In the euphoria of winning the Connor McDavid lottery, imaginations ran wild among Oilers fans. I remember having a conversation that day with a friend about the number of Stanley Cups that would be won during 97’s time with the team.
My friend felt 3-6 would be a fair estimate. I suggested one. We are good friends, so there was no rage, but I will say both of us were surprised by each other’s opinion. I’m the emotional one, my friend is the measured human. My belief, and it has come to pass, is that the Oilers were very young in important areas (owner, management, coaching) and the roster was a mess.
The roster had talent, but there was always something. Teddy Purcell had great hands, but his boots were shy. The organization was fixated on sideways moves (Will Acton for Anton Lander, Jesse Joensuu for Teemu Hartikainen) while being unable to get help that made a difference. Lennart Petrell was Lennart Petrell. Coaches and managers were flying in and out on a carousel. The new kids (Taylor Hall) were getting blamed for sins great and small, while the veterans (Eric Belanger is going to talk to Nail Yakupov) offered no cover for the youth on or off the ice. Frankly, it was a baffling period in franchise history.
These years later, the organization has grown, from ownership to through management, coaching and the on-ice product. Oilers fans can look at the healthy scratches in this year’s playoff run and point to legit NHL players who can help. The key is up the spine, led by homegrown talents McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Evan Bouchard, Darnell Nurse and Stuart Skinner.
Ken Holland brought in Zach Hyman, Mattias Ekholm and others. The roster is far better than it was on his arrival and that’s for sure. Jeff Jackson appears to have put his stamp on the team by hiring Kris Knoblauch as coach, and will have another hire at general manager in the days to come.
In the article above, I wrote about James Stefan and what his signing means. Michael Parkatti is the second individual who could be reasonably associated with the Oilogosphere to occupy an office in the Oilers compound. The organization had Tyler Dellow a decade ago, but evidence suggests the recommendations made by him did not (mostly) see the light of day.
Stefan is the first indication (for me) of a change in direction for the organization in procurement. His NHL equivalency at age 17 in the WHL was 29, and that’s a fine number. He has areas of strength in his game and he’ll have a chance to find his way to the NHL. A good chance. That’s all this is, getting good players, giving them icetime and watching them develop. Edmonton doesn’t have many draft picks each summer, so signing people like Stefan is the key to the highway.
I find myself feeling good about the organization now, today. I think the five years of Ken Holland as manager has allowed the organization to get its collective feet under them, to stop reacting to every little thing. If you think back on the ridiculous happenings of this organization a decade ago, from water bottle detentions to turning Eberle into Strome into Spooner, I think this way is better. Not perfect, but better.
Jeff Jackson so far, for me, represents the next step. I’m going to guess Holland’s replacement isn’t in the building at this time. I’m going to guess we see a draft and free-agent cycle run by the internal group and then an announcement in summer. I don’t know who the next general manager of the club will be, and it appears no one but Jeff Jackson knows his identity. That’s another sign of maturation, no leaks.
I vote for Eric Tulsky as next GM, but suspect the Carolina Hurricanes will keep him for a long time. If Jackson can hire the GM equivalent of Knoblauch? Music!
Enjoy the final. Breathe it all in. Kiss your person win or lose. Hug them tight. Raise a glass to this beautiful game and the blind, dumb luck that brought McDavid, Draisaitl, Nurse, Bouchard and the rest to this northern city. Celebrate! This is the good stuff.
Vinny and Broberg should be fresh.
I know we all hate when the coach puts McDavid and Drai together. Looking at high danger chances at nst there is support for the tactic however. Thought has to be to score 1 as soon as possible then see.
Together this playoffs they generate chances at a much higher rate together.
Together they generate 39.33 scf/60 and 17.5 hdc/60. Apart is averaged to 27 scf/60 and 12 hdc/60.
Also fatigue can’t be an issue. They just had a week off and at least an extra day between every game for the finals. No reason not to load up.
Tonight we got goalied but I have more confidence about the ultimate win after this loss.
Knobs consistently runs McDraiMan after a penalty kill, depending on what the opposition’s PP lineup was. This no one really has an issue with. It’s taking advantage of what is more often then not, weaker Dmen and 3rd liners.
He has also runs McDraiMan with Bouch/EK when there is a TV time out or definitely within the last minute of a period. Both are leveraging the fact that they can empty the tank because they’ll immediately get a rest.
Yes that I get and I don’t think anyone has issues with those deployments. They do also go to the whip when trailing, usually by the 2nd period.
One also has to factor in the effect it has on the other lines as well.
Also is there a deteriorating affect. What I mean is, what are the numbers for their first shift together, second, third, fourth? Does it get worse the more they play together in a game? (again plus what happens to the other lines)
https://x.com/DaCourage/status/1799642766240362888
https://x.com/hockeystatcards/status/1799637712011440562
I was getting incorrect toi data from Natural Stat trick during the game. It was showing Ekholm as the least amount, so I thought he was injured.
Not sure why the coaching staff didn’t give Broberg a sniff before the last 2 games of the season. He is clearly an NHL defenseman and is picking up steam.
Broberg was very, very good.
Great first game on the road.
A few adjustments to be made but Florida is beatable.
We were by far the better team
McDavid didn’t stay high as F3 on goal 1
Once again Knoblauch loads up line 1 and the game deteriorates. That’s exactly what happened last time. We were doing great until then. Panicked.
Apparently gotta shoot high on Bobrovsky
Perry stupid penalty. Some say it was weak. It was undisciplined as well.
Coffey looked pissed at someone after the second goal.
Heightened nerves can affect finishing. May have affected some of those non finishes tonight. Gotta have that Striker’s calm inside.
Well to me the Oilers had a lot of try but not much danger. Fla blocked out just enough for their goalie to mop up some fairly pedestrian chances.
Fla also had the slight edge in physicality and shut down the Oilers PP.
So, good for them, the series is following the pundits’ predictions.
Well, that’s getting goalie’d.
We made two key mistakes, and they went into our net.
We’re on to Game 2.
I think Maurice HAS to be in panic mode… we dominated the best 5×5 team in the league
One previous series Oil lost game one, they bounced back and triumphed. Expect the same resilience here! Just gotta bear down on chances.
Panthers finished their plays to the net front
The Oilers whiffed on breaks and did not get pucks to the front to guys with space to shoot and time
This has been an issue forever. It’s why the are punks at 5v5 GF%
Also Leon with 18 million high danger turnovers. My Gord pls stop!!!!
If he doesn’t and they lose there is no way I pay him 14M or whatever
Gone
Did you even watch the game???
Normally you make good points.
Jesus read what you just posted
https://x.com/BigHeadHcky/status/1799614393501851890
Shit happens on the way to glory. Tonight, Bob was that shit… he’s an f’n wall, but we were told his weakness was upstairs, did no one mention that to our shooters?!
I actually thought we played pretty well overall. Just need to get some shots higher, and create a little more chaos (including bump ‘n rub him) in front of him. He will open up.
I saw them trying in the late 2nd and 3rd. More blocker side shots and some 3rd and 4th liners shooting high blockers that seemed to rattle him. He barely closed his armpit on the one shot, and seemed stressed. They just need more of that next game. Just a few to start and I think they can get a groove going for a few games.
Down low the guy is impregnable, wrap-around attempts should be intended to pull him wide and create rebounds to the open side, rather than trying to sneak one by him. Keep the pressure up on him, go right at him, block his view, push defenders into him, just plain disrupt everything in front. Then finish. Seems simple enough huh!?
I mean if that’s all Florida has to offer that’s just peachy.
I’ll take the odds of McDrai solving goalie Bob a lot more than I’d take FLA pitching shutouts while getting outshot and outchanced 2×1.
This is the weakest defensive team they’ve played since the L.A. series.
SayIt’s So Gretz!
The forwards were a mess tonight. Knoblauch has to resist the urge to McDrai.
I think
McLeod Draisaitl Foegele
Kane Henrique Holloway
Janmark RyanCarrick Brown
I prefer Holloway and Kane with Draisaitl, but the need to balance out the lines is more important. So give Henrique the better wingers, and Draisaitl the “junk”.
Foegle cannot come anywhere near top 6. He has proven that time and again. Same as Nurse and Ceci should also not come anywhere near each other as a pairing.
Perry is too slow.
No Bob narratives pls
They didn’t take one shot that was a hard one
https://youtu.be/omZPhiT2PeQ?feature=shared
BOBROVSKIII
Hate that the narrative is going to be that their forwards shut down McDavid when it should be that Bobrovsky shut down the Oilers
Don’t change a gord darn thing outside of getting Nurse and Ceci to clean up the blunders….. tall order, I know. Or just sit one of them if Vinny is good to go. Their forecheck is hard and chaotic. Wild how there aren’t more jailbreaks against.
Time for Nurse Broberg and Kulak Desharnais.
Broken record since last September.
You are a charming broken record 😉
Agreed. It’s time for Ceci to take a seat.
They played really good. Liked it. Got some flashbacks to the Winnipeg series. But I’m confident they figure it out this time. Fingers crossed…
Holloway continues to impress. Carrick replaces 37, methinks.
My eyes saw Perry as less effective than Foegele
Foegele was forechecking more effectively.
I think he might replace Perry, by far, the worst forward tonight.
Foegele does zero with the puck. The rest looks energetic
He has the Todd Marchant wheels,
but sadly the hands to go with it
He’s a chicken with his head cut off.
That’s a great one
Or a high speed boat with a tiny bit rudder
A dart without feathers
Got a case of the Yakupov bees
One of the all time classics!
Now the trick is to play the same game on Monday. If they can duplicate this performance they’ll win 4 out of the next 6.
Yeah I like their chances if they bring that game every night.
Don’t know what they are going to do about Nurse and Ceci though. Don’t see how they can leave them together. Nurse did not have a good game. Bad reads on both goals.
Couple of other observations
1. Cory Perry is done. Expecting 30 yr old Perry to reappear is just foolishness.
2. Evander Kane needs to be better. Maybe it’s just the injury, but he really hasn’t been a factor in many games.
Good news is Florida looks very beatable…
Oilers played great. Shit happens.
Kane is looking too slow out there. His injury might be too much to be effective in these games.
Agree on the first part. Kane was fine. Even with his injury he is value added to this team
Why run bouch and Mcdavid half the game. Just because you deserved to win doesn’t mean you get to win. Regroup and come back in two days. 80 times out of a 100 you get a win
Nurse / Ceci
GF 0 / GA 2
Nothing to do with Nurse.
Backtrack failure by Hyman and perhaps McDavid on first GA.
Ceci and Kane on the 2nd GA.
I think the D should know how to play a 3 on 2
Disagree, as Nurse was far too wide on the first GA.
Even on the second, he was in no-man’s land.
Bottom line, Nurse – Ceci pairing has been been caved in all playoffs. Split them up.
I agree on the forwards, I’ve posted this earlier. But, Nurse didn’t make good plays on either goals against.
Protect the middle of the ice on a 3v2. No reason for Nurse to be that wide, and no reason for Ceci to pressure Barkov and leave the middle since Barkov was on his backhand.
2nd goal Ceci got beat to puck and Nurse wasn’t ready.
That’s how I saw it too for both goals.
As for down votes (here and above) re: Nurse going too wide on the first GA, I’m stumped. How was it the right play to vacate the middle? Yes, McDavid was too low in Florida zone, and that lead to the rush. But if the D stayin the middle, it’s not a GA: Nurse stays with Barkov, there’s not much of a chance on net (McDavid was catching up, and could take Reinhar along boards; Ceci stays in middle…then no open slot for Verhaeghe, and if Verhaeghe stayed closer to blueline, Hyman was there, for any passes to a trailer from Reinhart).
if the concern was Barkov picking Nurse to give Reinhart a path to the net, mcDavid was right there (Reinhart had slowed and McDavid was gaining ground).
Maybe I’m missing something, but there’s no comments thus far, just down votes. Somebody care to explain how it was correct execution by Nurse?
I’m not hanging the game on Nurse (they were goalied, it happens). Just disagreeing with godot’s assertion that Nurse had nothing to do with either GA.
Nurse made one excellent hit on Tkachuk behind the Oiler net. But the problem is that neither Nurse nor Ceci can pass the puck out of the Oiler end, and when either one skates the puck out, the other one also gets out of position. There has to be someone who can pass well on each defensive pairing.
It’s the same 3-4 higher TOI guys all the time. It’s the difference from scraping by and dominating
If I was them, I would be worried.
They were outclassed in every area but goalering.
If boop faulters, they are toast.
Skinner only has to be a lil bit better.
Ill take this game we played and expect to win 97 out of 100
Agreed. Lots of good signs, despite the L.
Like I said this morning, we’re fielding more talent but need to finish our chances, and take advantage of powerplays… and well execution just wasn’t there tonight. Still early, but better find that mojo before they run out of tarmac.
Looking forward to the Game 2 adjustments
Maybe score?
What else you tell them? Have fun out there?
Shoot from everywhere. Better backchecks Split 25 and 5.
Florida sucks.
Honestly, they play like L.A., they suck. just do the same thing on Monday.
The Oilers are the worst at 6v5.
When was the last time the scored on one?!
We’re at least the worst at pulling our goalie. After two terrible pulls against Dallas, who calls Skinner to the bench when Bouch picks up the puck below our own hashmark? There was an active forecheck and no guarantee that we were going to get past the centerline.
Not really much to say about that game other that the Oilers put in quite a dominating performance at 5 on 5 but a combo of Bob playing very well and the Oilers not bearing down and execting/finishing with a couple defensive miscues and the game is lost.
This game is on lack of finishing/executing and Bob, WAY more than the couple of defensive issues as, truth be told, the Panthers made materially more egregious defensive blunders leading to 5-alarm chances.
The loss suck, 100%, but he game is also encouraging knowing the Oilers can take it to this team and they goals will come – this group WILL start to finish.
P.S. Broberg is going to be a star in fairly short order!
100%
It’s just game 1 and Florida needed their goalie to steal a win.
Broberg with almost 2 mins more TOI than Nurse
Broberg has arrived. He moves the puck extremely well. And on his off hand side.
Go back to Nurse-Kulak. Run Broberg and Vinny together.
Nurse has the lowest TOI of all dman. Maybe KK will scratch him for a game and play Vinny instead. Nurse has to figure this out.
Nurse seems oblivious to defensive details when they matter most.
As I have said, Broberg is already the third best defenseman on the team. And he is just getting started.
Bro looked silky smooth skating the puck up the ice and was quick on retrievals. Also, he’s not getting knocked around like he used to.
McD and Kane both failed to stay with their man on the GA. Kane’s mistake more egregious to my eyes, left Rodrigues all along in the kill zone. McD caught below his man in o-zone, perhaps thinking Nuge was gonna get the puck. A reasonable gamble that didn’t pay off.
Let’s break some hearts…
I don’t like how much we’re playing the top guns chasing this game
It’s absurd. Again.
Why panic to McDrai so early?
Cheshire grin on Paul Maurice
That’s funny. Just had a week off and this series is the most spread out series in the history of the game. Too many minutes is simply not a factor at this point.
McDrai doing lots of D zone defending with Barkov….
Drai schooled by the forecheck there
So who is in and who is out next game? I’d try Vinnie for Ceci, Gags for Perry.
Foegele and McLeod both butter soft
Gotta save Gagner for the home game energy.
There is absolutely no chance that Gagner is getting in without 3 forwards that can’t play due to injury.
Houston, we have a problem.
Ekholm is the last Oilers d in toi.
Keep playing this game. You might lose. That’s always a risk. But keep playing it. You’re the better team. Bob will break.
Right now.
Empty The Tank!!!
LFG!!!
Is Ekholm injured?
Broberg is playing more than Nurse and Emholm at 5v5.
Makes sense, he looks good so far. You’re already down 2, it’s only game 1. If he has a growing pain type moment now’s a good time to learn when the goalie at the other end is doing the Conn Smyth thing.
He looks like Ceci when he pivots
Another early whistle on Bob scrambling to cover the puck
Excellent kill. Good to see they still got it
Nugent-HoPKins
We have now gone a full game 4v5 and outscored our competition 1-0. That is insane.
That was a weak weak call that we would never get if we were up 2-0
The same as the call on Bennett. Interference.
The severity of the play was not comparable
Severity is irrelevant to interference.
Several Oilers had done some pick plays in the last few minutes, was probably cumulative
Good gord that’s a weak call… how often does that happen in a game? And in the 3rd period…
Holloway held preventing a scoring chance but Perry gets called seconds later on interference that has been happening all game