Keep on Truckin’

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins had perhaps his best game of the season, delivering across all 200-feet of NHL canvas in a thrilling display of two-way hockey. He won’t get the attention he deserves, but here, at this blog, we want to take a moment to acknowledge greatness on a Saturday night in February. Nuge was outstanding.

THE ATHLETIC!

The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of The Athletic, less than two coffees a month offer here. 

  • New Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers Observations: A Connor McDavid scare, Leon Draisaitl’s back, boosting the top line and helping Zack Kassian
  • New Lowetide: The Oilers trading their first-round pick is a bad idea
  • New Daniel Nugent-Bowman: After a ‘long road’ to the NHL, Tyler Benson’s Oilers debut holds extra meaning
  • Mitch Brown: The Video Room: How Oilers’ Kailer Yamamoto overcomes his small stature to make dynamic plays
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘Emotionless’ Oilers fail yet again to match passion from a week ago
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: 15 potential trade targets for the Oilers before the 2020 deadline
  • Lowetide: Drilling down on right-handed centres for the Oilers to target before the trade deadline
  • Jonathan Willis: Oilers trade suggestions: 50 proposals from readers, with our verdict
  • Lowetide: If fast is the new big, the Oilers are trending in a very good direction
  • Lowetide: Oilers’ 2016 draft and the value of waiting five years
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘I got a text from Wayne Gretzky that I’ve still got saved’: 8 years later, Sam Gagner reflects on his 8-point night.
  • Lowetide: What’s next for Tyler Benson and William Lagesson after being called up by the Oilers?
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: ‘Now it’s over’: With a new contract in hand, Zack Kassian ready to move on after Matthew Tkachuk fight
  • Lowetide: Why the Oilers are more likely to trade Adam Larsson than Kris Russell
  • Lowetide: Oilers prospects Evan Bouchard and Tyler Benson deliver best minor league performances in 20 years
  • Jonathan Willis: An updated list of which Oilers are most likely to be traded in 2019-20
  • Lowetide: Kailer Yamamoto gives Oilers a midseason spark, one of the best in team history
  • Jonathan Willis: The Oilers’ road forward — and perhaps to a Stanley Cup — requires trusting the kids on defence
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Deciding what to do with Darnell Nurse, Mike Smith, Tyler Benson and Evan Bouchard

OILERS AFTER 55 GAMES

  • Oilers in 2015-16: 21-29-5, 47 points; goal differential -29
  • Oilers in 2016-17: 29-18-8, 66 points; goal differential +11
  • Oilers in 2017-18: 23-28-4, 50 points; goal differential -30
  • Oilers in 2018-19: 24-26-5, 53 points; goal differential -20
  • Oilers in 2019-20: 29-20-6, 64 points; goal differential +3

Last night was a terrific effort by the Oilers, in all honesty I thought the club was done 38 minutes into the game. Hockey is such a strange game, absolute random luck cut the deficit in half and gave the home team life. It was a mausoleum before the Chiasson goal, a raucous joint after the goal. Big win.

ON THE TENS

  • First 10 games: 7-2-1
  • Second 10 games: 5-4-1
  • Third 10 games: 5-4-1
  • Fourth 10 games: 3-6-1
  • Fifth 10 games: 6-2-2
  • Current 10 games: 3-2-0

Oilers have had one poor 10-game segment so far, and this 10-game set feels like a tight one.

OILERS IN FEBRUARY

  • Oilers in February 2016: 1-3-0, two points; goal differential -15
  • Oilers in February 2017: 1-3-0, two points; goal differential -7
  • Oilers in February 2018: 1-2-1, three points; goal differential +1
  • Oilers in February 2019: 1-1-2, four points; goal differential -4
  • Oilers in February 2020: 2-2-0, four points; goal differential +1

February is a damned tough month based on these four-game runs to begin the proceedings over five years. Man, there’s no joy in these numbers. This year’s team is the only one to have two wins after four games.

WHAT TO EXPECT IN FEBRUARY

  • On the road to: CAL, ARI (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 1-1-0)
  • At home to: SJS, NAS, CHI (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 1-1-0)
  • On the road to: TBY, FLA, CAR (Expected 1-1-1)
  • At home to: BOS, MIN (Expected 1-1-0)
  • On the road to: LAK, ANA, VEG (Expected 2-1-0)
  • At home to: WPG (Expected 1-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 8-5-1, 17 points in 14 games
  • Current results: 2-2-0, four points in four games

The Oilers have a busy schedule this month, so it’s a combination of quality of opponent and how many games are btb or third in four nights. After the massive run coming out of the AS break (two against Calgary with a game against St. Louis in between) this week represented a struggle. The win Saturday stops a two-game losing streak and sets up the road trip in a more positive light.

OILERS 2019-20

Dave Tippett coached his ass off last night, catch the time on ice for some of these lines. Alex Chiasson had a brilliant early chance and then later scored the biggest goal of the game. All numbers five on five and via NST.

LINE 1 Nuge-Leon Draisaitl-Kailer Yamamoto played 13:13, going 20-8 Corsi, 12-3 shots, 1-0 goals and 5-2 HDSC.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins had a splendid evening, including a grand back check that squashed what could have been the winning goal, and two passes to Draisaitl that led to goals. Finished 0-1-1 five on five, with two shots and two HDSC, three giveaways and two takeaways. His stellar back check on Arvidsson was all-world and won’t get the attention it deserves. Outstanding work. Leon Draisaitl received much of the attention post-game and with good reason. He scored a goal, had four shots, three HDSC, drew a penalty and won 10 of 18 in the dot. His second goal was the winner. Kailer Yamamoto continued to be a catalyst for this trio, although it was a slow start for the line. He finished with an assist, three shots, one HDSC and a takeaway.

LINE 2 Jujhar Khaira-Riley Sheahan-Josh Archibald played 9:25, going 8-8 Corsi, 5-6 shots, no goals and 0-1 HDSC.

Jujhar Khaira played a physical game, helping to set the tone early with a hit against Nick Bonino. He had one shot, which stood as Edmonton’s best scoring chance for some time. Had a takeaway. Riley Sheahan had a shot, a takeaway and won seven of nine (nice). He was effective in four PK minutes. Josh Archibald had three shots, hit like a truck and transported well. I like what he brings.

LINE 3 Sam Gagner-Connor McDavid-Alex Chiasson played 8:55, going 7-15 Corsi, 2-7 shots, 0-1 goals and 0-7 HDSC. That might be the worst line from a line that contains 97 in his NHL career.

Sam Gagner had two shots, took a penalty and had two giveaways. I understand why Tippett moved him up, but suspect one of the reasons Samwise was succeeding on a depth line had to do with quality of opponent. Connor McDavid had a wild night: Power-play assist, two penalties, two giveaways, won four of eight in the dot. He hurt his knee on an innocent looking play and that became central to the game story (as it should). Postgame Tippett said it was not expected to be a serious issue. McDavid was creating chances for Chiasson and (later) Leon. Alex Chiasson missed a yawning cage early in the game, and was credited with the goal that got things going late in the second period. He didn’t have any crooked numbers of note at five on five. This line should end.

LINE 4 Tyler Benson-Gaetan Haas-Zack Kassian played 4:28, going 3-0 Corsi, 2-0 shots.

Tyler Benson had an early giveaway, which is like running a stop sign for a player in his second game. Limited minutes after. Gaetan Haas won four of seven in the dot. Zack Kassian was not a factor. It’s easy to bury these guys but the bottom line is Tippett coached to win, to end the losing streak, to find two points on a night when the team had a chance to get closer to the light up above. I don’t blame him. Tippett said post-game he got caught chasing the win and that Kassian will get more minutes next game.

PAIRING ONE Darnell Nurse and Ethan Bear played 16:51, going 19-24 Corsi, 11-10 shots, 1-0 goals and 3-7 HDSC.

Darnell Nurse had three shots, a giveaway, takeaway, penalty and four blocked shots. The penalty came when he got beaten by Matt Duchene. Ethan Bear had one shot, four giveaways and two takeaways. The young man passed the puck well, one of the parts of his game Edmonton needs badly. He is so calm, and can move that puck so well, it gives the team a completely different look when he’s on the ice.

PAIRING TWO Oscar Klefbom and Adam Larsson played 13:51, going 14-11 Corsi, 8-6 shots, no goals and 5-1 HDSC. This was a solid showing by the pair, owing much to the nine minutes spent with the Draisaitl line.

Oscar Klefbom had five shots, one HDSC and showed good speed in recovery. He is such a valuable player. Adam Larsson played a physical game and was solid in 3:40 on the PK.

PAIRING THREE Caleb Jones and Matt Benning played 9:04, going 9-5 Corsi, 6-3 shots, no goals and 0-2 HDSC.

Caleb Jones had two giveaways and got boxed out on the Smith goal, but that was more an effective pick than a rookie mistake. He’s learning the NHL game and I believe he’ll have a quality career. His passing is coming along, the game is starting to slow down for him. Leave him in the lineup! Matt Benning had three shots, created a rebound on one of them. He was there for Bonino’s goal but couldn’t interrupt the tip.

GOALIE Mike Smith stopped 27 of 29, .931. He delivered on all easy and mid-range shots, allowing two of nine HDSC to get by him. I thought he was excellent, highlighted by a sequence in the middle of the second period where Duchene and then Josi had 10-bell chances. Tippett said after the game that Smith is ‘dialed in’ and that’s a good description.

CONNOR MCDAVID

McDavid was injured last night on a play that landed him in the end boards. Ryan Rishaug from TSN asked him about it in the post-game avail and Tippett said it was “not his hurt knee” and that he had a “little bump on his knee” so we’ll wait for more information. He was brilliant as always during game action.

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288 Responses to "Keep on Truckin’"

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  1. rickithebear says:

    RonnieB:
    An argument could be made that the salary scale for players of Leon’s calibre was, at least in part, reset about 6 weeks before Leon’s signing when Evgeny Kuznetsov got 8 x $7.8 million. In his contract year EK had 19 goals and 40 assists in 82 games, along with 5g and 5a in 13 playoff games. That same year Leon had 29g and 48a in 82 games along with 6g and 10a in 13 playoff games.

    Thanks for the fact based contextual point!
    Had not considered the playoff aspect!
    Awesome!

  2. rickithebear says:

    Woodguy v2.0:
    19/20
    EDM Goal Share after 55 games (29-20-6)

    Even strength (5v5,4v4,3v3)
    McDavid On Ice 55-53 (51%)
    McDavid Off Ice 59-76 (44%)
    Net EV = -15

    Sp. Teams (PP+SH For–PK+SH Against)
    49-34
    Net ST +16

    Empty Net
    12-11
    Net EN=+1

    SO & PS
    3-3
    SO & PS= Even

    Net Goal Differential = +2

    Leavins mentioned EDM sniffing around Coleman in NJD.I’d like that.

    McDavid can get a 50%+ goal share with the grits, but this team needs some talent around him so he can clock in at 55%+ and likes coming to work every day.

    Goal share must be adjusted for FO ZS and Bench change with/ without pocession.
    To reflect expected entry and Corsi For and against from forwards.
    It is at this pt fwds penetration and open SH targeting is balanced with Dmen and goalies influenceof corsi faced by preventing penetration and making Corsi non scoreable: (blocks, forced misses, Closed shots, by Dmen) and (Open shot saves by goalies)

  3. Wilde says:

    lmfao holy shit fellas Manning might be a third pairing guy down here

  4. OriginalPouzar says:

    ARI and MTL – Go Habs!

    NSH and VAN – Go two point game, preferably with NSH winning – Oilers lead division vis-a-vis points percentage

    CGY and SJS – A Sharks win would make me smile very large.

  5. Wilde says:

    Bakersfield Condors vs. San Diego Gulls; February 9th, 2020; after 40

    28CF-37CA
    14FF-18FA
    0GF-4GA

    Top F: Currie (0.48 GS)
    5 shot att, 0 shot asst
    12CF-8CA
    5FF-3FA
    0GF-0GA

    Top D: Bouchard (0.16 GS)
    2 shot att, 3 shot asst
    11CF-13CA
    6FF-4FA
    0GF-0GA

    Manning 0-3 GF-GA on the night so sar, last I checked his season numbers were 3-13, meaning together that’s 18.75 GF%.

  6. jp says:

    Munny:
    jp,

    Win-next year?

    It does mean he can take on more AAV if he’s planning on trading for a player with term at the deadline.

    Exactly. Mostly 2020-21 and 2021-22, but it could even affect the trade deadline.

    I wonder about a Neal buyout too. Does ~$4M buy you a better McDavid winger than Neal? Maybe not in terms of goals, but most likely yes in terms of even strength scoring/outscoring (though I’m curious to see if Neal-McDavid’s point scoring and on ice results can catch up to their underlying shot and scoring chance numbers, which are very good).

  7. v4ance says:

    RonnieB:
    An argument could be made that the salary scale for players of Leon’s calibre was, at least in part, reset about 6 weeks before Leon’s signing when Evgeny Kuznetsov got 8 x $7.8 million. In his contract year EK had 19 goals and 40 assists in 82 games, along with 5g and 5a in 13 playoff games. That same year Leon had 29g and 48a in 82 games along with 6g and 10a in 13 playoff games.

    Ah yes but Kuznetzov had a 2 year ELC followed by a 2 year RFA bridge deal so that wasn’t exactly the same comparison. If anything, that lends more weight to the notion that Drai was given a drastic raise.

    If you tack that $3M bridge for 2 years to the first 6 years of the 8 year RFA-UFA deal, that would have driven down the AAV to about $7.5M AAV.

    Again, that’s why a lot of us were saying an $8.5M AAV was $1M too much when given the historical comparatives. Each one of the comparables I used signed their second deal after their ELC deals for 6+ years without going through a bridge.

    It’s a total credit that Leon used the contract as the starting point and motivation to prove himself worthy of that contract instead of the endpoint and coasting through this contract knowing he’s set for life no matter what else he does from now on.

    Also, one small point of contention. McDavid took his $1M discount to help the TEAM. It was so the Oilers could afford to sign better players to surround him. It was never meant explicitly to directly give Leon an extra $1M raise.

    If that was the case, Leon owes McDavid free suppers anytime they go out for the rest of their lives. Even going to the priciest restaurants around the league, there’s no way McDavid eats $8 million in food.

    • RonnieB says:

      Your comments about EK are valid, and were in my mind when I used the qualifier “at least in part”. I remember thinking that summer that the EK contract should set the upper limit on Leon’s contract; I was hopeful he would sign for about $7.25.

  8. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Munny: Before I commit this to memory, I need to ask…. were any phones involved in the posting of this comment?

    You’re not wrong to ask.

  9. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    jp: To an extent I agree Kassian is just a guy, but as you said “he can play there” which not everyone can.

    It’s been argued that any/most 3rd/4th liners would perform comparably with McDavid as Kassian has and I just don’t agree with that. He’s absolutely not unique but IMO he’s been notably better than a lot of the options that have been tried (and I believe the numbers support that).

    One of the key differences in how we’re viewing this (it seems) is that I’m giving Kassian a break for his raw GF% number because McDavid was much worse without Kassian (since Jan 2019) than he was in the 1.5 seasons before that.

    Your comparing Kassian to Maroon based on GF% is the perfect example of that.

    McDavid with Maroon- 52%
    McDavid w/out Maroon 59.8%

    McDavid with Kassian-53.1%
    McDavid w/out Kassian 51.7%

    Or from Jan 2019 to present (when Kassian and McDavid played 1035 of their 1107 minutes together)
    McDavid with Kassian-52.4% (1035 min)
    McDavid w/out Kassian 41.4% (573 min)

    (That last set is shocking, I hadn’t looked at the McDavid without in the past year+ before)

    Anyway, while Kassian and Maroon have similar GF% results with McDavid, McDavid’s results away from them are radically different (even if you just take ~60%GF for Maroon vs ~52%GF for Kassian). I look at that and think McDavid isn’t driving play to the same extent overall lately as he was in 16-17 and 17-18.

    So McDavid’s results with Kassian have been superior to his results without (radically so in the past 13 months) while his results with Maroon were well shy of his results without. I think that means something and Kassian deserves credit for it, but you don’t need to agree.

    Based on McDavid’s GF% delta with and without the various wingers I looked at Kassian comes in as 3rd best behind only Nuge and Draisaitl, two guys making a ton more than he is. McDavid had a worse GF% with than without 5 of 7 the remaining linemates (the guys not named Draisaitl, Nuge or Kassian).

    IMO this shows that Kassian is one of the better options McDavid has played with (and is arguably the best of the options that makes less than $6M per). So not quite JAG.

    I think you need to pull Drai out of the Kassian sample if you’re going to give Kassian a lot of the credit there.

  10. v4ance says:

    Wilde:

    Manning 0-3 GF-GA on the night so sar, last I checked his season numbers were 3-13, meaning together that’s 18.75 GF%.

    Speaking to his future NHL prospects… ” so you’re saying there’s a chance?”

  11. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    Side: Thank you.

    I’m hoping to make a good first impression so I have been drafting up some topics to post about.Do you know if the Taylor Hall trade has been talked about in much length here? Or whether Giordano was intentionally targeting McDavid’s knees?Or has anyone talked about Canucks world beater of a prospect, Brogan Mafaferty?

    All of those topics would be new and fresh.

    Excitedly awaiting your posts.

  12. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    rickithebear: Goal share must be adjusted for FO ZS and Bench change with/ without pocession.
    To reflect expected entry and Corsi For and against from forwards.
    It is at this pt fwds penetration and open SH targeting is balanced withDmen and goalies influenceof corsi faced by preventing penetration and making Corsi non scoreable: (blocks, forced misses, Closed shots, by Dmen) and (Open shot saves by goalies)

    If you post that after every game I promise to read it.

  13. Woodguy v2.0 says:

    v4ance: You should stop posting because everything you say is flat out wrong.

    After the ELC, the contract comparables were for Leon were:

    John Tavares6 years $5.5M AAV
    Taylor Hall6 years $6M AAV

    Nathan MacKinnon: 6 years $6.3M AAV
    Sasha Barkov : 6 years $5.9M AAV
    Sean Monahan7 years $6.375M AAV
    Johnny Gaudreau 6 years $6.75 M AAV

    —>>>Leon Draisaitl 8 years $8.5M AAV<<<– Spot the outlier?

    Aaron Ekbad 8 years $7.5M AAV
    William Nylander 5 years $6.9M AAV
    Nikolai Ehlers 6 years $6M AAV

    The talk leading up to the offseason was that Leon would get $6.5M AAV due to inflation or maybe a bump to $6.75M AAV because of his playoff heroics.The second contract post ELC traditionally was when the team still had a lot of leverage due to arbitration and they used that hammer effectively to keep the inflation down even for the star players.

    Oilers management was tight lipped about McDavid’s pending extension but when he came in at $12.5M AAV, many of us rejoiced because the majority believed we’d get McDavid and Draisaitl signed for around $19M for the pair.Everyone’s jaw dropped here and around the league when Draisaitl’s $8.5M AAV was announced because it was a drastic raise compared to previous second contracts.

    With one stroke, Chiarelli reset the AAV for the second contract .Years and years of GMs had successfully held the line and kept the rise of the post ELC contract manageable and all it took was one idiot to blow it up.Chiarelli literally screwed up the salary cap structure for the entire league.That’s not what I call a smart move.

    It was the same for the Hall for Larsson trade.That one transaction chilled the trade market for defencemen for 10 months until the next offseason because every GM holding a Top 4 D-man was asking for the same return Jersey got: a top 3 young forward.That was another Chiarelli overpay that temporarily reset the market and hurt the rest of the league.GMs came to their senses next year but in 2016-17, very few high profile D moved via trade.

    The one rare deal that Chiarelli did correctly was for Klefbom; signing him to a 7 year $4.167M AAV.

    Other than that Chiarelli was an oasis of suffering in a dessert of pain.We don’t even need to discuss #16 & 33

    This is an excellent post.

  14. Genjutsu says:

    Woodguy v2.0:
    Fair and understood.

    Also,

    Slags on the Sedins had no basis in truth and were just xenophobic or envy often wrapped up in a dose of misogyny (ie. “sisters”)

    Probably chauvinism rather.

    They do kinda look like alien babies and used to do bad things to my hockey team so . . .

  15. jp says:

    Woodguy v2.0: I think you need to pull Drai out of the Kassian sample if you’re going to give Kassian a lot of the credit there.

    But I/we did that yesterday no?

    You can look at the time period where Kassian and McDavid have been linemates:

    Jan. 1st 2019 to present:
    Draisaitl-McDavid-Kassian 717min 53.2%GF
    Draisaitl-McDavid-xxxxxxx 269min 42.1%GF
    xxxxxxx-McDavid-Kassian 318min 50.0%GF
    xxxxxxx-McDavid-xxxxxxx 304min 40.6%GF

    Or you can look at the full numbers since the beginning of the 2017-18 season:

    2017-18 to present:
    Draisaitl-McDavid-Kassian 727min 54.2%GF
    Draisaitl-McDavid-xxxxxxx 1113min 53.9%GF
    xxxxxxx-McDavid-Kassian 380min 50.0%GF
    xxxxxxx-McDavid-xxxxxxx 1392min 52.1%GF

    The first set shows that in the past 13 months (this timeframe accounts for 1061 of 1137 minutes McDavid and Kassian have played together in the 3 seasons) McDavid-Kassian (no Draisaitl) have performed far better than Draisaitl-McDavid (no Kassian). Also far better than McDavid without either winger.

    In this sample Kassian deserved credit, no? I mean, he looks like the driver by the numbers over a 90+ game sample. I’m not trying to claim he actually is but I don’t know how one could deny that he looks like a full and important contributor here.

    In the larger (2017-present) sample Kassian looks like a slight drag on McDavid. I agree with that, but I don’t think it’s a fair comparison.

    Why? If you look at xxxxxxx-McDavid-Kassian in both sets they’re at 50%GF, identical (there were also only 62 xxxxxxx-McDavid-Kassian minutes pre-2019, so I’d argue basically meaningless). The Draisaitl-McDavid-Kassian results are also comparable (1%GF higher in the large sample).

    Where’s the difference? Draisaitl-McDavid-xxxxxxx and xxxxxxx-McDavid-xxxxxxx, which both drop ~10% in the Jan2019-present sample compared to the 2017-present sample. McDavid has not been the same player (in terms of driving on ice results) as he was in 2016-17 and 2017-18. Including Oct 2017-Jan2019 skews the WOWY because you’re adding a period where McDavid was 57%GF without Kassian to one where he was 41%GF without Kassian (since Jan2019). (also 56%GF without Draisaitl or Kassian to 41%)

    McDavid alone and Draisaitl-McDavid have fallen off a cliff in the past 13 months. It’s only while Kassian has been on the ice that McDavid’s been in the ball park of his previous performance. I think Kassian deserves considerable credit considering what’s happened when he’s not on the ice. And since he’s been a McDavid winger there’s zero evidence (that I can find) that Draisaitl’s been driving the results.

    • Woodguy v2.0 says:

      I have an issue with your Jan 1 cut off for the sample.

      I understand why you did it, but it significantly alters the results for a not good enough reason imo.

      We won’t agree on this, and that’s ok.

      • jp says:

        Not much I can do if you won’t agree.

        I think adding a sample (pre-Jan 1, 2019) where McDavid’s GF% without Kassian is 57% to one where it was 41% (irrespective of Draisaitl) is problematic.

        Will you acknowledge that Kassian appears to have been a (considerable) positive influence on McDavid’s results since Jan 2019?

  16. YKOil says:

    v4ance: Ah yes but Kuznetzov had a 2 year ELC followed by a 2 year RFA bridge deal so that wasn’t exactly the same comparison.If anything, that lends more weight to the notion that Drai was given a drastic raise.

    If you tack that $3M bridge for 2 years to the first 6 years of the 8 year RFA-UFA deal, that would have driven down the AAV to about $7.5M AAV.

    Again, that’s why a lot of us were saying an $8.5M AAV was $1M too much when given the historical comparatives.Each one of the comparables I used signed their second deal after their ELC deals for 6+ years without going through a bridge.

    This is what I recall as well. There was a lot of market place cap-creep going on at the time – everyone expected $7m+ to become the new norm but keeping it below $7m was still very doable.
    The Kuznetzov contract made $7m+ more probable but it was the Drai contract that made it ($7m+ the new normal).

    I would add, however, that the Tavares contract made the $10m+ contracts the new normal and made Drai’s contract ‘normal’ from $7m+ to $8m+ (i.e. Drai was no longer the possible outlier there). Chia, via Drai, may have moved the chains but Dubas/Tavares moved the whole damn stadium.

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