is significantly higher than when Nurse signed.

Nurse’s contract is buyout proof thanks to a NMC and huge annual signing bonuses…Faber has none.

Faber is a RD which is intrinsically more valuable than a LD.

Which contract would you bet on?

One of the worst in the league or a contract that has the potential to be the best in the league?

Ryan

Faber is an interesting draft selection. I think Bader acknowledged that his model missed him.

He’s 6’1” and 200 lbs which isn’t big by NHL standards.

No math would have made him jump out during his draft year.

NHl Edge data does shed some light on him. His top speed is listed at the 96th percentile.

Last edited 3 months ago by Ryan
The Great One

It seems everyone overlooked him including Minnesota who drafted Ryan O’Rourke ahead of him in the second round of the 2020 draft,

Truculence

Good points on how it was an interesting pick and how the stats did not pop out, compared with the 1st rounders. I heard Faber usually declined playing PP during his development, even with his strong puck-moving skills, to play more ES & PK against the top players each game. The kid is a workhorse. Playing NCAA would have helped his development, compared with D prospects who stayed in the CHL.

OriginalPouzar

Shane LaChance named co-captain for BU – great acknowledgement for a sophomore!

John Chambers

Teams need to build a core around an age cluster. A group of 4+ players who will play 5 or more years together.

Jeff Gorton and the Canadiens are doing a good job of this today. Trading for Alex Newhook and Kirby Dach who fall in the same age category as their high draft picks. Shame about injuries.

Meanwhile I don’t understand the Los Angeles Kings. They have aging legacy players, mid-career players who have plateaued, and an underwhelming group of up-and-comers, Byfield notwithstanding.

The Great One

Byfield 21
Laferriere 22
Turcottte 23
Thomas 24
Kaliyev 23 ?
Anderson 25
Spence 23
Moverare 25
Clarke 21

All drafted by the Kings and expected to be on the roster in the fall with the exception of Kaliyev who may be traded.

greenshifter

Wow, high impact group right there

SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

Just imagine if they had Durzi, Vilardi, Roy or Kupari to add to that youngin group?

Rob Blake is such a great GM for the Oilers and I mean that sincerely!

The Great One

Vilardi scored 36 points for Winnipeg and was injured again.

Kupari scored ONE point in 28 games.

Matt Roy wanted a retirement contract and got one from Washington that ends when he is 35.

Durzi was moved for cap space and was blocking Spence and Clarke.

Durzi would seem to be a loss but not a critical one given other available options.

The rest are pablum.

PennersPancakes

Vilardi put up 4 points in 5 playoff games. He was healthy when it mattered.

Despite only playing 47 games Vilardi would have been 5th in goals on the Kings. If hes healthy next seasons theres a very real chance he has more goals than anyone on the kings.

OriginalPouzar

Durzi was blocking a guy that ended up playing 50 games in the AHL…..

Side

Life is too short to be spending it coming up with stuff like this.

The enthusiasm you have for LA reads like fanfiction.

Last edited 3 months ago by Side
OriginalPouzar

Wow, if the core includes a turn 24 year old tweener (Turcotte) and turning 25 year AHLer (Thomas), a turnin 23 year old bottom sixer (Laferriere), etc……
Yikes!

John Chambers

If that’s their core they can expect to finish somewhere between Calgary and Utah in the standings. Not a bona fide top line player or top-pair D in the whole group.

The Great One

Both Byfield and Mikey Anderson give lie to that claim.

Byfield has two complete seasons on the top line and Anderson has had several as #1LD.

Laferiere is also a top 6 forward.

In his latest evaluation Wheeler also had Clarke as one of the top 10 prospects in the league and expects him to land as as an elite offensive RD.

Last edited 3 months ago by The Great One
Side

Remember when LA traded Faber? Faber could have anchored the 2nd line while Clarke meanders in his development.

The Great One

Brandt Clarke just turned 21.

No meandering involved.

OriginalPouzar

LOL, at 21, Evan Bouchard was “not an NHL player” and getting left behind by his draft cohort.

Narratives!

This is like Valimaki for Norris all over again.

Last edited 3 months ago by OriginalPouzar
The Great One

Apples to apples.

Final junior season:

Bouchard – 45GP 16G 53P
Clarke – 31GP 23G 61P

AHL season;

Bouchard – 54GP 7G 36P
Clarke 50GP 10G 46P

Notice anything?

OriginalPouzar

Want to add the age difference for context – Faber turning 21 with 3 months left in the regular season – Bouchard not turning 21 until the next season had started.

SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

What are your thoughts on Bouchard?

We had a decent back and forth late last summer about him popping. He ended up a touch shy of the 100 point plateau but his shooting % landed right where I thought it would. Seems to me he has a runway to runaway status if he keeps up the progression.

I’d like to see the coaching staff find a role for him on the PK this year. Can’t be a full fledged #1D if you don’t take on the best of the best in all game states.

Side

For the last 2 years you have been saying Clarke would be starting each season anchoring the 2nd line playing Norris quality D and the last 2 years he barely saw any NHL action.

Based on your expectations, he certainly is meandering.

Last edited 3 months ago by Side
SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

Byfield stepped up a tad in the playoffs but I think that had more to do with his linemates than any unique play driving ability. L.A.’s model the past few seasons is grinding away the creativity of anyone under the age of 30 and that’s a longterm risk to any of these kids.

Byfield the one player on that list that could be a driver. I’m not sold on Clarke but will wait for more play before making a call here. Coaches and GMs are about one season away from waking up to the dexterity issues of smaller defensemen and L.A. is running out of time to shelter him on the backend before he’s left facing much Bigger forwards on a regular basis. They need to get him into the lineup this year.

OriginalPouzar

I think the Oilers will miss McLeod more than many.

He really was a solid defensive center, notwithstanding some tough moments in the playoffs, that had shown some ability to take on tough minutes (2023 playoffs).

He showed some real ability to produce when playing up the lineup.

He was turning in to an excellent PK guy.

His speed was undeniable and it really added to “team speed” in the bottom six and his transition out, through and in, was real.

He was value for his apx $2MM cap hit even if he didn’t shoot enough, he didn’t consistently go to the hard areas, etc., etc.

At the same time, that cap hit was going to go up for 2025/26 and the ceiling of Savoie, combined with his 3-years on an ELC certainty, was one of those deals that had to be made.

I am hopeful we see a 47 points in 41 games start from Savoie in the AHL and he’s a real option come the strech drive.

Was are the chances of a Logan Stankoven type 20 year old season?

Reja

You have to give to get. McLeod with his speed will be in this league another 10 years never scoring more than 15. Savoie has a legit chance of hitting big are being a better trading chip than the perimeter McLeod. We also save money on the cap with hopefully getting a cost controlled scorer for years to come.

defmn

‘Proven’ for ‘potential’ is always a risk but teams that don’t take risks usually end up in the mushy middle as 1st round losers or mid range drafting teams.

I am a big fan of this kind of trade in this situation. They gave McLeod’s job to Henrique creating a surplus and bet the winnings on a big payday.

Reja

Even at 34 Henrique is hands down a better Centre then McLeod is. As soon as Henrique signed McLeod immediately phoned 2 Guys with a Truck and booked a open departure date.

Scungilli Slushy

McLeod lost his confidence in the playoffs. 3 5v5 points in 24 playoff games, 7th in forward TOI. He had a rough year with his brother and all, but doesn’t play a rounded game, and I think that changed minds

22/23 playoffs he was better. His stats were good, except GF% at 44.44. He’ll be 25 this season, he is who he is as a player. Nice kid, I hope the lesser lights of Buffalo suit him better, but they made the right bet on this one

who

I would prefer Mcleod to Henrique right now. And I think a lot of people will agree with me by the end of next year.
Henrique looked slow at times last year, and at 34, I don’t see him getting quicker.
I understand the trade. The Oilers dealt from a surplus to gain some cap space and improve their prospect pool, but they will miss Mcleod.

SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

In isolation McLeod for Savoie is a hockey trade that’s very reasonable for the Oilers. But I’m a tad nervous at all the 30+ year olds being asked to play roughly 100 games next season with little to no cover in the event of injury. Doubly so when all of them sans Perry are on PK/shot block duty.

OriginalPouzar

Is there “little to no cover” – right now, outside of the opening night lineup is Derek Ryan, Raphael Lavoie, James Hamblin, Lane Pederson, Matt Savoie, Noah Philp.

No team has a legit top 9 forward outside their healthy lineup – the Oilers have some solid cover.

SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo!

Two guys clearly past the hill who fade hard at >8 min/night and a grand total of eight NHL games amongst the rookie class isn’t exactly cover if your 3C goes down for an extended period.

cowboy bill

I’m going to say, Ryan & Perry won’t be seen on opening night. There’s too much cover. They will be mentoring in Bakersfield.

Reja

Henrique is a positional Centre who has hands. Have you ever worked with anyone and wondered how they got the job done so well yet quietly. Then there’s McLeod whose all flash but doesn’t really accomplish anything at the end of the day.

Mayan Oil

I used to work with a guy like that, appeared to work sooo hard but accomplished so very little doing it. Used to drive me nuts.

cowboy bill

Holloway has something to do with it too.

OriginalPouzar

Sure, maybe – of course the 10 year age difference has one being a more impactful player over the next decade than the other.

It was a great sign and trade.

cowboy bill

I foresee an influx of youth into the lineup in the bottom six. Simply because of the veteran presence and the need to be cap compliant.
Savoie & Philp could be in the starting line up on opening night.

Janmark-Henrique-Savoie
Holloway-Philp-Brown

Could even switch Janmark & Holloway around .

Last edited 3 months ago by cowboy bill
Optimism is like heroin

I am In favor of Philp if he can make the squad. We need to fill out the bottom pair of pk forwards and he would be one.

I would instead run
Holloway – Henrique – Kane
Janmark – Philp – Brown
Savoie would play every game someone has a booboo to get in 50 or so games this year

cowboy bill

Who knows what is going on with Kane? With or without him it’s solid.

cowboy bill

They want Holloway to PK. Honestly the team looks prepared to move on from Kane.

Optimism is like heroin

I wish the Ahl had some better stats for us to see how well his pk is there. He hasn’t really done any time on the pk on the NHL. As for Kane I think keeping him for this season is what will make the forward core elite. Him on ltir would make it tricky to upgrade the rhd at the deadline however.

AsiaOil

Barron would is a third pair option on a SCF contender – not top 6 – so count him out. Andersson will never be traded to EDM – scratch. Zub……we maybe – but would OTT give him up for less than a ridiculous overpay?. Addressing this issue will define the success or failure of the new mgmt team. Tough nut to crack.

cowboy bill

Barron isn’t even listed as a roster player for Montreal.

winchester

That’s the right pond to be fishing in. The one others are driving by.

cowboy bill

Ok Ceci & Kemp for Barron. Then Oilers would have three RFA’s to sign, Holloway, Broberg & Barron.

OriginalPouzar

Is there anything real to indicate that makes the current team better?

Of note, Barron was 6th for PK TOI/G for the Habs d-men.

Ceci played over 53 minutes of PK in the playoffs, often first unit against PP1 and was on the ice for ZERO goals against.

defmn

I think that IF they land Barron or similar – and that is a huge IF imo – the play is to move Kulak and keep Ceci as insurance .

Ekholm – Bouchard
Nurse – Barron
Broberg – Ceci

Something like that.

OriginalPouzar

That does seem to balance the sides better but I’m still stuck on replacing Kulak (or Ceci) with Barron and that making the team better…….

defmn

Yup. There are really only two paths imo. The one that leads to the Barron aisle or the one where Kane is known to be on LTIR for the season and that one leads to the 30 something, overpaid guy on a team that won’t compete this year and whose team is willing to eat 30-50% in return for yet another high draft pick of prospect.

That’s it imo. There is no third path.

defmn

What has to be subtracted from the current roster in order to acquire any of these players is my question.

A late 1st rounder and a prospect isn’t going to get it done imo for any of the three other than Andersson and that still leaves the third party cost since I agree with you that Conroy will never trade him directly to Edmonton.

Neither Ottawa nor Montreal are interested in slowing their rebuild at this point so they would both want a roster player with similar value and that is where I find Edmonton lacking. Really only Broberg or Holloway would be of interest to either team and I am not certain they are enough given the shortage of RD in the league.

AsiaOil

Agree. Unless JJ pulls another McLeod for Savoie deal that involves Ceci – all we can do is get under the cap by trading the guy who Broberg replaces and wait for the deadline. With Broberg ready the least risk option is trading Kulak and giving Broberg the 3 LHD slot. That’s not a downgrade and Kulak definitely has value. Trading Ceci makes our RHD perilously thin even if he is a third pair guy now.

So barring a miracle trade that swaps Nurse for an equivalent (but cheaper) RHD – trade Kulak and wait for the deadline to welcome Adam Larsson home.

Last edited 3 months ago by AsiaOil
Ozoil

Technically 3rd pair is top 6