
I like to do these quick ‘line in the sand’ posts three times per season. It gives us an idea about how things are going, and how many “players of interest” have any kind of impact during the season to come.
The Oilers are a mature team. In recent seasons rookies haven’t been a major factor. The nature of the roster heading to training camp suggests we will in fact see at least one rookie of note play most or all of the season. Here’s the first look at 2025-26 rookies in Edmonton.
Total rookies of interest: There are 10. Matt Savoie leads the way, he had a strong AHL season and is the club’s top prospect. He isn’t a lock for the opening night roster, but you can see it from where he stands. I predicted just shy of 40 points in my reasonable expectations, but did note that could go higher with power-play time. People are going to be downbeat on Ike Howard after the rookie games, but for me the preseason opportunities will tell the tale. If he gets sent down early, expect a season in the minors. I have him playing in both Edmonton and Bakersfield, and getting around 10 goals. Additional names to keep in mind are Roby Jarventie, Viljami Marjala, Quinn Hutson, Alec Regula, Damien Carfagna and Beau Akey. David Tomasek and Atro Leppänen are newcomers, but not technically rookies, so I’ll include them in the conversation but acknowledge they do not qualify for the Calder Trophy.
2025 draft notes: Both of the top picks (Tommy Lafreniere and David Lewandowski) had their moments at the rookie camp and both have a chance. I also like Aidan Park’s resume. All are miles and miles from the NHL, as expected.
Best player as a rookie: Savoie should be a plug-and-play, the only sure thing on the roster. If he gets time with Draisaitl, as many of us expect, Savoie could deliver at a much higher rate than anticipated. The Yamamoto introduction in 2019-20 might be a bridge too far, but Savoie is a perfect fit for the big man.
Second best player as a rookie: I’ll give you my Games Played in the RE series as a guide: Savoie 76, Howard and Tomasek 50, Jarventie 9. So, of the group I’ve identified as players of interest, I’m projecting only four to make an NHL appearance.
Oldest rookie: David Tomasek. He is 29 and from my conversation with Jason Gregor a week ago it sounds like the coaching staff will be looking at him in a multi-dimensional capacity. That means skill lines, two-way deployment and some special teams could be on the table. Bottom line: there’s more than one way for Tomasek to make the roster.
Most unusual story I’ll choose Atro Leppänen, because his season in the Liiga is borderline impossible and he seemingly came out of nowhere. We don’t know what we don’t know, but there’s a Reijo Ruotsalainen vibe about his numbers. What if he’s really good?
Longest career Has to be Savoie, but I’ll include Howard in the conversation. He scores goals and may well prove to be more durable.
Anything else? Although I anticipate a “there’s no way nine rookies play for the Oilers” post from someone, the ‘rookies of interest’ segment is mostly about identifying players who are entering a window of opportunity. We all know some, or even most, won’t make it, but we’re talking about playing in a single game. Olivier Rodrigue qualified for that list a year ago, and made it. You never know who spent the summer running up that hill (Kate Bush aside). I had four newcomers playing at least a game in my reasonable expectations, it could be more. Hell, Connor Clattenburg could make the NHL for a game. Opportunities can appear for all manner of players.
On the Lowdown today, our feature guest will be Jason Gregor (1:20). We’ll chat Oilers camp, Elks disappointment, NFL weekend and more. Declan will have MMA talk and we’re live noon to 2pm on Sports 1440 radio and YouTube.
Keys for Edmonton Oilers to achieve all-important fast start in 2025-26
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6628323/2025/09/15/edmonton-oilers-nhl-start-2025/
Yevesyev’s strong start to the season continues.
Played 22:29, had another PP assist, plus one, could of shots, three blocks and a hit in a 5-4 win.
POP!
Interesting to listen to new 3rd rounder Tommy L. today. Mentioned that, based on testing at development camp, the org gave him some specific things to work on. Not just “skating” but his first 3 steps that tested slower than they would like and lagged behind his skating in general.
Not sure if that is something new to the org with their focus on development and Kalle Lassson’s team or if it has always been like that but I thought it was notable.
I hope that they have before, but great they are now. Those 3 steps are the ones that matter most in NHL hockey – separation. Especially for smaller players
I never caught any feedback from players re tips from Pelletier when they supported player skating but one presumes they’d provide similar recommendations
One would, but the team was pretty old school under Holland. Behind for sure a lot of orgs
I’d offer St Louis something for Binnington – you know the 2nd rate cup winning goalie that was Team Canada’s last goalie if I remember.
Unless Oilers procure a top 10 NHL goalie they’re almost certainly going to lose McDavid/Draisaitl within the next 2-3 years.
Can we throw Regula on to this list as well?
I think Tomasek is close to a lock for the opening roster – I guess we’ll have to see him at camp but I think the org is high on his ability to play in the NHL right now.
I think Leppanen could see NHL games but, of course, he will need real time to find that defensive structure in the AHL- if he does…..
Presuming healthy, Jarventie should see NHL games.
Each of Hutson and Marjala, up front, and Cafagna, on the back-end, put the team on notice that they have NHL ability. I suspect Carfagna is full year in the AHL but Hutson could see a call-up – he’s likely right there with Jarventie for call-up one (presuming its not a veteran like Hamblin or Jones).
Akey had a fine weekend – don’t imagine he’s an option this season.
Regula is close to the top of my list of things to monitor during training camp. 25 years old, 6’4″, 210 lbs, and a bit of a track record that points to at least some skill. The range of possible outcomes for him is very wide, but on paper he’s a perfect fit.
I see Regula pushing Stecher & Emberson for the 6d slot. He may even be a better option as 7d.
He missed all of last season – it would be terrible to keep him as 7D, no?
He needs to play – that’s the one thing he needs to do, no matter which league its in.
Stauff said late last week the 7D are set and Regula will be in the AHL – he didn’t acknowledge any waivers risk but that was his thoughts – for what they are worth.
Honestly I think he’ll beat out Emberson. Stecher will be the 7th d . Emberson along with Janmark become trade bait. That’s my prediction.
I think Janmark has been trade bait all summer long but noone will take on that contract – he’s overapped by almost $700K and has another year.
Hyman’s injury may save him to start the season (if he’s on LTIR) but he should be fighting his ass off for a roster spot – waivers could be in his future – they waived him when he was making less and coming off a better season……
I don’t think he was at the captain skates
Between Regula, Emberson, Leppanen and any of the other up and comers, it is starting to feel less and less necessary to have both Kulak and Nurse on the team. Obviously they need to be there to start the year, but as we begin to get a gauge of who can contribute and how, cap management (and asset returns) may play an impact on who stays on D. Whether that happens this year or in the spring/summer is another question.
Perhaps – one thing at a time thought, right?
I mean it would be far from a shock if neither Leppanen or Regula “make it”, right. I’m cheering for them, and they both do have a real chance but we don’t know now.
On Kulak, I think we are looking at $5MM plus on AAV, in particular if he continues to increase his role (in relation to Ekholm). He may price himself out.
It would be best case scenario if both of Regula & Leppanen proved to be NHL ready from a depth standpoint.
Good catch. I believe he is still eligible for the Calder too, although I’ll add him anyway.
If Emberson takes a step up and Regula plays the way some of us folks are hoping it makes Kulak and Stecher expendable. Trade Kulak-Skinner for a goalie that doesn’t need to stop a 100 shots in a row just to keep his save percentage at 898.
Coaching staff couldn’t play Emerson in the playoff as he couldn’t deal with the pace of play (and they REALLY needed his PK) and Regula last played in the NHL in 2022 where he played four games and missed all of last season with a meniscus injury.
I do think Emberson will continue to develop in to a solid 3D/PK guy and I’m hoping Regula grows in to his skill-set but we are a ways moving Kulak for value.
Harpers’ Hair brough up Coronato as a good comparable yesterday.
A first round pick that played USHL and NCAA and then split his first pro season between the NHL and AHL and then stuck in the NHL in year 2 with 24G/47P.
Some Oilers fans will lose it if he spends half the year in Bako but, if Howard follows a similar timeline and trajectory, that’s a success, no?
It is not unusual for top NCAA forwards to take a full year in the AHL. It will not be a fail if it takes a year for Howard. But if it takes a full year for Howard, they should have just stuck with O’Reilly. The point of the trade was that Howard would arrive in the NHL sooner. Taking a year would mean that Howard and O’Reilly will likely arrive at about the same time.
The problem with a year in Bakersfield is that Chaulk is the coach.
In 30,000 words or less, can you please explain why you feel Chaulk isn’t a good coach in Bakersfield?
I have done so several times.
1) Good AHL coaches reveal themselves quickly. It is a coaches league. Over a reasonable period of time, the talent level of the teams are roughly equal.
2) Can you see your AHL coach as an NHL coach?
You don’t have to agree with me. Time will prove that I am right, as it usually does.
In the AHL, there is much opportunity cost lost with a coach who is, at best, mid.
One cannot outperform in anything by waiting for perfect information to make a decision. When something becomes obvious, it is too late.
Every time I have seen someone ask you for your thoughts on why you dislike Chaulk you have given very vague reasons.
And I still don’t understand why you dislike Chaulk so much after all these years.
Just seems like you don’t want to give a clear, detailed explanation because it’s easier and more beneficial for you to be vague. You seem to be positioning yourself to say “See! I told you so!” if anything goes “wrong”, but you seem to refuse elaborating on where or how things are going wrong.
It would be like me saying “McDavid is not an NHL player. All will be revealed. You will see”
And once he retires I can say “see? I told you so. Time has proven me right, as it usually does”
I don’t know much about the guy, but it seems to me he hasn’t exactly been gifted with a bunch of blue chip prospects since he’s been the head coach. Some of them have taken the step to the NHL. Some misses like Bourgeault, but most teams have those. Is your concern that he hasn’t developed players (favors veterans) or is a bad technical coach? I have no clue, because I never watch Bakersfield. Either way, Oiler brass from Gretzky on up to Jackson should have a good bead on Chaulk. Why haven’t they taken the step to get rid of him? Or even getting rid of Gretzky if he’s not up to the task of managing the Condors?
Fair points, but it doesn’t jive with the players that have developed and graduated from Bako during Chaulk’s tenure. And that has been stated by numerous posters on numerous occasions.
I can’t agree that all teams are equal, have you looked at every roster?
Is being a successful AHL coach automatically mean future, long term NHL coach? Please explain Woodcroft and Nelson then?
This trade makes zero sense unless they believed Howard was ready. With the Hyman injury this team needed a plug and play skilled Winger for Connor. If we wanted a project you keep O’Reilly a RHC who was projecting well and probably is on the Tampa big club by Christmas next year.
https://tenor.com/view/sharpen-axe-gif-10729585
I wouldn’t rule out Tomasek & Mangiapane covering for Hyman alongside McDavid if he isn’t ready to start the season. I don’t think Howard was penciled in with McDavid on the top line anyway. There’s cover for Hyman, no need to rush a raw rookie, that would make zero sense.
I can’t see Howard being near playing the league’s best players for a tad, and that’s the gig with Connor
The organization thinking/hoping he is NHL ready does not make him NHL ready. If he’s not, they need to pivot – we don’t know yet.
The Oilers drafted Puljujarvi thinking he was NHL ready.
The Oilers trade for Griffin Reinhart thinking he was NHL ready.
Not to mention, its unreasonable to think that the Oilers made a trade of their team’s top prospect to fill a spot by a player that MAY be out for a month.
The trade makes sense even if Howard requires half a season (or more) in the AHL – IF Reja, IF – we don’t know yet but its not unresonable.
1) Its highly likely that O’Reily will also need a year in the AHL, next year.
2) Time of arrival is also only one part of the trade. Issac Howard is just as “good a prospect” as SOR, perhaps even a “better prospect”. The narrative that SOR is more of a lock to make it because he plays good defence and hard in junior is wrong (in my opinion). SOR’s offensive ceiling is lower and his floor is not any higher (in my opinion). There is an over-valuation being given to “plays the game the right way” in junior.
3) I’m not sure Savoie could have been developed any better in the AHL than he was last year – great job by the player and the coaching staff.
HH may have read about Coronato in my comparable article at The Athletic from early August.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6533431/2025/08/05/oilers-isaac-howard-prospect-comparables/
Aggh, I read that, of course, but it wasn’t top of mind over the last day and forgot. HH didn’t give credit for the idea.
Sorry.
No worries. I was just pointing it out to the group.
Imagine, Podkolzin and Savoie as Drai’s main wingers. 16 million for a 2nd line is pretty cheap.
I honestly think it’s the most likely combination for LD. At least by the end of the season, it should be his most common trio.
Both should have motivation, Podkolzin is in a contract year and Savoie will be a rookie playing for the cup just like he did on the streets as a kid. I have high hopes for the trio.
I think it’s best to put young players, or any player, in a position to succeed. None of those cats are making it as Left Defense, I doubt they have even played back end. Can they even skate backwards?
I’ve been saying for 8-10 months, Savoie will be the perfect long term fit on Drai’s right wing.
I truly think he should get a long look there, starting early in camp but, at the same time, the coach has lots of options in the top 9 and may like Savoie at 3RW.
If Hyman is out, it may be tough to keep Savoie out of the top 6 to start.
On Podz, 100%, no issues with him being Drai’s LW but I also have alot of time for him driving a third line.
Lets not forget, in the playoffs, he played more away from Drai than with and had 10 points in 22 games and was 8-3 goals away from Drai and McDavid.
If Podz can help with THAT in the bottom six – it shouldn’t be denied!
Or he can pop for 22G/50P on Drai’s LW!
It is a funny thing about Drai too, that he seems to play better with up and comers than established vets. He really resonated with Yamamoto, and last year Podz. If that holds this year, and Savoie can click too, there could another career year for 29, let alone the guys on his wings.
Having one of the best passers in the entire league setting up to guys who *might* project to 15 goals even with him is far FAR from ideal.
I’d give Leon the more established guys so that McDavid has even more incentive to shoot the puck. More ideal deployment.
Naturally you’d like his wingers to cash more, but apart from being maybe the best passer in the league, Leon is one of the best scorers in the league. Podzy helped that a lot last season
He also had 14G in his rookie season so I think there is higher ceiling there.
So does MacT, listening to the end of his weekly spot with Stauffer today.