I’ve mentioned this before but it’s quite rare to find a player who projects as being a contributor to a skill line outside the top 30 overall. Raphael Lavoie was available at No. 38 one year ago and that stroke of good fortune is a solid arrow for the organization. Two first rounders is a helluva haul. And you know what? Edmonton is getting better at drafting forwards in the second round.
Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. I am proud to be part of The Athletic. Here are the most recent Oilers stories.
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NHLE and the skill lines
Over the ten draft seasons 2010-19 we learned together what a scoring forward looks like on draft day. Using NHL equivalencies, beginning in 2010, we can see the gap between the first and second rounds.
- Taylor Hall first round 2010: 49.3
- Tyler Pitlick second round 2010: 18.0
- Curtis Hamilton second round 2010: 15.2
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins first round 2011: 38.0
- Nail Yakupov first round 2012: 43.5
- Mitch Moroz second round 2012: 9.4
- Marco Roy second round 2013: 24.0
- Leon Draisaitl first round 2014: 40.6
- Connor McDavid first round 2015: 67.6
- Jesse Puljujarvi first round 2016: 20.8
- Tyler Benson second round 2016: 23.1
- Kailer Yamamoto first round 2017: 37.7
- Ryan McLeod second round 2018: 27.2
- Raphael Lavoie second round 2019: 27.4
There is one first-round pick who posted an NHLE below 37.0 (Jesse Puljuarvi) and two second-round picks who posted over 25.0 NHLE (McLeod and Lavoie). Progress? Yes! Seriously. Between 2012 and 2018 Edmonton has discovered something resembling NHLE.
Will Lavoie make it on a skill line?
There are several things that suggest Lavoie is going to score enough to survive on a skill line. First, he’s an extreme volume shooter. Second, he scored 30, 32 and 38 goals in his three full QMJHL seasons. Other reasons are here.
When will he arrive?
He has officially signed with Rogle (SHL) for the 2020-21 season. I think this is a great move for an important player in the organization. Kudos to Ken Holland for finding a place in the sun for a goal-scoring forward who is vital to the organization’s future. He should have some company in the ‘future scorer’ slot in Edmonton’s prospect arsenal after the 2020 draft, but right now he’s stone alone.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
At 10 this morning, we kickstart the week on TSN1260 with a lot of chat about a lot of things. Our first guest is Paul Sir from Basketball Alberta will talk Raptors and the NBA playoffs. At 10:40 Gianluca Nesci from The Score will talk about the rising star that is Alphonso Davies. Jason Gregor from TSN1260 pops in at 11 to chat about the NHL playoffs and early games, plus Oilers. 10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter.