Ken Holland is weighing his options now and we’re left to wonder how many he has at this point in summer. This roster is going to change, but let’s check in for our first RE estimate and see how this thing shines.
The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of the group, here’s an incredible Offer!
- New Lowetide: What to do when Connor McDavid rests: The Oilers’ ideal No. 2 line for 2019-20
- Lowetide: Adding a scorer will be Ken Holland’s first big move as Oilers GM
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: What the Oilers’ depth chart looks like now and where they go from here
- Jonathan Willis: How often do goalies like the Oilers’ Mike Smith rebound?
- Lowetide: Ken Holland’s roster moves clear the way for Oilers top prospects Tyler Benson and Kailer Yamamoto.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: A deeper look at Mike Smith’s comments after signing with the Oilers
- Jonathan Willis: Oilers GM Ken Holland promises long-term rewards for an approach light on short-term improvements
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Trade market now most likely place for Oilers to find scoring winger
- Lowetide: Oilers add free agent Markus Granlund, creating a crowded depth chart at left wing
- Jonathan Willis: Tomas Jurco is a nice little reclamation bet by the Oilers.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: How re-signing winger Alex Chiasson impacts the Oilers
- Lowetide: Oilers add Mike Smith to an uneasy goalie depth chart for 2019-20
- Lowetide: Oilers buy out Andrej Sekera, look to a more dynamic free-agent frenzy.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘He comes as advertised’: Philip Broberg’s skating makes him development camp standout for Oilers
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers plan to skew younger on defence could open the door for Evan Bouchard, Dmitri Samorukov
- Lowetide: Taking stock of Oilers prospects ready to graduate with a clear shot at an NHL job in 2019-20
- Lowetide: Oilers top 20 prospects summer 2019.
- Lowetide: Are these Jesse Puljujarvi’s final days with the Edmonton Oilers?
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Ranking the Oilers’ trade assets from the high-priced diamonds to those needing fresh starts
- Lowetide: Oilers GM Ken Holland is shopping for 20-goal scorers on a budget. What will he find?
Todd McLellan: “Volume shooting, I don’t know what that does to Corsi or Fenwick because I don’t even know what those things are, but volume shooting is important. I think it breaks down defensive zone coverages, gets players out of position, taxes the opposition, makes them play more minutes in their zone.”
RE 2019-20 ESTIMATE
Looking long and hard for volume shooters to elevate to a skill line is damned difficult for the current Oilers. Tyler Benson (2.54 shots per game in the AHL), Joakim Nygard (2.94 shots per game in the SHL) and Sam Gagner (8.13 five-on-five shots per 60) are candidates for feature roles, but it’s a moving target for this Oilers team. He’s my first attempt at RE for 2019-20, understanding changes will come.
Leon Draisaitl —Connor McDavid —Zack Kassian 
Milan Lucic —RNH —Alex Chiasson 
Markus Granlund —Gaetan Haas —Joakim Nygard 
Jujhar Khaira —Colby Cave —Sam Gagner 
Tomas Jurco —Cooper Marody 
Oscar Klefbom —Adam Larsson 
Darnell Nurse —Kris Russell 
Caleb Jones —Matt Benning 
Brandon Manning 
Mikko Koskinen [.912]—Mike Smith [.905]
My estimate has Edmonton scoring 230 goals, allowing 252. That’s a massive year over year improvement, most of it defensively. In 2018-19, the Oilers were 229-271 (-42) and my initial 2019-20 RE has the team -22, owing mostly to a massive improvement in goals against (+19 season over season). How will they get it done? I’m giving a lot of credit to Dave Tippett and shot suppression. In the Coyotes final season before Tippett, the team allowed 2591 shots. The following year? 2427. He also increased shots for by 200, but the Oilers currently employ a group who are unlikely to take full advantage. We’ll see what the summer brings in terms of roster improvement.
There are some concerns, mostly surrounding how much time on ice Broberg will receive. Oscar Klefbom played 33 games in the SHL in draft +1, seeing the ice 13:44 per game and scoring 2-0-2.
All our trials, lord, soon be over. McDavid healthy is absolutely vital for a team that has so little going on. I don’t buy the idea that he’s going to ask for a trade next summer if the team misses the playoffs, and I sure as hell don’t believe Ken Holland would grant his wish if the request were made. However, a full season without McDavid gets Edmonton in Alexis Lafrenière territory. If that happens, and it could, the Oilers get another ridiculous talent and who knows what happens.
Kurt Leavins reported yesterday ” The next $3m bonus for Milan Lucic is payable July 17th” and then opined on the possibility of a trade that saved some cap room for Edmonton. Music! Would you trade Lucic and Jesse Puljujarvi for Brandon Sutter? Same package for Zack Smith?