Stanley Cup Playoffs 2020: Oilers vs. Chicago Game 4

by Lowetide

“They all look good in suits,” Craig MacTavish once famously said about one of the Oilers rookie camp rosters. They arrive as young men fulfilling a dream, and together build new dreams around glory and touching that big silver Stanley.

In Edmonton, since 1990, those dreams have either been dashed or made good in a second city. This year’s Oilers are in a tough spot, but the dream isn’t over for 2020. It’s not what happens to you, it’s what you do about it.

THE ATHLETIC!

Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. I am proud to be part of The Athletic. Here are the most recent Oilers stories.

OILERS 2020 PLAYOFFS

It’s uncertain who will draw in for Ennis but it does appear Athanasiou will get a look on the Draisaitl line for at least part of tonight. I’d run Haas or Nygard, depending on need. Oilers struggling in the dot but Haas is not strong in that area.

OILERS PLAYOFF CORSI FIVE ON FIVE

This is a dream Corsi set and speaks to what is a somewhat baffling 2-1 deficit in the series. The Oilers, from Dave Tippett appear confident, and we should see a desperate club late this afternoon. That doesn’t mean Edmonton will win, as we’ve seen in both the regular season and now the playoffs, the Blachkhawks are a tough matchup for the Oilers.

THE 2020 DRAFT

This is the Bob McKenzie top-16 list and NHLE’s, with my ranking for the players. Men like Mavrik Bourque, Connor Zary and Seth Jarvis are in fact part of my top-20 rankings, and it’s my belief (based on Holland/Wright’s past) the QMJHL and Swedish prospects probably grade out higher than average on the Edmonton list.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning, TSN1260, we kickstart an incredible weekend of live sports! Steve Lansky from the Inside The Truck podcast will talk Oilers, SC playoffs and Tim Dancy. Matt Iwanyk will join me for Point-Counter Point and talk trees and elimination games in the bubble. Corey Graham, Oil Kings PBP broadcaster, will give us an update on the status of the 2020-21 WHL season. 10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Talk soon!

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SVR

Come on Woodguy, this could be the last game of the season. We shouldn’t leave anything to chance!

Clap clap!

ArmchairGM

Six (count em!) elimination games today, in succession. Maybe I can get the afternoon off?

Brantford Boy

Calm your tits everyone… there’s no way the best player on the planet is going to let this game slip… tomorrow is another day… let’s just hope Larsson is ready to go.

If not, I can’t believe Dawson Mercer might be an option…

Let’s Go Oilers!

ArmchairGM

Who starts? I’d 100% go with Koskinen again, but I have a sneaking suspicion that Tippett will go back to Smith. IMO we’re only in this position because of Tippett’s bias towards Smith so I don’t think he’s the answer.

SVR

If Oilers lose looks like Mercer could be in the range. That would be a great result imo.

SVR

Brantford Boy:
Calm your tits everyone… there’s no way the best player on the planet is going to let this game slip… tomorrow is another day… let’s just hope Larsson is ready to go.

If not, I can’t believe Dawson Mercer might be an option…

Let’s Go Oilers!

Beat me to it

PokeCheck

ArmchairGM:
Who starts?

I think we stack both horizontally and hope for the best.

JOFA

TESLA’S HAIRsays:
August 7, 2020 at 7:37 am
Does anyone know the moment when we lost Pouzar? Woodguy? Andy? Dave? Any analytics on what caused their last game at LTs.

Is there a succession plan in place if LT decides to go on a holiday? When you follow a charismatic leader usually the place burns down when they leave the building or go over the hill and far away.

Does LT have a board of directors to make sure LT lives on and on and on even when the founder moves on to white on white and takes take a sabbattical with his family?!

This place is so fricken awesome baby!!!

Elgin R

What is with Klefbom? When KRusty has a better Corsi when playing his off side something is not right.

McDavid needs to do the Aaron Rogers and tell everyone to R-E-L-A-X (shoutout to Brantford Boy).

Oilers have been the better team 5 x 5 and on special teams this series. No dumb penalties and this game is ours!

PS. I know Tippet reads this blog before putting together his starting lineup. So Dave, start Mikko!

JOFA

JOFA:
TESLA’S HAIRsays:
August 7, 2020 at 7:37 am
Does anyone know the moment when we lost Pouzar? Woodguy? Andy? Dave? Any analytics on what caused their last game at LTs.

Is there a succession plan in place if LT decides to go on a holiday? When you follow a charismatic leader usually the place burns down when they leave the building or go over the hill and far away.

Does LT have a board of directors to make sure LT lives on and on and on even when the founder moves on to white on white and takes take a sabbattical with his family?!

This place is so fricken awesome baby!!!

Lol Great question Tesla!

Burn it to the ground I say! That or Ziggy takes over😊

Elgin R

Jofa

An AI program is being written (funded by the Edmonton Oilers Community Foundation through your 50/50 contributions) to duplicate LT’s writing in case of an extended absence. Coders have reported that picking the ‘song’ title references is the most difficult sub-routine.

slopitch

I was almost expecting a Stan Weir post today The man can drown a fish and we could use that on our side. Force the puck luck today fellas and 456 stay out of the box.

Go oilers! clap clap

meanashell11

I have no idea what team will show up tonight. I have no idea what goalie will show up.

Not exactly confident.

OilClog

Cherry picked stats, trolls, and original proclamations drove off the guys with the desires to share all the sweet complete stats with us 😔

I miss red and blue circles, and Nuge always having a sexy circle.

flea

What’s worse?

Win today and lose tomorrow?

or lose today?

I want that game 5 no matter what happens in it!

OilClog

meanashell11:
I have no idea what team will show up tonight. I have no idea what goalie will show up.

Not exactly confident.

I nominated Broberg he is currently rocking a 100% save percentage and I imagine could win a face off with pads on.

Elgin R

flea,

This is setting up perfect for a deep playoff run. Mikko wins tonight and then Smith comes in a wins Saturday thus restoring his confidence and the teams confidence in him.

Oilers in 5 (re-issued from my original ‘Oilers in 3 -4’ statement)

Brantford Boy

Elgin R,

LT Blog Rules:

Rule #1: We do not talk about an extended absence
Rule #2: We do not talk about an extended absence
Rule #3: No Politics
Rule #4: No Religion
Rule #5: No Flames or Canucks fans welcome… ever!
.
.
.
Rule #69: No erectile dysfunction drugs

His name is Allan Mitchell, his name is Allan Mitchell, his name is Allan Mitchell!

Go Oilers!
#WeSkateForColby

OilClog

Is there any way they could slap the Ennis jersey on Gagner, he’s gotta be close by.

GordieHoweHatTrick

SVR:
Come on Woodguy, this could be the last game of the season. We shouldn’t leave anything to chance!

Clap clap!

Calling all Woodies!!!

GordieHoweHatTrick

JOFA:
TESLA’S HAIRsays:
August 7, 2020 at 7:37 am
Does anyone know the moment when we lost Pouzar? Woodguy? Andy? Dave? Any analytics on what caused their last game at LTs.

Is there a succession plan in place if LT decides to go on a holiday? When you follow a charismatic leader usually the place burns down when they leave the building or go over the hill and far away.

Does LT have a board of directors to make sure LT lives on and on and on even when the founder moves on to white on white and takes take a sabbattical with his family?!

This place is so fricken awesome baby!!!

Would the real Woodguy please stand up??!! 😉

jtblack

Lowetide:
The blog has lost and gained wonderful posters over these 15 years and I do hope we keep going for another 15. God willing and the creek don’t rise.

As for folks who have left, or visit less frequently than previously, let them live. We all ebb and flow, priorities in other areas force us to spend time doing other things.

From changing diapers to working 16-hour days, the folks who visit here are generally owners and managers. If they’re not here, there’s a reason.

It’s also true that people morph in their knowledge of analytics. Some find this place a fantastic way to get involved, digest everything and begin pushing the conversation. There’s a time when those folks move on too, and I think we’re at that point in time currently.

It’s all good. You are welcome here, but it should always be a place you want to be. If it isn’t, then it’s time to sail on, hope to see you down the line.

That’s the way I view the blog, old friends and new.

OH and perfectly said as always …

can we agree on one thing? If there is one thing that Oilers Fans are owed today, it’s a Game 4 win 🙂

Give us some bounces for a Game 4 win. And we will roll the dice in Game 5.

hunter1909
GordieHoweHatTrick

The current Oilers seem to play their best hockey in one of two modes:
1- desperation hockey / crazy efforts 100% of shifts
2- well structured and positional – with strong puck support – 100% effort

The goal is to play #2 mode 100% of the time.

Tonight (and Gord willing tomorrow), I will take either to get to the play-offs…the way it was supposed to be before the world went sideways…

Go Oilers! Leave it all on the ice Boys!

Elgin R

Lowetide,

Not this time LT! Oilers get all the ‘puck luck’ with a small dose of ‘ref luck’ thrown in. Oilers win 6-2.

jtblack

Lowetide: Lol. Well, hockey doesn’t work that way. I will tell you, without an ounce of hyperbole, that the Oilers outplayed the Islanders in every game during the 1983 final and lost in four straight.

Shiza happens.

yah. it can be a strange game. I see the series as fairly even so far. Coughing up a late lead last game really hurt the Oilers. BUT, I think this team has matured. Sports is about winning and performing your best at the right time.

If Edmonton or any team wants to WIN and advance, the team is required to perform their best when that time comes. The time is NOW. Edmonton needs 2 of their best games ever. Starting with today.

If they don’t come out and earn it, there will be another off season of soul searching …. But perhaps Edmonton is ready to write a different story …. one of perserverence and determination. One of finding a way.

LET’S GO OILERS !!!!!!!!!

Brantford Boy
jimdewger

Lowetide,

Your blog has been a bright light for years and an enjoyable part of the day for many of us. Thanks for all you do.

dustrock

Already can’t access the 50/50 lol.

LET’S GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

tileguy

Brantford Boy:
Can someone else hit refresh on this search for awhile… my fingers are getting sore…
https://www.google.ca/search?q=adam+Larsson&hl=en&gbv=2&source=lnt&tbs=qdr:d&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiR77vjqYnrAhVVFzQIHRbnBB0QpwV6BAgeEB0&biw=1229&bih=578

Can’t, too busy refreshing 50/50.

ArmchairGM

Oilers projected lineup as per NHL.com:

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins — Connor McDavid — Josh Archibald

Andreas Athanasiou — Leon Draisaitl — Kailer Yamamoto

James Neal — Riley Sheahan — Zack Kassian

Gaetan Haas — Jujhar Khaira — Alex Chiasson

Oscar Klefbom — Adam Larsson

Darnell Nurse — Ethan Bear

Kris Russell — Matt Benning

Mikko Koskinen

Can anyone confirm? Speeds?

Réal Goudenyéu

meanashell11:
I have no idea what team will show up tonight. I have no idea what goalie will show up.

Not exactly confident.

A tale as old as time.

tileguy

I wonder if it might be a good idea to dress 7 D today in case Larson is not effective playing with a nagging injury. You could then alternately double shift 97 or 29 as your #4C.

Tesla's Hair

Would you laugh if Smith started?!

Many LT folks are managers, lawyers, and bankers. Maybe they disappear when the IT manager calls their boss up… ive done some research…it looks like we have some heavy visiting by your Albertan associates during your monday morning briefings to a music, whiskey and statsp**n site called Lowetide. What should we do?

A few momemts later the IT manager signs up to wordpress and becomes a loyal follower trying to post before Woodguy and OP do.

Oilbridge403

ArmchairGM,

if I were Tipp, I would run these lines in order to double shift Connor and Leon,

Neal – Mcdavid – Kassian
RNH – Drai – Yammo
Athanasiou – Sheadan – Archibald
Haas – JJ – Chiasson

In Sheadan spot, you can double shit 97/29/93.

They need to start tying up the sticks in the dzone, whether net front or up in the slot. And direct more pucks to the Fricken Net already!!!

I hope that Koski gets he nod!

OriginalPouzar

No pre-game media avail today so we’ll need to wait until warm-ups to know anything re: goalie, Larsson, forward lines, etc.

Lucinius

Well, here’s hoping to an Oiler win tonight.

And a 50/50 I don’t need to constantly refresh to try and give my money away. I’ve been refreshing it routinely for nearly 2 hours now and still can’t get in. I know their back-end is bad, but.. in this day and age, this is Buffalo Sabres levels of bad.

Oh well. Worst that happens is I don’t get into the 50/50 and lose.

Pescador

tileguy: Can’t, too busy refreshing 50/50.

Grrrrrr!!

Tesla's Hair

If you cant run a 50:50 site, how can you manage a hockey team?

PREDICKTER

In that #nhlready commercial they keep showing on sportsnet, is it just me, or does Jim Hughson look like he is auditioning for an older Jim Carrey in Cable Guy 2?

"Steve Smith"

Lowetide,

Will you keep it down? Some of us are trying to sleep.

Dee Dee

Which Goalie starts tonight?

How about the one that can steal you a game if needed.

I don’t really see a difference between the two myself. Koski seems bigger and blocks more of the net but is less mobile, Smith can perform some Acrobatics but has moments of crazy.

I think Smith has helped Koski handle the puck better over the year.

But the rest of the team has not done much to help either Goalie. If they spend the entire second period in the penalty box again, they are done like dinner. The Oilers just haven’t seemed to Jell since the break

I’m not sure why Tippett moved Nuge off the Draisaitl line, I’d be tempted to go down with the Ship reuniting that line at least.

In terms of this site Mr Lowetide can certainly run it any way he see’s fit, but I am getting tired of the resident Trolly Troll doing his Troll act, probably more tired of the folks who choose to engage the Troll constantly instead of just ignoring him. Guessing 75% of the comments are just that alone.

Leaving would just make the Troll happier I suspect, but i feel the site had more engagement when he wasn’t around, for me at least.

hunter1909

Hunter1909 2020 Playoff Death March™ LAST CHANCE TEXACO

Enter Now!

It’s free! It’s easy!

https://oilersdeathmarch.com/playoffs-2020/

Returning Players: Use your original names for continuity purposes. Thank you for your cooperation

Crazy Pedestrian

Tesla’s Hair:
If you cant run a 50:50 site, how can you manage a hockey team?

I agree. But in their defence, I’m sure no site in history Running a 50/50 lottery has ever had this much site traffic and Demand for tickets.

I Also can’t get my 50/50 tickets.

DAMMIT PEOPLE LET ME GAMBLE!!!

oilersfan

Stan Weir contracted covid 19.

Now Covid has to be quarantined for 14 days

OriginalPouzar

There have been some great goals in this NYI/FLA game – talented passes by the likes of Huberdeau and Barzal.

Darth Tu

Tesla's Hair:
Would you laugh if Smith started?!

Many LT folks are managers, lawyers, and bankers. Maybe they disappear when the IT manager calls their boss up… ive done some research…it looks like we have some heavy visiting by your Albertan associates during your monday morning briefings to a music, whiskey and statsp**n site called Lowetide. What should we do?

A few momemts later the IT manager signs up to wordpress and becomes a loyal follower trying to post before Woodguy and OP do.

This made me chuckle, and it’s very on point. There’s a bunch of fairly heavy hitting professionals posting in here. Possibly more than one IT manager too.