2019-20 Game 20: Oilers at Sharks

by Lowetide

The first time San Jose and the Oilers played an NHL regular season game it was November 1991 and the expansion Sharks hammered the Damphouse-Manson-Mellanby Oilers. Since then, I never count on a win against the Oakland Seals 2.0. Call it the curse of Gilles Meloche.

THE ATHLETIC!

The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of The Athletic, less than two coffees a month offer here.

  • New Lowetide: Analyzing Dave Tippett’s defensive usage and what the Oilers will do when Adam Larsson returns
  • Lowetide: What’s going on with the Bakersfield Condors?
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shines, mad props for Leon Draisaitl and more to like as the Oilers beat the Devils
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: What inexperienced defencemen like the Oilers’ Joel Persson must do to gain their coach’s confidence
  • Lowetide: Oilers are closer to having an effective second line than a year ago, but few have noticed
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: The beauty of a good night’s sleep can be elusive for many NHL players
  • Jonathan Willis: Why the Oilers were wise to gamble on Tomas Jurco, even though it didn’t pan out
  • Jonathan Willis: The unlikely goalie performances underpinning the Oilers’ hot start
  • Lowetide: How far away is Evan Bouchard and what role will he play with the Oilers?
  • Scott Wheeler: Analyzing Jesse Puljujarvi’s play in Finland to see what he could offer as an NHLer
  • Jonathan Willis: Oilers right to wait until they’re sure before recalling Kailer Yamamoto, Tyler Benson
  • Lowetide:  Can Leon Draisaitl score more than 50 goals this season?
  • Lowetide: Bakersfield Condors coaching staff continues to mold unheralded players into legit NHL prospects.
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers Mailbag: Fixing the forward depth, slotting the big three, a Puljujarvi trade and more
  • Minnia Feng: The 2019-20 Oilers fan guide to emotions and stressful circumstances
  • Jonathan Willis: How much will the Oilers have to pay to keep pending free agent Zack Kassian?
  • Lowetide: Oilers top 20 prospects summer 2019.

OILERS AFTER 20 GAMES

  • Oilers in 2015: 7-12-1, 15 points; goal differential -8
  • Oilers in 2016: 11-8-1, 23 points; goal differential +7
  • Oilers in 2017: 7-11-2, 16 points; goal differential -13
  • Oilers in 2018: 9-10-1, 19 points; goal differential -9
  • Oilers in 2019: 12-5-2, 26 points; goal differential +12

The Oilers are in a great spot now but the season is long and slumps will occur. The 7-1-0 start is the key to this record, if the Oilers can play November a little above Bettman .500 the U.S. Thanksgiving standings rule (75 percent chance of making the playoffs if you are in position) should favor Edmonton.

OILERS IN NOVEMBER

  • Oilers in November 2015: 2-4-0, four points; goal differential -4
  • Oilers in November 2016: 2-3-1, five points; goal differential -4
  • Oilers in November 2017: 3-3-0, six points; goal differential -2
  • Oilers in November 2018: 2-4-0, four points; goal differential -6
  • Oilers in November 2019: 3-1-1, seven points; goal differential +7

The goal differential is stunning compared to the previous four seasons. Lots of good defense and goaltending in those numbers. The next two weeks are massive. If Edmonton can avoid a slump, December will arrive with everyone in good spirits. No Donner party, no sad Bonnie Raitt songs, no “Nadir’s Raiders” posts from this blog. Music!

WHAT TO EXPECT IN NOVEMBER?

  • On the road to: PIT (Expected 0-1-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • At home to: ARI, STL, NJD (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 1-1-1)
  • On the road to: ANA, SJS (Expected 1-0-1) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • At home to: COL, DAL (Expected 1-1-0)
  • On the road to: SJS, LAK, VEG, ARI, COL (Expected 2-3-0)
  • At home to: VAN (Expected 1-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 7-6-1, 15 points in 14 games
  • Current results: 3-1-1, 7 points after five games

A win tonight and the Oilers are over halfway to my predicted point total with eight games to find six points. In fact, with the 12-5-2 start Edmonton could go 30-30-3 from this point to the end of the season and finish 42-35-5, 89 points. It’s a good spot.

TOP 20 PROSPECTS

I’m preparing this winter’s top 20 prospects and have been struck by the fact all of last year’s top 20 returns. There will be some movement as three or four new arrivals from the 2019 draft will push a few players out. Looking at the top five and I think that might remain the same (although in a different order).

Did I ever tell you about my idea to go all the way back to 1979 and do a top 20 prospects for each season? I abandoned it because it’s doubtful anyone cares, but as a curio I’ll drop one of them here. The idea is to rank these players where they would have been slotted at the time, not where they would be ranked after their careers. Here’s 1980 summer:

Coffey was the big pick in summer ’80, Anderson played for the Canadian Olympic Team and Seattle Breakers of the WHL (7, 5-5-10). Jari Kurri was playing well in a pro league (Liiga) in Europe, Poddubny caught fire after a mid-season OHL trade and Tom Roulston one of two quality players on the farm team in Houston.

JESSE

Young Puljujarvi stated yesterday (if google translate is correct) that the plan is to stay in Finland and play in the Liiga all year. I’m pleased he made the decision and it is my belief this increases the chances he returns to Edmonton next fall. JP is playing a more confident game and having success, so whatever else happens he is increasing his own value. For Ken Holland, there’s no hurry and if the offers don’t get better there’s a very good chance we are at the same spot next November. I think there’s a sliver of a chance the player side realizes the situation next August and signs a deal with the Oilers. Nothing is working, Holland won’t budge. Stubborn mule! Sometimes a stubborn mule wins the day. Just saying.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning TSN1260 it’s been an eventful 24 hours. Jonathan Willis from The Athletic will join us at 10:20 to talk Oilers in San Jose, Jesse Puljujarvi, fall trades and the return of Adam Larsson. A special appearance from Steve Lansky of BigMouthSports follows, we’ll talk about the Don Cherry firing and what’s next for HNIC. At 11:05, Corey Graham joins us to talk about the Oil Kings loss to Tri-City Americans and the brilliance of Beck Warm.

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Bar_Qu

“Stubborn mule! Sometimes a stubborn mule wins the day. Just saying.”
-thus brayeth the mule

Jk

If by staying in Finland, Jesse has relieved the pressure on himself and rediscovers what he loves about this game, then its a win regardless of what happens.

My youngest is a huge Sharks fan, so we drove down to Cali (not just for that, but its a bigger story) and visited the Shark Tank. He got his picture there, we headed to SF, but I saw the Cow Palace along the way, and was disappointed not everyone shared my enthusiasm for the moment.

Bring on the Sharks!

Andy Dufresne

Oilers first picks on draft day

1984 – Selmar Odelein
1985 – Scott Metcalfe
1986 – Kim Issel
1987 – Peter Soberlak
1988 – Francois Leroux
1989 – Jason Soules
1990 – Scott Allison
1991 – Tyler Wright
1992 – Joe Hulbig
1993 – Jason Arnott
1994 – Jason Bonsignore
1995 – Steve Kelly
1996 – Boyd Devereaux
1997 – Michel Riesen
1998 – Michael Henrich
1999 – Jani Rita
2000 – Alexi Mikhnov
2001 – Ales Hemsky
2002 – Jesse Niinimaki
2003 – Marc-Antoine Pouliot

Ah the good old days…… NOT!

Andy Dufresne

Who doesnt love a Donkey!?!? (A mule is the offspring of a male Donkey and a horse)

I LOVE donkeys. Special animals.

Which is a good thing given my wife occasionally says I am one 🙂 …..which given my fondness for the creatures makes me smile 🙂 happy. win-win

#JPisStillanOiler

#KennysAGrinder

Making the introductions ala David Letterman:

Kenny…Donkey
Donkey…Kenny

Andy Dufresne

Lowetide:
Had to include Poo in there, didn’t you? DIDN’T YOU??????!???

🙂 lol……. Cut off at 2003 was just a coincidence….Yaa coincidence I tell ya…

Besides at my age (our age) a little Poo in the morning is a very good thing.

Keeps us regular….or in this case….humble…. 🙂

#TrustMe-AndyDufresneKnowsPoo

Phil

Hey guys,

this is somewhat unrelated and completely hypothetical so I hope it´s okay if I bring this up.

Imagine the Oilers could somehow add one additional (proven) player for a neglectable price like a late round pick this season – which one would you choose and why?

– a middle six winger
– a 3rd line center
– 2nd pairing left shooting defender
– 2nd pairing right shooting defender
– league average starting goalie

McNuge93

Andy Dufresne:
Oilers first picks on draft day

1984 – Selmar Odelein
1985 – Scott Metcalfe
1986 – Kim Issel
1987 – Peter Soberlak
1988 – Francois Leroux
1989 – Jason Soules
1990 – Scott Allison
1991 – Tyler Wright
1992 – Joe Hulbig
1993 – Jason Arnott
1994 – Jason Bonsignore
1995 – Steve Kelly
1996 – Boyd Devereaux
1997 – Michel Riesen
1998 – Michael Henrich
1999 – Jani Rita
2000 – Alexi Mikhnov
2001 – Ales Hemsky
2002 – Jesse Niinimaki
2003 – Marc-Antoine Pouliot

Ah the good old days…… NOT!

Wow, that is eye opening. Sather absolutely killed it very early on with Lowe, Coffey, Fuhr and some off the board picks from Europe, Canadian National team, etc but after that…..

Reja

Andy Dufresne:
Oilers first picks on draft day

1984 – Selmar Odelein
1985 – Scott Metcalfe
1986 – Kim Issel
1987 – Peter Soberlak
1988 – Francois Leroux
1989 – Jason Soules
1990 – Scott Allison
1991 – Tyler Wright
1992 – Joe Hulbig
1993 – Jason Arnott
1994 – Jason Bonsignore
1995 – Steve Kelly
1996 – Boyd Devereaux
1997 – Michel Riesen
1998 – Michael Henrich
1999 – Jani Rita
2000 – Alexi Mikhnov
2001 – Ales Hemsky
2002 – Jesse Niinimaki
2003 – Marc-Antoine Pouliot

Ah the good old days…… NOT!

Wow. Arnott and Hemsky and if you really wanted to stretch it Devereaux the rest are busts for one reason or another.

Andy Dufresne

Lowetide:
Had to include Poo in there, didn’t you? DIDN’T YOU??????!???

You arnott wright…..there issel no reisen to leave map out…ama rita bout that?!?

hunter1909

Hunter1909DeathMarch™

Seeks Web Designer

For vital upgrades to the http://www.oilersdeathmarch.com website.

Pays cash.

For more info please contact the Death March team via the website. Or alternatively:
hunter2909@Safe-mail.net

hunter1909

Was anyone else impressed by the Oilers bitch-slapping domination of the Ducks?

I think they were laughing at Eakins. Showing him how fun teams beat miserable teams(the Ducks do look preoccupied lol)

Tonight’s the Sharks turn to suffer.

Andy Dufresne

For those of us who think this draft thing is easy….

Our “Glory Days” GM…..the “Stan Weir” of Gm’s

Did this in 1990:

“The Oilers set a draft record for futility when not a single player of the 11 they picked laced up for a single game in the NHL.

Edmonton took Allison 17th in 1990, passing up on Keith Tkachuk, Martin Brodeur and Bryan Smolinski, who went 19, 20 and 21. Despite late round hits that included Chris Simon, Felix Potvin, Doug Weight, Geoff Sanderson, Vyacheslav Kozlov, Alexei Zhamnov, Sergei Zubov, Roman Turek, Craig Conroy, Peter Bondra and Sergei Nemchinov, the Oilers missed them all, going with with Alex Legault, Joe Crowley, Joel Blain, Greg Louder, Keijo Sailynoja, Mike Power, Roman Mejzlik, Richard Zemlicka, Petr Korinek and Sami Nuutinen.” (from the Edmonton Sun’s Rob Tychkowski.)

#SlatsIncredible

Andy Dufresne

Phil:
Hey guys,

this is somewhat unrelated and completely hypothetical so I hope it´s okay if I bring this up.

Imagine the Oilers could somehow add one additional (proven) player for a neglectable price like a late round pick this season – which one would you choose and why?

– a middle six winger
– a 3rd line center
– 2nd pairing left shooting defender
– 2nd pairing right shooting defender
– league average starting goalie

For a late round pick…Ill take one of each please. 🙂

But to go along with the hypothetical.

Assuming, availablity, cap space, term, salary, age and health check out.

And that Kassian, Chaisson, and Neal all continue to contribute..

3C

Otherwise top 6 forward

GordieHoweHatTrick

Phil:
Hey guys,

this is somewhat unrelated and completely hypothetical so I hope it´s okay if I bring this up.

Imagine the Oilers could somehow add one additional (proven) player for a neglectable price like a late round pick this season – which one would you choose and why?

– a middle six winger
– a 3rd line center
– 2nd pairing left shooting defender
– 2nd pairing right shooting defender
– league average starting goalie

High Quality 3C would significantly bolster the 3rd line and the rest of the line up. We can live with (make the playoffs) what we have elsewhere…

GordieHoweHatTrick

The Bends – Joel Persson. Leavins has a nice article today on Persson. His suggestion is the right one – send him to AHL for a bit. I think he can play in the NHL and he has shown good signs of this so far this year. He has had his weak moments, but we should keep in mind his rapid ascent in the past few years AND he has basically been thrown into a top 4 D role due to Larsson injury. Slowing things down a bit for a few months in Bakersfield could be all the adjustment time he needs to be a solid 2nd/3rd pairing RD. Given his trajectory the past few years, he seems to be a good learner. Imagine the RD options:
Larsson
Bear
Benning
Persson
Bouch
Day
etc

Depth without having off-handed RD replacements (i.e., Krusty and Jones can play LD as the Good Gord intended).

tcho

Phil:
Hey guys,

this is somewhat unrelated and completely hypothetical so I hope it´s okay if I bring this up.

Imagine the Oilers could somehow add one additional (proven) player for a neglectable price like a late round pick this season – which one would you choose and why?

– a middle six winger
– a 3rd line center
– 2nd pairing left shooting defender
– 2nd pairing right shooting defender
– league average starting goalie

Neat question. Interestingly, it kind of seems like we (currently. It seems?) have most of the things on that list. The one thing that seems iffy is a top 6 winger to me, so that’s the top need currently imo.

Pouzar

6 teams in the Pacific with positive xG differentials.

Jezzuz H

EDIT: SJ isn’t one of them.

Andy Dufresne

Two things I look for in a trade.

A player who is above average at his position / role.

And

A player who slots in our roster in a way that pushes other player(s) down into more appropriate slots

Getting Larsson back is going to have this affect on our current defense roster imo.

Acquiring an above average third line center (Jean Gabriel Pageault) will push Sheahan into the 4C role. Its like a double win. Buying an above average 3C also gets you an above average 4C.

#SecondaryEffects

LadiesloveSmid

Phil:
Hey guys,

this is somewhat unrelated and completely hypothetical so I hope it´s okay if I bring this up.

Imagine the Oilers could somehow add one additional (proven) player for a neglectable price like a late round pick this season – which one would you choose and why?

– a middle six winger
– a 3rd line center
– 2nd pairing left shooting defender
– 2nd pairing right shooting defender
– league average starting goalie

The 2nd line has been good enough, at least of late, that 3C would be my choice. Haas has had a couple nice games, but they need a bonafide NHL centre there. Legit 7th F playing 3C.

Strome? Pageau? E Staal? Gotta ship Russell out to make money work

Pouzar

How about we start with giving the 3C some wingers that don’t skate in sand and aren’t allergic to making a play. Nygard is a start.

Woodguy v2.0

The Curious Case of The San Jose Sharks.

Last season their SV% tanked.

There are lots of opinions on why and I have my own as well.

For context here is the 5 last years of Jones & 4 years of Dell’s All Situations SV% with SJS.

Martin Jones 15/16 91.7
Martin Jones 16/17 91.2
Martin Jones 17/18 91.5
Martin Jones 18/19 89.6
Martin Jones 19/20 88.9

Aaron Dell 16/17 93.0
Aaron Dell 17/18 91.3
Aaron Dell 18/19 88.8
Aaron Dell 19/20 88.5

They both fall down a hole in 18/19 and have stayed there so far this year.

What happened?

I think its a combination of things and won’t get into the gory details here but I think its been:

-Braun hitting his cliff last year
-Vlasic sliding down his steep hill last year, which Braun exasperated
-Goalies who weren’t as good as their previous results due to high end defending in front of them being exposed a bit
-No one to take the tougher minutes with Vlasic on the roster as Burns and Karlsson both have much more offensive value in their GF% than defensive.
-Losing Pavelski has hurt goals for vs Elites

Burns has actually been much better on the top pair than I anticipated, but Vlasic seems to be edging down the cliff.

They’ve settled into these top 4 pairs:
Vlasic-Burns – 41% vs Elites
Dillon – Karlsson – 31% vs Elites

DFF% vs Elites of the pairs so far this year:
Vlasic – Burns 40.4%
Dillon – Karlsson – 45.2%

This season’s splits of DFF% vs Elites of these pairs is interesting:

Vlasic without Burns 30.5%
Burns without Vlasic 61.7% – lots of ozone and OTF starts in there, but wow eh?

Dillon without Karlsson 57.2%
Karlsson without Dillon 28.8% (!!)

Wow eh?

Same pairs last year vs Elites for a look at a larger sample:
Vlasic – Burns – 43.1%
Karlsson – Dillon – 63.4% (!)

So maybe Karlsson-Dillon will come around and they’re just off to a slow start, but Vlasic-Burns is developing a history.

Also,

SJS started 4-10-1 but have gone 3-0-0 in the last 3 games.

Let’s see what’s changed (all numbers 5v5):

4-10-1 Start
50.2 CF%
44.5 xGF%
32.8 GF%
SH% 6.7
SV% .873

3-0-0 Lately
55.9 CF%
58.4 xGF%
50.0 GF%
SH% 10.5
SV% .851

So the team seems to have their shit together a bit more and some more pucks are going in, but the goalies are still not stopping too much.

Their PP has scored a bit less /60 min for the last 3 games, but the PK hasn’t allowed a goal against in 3 games.

SJS’s special teams haven’t been an issue for them all year, but interesting that the PK is hot right now.

Maybe a good game to hit the over? Over 6.0 is -115 on Bet365 this AM.

Lastly,

Weirdest thing about the SV% this year is that they’re actually great on the PK

4v5 SV% this year:
Dell .947
Jones .945

5v5 SV% this year:
Dell .878
Jones .872

So they have high, high end 5v5 SV% while short handed and have about league average 4v5 SV% while 5v5.

Bizarre, but speaks to 5v5 rickibox defending a bit imo.

GOILERS!!

*clapclap*

OriginalPouzar

I’m used to the Oilers making back-up and average goaltenders look like Vezina candidates, however, on Sunday they made a legit Vezina-caliber goalie look average at best – the goalie had an off-night but still.

Tonight they face some a team with middling goaltending and here is hoping they can continue to make goalies look average at best – 10 goals in the last two games, lets keep it rolling.

I assume Mike Smith gets the net back but its not quite a no-brainer.

I assume the lineup doesn’t change given two really solid overall performances. Nygard may just have to wait even if fully healthy. I could see Nygard in for Granlund on the Haas line but that’s the only change that I think could be justified.

Go Oilers!

Reja

Leafs Waive (cut) back-up Hutchinson I’m sure glad we don’t have goaltender problems in Oilerland. I was surprised they kept Hutchinson over Neuvirth to begin with. If Andersen goes in a funk Leafs nation will get much more interesting.

Coiler

Andy Dufresne:
For those of us who think this draft thing is easy….

Our “Glory Days” GM…..the “Stan Weir” of Gm’s

Did this in 1990:

“The Oilers set a draft record for futility when not a single player of the 11 they picked laced up for a single game in the NHL.

Edmonton took Allison 17th in 1990, passing up on Keith Tkachuk, Martin Brodeur and Bryan Smolinski, who went 19, 20 and 21. Despite late round hits that included Chris Simon, Felix Potvin, Doug Weight, Geoff Sanderson, Vyacheslav Kozlov, Alexei Zhamnov, Sergei Zubov, Roman Turek, Craig Conroy, Peter Bondra and Sergei Nemchinov, the Oilers missed them all, going with with Alex Legault, Joe Crowley, Joel Blain, Greg Louder, Keijo Sailynoja, Mike Power, Roman Mejzlik, Richard Zemlicka, Petr Korinek and Sami Nuutinen.”(from the Edmonton Sun’s Rob Tychkowski.)

Holy Hannah! That’s is one depressing record. Who the hell was the lead scout at that time?

Re: Jesse P: I know Mr. LT likes the player and what he can potentially bring to the team but I have to ask: when a player outright states in the summer that he wants a trade out of town, and then commits himself to lower tier league for the year, and then his agent goes on record less than a week ago and states that despite there being a new GM, a new coach, and a successful hockey team, his client would still prefer a fresh start…that tells me it wasn’t the water in Edmonton or the bad pizza. It was the player and the players around him that were in conflict.

Holland may be a mule, and God bless him for it. But even a mule like Holland is going to string this out until he gets what he wants in the transaction for JP. I personally think this is an inevitability. JP doesn’t want to play with the players that are currently on the roster (McJesus, Draisaitl, Nuge..). And they don’t seem to be going out of their way to coax him back.

This will be an addition by subtraction situation.

Woodguy v2.0

One more thing on SJS.

I think they miss Pavelski too, especially Couture.

This year (5v5 CF%)
Couture On 48.3%
Hertl On 53.2%
Both Off 51.3%

Last year: (5v5 CF%)
Couture On 54.3%
Pavelski On 55.6%
Both Off 55.1%

If we look at TOI% and DFF% vs Elites we see:

This year:
Couture 42.2% TOI – 45.3% DFF
Hertl 40.6% TOI – 45.8% DFF

Last year:
Couture: 38.4% TOI – 52.4% DFF
Pavelski 35.4% TOI – 54.3% DFF

Couture played a lot of wing last year, some of it with Pavelski some of it with Herlt

Couture with Pavelski 388 min
Couture with Hertl 375 min
Couture with neither 350 min
Note: there’s 50 min in the first two samples where all 3 played together

Now Couture has to do it on his own and that’s tougher. Even the best players need good players around them.

Couture’s most common linemates this year:
Meier 154min
Marleau 127min
Lebanc 66min
Kane 41min

Couture’s most common linemates last year:
Meier 799min
Pavelski 389min
Hertl 376min
Lebanc 133min

So Couture went from always having one of Pavelski or Hertl with him and Meier to Marleau.

Marleau is pretty slow and was a drag last year on TOR’s top lines. I know he started hot, but that’s a big down grade from last year.

Rondo

Don Cherry was trying to make a point about loving our country. By giving in to the outrage mobs, Sportsnet has disgraced themselves.

https://www.thepostmillennial.com/sportsnets-firing-of-don-cherry-is-a-disgrace/

hunter1909

Woodguy v2.0:
The Curious Case of The San Jose Sharks.

Last season their SV% tanked.

There are lots of opinions on why and I have my own as well.

For context here is the 5 last years of Jones & 4 years of Dell’s All Situations SV% with SJS.

Martin Jones 15/1691.7
Martin Jones 16/1791.2
Martin Jones 17/1891.5
Martin Jones 18/1989.6
Martin Jones 19/2088.9

Aaron Dell16/17 93.0
Aaron Dell17/18 91.3
Aaron Dell18/19 88.8
Aaron Dell19/20 88.5

They both fall down a hole in 18/19 and have stayed there so far this year.

What happened?

I think its a combination of things and won’t get into the gory details here but I think its been:

-Braun hitting his cliff last year
-Vlasic sliding down his steep hill last year, which Braun exasperated
-Goalies who weren’t as good as their previous results due to high end defending in front of them being exposed a bit
-No one to take the tougher minutes with Vlasic on the roster as Burns and Karlsson both have much more offensive value in their GF% than defensive.
-Losing Pavelski has hurt goals for vs Elites

Burns has actually been much better on the top pair than I anticipated, but Vlasic seems to be edging down the cliff.

They’ve settled into these top 4 pairs:
Vlasic-Burns – 41% vs Elites
Dillon – Karlsson – 31% vs Elites

DFF% vs Elites of the pairs so far this year:
Vlasic – Burns 40.4%
Dillon – Karlsson – 45.2%

This season’s splits of DFF% vs Elites of these pairs is interesting:

Vlasic without Burns 30.5%
Burns without Vlasic 61.7% – lots of ozone and OTF starts in there, but wow eh?

Dillon without Karlsson 57.2%
Karlsson without Dillon 28.8% (!!)

Wow eh?

Same pairs last year vs Elites for a look at a larger sample:
Vlasic – Burns – 43.1%
Karlsson – Dillon – 63.4% (!)

So maybe Karlsson-Dillon will come around and they’re just off to a slow start, but Vlasic-Burns is developing a history.

Also,

SJS started 4-10-1 but have gone 3-0-0 in the last 3 games.

Let’s see what’s changed (all numbers 5v5):

4-10-1 Start
50.2 CF%
44.5 xGF%
32.8 GF%
SH% 6.7
SV% .873

3-0-0 Lately
55.9 CF%
58.4 xGF%
50.0 GF%
SH% 10.5
SV% .851

So the team seems to have their shit together a bit more and some more pucks are going in, but the goalies are still not stopping too much.

Their PP has scored a bit less /60 min for the last 3 games, but the PK hasn’t allowed a goal against in 3 games.

SJS’s special teams haven’t been an issue for them all year, but interesting that the PK is hot right now.

Maybe a good game to hit the over? Over 6.0 is -115 on Bet365 this AM.

Lastly,

Weirdest thing about the SV% this year is that they’re actually great on the PK

4v5 SV% this year:
Dell .947
Jones .945

5v5 SV% this year:
Dell .878
Jones .872

So they have high, high end 5v5 SV% while short handed and have about league average 4v5 SV% while 5v5.

Bizarre, but speaks to 5v5 rickibox defending a bit imo.

GOILERS!!

*clapclap*

Add:

Disgusting facial hair more suited for gold mining than pro sports..

Clarkenstein

Coiler,

His name was Barry Fraser and he lived in Cabo. I mean… isn’t that where all Head Scouts live?

Side

Rondo:
Don Cherry was trying to make a point about loving our country. By giving in to the outrage mobs, Sportsnethas disgraced themselves.

https://www.thepostmillennial.com/sportsnets-firing-of-don-cherry-is-a-disgrace/

I recommend you read through yesterday’s thread.

Bag of Pucks

Rogers lost its 85 year old cherry, and amazingly alcohol played no apparent part in this poppy deflowering.

As is often the case with these things, both parties felt awkward immediately afterward and are now contemplating the prospects of seeing other people.

Virtue signalers are understandably apoplectic over this abrupt loss of virtue and let Rogers know in no uncertain terms that a return to broadcast standards chastity would be demanded post haste or they would cancel culture their subscriptions immediately.

Rogers is considering a beige hand puppet editorializing from approved twitter polls as its next love interest, while the now broken Cherry ponders the reality of never paying for a drink at the Legion as long as he lives.

Darth Tu

Is Nygard ready to go? If so I’d love to see him in the lineup tonight. Khaira seems to have stepped up in the last few games so I’d leave him in. Granlund might be the player to drop out.

Persson has looked better to my eye, but a trip to the AHL once Larsson is back would probably be beneficial.

Haas has really impressed me the last few games. He’s clearly got the smarts for the game and seems to be adapting a little better to the smaller ice. Nygard paired up with Haas could be interesting. Then keep the Sheahan line for the hard matchups.

jp

Darth Tu:
Is Nygard ready to go? If so I’d love to see him in the lineup tonight. Khaira seems to have stepped up in the last few games so I’d leave him in.Granlund might be the player to drop out.

Persson has looked better to my eye, but a trip to the AHL once Larsson is back would probably be beneficial.

Haas has really impressed me the last few games.He’s clearly got the smarts for the game and seems to be adapting a little better to the smaller ice.Nygard paired up with Haas could be interesting. Then keep the Sheahan line for the hard matchups.

Yup, agreed on all points.

It seems that Granlund is the obvious choice to sit, but it occurs to me that Tippett may actually sit Haas to get Nygard back in (when it happens) to keep Granlund’s PK in the lineup at 4C.

Please note that I am not endorsing this (I would sit Granlund), rather guessing at Tippett’s next move.

Andy Dufresne

Really liked LT’s approach / response to the Don Cherry issue on the Lowdown this morning. #SocialContract… #CodeOfConduct… #Entertain…. #ApologizeWhenWarranted

#HonestAndEvenHanded

Steve Lanksy was also spot on with his comments regarding the genesis of Coaches Corner and the Producers of the show (culpable). Gives you the inside goods and it meshes with Don Cherry’s own statement about the situation, wherein Cherry says, “I would have liked to continue doing Coach’s Corner. The problem is if I have to watch everything I say, it isn’t Coach’s Corner.”… “To keep my job, I cannot be turned into a tamed robot,” said Cherry.

#CorporateGovernance

#WhatAboutTheProducers

A wise man* once said “you develop a past’… I agree and would add, “be careful what you ask for”. #DrewRemenda’sCorner

Im a fan of social justice. It can have the unintended consequence of making things more bland, less colorful (watch the movie Pleasentville). #FairTradeOff

#AdaptOrDie

Sail on Grapes
Sail On Bobcat
Sail on Kipper
Sail on Doug Maclean

#NewWorldOrder
.
.
* Wise….but…..given three choices he invested his entire nut in Myrrh. DHO!

godot10

McNuge93: Wow, that is eye opening. Sather absolutely killed it very early on with Lowe, Coffey, Fuhr and some off the board picksfrom Europe, Canadian National team, etc but after that…..

When your head scout moved to Cabo, the GM should have taken a hint.

McSorley33

Really hoping to see Nygard in again….but as other have mentioned, who comes out?

Glad to let JP develop in Europe…I have to assume his trade value has increased from where it was at the end of last year.

This will be a good test tonight against San Jose.

godot10

hunter1909:
Was anyone else impressed by the Oilers bitch-slapping domination of the Ducks?

I think they were laughing at Eakins. Showing him how fun teams beat miserable teams(the Ducks do look preoccupied lol)

Tonight’s the Sharks turn to suffer.

Only Nugent-Hopkins and Klefbom have any real memories of Eakins. Draisaitl and Nurse had a cup of coffee with him.

Munny

McSorley33: Really hoping to see Nygard in again….but as other have mentioned, who comes out?

Granlund

Durag

godot10: When your head scout moved to Cabo, the GM should have taken a hint.

But if we had drafted the Mexican Gretzky in the 4th round it would have looked like a stroke of genius.

maudite

I would choose Ryan Strome in -> Samwise out (would even add 3rd round….possibly 2nd round to make it happen.

Phil:
Hey guys,

this is somewhat unrelated and completely hypothetical so I hope it´s okay if I bring this up.

Imagine the Oilers could somehow add one additional (proven) player for a neglectable price like a late round pick this season – which one would you choose and why?

– a middle six winger
– a 3rd line center
– 2nd pairing left shooting defender
– 2nd pairing right shooting defender
– league average starting goalie

Coiler

Clarkenstein:
Coiler,

His name was Barry Fraser and he lived in Cabo. I mean… isn’t that where all Head Scouts live?

Cabo eh? Seems like a reasonable spot. Laziness and Ineptitude all rolled up into one…sunning itself on the beach. Perfect spot to assess future hockey players.

It’s like the Oilers hired Don Cherry to be their Community Outreach Manager.

Munny

Munny: Granlund

Not that it will be. Tea-leaving Tippett says Haas.

Reja

hunter1909: Add:

Disgusting facial hair more suited for gold mining than pro sports..

Back in the day Dave Semenko would have yanked on his beard like it was out of a Bugs Bunny cartoon.

jp

Reja: Back in the day Dave Semenko would have yanked on his beard like it was out of a Bugs Bunny cartoon.

Even Maroon, back in the day.

Kinger_Oil.redux

– I was wondering what LT was going to do/say/comment re: Cherry. With nothing in today’s post re: Cherry: the single largest entertainer/influencer on Hockey for at least 35 years, I was initially ticked off. I wanted to know his thoughts. But upon reflection: his lack of taking time to opine is really a strong statement in itself: Cherry is not even worth mentioning….

– Cherry used the words “you people”, and believes in small rural areas, everyone wears poppy’s, but in Mississauga and Toronto, no one does, there is no other takeaway or inference possible

– He then doubles down in an interview (where he might have been able to reframe what he said if he felt it was taken out of context, or that he didn’t mean to say what he said, or recognized that people would be hurt, etc), moves the posts and says that we should all be wearing poppies. He is entitled to his opinion, and Sportsnet/CBC is entitled to their response.

– That’s all I’ve got on that: and if there are some things not worth talking about anymore…

Reja

jp: Even Maroon, back in the day.

Yea I forgot about that. With there being no more fights the Bushwackers look is save for now.

Oilpower

It will be interesting to see what Ethan bear gets on his next contract. Not really much of a peer group, at least I can’t think of anyone who was ahl to top pairing d in one year. Could be a good opportunity for the team to get a value contract.

Munny

Kinger_Oil.redux: – I was wondering what LT was going to do/say/comment re: Cherry. With nothing in today’s post re: Cherry: the single largest entertainer/influencer on Hockey for at least 35 years, I was initially ticked off. I wanted to know his thoughts. But upon reflection: his lack of taking time to opine is really a strong statement in itself: Cherry is not even worth mentioning….

LT stated in yesterday’s massive thread on the issue that his discussion of it would take place on the radio this morning. Judging by Andy Dufresne’s, comment, this discussion has aleady taken place, which means it will be available by podcast at some point, if you’re curious.

Pouzar

Munny: Not that it will be.Tea-leaving Tippett says Haas.

If they are giving the tough matchups to Sheahan line why not make a soft minutes scoring line with Haas and Nygard? Granlund’s minutes can be replaced on the PK and he a ghost 5v5 anyway.
Come on Dave yer doin so well!

BornInAGretzkyJersey

Kinger_Oil.redux,

Have a listen to the podcast of today’s Lowdown. At the start of the show LT gives the audience his personal take on things. Then, he spends plenty time in almost every segment discussing the event and impact with his guests to get their perspective.

Kinger_Oil.redux

Munny: LT stated in yesterdays massive thread on the issue that his discussion of it would take place on the radio this morning.Judging by Andy Dufresne’s, comment, this discussionhas taken place, which means it will ne available by podcast at some point, if you’re curious.

– Thanks: yeah, he did he was going to talk on radio. This site isn’t the sole source for LT’s ruminations as it was pre-radio and The Athletic, and that makes sense. Things change. His silence here on it, at least my take was that Cherry doesn’t warrant any insight

* I keep this blog on while I’m at the office, and click on it when I’m f$cking the dog, or need a break etc, and comment whatever nonesense I’ve got or when something is of interest, but don’t have time to listen to radio/TV during the day. I’m sure it was interesting though