This is a look at the Edmonton Oilers prospect pool in the fall of 2019. I chose specific categories as opposed to positions, and you can certainly quibble with some players being slotted in those spots. I would argue that Evan Bouchard, in spite of being more chaotic than most “complete” defenseman, does in fact qualify. His goal share since 2022-23 at five-on-five (58 percent) is outstanding, and Bouchard is the latest (last?) home run draft pick by the Edmonton Oilers. How many complete defensemen are on the current prospect tree?
The Athletic article today is about a decade of treating the prospect pool like a never ending resource when it is clearly not a never ending resource. Article is here.
The 2019 prospect pool
From the group listed above, Bouchard, Stuart Skinner, Philip Broberg, Ryan McLeod, Ethan Bear, Caleb Jones, Mike Kesselring and Kailer Yamamoto made enough (or will make enough) of an impact to be considered men who have delivered NHL careers. What about now? (My top-20 prospects will be out next week at The Athletic).
Goalies: Olivier Rodrigue, Connor Ungar, Samuel Jonsson, Eemil Vinni, Nathaniel Day. This is an intriguing category. I count three (Rodrigue, Jonsson and Vinni) building a resume that resembles men who have played in the NHL. I’ll stop short of calling the modern Oilers a goalie factory, although it would get a chuckle. I will say this organization is far better than in the past.
Complete D: Beau Akey (more here). Akey is both a strong trade asset and a player Edmonton should move heaven and earth to retain. RH puck movers with some defensive tools have high value.
Two-way D: Noel Hoefenmayer, Ronnie Attard. Both are intriguing while being unlikely to emerge as 200-game NHL defenders.
Shutdown D: Max Wanner, Phil Kemp. Both men have things to recommend them, and both have areas that could keep them from the show. Kemp probably needs a second opinion.
Skill C: Tomas Mazura, Matt Copponi, Dalyn Wakely, William Nicholl. This is a quiet strength in the system. Nicholl has this prospects fan noticing his accomplishments in a fulltime role, and we’ll see. All other names here are a combination of interesting and niggling.
Two-way C: Sam O’Reilly, Noah Philp. Possibly the strongest position in the organization, despite the presence of just two names. O’Reilly has the most complete skill set on this list.
Checking C: James Hamblin, Jayden Grubbe, Maxim Denezhkin, Joel Maatta. Hamblin would be on the ‘two-way’ list but I don’t think he’ll score enough in the NHL. Grubbe is the one to watch here. He’s basically locked and loaded in the role he will play when arriving in the NHL (if he gets there). More offense wouldn’t go amiss.
Skill winger: Matthew Savoie, Roby Jarventie, James Stefan, Matvey Petrov, Brady Stonehouse. Savoie is the best prospect in the system and is showing well across all areas but power play (and the entire team is addled there). I think he’ll earn a recall during the season. Jarventie looks like an injury prone winger, Petrov isn’t moving the needle.
Power winger: Maxim Berezkin, Shane Lachance, Connor Clattenburg. Another sneaky strong position for the team, Berezkin specifically would have high trade value and could be a possible plug-and-play for Edmonton next fall. Don’t discount Stan Bowman’s ability to get him signed, this is an area of strength for the GM.
Two-way winger: Cameron Wright. A strong AHL player, not as prominent this season as last but I like him plenty and am glad Bowman signed him to an NHL deal.
WHAT TO EXPECT IN NOVEMBER
- On the road to: CAL (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
- At home to: NJD, VEG (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 0-2-0)
- On the road to: VAN (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
- At home to: NYI, NAS (Expected 2-0-0) (Actual 2-0-0)
- On the road to: TOR, MTL, OTT (Expected 1-2-0) (Actual 1-1-1)
- At home to: MIN, NYR (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 1-1-0)
- On the road to: UTA, COL (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
- Overall expected result: 8-5-0, 16 points in 13 games
- November results: 6-4-1, 13 points in 11 games
- Oilers in 2024-25: 11-9-2, 24 points in 22 games
The Oilers could exceed my projections with two wins to round out the month. I have it 1-1-0, that would mean a 7-5-1 month, just one point off my prediction. Close enough for jazz. Utah plays a determined game but have had injury issues, this is an opportunity for the Oilers to come out strong after a longish break. Expect rust early.
It’s Friday and that means all hell breaks loose on the Lowdown, Sports 1440 beginning at noon. Steve Lansky will join us from Inside the Truck podcast to help us set up the Utah game and the month of December for the Oilers. We’ll have lots of football (NFL and NCAA) talk and some baseball too. I’m at Lowetide on twitter, in the comments section here and on the Sports 1440 text line at 1.833.401.1440 directly. We can be heard at sports1440.ca; iHeartRadio; Radioplayer Canada, we tweet out the show after it’s done and you can catch us on Apple and Spotify.
The Athletic: What’s the collective impact of Edmonton Oilers’ mass asset exits over a decade?
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5955042/2024/11/29/oilers-assets-chiarelli-holland-bowman/
Awesome article LT.
The exodus of young talent is/was stunning.
IMO the Reinhart trade is genesis of the Oilers issues with retaining/developing young talent. The trade was so lopsided in terms of assets in and out. It has forced the Oilers to make more compromising trades/signing to acquire talent for the McD cluster.
Imagine this team with Carlo and Ek. Or whoever else you like from the 2015 draft.
This team was way too deferential tonight, and indeed, has been at times throughout the season. When RNH and Vasily made individual plays and took the clear shot, they were successful. When Skinner was at his best, he was firing shots at the net and causing havoc. On the PP the Oilers were shooting high volume, and it paid off. During the only unsuccessful PP, they made a series of brilliant passes in quick succession that I think ended up on Bouch’s stick, and he decided to re-set instead of shoot it.
Meanwhile, Utah was shooting with reckless abandon throughout the evening.
I truly think this is something they need to work/be coached through. Doesn’t mean that you have to take a bunch of low percentage shots. But when you have a 4 on 2 and you make 1 too many passes, most teams are coming back the other way on an odd man rush, and it burned them/nearly burned them multiple times. Clean looks in scoring positions can’t be passed up, whether its Drai or Henrique.
I don’t think they were too slow tonight, nor was the problem that they weren’t hitting enough. It was their passing efficiency
Nice to win a game they didn’t really deserve to win. I hope they start winning games they deserve to win against good teams.
Nice for the team to battle back and get the win. Wasn’t a Picasso but we’ll definitely take it. Thought Pickard played well and held them in until they got things going in the second half of the game
Oilers were rusty for sure, but they won and Utah played pretty well to my eye. That third line was impressive.
Shocking that Nostradamus (HH) hasn’t come on here to post more of his predictions. Yesterday he said the Flames were winning against CBJ and insulted the Nuge
He’s still mad that Nuge didn’t sign a 8 x 8.5 million contract with Seattle so he could frolick with his horses like he predicted.
Man this team could use a Peca, Dvorak, and J Smith. I don’t see the balance photo coming out any time soon
Very happy for Nuge. Nice shot.
Happy for Nuge! Hopefully it’s a goal that gets him going.
Not a big fan when they just give the OT winner the 1st star – amazing play by Nuge in OT but he was awful tonight for 61 minutes.
Good point. But sometimes it’s just like the pitcher who doesn’t have the stuff on a particular night and just battles through it and wins on guile. The strip and score by Nuge was beautiful. Got it done when they needed him most.
So was McDavid at even strength.
Made Bjustad look like Bergeron
Sure was – quite poor (relative).
in·es·cap·a·ble
/ˌinəˈskāpəb(ə)l/
adjective
adjective: inescapable
unable to be avoided or denied.
“political reform was inescapable”
BOOM!!! Nuge!!! Vintage 2015!!!
Nuuuuuuuuuge
HELL of puck battle and OT goal by Nuge.
Nuge, finally, was HUGE!
NUGGY!!!!!!!!
So nice for the Nuuuuuge!!
Not expecting it here but would love to see Nuge or Henrique as the hreo.
Whooop!
WITCH!!! 🤣🤣
Veggiemilk is athletic between the pipes
Watching replays, its unimaginable how awful McDavid was on the first goal against – not only the turnover but giving up on the back-check completely – he had every ability to check the goal scorer if he didn’t stop and glide.
The Glide on the backcheck is this team’s trademark. They backtrack like it is not their job.
97 is the fastest guy in the league yet you see #97 also in photo for many a rush GA. Doesn’t seem to prioritize D side of pucks
97 and 2 are full marks for the dash 3
Not happy about OT but, after being down by two and now having a ton of legs tonight, will take the banked point to start.
75% chance the Oilers get call for a penalty on the first loose puck battle!
Selke Leon!
Klim with the Gordie tonight.
Should still be an Oiler. Stupid agent…
Could sure use what he brings!
Goodness me Nuge continues to struggle – and maybe even trending down somehow….
Bouch having some series Tyson Barrie moments this year.
Utes ramping up the effort. We gotta match they’re efforts!!!
Picks bailed us out but let’s get him some help, howsabout?
Brilliant save by Pickard.
Michaels should be fired into the sun! How many times does he need to mention a player with no points no goals blah blah. Every fecking time.
Brutal. Turned over with all forwards above the puck. No help for the d, there..,
2, 14, 97 are not reading off each other properly from the nuetral zone In. Compounding misreads = ultra HDs
The goal visualizer on nhl.com is very telling.
Nuge not helping Bouch on the over-load mini 2 on 1.
Yes, I WOULD very much like an insurance goal – extend this lead!
Nope.
Interesting reversal through two periods.
While Nurse is solidly plus across the board (including 1-0 goals), Kulak is getting CRUSH and Stecher helping Nurse crush.
Imo Gene needs that stache full time
I hope they realize that they’ve come back in this game by working harder and forcing the opposition into bad situations resulting in PPs.
Keep working hard. Keep attacking. It’s what we do best!
3 goals on 7 shots is what you call shooting percentage starting to revert back to the mean!
The rare Emberson/Bouchard shift…..
El Capitán!
BOOM!!! They can’t stop em all!!! Great shot and some great efforts by Perry to keep the plays alive!!!
Thank goodness I don’t have to try and find something to say…..
Finally back to pp dominance!
Relentless PP scores!!!!!
Great pressure – keep it up please.
Awful PP shift by McDavid….. until he scored.
HUGE keeps by Perry and Bouchard or that goal doesn’t happen.
Had the Corey Potter PP and now the Corey Perry PP
Some random observations; I don’t see any fans drinking loud mouth pops, is it a dry county? Oilers are playing just good enough to win. Maybe they are saving it for the playoffs. Donny Osmond used to make the girls slide right out of their seats.
One of my favourite Utah beers is Polygamy Porter!
BOOM!!! Drai is Johnny on the spot and buries!!!
Draisaitl is awesome
Great PP – lots of movement.
Yowzer special teams get us back in the game! Drai from his usual spot.
Oh, I see. You can interfere with the fastest player in the league but not the slowest, eh? Makes perfect sense…
Lets make them pay!!!
Rocket Leon.
Glad I didn’t turn this off (not that I would have….).