More Than a Feeling

by Lowetide

There are sporting moments that rise above the normal and emerge, immediately, as something else again. Yesterday in Boston, the Oilers took advantage of a wayward Bruins team that looked more Pit Martin than Phil Esposito. Mike Smith, whose photo is in the dictionary under ‘maligned’ had a great game. Darnell Nurse, whose next contract is the subject of great derision, played his best game of the year. Leon Draisaitl had a terrific game, he was on the edge and at times beyond it. As a Bruins fans since the 1960’s, I can tell you many Boston citizens left that rink yesterday imagining the big man in a Bruins uniform. Connor McDavid? Immortal as always.

THE ATHLETIC!

The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of The Athletic, less than two coffees a month offer here. 

  • New Jonathan Willis: Zack Kassian’s breakout performance presents Oilers GM Ken Holland with a familiar dilemma
  • New Lowetide: Ken Holland, the Oilers amateur procurement department and the 2020 draft
  • Jonathan Willis: It would be a mistake to write off the Oilers after their December slump
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: From Leon Draisaitl to the penalty kill, the things the Oilers need to improve to get back to the playoffs
  • Lowetide: A shift-by-shift analysis of Kailer Yamamoto’s 2019-20 debut in the Oilers’ New Year’s Eve game.
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: James Neal puts on New Year’s Eve show to remember in Oilers’ thriller
  • Lowetide: Midseason review of ‘reasonable expectations’ shows Oilers are on track with preseason targets
  • Jonathan Willis and Daniel Nugent-Bowman: How are our Oilers predictions holding up at the midseason mark? We decided to find out
  • Jonathan Willis: Oilers midseason report card shows an unbalanced team with a lot of replaceable parts
  • Lowetide: Complete Oilers top 20 prospects list, winter 2019

OILERS AFTER 44 GAMES

  • Oilers in 2015: 17-23-4, 38 points; goal differential -24
  • Oilers in 2016: 22-15-7, 51 points; goal differential +4
  • Oilers in 2017: 18-23-3, 39 points; goal differential -25
  • Oilers in 2018: 21-20-3, 45 points; goal differential -11
  • Oilers in 2019-20: 22-17-5, 49 points; goal differential -5

That handsome victory yesterday gives the season record a little extra shine. This year’s Oilers have victories over Washington, Boston, Vegas, NY Islanders and Colorado. I’d say yesterday’s win might have been the most satisfying, especially considering what the team went through in December. Oilers are on pace for 91 points.

OILERS IN JANUARY

  • Oilers in January 2016: 2-0-0, four points; goal differential +1
  • Oilers in January 2017: 1-1-0, two points; goal differential -1
  • Oilers in January 2018: 1-1-0, two points; goal differential -4
  • Oilers in January 2019: 1-1-0, two points; goal differential -3
  • Oilers in January 2020: 1-0-1, three points; goal differential +1

All of a sudden this year’s team loves January after a difficult win against a monumental foe. Somehow Toronto, Montreal and Calgary don’t seem as difficult. We’ll see how that works out. TML are on a run.

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM JANUARY

  • On the road to: BUF, BOS, TOR, MTL, CAL (Expected 2-2-1) (Actual 1-0-1)
  • At home to: NAS, ARI, CAL, STL (Expected 1-2-1)
  • Overall expected result: 3-4-2, eight points in nine games
  • Current results: 1-0-1three points in two games

I had this game as a loss, the Buffalo (and Montreal) game as a win. Toronto will be tough. Once back in the west, Edmonton will want to exact some kind of revenge for that Saturday disaster after Christmas.

OILERS 2019-20

Oilers have benefited from former Condors like Bear, Russell, Jones, Yamamoto and Lagesson, one wonders if and when we’ll see the next man (likely Benson). One thing is clear: Edmonton enters deadline discussions with all of Bear, Jones and Lagesson on the roster and just months from being waiver eligible. Something’s gotta give. All numbers five on five unless noted, and via NST.

LINE 1 James Neal-Connor McDavid-Zack Kassian played 12:00, going 17-9 Corsi, 9-7 shots, 1-0 goals and 2-1 HDSC. McDavid 5:57, 7-2 Corsi and no goals against Patrice Bergeron.

James Neal had a good look, two takeaways and was close to making some connections. Connor McDavid scored a breathtaking goal, he is so fast! Four shots, HDSC, 1-2 takeaway-giveaway and he was a going concern all night. Zack Kassian made a lovely blind pass to send 97 away, he’s got real talent and is going to get paid.

LINE 2 Nuge-Leon Draisaitl-Kailer Yamamoto played 13:15, going 13-21 Corsi, 6-10 shots, 1-0 goals and 2-1 HDSC. Draisaitl 5:06 against Bergeron (7-10 Corsi, 1-0 goals).

RNH was quiet offensively after a nice run in the last four games. He’s a fine two-way forward and that’s part of the reason why this makeshift line is having success. Leon Draisaitl was dirt mean, that’s a compliment. He played with an edge, had an assist (and an ENG), a giveaway, took a penalty and won 17 of 25 faceoffs. Kailer Yamamoto had some looks, two HDSC, a giveaway and a takeaway and made smart plays all over the ice. He belongs.

LINE 3 Joakim Nygard-Gaetan Haas-Alex Chiasson played 6:39, going 4-5 Corsi, 2-1 shots, 1-0 goals, 2-1 HDSC.

Joakim Nygard had an early breakaway and missed the net, causing a large donation to the LT swear jar. He also had a takeaway and drew a penalty. Gaetan Haas scored a goal, absolute giveaway by Jake DeBrusk who is in a bit of a funk. He also drew a penalty. Alex Chiasson had a HDSC and a good look on the PP but was mostly quiet again.

LINE 4 Jujhar Khaira-Riley Sheahan-Josh Archibald played 6:34, going 5-4 Corsi, 2-3 shots, no goals and 0-1 HDSC.

Jujhar Khaira had two shots and a blocked shot, he looked more confident than in recent games but the results were shy. Riley Sheahan had a shot on goal and won six of seven on the dot. Josh Archibald missed an empty net late, he and Sheahan were on for the PP GA but not much they could do (tipped off Russell). Line had a solid game.

PAIRING ONE Darnell Nurse and Ethan Bear played 16:49, going 16-16 Corsi, 8-9 shots, 1-0 goals and 3-1 HDSC, 4-6 offensive-defensive zone faceoffs. Played 6:54 against Bergeron, 8-7 Corsi, 1-0 goals.

Darnell Nurse had a fine game, even without the goal (GWG). Three shots, good coverage, recognition. I ran the tape back again and didn’t see much that would raise an eyebrow, the Bruins coaxed Nurse into a pass from deep in his one zone (bank play) and somehow managed to stop it, but Nurse recovered and helped suppress. He was excellent. Ethan Bear passed well, only a couple of errant ones. Took a penalty, had a takeaway and an assist. He had some wobble around Christmas but has settled in again. A fine, fine rookie.

PAIRING TWO Oscar Klefbom and Adam Larsson played 17:16, going 18-15 Corsi, 10-8 shots, 1-0 goals and 2-3 HDSC. Played 6:36, 5-10 Corsi, 2-5 shots and no goals against Patrice Bergeron.

Oscar Klefbom had two shots, one HDSC, a giveaway and blocked some more shots. He’s an insane value contract. He has the complete range of skills, so can pass, carry, skate well and defend. It’s my belief he’s best with the other veteran Swede alongside. Adam Larsson had three shots, rushed the puck exactly the same way Bob Baun used to, and calmed the waters. A bruiser of a shutdown blue. I love when they put the band back together.

PAIRING THREE Kris Russell and Caleb Jones played 7:12, going 3-10 Corsi, 1-4 shots, no goals and 0-1 HDSC.

Kris Russell had two shots, took three hits including a shot from behind courtesy Brad Marchand that should have been a penalty. He played almost 12 minutes, including time on the PK. Tipped Pastrnak’s shot. Caleb Jones played eight minutes total, and along with William Lagesson’s small TOI total recently I wonder if the Oilers are getting close to bringing in Matt Benning from the injured list.

GOALIE Mike Smith was brilliant, easily his best performance since October. Stopped 35 of 36, .972.

CONDORS 2019-20

I’m going to be writing about him later today for The Athletic, but one of the major recent spikes in Bakersfield is Stuart Skinner. In his last five games, he is 4-0-1, 2.95 and .911 save percentage. Outstanding turnaround and perhaps confirmation the Oilers did in fact have it right when running Skinner over Wells early in the season. By the way, Brandon Manning has made a world of difference based on my spy reports from Bakersfield.

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flyfish1168

I love the statement “Leon Draisaitl was dirt mean”

Images of Howe and Messier 🙂

Woodguy v2.0

WC standings using points percentage shown as points over/under fake Bettman .500

Central
STL 16
COL 12
DAL 10

Pacific
VGP 9
VAN 8
ARI 8

Wildcard
WPG 6
EDM 5

Out of playoffs
NSH 4
CGY 4
MIN 3
CHI 0
SJS -2
ANA -4
LAK -5

Relevant games today:

CGY (-115) at MIN (-105) – Both teams chasing EDM, but would rather MIN win. Agree that its a coin flip. MIN beat WPG last night.

NSH (-125) at ANA (+105) – If NSH wins they grab the last pts % wildcard spot due to games played. Soundly beat LAK last night, need ANA to chop wood and carry water for EDM today.

Woodguy v2.0

EC standings using points percentage shown as points over/under fake Bettman .500

Metropolitan
WSH 19
PIT 14
NYI 13

Atlantic
BOS 16
TBY 10
TOR 10

Wildcard
CAR 9
PHI 7

Out of playoffs
FLA 6
CBJ 4
BUF 2
MTL 1
NYR 1
OTT -5
NJD -5
DET -19

Relevant Atlantic games:

FLA (+135) at PIT (-155) – 3rd in 4 nights and 2nd of back to back for BOTH teams.
FLA was in OTT on Thursday, BUF last night and PIT tonight.
PIT was in PIT on Thursday, MTL last night and PIT tonight.
I have no idea what will happen , but PIT’s line seems a bit heavy.

TBY (+105) at CAR (-125) – 3rd in 4 nights and 2nd of back to back in 3 different cities for TBY.
MTL on Thursday, OTT last night and in CAR tonight. CAR played Friday in CAR.
I like CAR here waaaaaay more than -125. Valuetown.

leadfarmer

Both Calgary and Montreal are having serious goaltending issues right now
The Toronto game will be tough

StixMalone

I’d like to see the team win two maybe three in a row on this road trip. That will instil some swagger again…..

Jethro Tull

I thought that that was easily the Oilers best, most honest game of the season.

Effort, check. Minimization of mistakes, check. Maximization of chances, check. Goaltending, check.

If that’s who the Oilers are, and they can reproduce that performance 8 times out of ten, then I’d be a happy camper.

May have been the first game everyone brought in to Tippett’s plays.

Easily more satisfying than the skewed numbers winning streak at the start of the season.

J-Bo

I thought the same yesterday about Nurse. Best game I have seen him play in a long time. Defensively he was on it. Thinking so well and breaking up many dangerous plays. If yesterday was his norm, we wouldn’t be so worried about a large contract. Let’s hope he plays like that for the rest of the year and actually earns the contract we are all afraid of!

blainer

If that is the Nurse we get every night no way I trade him..

He will also deserved to get paid if he can play like that consistently.

Also.. Ethan Bear was playing great against easier teams early on. I do think he is catching up on the the stronger teams and continues to learn on the job. What a fine draft they had in 2015 despite the stupid trade.

nelson88

Great article on Petterson on SN.

https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/elias-pettersson-vancouver-canucks-deportation-big-read/

Now that Nucks have gotten rid of most of their Dbag players (Sedins never fell into that category) they are almost like able as a team. Thankfully much of their fan base as well as one particular internet poster continues to make it easy to dislike them.

blainer

If KH is not going to trade for help the coach needs to run the D lineup in a way to get the best from the team.

1. Continue to not play Nurse and Russell together.
2. Call Persson back up and play him third pair with Russell as a righty and lefty pairing. Persson will be fine in this role as will Russell.
3. Play Nurse with Bear
4. Play Klef with Larsson

Bottom line for me on the D is to keep a righty and a lefty together and keep Russell on the left side.

This team can surprise if we can just get the goaltending. What happened last night is what gets teams to the promised land. I still have very little confidence in the goalers but do think Koskinen would make a decent backup.

JimmyV1965

Jethro Tull:
I thought that that was easily the Oilers best, most honest game of the season.

Effort, check. Minimization of mistakes, check. Maximization of chances, check. Goaltending, check.

If that’s who the Oilers are, and they can reproduce that performance 8 times out of ten, then I’d be a happy camper.

May have been the first game everyone brought in to Tippett’s plays.

Easily more satisfying than the skewed numbers winning streak at the start of the season.

Sorry, but I didn’t see it that way at all. The Oilers played well and won. They have played many games well and lost. I don’t think they played particularly better than the Bruins, but they somehow won the goaltending battle. Think we got lucky on the first two goals, which is bound to happen. It’s not that I think they played poorly, but I just didn’t think it was some kinda standout game.

J-Bo

Considering the success this far of the new second line, where would Benson fit if recalled? The top line feels a bit much and breaking up the second line seems unwise. I’m also liking Nygard and Haas together, but that feels like the right line. The Sheahan line feels like a pure checking line and Benson seems not the right fit there. How would you run the lines if he was recalled?

Jethro Tull

JimmyV1965: Sorry, but I didn’t see it that way at all. The Oilers played well and won. They have played many games well and lost. I don’t think they played particularly better than the Bruins, but they somehow won the goaltending battle. Think we got lucky on the first two goals, which is bound to happen. It’s not that I think they played poorly, but I just didn’t think it was some kinda standout game.

No need to be sorry. That’s just how you saw it.

For myself, I’m not so binary. They have played large portions of games well and still lost due to either individual mistakes or lack of team consistency.

One of Tippett’s attributes is supposedly getting a n under talented roster playing to a tight game plan. Yesterday, Smith played well, but so did the team. Not been many he’s when that both happens.

tileguy

J-Bo:
Considering the success this far of the new second line, where would Benson fit if recalled? The top line feels a bit much and breaking up the second line seems unwise. I’m also liking Nygard and Haas together, but that feels like the right line. The Sheahan line feels like a pure checking line and Benson seems not the right fit there. How would you run the lines if he was recalled?

Benson on the top line for Neal who goes down to play with the speedy Euros, Neal will be the shooter and Nygard Haas the conscious of that line.
Benson has to be a bit faster than Neal. Both 97 and 44 can shoot the puck if Bensons only strength is playmaking. Might as well see what we got, he is no 18 yr olds with fragile confidence.

Wonder Llama

Hey Lowetide faithful. Hope everyone’s good today and I hope this is an okay day to drop this wall of text on you. This will be the last time I do this; any expansion of the dictionary will now come from other posters.

I read almost every day but I don’t post a lot as I feel completely outclassed in fancystats knowledge and usually by the time I think of something useful to say someone else has already said it.

I am llargely a llurking llama, llaying llow, lliving my llife and llearning from llegends llike Lladies Llove Smid.

I suspect there are many regular readers/infrequent posters like me, so if my goofy dictionary can provide a few laughs I feel like I’ve given a little bit back to the group. I am like Salieri at the end of Amadeus, absolving Analytics Mediocrities everywhere.

So here is the LOWETIDE DICTIONARY, 3rd edition, incorporating more suggested terms and an open-ended community format for expansion and eventual publication in a respected peer-reviewed journal. There are 20 new entries for a total of 58 (including the four contributed by BONE207).

PART A: WONDER LLAMA LLOWETIDE LLEXICON

ALSO IN PHOTO: A sports journalism-inspired Lowetidian euphemism for “late to the play.” Example: “Number 12 Yvan Cournoyer hugs an elated Paul Henderson in front of a prone Vladislav Tretiak. Also in photo: future salt miner Yuri Lyapkin.”

AUSTINS: Towards the end of the DoD (Decade of Darkness) Taylor Hall, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and Jordan Eberle received contracts with identical $6,000,000 AAVs. They were the Six Million Dollar Men; the Steve Austins. These contracts were better, stronger, and faster than other contracts. They proved that young stars would make long-term commitments to the northernmost city in the NHL. Lowetidians scoffed at the cake-eaters and pool loungers of Winnipeg and Buffalo. Good times. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bGO57y4td-c

BALANCE PHOTO: A mythical image promised for years to the Lowetide faithful when the Oilers roster is finally balanced with Pisscutters and Pisanis. Its appearance will herald a new Oilers Dynasty and the psychic orgasm of Lowetidians around the world.

BARKING CORGIS: A rare example of LRS (Lowetidian Rhyming Slang). In this case corgi = corsi. Corsi is a measure of official shots, missed shots, and blocked shots originally named by early Oilers blogger Tim Barnes (aka Vic Ferrari) arbitrarily yet appropriately after Buffalo Sabres goalie coach Jim Corsi. Whatever. When the small royal dogs are yapping the Oilers are pushing the frozen disc of vulcanized rubber in the correct direction.

CALM YOUR TITS: Hold your horses. Chill your cheetahs. Mellow your manatees. Placate your platypuses. Sedate your salamanders. Temper your tardigrades. It’s just a game.

CAMPING BOX: Arguably Lowetide’s greatest childhood story. Soon to be a major motion picture starring Hugh Bonneville, Emma Thompson, and Iain Armitage as Young LT.

CAN’T PISS A DROP: The inability to score points at the NHL level (see Jean-Francois Jacques).

CFP: Chris Fucking Pronger. It’s a long story, let’s not even go there.

CHASED BY BEES: When a player (typically a forward with above-average offensive skills) drives his linemates and coaches to drink cheap screech because he is unable or unwilling to skate within a recognizable system of positional play.

COKE MACHINE: Euphemism for a large, lumbering forward with limited offensive potential but who can throw a punch and if he ever catches up to that speedy “enigmatic Russian” might even throw a TBC (Thunderous Body Check). Oilers management drafted a bewildering number of these players during the DoD. Statistically speaking, actual Coke machines are probably more dangerous. https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/58235/11-mundane-objects-are-statistically-deadlier-sharks

CROOKED NUMBERS: Zeros are curved. Ones are straight. Crooked is better. We wait.

DANCES WITH BEES: Nail Yakupov’s Sioux name.

DEAD CAT BOUNCE: The deceptive temporary sign of life that a player or team displays just before his or its final collapse. Often occurring as the result of a desperate structural change like firing the head coach. The Oilers’ 9-2-2 record from Nov. 20 to Dec. 14, 2018 under new coach Ken Hitchcock was a dead cat bounce.

DECADE OF DARKNESS: 2006-2015; essentially the period between game 7 of the 2006 finals and the 2015 draft lottery win. Most Lowetidians developed their sophisticated understanding of scotch and rye whisky during this time.

DONNER PARTY: The final stage of most Oilers seasons. After the OP-level optimism of early days Lowetidians survive the Gales of November and hope for the best. But after too many Tabernac Saturdays we are visited by Nadir’s Raiders and finally resort to cannibalism wondering if the best players on the team are actually the problem. https://twitter.com/brendelbored/status/1069046253827305473?lang=en

EDMONTON OILERS: A team in the National Hockey League.

EYE TEST/SEEN HIM GOOD: On December 1, 2014 Coyotes rookie Tobias Rieder scored two shorthanded goals against the Oilers on the same penalty kill. Sign that kid up first chance you get! In 67 games with the Oilers Rieder scored zero goals. In the immortal words of Obi-Wan Kenobi: “Your eyes can deceive you. Don’t trust them.”

FANCYSTATS/FANCIES: Advanced analytics for hockey in the tradition of the pioneering work of Oakland Athletics GM Billy Beane and including the insights of several Lowetide contributors like WoodGuy and G Money. Includes things like barking corgis and some dude named Fenwick. Does not include plus/minus unless it supports your current narrative.

FIFTY: The number of points Ryan Nugent-Hopkins might someday score if all the planets align and he finally shaves his sideburns.

GALES OF NOVEMBER: A reference to the 1976 Gordon Lightfoot song “The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald,” this frightening phrase acknowledges the Oilers’ recent history of futility in the 11th month when playoff hopes come on deck and say “fellas it’s been good to know ya.”

GET GOOD PLAYERS, KEEP GOOD PLAYERS: A Lowetidian paraphrase of a quotation from legendary NY Islanders coach Al Arbour. https://oilersnation.com/2013/08/24/get-good-players/ Oilers management reportedly misheard this advice and attempted to sign both Kerry King and Buffy.

GOALIES ARE VOODOO: Goalies like to be hit really hard with frozen discs of vulcanized rubber. Goalies shouldn’t be drafted high but every team needs at least two. Goalies shouldn’t be given long term contracts but every team needs consistent ones. Goalies are butterflies and snow angels. Goalies are superstitious, unpredictable, and sometimes downright weird. Goalies are voodoo.

GORD: Yahweh/God/Allah.

GRIFFIN REINHART: Matthew Barzal and Sebastian Aho.

JULTZING: Inspired by former Oiler defenceman Justin Schultz, it is the practice of defending by skating away from an attacking forward with one’s stick vaguely pointing towards him, just out of reach. Schultz was fine really but he was more MAB than CFP so his lack of TBCs got him traded to Pittsburgh where he promptly won Stanley. We’re all really happy for him. I guess.

KEEP YOUR POWDER DRY: Wikipedia can tell you all about muskets, Oliver Cromwell and early 19th century poems, but for Lowetidians it means don’t make unnecessary trades or free agent signings based on emotion or desperation. Example: In what appeared to be an emotional reaction to his poor point production in the 2017 playoffs Jordan Eberle was traded for Ryan Strome. For no identifiable reason Ryan Strome was traded for Ryan Spooner. Jordan Eberle plays well enough for the NY Islanders. Ryan Strome plays beautifully for the NY Rangers. Ryan Spooner plays in Switzerland. All this is fine since the Oilers have no need for a scoring winger or third line centre.

KOMRADE HORCOV: Where do you think you are, Copper and Blue?

MATERIAL: The difference OP makes.

MENDOZA LINE: 1. A reference to MLB shortstop Mario Mendoza and to .200 as a minimum competent batting average. So the Mendoza Line in hockey might be 10 goals per season for a forward or a .900 SV% for a goaltender, YMMV.
2. What you don’t want to push McBain over. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOk4hQXbGDs

MICHELLE JENNEKE: A world-class Australian track and field athlete who deserves nothing but our utmost respect and admiration. Also, she’s crazy fucking hot Good Gord. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdexkdpkIgk

MILES TO GO/EARLY DAYS: A reference to the Robert Frost poem Stopping by Woods on a Snowy Evening and the lines “The woods are lovely, dark and deep; But I have promises to keep; And miles to go before I sleep…” Simply an acknowledgement that things can change. Example: It’s November 24, 2019 and the Edmonton Oilers are 16-7-2 but these are early days and there are miles to go before they collapse.

MUSIC!: One-word Lowetidian exclamation of joy when things actually go right. Example: In the fourth and fifth rounds of the 2015 draft the Oilers chose defencemen Caleb Jones and Ethan Bear. Both have been developed and ripened within the organization and are becoming real NHL defencemen just when we need them. Music!

NADIR’S RAIDERS: Ralph Nader first became famous in the 1960s as a consumer advocate, most notably vis-à-vis the auto industry and such substandard models as the Chevrolet Corvair and the Ford Pinto. The group of law students who helped him investigate the FTC were known as “Nader’s Raiders.” Nadir is rock bottom, like finishing last in the NHL and picking first in the draft. Then doing it again. I’m sure there’s a joke about Lennart Petrell being unsafe at any speed here somewhere but I can’t quite reach it so here’s a song about a car: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wYveoz8ga0

OBC (Old Boy’s Club): The ability to play hockey does not necessarily imply the ability to manage a complex multi-million-dollar hockey franchise. Shocking, I know.

OUR GRACIOUS HOST: Lowetide himself. He’s all three words. He created an oasis of decency in the ugly sludge of internet commentary. He’s smart and he’s funny. He’s modern and he’s folksy. He’s overworked and underpaid. He’s a beautiful soul and he’s more patient with us than we deserve. He’s all three words.

OVERRIPEN: The practice of granting more than sufficient development time for players to mature, hone their skills, and build their confidence in the AHL or equivalent. The gold standard for this strategy was Montreal in the 1970s. Then there’s Jesse Puljujarvi.

PISSCUTTER: A hockey player so good he produces a stream of urine that shines like a shaft of gold when all around is dark and cuts through sheet metal like a Bond villain’s laser.

PUSHING THE RIVER: Perhaps the quintessential Lowetide term, it refers to a player’s ability to singlehandedly tilt the ice in his team’s favour. Taylor Hall was a river pusher; Jordan Eberle, as much as we loved him, was not. Bruce Springsteen, Joni Mitchell, and Neil Young are also river pushers. Andy Williams, as much as we love Breakfast at Tiffany’s, was not.

REAL AND SPECTACULAR: 1. Ample not gauche, firm not hard, sensitive not ticklish, with perfectly proportioned areolae and nipples.
2. Oscar Klefbom’s abs. [see Seinfeld episode “The Implant,” Feb. 25, 1993].

REGRESSION TO THE MEAT: Based on some analytics crap (watch the game, nerds) called regression to the mean. It is the tendency for outliers to stop lying out there. Example: Milan Lucic’s hands might score two goals this week but his head will soon regress to the meat.

RICKIBOX [TM]: Associated with the enigmatic figure Ricki the Bear, it remains ill-defined. Some believe it is simply the area in front of the goal while others insist it is a place to put a number so that it does not become lost.

ROBBIE SCHREMP: 1. Edmonton Oilers first-round draft pick (25th overall) in 2004. Scored 57 goals in 57 games for the London Knights. Scored zero goals in seven games over three seasons for the Edmonton Oilers. https://cursingintime.wordpress.com/2015/02/14/sugar-tits/
2. He does not shine shoes. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PJzNUydlQ4I
3. He does not make chocolate. http://indifferenttobelgium.blogspot.com

SAIL ON: The traditional Lowetide farewell salutation when an Oiler leaves the team, often employing a geographically specific alliteration. If, for example, Joakim Nygard were to leave, the headline might be “Sail On, Stockholm Syndrome.”

SIDEBURNS: What Don Mattingly and Martin Marincin never shaved. [see Simpsons episode “Homer at the Bat,” Feb. 20, 1992].

SMID: Ladies love him; LT hates him. No one knows why either is true.

SOFT PARADE: 1. Weak QoC (Quality of Competition) that affects a player’s or line’s production or possession numbers. Example: If the unicorns emerge and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins plays 3C with competent wingers, he might score 50 points against the soft parade.
2. Not coincidentally, the weakest of The Doors’ six studio albums. Hard to defend these lyrics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EZaQyYgAGfQ

STAN WEIR: Stan Weir bought straight-blade sticks and curved them with his iron will. You don’t know who Stan Weir is? You better pray he doesn’t find out who you are.

TABERNAC SATURDAY: An acknowledgement of the Oilers’ tendency to lose on Saturday night’s Hockey Night In Canada broadcasts. Not even the sensory assault of Don Cherry’s suits could overcome the need to shout this most sacrilegious of Quebecois profanities.

UNICORNS: The elusive dream of three scoring lines with three river-pushing centres like Pittsburgh with Crosby, Malkin, and Staal 2006-12. The Oilers actually have this potential with McDavid, Draisaitl, and Nugent-Hopkins and are only six wingers away from making the dream real. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4bc9UwZsYs

VEGREVILLE: Las Vegas (but with perogy payouts at the Kaiser tables).

WE HOPED FOR THE BEST: But it turned out like always.

WE WAIT: What Lowetidians do indefinitely after a logical and perfectly obvious course of action is publicly suggested.

WOODMONEY: 1. Something something Woodguy and GMoney… something something brilliant and innovative… something something Puck IQ is amazing: https://lowetide.ca/2017/07/02/its-the-real-thing-woodmoney/
2. One trick to faking analytics knowledge is to tell stories that don’t go anywhere. Like the time I caught the Red Arrow to Red Deer. I needed a new box for my camping trip. So I decided to go to Moose Jaw, which is what they called Red Deer in those days. So I tied a perogy to my belt, which was the style at the time. Now to take the bus cost a WoodMoney, and in those days WoodMonies had pictures of Stan Weir on ‘em. “Gimme five Stannies for a Pisani,” you’d say.

YMMV: Your Mileage May Vary, an acknowledgement of differing assessments within a mutually-understood set of parameters. Taken from a common refrain in late 20th century car commercials. I think Ethan Bear is a serious Calder candidate and BoJack Horseman is the best show on TV, but YMMV.

PART B: BONE-US SECTION! – Entries added by BONE207

LAST CHANCE TEXACO: A mythical gas station where you either catch the plane to stardom or catch the bus/hitch hike your ass out of the land of milk and honey that is the NHL.

HOUSE AT THE SIDE OF THE ROAD: Slow moving defensemen, forwards that have slow boots and generally anything slower than the speed of light as compared to CONNOR.

CLOSE ENOUGH FOR JAZZ: The premise that jazz music, often played by four musicians doing different songs, is a good equivalent of among different players doing different things in hockey to be successful.

WOODGUY: He is the echoing voice heard down the streets of the book, 1984. He tells you what you are doing wrong, how you should see things and has a house with a moat that features a complex to manufacture torches and pointy things.

PART C: COLLABORATIVE COMMUNITY SECTION

Here are some of the terms suggested by the community that I don’t feel confident defining. Some I have missed completely like The Vaunt or Violently Disagree. Some I don’t remember well enough like the details of the Pike’s Peak story or why we blame Woodguy’s phone for everything.

ACID EATER (GREBESHKOV)
ALAS (ANTON LANDER APPRECIATION SOCIETY)
BARBARA ANN SCOTT
BECAUSEOILERS
DRAFT BIBLE (THE HOCKEY NEWS)
DYS
FIVE YEARS OF EXPERIENCE OR ONE YEAR OF EXPERIENCE FIVE TIMES
FUCK YOU BOOKJE
PIKE’S PEAK STORY
PUBIS THING/PARDUBICE PRINCE (HEMSKY)
RED WINE SUMMIT
THERE ARE FOUR LIGHTS
THE VAUNT
TOONCES TAMBELLENI
VIOLENTLY DISAGREE
WOODGUY’S PHONE

teddyturnbuckle

What ever happens this spring, this is shaping up to be a playoff run for the ages for Oiler fans! Those Calgary games are going to be huge. If the Oilers bring up Benson and then trade a young D for a young forward. Hang on to your butts.

tileguy

teddyturnbuckle:
What ever happens this spring, this is shaping up to be a playoff run for the ages for Oiler fans!Those Calgary games are going to be huge.If the Oilers bring up Benson and then trade a young D for a young forward. Hang on to your butts.

Or an old D for a proven scorer.

BAWS

When Leon is on his game and plays with that aggressive meanness he’s unstoppable and controls the rink. I would’ve liked to have seen more from Nuge, but I like this line.
December was a poor month, but so far this team is beyond what my expectations were for the season so far.
I trust Holland and I like Tipp. At least we’re icing a competitive team that’s making a hard honest run. Those improvements are huge and have made being a 40 year oil fan a little easier this year.

OriginalPouzar

Great win yesterday – full team effort. Mike Smith was a huge part of the win but didn’t steal it. Connor and Leon were parts of the win but didn’t will their team to victory despite lack of depth. Entire team win.

Important win as the west of the Pacific held as well.

That’s 5 of 6 points in the last 3 – a win in Toronto on Monday and something is brewing.

OriginalPouzar

The Condors are starting to roll now.

It took them a while last night (the Gulls were likely the better team) but they scraped and clawed until they tied it up,

The PK as phenomenal. The PP equally atrocious.

McLeod is getting some PP2 time but Maksi nowhere to be seen.

Great to see Maksi with the chance in the shootout and he buried the winner.

Stuart Skinner was outstanding – he was better than Mike Smith last night!

tileguy

OriginalPouzar:
Great win yesterday – full team effort.Mike Smith was a huge part of the win but didn’t steal it.Connor and Leon were parts of the win but didn’t will their team to victory despite lack of depth.Entire team win.

Important win as the west of the Pacific held as well.

That’s 5 of 6 points in the last 3 – a win in Toronto on Monday and something is brewing.

Smith did not steal it, Boston gave it away. Should of been a 1-1 game going into OT.

jimmers2

I didn’t actually any games over the Holidays so I’ll leave a question here : Is Yamamoto the quality and permanent winger RNH has been waiting for?

OriginalPouzar

Harpers Hair: It’s entirely possible.

But OP is insisting Jesse has first round value.

Don’t think that’s going to happen.

I did nothing of the sort.

I posited that Holland was holding out for “1st round pick value” in the return – not that he had that value. If he had that value, the trade would have been consummated.

You, once again, attach meaning to my posts that is not correct and, given the context of the conversation, I believe the misinterpretation is intentional.

The entire conversation was in the context of your incorrect post that Puljujarvi has less than zero value – factually incorrect as teams have offered up assets for his rights – hence positive value. You stated that a 5th and 7th round return was not available, again, incorrect as the reports have been that the asset value offered up was akin to a 2nd round pick.

The only reference to 1st round pick value was vis-a-vis what Holland is holding out for.

blainer

Neal McDavid Kassian
Nygard Drai Yammo
Benson Nuge Hass
JJ/ Chase Shea Archie

leadfarmer

Ignore the troll.
Hes just trolling.
No reason to reply to him
He will just troll

Scungilli Slushy

jimmers2:
I didn’tactually any games over the Holidays so I’ll leave a question here : Is Yamamoto the quality and permanentwinger RNH has been waiting for?

I think it depends on who the other player is. Yama is more skilled than the guys other than the top 3, and that means he is better at making plays, which is what is lacking IMO. Also a buzzsaw.

The team can have trouble creating HDSC off the cycle consistently. They can keep the puck, but can’t attack enough off of it as the strong teams can. They play it to the point but the quality of chance is low from point shots as we know. Sometimes that should be the plan if the opponent is crowding the slot, teh idea is drawing the wingers out to open up ice. Good cycling really matters in the playoffs depending on the opponent and where the refs whistles are located (like in their pocket).

That being said Yama is tiny and Nuge is a light player. Another smaller player on that line and teams will try to hit them and get them off their game IMO. It’s low hanging fruit. With Drai, especially being mean, it gives that line balance.

TO me Yama needs a bigger C or opposite winger with some physicality and skill. Kassian might work, but it seems they like him watching Connor’s back, which I agree with given the amount of abuse Connor takes at the moment.

Any player that is better than another on the roster is an upgrade. I see Benson also helping more than some, even if neither rookie becomes a top 6 regular. And they are free leaving assets to perhaps get a more established winger. And another goalie. And better 3C.

dolenator

OriginalPouzar,

I rhought the Condors were the better team for the majority of the game but the last 10 minutes was all gulls and skinner was huge to get it to overtime. The gulls put a lot of pucks on net but i thought the Condors did a decent job of keeping them to the outside and cleaning up rebounds. Maximovs shoot out goal was a thing of beauty

Reja

teddyturnbuckle:
What ever happens this spring, this is shaping up to be a playoff run for the ages for Oiler fans!Those Calgary games are going to be huge.If the Oilers bring up Benson and then trade a young D for a young forward. Hang on to your butts.

What exactly does Holland have against Benson is It because he used to be a Butler.

BornInAGretzkyJersey

J-Bo,

With Benson’s board work and soft hands, he could be the catalyst needed to get the Sheahan line scoring. He could come in and replace JJ for a spell and if he moves up on merit great. If not, no harm going back to the farm with a to do list.

JimmyV1965

OriginalPouzar: I did nothing of the sort.

I posited that Holland was holding out for “1st round pick value” in the return – not that he had that value.If he had that value, the trade would have been consummated.

You, once again, attach meaning to my posts that is not correct and, given the context of the conversation, I believe the misinterpretation is intentional.

The entire conversation was in the context of your incorrect post that Puljujarvi has less than zero value – factually incorrect as teams have offered up assets for his rights – hence positive value.You stated that a 5th and 7th round return was not available, again, incorrect as the reports have been that the asset value offered up was akin to a 2nd round pick.

The only reference to 1st round pick value was vis-a-vis what Holland is holding out for.

Still arguing with HH. Good luck with that.

OriginalPouzar

tileguy: Smith did not steal it, Boston gave it away. Should of been a 1-1 game going into OT.

Boston lost in the way we are used to seeing the Oilers lose – play OK, even well and better than the other team at points, yes make egregious mistakes and/or egregious tending and lose.

The Oilers didn’t make the egregious mistakes, their tender was solid and they won a fairly evenly played game. They took advantage of the opponent’s mistakes.

Full team win, in my opinion.

dessert1111

Re: Benson, I’m not so sure the right play isn’t to leave him down another 10-15 games as Yamamoto gets acclimated and see where he fits then.

I agree with the poster who said the best fit is probably the 1st line with Neal back to RW on the second or third line. It would mean Chiasson sits, because I think Khairan is a better fit on the grinding line.

OriginalPouzar

As per Stauffer (my guess is just maintenance for Klef who played 28 minutes last night):
Practice in Toronto:

Neal-McDavid-Kassian
RNH-Draisaitl-Yamamoto
Nygard-Haas-Chiasson
Khaira-Sheahan-Archibald
Gagner/P.Russell

Nurse-Bear
Lagesson-Larsson
Jones-K. Russell
(Klefbom not on the ice)

Smith
Koskinen

Richard Roma

leadfarmer:
Ignore the troll.
Hes just trolling.
No reason to reply to him
He will just troll

If you consider HH to be a troll, that’s fair I guess.

However, you’ve written a litany of posts advising us not to reply to him, yet you yourself keep doing it.

No one replies to HH more than you and OP.

OriginalPouzar

Reja: What exactly does Holland have against Benson is It because he used to be a Butler.

The Oilers currently have 4 rookies on the roster plus North American rookies in Nygard and Haas.

Benson is only 1/2 way in to his second pro season – his time is coming, it will be this year, but the fact he hasn’t been called up yet isn’t egregious. He’s a 21 year old and is developing and earning his call.

OriginalPouzar

BornInAGretzkyJersey:
J-Bo,

With Benson’s board work and soft hands, he could be the catalyst needed to get the Sheahan line scoring. He could come in and replace JJ for a spell and if he moves up on merit great. If not, no harm going back to the farm with a to do list.

I see some merit to that but would note that it is the opposite of what the GM wants – Holland has spoken about not wanting to call up a kid and then have to send the kid back down a few weeks later.

BornInAGretzkyJersey

OriginalPouzar,

That would also be my preference.

Bring him up when his path is clear.

I’d also prefer to see Benson on a soft-minutes skill line but there’s no harm in having him earn his stripes, either.

stephen sheps

OriginalPouzar,

OP, if I recall correctly, our gracious host has a soft rule about carrying over conversations from the previous day’s thread into the current one.

Yesterday’s conversation between you and HH (and several other posters who chose to pile onto it) was dreadful, no fun and consisted of you two mostly talking in circles without listening to the other party’s point of view. It also killed the thread after what was a great win and a mostly good conversation.

I think many would appreciate it if you left this one alone and also refrained from bringing previous content into a new day’s discussion. Please kindly drop your argument with HH, at least for today, allow the forum to breathe a little and maybe talk about some other things.

cheers

OriginalPouzar

Great action in the first 8 minutes – super fact.

Goodness Cozens can fly.

geowal

It feels a little surreal to be watching this Canada game on my tv from home and not up close in Ostrava, more far away.

jimmers2

Scungilli,

Thanks for taking the time to write an interesting answer.

Mike York was a useful player back in the day. Though it didn’t take long for the Oilers to break him… I am also eager to see what Benson can do but mostly am just hoping for a stable and productive situation for RNH. .

Jim

Scungilli Slushy: I think it depends on who the other player is. Yama is more skilled than the guys other than the top 3, and that means he is better at making plays, which is what is lacking IMO. Also a buzzsaw.

The team can have trouble creating HDSC off the cycle consistently. They can keep the puck, but can’t attack enough off of it as the strong teams can. They play it to the point but the quality of chance is low from point shots as we know. Sometimes that should be the plan if the opponent is crowding the slot, teh idea is drawing the wingers out to open up ice. Good cycling really matters in the playoffs depending on the opponent and where the refs whistles are located (like in their pocket).

That being said Yama is tiny and Nuge is a light player. Another smaller player on that line and teams will try to hit them and get them off their game IMO. It’s low hanging fruit. With Drai, especially being mean, it gives that line balance.

TO me Yama needs a bigger C or opposite winger with some physicality and skill. Kassian might work, but it seems they like him watching Connor’s back, which I agree with given the amount of abuse Connor takes at the moment.

Any player that is better than another on the roster is an upgrade. I see Benson also helping more than some, even if neither rookie becomes a top 6 regular. And they are free leaving assets to perhaps get a more established winger. And another goalie. And better 3C.

Reja

OriginalPouzar: The Oilers currently have 4 rookies on the roster plus North American rookies in Nygard and Haas.

Benson is only 1/2 way in to his second pro season – his time is coming, it will be this year, but the fact he hasn’t been called up yet isn’t egregious. He’s a 21 year old and is developing and earning his call.

With the heavy salaries up top all teams have multiple rookies playing or a handful on ELC either way it’s a young mans league Benson is skilled winger that’s almost 22 what exactly are they waiting for.

jp

blainer:

This team can surprise if we can just get the goaltending. What happened last night is what gets teams to the promised land. I still have very little confidence in the goalers but do think Koskinen would make a decent backup.

Even with the teams struggles in December I was surprised to see Koskinen is still tied for 12th in SV% (goalies with 20 or more games).

We’re half way through the season, he’s avoided any extended slumps. He’s 14-8-2. It may not have changed your confidence in him but he’s played like an NHL starter. So far so good.

And just maybe Smith isn’t completely done either.

geowal

stephen sheps,

Very well said. Especially if you go so far as to copy the original comment from the old thread into the new thread. Talk about not letting it die.

Ben

Can we pull off an in-final trade of the Reklaws for Pussy Riot here?

Reja

CCCP scores up 1-0 halfway through the second.

Todd Macallan

Wow has Canada been getting the Oilers treatment from the refs so far, wow.

Edit: as I post this, Canada gets a 2 min 5 on 3 haha, let’s go b’ys!

geowal

Looks like a 2 minute 5 on 3 for Canada, great opportunity to tie it up

geowal

That was quick, let’s get another!