Sit Down, Young Stranger

by Lowetide
Leon Draisaitl photo by Mark Williams

The Oilers under Ken Holland appear to be on the way to signing a ‘shadow team’ of minor leaguers to AHL contracts. Honestly, it was crazy before all the kids signed to NHL deals started getting loaned out to European teams, and then the Adam Cracknell signing seemed to signal the completion of signings for Bakersfield. Yesterday? Two more.

THE ATHLETIC!

I’m proud to be writing for The Athletic, and pleased to be part of a great team with Daniel Nugent-Bowman and Jonathan Willis. Here is our recent work.

BAKERSFIELD CONDORS ON NHL CONTRACTS 2020-21

  • Goalies (4): Stuart Skinner, Dylan Wells, Olivier Rodrigue, Angus Redmond
  • Left Defense (5): William Lagesson, Dmitri Samorukov, Philip Broberg, Theodor Lennstrom, Markus Niemelainen
  • Right Defense (2): Evan Bouchard, Logan Day
  • Center (3): Cooper Marody, Ryan McLeod, Cam Hebig
  • Left Wing (4): Tyler Benson, Joe Gambardella, Ryan Kuffner, Nolan Vesey
  • Right Wing (4): Adam Cracknell, Raphael Lavoie, Kirill Maksimov, Ostap Safin

Let’s start with the RFA’s. I think Lagesson, Day and Kuffner get signed but you should know that all these minor league free agents mean a major cull of the 50-man. Redmond, Hebig, Vesey and Ryan Mantha are not qualified in this model.

AHL CONTRACTS

  • Goalies (0): 
  • Left Defense (3): Ryan Stanton, Jake Kulevich, Yanni Kaldis
  • Right Defense (1): Janis Jaks
  • Center (3): Brad Malone, Luke Esposito, James Hamblin
  • Left Wing (3): Blake Christensen, Devin Brosseau, Graham McPhee
  • Right Wing (2): Jakub Stukel, Liam Folkes

Stanton will play in the top-4D with Bakersfield, that’s a great get by Bakersfield general manager Keith Gretzky. Malone will also be a big part of the team. I think Holland signs a goalie to an NHL deal and that player will be the NHL recall for 2020-21 in net.

PROJECTED 2020-21 CONDORS ROSTER

  • Goalies (2): Stuart Skinner, AHL starter
  • Left Defense (4): William Lagesson, Ryan Stanton, Jake Kulevich, Markus Niemelainen
  • Right Defense (3): Evan Bouchard, Theodor Lennstrom, Logan Day
  • Center (5): Cooper Marody, Brad Malone, Ryan McLeod, Luke Esposito, James Hamblin
  • Left Wing (4): Tyler Benson, Joe Gambardella, Ryan Kuffner, Blake Christenson
  • Right Wing (5): Adam Cracknell, Raphael Lavoie, Kirill Maksimov, Ostap Safin

Lagesson may be in the NHL, if so Edmonton will need another top-4D for the season. They could use some help on the wings too, but it’s important for the young wingers to play.

OILERS 2020-21 50-MAN ROSTER (41)

I’ve included only the RFA’s who are likely to be on the roster or could be on the roster.

  • Goalies (4): Mikko Koskinen, Stuart Skinner, Dylan Wells, Olivier Rodrigue.
  • Left Defense (9): Oscar Klefbom, Darnell Nurse, Caleb Jones, Kris Russell, William Lagesson (RFA), Philip Broberg, Theodor Lennstrom, Dmitri Samorukov, Markus Niemelainen.
  • Right Defense (6): Adam Larsson, Ethan Bear (RFA), Matt Benning (RFA), Evan Bouchard, Logan Day (RFA), Filip Berglund
  • Center (6): Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Jujhar Khaira, Gaetan Haas, Cooper Marody, Ryan McLeod
  • Left Wing (8): Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Andreas Athanasiou (RFA), James Neal, Joakim Nygard, Tyler Benson, Joe Gambardella, Ryan Kuffner (RFA), Ostap Safin
  • Right Wing (8): Zack Kassian, Kailer Yamamoto, Josh Archibald, Alex Chiasson, Patrick Russell, Raphael Lavoie, Kirill Maksimov, Adam Cracknell

It’s plain to see the needs: NHL goalie, NHL No. 3 center, AHL goalie, AHL defenseman if Lagesson is on the NHL team. I think the two-way winger is also a need for the McDavid line, and there seems to be a lot of smoke around acquiring a defenseman.

Draisaitl last played August 7, that was five weeks ago. Previous to those four games against Chicago, LD played last on March 11. That’s 189 days, so yeah, playing would seem to be a good idea. Don’t get hurt, Leon!

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning, we deliver the goods with strong guests, good conversation and cold, hard cash! At 10:20, Bruce McCurdy will join me from the Cult of Hockey at the Edmonton Journal to discuss the next four weeks for the Oilers. What changes does he see? Priorities? Joe Osborne from OddsShark will talk Stanley Cup Finals, the NBA playoffs and NFL lines for Week 2. Reid Fowler from Draft Kings will discuss the U.S. Open and who to bet on (I say Dustin Johnson). 10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter.

We’ll also have the $20,000 Mystery Moment at 10:15, your chance to win cash with that sports knowledge of yours. We’re at $2,200! Text in at 10-1260 with the secret word (I’ll give it to you at about 10:12 on TSN1260), then we’ll call you, play a clip from a famous sports moment and ask you for a detailed answer.

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hunter1909

Islanders forward Eberle ensures the Bolts are exposed once more by being forced to play 1 too many games while Cory Perry sharpens his stick lol

hunter1909

How could Edmonton get Perry on the team? He’s the perfect vet for the playoffs. Kevin Lowe could even offer to chauffeur him around.

dustrock

Interesting thinking of the players who didn’t even make the play-in round and how long it’s going to be away from competitive ice time before the start of the season.

dustrock

https://theathletic.com/2054516/2020/09/16/nhl-scouts-poll-2020-byfield-vs-stutzle-video-views-and-an-exceptional-crop/

Sunaya interviews a bunch of scouts about this year’s draft.

Some interesting insights, including:

How high do you see goaltender Yaroslav Askarov (SKA, VHL) going?

Inside the top 10.
I think he will go around 10 or so.
13
13
13
15
Top 10 talent but likely 10-15 range
10-15 depending on team needs. I know there are a couple of teams that would like to add to their goalie depth.

Elgin R

Good to see Leon getting some playing time in the homeland.

Keeping spots available on the 50-man list is imperative this year. Keeping cap and options open until the last minute should allow Holland to improve this team. There will be teams that will delay in making decisions until the last minute to get down to the NHL or their own cap level. Time to take advantage.

Will teams make bad trades during the season due to internal cap pressures from owners? Probably. Holland needs to keep some cap-room available or that as well.

Trade KRusty and Chiasson asap to free up cap and two more spots on the the 50-man list.

More rumours today with respect to the Oilers and OEL. For the love of Gord – End the Insanity.

Woogie63

Assignments for Oiler’s operational team;

Mr. Holland

1. Trade Kris Russell for picks, this give the team $12.7M to build out the line-up
2. Sign RFA with arbitration right AA ($3); Benning ($1.9M)
3. Sign a UFA 1B goalie for 2 years or less ($3.0)
4. Sign Jesse ($1.2M)
5. Sign RFA w/o arbitration rights Bear ($1.1M), Lagesson (.8M)
6. Add drafts picks
7. Manage the edges – European teams for prospects, Kuffner, Kemp

Mr. Tippet

1. Expect internal growth and solutions to make the team better
2. Continue to develop in the NHL – Yamamoto, Bear, Jones
3. Find THE role for Jesse, AA, Bouchard, Benson,
4. Use real time health and hockey analysis to get more out of the team – thing NFL coaches

jp

LT said:
“BAKERSFIELD CONDORS ON NHL CONTRACTS 2020-21
Left Defense (5): William Lagesson, Dmitri Samorukov, Philip Broberg, Theodor Lennstrom, Markus Niemelainen
Right Defense (2): Evan Bouchard, Logan Day
AHL CONTRACTS
Left Defense (3): Ryan Stanton, Jake Kulevich, Yanni Kaldis
Right Defense (1): Janis Jaks”
——————————————————————————————–

The leftorium is alive and well folks, it’s just bubbling under at the moment.

(looks like a quality collection of D for the AHL level though)

leadfarmer

Kolner Haie is also the correct answer in case you were wondering what the heck happened to James Sheppard.

Harpers Hair

Elliotte Friedman (@FriedgeHNIC) Tweeted:
Hearing Bill Armstrong confirmed as ARIZ GM

John Chambers

Harpers Hair:
Elliotte Friedman (@FriedgeHNIC) Tweeted:
Hearing Bill Armstrong confirmed as ARIZ GM

Bill’s got his work cut out for him

Oilman99

hunter1909:
How could Edmonton get Perry on the team? He’s the perfect vet for the playoffs. Kevin Lowe could even offer to chauffeur him around.

They already have Neal to fill this role, he showed his value during the playin round, as he was one of the few players totally committed in every game. No salary space for another aging forward unless he is a third line Center.

Oilman99

Elgin R,

Trading Russell and Chiasson is easier said than done, there is a very limited market for these guys .

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR

I would think Armstrong in AZ would lessen the likelihood them getting fleeced in a trade.

John Chambers

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR:
I would think Armstrong in AZ would lessen the likelihood them getting fleeced in a trade.

He is going to have to de-construct the roster though. Chayka mortgaged a lot of the future and there is no quick path to success there.

Armstrong can build a team around:
Keller, Schmaltz, Hayton, Garland, Chykryn (sp?), and beyond those guys they have a few vets on the wrong side of 30.

He has little choice but to tear it down. They’re in worse shape than Ottawa 2.5 years ago.

Reja

Oilman99: They already have Neal to fill this role, he showed his value during the playin round, as he was one of the few players totally committed in every game. No salary space for another aging forward unless he is a third line Center.

I agree Neal’s a cagey vet it makes zero sense to buy him out this year and Holland won’t. Ask Tkachuk if he’s ever going to mess with Neal again after taking a trademark Glenn Anderson stick to the chops doing a game last year.

OriginalPouzar

Samorukov, Broberg and Lavoie are mentioned as 2020/21 Condors but I don’t believe any of them will be (well, until their European season’s end).

I think Sammy and Lavoie are committed to the KHL and SHL for the year.

Broberg can come over at any time but i believe the current “plan” is for him to stay in Skelefteea for the entire season and the come over in April or so.

If we are listing those guys then shouldn’t we list Fillip Berglund as well – he’s eligible to come over at any time, just like Broberg.

The plan could change with Broberg I guess – the one scenario I have made up in my mind is NHL camps starting in and around the time the World Juniors are in Edmonton. Broberg will be in Edmonton and it may work out great logistically for camp. Perhaps, after a great 1st half of the year in Sweden, a great WJC and attending Oilers camp, they keep him in North America?

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR

John Chambers: He is going to have to de-construct the roster though. Chayka mortgaged a lot of the future and there is no quick path to success there.

Armstrong can build a team around:
Keller, Schmaltz, Hayton, Garland, Chykryn (sp?), and beyond those guys they have a few vets on the wrong side of 30.

He has little choice but to tear it down. They’re in worse shape than Ottawa 2.5 years ago.

Agreed. I just meant that he brings some stability. Steve Sullivan with the interim tag trying to sell off pieces likely had the whole league drooling.

Harpers Hair

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR: Agreed.I just meant that he brings some stability.Steve Sullivan with the interim tag trying to sell off pieces likely had the whole league drooling.

You would have to think his first priority will be to acquire draft picks.

I wonder if OEL will fetch a first.

OriginalPouzar

Tyler Wright on with Stauffer:

– trying to be creative given the timing of the draft and have lots of dialogue

– meeting all week for final preps

– luxury that some kids are now playing – can see not only progression but lack of progression

– Stauff mentions Ghule 30 seconds in

– they like to identify kids early that they like and try and get as many viewings as possible.

– Would they hesitate to take a d-man at 14? “To be honest, 13 picks will be made ahead of us. We have to take the BPA that we deemed as a staff. Our philosophy may be different than other teams. If we see a major piece in a few years and its on the back end, we have to take it. Whether that’s a scoring wing or a center, you can’t have enough good players. We understand the depth charts of what we need but we need to take the best player available.”

– Wright agreed with Bob’s statement that size is less an issue today than it used to be. References Tampa Bay. The game is changing and evolving. Small players will make you small team. Can I small team win? I don’t know, I think it can.

– References the good nucleus with Klef and Nuge and Larsson and Jones and Broberg and Bouch and want to complement them

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR

Harpers Hair: You would have to think his first priority will be to acquire draft picks.

I wonder if OEL will fetch a first.

It’s a bad year to be trying to get value while unloading contracts. I’d expect teams to need to sweeten the pot in order to unload bigger contracts (see Kris Russell, James Neal). Cap space is a huge asset this offseason. That can’t be stressed enough IMO. Teams that have lots will basically be able to do whatever they want.

Thant being said, OEL definitely gets them a first rounder plus plus.

Harpers Hair

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR: It’s a bad year to be trying to get value while unloading contracts.I’d expect teams to need to sweeten the pot in order to unload bigger contracts (see Kris Russell, James Neal).Cap space is a huge asset this offseason.That can’t be stressed enough IMO.Teams that have lots will basically be able to do whatever they want.

Thant being said, OEL definitely gets them a first rounder plus plus.

That contract can only be absorbed by a few teams.

Will certainly limit the return.

Material Elvis

As much as I would loathe the team to draft another left shot defenseman, Guhle actually looks like a pretty decent player.

Unfriendly Regional Arachnid Individual

Reja,

I makes sense. You can disagree with the idea but it makes plenty of sense.

Unfriendly Regional Arachnid Individual

Unfriendly Regional Arachnid Individual,

*It

I yearn for your sweet embrace, edit button.

Brantford Boy

*** SPAM ***

There’s a fairly decent article over at coppernblue on Dawson Mercer for anyone interested in reading.

This is the player I hope we draft… full stop, and have to say I got even more excited reading about his toolkit. I’ve seen him compared to Marchessault, Landeskog, J. Toews, Forsberg, Trocheck and even Stone.

His 200 foot game, compete level, and forechecking really stands out in all the available information.

Scungilli Slushy

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR: It’s a bad year to be trying to get value while unloading contracts.I’d expect teams to need to sweeten the pot in order to unload bigger contracts (see Kris Russell, James Neal).Cap space is a huge asset this offseason.That can’t be stressed enough IMO.Teams that have lots will basically be able to do whatever they want.

Thant being said, OEL definitely gets them a first rounder plus plus.

This year a lot of teams will have cash issues. Russell is a NHL D that gets paid 1.5M next season. I think the 4M cap hit is less of an issue all things considered.

Scungilli Slushy

If the Oilers draft another D it has to be RHD. There’s only hopes and dreams after Bouchard. Leftorium still jam packed.

TheGreatBigMac

Here’s my roster with the rumored Ekman-Larsson and Fleury trades. We more depth at all positions, 1M in cap space and recover our picks for this year. We loose Nurse, Kassian, Neal, Russell, and Samarukov (ouch). I think this makes some sense. Right wing is shallow but I think Grabner could switch sides if need be.

https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1925819

jp

OriginalPouzar:
Tyler Wright on with Stauffer:

Good info, thanks for passing it on.

Hopefully they don’t end up with another LD, but I like the BPA stuff. And they’re open to smaller players, good to hear.

Shane

TheGreatBigMac,

I looked at your roster and laughed when I thought of Kevin Quinn.

“Ekman-Larsson over to Larsson. Back to Ekman-Larsson. Right up the middle to Larsson!”

jp

OriginalPouzar:

– References the good nucleus with Klef and Nuge and Larsson and Jones and Broberg and Bouch and want to complement them

I guess you mean Nurse here?

Complement rather than tear it down is good news I think. Though adding an OEL would be more than complementing.

No mention of Russell or Benning makes sense, based on age, usage. And maybe they retain Larsson a few years longer…

digger50

IF. Top pairing of

Ekman-Larsson and Larsson

I didn’t see that coming.

dustrock

Brantford Boy:
*** SPAM ***

There’s a fairly decent article over at coppernblue on Dawson Mercer for anyone interested in reading.

This is the player I hope we draft… full stop, and have to say I got even more excited reading about his toolkit.I’ve seen him compared to Marchessault, Landeskog, J. Toews, Forsberg, Trocheck and even Stone.

His 200 foot game, compete level, and forechecking really stands out in all the available information.

Only concerns for Mercer and Zary for me are Pronman mentioning skating concerns. I know sometimes this gets blown up as some kind of huge issue but I really think it’s important Edmonton gets the right forward prospect here as it’s going to be vastly important in 3 years.

Harpers Hair

On Draisaitl.

Julie Robenhymer (@JulieRobenhymer) Tweeted:
To be clear… He’s from Cologne and asked to train with the team as they prepare for their season to start in two months. He also said if the NHL didn’t start as currently scheduled and there was a chance for him to play (insurance issues pending), he’d want to play for them.

Klima's_Bucket

I see someone won the TSN 1260 prize correctly guessing Pisani’s OT winner from 2006.

Fun Fact:

Did you know Ethan Moreau received the nickname “Chopper” as a result of the slash on Corey Stillman that led to Pisani picking off the pass and going in alone to win it in Overtime?

John Chambers

Nugent-Hopkins and Larsson to Minn for Dumba and Victor Rask.

Discuss

leadfarmer

digger50:
IF.Top pairing of

Ekman-Larsson and Larsson

I didn’t see that coming.

Now just need to trade for 3rd line center Erickson Ek

Brantford Boy

dustrock,

Well I’m not a premium member at eliteprospects to view all the Skill Ratings but it appears he’s got the same speed rating as most of the high end prospects. I also doubt you can have a 200 foot game as mentioned almost everywhere with slow boots.

I will admit I usually get fixated on a handful of players at the draft each year and have a sweet spot for one of the bunch, this year it’s Mercer.

OriginalPouzar

jp: I guess you mean Nurse here?

Complement rather than tear it down is good news I think. Though adding an OEL would be more than complementing.

No mention of Russell or Benning makes sense, based on age, usage. And maybe they retain Larsson a few years longer…

He specifically mentioned a good nucleus with Connor and Drai and Nuge and Yamamoto emerging and with Broberg and Bouchard and Bear taking a step and with Jones with Klef and Larssson – we’re trying to complement those players.

He didn’t mention Nurse but, really, I think he was just listing off the top 4, top 6 and top prospects. I’m guessing it wasn’t intentional.

LadiesloveSmid

John Chambers:
Nugent-Hopkins and Larsson to Minn for Dumba and Victor Rask.

Discuss

Barf.

Rask sucks. Larsson is useful. I think this team as constructed needs RNH more than Dumba, his skills will be replicated soon by Bouch.

jp

OriginalPouzar: He specifically mentioned a good nucleus with Connor and Drai and Nuge and Yamamoto emerging and with Broberg and Bouchard and Bear takinga step and with Jones with Klef and Larssson – we’re trying to complement those players.

He didn’t mention Nurse but, really, I think he was just listing off the top 4, top 6 and top prospects. I’m guessing it wasn’t intentional.

OK, your post mentioned Nuge and all the D except Nurse (and Russell+Benning) so I wondered. Thanks.

Crazy Pedestrian

LadiesloveSmid: Barf.

I think the politically correct version of that is “Tkachuk”.

….whoops! I meant “Up-chuck”. Silly auto correct. 😋

jp

John Chambers:
Nugent-Hopkins and Larsson to Minn for Dumba and Victor Rask.

Discuss

If Nuge isn’t willing to sign, or is asking for $$$ then it begins to make sense (2 assets with 1 year left for Dumba with 3 years to UFA). Otherwise no thanks.

Harpers Hair

Material Elvis:
As much as I would loathe the team to draft another left shot defenseman, Guhle actually looks like a pretty decent player.

Scouching Report #33 is now out! We profiled Prince Albert Raiders defender Kaiden Guhle. You’re probably going to want to see this one.

https://youtu.be/rhOT3N3K2b8

LadiesloveSmid

Very good trade for Buffalo.

Too bad Staal would likely have Edmonton on his NTC list

OriginalPouzar

Damn – I had mentioned Eric Staal as a great 3C stop-gap acquisition target for the Oil for a good year plus now and the acquisition price, well, not sure what Guerin was doing here.

Staal would have been fantastic as the 3C for next year.

Would have loved to move Rusty to Winnipeg for the cap – wouldn’t think that would be enough to get Staal by, given Markus Johansson….

Reja

OriginalPouzar: He specifically mentioned a good nucleus with Connor and Drai and Nuge and Yamamoto emerging and with Broberg and Bouchard and Bear takinga step and with Jones with Klef and Larssson – we’re trying to complement those players.

He didn’t mention Nurse but, really, I think he was just listing off the top 4, top 6 and top prospects. I’m guessing it wasn’t intentional.

Maybe Nurse wasn’t into it.

hunter1909

Oilman99: They already have Neal to fill this role, he showed his value during the playin round, as he was one of the few players totally committed in every game. No salary space for another aging forward unless he is a third line Center.

That makes sense. Thank you.

Good to read someone else likes James Neal besides me.

Vets don’t like to waste precious energy. That’s why they’re often particularly good in the playoffs.

leadfarmer

Ok the Wild are obviously trading for a center now.

OriginalPouzar

jp:
LT said:
“BAKERSFIELD CONDORS ON NHL CONTRACTS 2020-21
Left Defense (5): William Lagesson, Dmitri Samorukov, Philip Broberg, Theodor Lennstrom, Markus Niemelainen
Right Defense (2): Evan Bouchard, Logan Day
AHL CONTRACTS
Left Defense (3): Ryan Stanton, Jake Kulevich, Yanni Kaldis
Right Defense (1): Janis Jaks”
——————————————————————————————–

The leftorium is alive and well folks, it’s just bubbling under at the moment.

(looks like a quality collection of D for the AHL level though)

The list is missing Berglund at RD – should be there.

There are a few Oiler prospects RD prospects that are just unsigned – Kemp and Kesselring – Kesselring is a “real prospect” but young and raw and Kemp is in the conversation and may warrant his ELC prior to next August.