And the Spotlight Looks Like a Prison Break

by Lowetide

If you only knew. If you only knew. The Dallas Stars of 20 years ago were beauty and the beast, Mike Modano on a majestic rush combined with Derian Hatcher’s maniacal play and Mike Keane’s mouth and stickwork. If the NHL of the late 1990’s were a western, the Dallas Stars were surely Frank Miller. There was more than a touch of Frank Miller in the play of the Stars last night, so watching the Oilers win had special value. This road trip is madness. The piano has been drinking. The spotlight looks like a prison break.

THE ATHLETIC!

The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of The Athletic, less than two coffees a month offer here. 

  • New Lowetide: How the Oilers deadline deals might alter summer plans
  • New Jonathan Willis: Splitting Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl saved the Oilers’ season
  • Lowetide: Is the OHL still the Oilers’ primary resource at the draft?
  • Lowetide: The Oilers’ 2017 draft and the value of waiting five years
  • Jonathan Willis: Oilers’ AHL factory has produced three NHL defencemen, with more on the way
  • Jonathan Willis: Andreas Athanasiou injured, Mike Green elevated in Oilers’ loss to Vegas
  • Lowetide: Andreas Athanasiou acquisition might give the Oilers a scoring winger for McDavid cluster.
  • Jonathan Willis: Oilers salvage a point as newcomers settle in (and produce) with Connor McDavid
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Are Oilers poised for a long playoff run after Ken Holland’s deadline moves?
  • Lowetide: Ken Holland’s Oilers trade deadline active, targeted and predictable
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Andreas Athanasiou acquisition the most intriguing deadline move for Oilers
  • Jonathan Willis: Shrewd addition of Tyler Ennis gives the Oilers insurance, options up front
  • Jonathan Willis: Connor McDavid returns to the Oilers; now the task is to get him linemates
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Oilers bolster blue line by acquiring Mike Green; Is a scoring winger next?
  • Lowetide: Oilers’ European prospects offer interesting options for the future
  • Lowetide: Making sense of the Oilers forward depth chart for the summer
  • Lowetide: For Oilers’ Kailer Yamamoto and Leon Draisaitl, first impressions are long forgotten. Why not for Jesse Puljujarvi?
  • Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Stepping out and up, Leon Draisaitl puts himself in the Hart Trophy mix in Connor McDavid’s absence
  • Lowetide: Making sense of the Oilers defensive depth chart for the stretch run and the summer

OILERS AFTER 67 GAMES

  • Oilers in 2015-16: 25-35-7, 57 points; goal differential -31
  • Oilers in 2016-17: 35-23-9, 79 points; goal differential +11
  • Oilers in 2017-18: 29-34-4, 62 points; goal differential -37
  • Oilers in 2018-19: 30-30-7, 67 points; goal differential -20
  • Oilers in 2019-20: 36-23-8, 80 points; goal differential +7

Amazing. The current Oilers, who deploy a No. 3 center who went 0-for-15 in the faceoff circle last night, have 80 points and are on a mission from God to make the playoffs. This isn’t a hockey team anymore. It’s a movement.

ON THE TENS

  • First 10 games: 7-2-1
  • Second 10 games: 5-4-1
  • Third 10 games: 5-4-1
  • Fourth 10 games: 3-6-1
  • Fifth 10 games: 6-2-2
  • Sixth 10 games: 6-3-1
  • Current 10 games: 4-2-1

OILERS IN MARCH

  • Oilers in March 2016: 2-0-0, four points; goal differential +5
  • Oilers in March 2017: 1-1-0, two points; goal differential -1
  • Oilers in March 2018: 0-2-0, zero points; goal differential -3
  • Oilers in March 2019: 2-0-0, two points; goal differential +5
  • Oilers in March 2020: 2-0-0, two points; goal differential +6

WHAT TO EXPECT IN MARCH

  • On the road to: NAS, DAL, CHI (Expected 1-1-1) (Actual 2-0-0)
  • At home to: CBJ, WPG, VEG, NYI (Expected 2-2-0)
  • On the road to: PHI, WAS, OTT (Expected 1-1-1)
  • At home to: TBY, ANA, COL, SJS, ANA, VEG (Expected: 3-2-1)
  • Overall expected result: 7-6-3, 17 points in 16 games
  • Current results: 2-0-0, 4 points in two games

The early days of March have the team out in front of my predictions but you’ll notice the schedule is not easy as we move toward the Ides of March. This is a fantastic start to the final month of the season.

OILERS 2019-20

I don’t think the McDavid line as it stands is going to last much longer (mentioned that yesterday) and with James Neal back in action maybe we see the band get back together (Kassian and Neal with 97). Khaira at center looked solid, Klefbom back soon is fabulous. Koskinen stole that game, people. All numbers five on five and via NST.

LINE 1 Nuge-Leon Draisaitl-Kailer Yamamoto played 9:57, going 5-15 Corsi, 4-9 shots, no goals and 0-4 HDSC. Played 9:48 against Heiskenan-Johns, getting outshot 10-4.

Nuge was the offensive star of the game, going 1-1-2 all on the man advantage. He didn’t move the needle at all at five on five. No shots, no HDSC. It’s a theme. Leon Draisaitl won nine of 15 in the faceoff circle, had a takeaway and a giveaway and three shots. Took a penalty, had an assist that came on the power play. Kailer Yamamoto had a giveaway, a big shot black and checked like a demon. Like every Oilers player, he got rocked by a physical Stars team several times.

LINE 2 Tyler Ennis-Connor McDavid-Josh Archibald played 7:43 and were positively caved by Dallas: 3-14 Corsi, 2-8 shots, no goals and 1-2 HDSC. Outshot 7-1 by Gurianov-Dickenson-Hintz.

Tyler Ennis had one shot, one HDSC and got lucky as his stick got high on Jamie Benn but the referees missed it. Connor McDavid’s assist came on the power play, at five on five he had one shot, drew a penalty and won six of 14 on the dot. Josh Archibald worked hard but didn’t get a lot done. I think we see a shuffle for the McDavid line soon. Archibald was solid on the PK.

LINE 3 Andreas Athanasiou-Riley Sheahan-Zack Kassian played 8:04, going 6-5 Corsi, 6-2 shots, no goals and 1-0 HDSC.

Andreas Athanasiou had three shots and a HDSC, one of only four forwards to get one at five on five. He also took a minor penalty twice and will need to iron that out of his game in a quick hurry. Still early days, want to see him have some scoring success. Riley Sheahan got the golden sombrero in the faceoff circle, had one shot, a giveaway and at least a couple of plays where he put his mates in more peril than he would have by just leaving well enough alone. He’s struggling lately. Zack Kassian had a takeaway and played a physical game on a night where the Oilers were getting thrown about with abandon.

LINE 4 James Neal-Jujhar Khaira-Alex Chiasson played 6:46, going 6-5 Corsi, 2-3 shots, no goals and 0-1 HDSC.

James Neal had some jump in his first game back in ages. He had one shot, drew a penalty, turned over pucks (although he got no credit). Played well. Jujhar Khaira won three of seven in the dot, had a HDSC, two giveaways, hammered Dickenson at the Oilers bench. Sent a pass from his own corner to the slot that found Radulov. Incredibly poor decision. Alex Chiasson scored a huge goal, it was a beauty in overtime. Had one shot, HDSC, drew a penalty. Damn near scored in regulation, too. A good game for Chiasson.

PAIRING ONE Darnell Nurse and Ethan Bear played 17:13, going 12-14 Corsi, 8-11 shots, no goals and 1-2 HDSC.

Darnell Nurse had one shot, one giveaway and three blocked shots. I thought he had a terrible first period. Ethan Bear had two shots and a takeaway, he was challenged by the fleet Stars forecheck but performed well to my eye. In photo on the Klingberg PP goal but what the hell are you supposed to do with that shot? Gurianov beat Bear clean early in the game, reminded us the quality rookie blue is still finding his way.

PAIRING TWO Caleb Jones-Adam Larsson played 13:01, getting fed 6-26 Corsi (!!), 6-14 shots, no goals and 1-5 HDSC. Spent much of the evening with the Draisaitl line and against the Heiskanen pairing, the Faksa line.

Caleb Jones had one shot on goal and used his mobility to get advantage, but it was a tough night. Adam Larsson had one shot and was a hammer on a night when the Oilers badly needed on. I thought his penalty was earned, Larsson’s stick clearly got part of the facial area of his opponent.

PAIRING THREE Kris Russell and Matt Benning played 8:43, going 6-4 Corsi, 3-1 shots no goals and 2-1 HDSC.

Kris Russell had two shots, and looked far better than he did in his first games back after the layoff. Strong PK. Matt Benning had a clean slate, not much shaking at either end. That’s a good thing for defensemen. A turnover or two exposed him but I thought he played well overall.

GOALIE Mikko Koskinen was the biggest factor in the game, full stop. Stopped 42 of 43, .977. He played only two games in January, six in February. He is 3-5-0 since January 1, with a save percentage of .917.

THE WHO BY NUMBERS

Edmonton’s five on five Corsi is 48.06 (No. 26), the shot differential is 48.59 (No. 21) and the goal differential is 46.79 (No. 25). Save percentage .9103 (No. 27). Shooting percentage? 8.34 (No. 16).

What is keeping the Oilers afloat? Special teams. Great PP, Great PK.

In “all situations” the Oilers goal differential is 51.08 (No. 15) and the save percentage is .9044 (No. 15). Shooting percentage 10.65 (No. 2).

I can’t see Arizona catching Edmonton now, they have 30 points in play (15 games) and trail by eight points. Let’s say the Coyotes go on a heater and finish 10-5-0 in the home stretch. That would leave them with 92 points, meaning Edmonton would need to go 6-8-1 to finish with 93 points and land ahead of Arizona. The Bettman era means catching teams is like climbing Everest.

LINES

The lines won’t work like this. Something has to be done. In 23:55 together Ennis-97-Archibald have been outshot 8-17 and have an expected goal percentage of 26.24. The fact the actual goal differential is 2-1 is interesting, and McDavid does this routinely but this line is not good.

Andreas Athanasiou-Riley Sheahan-Zack Kassian have played 19:01 together and have a shot share of 63.64 (14-8) despite being 0-1 goals. That’s the one line (aside from the Nuge trio) that might have some sustain.

McDavid’s trio needs a fix and right soon.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning, TSN1260, we hit the ground running with fresh mountain quality. Bruce McCurdy from the Cult of Hockey at the Edmonton Journal will review the two exceptional road games that (imo) signal a real change in this team’s persona. Joe Osborne from OddsShark talks NHL, NBA and NCAA brackets for March madness. 10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. See you on the radio!

332 comments
0

You may also like

0 0 vote
Article Rating
332 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Woodguy v2.0

WC standings using points percentage shown as points over/under fake Bettman .500

Central
STL 23
COL 22
DAL 16

Realific?
VGP 14
EDM 13
VAN 9

Wildcard
CGY 8
MIN 7

Out of playoffs
NSH 6
WPG 6
ARI 5
CHI 2
SJS -4
ANA -6
LAK -10

-MIN fires their coach, trades one of their better players and improve. Of course.

Relevant games today:

CBJ (+150) at CGY (-170) – On Monday Elvis got run over and left the building. Korpisalo *just* came off IR. Poor Jack.

ARI (+100) at VAN (-120) – Boy the bookies don’t like Demko at all eh? “Fuck that guy”

N64

Why fade HaleyBuck when you can fade DemCo?

Woodguy v2.0

EC standings using points percentage shown as points over/under fake Bettman .500

Atlantic
BOS 29
TBY 21
TOR 11

Metropolitan
WSH 21
PHI 18
PIT 17

Wildcard
NYI 13
CAR 11

Out of playoffs
CBJ 11
NYR 8
FLA 7
MTL 3
BUF 0
NJD -2
OTT -9
DET -33

-CAR has 3 less gp than CBJ

Relevant wildcard games tonight:

CBJ (+150) at CGY (-170) – CBJ’s IR: Anderson, Atkinson, Bjorkstrand, Jones, Kukan, Texier, Gerbe, Merzlikins. Lordy

Todd Macallan

The light man’s blind in one eye, and he can’t see out of the other….

3 wins in 4 nights AND Tom Waits? Bravo.

OriginalPouzar

Thinking about the healthy defence and the question I’ve raised recently is if Tippett/Playfair would healthy scratch Russell over Jones. In my opinion, Jones needs to be in the lineup each and every night and has passed Rusty on the depth chart. Not that Rusty doesn’t have his attributes but Jones is the better skater, puck mover, play pushers, etc.

I’m actually thinking the perhaps neither get scratched. I’m a bit Matty Benning fan and I think he is a plus plus 3RD but this coaching staff isn’t using him very much since he came back from his injuries. Another 10 minutes last night (Rusty played 15 – 5 on the PK). I’m not sure if is just monitoring his minutes or a lack of trust but this has been going on for a while.

Tippett has spoken many many times this year about liking/wanting leftie/rightie but I wonder if, when Klef comes back, its Benning that takes a seat and they go with the two lefties on the third pairing – both Jones and Rusty have played lots of right side at the NHL level and Tip has spoken about certain footwork of Jones that makes him better than most on his off-side.

pts2pndr

I think he will scratch Russel when he has a healthy Klefbom. The one weakness that Jones has is breaking the cycle especially when dealing with larger physical players. Russel because of his experience is better than Jones at this part of the game. Jones as an overall D is now by my eye the better D.

Side

My god…. Detroit has 35 points…

giddy

Jesus. And I thought Colorado’s 48 points a few seasons back were the worst we’d likely ever see again.

Woodguy v2.0

And the telephone’s out of cigarettes

Todd Macallan

And the carpet needs a haircut.

Ice Sage

Hang on St Christopher, Oilers lurching into the post-season.

albertaboundedmonton

All I can say is that thank god we had Will Kane in net to stop the noon train.

Ice Sage

ARI (+100) at VAN (-120) – Boy the bookies don’t like Demko at all eh?“Fuck that guy”

Dy’s looking to call up EBUG Bhulin Racicot

Harpers Hair

Bill Daly estimating next season’s cap between 84 and 88 million.

dustrock

Nuge with 48 points now. Will he make it?

BONE207

Like the Buffalo bills, he’s not allowed to make it.

Bill

Between 84-88 million cap for next season, what kind of boon is that for Holland?

tileguy

Who is the #1 goalie today, the guy with better numbers or the guy the coach likes?

norm_klassen

Canucks emergency call two d men but I don’t recognize the names. I thought Brogan taffy was a thing?

N64

You’d thing he’s worth calling up three D. No need to sit D in the press box.

Cape Breton Oilers 4EVR

OriginalPouzar,

How they take Jones out is beyond me. I’m pretty happy with Jones/Benning as the third pair, as opposed to Jones at LD and Russell on his off side. Benning doesn’t get the credit he deserves IMO.
Russell could step in and replace either in case of injury. Jones is just too good at head-man passes. I like Russell too, but Lefty/Righty is huge. Some time in the pressbox might soften up his stance on his no-trade list for the off-season also.

dustrock

Yamamotor button hook past the blue line scouted hard by the Stars.

McDavid getting the charity assist there? Should have been unassisted IMHO

Bulging Twine

With a game in hand, 2 points back of VGK, and owning the tiebreaker the Oilers control their own destiny in the Pacific now

N64

Oil and Vegreville both do. They still play each other.

p3rsonman

McDavid has been neutered 5×5 by his recent set of linemates. He was considerably more effective with Neal and Kassian – since both are back in the lineup I see no reason not to reunite them, other than the fear of throwing Ennis or AA on the fourth line (assuming Sheahan and Archibald also reuinite).

Kinger_Oil.redux

tileguy:
Who is the #1 goalie today?

– Even with Smith getting the majority of games during this stretch of strong Oiler play, he is clearly not as good:

At 5v5, full season:

Koskinen:
– .917 SV%
– 71 GA vs. 65.9 xGA

Smith:
– .903 SV%
– 78 GA vs. 60.5 xGA

– Koski has also been remarkably consistent, with a .918 SV% since Jan.

– Smith has just benefited by being the “starter” based on his compete level, and being a leader and goaler, and great guy. But he’s just not as good as Koski.

– If Smith was as good as Koski, that’s 15 less goals at least: and likely the best team in the West

– For all the good things that Tippet gets credit for doing, he really has the blinders on with Goalie usage. The Oilers win when Smith is in, because they outscore the opposition.

– But to answer your question: Smith is the starter.

– He’s coming back next year and will be paid as such to boot.

– Who do you think starts the next game? Will Koski continue playing 1/3 of games?

– The ideal scenario (even though it’s mean), would be Smith’s groin acts up again and they bring up one of the AHL’ers for a start or 2 and the team plays well while that goalie is in net, and they don’t feel compelled to bring back SMith as the starter

Cassandra

Bill:
Between 84-88 million cap for next season, what kind of boon is that for Holland?

The cap goes up for all teams, and almost all teams spend to the cap, therefore the net benefit to any one team is zero.

Bulging Twine

One thing the player tracking will tell us is if Russell leaves the largest average gap amongst NHL Dmen

OriginalPouzar

Whoa, much bigger increase than previously projected.

That’s huge for the Oil.

v4ance

tileguy:
Who is the #1 goalie today, the guy with better numbers or the guy the coach likes?

Always the guy the coach likes… the NHL same as it ever was… the numbers? Fuck that guy!

v4ance

Koskinen flat out stole the game last night. We had no business getting one let alone two huge points.

The team was tired, the team was outplayed and yet the goalie still won.

Props to Khudobin as well. He was stellar in his net too. Maybe look at signing him this offseason?

wolf8888

Anyone know the goal support for our two tenders? Are the OIlers playing better for Smith? could that be part of coach’s bias?

Pescador

p3rsonman:
McDavid has been neutered 5×5 by his recent set of linemates. He was considerably more effective with Neal and Kassian – since both are back in the lineup I see no reason not to reunite them, other than the fear of throwing Ennis or AA on the fourth line (assuming Sheahan and Archibald also reuinite).

As much as I like James Neal, he is a drag 5v5.
Ennis – 97 – Kassian
AA – Sheehan – Archy

JJS

McD is certainly hamstrung by his linemates but he also hasn’t looked as efficient/effective recently

I notice that his small passes and stick-handling efforts are not working to the same effect they were earlier in the year

I wonder if he is starting to feel the effects of a summer of rehab versus a summer of training?

Gretz used to say it is the hands that go first, not the legs, when tired/injured

Hope Tipp can continue reducing minutes as the season wears down

v4ance

I hope Dallas hires Chiarelli so that he looks at that roster and says, “I gotta get rid of this soft Gurianov guy!”. That youngster was FLYING!

Even though Sekera is 3rd pair in Dallas, he plays a ton of PK mins. He disrupted so many of our attacks with a quick stick. Still love that guy. My hate for the Stars still burns though!

Pescador

Cassandra: The cap goes up for all teams, and almost all teams spend to the cap, therefore the net benefit to any one team is zero.

Yes, because all 31 GM’s are the same person, spending the same cap dollars on the exact same player.
Thank-you for your contribution,
Net zero indeed

New Improved Darkness

Pescador: Yes,because all 31 GM’s are the same person, spending the same cap dollars on the exact same player.
Thank-you for your contribution,
Net zero indeed

The real winners when the cap makes a larger-than-expected bump are the UFAs and RFAs. As a GM, you prefer to roll these contracts over at bottom dollar in a quiet cap year.

In my view, the single factor that make one GM behave differently than another GM is leash. How long can you survive in the job without redeeming a winning chit? This is based both on your personal history and the situation of the club you are managing. Those on a short leash soon begin to act erratically. Sometimes this works out, sometimes it doesn’t. If the owner snoozes, good money follows bad. The fanbase then runs a post-hoc classifier into genius and idiot. There is an aptitude difference, but it’s not nearly as large as the common fan presumes it to be.

We mainly presume that a cap jump favors the sharp operators because of the lubricity term: more deals get done when the cap windows open up. Sharp operators can’t sharp a dead table.

Only 10% of the transactions that float across a forum such as this one are actually viable with all the i’s dotted and t’s crossed. Consummating any iron in the fire at all is an immense accomplishment.

Of course, nothing provides a short-term lubricity boost (for one side) than a GM who temporarily looses his mind. Everyone gathers around the dogsleds frozen into the ice corn in hopes of a Taylor Hall inexplicably cracking loose.

Would Chia’s leash have allowed him to sit patiently by while heavy hockey sunk into the SoCal ice slurry? Probably not. Because McDavid.

Peak window. It’s a thing. Half beauty, half beast.

Henry

“lubricity boost”

Wonderful.

npanciroli

lolll

JimmyV1965

Harpers Hair:
Bill Daly estimating next season’s cap between 84 and 88 million.

So he’s basically saying we have no idea what the hell is happening with the cap next year. It may basically stay the same or go up 5 million. Thanks Bill. Really informative.

pts2pndr

norm_klassen:
Canucks emergency call two d men but I don’t recognize the names. I thought Brogan taffy was a thing?

Like many things that come from the” dys legend in his own mind” the blowgun raft has a hole in his game.

Harpers Hair

JimmyV1965: So he’s basically saying we have no idea what the hell is happening with the cap next year. It may basically stay the same or go up5 million. Thanks Bill. Really informative.

The cap is currently $81.5 million so there will be a bump of least $2.5 million…likely more.

HenryDrix

On lines, I would really like to see 28-97-44. We really need Connor’s line to be lethal if we want playoff success. Only a few games left to get this figured out.

geowal

”I can’t see Arizona catching Edmonton now, they have 30 points in play (15 games) and trail by eight points. Let’s say the Coyotes go on a heater and finish 10-5-0 in the home stretch. That would leave them with 92 points, meaning Edmonton would need to go 6-8-1 to finish with 93 points and land ahead of Arizona.”

Let’s say they run the table, 15-0. If so, in the process, they’ll take 6 pts from the Dys, 4 from Vegas, 2 Flames, 4 jets, 2 preds. 18 points taken from rivals. So either way, we’re sitting good.

JimmyV1965

I’m thrilled with the win, even though we were completely outplayed. The reffing was spectacularly bad last night. Early in the game, the refs could have called some kind of obstruction penalty on Dallas virtually every shift. So how do they fix it? Stop calling penalties on the Oilers later in the game and keep letting Dallas hold, hook, pick and interfere in the nuetral and dzone. And top it off by calling Larsson for a penalty in the last minutes of the game, for the exact same thing Johns did to Draisatl twice earlier in the game.

teddyturnbuckle

Thought Nurse played a great game last night. He even looked good on the power play although I still want Bear there. I hate to say it but Tippet May have to move Yamo or Nuge up with Conner to help that top line.

Darth Tu

JimmyV1965: So he’s basically saying we have no idea what the hell is happening with the cap next year. It may basically stay the same or go up5 million. Thanks Bill. Really informative.

Boban Roflowski currently has a contract of $700k AAV ending in 2021. That new cap space should be utilised to offer sheet him.

JimmyV1965

Harpers Hair: The cap is currently $81.5 million so there will be a bump of least $2.5 million…likely more.

My apologies to Bill. Thought it was $83 mill.

Brogan Rafferty's Uncle Steve

RNH has almost caught up to Ryan Strome in the scoring race.

Kinger_Oil.redux

– Resistance is futile: they’ve been a playoff team since their strong start. Perception was anchored to the past. Skepticism based on the past as an indicator of the future. Regression no more

– It’s been fun to observe the wave and turn to optimism and belief on this blog

Brogan Rafferty's Uncle Steve

I know AA has been struggling but I would go. . .

AA- McD – Kass
RNH- Drai- Yamfries
Pennis- Sheahan – Archie
Granlund-Granlund-Granlund

Brogan Rafferty's Uncle Steve

Kinger_Oil.redux:
– Resistance is futile: they’ve been a playoff team since their strong start. Perception was anchored to the past.Skepticism based on the past as an indicator of the future.Regression no more

– It’s been fun to observe the wave and turn to optimism and belief on this blog

Yes, you are totally right! It was totally reasonable at the beginning of the season to expect historically good special teams and a healthy McD from the start of the season…

Cassandra

Pescador: Yes,because all 31 GM’s are the same person, spending the same cap dollars on the exact same player.
Thank-you for your contribution,
Net zero indeed

Are you always this stupid?

In any case, the cap going up does not help the Oilers any more than it “helps” any other team. Since almost every team spends to the cap they all gain the same advantage.

Faustkarz

No one stated otherwise?

you equated “boon to holland” as some sign of there being a net benefit to Holland.

The cap going up can still help Holland and help the other 31 GM, those two things are not independent

In your quest to impress others with your grand intellect, you shit on others by purposely misinterpreting their statements to satisfy your position that only you understand hockey and management

Yegfoundation

Disagree, Pes made the net zero comment which induced the response from Casandra. That comment was unnecessary, Pes could have stated his difference of opinion without the added insult.

Faustkarz

bill
“Between 84-88 million cap for next season, what kind of boon is that for Holland?”

cassandra
“The cap goes up for all teams, and almost all teams spend to the cap, therefore the net benefit to any one team is zero.”

Cassandra equated “kind of boon” to ” the net benefit to any one team is zero.”

which spiraled to the other responses by them and others

jm363561

I generally dislike these type of exchanges but this made me laugh. Pescador’s comment was completely unnecessary. He fully deserved the counter punch.

PinkSocks

This is narrow minded. They all gain the same advantage if they all use the advantage in the same manner; you should understand this. If the cap goes up by $2m and Holland buys out Neal (cost ~$2m) to free up $3.8m, is that the same advantage as another GM buying a 4th line UFA for $2m?

Hint: it isn’t

giddy

Do we need this sort of attitude here? I’m in no position to say one way or the other, but I really enjoy this site because it’s a lot more civilized than the rest of the internet, sans this post.

prefonmich

wolf8888,

Smith’s unpredictability keeps the team on their toes. His firy competitive spirit is mostly what the coach loves and I do think that runs off on the team also. As long as there are no cross crease passes or breakaways he is good. He is great facing the shooter and useless moving laterally as he always ends up flat on his belly. When team plays tough d, Smith does well.. koskinen too calm for coach!
Honestly I cant critique Tippett much this year. He has found a way to make every player feel valuable. In stark contrast to McLellan IMO.

OriginalPouzar

There is a chance that Klef plays tomorrow but don’t think its a “for sure” and I think there is a good chance its not until the weekend. My guess is the boys have a day off today after travelling last night but who knows.

Thinking about the healthy defence and the question I’ve raised recently is if Tippett/Playfair would healthy scratch Russell over Jones. In my opinion, Jones needs to be in the lineup each and every night and has passed Rusty on the depth chart. Not that Rusty doesn’t have his attributes but Jones is the better skater, puck mover, play pushers, etc.

I’m actually thinking the perhaps neither get scratched. I’m a big Matty Benning fan and I think he is a plus plus 3RD but this coaching staff isn’t using him very much since he came back from his injuries. Another 10 minutes last night (Rusty played 15 – 5 on the PK). I’m not sure if is just monitoring his minutes or a lack of trust but this has been going on for a while.

Tippett has spoken many many times this year about liking/wanting leftie/rightie but I wonder if, when Klef comes back, its Benning that takes a seat and they go with the two lefties on the third pairing – both Jones and Rusty have played lots of right side at the NHL level and Tip has spoken about certain footwork of Jones that makes him better than most on his off-side.

Khaira needs to stay in for the PK in my opinion. Special teams won that game last night and Khaira was, again, great on the PK – if the Stars score on one of those first period PP’s, the game is likely totally different.

Koski totally effed up the goalie split now – I have no idea what makes sense for Thursday or what Tippett will do. I think he’ll go back to Smith who has lost one game in regulation in 2020 but there is no wrong decision for tomorrow, I don’t think.. Tough to not start Koski again after last night but they can go right back to him on Sat.

Great to gut out two points in a 3rd game in 4 nights last night and, boom, again, another 3rd game in 4 nights in different cities and 4 in 6.

Any points tomorrow will be a huge bonus.

Darth Tu

From watching last night’s game, I agree about the McDavid line. It’s most likely time to end the Ennis-McD-Archie experiment. Archibald plays well in spurts, but is definitely more effective on the 3rd line with Sheahan and focusing on the PK. Ennis has earned a longer stay with McDavid based on his play with the team so far, it might be time to move Kassian back up and see if that can work again.

Neal, I liked his effort last night but I think the 4th line works better with Haas at C than Khaira. Chiasson – as soon as I saw him being sent out there on the PP I had a feeling he was scoring the game winner. Do we spot Chiasson and Neal in from now on?

Nuge-Drai-Yamo
Ennis-McD-Kassian
AA-Sheahan-Archie
Khaira-Haas-Chiasson/Neal

Or if AA gets his game together do we run:

Nuge-Drai-Yamo
AA-McD-Ennis
Archie-Sheahan-Kass
Khaira-Haas-Neal/Chiasson?

I’m all over the place with what I think would be better now. I don’t want to split the Draisatl line up though.

Cassandra

Rickety Cricket: Yes, you are totally right! It was totally reasonable at the beginning of the season to expect historically good special teams and a healthy McD from the start of the season…

It was also totally reasonable to expect three decent, but not blue chip, prospects, to turn into good NHL players.

Bear, Yamamoto, and Jones have transformed this team. All three are playing well above any reasonable expectation.

jm363561

What has got little attention is the impact on the cap situation of these three breakout players. Add in Benson and Lagesson, a few expiring contracts and, (I expect) a Neal buyout, we move from hell to, at least, purgatory.

Harpers Hair

Cassandra: Are you always this stupid?

In any case, the cap going up does not help the Oilers any more than it “helps” any other team.Since almost every team spends to the cap they all gain the same advantage.

If there is one team that will reap the benefits of the rising cap it is Seattle.

They will have an opportunity to pick off UFAs and other free agents.

N64

Sorry you already spent $500M on Vegas and chained yourself to the Dies. You don’t have $650M lying around to get the Seattle roster.

John Chambers

Cassandra: Are you always this stupid?

In any case, the cap going up does not help the Oilers any more than it “helps” any other team.Since almost every team spends to the cap they all gain the same advantage.

I disagree with your premise.

Some teams like the Oilers already have big salaries committed to core players for lengthy term. The cap rising by $2.5 – $6.5M allows them to spend on non-core players, or UFA’s.

WHEN the cap increases is material and does not affect all teams equally. Teams with core players coming to RFA will have to sign those RFA’s to elevated cap hits because of the cap increase. They will have to address their internal core (at a higher % cap than the Oilers), and have fewer dollars to spend on UFA’s.

In the end it means two things:
1) more room to sign one’s own RFA’s (Nurse should’ve been given a $6.5 x 6 deal)
2) more dollars available to sign UFA’s (Hall will get paid / Krug will get paid / Markstrom and Lehner will get paid).

On Point 2 – Depending on whether a team has their core locked down, they will or won’t have money to supplement with UFA talent. The Maple Leafs, as an example, can probably afford to shop for a defenseman given that their other core players are budgeted for an 82.5M cap hit.

godot10

Harpers Hair:
Bill Daly estimating next season’s cap between 84 and 88 million.

Escrow might be 50-90%, depending on how things go this summer. #CoVid19

ArmchairGM

OriginalPouzar:
Thinking about the healthy defence and the question I’ve raised recently is if Tippett/Playfair would healthy scratch Russell over Jones.In my opinion, Jones needs to be in the lineup each and every night and has passed Rusty on the depth chart.Not that Rusty doesn’t have his attributes but Jones is the better skater, puck mover, play pushers, etc.

I’m actually thinking the perhaps neither get scratched. I’m a bit Matty Benning fan and I think he is a plus plus 3RD but this coaching staff isn’t using him very much since he came back from his injuries.Another 10 minutes last night (Rusty played 15 – 5 on the PK).I’m not sure if is just monitoring his minutes or a lack of trust but this has been going on for a while.

Tippett has spoken many many times this year about liking/wanting leftie/rightie but I wonder if, when Klef comes back, its Benning that takes a seat and they go with the two lefties on the third pairing – both Jones and Rusty have played lots of right side at the NHL level and Tip has spoken about certain footwork of Jones that makes him better than most on his off-side.

Does “healthy defense” not include Mike Green?