One of the reasons Magnus Paajarvi exited the NHL despite great wheels pertained to shooting percentage. It took some time to establish his below average scoring rates, mostly because he scored 15 goals as a rookie (despite an 8.3 percent shooting percentage). After flushing out of the league and down to the AHL in year two, he ran some great luck (nine goals on 75 shots) in 2012-13 and MacT dealt him to the Blues on a shooting high. Who among the current prospects can we expect to shoot lights out in the future? Who should you be worried about?
Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. I am proud to be part of The Athletic. Here are the most recent Oilers stories.
- New Lowetide: For Oilers prospect Tyler Benson, the past can be inspiration
- Lowetide: Stock Watch: Hot starts and safe landings for Oilers prospects
- Jonathan Willis: There are no good shortcuts for the Oilers with Jesse Puljujarvi
- Lowetide: Potential trades and partners for the Oilers’ offseason
- Lowetide: The Oilers could find a world-class agitator in the draft
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Should the Oilers select goalie Yaroslav Askarov 14th at the NHL Draft?
- Lowetide: A bold draft strategy for the Oilers in 2020
- Jonathan Willis: Oilers third-line centre search should include other teams’ cap casualties
- Lowetide: Dealing a defenceman? Taking stock of Oilers’ blueline assets
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers prospect Raphael Lavoie has opted for Europe. Will others follow suit?
- Lowetide: Oilers return to traditional farming model with Bakersfield Condors
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Q&A: Oilers GM Ken Holland on improving internally, the flat cap and goaltending
- Lowetide: How close are the Oilers to deploying two formidable scoring lines?
- Jonathan Willis: Can the Oilers find value picks among the 2020 NHL Draft’s impressive Russians?
- Lowetide: 10 free agent targets for the Oilers this offseason
- Lowetide: What if the Oilers went scorched earth in front of 2020 free agency?
- Lowetide: Oilers Top 20 Prospects, Summer 2020
- Jonathan Willis: Unqualified RFAs could be top offseason targets for the Oilers
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Who stays? Who goes? The most likely players to stay with and leave the Oilers
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE, OILERS PROSPECTS
- Kailer Yamamoto (AHL) 8 goals on 43 shots (18.60 percent)
- Ostap Safin (ECHL) 16 goals on 111 shots (14.41 percent)
- Maxim Denezhkin (MHL) 19 goals on 134 shots (14.18 percent)
- Raphael Lavoie (QMJHL) 38 goals on 310 shots (12.26 percent)
- Cooper Marody (AHL) 5 goals on 44 shots (11.36 percent)
- Jesse Puljujarvi (Liiga) 24 goals on 246 shots (9.76 percent)
- Tyler Benson (AHL) 9 goals on 106 shots (8.49 percent)
- Kirill Maksimov (AHL) 5 goals on 59 shots (8.47 percent)
- Ryan McLeod (OHL) 5 goals on 69 shots (7.25 percent)
Yamamoto had a ridiculous shooting season, he increased his efficiency in the NHL (25 percent), but he was 18.9 percent in his final junior season. Is a 10 percent NHL career shooting percentage a reasonable expectation? Maybe a little more?
Safin and Denezhkin are interesting, but Lavoie is the marksmen who most of us consider as the next great hope. Swedish Poster has him adjusting with Rogle (picked up a point yesterday!) and that’s a player to track this winter.
Jesse Puljujarvi is under 10 percent again, this time in the Liiga. His NHL career shooting percentage (7.4) trails Magnus Paajarvi (7.9) and that’s a concern. The one positive? JP was a teenager in those NHL games.
Tyler Benson is below 9 percent. In his last three seasons, he posted 11.64 (WHL), 8.67 (AHL) and 8.49 (AHL).
I don’t believe the Oilers will target an impact shooter in this year’s draft but might land on one anyway. There are some fine options.
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE, FORWARDS IN 2020 DRAFT
- Jack Quinn (OHL) 52 goals on 240 shots (21.67)
- Quinton Byfield (OHL) 32 goals on 148 shots (21.62)
- Brendan Brisson (USHL) 24 goals on 111 shots (21.62)
- Marco Rossi (OHL) 39 goals on 193 shots (20.21)
- Seth Jarvis (WHL) 42 goals on 219 shots (19.18)
- Jacob Perreault (OHL) 39 goals on 207 shots (18.84)
- Dawson Mercer (QMJHL) 24 goals on 142 shots (16.91)
- Alexander Holtz (SHL) 9 goals on 55 shots (16.36)
- Marat Khusnutdinov (MHL) 13 goals on 81 shots (16.05)
- Justin Sourdif (WHL) 26 goals on 163 shots (15.95)
- Cole Perfetti (OHL) 37 goals on 244 shots (15.16)
- Connor Zary (WHL) 38 goals on 257 shots (14.79)
- Mavrik Bourque (QMJHL) 29 goals on 202 shots (14.36)
- Alexis Lafreniere (QMJHL) 35 goals on 261 shots (13.41)
- Lucas Raymond (SHL) 4 goals on 32 shots (12.5)
- Thomas Bordeleau (USHL) 16 goals on 136 shots (11.76)
- Rodion Amirov (MHL) 10 goals on 85 shots (11.76)
- Dylan Holloway (Big-10) 8 goals on 84 shots (9.52)
- Anton Lundell (Liiga) 10 goals on 162 shots (6.17)
- Tim Stutzle (DEL) 7 goals on 132 shots (5.30)
Some of these kids are playing in pro leagues and that absolutely changes the equation. Anyone in the top 15 would represent a fantastic potential winger for McDavid, depending on the rest of their skill set. If I was making the pick, it would very likely be Seth Jarvis. He keeps showing up well in all of these metrics.
I caught Burke on television last night, listing the Canadian teams in order of being ready to win Stanley. I often don’t agree with Burke, whose children are hilarious on twitter and have finally found a hairdo that suits him. I have to say this list looks accurate. Thoughts?
Hockey might be rare in November and December, so this is some welcome news.