I believe the first 30 picks are going to follow a fairly predictable path for the 2020 draft. Even a list like mine, which is a math list, should be able to predict much of the first round. The top players in this draft are obvious.
A year ago, my first round list contained six forwards who weren’t chosen in the first 31 names. These are good players but were passed over for various reasons. Are they progressing?
The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of The Athletic, check it out here.
- New Jonathan Willis: Misguided priorities helped turn the Oilers’ 2010 rebuild into a debacle
- New Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘It’s what’s best for the league’: Oilers accept challenge of play-in series
- Lowetide: Oilers greatest areas of need for the 2020 draft
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Six bold (and not so bold) predictions as the Oilers prepare for the Blackhawks
- Jonathan Willis: Oilers facing a bonus penalty for 2020-21 but the news isn’t all bad
- Jonathan Willis: Multiple choice: What might an Oilers trade at the 2020 NHL Draft look like?
- Jonathan Willis: Oilers return to play guide: How the NHL’s 24-team format impacts Edmonton
- Lowetide: Mike Green’s playoff role and possible future with the Oilers
- Lowetide: Oilers’ most likely recalls from Bakersfield for the playoff run
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘We rallied and regrouped’: How the Oilers won the 1990 Stanley Cup
- Lowetide: Why Kailer Yamamoto represents ‘Money Puck’ value for NHL teams
- Lowetide: Exploring hidden-gem draft options for the Edmonton Oilers
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘He set his place in history’: On Bill Ranford’s Conn Smythe run, 30 years later
- Jonathan Willis: Why NHL teams should gamble on defencemen over forwards later in the draft
- Jonathan Willis: Oilers’ offseason decisions will be influenced by 2021 Seattle expansion draft
- Jonathan Willis: Ken Holland’s likely approach to the Oilers’ offseason goalie question
- Lowetide: Oilers GM Ken Holland should shop for picks at the draft
- Lowetide: Exploring Oilers prospect Ryan McLeod’s possible NHL path
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Ales Hemsky on his health, alumni games, tough opponents and the Oilers’ stars
- Lowetide: Swedish export Noel Gunler offers Oilers a worthy draft target
LOWETIDE’S SIX OVERLOOKED FIRST-ROUND FORWARDS 2019 DRAFT
This is the group and the numbers we were talking about on the second day of the draft (well I was talking about it, you were still discussing Philip Broberg). I liked everyone on this list and four later names (Blake Murray, Samuel Fagemo, Nils Hoglander, Brett Leason) as legit NHL offensive forwards. Remember, this is after the first round, when about 15 forwards with plus offensive potential were taken.
I always like to check and see how these players do in year two, as each year of development post draft is important. You don’t write off a player on the downbeat but it’s worth noting the trends. Here’s draft plus one for the group:
Arthur Kaliyev’s numbers in his draft year were so impressive, couldn’t believe he slipped into the second round. Did he improve? Yes. Yes he did. Nick Robertson absolutely zoomed past the rest of the group, if he does it again people are going to claim they knew he was DeBrincat on draft day. Oilers’ Lavoie has done well in the last two seasons, that’s a strong uptick. We’ll visit this again next year, I bet three of these guys (at least) have NHL careers.
LOWETIDE’S 2020 FIRST ROUND FORWARDS
I have completed the top 75 for my Monday draft list (“Here Comes the Sun 2020”) but will be referring to this list and the first-round forwards for this segment. Not a lot of change but there is some. I believe all of these players will be chosen in the first round:
Now, for the rest of the forwards I have ranked as first rounders. Several will be available early in round two.
If I had to pick six names who will be available early in the second round of the draft, I’ll go with Mysak, Reichel, Foerster, Greig, Foudy and Neighbours. There’s real quality there, Greig is fairly close to Lavoie in quality. There is no Kaliyev likely to fall, of course there shouldn’t have been last year. It would be fabulous to get an early second round selection. If Holland could walk away from the 2020 draft with Bourque (first round) and Greig (second round) the forward pipeline would see significant improvement.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
At 10 this morning, TSN1260, we kickstart the weekend with a fantastic lineup. At 10:20 Steve Lansky from Big Mouth Sports will join us to talk about the NHL’s return to play plan, plus some innovations in the broadcasts he’d like to see. Corey Pronman from The Athletic pops in at 10:40 to discuss his final 2020 list (it is here) and some of the true gems of this draft. Matthew Iwanyk will chat about Edmonton as an NHL site for the 2020 playoffs and the race by NA’s major sports to get back on the field/court/ice and into the living rooms of the nation. 10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. This will be a blast!