Get out of Denver

The Edmonton Oilers fought the Avalanche, the officials, the thin air of Denver and several fallen defensemen last night, losing the final game of the marathon road trip. The team was badly outplayed during the final 40, my guess is much of the energy of the collective was used up during a five-minute PK, two of which saw the team two men down. The group saved the day on that PK but seemed wounded afterward, unable to gain traction. Adam Larsson’s getting a game misconduct combined with Kris Russell missing the heart of the game with an injury made it rather messy middle and late.

I don’t bitch much about officials, but that was a HUA game by the zebras and it ruined a damned good hockey game between two quality teams. The Oilers play Vancouver Saturday. What’s left of them.

THE ATHLETIC!

The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of The Athletic, less than two coffees a month offer here.

  • New Jonathan Willis: Should the Oilers go short or long term on Ethan Bear’s next contract?
  • Lowetide: The 2010s: Revisiting the Connor McDavid draft lottery — the day the earth stood still in Edmonton
  • Jonathan Willis: The 2010s: Unveiling the Oilers all-decade team
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: The 2010s: What went wrong with Nail Yakupov? How the No. 1 pick became the decade’s biggest NHL draft bust
  • Jonathan Willis: The 2010s: Ranking a decade’s worth of Oilers coaches
  • Lowetide: Tyler Benson posting a strong November in hopes of an Oilers recall
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: A superstar shines, a goaltender stands tall and a ‘road hockey’ power play helps the Oilers return to form
  • Lowetide: Why Dave Tippett’s deployment is a sign the Oilers need a No. 3 centre
  • Jonathan Willis: A Jesse Puljujarvi trade is an opportunity of which only one NHL team gets to take advantage
  • Daniel Nugent-BowmanLeon Draisaitl takes the blame as the Oilers’ struggles against lowly foes continues
  • Jonathan Willis: A list of which Oilers are most likely to be traded in 2019-20
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Q&A: Woodcroft on Benson’s ‘gift,’ the next step for Bouchard and acting like a proud parent watching the Oilers
  • Lowetide: Oilers’ No. 2 prospect winter 2019: Philip Broberg
  • Lowetide: Joel Persson’s demotion highlights difficult adjustment for Oilers’ ‘European showtime’ trio
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman and Jonathan Willis: Evaluating the Oilers’ readiness for the 2021 Seattle expansion draft
  • Lowetide: Oilers’ No. 1 prospect winter 2019: Evan Bouchard

OILERS AFTER 27 GAMES

  • Oilers in 2015: 10-15-2, 22 points; goal differential -13
  • Oilers in 2016: 14-11-2, 30 points; goal differential +7
  • Oilers in 2017: 11-14-2, 24 points; goal differential -12
  • Oilers in 2018: 13-12-2, 28 points; goal differential -6
  • Oilers in 2019: 16-8-3, 35 points; goal differential +10

Still miles ahead of the 2016 team, the Oilers have delivered relatively few truly poor games this season. There were two on this road trip (last night and Los Angeles) but for me last night’s game is one I’m going give them a little leeway (more than their coach) due to the officials.

OILERS IN NOVEMBER

  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2, 10 points; goal differential -9
  • Oilers in November 2016: 5-6-2, 12 points; goal differential 0
  • Oilers in November 2017: 5-7-1, 11 points; goal differential -3
  • Oilers in November 2018: 5-7-1, 11 points; goal differential -9
  • Oilers in November 2019: 7-4-2, 16 points, goal differential +5

One game left in the month and this year’s model is the clear champion. I had these Oilers pegged pretty well (per below) but have to say that watching them through this month I’m more impressed than the record might imply. The Oilers are good.

WHAT TO EXPECT IN NOVEMBER

  • On the road to: PIT (Expected 0-1-0) (Actual 1-0-0)
  • At home to: ARI, STL, NJD (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 1-1-1)
  • On the road to: ANA, SJS (Expected 1-0-1) (Actual 1-1-0)
  • At home to: COL, DAL (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 1-0-1)
  • On the road to: SJS, LAK, VEG, ARI, COL (Expected 2-3-0) (Actual 3-1-0)
  • At home to: VAN (Expected 1-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 7-6-1, 15 points in 14 games
  • Current results: 7-4-2, 16 points in 13 games

Oilers have the month covered but that last game offers a chance to ensure some Clearance Clarence entering December. Canucks have some real quality on that roster, it won’t be an easy game. All numbers NST, folks with the lines and pairings a jumble I’m going to resort to bullets and points if you don’t mind.

  • Jujhar Khaira’s power move on the first goal was a thing of beauty. He also drew a penalty with a strong sortie up the middle. Now at five goals on the season. So happy the Oilers didn’t trade him.
  • Adam Larsson’s suicide pass ended Alex Chiasson’s night. Then an unnecessary penalty (it wasn’t five minutes but it was an elbow) was a costly moment in the game. Edmonton defended it, but never did find the script afterward. There’s no way to blame Larsson for getting thrown out of the game, the call was farce. Still, whoever told him he could make stretch passes has to undo his mess. He doesn’t have that gear.
  • Gaetan Haas to Patrick Russell created a great chance in the first period.
  • Mikko Koskinen was brilliant in the first two periods, especially during the five on three. He was somewhat abandoned after the game got out of reach. Stopped 46 of 50, .920 and was the star of the game.
  • Oscar Klefbom’s pinch that led to the winning goal was ill advised. He was dash 3. Absolutely a poor effort, important to also remember he’s Edmonton’s best defender and he is mentoring a rookie. These things matter. I saw some silly comments online about him last night, but you can’t light your best defenseman on fire because of a poor game. Oscar has been dreamy all season. Stuff happens.
  • Connor McDavid had three HDSC but the top line came out second best against the MacKinnon trio. 97’s line had five HDSC’s and gave up the same number. Didn’t cash. As I mentioned with Klefbom, hammering your best players for not wandering through the holy land performing miracles on command is kind of silly. Teams don’t go 82-0. Don’t make me bring out that Casey Stengel line about 50-50-62 because you know I will!
  • Kris Russell blocked two shots, one might have been while using his face to do it. Missed a portion of the game. When he was on the ice, he defended well.
  • Ethan Bear and Caleb Jones both had rookie moments and those crisp outlet passes were replaced by icing and turnovers. A lot was asked and the two men lost a little bit of their composure but that’s part of the process. When Kevin Lowe was struggling as a rookie in fall 1979, Glen Sather said “if a guy is making the same mistakes over and over again, you’ve got to be concerned. But if he’s learning then you’ve got to be patient.” Both men had two giveaways at five on five to lead the team.
  • Leon Draisaitl had a takeaway, a giveaway and struggled in the dot. It was a rare off night for him, and if I hear one negative word about him we’re having liver and cod liver oil for supper. No exceptions!
  • Darnell Nurse picked up an assist, had a HDSC and was very physical. About the only criticism I have is his pass back to Bear when the youngster had been on the ice for approaching a minute thirty. Any option, including an icing, would have been better.
  • Sam Gagner, coming off his best game of the season, struggled to have an impact in the game.
  • James Neal, Riley Sheahan and Zack Kassian all had HDSC’s, none cashed but in Sheahan’s case he is getting closer to that first goal of the season.
  • Josh Archibald has the heart of a lion. He never score a goal as an Oiler but the man is a game rooster.

OILERS 2019-20

Alex Chiasson, Kris Russell and Josh Archibald all have reason to miss a game based on last night’s visual. As each day passes without any word on Ryan Nugent-Hopkins my concern grows. Matt Benning is also out, no word recently on him.

CONDORS 2019-20

Condors got caved last night, they aren’t good defensively and the goaltending lacks experience and is having a tough time. It’s a walking advertisement for Ethan Bear, Caleb Jones and Shane Starrett, who were pillars of last year’s playoff team. This year’s Condors are well off the pace now, badly need Starrett to return. Bear and Jones took the Lido Shuffle to Edmonton and they’re not coming back.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning, TSN1260. We’ll be joined by Chris Meaney of The Athletic to talk NFL on Thanksgiving Thursday, and Frank Seravalli of TSN to talk about a massive week in news that shocked the hockey world.

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215 Responses to "Get out of Denver"

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  1. Munny says:

    This team desperately needs Tyler Benson to become an actual NHL player.

    They way things are going, they might be pressured into bringing him into the line-up earlier than what I think they intend — somewhere about 20 games to give Jones time to establish himself. Longer if Jones takes longer.

    I hope this is it for the injury bug though, and Nuge returns on schedule, so they can keep Benson farming until the latest rookie, Jones, can be fully assimilated.

    But damn I hope Benson can tread water quick even if it’s just in the shallow end of the pool. Being able to add an NHL winger out of the farm would be so frickin useful.

    McDavid and Sheahan should be providing an L2 with some clean air… I think at some point after New Years we will see Benson get his shot on it. Ideally the org knows something about his water treading ability before the trade deadline.

  2. who says:

    GMB3: I agree with this. I’d maybe be remiss to move him in season but certainly in the summer.

    In season or in summer, it really doesn’t matter.
    You move Neal as soon as you find a taker.

  3. ArmchairGM says:

    Woodguy v2.0: Yes, lots of people were on board.

    Some others were a bit excessive in their negative characterization of his results and I’m rubbing it in a bit.

    My guess is yes, he would have signed, but seeing as this is his only “big” contract of his career $$$ played a big part.

    He would have needed ~$4.25 in EDM to match $3.5 in FLA for after tax $$$.

    I’m on record as saying I would go as high as $4M x 4 for Connolly. In retrospect, though, I don’t think we would have needed to go that high, even for tax purposes – $3.75M would have been enough. If Connolly is a US citizen or green card holder and as long as he makes his summer home in a tax-free state we could have structured his deal like Auston Matthews’: a $3M summertime bonus and then $750k salary during the season would be the same after tax money as Florida’s offer.

  4. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    leadfarmer:
    Woodguy v2.0,

    Yes but what is the premium the overage person would pay to live in a Miami over Edmonton.

    Housing per square foot is more expensive in Edmonton on the whole.

    Depends on where you live.

    Day to day living expenses (food etc) are cheaper in Miami.

    Not sure where Panthers players tend to live in regards to the greater Miami area.

    They play and practice in Sunrise to I’d imagine most will be within an hour drive of there.

    Probably live in and around Fort Lauderdale as opposed to Miami.

  5. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    ArmchairGM,

    Connolly is American and as long as he makes his summer home in a tax-free state we could have structured his deal like Auston Matthews’: a $3M summertime bonus and then $750k salary during the season would be the same after tax money as Florida’s offer.

    Connolly is Canadian.

    From Campbell River, BC.

    Pretty sure he lives there (or close) in off season as well.

  6. ArmchairGM says:

    Woodguy v2.0:
    ArmchairGM,

    Connolly is American and as long as he makes his summer home in a tax-free state we could have structured his deal like Auston Matthews’: a $3M summertime bonus and then $750k salary during the season would be the same after tax money as Florida’s offer.

    Connolly is Canadian.

    From Campbell River, BC.

    Pretty sure he lives there (or close) in off season as well.

    Haha, I just edited my post because I realized I was getting him mixed up with Tim Connolly, who was born in Syracuse NY and is very much American.

  7. ArmchairGM says:

    Munny:
    This team desperately needs Tyler Benson to become an actual NHL player.

    They way things are going, they might be pressured into bringing him into the line-up earlier than what I think they intend — somewhere about 20 games to give Jones time to establish himself.Longer if Jones takes longer.

    I hope this is it for the injury bug though, and Nuge returns on schedule, so they can keep Benson farming until the latest rookie, Jones, can be fully assimilated.

    But damn I hope Benson can tread water quick even if it’s just in the shallow end of the pool.Being able to add an NHL winger out of the farm would be so frickin useful.

    McDavid and Sheahan should be providing an L2 with some clean air… I think at some point after New Years we will see Benson get his shot on it. Ideally the org knows something about his water treading ability before the trade deadline.

    I was thinking about this yesterday while pondering potential lines with Nuge out. My first reaction was to call up Benson because I think he’s an upgrade over some of the NHL wingers, but upon further reflection I don’t think it makes sense to call him up unless all the NHL centers are healthy. If we’re going to try Benson at 2LW its IMPERATIVE that Nuge is healthy and playing well – and that the McDavid/Sheahan lines can take on the toughs. Otherwise you aren’t giving Benson a fair shot at acclimatizing to the league, we’ll end up disappointed and he’ll go back down with his confidence crushed.

  8. ArmchairGM says:

    With Nuge out (and I apologize in advance if yesterday provided some clarity on his status, I haven’t read through the thread yet), does it make sense to split Connor and Leo? I was thinking about this:

    Khaira – Draisaitl – Kassian
    Neal – McDavid – Chiasson

    Neal and Chaser seem to play well together, but I think they would benefit from the extra space McDavid gives them, as defenses don’t tend to stand up at the blue line against McDavid out of respect for his speed, yet they stand up against Chase and Neal all the time. I also might help McDavid to go deeper into the defensive zone on the back check knowing that he can catch his linemates on the ensuing rush. Also I’m thinking that the Draisaitl line will get harder minutes, leaving McDavid out against opponents 3rd lines more often.

    Thoughts?

  9. jp says:

    who: In season or in summer, it really doesn’t matter.
    You move Neal as soon as you find a taker.

    I agree you make that move if/when it presents itself.

    But IMO there’s no urgency in moving Neal either. The buyout option is available going forward if you need it. If he keeps scoring I’d have no issue bringing him back next season. Nor the one after that if the goals are still going in. The buyout will be there if it’s needed even if there are no takers on a trade.

  10. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    ArmchairGM: Haha, I just edited my post because I realized I was getting him mixed up with Tim Connolly, who was born in Syracuse NY and is very much American.

    Did you get his handedness right?

    Did you post from your phone?

  11. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    ArmchairGM:
    With Nuge out (and I apologize in advance if yesterday provided some clarity on his status, I haven’t read through the thread yet), does it make sense to split Connor and Leo? I was thinking about this:

    Khaira – Draisaitl – Kassian
    Neal – McDavid – Chiasson

    Neal and Chaser seem to play well together, but I think they would benefit from the extra space McDavid gives them, as defenses don’t tend to stand up at the blue line against McDavid out of respect for his speed, yet they stand up against Chase and Neal all the time. I also might help McDavid to go deeper into the defensive zone on the back check knowing that he can catch his linemates on the ensuing rush. Also I’m thinking that the Draisaitl line will get harder minutes, leaving McDavid out against opponents 3rd lines more often.

    Thoughts?

    Chiasson is in concussion protocol and won’t play this weekend.

    I would also swap the wingers.

    Neal and Chiasson are the slower group and would probably do better with Drai

  12. ArmchairGM says:

    OriginalPouzar: Lavoie finishes with… only those 8 shots

    LOL, quiet night for him.

  13. ArmchairGM says:

    Woodguy v2.0: Did you get his handedness right?

    Did you post from your phone?

    Yes and yes.

    And as I’m reading through yesterday’s comments I was drawn to Shelter Point’s website. It looks like their whiskey is widely available in BC and Alberta, so you might be able to locate some locally (assuming you live in Edmonton). I’ll have to get my BC family to send me some.

  14. ArmchairGM says:

    stephen sheps:
    Halfwise,

    I’d love to move to the island. Sadly UVic wasn’t interested in my services when a vacancy opened up there. I’d move that way in a heartbeat if an opportunity presented itself

    you’ll be among the first people I reach out to once those plans solidify. I’d really enjoy that.

    Oh yes, a few times. It is very good and I’m always happy to have a.dram or two there. But if you find your way here again, Feathers Pub is even better. Lots of very old and seemingly unobtainable things, competitively priced. I had no idea it even existed until a couple months ago, but apparently it’s been around for decades.

    Feathers is the best scotch place in Toronto, no question.

  15. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    ArmchairGM: Yes and yes.

    And as I’m reading through yesterday’s comments I was drawn to Shelter Point’s website. It looks like their whiskey is widely available in BC and Alberta,so you might be able to locate some locally (assuming you live in Edmonton). I’ll have to get my BC family to send me some.

    Yeah a poster later linked to where to get it.

    Lots of places here in Edmonton have it.

    I will procure a bottle and report back.

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