Going back to the beginning of this decade, Oilers fans have argued the team would be more effective drafting from an “industry” guide as opposed to employing scouts. That’s a pretty big claim, but we do have Edmonton’s draft record and Bob McKenzie’s annual lists, so it’s possible to drill down and find out how well the team did against what some call the industry bible. Let’s have a look.
The Athletic Edmonton features a fabulous cluster of stories (some linked below, some on the site). Great perspective from a ridiculous group of writers and analysts. Proud to be part of the group, here’s an incredible Offer!
- New Daniel Nugent-Bowman: What the 2021-22 Oilers might look like after their steady build toward contender status
- New Lowetide: Joel Persson is ideally situated to win an opening night roster spot with the Oilers
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: What the 2019-20 Oilers might look like without trade missteps.
- Lowetide: Finding the best candidates for the final two spots on the Oilers skill lines in 2019-20.
- Jonathan Willis: Projecting the Oilers’ opening night lineup, line combinations and more.
- Lowetide: Does the James Neal acquisition impact Oilers’ prospects in 2019-20?
- Lowetide: Oilers’ acquisition of James Neal could add badly needed scoring to the top two lines.
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Ken Holland puts his stamp on the Oilers with first big move in Lucic-Neal trade
- Jonathan Willis: Ken Holland ends an ugly situation for the Oilers by trading Milan Lucic for James Neal
- Daniel Nugent-Bowman: Potential free-agent options for the Oilers in 2020
- Jonathan Willis: Which Oilers defencemen can make an outlet pass?
- Lowetide: Looking ahead to Oilers training camp: 35 players for 23 jobs
- Jonathan Willis: Josh Archibald won’t fix the Oilers’ biggest problems, but he’ll help with some key issues.
- Lowetide: Will the 2019-20 Bakersfield Condors be the Oilers’ best minor-league team ever?
- Lowetide: Oilers top 20 prospects summer 2019.
The McKenzie list graduated three bona fide NHL regulars who I think we can agree covered their draft bet. Edmonton? Full value for Hall, and some bad luck with Pitlick (who was in the range). The Marincin pick was off the board. A clear win for the McKenzie list.
Both lists shine, McKenzie delivers two forwards and the Oilers gather up Nuge and Oscar. Both lists swing and miss once, I think this is a pick ’em. You?
The 2012 draft was the weakest of the decade and that hurt Edmonton’s significant opportunity to improve. Now, they were hurting themselves too, but a stronger No. 1 would have helped enormously. The difference here is Khaira, who helps the Oilers pass BM’s list.
I was a fan of MacT’s trades down and even though they didn’t work out the Oilers should do it again if the opportunity presents itself. Edmonton got a better first-round pick than McKenzie’s scouts and that fact wins the day.
I was onboard with Bennett and the Oilers had their choice of player. We’ll never know how the conversation went, but whoever slammed his hand on the table and screamed Draisaitl should receive the Nobel scouting prize.
What a tremendous moment. I know what happened afterward and I know you know what happened afterward, but that single moment in time was the power and the glory.
This draft is too early to call, but if Jesse Puljujarvi can find his way and Benson emerges as a useful forward it has a chance to be quality. The season ahead is massive for the entire group.
I like this draft for several reasons, but the most promising name from has changed since these players were chosen. I’m still a fan of Yamamoto, but that wrist injury is a concern and the Oilers brass aren’t trumpeting him. On the other hand, Samorukov has emerged as a top flight prospect and appears poised to pass some blue on the pro depth chart this winter. I think the Oilers have a real player here.
I’m not sure who compiled the better list but am fairly certain both defensemen chosen in the first round are going to have an impact in the NHL. Many miles to go.
The first-round selection will be discussed for a long time, Zegras isn’t Turcotte but he’s brilliant and skilled. Broberg’s offense reminds me of Klefbom’s, we just don’t have enough evidence to measure it. A massive stroke of luck to get Lavoie in the second round. The journey has not yet begun.
Using McKenzie as the comp list, we lose some of the strongest arguments against Edmonton’s scouting this decade. Alex DeBrincat wasn’t the top available name on McKenzie’s list when the Oilers chose Tyler Benson. The publicly available scouting reports on that day suggested DeBrincat was not the obvious choice. Math rankings, like mine, identified him, because there was no size bias.
The best arguments for Edmonton’s drafting in this decade are impressive. In choosing Draisaitl over Bennett, the club made a brilliant choice that wasn’t in agreement with the McKenzie list. I’ll also list Klefbom and Nurse as clear wins and Khaira as a savant selection by someone.
The McKenzie selections that reflect poorly on Oilers scouts are Merrill over Pitlick, Toffoli over Marincin, Saad over Musil. I don’t see a clear win for the McKenzie list since 2011. Lots of time for these two lists to seperate. Two questions: First, would you like me to run something similar from Pronman or Button? I don’t know if I can find all of them. Also, which group would you prefer? Leon, Klefbom and Nurse, or Saad, Merrill or Toffoli?
50-MAN ROSTER (50)
There are two slides and we’re still waiting for Jesse Puljujarvi’s 2019-20 destination to be finalized. If JP heads to Europe, or signs with Edmonton, the next transaction after it could be a No. 3 center added via the waiver wire or late pre-season trade.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
It’s Friday! In summer! K-Days and sunshine! We hit the ground running at 10 this morning, TSN1260. Steve Lansky from BigMouthSports will join us at 10:20 to talk Live Cam CFL football tonight (he’s part of the coverage) as well as K-Days and MLB trade deadline. Matt Iwanyk will pop in to talk about the Eskimos victory last night and an Edmonton team with Grey Cup aspirations.